ILC Physics a theorist’s perspective Koji TSUMURA (Kyoto from Dec 1 ) Toku-sui annual workshop 2013 st KEK, Dec. 17-19, 2013 Plan of my talk STATUS Where are we? New Era of the SM What we need to do? Physics Beyond the SM Why? Where is it? ILC Physics What do we do? 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 Koji TSUMURA 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 Koji TSUMURA Status Where are we ? 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 Koji TSUMURA 2012 A new particle is found !! 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 Koji TSUMURA 2013 3 decay channels are seen (≥3s, each) Spin 0 is favored A Higgs boson is confirmed !! 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 Koji TSUMURA e µ e± τ ∓ µ± τ ∓ pe pµ LF [i ] < 1.7 LF LF [i ] < [i ] < 9.8 1.2 × 10 CL= 95% − 6 × 10 CL= 95% × 10− 5 CL= 95% × 10− 6 CL= 95% 45594 45576 45576 The Review of Particle Physics (2013) L,B L,B < < 1.8 1.8 × 10− 6 CL= 95% Higgs Bosons — H 0 and H ± 45589 45589 Mass determined H 0 Mass m = 125.9 ± 0.4 GeV H 0 signal strengths in different channels NEW Citation: J. Beringer et al. Combined Final States = 1.07 ± 0.26 (S = 1.4) W W ∗ Final State = 0.88 ± 0.33 (S = 1.1) Z Z ∗ Final State = 0.89 +− 0.30 0.25 3 decay channels are seen γ γData Final State = , 1.65 0.33 (Particle Group), PR D 86 010001±(2012) and 2013 partial update for the 2014 edition (URL: http:/ / pdg.lbl.gov) + 0.8 bb Final State = 0.5 − 0.7 τ + τ − Final State = 0.1 ± 0.7 H 0 DECAY MODES CERN seminars on Nov. 26 & Dec. 3 HTTP:/ / PDG.LBL.GOV W W∗ Z Z∗ γγ bb τ+ τ− Fract ion (Γi / Γ) Page 4 seen seen seen possibly seen possibly seen p (M eV/c) Created: 7/ 12/ 2013 14:49 – – – – – Mass Limits for the Standard Model Higgs Mass m > 122 and none 127–600 GeV, CL = 95% The limits for H 01 and A0 in supersymmetric models refer to the mmax h benchmark scenario for the supersymmetric parameters. H 01 in Supersymmetric Models (mH 0 < mH 0 ) 1 2 Mass m > 92.8 GeV, CL = 95% A0 Pseudoscalar Higgs Boson in Supersymmetric Models [n] Mass m > 93.4 GeV, CL = 95% tanβ > 0.4 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS KojiCL TSUMURA H ± 2013 Mass m > 79.3 GeV, = 95% July 2013 Summary% % % • H®μμ:&no&excess&over& New Results H®ττ% Search:% Compa@bility% With% M =125% GeV% A T L A S P r e lim . ln ( 1 + S /B )w .E v e n ts /1 0 G e V m = 1 2 5 .5 G e V H (statistical) T o ta lu n c e r ta in ty (syst.incl.theo.) (theory) ± 1o n m CERN seminars on Nov. 26 & Dec. 3 H background& observed& H→tt: Combined M – Observed&limit:&9.8×SM& mA = 1 . 5 5 A fermionic decay channel • L A S P r e lH®ττ% im in a r y 7 0 T Search:% Results% Per% Channel% Expected& limit:& && em, et(tt) , –mtis , almost t t onlyseen (ee, 8.2×SM& mm use BDT) H V B F + B o o s te d H ZZ* 6 0 4l H +0 .2 3 P h y s .L e tt.B 7 2 6 ( 2 0 1 3 )8 8 -0 .2 2 +0 .2 4 .1 8 +0 .3 3- 0 +0 .1 7 D a ta -0 .2 8- 0 .1 2 H ( 1 2 5 ) +0 .3 5 P h y s .L e tt.B 7 2 6 ( 2 0 1 3 )8 8 -0 .3 2 Z +0 .2 0 1 (statistical) .1 3 O th e r s +0 .4 0- 0 +0 .1 7 F a k e s (syst. incl. theory) -0 .3 5- 0 .1 0 U n c e r t. +0 .2 0 P h y s .L e tt.B 7 2 6 ( 2 0 1 3 ) 8 8 (theory) -0 .2 1 0.3 ++-0 .2 3 0.3 0 .1 9 +0 . 3 1 + 0.4 + 0.5 1.4 -0.4 +-0 0.3 .1 5 -0 .2 8-+0 0.3 .0 9 - 0.2 L d t= 2 0 .3 fb ATLAS Prelim. m = 1 . 4 3 5 0 ( m= 1 .4 ) Total uncertainty s = 8 T e V mH = 125 GeV 0 l l H 4 WW* ± 1 on m ++0 .1 3 P h y s .L e tt.B 7 2 6 ( 2 0 1 3 )8 8 2 0 m = 1.2 +-0.8 0.5 Combined Boosted 0.6 --0 .1 4 0.4 H , ZZ*, WW* +0 .1 7 1 0 w .D a ta B k g . H +0.6 + 0.4 .1 3 m = 1.6 +0 .2 1- 0 0.4 m= 1 .3 3-0.5 +-0 .1 2 0 lep lep 0.8 -0 .1 8-+0 .1 0 m = 2.0 - 0.7 +1.0 + 0.7 -0.9 - 0.5 + 0.4 ±-0 .5 0.2 A T L A S C O N F 2 0 1 3 0 7 9 ( 1 2 5 ) ( m= 1 .4 ) W,Z H bb H +1.8 + 1.3 Boosted H ( 1 1 0 ) ( m = 1 . 8 ) m = 2.0 -1.5 ±-0 1.3 .4 1 0 H .7( ( 1 5 0 )+0 m= 5 .9 ) m= 0 .2 +1.2 + 1.0 VBF m = 2.2-0 6< .1 -. 1.1 -0 0.9 h h h •• H®bb:&no&excess&over& background&observed& 0m = m. =9 0 9 H3 VBF h • –Excess% of% data% events% is% – Observed& limit:& 1.4×SM& consistent% with% –– Expected&limit:&1.3×SM&&& presence% of% Higgs% at% 125% • ATLAS% 4.1σ% GeV% observed% evidence% for% H®ττ% decay • ATLAS% results% show% that% the% Higgs% boson% does% not% H (8TeV: 20.3 fb ) H 0 m = 1.4 New!