Terrorism ORGANIZING TERRORISM CAUSES, STRATEGY, TACTICS I. CAUSES OF TERRORISM a. Psycho-Social b. Rational-Material FTO ORGANIZATION III. STRATEGY & TACTICS II. Terms To Know Spider web theory Netwar Bushido Code TWA Flt. 847 signature method martyrdom video cell Black Widows knee-capping Suicide Bombing Munich Hub v. chain networks Freedom Birds Death Culture Relative deprivation I. CAUSES OF TERRORISM PSYCHO-SOCIAL Old CW: Mental Illness – acts of extreme violence, irrespective of motive, must be by the pathological/mentally ill. Crenshaw (1981) – no evidence of psychopathology in study of Algeria’s National Liberation Front. – N.Ireland: “Political murderers were…more stable than nonpolitical murderers” Merrari: No single personality profile RATIONAL-MATERIAL – Costs – Benefits – Conditions Conditions It’s the Occupation, Stupid (Pape) Relative Deprivation (Martin; Burgoon): – Feelings of economic frustration – Rising expectations – perceived unjust inequality Psychosocial conditions: Moral Disengagement Culture & Subculture CULTURES OF SELF-SACRIFICE Bushido Code: death before dishonor – Kamikaze (“Divine Wind”) – Seppuku (“Hara Kiri”) Martyrdom (“Shahada”) – http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8dPb1bF-s4M&feature=related Group Culture: Path to extremism – Youth subculture with a specific Ideology paramilitary style Musical expression (Hamm) Who Becomes a Female Terrorist? Young – ave age 21.5 (Turkey) - 23 (Lebanon) – LTTE: brainwashed preadolescent orphans Widowed and single Loss of a close friend or family member. – Guilt – Humiliation – Revenge II. FTO ORGANIZATION http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/7728551.stm Shapes Netwar: A mode of conflict involving using decentralized network forms of organization and technologies attuned to the information age. Shapes and Sizes SIZE (Ted Gurr): – Large groups more successful – Most groups: involve few people generate more noise than injury end within 18 months “Exposure to Ideas” (Socialization) Martyrdom Culture Shahada (martyrdom) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8dPb1bF-s4M&feature=related Farfour the Mouse & Nahool the Bee http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4wiBwQ9fiho&feature=related http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pFz8DwvJP6Q&feature=related Recruitment Al-Shebab (“The youth” “radicalised clusters” of Somali-American youths being recruited. October 2008: 1st suicide attack by an American: Somali from Minneapolis Abu Mansour al-Amriki the American Recruitment Video & Raps: The American dream has fallen Bush is going down like Stalin The economy is crawlin’ The widows are bawlin’ Your dead you be haulin’ http://video.aol.com/video-detail/englishnasheed-rap-by-shabab-al-mujahideensooner-or-later/766712952 http://tr.youtube.com/user/wa1slama http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20090331/wl_africa_afp/usattackssomaliaunrest_20090331220133/print http://www.zshare.net/audio/58019065ea7a2330/ http://www.alqimmah.net/showthread.php?t=4519 http://www.jihadwatch.org/archives/024080.php http://admin.jordantimes.com/index.php?news=15546 http://tr.youtube.com/user/wa1slam Al Qaeda’s Recruitment Manual "Youth in remote areas" are likely to be "naturally religious” and "easy to shape and convince” “favorite group”: the nonreligious…lack a vocabulary to answer religious arguments. http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=102193723 "removing him from the bad environment in which he lives" and putting him into "a good environment designed to improve his faith.” Take him "for a boat ride on the Nile or some other retreat." Go to prayers together; "Send him a nice da'wah [proselytizing] message on his mobile phone.” Recruitment & Filtering TRAINING & BONDING On Killing (Lt.Col.David Grossman) Employment Martyrdom Videos – Last message – Commitment (fear of shame) – Rationalizes for self & family http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4 WPhQRmqo7o&feature=related Paradise Now: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1s_a L1jrWWQ III. STRATEGY & TACTICS Mao’s 7 Steps T.E. Lawrence Arouse and organize the people. Theorem 1: irregular forces are incapable of destroying an enemy’s army. Recover national strength. Theorem 2: irregular troops are unable to defend a point or line. Destroy enemy’s national strength. guerrilla warfare…cannot exist if it separates from the masses’ sympathies and cooperation – Spirit between troops and local inhabitants, like fish in water Rebellion must have: 1. an unassailable base, independence of supply, and the qualities of speed, endurance and ubiquity. 2. an alien army too small to fulfill the doctrine of acreage 3. a friendly population sympathetic to the point of not betraying rebel movements to the enemy. OBJECTIVES & AUDIENCES ENEMY GOVERNMENT Changing Existing Order Public Psychological MEMBERSHIP/SUPPORTERS disruption Social disruption “POTENTIAL SUPPORTERS” – Inspire Publicizing the – The Majestic (al-Shamikha) cause Creating a RIVAL GROUPS revolutionary environment BYSTANDERS/3RD PARTIES MEDIA ORIENTED TERRORSIM TWA Flight 847 (1985) Munich (1972) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lTqZPKZ4_wk Strategic & Tactical Attraction of Suicide Terrorism (Hoffman) –Cost effective ($150 for Israeli bomber) –“Smart” bomb (goes where you want) –“lethally flexible & inventive” (adapts to situation) –Maximize fear (nowhere is safe) Robert Pape: Dying to Win Secular, strategic goal: – compel democracies to withdraw military forces from territory terrorists consider their homeland Democracies “especially Hoffman’s Spider web vulnerable”: – Intolerant of costs imposed by attacks – Likely to push for changes in policy that lessen future attacks. theory: – “looks strong from the outside, but touch it and it will fall apart.” – Hamas: “Jews love life” vs. the “smile of joy” The Logic of Female Suicide Bombers – Increased number of combatants – Increased publicity – Play off stereotypes: Element of surprise – Play off cultural norms: Search women http://www.e-prism.org/images/memo84_Female_suicide_bombers_-_Jaffee_Center__Aug06.pdf http://www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/pdffiles/PUB408.pdf