AIRCRAFT OPERATING ENVIRONMENT • Forecasts • The forecasts of MET conditions pertinent to the accident should be documented. Dependent upon the nature of the • occurrence, some or all of the following types of forecasts may require review: • a) aerodrome forecasts (TAFs and amended TAFs), • b) forecasts of area QNH (if applicable), • c) marine forecasts, • d) forecasts of upper-air pressure, temperature and wind, • e) forecasts of MET conditions at surface /Gradient Wind Streamline (if applicable), • f) meteorological warnings (including civil/public), • g) SIGWX forecasts • h) Volcanic Ash and Tropical Cyclone Advisory information, • i) forecasts of thickness vorticity and vertical velocity; • j) forecasts of stability indices • k) forecasts of icing, • l) forecasts of turbulence, . • m) AIRMET, • n) SIGMET, • o) GAMET, • p) Aerodrome and wind shear warnings Three people on board a small plane escaped serious injury when the aircraft crash landed approaching a small Alberta runway • At around 9:15 on29 January,2013, Tuesday morning, a small plane from La Crete, Alberta with three people aboard tried to make landing in inclement weather at Three Hills Airport(Three Hills Airport, (TC LID: CEN3), is located 2 NM (3.7 km; 2.3 mi) east southeast of Three Hills, Alberta, Canada. • (The Prairie School of Mission Aviation (PSMA), an affiliate of Prairie Bible College, utilizes this airport as its training base. PSMA offers a 2 year Associate of Arts in Mission Aviation degree to successful graduates of the program.) • . It landed short of the runway, sending one person to hospital. RCMP say the single-engine Piper Meridian ended up on the runway with a damaged left wing and landing gear. • Three Hills RCMP, Fire and EMS were called to the scene to provide assistance. • One passenger was transferred to a hospital after complaining of pain to his chest area. The pilot and another passenger were not hurt. • Police say the Transportation Safety Board is to investigate the cause of the crash. • Local authorities are dealing with a fuel leak from the plane which will have to be cleaned up to prevent any contamination. • Three people on board a small plane escaped serious injury when the aircraft crash-landed while approaching a small Alberta runway, as biting temperatures and howling winds blasted the province. • The plane crashed in inclement weather on Tuesday morning, as it approached the airport at Three Hills in southern Alberta, Mounties said. Aircraft was a Piper PA-46-500TP Malibu Meridian - registration C-GMHP registered to 1649808 Alberta Ltd., based at La Crete Airport, Alberta • "The plane landed short of the runway coming to rest on the runway, damaging the landing gear and left wing of the aircraft," said Three Hills RCMP Const. Seth Adair. "A passenger on board received minor injuries and the pilot, and another passenger, were not injured." • The injured passenger was taken to Three Hills suffering from chest pains and the Transportation Safety Board of Canada is investigating the crash. • Briefing and Flight Documentation • A copy of any MET and aeronautical documentation covering the flight should be obtained for study. Particular attention should be paid to the currency and accuracy of all such operational information that was requested by and/or provided to the flight crew in the preflight preparation and during the flight. • Statements should be obtained from personnel who supplied any operational information to the crew both prior to departure and while en-route. Emphasis should be placed upon determining whether the crew was adequately informed regarding hazardous MET conditions. • Post Flight Analysis • An assessment should he obtained from a qualified (and noninvolved) meteorologist of the MET conditions throughout the flight resulting from an analysis of all the MET information brought to light in the investigation. Careful consideration • should be given to the possibility that hazardous phenomena may have been present which were not readily apparent • from the forecasts and observations available at the relevant time, particularly in the case of en-route occurrences • involving structural failure. Such phenomena might include mountain wave effects, tropical cyclones, severe turbulence, • freezing rain, volcanic ash, etc. Where the weather is considered to be a contributing factor, specialist plotting of a cross sectional flight profile should be obtained. • RADAR CROSS-SECTION FLIGHT PROFILE GENERATION AND EXECUTION • To predict aircraft flightpaths for conducting ground-to-air RCS measurements, flight profiles are developed at ATR and then taken to the Manned Flight Simulator (MFS) at the Air Combat Environment Test & Evaluation Facility (ACETEF). These maneuvers are then flown in the aircraft cockpit of interest. The MFS is equipped to compute and display presented aspects resulting from each of the maneuvers in real-time. Flight cards are generated from this data, which provide the required location and flight parameters to precisely fly each of the validated maneuvers. • Adequacy of service • Emphasis should be placed upon determining whether the crew was adequately informed regarding hazardous MET conditions. The observing, forecasting and briefing facilities involved and the services provided should be examined with a view to determining whether: • a) pertinent regulations and procedures were satisfactory, available, and adhered to • b) disparities existed between workload and staffing, • c) forecasts and briefings were accurate and made