New stuff Egypt gives agricultural aid to central and southern africa http://english.aljazeera.net/news/africa/2010/02/201022318030794713.html Page 1 Module 41b: Nutrition in Global Health Roadmap toward a world without hunger What is the nutritional status of our planet? How does it impact the health of populations? How did we get here? What’s to be done? Where are we going? Allan J Davison PhD Faculty of Sciences, Simon Fraser University Department of Biomedical Sciences & Kinesiology Prepared as part of an education project of the Global Health Education Consortium & collaborating partners – 1 Sept 2009 Allan Davison Making hunger history? adavison@sfu.ca please disturb! www.sfu.ca/global-nutrition 3 3 Nutrition fundamentals for global health • This module deals with catastrophic inequities in the global distribution of foods • Almost a billion of us are too hungry to live a productive life, while an equal number are adversely affected by overweight • Nutrient deficiencies impact health throughout the life cycle: Water, protein, iron, vitamin A, iodine. • Childbearing women and children are hardest hit • What nutritional principles allow us to understand &cope with this • We will not avoid difficult questions about cause and effect: “How & why has this come to be?”; “Who is responsible?” Page 4 Other modules contribute to our understanding of nutrition in global health Modules dealing specifically with nutrition Module 41b World nutrition - What builds a better future & what doesn't Module 48 Acute malnutrition – Clinical aspects Modules dealing with mitigation of poverty – the most important cause of hunger Page 5 Pre-quiz • As a reality check as you begin this module, and to create “teachable moments” for what follows, we invite you to take a 5-minute quiz before you start. • You will be offered 10 true-or-false questions on common misconceptions that can mislead the unwary. Clearing up fog is essential if we are to understand nutrition in a world where some people deliberately mislead us • After completing the pre-quiz, we expect you to continue this module with greater interest and renewed clarity (remember to erase this box after reading) Use the separate GHEC Quiz template to create your quiz. Place this Quiz reference slide before the next continuing slide. Page 6 Quick guess quiz – 2 of following are T 1.TF In the poor nations almost everyone is hungry; in the remainder almost everyone gets an adequate diet 2.TF Worldwide, more people have their lives shortened by overeating than by starvation 3.TF When poor nations now find a place on the ladder of development, they develop slower than rich nations did when they enjoyed their phase of development? 4.TF Most Canadian specialists in global health understand how the distribution of poverty & hunger are changing? 5.TF Health & nutrition benefits are possible only after economic development occurs 6.TF People in regions of extreme hunger & poverty desperately need money 7.TF 50% of children in the US rely on charity for their meals at some time in their lives? Quick answers 1. F In some nations hunger is the norm; in the remainder, an adequate diet is the norm 2. T Worldwide, more people have their lives shortened by overeating than by starvation 3. F In the present era, when poor nations find a place on the ladder of development, they develop slowly compared with the rich nations in their phase of development? 4. F Most Canadian specialists in global health understand the how the distribution of poverty and hunger are changing? 5. F Health & nutrition benefits inevitably occurs after economic development rather than before 6. F People in regions of extreme hunger & poverty desperately need money 7. T 50% of children in the US must rely on charity for their meals at some time in their lives? Learning objectives After completing this module the user should be able to 1. What works & what doesn’t? toward evidence-based solutions Page 9 How to get the most out of this module If you are … We recommend that you … • a nutritionist or • Pay attention to global & public student of nutrition health & policy implications. • a student in public • Pay attention to perspectives & health realities in desperate situations • planning a project in • Emphasize check-lists to regions with severe prepare for field work & gather nutritional problems information to recommend & advocate for intervention. • a public health • Use slides & resources in your practitioner information / teaching sessions Page 10 Core concepts and skill-set • Why nutrition is relevant to global health? • Socio-economic determinants of nutrition & health • Nutritional principles that govern the distribution of problems across populations, & across the life-cycle • Nutrition as a determinant in global health & MDGs • Competing theories for how we came to