Chapter 1 : Scarcity, Trade-offs, and choices Part 1 : Economic way of reasoning Economics is a study of how to make choices under scarcity Economics way of reasoning 1. Economic perspective a. Scarcity and choice Choices must be made under scarce resources Every choice has cost involved The cost is an opportunity cost Opportunity cost is when we want to obtain more of one thing we have to give up the opportunity of getting next best thing b. Purposeful behaviour Individual : maximize utility (pleasure from consuming goods/services) Firms : maximize profit c. Marginal analysis Marginal Benefit (MB) Marginal cost (MC) MB ≥ MC When making decision, think at margin only. Do not include sunk cost (cost the has been incurred) 2. Formulating the ideas a. Using scientific methods Observe Formulate a hypothesis Test the hypothesis Accept, reject, or modify the hypothesis, if necessary Theories and principles - Generalization of economic behaviour that are true for an average person - Assume other-thing-equal (held others constant) b. Microeconomic and Macroeconomic Microeconomics (decision making by individuals or individual units) Macroeconomics (economy as a whole) c. Positive VS Normative economics Positive economics : deal with economic facts Normative economics : opinion based : ought to be / should be) 3. Pitfalls to sound economic reasoning Biases (preconceptions that aren’t based on facts) Loaded terminology ( in the news to catch audience’s interest) Ex. Greedy owners, obscene profits Fallacy of composition ( what is true for one doesn’t mean it is true for others) Post hoc fallacy ( A is not necessary the cause of B ) Correlation but not causation ( events maybe relate without causal relationship) Part 2 : Individual’s economizing problem (budget line) Unlimited want but limited income Maximize our utility Use budget line - Budget line (schedule curve) shows the greatest combination of two goods that we can purchase with limited income - To construct a budget line o Know income o Price of each goods (A,B) o Let A be 0 and maximize B o Continue increasing A and decreasing B (til B is 0) o Draw straight line by start with x-intercept, y-intercept What does the budget line tell us? - Any point on budget line = maximum combination of goods (spend all of money) Trade-offs and opportunity costs - Budget line is always downward sloping (negative slope) Opportunity cost remains the same Opportunity cost = how many B you lose to get A Slope = Opportunity cost Part 3 : Society’s economizing problem ( PPC ) - Society needs to make choice because resources scarce - Resources factors of production or inputs Resources in the economy 1. 2. 3. 4. Land/natural resources Labour/human resources Capital/investment goods ( NOT stock, bond, and money (isn’t resource)) Entrepreneurial ability Production possibilities model - PPC = Production Possibilities Curve (can be table/frontier) shows the maximum combination of outputs (products) that can be produced by input (resources) at a point of time (fixed resources) Four assumptions for constructing PPC 1. 2. 3. 4. Full employment ( full production ) Fixed resources ( quality + quantity ) Fixed technology Two goods Any points along the curve - Efficient - Maximum possible output Move along the curve has opportunity cost Move from inside the curve to point on curve has no opportunity cost Optimal allocation - Depends on society - Need to compare MB and MC of each goods Optimal production of any item MB = MC - MB< MC : good - MB > MC : bad Q1: Increase production beyond Q1 Q2: Cut production below Q2 Q3: keep current level of production Trade-offs and opportunity cost - PPC always downward slope ( negative slope ) - To increase production of A , society must give up more and more units of B - Opportunity cost increases, A/B increases To find out increasing, constant of decreasing opportunity cost 1. Compare opportunity cost at low and high level of x 2. Find how PPC slopechanges as we move left right Changes in PPC When - Change in technology - Change in quantity or change in resource PPC shift 1. Neutral 2. Biased Neutral - If change affects both goods equally Biased shift - If changes affect one > other Movement inward, outward When - Change in how resources are used (efficient) - Change in unemployment , factory capacity utilization Present choice and future possibilities - Economy produce today determines amount of economic growth in the future - Goods for future = capital , education, research & development - Satisfy future needs = produce great amount of present goods in the future International trade - Having more and better resource of improved technology - PPC right shift Chapter 3 : Demand , supply and market Demand and supply as an individual face Market = an institution / merchanism that brings buyers and seller together - Have buyers , sellers - Sell same product - Price are discovered through the interaction of buyers, sellers Low of demand - Inverse relationship - Price increase, Quantity decease (quantity demanded) Because 1. Common sense 2. Diminishing marginal utility Lower happiness so they buy more only when price fall 3. Income and substitution effects Income effect Substitution effect : purchase more unit of goods that is relatively cheaper The demand curve Quantity demanded = Quantity that you are milling and to buy Demand = Schedule or curve shows quantity demanded at a specific point in time Individual and market demand Market demand = collection of all individual demand Market demand curve describe the relationship between price and quantity demanded which other variables remain constant (except price,quantity demanded) Determinant of demand Number of buyers increase, demand increase Consumer tastes and preferences increase, demand increase Consumer income Superior or normal goods Income increase, demand increase Inferior goods Income increase, demand decrease Neutral goods Income increase, demand no change Price of related goods Substitute Price A increase, demand B increase Complementary goods Price A increase, demand B decrease Unrelated goods Price A increase, demand B not change Taxes and subsidies on consumers Taxes increase, demand decrease Subsidies increase, demand increase Consumer expectation Future income increase, demand increase today Future prices increase, demand increase today Change in demand VS change in quantity demanded 1. Demand curve shift when changes in determinants of demands 2. Changes in quantity demanded (change in prices) Movement along the curve Law of supply Direct relationship between price, quantity supply Price increase, quantity increase Because common sense and increasing marginal cost (scarcity of inputs) The supply curve Supply = schedule / curve that shows quantity at specific point of time Changes in supply Determinants of supply Number of sellers increase, supply increase Cost of production increase, supply decrease Technological change ( improve ), supply increase Price of other produced goods o Production complement goods ( price A increase, supply A increase, supply B increase) o Production substitute goods (Price A increase, supply A increase, supply B decrease_ Taxes and subsidies on producers o Taxes increase, supply decrease o Subsidies increase, supply increase Producer expectation o Future price increase, supply decrease today o Future cost increase, supply increase today Change in supply VS change in quantity supplied - Change in supply (supply curve shifts when there is change in determinants of supply) - Change in quantity supplied (movement along the supply curve when change in prices) Part 2 Market equilibrium - Surplus : Qs > Qd (cut price) - Shortage : Qd > Qs (increase price) - Market equilibrium = no surplus of shortage by invisible hand (price) - Price in a competitive market bring market to reach equilibrium - Competitive market = efficient - 2 types of efficiency Productive : least costly manner (lowest possible unit cost) Allocative : D reflects MB / S reflects MC MC = MB; the economy has the output mix that is most desired by society The mechanics of market forces - Graphical analysis - Market adjustment P > Pe price is too high, surplus of goods, price falls till reach Pe P < Pe price is too low, shortage of goods, price rises till reach Pe Changes in demand, supply, and hence market equilibrium - ex. Change in income - to find new equilibrium (which curve shifts, find direction) - S,D shift same time (either