effective use of all known and relevant information,and • d) communication of information to the relevant aeronautical personnel was accomplished without delay and in accordance with prescribed procedures. • Adequacy of flight documentation and messages • In particular, localised, frequently observed MET phenomena at an aerodrome may be listed in flight supplements as a warning to aircraft. These flight supplements are often used for flight in Visual Meteorological Conditions (VMC). • However, these same warnings may not be included in documents relating to flight in Instrument Meteorological Conditions (IMC) for the same aerodrome. Therefore, comparison of such documents should be made so as to highlight possible disparities. As an example, a flight supplement for an aerodrome surrounded by rough terrain with frequently strong winds, may warn of possible mechanical turbulence. However, this warning may not be in approach plates used in IMC. In addition, investigators must also consider the possibility that frequent use of these particular aerodromes, may breed complacency and thus the exclusion of such information. • Adequacy of flight documentation and messages • Aside from flight documentation, consideration to messages in flight must also be given. For instance, most pilots receive SIGMETs via radio and thus lack a hard copy for thorough analysis. Such data should be examined for clarity and brevity and whether they facilitated understanding and use of messages given conditions of flight. In addition, there are possible limitations of reports (e.g.., IREPs/PIREPspilot weather Reports). These limitations are particularly relevant to reports of icing and turbulence given their interpretation is subjective • Operating norms and policy • Norms, whether organisational, group or individual may significantly influence behaviour and operations. In relation to • MET conditions, an investigator should analyse the various organisations, groups and norms of the aircrew (if possible). • Particular attention should be paid to norms and policies relating to the dissemination of information, and analysis of data. For instance, a possible norm of pilots failing to read dispatch reports in their entirety due to their considerable length. This norm of seeking only certain data may have restricted the comprehensiveness of weather briefings provided. • Regulatory body’s and operator’s operational policies regarding flight in hazardous weather conditions and the operational reality should be analysed for disparity. Such analysis may also be applied to industry norms (e.g., penetration of thunderstorms in terminal areas). • The forecast and observed MET conditions should be compared to any limitations on aircraft or aircrew, including regulatory and company policies. • Availability of data • Each investigation will differ in relation to the availability of data. This may be a result of scarce reports in remote areas and inadequate data collection networks. There may also be limitations of technology used to collect, display and disseminate data. In such cases an investigator may be forced to utilise considerable innovation in analysis techniques and tools. In such situations, it may be useful to consult various colleagues, experts and researchers in these areas. It is also advisable to look for information and advice from the various existing and available sources of MET information • (WAFCs, VAACs, TCACs, MWOs, etc). • Collection of occurrence particulars • Important data must be collected (e.g., time of occurrences, route) to facilitate or complement collection of MET information. For instance, it is obvious that the data and time of an occurrence be known to gather correct data. Primary sources of such data shall be obtained from flight plans, Air Traffic Services (ATS) radar data, navigation and topographical charts. Data collected should include: • a) occurrence date (UTC and LMT), • b) occurrence time (UTC and LMT), • c) occurrence location, – i. general location – ii. grid reference – iii. elevation and topography • d) departure point, • e) cruising altitude or flight level, • f) destination and intermediate stops (with ETAs/ATAs and ETDs/ATDs), and • g) RADAR tracks. • Collection of technical data • Collection of technical data may include the breakdown and testing of MET instrumentation, and collaboration with other • Groups to gather data on aircraft instruments (e.g., altimeter). Data should also be collected with regards to the State’s, • operator’s, and ATS’ tools, (e.g., RADAR technology, high-resolution satellite imagery, numerical weather prediction (NWP) models) • Collection of human factors data • Human factors data, from a MET standpoint, should be collected to not only gain insight into aircrew decision making but also organisational oversight and omissions that may have contributed to the occurrence. • Copies of any MET documentation covering the flight should be obtained for study. Particular attention should be paid to • all MET information that was requested by and/or provided to the flight crew in the pre-flight preparation and during the • flight. In addition, statements from personnel who supplied MET information to the crew both prior to departure, whilst • en-route, and at the destination (if applicable) should be obtained with emphasis in the acknowledgement by the crew of the existence of forecast of hazardous MET conditions. • Statements of personnel and documentation relating to the coordination and dissemination of MET data should be collected. Such