Wind power Part 2: Resource Assesment San Jose State University FX Rongère February 2009 Wind resource characterization Energy provided by the wind dE QA WA m A .(hA k A A ) dt Open A A A v A2 v 3A A WA A mA . 2 A A . 2 Available power is proportional to the cube of the wind velocity Power Capacity Calculation Use of Probability Density Function (Pdf) Since W A. .v , W A. . v 2 2 3 3 We will use the Pdf(v): W 0 W (v).Pdf (v).dv 0 Pdf (v).dv It has been shown that the Rayleigh’s approximation gives good results for wind power capacity calculation 2 .v .v Pdf (v) . exp 2 2 . v 2. v Rayleigh’s Distribution Using the mathematical properties of the Rayleigh’s Distribution we can show that: The most frequent wind speed is equal to 0.8 times the average wind speed. Pdf (v) max is located at : 2 Rayleigh's function 0.4 0.35 Pdf(v) 0.3 0.25 0.2 0.15 0.1 0.05 0 0 0.5 1 1.5 V/Vav er ag e "Vaverage=2m/s" "Vaverage=5m/s" "Vaverage=10m/s" 2 v 0.80 . v Most contributing wind The most contributing wind speed is equal to 1.6 times the average wind. 8 v3 .Pdf (v) max is located at : v 1.60 . v Most contributing wind to the power 0.8 0.7 3 v . Pdf(v) 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 0 0.5 1 1.5 V/Vav er ag e Vaverage=2m/s Vaverage=5m/s vaverage=10m/s 2 Average power The average power is equal to 1.91 times the power corresponding to the average wind speed v3 0 v 3 .Pdf (v).dv Pdf (v).dv 0 v3 6 3 v 1.91 . v 3 W A. .v 3 2 W A. . v 2 3 W (v) 1.91 . W v Example of power distribution Lee Ranch Facility in Colorado Actual measures probability of wind and power Curves use the Rayleigh’s distribution More complex Pdf Weibull’s distribution is a more general form than Rayleigh’s distribution: k. Pdf (v) 2.v .v . 2 . v k 1 .v k . exp 2.v Rayleigh’s distribution: k=2 Wind Shear In general wind is stronger with altitude because of the friction on the ground ground cover smooth surface ocean, sand low grass or fallow ground high grass or low row crops tall row crops or low woods high woods with many trees suburbs, small towns n 0.1 0.16 0.18 0.2 100 low grass or fallow ground 80 60 high grass or low row crops 40 20 tall row crops or low woods 0 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 v(z)/v(10m) 0.3 smooth surface ocean, sand Wind shear Altitude (m) z v( z ) v( z0 ). z0 n 1.8 2 high woods with many trees suburbs, small towns Wind shear is much more complex than friction on the ground. Analysis must be performed for each specific case Class of wind power density Locations are rated following the table: 10 m (33 ft) Wind Power Class 1 Wind Power Density 50 m (164 ft) Wind Power Density (W/m2) 0 Average Speed m/s (mph) 0 (W/m2) 0 Average Speed m/s (mph) 0 100 4.4 (9.8) 200 5.6 (12.5) 150 5.1 (11.5) 300 6.4 (14.3) 200 5.6 (12.5) 400 7.0 (15.7) 250 6.0 (13.4) 500 7.5 (16.8) 300 6.4 (14.3) 600 8.0 (17.9) 400 7.0 (15.7) 800 8.8 (19.7) 1000 9.4 (21.1) 2000 11.9 (26.6) 2 3 4 5 6 7 Assuming a Rayleigh distribution and a wind shear provided by the power law with an exponent equals to .14 Wind scale Wind speed Beaufort number Description Wave height kt km/h mph m/s 0 0 0 0 0-0.2 1 1-3 1-6 1-3 2 4-6 7-11 4-7 3 7-10 12-19 8-12 4 11-15 20-29 13-18 5.5-7.9 Moderate breeze 1 3.3 5 16-21 30-39 19-24 8.0-10.7 Fresh breeze 2 6.6 6 22-27 40-50 25-31 10.8-13.8 Strong breeze 3 9.9 7 28-33 51-62 32-38 13.9-17.1 Near gale 4 13.1 8 34-40 63-75 39-46 17.2-20.7 Gale 5.5 18 9 41-47 76-87 47-54 20.8-24.4 Severe gale 7 23 10 48-55 88-102 55-63 24.5-28.4 Storm 9 29.5 11 56-63 103-119 64-73 28.5-32.6 Violent storm 11.5 37.7 12 64-80 14+ 46+ 120 m ft Calm 0 0 0.3-1.5 Light air 0.1 0.33 1.6-3.3 Light breeze 0.2 0.66 0.6 2 3.4-5.4 Gentle breeze 74-95 32.7-40.8 Hurricane Wind resource in the USA Wind Farms in the USA Wind resource in the USA Wind resource in the USA Wind resource in California Solano 415 MW Altamont Pass 586 MW Wind resource in California Pacheco 16 MW Tehachapi 665 MW San Gorgonio 619 MW Altamont Pass 586 MW 6,000 wind turbines Early 80s Repowering has started 38 Mitsubishi (1MW in 2006) Pacheco Pass 16 MW 167 wind turbines Mid 80s Project by Enel with Vestas 660kW Tehachapi 665 MW 2,000+ wind turbines Early 80s Repowering started in 1999 Micon 700 kW GE 1.5 MW Mitsubishi 1 MW San Gorgonio 619 MW 1,000+ wind turbines Early 80s Repowering started in 1999 Zond 750 kW Vestas 650 kW Mitsubishi 600 kW GE 1.5 MW Wind Resource in California 45 miles Projects Project Alta Mesa IV Utility/Developer Location Tenderland Power/ CHI Enel San Gorgonio Pass Altamont Power Altamont Power, LLC Altamont Pass Pacific Renewable PG&E Montezuma Status NA MW Cap 40 Online date/ Turbine NA Vestas 660 kW (61) NA 36 NA / NEG Micon 800kW (45) Lompoc 83 NA FPL Energy Solana 32 NA Pine Tree Wind Project Zilkha/ LA Dept of PW Mojave (North) Proposed 120 NA Tehachapi Wind Project Western Wind Tehachapi Proposed 50 NA San Gorgonio Wind Project SeaWest Windpower San Gorgonio Proposed 37 NA Tehachapi Wind Project Coram Energy Tehachapi Proposed 12 NA Recent Projects Name Power Capacity Location (MW) Turbine Mfr. Units Edom Hills repower 20 8 Clipper Alite Wind Farm 24 8 Vestas Dillon 45 45 Solano Wind Project Solano 63 21 Buena Vista Altamont Pass 38 38 Shiloh Wind Power Project Solano County 150 100 Solano IIA Solano County 24 8 Coram Energy (Aeroman repower) Tehachapi 10.5 7 East of San Diego 50 Victorville prison 0.75 Kumeyaay Wind Power Project Victorville Wind Project Developer BP Alternative Energy Owner Power Purchaser BP Alternative SCE Energy California Portland Cement Southern Iberdrola Iberdrola Mitsubishi California Renewables Renewables Edison Sacramento Sacramento Sacramento Vestas Municipal Utility Municipal Municipal Utility District Utility District District Babcock & Babcock & Pacific Gas & Mitsubishi Brown Brown Electric PG&E, Modesto Irrigation GE Energy PPM Energy PPM Energy District & City of Palo Alto Utilities Sacramento Sacramento Sacramento Vestas Municipal Utility Municipal Municipal Utility District Utility District District Southern GE Energy Coram Energy Coram Energy California Edison Allco/Oak Creek Energy Year Online 2008 2008 2008 2007 2006 2006 2006 2005 25 Gamesa Superior Renewable Energy Babcock & Brown San Diego Gas & Electric 2005 1 Vestas NORESCO NORESCO Victorville Prison 2005 Under-construction Projects Name Power Capacity Location (MW) Pine Tree Wind north of Project Mojave 120 San Gorgonio San Farms repower Gorgonio 5 Northern California 150 Shiloh II Units Turbine Mfr. Developer Owner Power Purchaser 80 GE Energy Los Angeles Department of Water and Power Los Angeles Los Angeles Department of Department of Water and Water and Power Power 10 Vestas San Gorgonio Farms San Gorgonio Farms 75 REPower enXco enXco Year Online PG&E Source: American Wind Energy Association Assessment Techniques Wind Tower Expensive Punctual information Telecommunication Limited height (50 m) Wind vane anemometer Source: Wes Slaymaker Commercial Wind Site Assessment Madison, WI February 2005 Sodar Acoustic signal modified by the wind velocity by Doppler effect: Frequency is higher in front of the moving source and lower behind w f ' . f wv f: emitted frequency f’: observed frequency w: velocity of the wave v: velocity of the source Sodar Sound velocity: M Effect of Temperature on Sound Speed Cp Cv R: Boltzmann’ constant 8.314 Jmol T: Temperature K M: Mass of one mole of gas γ: 1.4 for dry air .R.T 350 -1K-1 Sound Speed (m/s) w . P Depends on Temperature and Humidity 340 330 320 310 300 -10 0 10 Temperature (C) 20 30 Sodar Sound is reflected and scattered by the eddies carried by the turbulent wind The amplitude of the received wave characterizes the stability of the atmosphere Using several sodar sources allows to capture the different components of the wind velocity Vertical range : 200 m. to 2,000 m. Frequency: 1,000 Hz 4,000 Hz Sodar signal Satellite based measurements Sea waves scatter and reflect radar signal Direction and Wave length of the waves provide wind information Accuracy of ±2m/s and ±20o Not valid close to the coast because of effect on waves Numerical simulation Objective: To get detailed wind calculation in specific location from general atmospheric observations Categories of models from the general to detailed Mesoscale models (n00 km x n00km x 10 km) ex KAMM Microscale linear models (n km x n km x n km) ex WAsP Navier-Stokes non-linear models with turbulence (n00 m x n00 m x n00 m) They are usually used in conjunction with local measured data to be adjusted Source : Wind Flow Models over Complex Terrain for Dispersion Calculations COST Action 710 - 1997 References http://rredc.nrel.gov/wind/pubs/atlas/maps.html#2-1 http://www.wasp.dk/Courses/Index.htm http://www5.ncdc.noaa.gov/documentlibrary/pdf Companies to follow: www.awstruewind.com (Albany) www.windlogic.com (St Paul) www.3tiergroup.com (Seattle) www.garradhassan.com (UK) Application At Ilio Point on Molokai (Hawaii) The average wind speed at 30m is 8.1m.s-1 The shear exponent is .14 and the wind follows the Rayleigh’s distribution What is the average speed at 50m? What is the class of the site? What is the power density available at 50m? What is the most probable wind speed at 50m? What is the most contributing wind speed at 50m? What is the probability to have a wind speed greater than 25 m.s-1 at 50m? Ilio Point