this point • Prognosis: Given no change, where are we heading? Page 11 Nutrition in Global Health: Roadmap to a world without hunger 1. Understanding the problem (else can’t solve) 2. Myths are roadblocks to making hunger history Page 12 Making hunger history? Where are we? Much better since the MDGs, but far from making hunger history What’s working, what’s not? Only 5-10 nations of 23 will reach 0.7% of GDP. None will forgo unfair trade rules Where are we going? Hunger on a global scale will disappear, in 2 or 3 more 15y plans. New initiatives13 “Let’s put hunger in the museums” Is this just a pipe-dream? extreme poverty & hunger Yunus Muhammad 1974: 1,600,000,000 2008: 800,000,000 Hans Rosling Global Health statistician Talk to US State Department 2009 the evidence using gapminder Above $1 per day microcredit, below $1 emergency aid HD The situation? Bad but improving • Graph Page 15 Why nutrition in relation to global health? • Of the immediately modifiable factors that affect individual & public health … nutrition is the most important • Nutrition at every stage of life lays a foundation for health in the ensuing stage • For all nations, rich & poor, nutrition determines physical health / development through the life-cycle, including: Success in childbearing, cognitive function, socio-economic independence, educational achievement, & employability … ... now and on into the ensuing generations Health & economic development are contingent on provision of adequate nutritional resources & support Page 16 Where are we? Can we find a better way? About 55,000 people die of hunger each day - 2/3 are children • Each year 3 million newborns die in the first week of life • Almost an equal number in EU&USA are dying of over-nutrition • The world produces enough food to feed everyone but somehow we lack the political will to distribute it as needed • One person in 5 in the developing world (1/3 of world's children) are undernourished & will never lead a productive, active life. • To feed them for a year, & start them on the development ladder would cost less than the world spends on armaments in 30 days Can it be very difficult to improve on this? Page 17 1. The 50% (actually 49.2%) is US children that will require food-aid some time during childhood 2. Infant mortality in Washington DC 3. China and India differences growing – rich -> richer “This is a problem we can solve at a fraction the cost of ignoring it” (Senator Geo McGovern: US Ambassador to UN Food & Ag Org) Does it matter ... Do we care? Should we care? the world produces enough food for everyone, yet some have much less than they need while others have much more than they need George W Bush: “Terrorism is rooted in the frustration of people pushed by suffering beyond the point of endurance” Southern Africa as a microcosm food waste We should have compassion for those who find no cause for their lives to count. We are ethical beings Click for more (Yunus) Yunus: Blaming the poor for their poverty • “Poor people are like a bonsai tree. You take the seed of the tallest tree in the forest and plant it in a flower pot. All you see is a tree this high. It looks exactly like the tree that you saw in the forest, but a scaled-down version. You wonder what happened. ‘Is there something wrong with the seed? No, we selected the best seed.’ The problem was it was not given space to grow. Poor people are bonsai people. There is nothing wrong with their seed. Simply, society never allowed them the space to grow, so they remain stunted and we pity them. If you had provided them the space, they would be as tall as anybody else”. Poverty as an imposition: Mohammad Yunus (Nobel Prize 2006) Page 20 J Sachs: “Exploitation is the result of poverty” “Affluent nations have plundered and exploited poor countries through slavery, colonial rule & unfair trade practices. Yet … exploitation is the result of poverty (which left impoverished countries vulnerable to abuse) rather than the cause” “Poverty is generally the result of low productivity per worker, which reflects poor health, lack of job-skills, patchiness of infrastructure, chronic malnutrition etc. Exploitation played a role in producing some of these conditions, but deeper factors – (geographic isolation, endemic disease, ecological destruction, challenging conditions for food production) tend to be more important and difficult to overcome without external help”. Page 21 Here is the basic paradox – stuffed & starved in a world that produces enough for everyone. It raises the questions: What is the connection between those that have less than they need to survive and those who have so much that they are injuring themselves with the surplus? How can otherwise compassionate people be so indifferent to the suffering their lifestyles cause. Given the paucity of information in text & reference books, where can we learn what we will need in order to understand where we are and where we are going? Lets turn to the agents of change, those who are making the future Creating the future – agents of change Yunus Muhammad - Creating a world without poverty Loaned $76 to poor– Nobel Prize in 2006 Jeffrey Sachs - The end of poverty Voice for poorest of poor. Prev World Bank trouble-shooter Dambisa Moyo - Dead Aid (she’s against aid to the poor) “Creates dependence” Goldman-Sachs 2001-) Frances Moore Lappé - Diet for a Small Planet If any game of chance such unequal results Raj Patel - Stuffed & Starved Rules of economics rob the most needy of food Paul Collier - Bottom Billion Economist: discovery of resources is the worst! Nutrition in Global Health: Roadmap to a world without hunger 1. Understanding the problem (else can’t solve) 2. Myths as roadblocks to making hunger history 3. How we will make hunger history – 6 initiatives Page 25 More misconceptions, mostly deliberately chosen to whitewash governments and agencies like WTO, World Bank, etc. Very successful. Average US citizen thinks the US is giving about 30x as much in development is the case. Is not told that the greatest amount of US aid is military rather than development. Nor that most goes countries the US wants to coopt, invade, destabilize, or shore up. Most goes to Israel. US aid began in the 1950s as a way to dispose of surplus agricultural production. Dambisa Moyo is right about some kinds of aid – the kind that disempowers. More misconceptions about aid ... Ottawa, Washington, World Bank, WTO, free traders False: “Most of the aid money goes into the Swiss bank a/c’s of corrupt African dictators” “Aid creates dependence & impedes self-sufficiency” “Despite all the aid money their problems are getting worse” & “It’s their own fault” The truth: Very few leaders are corrupt by (say) ... Well planned aid targets capacity & self-sufficiency Most MDGs are being met, to the extent that rich countries honour their commitments. Blaming the bonsai tree. Page 27 Myth: Aid isn’t working Trade for profit instead Truth: Profit motive doesn’t work sustainable development aid Trillions wasted! - 1 b still starving works V little is wasted Population outstrips food supply Most aid corrupt dictators MDGs won’t be achieved Malthus is wrong Corrupt multinationals Broken promises Never promised 0.7% and anyway … … we give more than anyone! “Trade not aid” 2008 recession 28 You did so! ½ what EU gives! Trade barriers. Fair trade & aid “They” didn’t cause it Roadmap to a world without hunger The big lie: “Aid doesn’t work” 20 nations pledged 1974 to donate 0.7% of GNP to Aid. “No benefit! 1 billion are still starving” Truth: can you guess? Only 4 nations delivered! 22 renewed pledge 2001 Broke it again in 2002 4+2 nations did meet pledge: 800m now starving was 1600m ⇒ 800m spared!! Well done? No! :^( US pays < ¼ of promise Canada < ½ To a few: “well done”. To many: “800m still to go” Myth: Aid isn’t working Trade for profit instead Truth: Profit motive doesn’t work sustainable development aid Trillions wasted! - 1 b still starving works V little is wasted Population outstrips food supply Most aid corrupt dictators MDGs won’t be achieved Malthus is wrong Corrupt multinationals Broken promises Never promised 0.7% and anyway … … we give more than anyone! “Trade not aid” 2008 recession 30 You did so! ½ what EU gives! Trade barriers. Fair trade & aid “They” didn’t cause it World GDP $PPP per cap (est) 1500-2100 $10,000 3 Manifest destiny of world - wealth China + India 2040? USA + West Europe since 1945 Western Europe to 1945 China + India to 1850 $5,000 India to 1500 $0 1500 2000 http://ers.usda.gov/Data/Macroeconomics/ Number of malnourished world-wide See also: WHO, UN, WB, USDA, CIA, OECD, IFPRI 1000 UNICEF 2009 Millions under-nourished (FAO kcal / household) 900 800 kcal per household water-carrier surveyed 700 600 500 FAO data 400 300 200 http://www.unicef.org/media/files/Tra cking_Progress_on_Child_and_Mat ernal_Nutrition_EN_110309.pdf 100 0 1970 32 1980 1990 2000 2010 33% World % undernourished 22% 17% same data 15 1970 14% 1980 1990 2000 2010 33 Number fed & under-nourished worldwide Prediction millions 8000 Target Fed Malnourished 6000 4000 2000 33% 14% 11% 6% 0 1970 3 2010 2015 target 2030 FAO est 34 Percentage stunted http://www.unicef.org/media/files/Tracking_Progress_on_ Child_and_Maternal_Nutrition_EN_110309.pdf 60% http://ije.oxfordjournals.org/content/32/4/518.full.pdf Africa 40% Asia Latin Am 20% 1980 & every 5 years Last 2 or 3 points are projections 35 200m Number stunted http://www.who.int/mediacentre/factsheets/ fs290/en/index.html http://www.fao.org/mdg/en/ http://www.un.org/millenniumgoals/reports. shtml#mdgs Asia 100m Africa Latin Am 1980 & every 5 years 0 36 } Paying for total strangers