% 6 0 8 01 0 01 2 01 4 01 6 01 8 02 0 0 m= 1 .4 universally% couple% to% fermion m = 1.2 M M C m [G e V ] 0 .50 0 .5 11 .5 2 (leptons)% s = 7 T e VL d t= . 6 4 .8 fb m4 = 1.6 lep had Boosted ++0 .3 0.4 -1 --0 0.4 .3 0.5 +0.6 ++0 .4 0.3 -0.5 .3 0.3 +0 .5-+0 0.1 +-0 .3 -0 .4 0.6 .2 +1.1 -+0 -0.8 - 0.6 1 +0.8+ 0.6 -0.6 - 0.5 VBF 11/26/13& + 0.5 + 0.2 - 0.1 Uncertain@es% on% μ:% CERN&seminar& S ig n a ls tr e n g th ( m) Koji TSUMURA 1 -0.5 s = 8 T e VL d t= 2 0 .7 /2 0 .3 fb +0.8 + 0.6 ann. WS 2013 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui H had had m = 1.0 -0.6 - 0.4 44& So far, so GOOD. 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 Koji TSUMURA New Era of the SM started What we need ? 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 Koji TSUMURA − 0.027 674 89 (74) − 0.073 445 8 (54) 1.417 637 (67) 0.598 838 (19) 0.822 36 (13) − 1.138 52 (20) − 0.990 72 (10) c − 2.1755 (20) 6 12 150 18 60 48 18 518 I I(b) I I(c) III IV (a) IV (b) IV (c) IV (d) V SM is successful EM: Precision test − 0.039 000 3 (2 − 0.095 097 (24) 0.817 92 (95) 0.635 83 (44) 0.041 05 (93) − 0.1897 (64) − 0.1778 (12) 0 I(a) I(b) I(c) I(d) I(e) I(f) I(g) I(h) I(i) I(j) II(a) II(b) II(c) II(d) II(e) II(f) III(a) III(b) III(c) IV EW: QCD: V Higgs: VI(f) 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 VI(a) VI(g) Electron g-2 10th order VI(b) VI(c) VI(d) VI(e) VI(h) VI(i) VI(j) VI(k) T ypical self-energy-like diagrams represent ing 32 FIG. 2. Koji TSUMURA gauge-invariant subset s cont ribut ing t o t he t ent h-order lept on g− 2. Solid lines represent lept on lines propagat ing in a weak in ge ha sc fo I( di T lig an co fe hu [3 ca us bl tr SM is successful EM: Precision test W, Z, h, t, b EW: W, Z QCD: Higgs: 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 New Physics EW precision (LEP) Koji TSUMURA SM is successful “Deviation” in r Predict Mt EW: t, b W, Z 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 Koji TSUMURA SM is successful “Deviation” in r Predict Mh 6 mLimit = 152 GeV March 2012 Theory uncertainty Dahad = (5) 5 EW: 0.02750±0.00033 0.02749±0.00010 2 4 Dc 2 incl. low Q data 3 2 h W, Z 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 1 0 LEP excluded 40 Koji TSUMURA LHC excluded 100 mH [GeV] 200 SM is successful 0.24 0.22 0.2 0.18 0.16 0.14 0.12 0.1 D0 inclusive jets D0 angular correlation H1 ZEUS 103 CMS Preliminary +0.0065 CMS Incl. Jets : aS(MZ)=0.1185-0.0041 CMS R32 CMS tt cross section CMS 3-Jet mass CMS Incl. Jets QCD: 0.08 0.06 102 Q (GeV) Koji TSUMURA 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 pQCD ≥1TeV (LHC) Higgs: 10 EW: Precision test EM: aS(Q) SM is successful Gauge forces are tested EM: Gauge principle EW: QCD: Higgs: Unification of 3 forces ? 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 Koji TSUMURA SM is successful EM: EW: QCD: Why not? Higgs precision (ILC) Higgs force (Origin of mass) Higgs: 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 Koji TSUMURA Why Higgs? 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 Koji TSUMURA “Energy Frontier” study for Snowmass 2013 Introduction the discovery of the Higgs boson has changed our viewpoint … 1st, the Higgs boson completes the particle spectrum of the SM. It is clear now exactly what the model does not explain. 2nd, one of the key mysteries concerns the Higgs boson itself. 3rd, the Higgs boson itself give us a new experimental approach. We are here !! This is a new tool to probe New Physics scale. 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 Koji TSUMURA What is the SM ? Matter contents quarks, lepton, Higgs (completed) Gauge symmetry gluon, W, Z, g (tested) Renormalizability loop corrections (tested) All parameters are now fixed!! 