eBay By: Dan McLindon Kyle McDaniel Jeremy Smiley Tom Anderson Ray Moorman Key Question for eBay How can eBay continue to grow as an online retailer? Secondary Questions • What is eBay’s history? • What is happening in eBay’s external environment? • How is eBay performing today and what does the future look like? • Who are eBay’s competitors and how is their performance in comparison? • Does eBay still adhere to the strategies and values on which it was founded? • Does the eBay brand create a sense of trust, security, and community? • Should John Donahoe be the CEO of eBay? • What does a SWOT analysis show regarding eBay’s position? • How can eBay position itself for future success? eBay Company Overview Founded 1995 by Pierre Omidyar as an online auction site to bring buyers and sellers together. Vision “Create a place where people could do business just like the old days – when everyone got to know each other personally, and we all felt we were dealing on a one-to-one basis with individuals we could trust.” Strategic Business Units 1. Marketplaces – online auction and direct retail sites 2. Payments – PayPal 3. Communications - Skype Organization Size 15,000 employees, revenues of $5.9 billion in 2008 Company Year Anticipated Actual Result Result PayPal 2002 Allow eBay users Success within to make credit eBay card payments. marketplace as well as adoption by other online retailers (57 million registered active accounts ins 2008). Rent.com 1st quarter 2005 Natural N/A extension of online real estate mkt. Shopping.com 2nd quarter 2005 Bolster traditional online retailer presence. 50 million visitors per month, world’s 3rd largest internet shopping site. Skype 2006 Create synergies with Marketplace SBU, enabling buyers and sellers to communicate better. 2007 had to take a $900 million write-down on value, synergies not realized. CEO indicates potential sale. StubHub 2007 Synergies with existing ticket business. Successful expansion into adjacent mkt. eBay Key Acquisitions Conclusion: eBay’s strategy of growth by acquisition in core and adjacent markets has been hit or miss. Major success was PayPal, which was more of a horizontal integration than an adjacent market. Secondary Questions • What is eBay’s history? • What is happening in eBay’s external environment? • How is eBay performing today and what does the future look like? • Who are eBay’s competitors and how is their performance in comparison? • Does eBay still adhere to the strategies and values on which it was founded? • Does the eBay brand create a sense of trust, security, and community? • Should John Donahoe be the CEO of eBay? • What does a SWOT analysis show regarding eBay’s position? • How can eBay position itself for future success? PEST Analysis for eBay Category Issue Threats/Opportunities 2008 Economic downturn Threat – lower retail spending. Opportunity – new sellers looking to supplement income, buyers looking for better deals. Ranking (1-5) Political Economic Growth in popularity of social networking sites Opportunity – possibility to align with sites for advertising and to gain new users. Development of mobile society, beginning of the “Connected Era” Opportunity – enables buyers and sellers to constantly monitor status of ongoing auctions. 3 4 4 Social Search capabilities Technological Global expansion of Internet Opportunity - developments in search make it easier for users to find items they are looking for. Opportunity – 1.4 billion Internet users, ½ will buy something online. 5 3 5 Industry Overview (Supply) Porter’s five forces: Threat of substitute products High Bargaining power of suppliers Rivalry among existing competitors Bargaining power of buyers Medium High High Threat of new entrants High Porter’s Five Forces Factor Analysis Threat of substitute products Consumers can choose to go to brick and mortar stores or trade without the use of a website. Impact Can go to a number of competitors to sell their goods. Low switching costs to use . eBay must work with Sellers to keep them as active suppliers to buyers on the site. Bargaining power of buyers Online consumers can find what they are looking for on a number of sites, unless good is very rare. eBay needs to find a way to entice buyers to site and keep them coming back, like variety and free shipping. Competitive rivalry Amazon coming on strong with well established brand and customer service focus. Traditional retailers also moving online with varying degrees of success. Little to no switching costs. eBay will have to find a way to differentiate itself, either by variety, cost, or ease of website use. Will likely need all three. Threat of new entrants Many retailers moving online. Minimal costs to setup a website and configure a payment engine. eBay well positioned in market with large number of users. Key will be to keep existing and attract new. Bargaining power of suppliers Secondary