Chapter 18 Development Economics Economics, 7th Edition Boyes/Melvin Big Discrepancies • The average life expectancy in Botswana is 39 years. • 70 percent of the population in Cambodia has no access to safe water. • 45 percent of the population in Ghana exists on less than $1 per day. • Students in Chad average only 4 years of formal education. Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved. 18 | 2 Developing and Developed Economies • About ¾ of the world’s people live in less-developed countries (LDCs) or Third World countries characterized by low per capita GDP. • “First World countries” are the highly industrialized nations of western Europe and North America. • “Second World countries” are eastern European countries and the countries of the former Soviet Union. Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved. 18 | 3 The World by Stage of Development Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved. 18 | 4 Poverty • Considered in the absolute sense: – In the U.S., the poverty level for a family of four in 2006 was an annual income of $20,000 or less. – The World Bank uses per capita GNP of $766 or less as its criterion for a low-income country. • Poverty is also a relative concept, making it difficult to compare across countries. – The income of many households in the U.S. who are considered poor is substantially higher than the incomes of poor families in other countries. Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved. 18 | 5 Other measures • Although economists disagree on a definition of basic human needs, the general idea is to set minimal levels of: – – – – Caloric intake Health care Clothing Shelter • Physical quality-of-life index uses life expectancy, infant mortality, and literacy standards but does not account for justice, personal freedom, environmental quality, or employment Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved. 18 | 6 Political Obstacles to Growth • Lack of Administrative Skills • Political Instability and Risk: a country must be able to guarantee private property rights with no threat of expropriation to encourage private investment. • Corruption: reduces growth most directly through government investment in projects with low productivity. • Good Economics as Bad Politics Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved. 18 | 7 Corruption Perception Index • Transparency International, a global coalition against corruption, produces an annual Corruption Perception Index report. • A country’s CPI Score relates to perceptions of the degree of corruption as seen by business people and country analysts and ranges between 10 (highly clean) and 0 (highly corrupt). • In 2005, Iceland ranked as least corrupt while Chad ranked as most corrupt. Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved. 18 | 8 Social Obstacles to Growth Lack of Entrepreneurs – In developing countries, entrepreneurs tend to be immigrants who have skills and experience that do not exist in poor countries. – In some societies, traditional values that do not encourage high achievement may be an obstacle to development. Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved. 18 | 9 Social Obstacles to Growth (2) Rapid Population Growth – Capital shallowing occurs when growth reduces the amount of capital per worker, lowering the productivity of labor. – Age dependency occurs when growth produces a large number of dependent children, whose consumption requirements lower the ability of the economy to save. – Investment diversion occurs when growth shifts government expenditures from the country’s infrastructure (roads, communication systems) to education and health care. Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved. 18 | 10 Population Growth in Less Developed Countries • World population is expected to rise 2.6 billion in the next 45 years. • Nearly all of the growth will take place in the less developed countries. • Sub-Saharan Africa, the world’s poorest region, is the fastest growing. Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved. 18 | 11 Inward-Oriented Strategies for Development • Developing countries have a tendency to drift toward exports of primary products (natural resources, raw materials, or first-stage products) to sell in in foreign markets. • Inward-oriented strategies focus on developing products that can be sold in domestic markets, avoiding the need to import manufactured goods. This is called import substitution. • Import-substitution policies are enacted by countries seeking industrialization. Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved. 18 | 12 Outward-Oriented Strategies for Development Export substitution is the use of resources to produce manufactured products for export rather than for the domestic market . – Used in countries with abundant, high-quality labor to produce labor-intensive goods. – Efficient, low-cost production competes effectively against producers in other nations. – Tax breaks and loans are offered for exporters, gov’t assistance in int’l marketing. – Gov’t discourages domestic sales of resources. Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved. 18 | 13 Comparing Strategies • In the 1950s and 1960s, many economists argued that exports of primary products results in deteriorating terms-of-trade: Over time, exports would buy less and less imports. • Countries moved toward inward-oriented strategies in response to this argument. • Critics argue that resources should be free to move to their highest-valued use and that market-driven resource allocation is unlikely to occur in an inward-oriented economy. Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved. 18 | 14 Comparing Strategies • Some economists believe that developing countries require active government intervention and regulation of economic activity. They believe that resources in these countries are unlikely to move freely to their highest-valued use if free markets are allowed. • They focus on the structure of developing countries in terms of uneven industrial development. A single economy with industries at very different levels of development is called a dual economy. Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved. 18 | 15 Foreign Savings Flow Foreign Direct Investment (FDI): The purchase of a physical operating unit that gives the domestic firm more than a 10% control of the foreign firm. Portfolio investment: The purchase of securities. Commercial bank loan: A bank loan at market rates of interest, often involving a bank syndicate. Trade credit: The extension of a period of time before an importer must pay for goods or services purchased. Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved. 18 | 16 Benefits of FDI • Jobs – Often FDI is encouraged in industries in which the country has inadequate capital or technology. • Technology – Investment by firms from HDCs brings the results of R&D in the form of advanced technologies. • Foreign Exchange Benefits Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved. 18 | 17 Outsourcing creates Jobs for Developing Countries • The German firm Siemens recently moved 15,000 software programming jobs from the United States and Western Europe to India, China and Eastern Europe. • Many Western countries farm out software development and back-office work to India and other countries, where wages are significantly lower. • India earns over $13 billion annually from the outsourcing of such services. Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved. 18 | 18 Foreign Aid • These are gifts or low-cost loans made to developing countries by another country. • Bilateral Aid: one country gives aid to another • Multilateral Aid: aid provided by international organizations drawing on resources from many nations (World Bank, etc.) Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved. 18 | 19 Transition from Socialism • Privatization – converting state-owned enterprises (SOEs) to private ownership • Price Reform – A market system requires that prices be free to fluctuate to reflect supply and demand changes. • Social Safety Net – What about health care, unemployment, crime, political unrest, etc.? Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved. 18 | 20 Transition from Socialism (2) • • • • Macroeconomic Issues: Monetary Overhang (Forced Saving): money accumulated by households because there was nothing to buy Currency convertibility: The ease with which the domestic currency could be converted into foreign currency at equilibrium rates of exchange Money and Credit Fiscal Policy: removing subsidies, fighting deficits, allowing inefficient firms to die, establishing taxes on an appropriate tax base. Copyright © Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved. 18 | 21