P or Q will be indeterminate) Part 3 Government market intervention 2 ways 1. Price control : limit on price 1.1.Price ceiling 1.2.Price floor 2. Quantity restriction : limit quantity Price ceiling = maximum price producers can charge ( Pc) – suppressed price An effective price ceiling makes – seller lose, buyer win but not all win because of shortage Black market = sell in higher price than Pc Pc distort efficient allocation of resource Price floor = minimum price producer can charge (Pf) – elevated price An effective price floor – seller win but surplus, buyer lose Pf distort the efficient allocation of resources Quantity Restriction - Maximum quantity producers can sell their goods (Qr) Qr < Qe means products available in market than it should have been No shortage or surplus because no restriction price Qr > Qe not effective - Sell things lower quantity makes market price higher than it should be Chapter 4 Elasticity Price elasticity of demand (Ed). The change in quantity purchased relative to the change in price tells us about how responsive buyers are to price changes. A small change in price that results in a large change in quantity purchased means that buyers are responsive to price changes. That is, the demand is elastic. A large change in price that results in a small change in quantity purchased means that buyers are insensitive to price changes. That is, the demand is inelastic. Ed is always negative. o Given the law of demand, Qd always move in opposite direction to P. o use absolute value. lEdl >1 elastic demand Change in Quantity demand > Change in Price lEdl <1 inelastic demand Change in Quantity demand < Change in Price lEdl = 1 unit elastic demand Change in Quantity demand = Change in Price How Ed affects total revenue(TR): Elastic demand Elastic demand Buyers are very sensitive to price change Change in Price < change in Quantity demand TR loss from lower price < TR gain from larger Quantity demand That is, sellers should cut prices to increase total revenue. Inelastic demand Buyers are very insensitive to price change Change in Price > change in Quantity demand TR loss from lower Quantity demand < TR gain from higher Price That is, sellers should raise prices to increase total revenue Unit elastic demand Change in Price = Change in Quantity demand TR loss from lower Quantity demand = TR gain from higher Price Any price change will not increase TR. That is, TR is maximized and sellers should not change prices 4 determinants of Elasticity of Demand 1. Availability of substitutes: more elastic, more substitute 2.Price as a proportion of income: more elastic, higher proportion of income 3. Luxury vs. Necessity goods: more elastic, luxury goods 4. Times: more elastic, longer time Price elasticity of supply(Es) Price elasticity of supply tells us about sellers’ responsiveness (or sensitivity) to price changes Elastic supply Sensitive to price changes Large change in quantity even when price changes a little. Inelastic supply Insensitive to price changes Small change in quantity even when price changes a lot. Elastic Supply lEsl > 1 Elastic Supply Change in Quantity supply > Change in Price Unit Elastic Supply lEsl = 1 Unit Elastic Supply Change in Quantity supply = Change in Price Inelastic Supply lEsl < 1 Inelastic Supply Change in Quantity supply < Change in Price Determinant of Elastic Supply Time : longer time, more elastic supply Time periods considered Market Period Perfectly Inelastic Supply Short Run More Elastic than Market Period Long Run More Elastic than Short Run Applications Antiques (and other non-reproducible commodities) Inelastic supply (or sometimes perfectly inelastic) This makes their prices highly susceptible to fluctuations in demand. The more inelastic the supply, the greater the changes in price when demand changes. Reproductions More elastic supply Prices tend to remain lower even when there is an increase in demand. Volatile gold prices Inelastic supply Unstable demand from speculation causes prices to fluctuate significantly Cross elasticity of demand (Exy) Substitutes (Mac vs. PC) positive sign Price of Goods y increases, Quantity demand of Goods x increases Complements (iPad and iPad cover) negative sign Price of Goods