Questions • What is eBay’s history? • What is happening in eBay’s external environment? • How is eBay performing today and what does the future look like? • Who are eBay’s competitors and how is their performance in comparison? • Does eBay still adhere to the strategies and values on which it was founded? • Does the eBay brand create a sense of trust, security, and community? • Should John Donahoe be the CEO of eBay? • What does a SWOT analysis show regarding eBay’s position? • How can eBay position itself for future success? Registered & Active eBay Users 250 200 150 100 Registered Users Active Users Linear (Registered Users) Linear (Active Users) 50 0 20 00 20 01 20 02 20 03 20 04 20 05 20 06 20 07 # of Users in Millions 300 •Reg users continues to grow but Active users has flattened out Core Business: Online Auctions 2500 2000 1500 Online Auctions 1000 500 0 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008* • # of online Auctions declining during same time frame as users are increasing eBay’s Business Model – 3 Operating Segments % of eBay's Net Revenues 7% Marketplaces Payments Communications 25% 68% Net Revenues By Segment 6000000 5000000 4000000 Marketplaces Payments Communications 3000000 2000000 1000000 0 2005 2006 2007 Forrester Research: 2012 Prediction of Internet Sales • B2B predicted to be 10x larger than retail sales 9% Retail B2B E-commerce 91% Worldwide Internet Users in 2008 21% 47% 32% •220m of NA was from US. Asia, 550m Europe, 380m North America, 250m Secondary Questions • What is eBay’s history? • What is happening in eBay’s external environment? • How is eBay performing today and what does the future look like? • Who are eBay’s competitors and how is their performance in comparison? • Does eBay still adhere to the strategies and values on which it was founded? • Does the eBay brand create a sense of trust, security, and community? • Should John Donahoe be the CEO of eBay? • What does a SWOT analysis show regarding eBay’s position? • How can eBay position itself for future success? eBay’s Competition Initial Competition: Classifieds, Garage Sales, Flea Markets, Collectible Shows, Local Auctions Current Competition: • Classifieds, Garage Sales, Flea Markets, Collectible Shows, Local Auctions • Retailers with e-commerce presence •Brick and mortar discount retailers Competition increases via new entrants and eBay enhancing product mix. • Specialty retailers Direct Competition: Overstock.com, Amazon.com, uBid.com Comparison with Competition eBay Amazon Overstock uBid Core Business Auctions New goods Discounted new goods B2C Auctions Auctions? Yes No Yes Yes New Goods? Yes Yes Yes Yes Used Goods? Yes Yes Yes Yes Differentiation? Sense of community Product Reviews Discounted Merch Discounted Merch B2C Core Role e-tailer e-tailer Facilitator Facilitator All started in a unique niche, but have grown similar via product expansion. Success Factors for E-commerce site Product Mix Brand Good Web Site Stickiness Traffic Reputation Diversity Diverse Sales Method Secure and Trustworthy Traffic Fair to Buyer/Seller Factors are the same regardless of online auction or retailer. Brand and product mix are the two key success factors. Success Factors: eBay vs. Competition Large Product Mix Big Class. Ads Box Weak Brand Strong Brand Flea Mkt Specialty Small Product Mix Should eBay Be Worried About The Competition?? 1. From 2001-2007 • eBay customer service rankings stagnant around a ranking of 81 • Amazon ranking improves from 84 to 88 • Seller ratings now on Amazon • Amazon offering used merchandise 2. Amazon net income experiences 250% increase from 2006 to 2007 • Consistent investment new offerings and partnerships • Free and low cost shipping deals • 19 fulfillment centers worldwide 3. Overstock.com • Launches auction site to compete with eBay • Launches automobile marketplace, then real estate . The competition is on the move! Secondary Questions • What is eBay’s history? • What is happening in eBay’s external environment? • How is eBay performing today and what does the future look like? • Who are eBay’s competitors and how is their performance in comparison? • Does eBay still adhere to the strategies and values on which it was founded? • Does the eBay brand create a sense of trust, security, and community? • Should John Donahoe be the CEO of eBay? • What does a SWOT analysis show regarding eBay’s position? • How can eBay position itself for future success? Internal Analysis – Core Values An honest, open environment can bring out the best in people Treat others the way that you want to be treated Recognize and respect everyone as a unique individual Core Values Everyone has something to contribute People are basically good Conclusion: eBay’s recent changes to their fee structure and feedback forum go against the company’s core values. Secondary Questions • What is eBay’s history? • What is happening in eBay’s