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 Koji TSUMURA Not yet Tested !! What is the origin of mass ? Higgs mechanism ? Fermion Mass hierarchy, mixing, CP violation ? Higgs mechanism Yukawa interaction Higgs self-interaction (New) non-Gauge force 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 Koji TSUMURA Not yet Tested !! What is the origin of mass ? Higgs mechanism ? Fermion Mass hierarchy, mixing, CP violation ? Comparison of LHC and ILC Higgs coupling accuracies ? Here is the figure from the ILC TDR: LHC = 300/fb ILC = TDR M. Peskin 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 Koji TSUMURA 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 Koji TSUMURA Mh as an input Need further precision in dMW to discriminate two M. Baak Uncertainty on MW from Global Fit is reduced to 15 MeV w/ Mh. [ More precise than direct measurements (≈20MeV) !! ] 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 Koji TSUMURA Mt as an input M. Baak Largest uncertainties come from Mt 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 Koji TSUMURA Need Theorist’s effort Mt as an input M. Baak Tohoku Forum for Creativity, Oct. 23 2013, Hiroshi YOKOYA 18 Scan at the ILC Fujii,Matsui,Sumino 94, Martinez, Miquel 03, Seidel,Simon 12 p to NN(N)LO Threshold scan @ ILC dMt ≈40 MeV rum, ISR effects ization reduces BG events. 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 Koji TSUMURA Mt as an input G. Degrassi et.al. To be or not to be. Our vacuum may be unstable To confirm our safety, we need more accurate Mt. 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 Unstable Koji TSUMURA Beyond the SM Why ? Where is it ? 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 Koji TSUMURA What is the Beyond SM ? The SM is now completed. GUT? What is the mechanism for charge quantization ? PQ sym.? Why does the strong interaction not break CP ? Seesaw? What is the correct theory of neutrino mass ? What is the mechanism that led to baryon asymmetry ? Leptogenesis? EW baryogenesis? What is dark matter ? WIMP? Axion? Cosmological const.? What is dark energy ? Inflaton? What was the mechanism of cosmic inflation? TOE? How are the four forces and matter unified ? How can gravity be quantized ? String? … viXtra.org 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 Koji TSUMURA No Principle at all !! Why m2<0 ? Are there any underlying dynamics ? Fine-tuning dmh2≈L2 ? Why is the Higgs so light ? Minimal Higgs sector ? Why does the nature choose one doublet ? 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 Koji TSUMURA Dynamical Symmetry Breaking Why m2<0 ? Are there any underlying dynamics ? No reason!! Dynamics [ BCS theory for superconductors ] Attractive force cooper-pair symmetry breaking [ Chiral symmetry breaking ] QCD qq condensate symmetry breaking 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 Koji TSUMURA EW Symmetry Breaking Why m2<0 ? Are there any underlying dynamics ? No reason!! Dynamics µ2 = t + t + t Supersymmetry m2<0 is induced from radiative corrections (dynamically) 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 Koji TSUMURA + ··· EW Symmetry Breaking Why m2<0 ? Are there any underlying dynamics ? No reason!! Dynamics µ2 = t + t/ T Little Higgs, … + T m2<0 is induced from radiative corrections (dynamically) 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 Koji TSUMURA + ··· Is the Higgs mass natural ? Fine-tuning dmh2≈L2 ? Why is the Higgs so light ? Quantum corrections to the Higgs mass Unnatural (cancellation w/ counter terms) 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 Koji TSUMURA Is the Higgs mass natural ? Fine-tuning dmh2≈L2 ? Why is the Higgs so light ? Supersymmetry SUSY holds naturally light Higgs mass 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 Koji TSUMURA Is the Higgs mass natural ? Fine-tuning dmh2≈L2 ? Why is the Higgs so light ? Little Higgs, … There can be mixing with partners of Gauge bosons, top quarks. Top partner naturally light Higgs mass Precision EW and topholds studies are necessary. 