y increases, Quantity demand of Goods x decreases Independent (or unrelated) goods Zero Price of Goods y increases, Quantity demand of Goods x doesn’t change Applications Firm’s pricing decision determine whether raising the price of one of their products will affect sales of another of their products. Government’s merger decision determine whether to allow a proposed merger of two companies or not. If there is a high cross-price elasticity between the two companies’ products (i.e. they are strong substitutes), the government will likely not allow the merger. Being strong substitutes, the merger likely reduces competition in the market. Income elasticity of demand (Ei) Superior/normal goods positive sign Income increases, Quantity demand of Goods X increases Inferior goods negative sign Income increases, Quantity demand of Goods X decreases Applications Income elasticity helps us understand which products and industries will be most affected when household incomes fall during economic downturns. High income elasticities o Most affected by a recession Low or negative income elasticities o Least affected by a recession Chapter 9: Consumers Decision 1. How does an individual make a choice? - Ask yourself how much pleasure of satisfaction you would get from going with each choice and how much you will have to spend (Maximize pleasure subject to price and budget constraint) 2. Utility - Utility means the pleasure or satisfaction people get from consuming or doing something. - Util means a unit of satisfaction, happiness - 2 methods of measuring utility 1. Cardinal Utility : quantitative evaluation of satisfaction 2. Ordinal Utility: qualitative assessment of satisfaction - Total Utility : total amount of satisfaction from consuming a curtain amount of a goods or services. Ex. The satisfaction of consuming 8 units - Marginal Utility: the additional satisfaction from consuming and additional unit of goods or services. Ex. The satisfaction of consuming 8th unit ∆𝑇𝑈 𝑀𝑈= ∆𝑄 TU: Increases at a diminishing rate, reaches a maximum and then decline MU: reflects the change total utility, MU diminishes with increased consumption, MU=0 when TU is maximizes 3. Theory of consumer behavior - Three Theory of consumer behavior 1. Rational Behavior: use their income to maximize satisfaction ( TU ) 2. Preferences 3. Budget Constraint: Consumer’s money is limited. (𝐼 ≡ 𝑃𝑥 𝑋 + 𝑃𝑦 𝑌) 4. Price: unaffected by amounts purchased by consumer : Scarce relative to demand : Consumer is price taker - Consumer’s objective Total approach : All income maximize total utility : Max. 𝑇𝑈𝑥 + 𝑇𝑈𝑦 subject to 𝐼 = 𝑃𝑥 𝑋 + 𝑃𝑦 𝑌 Marginal approach : Allocate all income so when last $ spent on each goods, it will yield the same MU per $ 𝑀𝑈𝑥 𝑀𝑈𝑦 = 𝑃𝑥 𝑃𝑦 - Equilibrium is achieved - Equal opportunity cost - Maximize TU at this point 𝑀𝑈𝑥 𝑀𝑈𝑦 > 𝑃𝑥 𝑃𝑦 Consume an additional unit of x 𝑐 𝑀𝑈𝑥 𝑀𝑈𝑦 < 𝑃𝑥 𝑃𝑦 Consume an additional unit of y 𝑀𝑈𝑥 𝑀𝑈𝑦 = 𝑃𝑥 𝑃𝑦 Utility is maximized (consumer equilibrium) 4. Utility maximization and the demand curve - Reason why demand curve is downward sloping Diminishing MU Income and substitution effects DMU: price rises, consumer will increase TU by consuming less amount of that things 5. Applications and extensions - Opportunity cost of time - Medical care purchase - Cash and non-cash gift 6. Prospect theory - Losses & shrinking packages - Framing effects and advertising - Anchoring and credit card bills - Mental accounting and warranties - The endowment effect and market transaction - Nudging people toward better decisions Chapter 10: Producer Decision Goal of firm = Maximize Profit Profit = TR – TC - TR = amount that get from setting goods or services + any increase in value of asset - TC = explicit payment + opportunity cost (by owner) Firm maximizing profit - Accounting profit = explicit revenue – explicit cost - Economic profit = explicit and implicit revenue + explicit and implicit cost Economic cost: Payment that must be made to obtain and retain the service of a resource 1. Explicit cost ( Production cost, salary, labor, raw material) 2. Implicit cost Value of next best use (opportunity cost) Self-owned resources Include normal profit ( opportunity cost, depreciation, forgone