external environment? • How is eBay performing today and what does the future look like? • Who are eBay’s competitors and how is their performance in comparison? • Does eBay still adhere to the strategies and values on which it was founded? • Does the eBay brand create a sense of trust, security, and community? • Should John Donahoe be the CEO of eBay? • What does a SWOT analysis show regarding eBay’s position? • How can eBay position itself for future success? Secondary Questions • What is eBay’s history? • What is happening in eBay’s external environment? • How is eBay performing today and what does the future look like? • Who are eBay’s competitors and how is their performance in comparison? • Does eBay still adhere to the strategies and values on which it was founded? • Does the eBay brand create a sense of trust, security, and community? • Should John Donahoe be the CEO of eBay? • What does a SWOT analysis show regarding eBay’s position? • How can eBay position itself for future success? Management Timeline 1997-2008: Omidyar recruits top talent to serve on eBay’s board including Scott Cook and Fred D. Anderson 1996: Founder Pierre Omidyar and Jeff Skoll run operation alone 1997: Meg Whitman hired as CEO 2008: John Donahoe becomes CEO Whitman vs. Donahoe Meg Whitman Took eBay from 30 employees with $86 million revenue to 15,000 employees with $5.9 billion revenue. Experience includes general manager at Hasbro, brand manager at P&G, CEO of FTD, president of Stride Rite, and SVP of marketing at Walt Disney. BA Economics from Princeton, MBA from Harvard. Approval rating of 75% at time of retirement John Donahoe Started at eBay in 2005 as president of Marketplaces SBU • % of eBay’s revenue generated from Marketplace fell from 72% to 56% during that time Experience includes consulting firm Bain & Co. Focus in Marketplaces SBU has been growth through acquisition of other retail sites, getting away from simple auction. • StubHub, eBay express, online advertising Approval rating at 22% Secondary Questions • What is eBay’s history? • What is happening in eBay’s external environment? • How is eBay performing today and what does the future look like? • Who are eBay’s competitors and how is their performance in comparison? • Does eBay still adhere to the strategies and values on which it was founded? • Does the eBay brand create a sense of trust, security, and community? • Should John Donahoe be the CEO of eBay? • What does a SWOT analysis show regarding eBay’s position? • How can eBay position itself for future success? SWOT Analysis for Dell Strengths • Well established brand. •Large number of user accounts. •PayPal acquisition to support ebay.com. •Ability to collect huge amounts of data on buyers and sellers. Opportunities • Find a new revenue stream with online advertising with Skype. • Growth in total online retail means more potential users of PayPal. •Other competitors, Overstock.com and uBid.com are struggling, possible acquisition targets. •Personalize eBay websites for various countries. Weaknesses • New CEO John Donahoe. •Company culture becoming stale, employees not fully engaged. • Skype acquisition. • Fee structure has alienated some sellers. •Limitations on feedback hurt ability to create sense of trust and community. •Moving away from online auction, into direct retail. •No attempt to address issues and costs in shipping. Threats • Sellers moving to other auction sites, taking the variety of items they supplied to the competition. •Possible shift in online shoppers preferences from auction-based to traditional online retailing. •Scammers and security issues may drive customers to the competition. Secondary Questions • What is eBay’s history? • What is happening in eBay’s external environment? • How is eBay performing today and what does the future look like? • Who are eBay’s competitors and how is their performance in comparison? • Does eBay still adhere to the strategies and values on which it was founded? • Does the eBay brand create a sense of trust, security, and community? • Should John Donahoe be the CEO of eBay? • What does a SWOT analysis show regarding eBay’s position? • How can eBay position itself for future success? Recommendations 1. Fire John Donahoe, leverage strong board of directors to find a replacement that can lead eBay into the future. 2. Focus on restoring the eBay brand name. Make eBay.com a 100% auction site. Use Shopping.com and other possible acquisition targets to compete in traditional online retail space. 3. Revamp fee structure to be friendly to both small and large sellers. Tier the structure based on monthly or annual trade volumes. Recommendations 4. Look into acquiring either or both Overstock.com and uBid.com 5. Introduce “Merchant Rewards” program • Allow merchants to earn rewards points per transaction. • Rewards can include shipping credits/codes, free boxes, packing supplies.