Please complete the Prerequisite skills on PG 742 #1-8 Big ideas: Finding measures of central tendency and dispersion Using normal distributions Working with samples Essential Question: When will the mean of a data set differ significantly from the median of the data set? Statistics: Numerical values used to summarize and compare sets of data Standard deviation: The typical difference between a data value and the mean. EXAMPLE 1 Find measures of central tendency Waiting Times The data sets at the right give the waiting times (in minutes) of several people at two veterinary offices. Find the mean, median, and mode of each data set. SOLUTION Median: 20 Mode: 24 = 14 + 17 + + 32 9 … Office A: Mean: x = 198 22 9 = EXAMPLE 1 Find measures of central tendency Office B: Mean: x Median: 18 Mode: 18 8 + 11 + … + 23 = 9 144 16 = 9 = for Example 1 GUIDED PRACTICE TRANSPORTATION 1. The data set below gives the waiting times (in minutes) of 10 students waiting for a bus. Find the mean, median, and mode of the data set. 4, 8, 12, 15, 3, 2, 6, 9, 8, 7 SOLUTION Mean: x … 4 + 8 + 12 + + 7 = 10 Median: 7.5 Mode: 8 = 74 10 = 7.4 EXAMPLE 2 Find ranges of data sets Find the range of the waiting times in each data set. SOLUTION Office A: Range = 32 – 14 Office B: Range = 23 – 8 = 18 = 15 Because the range for office A is greater, its waiting times are more spread out. EXAMPLE 3 Standardized Test Practice SOLUTION Office A: Office B: ANSWER = = (14 – 22)2 + (17 – 22)2 + ... + (32 – 22)2 9 (8 –16)2 + (11 16)2– + 9 The correct answer is D. ... + (23 16)2 290 = 9 182 – = 9 5.7 4.5 for Examples 2 and 3 GUIDED PRACTICE 2. Find the range and standard deviation of set. 4, 8, 12, 15, 3, 2, 6, 9, 8, 7 SOLUTION Range = 15 – 2 Standard deviation = 13 = 3.8 the data When will the mean of a data set differ significantly from the median of the data set? A data set with an outlier will show a greater difference between the mean and the median than will the data set with the outlier excluded What happens to the average when an outlier (much higher than the other values) is part of the data set? Essential Question: Are all statistics of a data set affected when you transform the values in a data set? Mean: The “average” of a set of numbers Median: The middle number of a set of numbers Mode: The number that occurs most often in a set of number Range: A measure of dispersion equal to the difference between the greatest and least data values Adding a Constant to Data Values: ◦ The mean, median, and mode of the new data set can be obtained by adding the same constant to the mean, median and mode of the original data set. ◦ The range and standard deviation are unchanged. Multiplying Data Values by a Constant: ◦ When each value of a data set is multiplied by a constant, the new mean, median, mode, range, and standard deviation can be found by multiplying each original statistic by the same constant. Are all statistics of a data set affected when you transform the values in a data set? The range and standard deviation are not affected by an addition transformation. EXAMPLE 1 Add a constant to data values Astronauts The data set below gives the weights (in pounds) on Earth of eight astronauts without their space suits. A space suit weighs 250 pounds on Earth.Find the mean, median, mode, range, and standard deviation of the weights of the astronauts without their space suits and with their space suits. 142, 150, 155, 156, 160, 160, 166, 175 EXAMPLE 1 SOLUTION Add a constant to data values EXAMPLE 2 Multiply data values by a constant OLYMPICS The data set below gives the winning distances (in meters) in the men’s Olympic triple jump events from 1964 to 2004. Find the mean, median,mode, range, and standard deviation of the distances in meters and of the distances in feet. (Note: 1 meter 3.28 feet.) 16.85, 17.39, 17.35, 17.29, 17.35, 17.26, 17.61, 18.17, 18.09, 17.71, 17.79 EXAMPLE 2 SOLUTION Multiply data values by a constant GUIDED PRACTICE 1. for Examples 1 and 2 Astronauts: The Manned Maneuvering Unit (MMU) is equipment that latches onto an astronaut’s space suit and enables the astronaut to move around outside the spacecraft. The MMU weighs about 300 pounds on Earth. Find the mean, median, mode, range, and standard deviation of the weights of the astronauts in Example 1 with their space suits and MMUs. 142, 150, 155, 156, 160, 160, 166, 175 for Examples 1 and 2 GUIDED PRACTICE SOLUTION Mean Median 708 708 Mode 710 Range 33 Standard deviation 9.3 GUIDED PRACTICE for Examples 1 and 2 2. What If? In Example 2, find the mean, median, mode, range, and standard deviation of the distances in yards. (Note: 1 meter 1.09 yards.) SOLUTION Mean Median Mode Range Standard deviation 19.11 18.96 18.91 1.44 0.40 Are all statistics of a data set affected when you transform the values in a data set? The range and standard deviation are not affected by an addition transformation. What changes when you multiply by a constant? Essential Question: Where are the values in a normal distribution that rarely occur displayed on a normal curve? Normal distribution: A probability distribution with mean, x and standard deviation modeled by a bellshaped curve Normal curve: A smooth, symmetrical, bell-shaped curve that can model normal distributions and approximate some binomial distributions Standard normal distribution: The normal distribution with mean 0 and standard deviation 1 Z-score: The number z of standard deviations that a data value lies above or below EXAMPLE 1 Find a normal probability A normal distribution has mean x and standard deviation σ. For a randomly selected x-value from the distribution, find P(x – 2σ ≤ x ≤ x). SOLUTION The probability that a randomly selected x-value lies between – 2σ and is the shadedxarea under the normal curve shown. x P( x – 2σ ≤ x ≤ x) = 0.135 + 0.34 = 0.475 EXAMPLE 2 Interpret normally distribute data Health The blood cholesterol readings for a group of women are normally distributed with a mean of 172 mg/dl and a standard deviation of 14 mg/dl. a. b. About what percent of the women have readings between 158 and 186? Readings higher than 200 are considered undesirable. About what percent of the readings are undesirable? EXAMPLE 2 Interpret normally distribute data SOLUTION a. The readings of 158 and 186 represent one standard deviation on either side of the mean, as shown below. So, 68% of the women have readings between 158 and 186. EXAMPLE 2 Interpret normally distribute data b. A reading of 200 is two standard deviations to the right of the mean, as shown. So, the percent of readings that are undesirable is 2.35% + 0.15%, or 2.5%. for Examples 1 and 2 GUIDED PRACTICE x deviation σ. Find the A normal distribution has mean and standard indicated probability for a randomly selected x-value from the distribution. 