to eat? Not us, not if it goes to corrupt dictators” 37 3 “Phantom aid”, the wasted 47% “Development aid”, not spent on poverty or development Lost to: Inefficiency Unfair trade Emergency aid Refugees Tied to benefit rich & Debt relief http://www.globalissues.org/articl e/35/foreign-aid-developmentassistance#GovernmentsCutting BackonPromisedResponsibilities Refers to ODA, not MDGs Real aid 53% 38 Rich... Corrupt Dictators? Accept personal & campaign “contributions” peddling influence. Could stop bribery at home & abroad by abolishing secret a/c wikipedia Swiss Air 600 Lockheed 400 200 0 -200 ... & Poor Accept “bribes” to give trade concessions that impoverish their people -400 -600 39 Misconceptions about aid ... Ottawa, Washington, World Bank, WTO, free traders False: “Most of the aid money goes into the Swiss bank a/c’s of corrupt African dictators” “Aid creates dependence & impedes selfsufficiency” “Despite all the aid $, problems are getting worse” & standards: when they are, bribes come from where? ...US “It’s their own fault” The truth: Very few leaders are corrupt by ... Page 40 Who gives 0.7% of GNP? Myths, truth, & omissions Myth: In absolute terms the USA gives more than anyone else Truth: $57.5: given by the EU’s 20 most developed countries $22.74: given by USA with about the same population US aid goes mostly to nations it can use Omissions: Kuwait gives 8.2% of GNO, Saudi Arabia 4% in 2002 Cuba may gives the highest % of GNP. China & India?? rruption The truth: NAm politicians, police? Very few African leaders are corrupt by (say) ... NAm standards. A country is oil rich; its people are hungry Who’s rips them off? Company who pays bribe? CIA that props up a puppet government? Local brokers who take the bribes? Surely all are the enemies of the Nigerian people! Roadblocks to a world without hunger The big lie: “Aid doesn’t work” 20 nations pledged 1974 to donate 0.7% of GNP to Aid. “No benefit! 1 billion are still starving” Truth: can you guess? Only 4 nations delivered! 22 renewed pledge 2001 Broke it again in 2002 4 nations did meet pledge: 800m now starving was 1600m ⇒ 800m spared!! US pays < ¼ of promise Well done? Canada < ½ To a few: “well done”. To many: “800m still to go” Predicted progress - % of people living in poverty http://go.worldbank.org/K7LWQUT9L0 Page 44 Is the situation hopeless? Let’s see … Extreme poverty is decreasing, worldwide. Failures in the Sahel are outweighed by successes in Asia - Africa needs attention MDGs will mostly be mostly met - not in the promised time frame; unless NAm & EU follow through on their commitments • Only 4 countries give the 0.7% of GDP agreed to in 1970. Denmark, Norway, Netherlands, Sweden “Does development aid do more harm than good?” Only, if wrongly delivered - We know what works & doesn’t • Science, not polemics or ideologies point the way Argument about strategies is counter-productive. The situation demands multiple approaches! Page 45 Nutrition in Global Health: Roadmap to a world without hunger 1. Understanding the problem (else can’t solve) 2. Myths as roadblocks to making hunger history 3. How we will make hunger history – 6 initiatives 4. What will we / should we choose? Page 46 Where do we choose to go from here? What the future holds depends on who you talk to! What options we have for the future, what we are choosing, what works and what doesn’t ... ... these topics will take up most of Module 41b The next few slides will provide a preview. • Some see the MDGs as viable & forsee dramatic decreases in poverty, hunger, & the burden of disease • Others write off the developing world as doomed, by corrupt dictators, HIV, and civil wars Let’s see what those who follow the evidence agree on Page 47 Food prospects in an uncertain economic future The World Bank report Dec 2008: Food Crisis - Global Economic Prospects 2009 http://www.worldbank.org/html/extdr/foodprices/ • Food production is likely to maintain pace with demand over the next few years. • While the economic collapse can diminish demand for fuels (thus moderating prices), people still have to eat, and there will be no decrease in demand for, or the price of, food. • The price of foods will devastate those who currently cannot afford even a minimally adequate diet. • As LMICs strengthen their economies, consumption of foods increases most in poorer countries: by 6% vs 1 or 2% in the rich. • As oil prices rise above $50 per barrel, it becomes increasingly profitable to convert food to fuel. Fuel costs impact food costs • Climate change, too has an unsettling effect. Page 48 Factors limiting future food availability Increasing cost-burden of food & food production • New priorities for spending - the war on terrorism • Resource depletion - increasing energy costs • Increasing cost of oil - chemical fertilizers, food diverted to fuel • Globalization & the increasing power of the food conglomerates • The global economic melt-down; differential impact on the poor Preoccupation of rich nations with their own problems • Debt crisis & borrowing by the rich countries → inflation • Printing money → inflation • Mega-dollars spent on the war on terror • Decreased government revenues → increased taxes All these lead to revocation of previous aid promises Uncertainties around climate change & many others Page 49 War and instability are incompatible with good nutrition “The U.S. has just established a new military command in Africa, declaring Africa to pose new security threats to the U.S. But even as the U.S. spends more than $600 billion on the military, and even as U.S. counterinsurgency forces spread out across the impoverished stretches of the Sahel, the U.S. will never achieve peace if it continues to spend less than one hundredth of the military budget on Africa's economic development. An army can never pacify a hungry, disease ridden, and impoverished population”. Economic Solidarity for a Crowded Planet 2007 Reith Lectures Jeffrey Sachs Page 50 Hunger is incompatible with peace “I firmly believe that we can create a poverty-free world if we collectively believe in it. In a poverty-free world, the only place you would be able to see poverty is in the poverty museums. When school children take a tour of the poverty museums, they would be horrified to see the misery and indignity that some human beings had to go through. They would blame their forefathers for tolerating this inhuman condition, which existed for so long, for so many people”. Muhammad Yunus Nobel Prize address 2006 Poverty is a Threat to Peace Page 51 Harbingers of change ... ... new credible voices call for a better world • Philanthropists: Bill Gates, Warren Buffet, George Soros &c • Microcredit: Muhammad Yunus (Nobel Prize 2006), Danone • Writers who speak for the dispossessed: Chang, Clapp, Collier, Curtis, Lappe, Maxwell, Naidoo, Patel, Sachs, Stiglitz, others • Young people: Two new graduate programs in Global Health in Canada, received over 1500 applicants from all over the world. • From direct contact, the students were spectacular: brilliant, well prepared, strongly motivated to become agents of change • Zinn’s Global Values 101 discovered a similar enthusiasm • Social Business: Beyond belief, the Grameen wellspring of innovation, hope, & faith in humanity towers above all Page 52 We now know what works & what doesn’t • All nations agreed to accept & work toward the Millennium Development Goals for the elimination of poverty • An unrestrained marketplace has failed to bring prosperity to either rich or poor countries • Strident voices allege that aid does no good. However, the problems with misdirected aid are easily overcome Unless we alleviate hunger, we cannot create a world without unrest. Neither can we pacify the hungry for long with bombs Page 53 Kinds of aid that don’t work To see an example of wasteful government aid, view on the MSF website: http://www.starvedforattention.org/#/stories/usa (start from part 2, half-way through the video) Page 54 Nutrition in Global Health: Roadmap to a world without hunger 1. Understanding the problem (else can’t solve) 2. Myths as roadblocks to making hunger history 3. How we will make hunger history – 6 initiatives 4. Wild-cards and unknowns Page 55 A vicious cycle for malnutrition poverty, health, economic deprivation Poverty: Diminished access to agricultural & food resources malnutrition high birth rate nutrition Health: Physical & cognitive impairment, susceptibility to disease, early death inability to earn an income Development: Marginalization inability to provide for self or family Access to the ladder of development Page 56 Routes to famine Being landlocked ... Lesotho So.Africa Discovering resources Nigeria, Iraq Being on a trade or pipeline route ... Bad governance ... Israel, Afghanistan Zimbabwe [USA] Externally initiated armed conflict … Uncertain rainfall & drought ... Sudan, Afghanistan Sahel, Palestine Blaming the bonsai tree... Yunus: We now know what works! Widespread agreement at conferences! Tool-kits for elimination of extreme poverty & hunger exist MDGs, change agents, Grameen, Millennium Village, Agencies & foundations for development. CIGHR, GHEC, Supercourse, Universities, Spokespersons for the developing nations We know what we can do to help right now. Need govt action! Resources, personnel, sharing what works, time needed to get on development ladder We know we can do it better! Need info & research New knowledge production, dissemination, data mining, knowledge brokering & application The poorest - don’t give them Money? No way to get it & money Jeffrey Sachs useless! • No one to employ anyone, no one to sell things to • No shops to spend money in • What