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 Koji TSUMURA Non-minimal Higgs sector ? Most likely to be a doublet, but possible mixing w/ other multiplets Additional Higgs bosons are introduced !! H, A, H+, H++, … SM-like Higgs couplings deviate from SM Neutrino mass Extended Gauge sym. Singlet Additional doublet Triplet SUSY … Septet … Not yet thought of 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 Koji TSUMURA Non-minimal Higgs sector ? Most likely to be a doublet, but possible mixing w/ other multiplets M. Peskin (LCWS2013) Additional Higgs bosons are introduced !! H, A, H+, H++, … SM-like Higgs couplings deviate from SM Singlet Additional doublet Triplet … Septet … At least 1 % precision for M>1TeV (M is a new Higgs scale) [ pre-factor: loop suppression, tanb enhancement, non-decoupling effect ] 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 Koji TSUMURA Model discrimination 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 Koji TSUMURA So far, No New Physics. 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 Koji TSUMURA SUSY confronts LHC data Squark squark ≥ 1.8TeV ~1800GeV Gluino ≥ 1.4TeV gluino ~1400GeV Does ILC discover new particle? 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 Koji TSUMURA means ... LHC imply that the ILC cannot discover n direct pair production. That is not corre foror particles withSUSY? only electroweak inter Light Heavy those cases, the LHC is sensitive only wh release in particle decay is large. Mind of SUSY theorists Light Supersymmetry 4(2)GeV muon g-2 Higgs mass FCNC and MSSM current SUSY search Higgs Br little hierarchy problem ILC BSM White paper NMSSM degenerate SUSY R parity ILC BSM White violation Paper 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 13年11月25日月曜日 Heavy Supersymmery extra matter high scale, split SUSY Degenerate SUSY is still alive!! Lot’s of Model building activity so far Koji TSUMURA Non-colored particles M. Nojiri are still targets @ ILC New Physics Zoo There are Many Motivations. But, we don’t know where is it. Determination of New Scale is a key issue @ ILC H. Murayama 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 Koji TSUMURA ILC Physics 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 Koji TSUMURA ILC Physics Any Deviations = New Physics Precision Higgs/top/EW study • Model independent determination of Higgs couplings (%-level) • Invisible(exotic) Higgs decay / Total width • Precise determination of MW (few MeV) • Improvement of Triple Gauge coupling measurement • Precise determination of Mt (100 MeV) • Precision measurement of top coupling (incl. rare decay) • Improvement of as @ Giga-Z • Higgs self-coupling measurement (experimental reconstruction of Higgs potential) Search for New Particles in LHC blind spots • Light EW new particle (Higgsino, new Higgs, DM) • Follow up any discovery @ LHC 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 Koji TSUMURA Summary Any Deviations = New Physics Precision Higgs/top/EW study • Model independent determination of Higgs couplings (%-level) Watanuki • Invisible(exotic) Higgs decay / Total width Tomita Ishikawa • Precise determination of MW (few MeV) • Improvement of Triple Gauge coupling measurement Horiguchi • Precise determination of Mt (100 MeV) • Precision measurement of top coupling (incl. rare decay) • Improvement of as @ Giga-Z Kurata • Higgs self-coupling measurement (experimental reconstruction of Higgs potential) Search for New Particles in LHC blind spots • Light EW new particle (Higgsino, new Higgs, DM) • Follow up any discovery @ LHC 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 Koji TSUMURA Tanabe Mori Ono Kawada Calancha Tian Summary 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 Koji TSUMURA SummaryPlan of my talk A Higgs boson is confirmed. STATUS No New Physics, so far. Where are we? Precision measurement of h, t, W/Z. (Direct search for New Physics). New Era of the SM What we need to do? Indirect search for New Physics. Higgs forces are totally unknown !! Physics Beyond the SM Why? Where is it? SM is NOT satisfactory… (v, DM, DE, Baryogenesis, inflation, GUT, string,…) We don’t know the scale. ILC Physics What do we do? 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 Determination of New Scale is a key issue @ ILC. Koji TSUMURA Thank you for your attention 2013/12/11 ILC Toku-sui ann. WS 2013 Koji TSUMURA