1. P( x ≤ x ) ANSWER 0.5 for Examples 1 and 2 GUIDED PRACTICE 2. P( x > x ) ANSWER 0.5 for Examples 1 and 2 GUIDED PRACTICE 3. P( x < ANSWER x< x+ 2σ ) 0.475 for Examples 1 and 2 GUIDED PRACTICE 4. P( x– σ < x < ANSWER x) 0.34 for Examples 1 and 2 GUIDED PRACTICE 5. P(x ≤ x – 3σ) ANSWER 0.0015 for Examples 1 and 2 GUIDED PRACTICE 6. P(x > x + σ) ANSWER 0.16 for Examples 1 and 2 GUIDED PRACTICE 7. WHAT IF? In Example 2, what percent of the women have readings between 172 and 200? ANSWER 47.5% EXAMPLE 3 Use a z-score and the standard normal table Biology Scientists conducted aerial surveys of a seal sanctuary and recorded the number x of seals they observed during each survey. The numbers of seals observed were normally distributed with a mean of 73 seals and a standard deviation of 14.1 seals. Find the probability that at most 50 seals were observed during a survey. EXAMPLE 3 Use a z-score and the standard normal table SOLUTION STEP 1 Find: the z-score corresponding to an x-value of 50. 50 – 73 z= x – x = 14.1 STEP 2 Use: the table to find P(x < 50) –1.6 P(z < – 1.6). The table shows that P(z < – 1.6) = 0.0548. So, the probability that at most 50 seals were observed during a survey is about 0.0548. EXAMPLE 3 Use a z-score and the standard normal table GUIDED PRACTICE 8. for Example 3 WHAT IF? In Example 3, find the probability that at most 90 seals were observed during a survey. ANSWER 0.8849 GUIDED PRACTICE 9. for Example 3 REASONING: Explain why it makes sense that P(z < 0) = 0.5. ANSWER A z-score of 0 indicates that the z-score and the mean are the same. Therefore, the area under the normal curve is divided into two equal parts with the mean and the z-score being equal to 0.5. Where are the values in a normal distribution that rarely occur displayed on a normal curve? The values occur at the end of the curve The mean score on an exam was 78. You scored within 5 points of the mean. If x = 78 +/- 5 represents your possible score x on the exam, what is the range of your score? Essential Question: What should be true of the sample when you conduct a survey? No new vocabulary for this lesson. EXAMPLE 1 Classify samples Baseball A sportswriter wants to survey college baseball coaches about whether they think wooden bats should be mandatory throughout college baseball. Identify the type of sample described. a. The sportswriter contacts only the coaches that he has cell phone numbers for in order to get quick responses. b. The sportswriter mails out surveys to all the coaches and uses only the surveys that are returned. EXAMPLE 1 Classify samples SOLUTION a. The sportswriter selected coaches that are easily accessible. So, the sample is a convenience sample. b. The coaches can choose whether or not to respond. So, the sample is a self-selected sample. EXAMPLE 2 Identify a biased sample Concert Attendance The manager of a concert hall wants to know how often people in the community attend concerts. The manager asks 50 people standing in line for a rock concert how many concerts per year they attend. Tell whether the sample is biased or unbiased. Explain your reasoning. SOLUTION The sample is biased because people standing in line for a rock concert are more likely to attend concerts than people in general. EXAMPLE 3 Choose an unbiased sample Senior Class Prom You are a member of the prom committee. You want to poll members of the senior class to find out where they want to hold the prom. There are 324 students in the senior class. Describe a method for selecting a random sample of 40 seniors to poll. SOLUTION STEP 1 Make: a list of all 324 seniors. Assign each senior a different integer from 1 to 324. EXAMPLE 3 STEP 2 Choose an unbiased sample Generate: 40 unique random integers from 1 to 324 using the randInt feature of a graphing calculator. The screen at the right shows six such random integers. If while generating the integers you obtain a duplicate, discard it and generate a new, unique integer as a replacement. STEP 3 Choose: the 40 students that correspond to the 40 integers you generated in Step 2. GUIDED PRACTICE 1. for Examples 1, 2, and 3 SCHOOL WEBSITE: A computer science teacher wants to know if students would like the morning announcements posted on the school’s website. He surveys students in one of his computer science classes. Identify the type of sample described, and tell whether the sample is biased. SOLUTION The computer science teacher surveys students in one of his computer science classes where students are easy to reach. So, the sample is a convenience sample. The sample is biased as the students of only the computer class are surveyed. GUIDED PRACTICE for Examples 1, 2, and 3 2. WHAT IF? In Example 3, what is another method you could use to generate a random sample of 40 students? SOLUTION Place each student’s name on a small piece of paper in a hat and draw 40 names. What should be true of the sample when you conduct a survey? The survey should include a random sample of the population of interest and the sample should be large enough to guarantee a reasonable margin of error.