5.3 Applications of the Natural Logarithm Function to Economics In section 5.3, we will deal with two applications of natural logarithms in economics • Relative rates of change • Elasticity of demand Relative Rates of Change Recall that the logarithmic derivative of a function f(t) is defined by the equation d f ' (t ) ln f (t ) dt f (t ) The quantity on either side of this equation is often called the relative rate of change of f(t) per unit change of t, since it compares the rate of change of f(t) with itself. The percentage rate of change is the relative rate of change of f(t) expressed as a percentage. Suppose that a certain school of economists modeled the Gross Domestic Product of the United States at a time t (measured in years from January 1, 1990) by the formula f (t ) 3.4 .04t .13e t where the Gross Domestic Product is measured in trillions of dollars. What was the predicted rate of growth (or decline) of the economy at t = 0 and t = 1? Solution f ' (t ) .04t .13e Then t , f ' (0) .04 .13 .09 2.6% f (0) 3.4 .13 3.53 So, on January 1, 1990, the economy is predicted to contract at a relative rate of 2.6% per year. 1 f ' (1) .04 .13e .00782 .2% 1 f (1) 3.4 .04 .13e 3.4878 On January 1, 1991, the economy is predicted to still be contracting but only at a relative rate of .2% per year. Suppose the value in dollars of a certain business investment at time t may be approximated empirically by the function f (t ) 750,000e .6 t Use a logarithmic derivative to describe how fast the value of the investment is increasing when t = 5 years. f ' (t ) d d .6 ln f (t ) ln 750,000e f (t ) dt dt d .6 t (ln 750,000 ln e ) dt d d ln 750,000 .6 t dt dt 1 d 0 .6t 2 dt 1 1 2 .3 (.6) t t 2 t When t = 5, f ' (5) .3 .134 13.4% f (5) 5 When t = 5 years, the value of the investment is increasing at the relative rate of 13.4% per year. Elasticity of Demand Recall that in section 2.7 we discussed demand equations, which relate price and quantity of a produced item for monopolists and an entire industry. We want to rewrite the demand equation so show quantity as a function of price. q = f(p) Usually, raising price decreases demand. So, q = f(p) has a negative slope and is decreasing everywhere. The derivative f’(p) compares the change in quantity demanded to the price. The concept of elasticity is designed to compare the relative rate of change of the quantity demanded with the relative rate of change in price. Consider a particular demand function q = f(p) and a particular price p. The ratio of the relative rates of change of the quantity demanded and the price is given by d ln f ( p) [relative rate of change of quantity] dp d [relative rate of change of price ] ln p dp f ' ( p) pf ' ( p) f ( p) 1 f ( p) p Since f’(p) is always negative for a typical demand function, the quantity pf ' ( p) f ( p) will be negative for all values of p. Economists like to work with positive numbers, so the elasticity of demand is the above quantity multiplied by –1. The elasticity of demand E(p) at price p for the demand function q = f(p) is defined to be pf ' ( p) E ( p) f ( p) Suppose that the demand function for a certain metal is q = 100 – 2p, where p is the price per pound and q is the quantity demanded In millions of pounds. 1. What quantity can be sold at $30 per pound? 2. Determine the function E(p). 3. Determine and interpret the elasticity of demand at p = 30. 4. Determine and interpret the elasticity of demand at p = 20. 1. What quantity can be sold at $30 per pound? q = f(p), f(p) = 100-2p When p = 30, q = f(30) = 100 – (2)(30) = 40 2. Determine the function E(p). pf ' ( p) p(2) 2p E ( p) f ( p) 100 2 p 100 2 p 3. Determine and interpret the elasticity of demand at p = 30. 2(30) 60 3 E (30) 100 2(30) 40 2 When price is set at $30 per pound, a small increase in price will result in a relative rate of decrease in quantity demanded of about 3/2 times the relative rate of increase in price. Example: If the price of $30 is increased by 1%, then quantity demanded will decrease by (3/2)(1%) = 1.5% 4. Determine and interpret the elasticity of demand at p = 20. 2(20) 40 2 E (20) 100 2(20) 60 3 When the price is set at $20 per pound, a small increase in price will result in a relative rate of decrease in quantity demanded by only 2/3 of the relative rate of increase of price. Example: If the price is increased from $20 by 1%, the quantity demanded will decrease by (2/3)(1%). Economists say that demand is elastic at price p0 if E(p0) > 1. Economists say that demand is inelastic at price p0 if E(p0) < 1. To better understand the concept of elasticity, let us consider revenue. Recall the relationship between revenue and price [revenue] = [quantity] x [price per unit] or R( p) f ( p) p If we differentiate R(p) using the product rule, we find f(p) will always be positive. When demand is elastic at some price p0, E(p0) > 1 and 1 – E(p0) is negative. So, R’(p0) is negative and R(p0) is decreasing. That is, an increase in price will result in a decrease in revenue, and a decrease in price will result in an increase in revenue. When demand is inelastic at some price p0, E(p0) < 1 and 1 – E(p0) is positive. So, R’(p0) is positive and R(p0) is increasing. That is, an increase in price will result in an increase in revenue, and a decrease in price will result in a decrease in revenue. Summary The change in revenue is in the opposite direction of the change in price when demand is elastic and in the same direction when demand is inelastic.