interest/rent/wages/entrepreneurial income) Economic cost = Explicit cost + Implicit cost + Profit of entrepreneur Accounting Profit and Normal Profit - Accounting Profit - Economic Profit = Revenue – Explicit cost = Accounting profit – Implicit cost = TR – Economic cost = TR – Explicit cost – Implicit cost - Economic profit always smaller than accounting profit The Production Process Short Run - Firm is constrained in regard to what production decision it can make. - Some inputs are fixed - Less flexible - Can increase labor, increase material Long Run - Firm chooses from all possible production technique All inputs are variable More flexible Variable plant Firms enter and exit Short run production relationship - Total product (TP) - Marginal Product (MP) = ∆𝑇𝑃 ∆ 𝑖𝑛 𝑙𝑎𝑏𝑜𝑟 𝑖𝑛𝑝𝑢𝑡 - Average Product (AP) = 𝑇𝑃 𝑈𝑛𝑖𝑡𝑠 𝑜𝑓 𝑙𝑎𝑏𝑜𝑟 Law of Diminishing Return (short run) - Resource are equal quality Technique fixed Variable resources are added to fixed resources At some point MP will fall Increasing Marginal Return: MP increases, TP increases Diminishing Marginal Return: MP decreases, TP increases Negative Marginal Return: MP decreases, TP decreases - AP intersect MP at Max Point - MP = 0 when TP is at its highest point The cost of production TC = FC + VC (FC = only in short run = sunk cost) Short Run Production Cost - Average Fixed Cost (AFC) = 𝐹𝐶 𝑄 - Average Variable Cost ( AVC) = - Average Total Cost (ATC) = - Marginal Cost (MC) = 𝑇𝐶 𝑄 𝑉𝐶 𝑄 or AFC + AVC ∆𝑇𝐶 ∆𝑄 Per-unit of average cost Marginal cost: relationship of MC to ATC and AVC - FC increases then AFC,ATC increase VC increases then AVC,ATC,MC increase MC below ATC ATC decreases MC above ATC ATC increases MC intersect ATC, AVC at their minimum point Mirror Image The Shape of cost curve - The variable and total cost curves have same shape Increase output, increase VC, TC - The fixed cost curve is always constant - The average fixed cost curve is downward sloping Increase output, AFC decreases - MC,AVC,AFC are U-shape Increase output lead to decrease in MC, AVC,ATC but lastly they increase - The U-shape of ATC, AVC Increase output in short run, it can only be done by increasing input (variable) Law of diminishing return cause MP, AP decrease As AP, MP decrease AC, MC increase Relationship between MC and average cost - MC>ATC ATC increases MC>AVC AVC increases MC<ATC ATC increases MC<AVC AVC increases If MC=AVC and MC=ATC then AVC and ATC are at their minimum point Long Run Product Cost - Firm can change all inputs amount (plant size) - No fixed cost - No diminishing returns because fixed input Firm size and cost - Long run ATC curve just envelopes the short run ATC Economic and Diseconomic of scale 1. Economic of scale Labor specialization Managerial specialization Efficient capital Other factors 2. Diseconomic of scale Control and coordinate problems Communication problem Worker alienation Shirking (avoiding work is easier in large firm) - Constant returns to scale Occur when ATC is constant over a variety of plant sizes when there are constant returns to scale, and increase in input will result in a proportionate increase in output A typical long-run ATC curve - ATC falls because of economic of scale - ATC is constant because of constant return to scale - ATC rises because of diseconomic of scale MES and Industry structure - Minimum Effective Scale (MES) Lowest level of output where long run average cost are minimize Can determine the structure of the industry These industries will be populated by firms of many different sizes - Industries with economic of scale over a wide range of output will led to a few large scale firms - ATC curve is lowest only when there is a large output This is a ATC curve where economic scale exist, are exhausted quickly and turn back up substantially - Here minimum effective scale occurs at very low level of output - This results in a large number of small producers Application and Illustration 1. 2. 3. 4. Rising gasoline price Successful start up firms Daily newspaper Aircraft and concrete plant Don’t cry over the sunk cost - Sunk cost: cost that have already been incurred and irrecoverable - Rule: don’t engage in any activity where MB<MC - Rule: ignore sunk costs because they are they are irrecoveable