Science and Psychology Passer Chapter 1 Slides Prepared by Alison L. O’Malley The Three-Door Problem Door 1 Stay or switch? Door 2 Door 3 Table 1.1 Feedback Sent to vos Savant Following Her “Switch” So Passer: Research Methods, First Edition Bases for Beliefs •Tenacity •Authority •Reason •Empiricism Discuss the strengths and weaknesses of each. Table 1.2 The Use of Reason: A Logical Analysis of All Possible Outcomes in the Three-Door Problem, When Initially Selecting Door 1 Passer: Research Methods, First Edition © 2014 by Worth Publishers, Macmillan Higher Education Empiricism: The Building Block of Science Empiricism is essential, but imperfect. Consider the confirmation bias: We find what we want to find and avoid the rest. Yikes! How many licks does it take to get to the tootsie-roll center of a tootsie pop? • See also www.tootsie.com/gal_licks.php Do Ghosts exist? Goals of Science •Description •Explanation •Prediction •Control How do theory and hypothesis-testing fit into each goal? “Let’s Test Our Theory…” What’s wrong with the statement above? People often misapply the terms “theory” and “hypothesis.” Clarify the distinction between these two fundamental elements of science. Explanation Since explanation seeks to identify causes, can it be said that explanation is the most important goal of science? What conditions are necessary to make causal inferences? Causal Inferences X has a causal effect on Y Causal inferences are possible when three conditions have been met: 1. Covariation. As X changes, Y changes. 2. Temporal order. Change in X occurs before change in Y. 3. Absence of plausible alternative explanations. Other factors that could have driven the change in Y can be ruled out. Explanation Draw a causal model depicting the hypothesized distal and proximal causes of ________. ? ? ? Three Questions: Do men make better drivers than women? Does personality influence career choice? Are pet owners happier than non pet owners? The Scientific Method •Assumes truth is discoverable •Is grounded in systematic empiricism •Addresses testable questions •Strives for accuracy and objectivity •Requires clear definitions and operationism Falsifiability Can an assertion be disproven? Operationism What’s “inside” shouldn’t be a mystery… Define concepts clearly and carefully! Operationism What’s inside shouldn’t be a mystery… Generate an operational definition for STRESS. Table 1.3 Identifying Empirical and None Passer: Research Methods, First Edition Is science the key to everything? Science also… •Involves public reporting • ideally in refereed journals •Is tentative, not absolute • theories are challenged and refined •Is self-correcting • operational definitions aid in replication •Is but one source of knowledge • restricted to empirical questions Characteristics of Science Why isn’t it appropriate to describe the scientific method as a single method of conducting research? Science Scientific Research: Basic and Applied An industrial-organizational psychologist examines the relationship between CEO compensation and organizational performance. Is this basic or applied research? Explain. Basic vs Applied Research Value of Research Methods Training Research methods are only useful if you want to be a researcher, right? Let’s reconsider… How could mastery of research methods help this recent graduate? Skepticism Skepticism is an outlook that entails careful evaluation of evidence rather than blind acceptance of claims. Ask critical thinking questions! Ask Yourself… 1. What claim is being made? 2. What is the source of the claim? 3. Can I gather info about source credibility? 4. What supporting evidence is offered? 5. What is the quality of the evidence? 6. Are there plausible alternative explanations for the findings? 7. Are the interpretations of the findings reasonable? 8. What additional evidence is needed to reach a clearer conclusion? 9. Given the current state of the evidence, what conclusion is most reasonable?