data, both intra and inter-organisational, should be collected from organisations such as the appropriate ATS agency, the State’s weather service, and the aircraft operator (e.g., airline, flight school). In addition, data relating to staffing levels and personnel’s workload, for all organisations, should also be collected if applicable. • Analysis of data • An analysis of all data collected should be made by a qualified (and non—involved) person with specialised meteorology training, and with, in some instances, other Groups (e.g., Human Factors/Human Performance). • Careful consideration should be given to the possibility that hazardous phenomena may have been present which were not readily apparent from forecasts and observations available at the relevant time. Such phenomena might include tornadoes, severe turbulence, freezing rain, low level wind shear and volcanic ash. Analysis should also examine technical equipment and human factors data for possible influences. • Analysis of occurrence particulars • It is imperative that an analysis of the accident particulars precedes the analysis of MET conditions. For instance, information regarding the elevation will be required for the calculation of Pressure Altitude, and knowledge of location and terrain will aid in the analysis of possible local weather effects. Data on natural light conditions combined with the • occurrence date and time will aid the possible identification of local winds (e.g., land/sea breeze, katabatic winds). • Further, comparing flight plan data against RADAR tracks may provide clues to conditions faced aircrews. The Meteorology Group may benefit from collaboration with the Performance Group on aspects such as aircraft speeds, which again may point to conditions faced by aircrews. For instance, a low aircraft Ground Speed (GS) despite a tailwind component may point to the crew slowing to the Turbulent Penetration Speed (VB) providing a possible indication of significantly turbulent flight conditions. • A Katabatic wind, from the Greek word katabatikos meaning "going downhill", is the technical name for a drainage wind, a wind that carries high density air from a higher elevation down a slope under the force of gravity. Such winds are sometimes also called fall winds. Katabatic winds can rush down elevated slopes at hurricane speeds, but most are not that intense and many are on the order of 10 knots (18 km/h) or less. • Not all downslope winds are katabatic • Analysis per phase of flight • Following the analysis of all the data collected understanding of the atmosphere must be related to each phase of flight, namely: • a) taxi, takeoff to top of climb, • b) enroute data, and • c) top of descent, approach, landing, and taxi.This method, in large measure, should provide the investigator with considerable physical understanding of the atmospheric conditions during different phases of the flight. • Analysis of technical data • There are many items which may have restricted the accuracy and comprehensiveness of meteorological data provided to aircrews, State weather agencies, ATS units, and operators. • If the accuracy of MET information is suspect, investigators may breakdown and test MET instrumentation. • In winter, consideration should also be given to the possibility of ice accretion on MET instrumentation. For instance, during periods of freezing precipitation ice accretion may reduce the efficiency or cause complete failure of anemometers, thus restricting the validity of wind data. These same considerations may be applied to aircraft instrumentation. In such cases, weather investigators may benefit from collaboration with other Groups. • Technology for gathering and displaying MET information may vary from State to State, and thus examination of the capabilities and limitations of such tools (e.g., RADAR technology, high-resolution zoom satellite imagery) should be analysed. Consideration must also be given to possible limitations of technology as a result of atmospheric phenomena. • For instance, aircrews flying into thunderstorms, and areas of hail, as a result of false RADAR returns caused by RADAR attenuation due to absorption. • Weather forecasting has seen a general improvement aided largely by greater NWP model accuracy and by the availability World Area Forecast System (WAFs) forecasts globally. Despite this improvement model limitations possibly restricting the accuracy of forecasts must be considered. • Analysis of human factors data • Comparison of forecast conditions, aircrew actions, and the investigator’s identification of possible hazards may suggest possible issues with aircrew judgement. However, simply stating that the pilots flew into adverse MET conditions does little to explain why. The investigator, together with the Human Factors/Performance Group, must endeavour to identify • why the aircrew’s decisions made sense to them at the time. There are a number of human factors barriers to effective aircrew weather decision making. Such barriers may include lack of knowledge due to inadequate training or poor provision of MET information, and operating norms. • The overall process of occurrence investigation within the human factors field is similar across many methodologies. • However, differences arise in their particular emphasis of the techniques. Whilst some focus on management and organisational oversights and omissions, others consider human performance/error problems (on the frontline) in more depth. Both levels must be examined to permit a comprehensive analysis.