they eat this month is what they can take out of the ground from last month's planting • Hungry & stunted kids tiny unmarked graves • Hospital, dispensary, emergency > 1 day walk More immediate than money – (1) to SURVIVE We don’t need studies to learn what’s needed Page 59 What do they need? Short term – “Give a man a fish ...” Emergency rations, safe water, first aid, antibiotics, public health – vaccinations, drugs, etc In conflict zones, shelter, safety to live, plant, harvest Millions saved oral rehydration solution ready to use foods Page 60 Emergency aid – beyond Survival at the same time (2) Sustainablity “... teach a man to fish” To become self-sufficient - obviously: good seeds, fertilizer, drinkable water, sanitation, low technology agricultural info & resources, drip-irrigation, ARVs mosquito nets, dispensaries, hospitals Long term – (3) To thrive Scaling up production - factories development ladder Innovations that makes a difference The Millennium Development Goals Grameen family of social enterprises The Millennium Village project The Kings of Philanthropy Influential voices for change … Web resources & GHEC Scientists & students who are making a difference You! ... Don’t believe 1 person can make a difference … $7 can deliver an insecticide treated mosquito net MGH students Social enterprises for those who are surviving – Grameen family Grameen family of Social Businesses 1 Grameen Community Development Bank for the poor (p) 2 Grameen Trust (np) 37 countries 3 Grameen Fund (np) Risk capital for small-med business 4 Grameen Telecom (np) poor to profit from a cell phone 5 Grameen Phone (p) 50% of all telephones in Bangladesh 6 Grameen Solutions (p) fast-growing software company 7 Grameen Communicns (np) soft & hardware networking 8 Grameen Fish & Livestock (np) village aquaculture & dairy 9 Grameen Shakti (np) renewable energy in remote regions 10 Grameen Shikkha (np) educational loans literacy & tech 11 Grameen Byabosa Bikash (np) supp for microcredit 12 Grameen Danone Foods (p&np) nutritious food near cost 13 Grameen America (p) alleviate poverty in working poor Bangladesh rocks http://www.grameenfoundation.org/ http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Grameen_family_of_organizations Microfinancing successes Drip irrigation allows winter cukes @ 3x price. 1A farm profit $100 $550 / yr Donkey carts ($200) repay in 2.5 mos Business Week 4 Factories for treadle pumps. 2y later there are 75 Grameen Impact http://www.grameenfoundation.org/our-impact Grameen village phone 10M subscribers 300k cell-phone ladies http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1UugpcDjjJU http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kW-4gJmXy5M 9.4 million poor have been helped 1,000,000 microloans have been generated Grameen Impact 9.4 million poor have been helped 1,000,000 microloans have been generated http://www.grameenfoundation.org/our-impact http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1UugpcDjjJU http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kW-4gJmXy5M Nutrition in Global Health: Roadmap to a world without hunger 1. Understanding the problem (else can’t solve) 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. Myths & lies: roadblocks to making hunger history The roots of hunger How we will make hunger history – 6 initiatives New tools that are changing the world Indicators of progress Wild-cards and unknowns Page 68 Innovations that make a difference Barefoot agriculturists Soil conservation, don’t burn contour farming, irrigation, Drip irrigation crop rotation Pump installation Millions fed Burkina Faso: planting-pits & stone furrows land food for 500,000 Phillipines: Tilapia in protein for 30,000,000 China: Hybrid rice in – enough for 60,000,000 Bangladesh: Market liberalization in rice yield 3x Innovations that make a difference Appropriate technology Watering can irrigation $25 pump irrigates ½ acre $100/y net sub-surface drip irrigation valve rainwater collection pits Zero-tillage wheat-seeder drill - $100? Doubled yield govt subsidy Farmer buys & rents to pay off 2 factories 100 in Haryana & Punjab Labour goes further. Earlier planting yield Farm production Nutritional services Millennium Village Project Water Environment $3m x 5yrs funded in advance Gender equity Energy & environment Health services Prevent malaria & TB Initiatives making a difference The Millennium Development Goals – for the poorest The Millennium Village project Grameen Family of social enterprises The Kings of Philanthropy & 100s of foundations Influential voices for change Scientists & students are making a difference You! ... Speak, write, telephone amplify with others @ SFU &? against 99.7% of tax on ourselves Vote Oxfam, IDRF (Can Revenue charities) Donate to leave enough for everyone Live International internship consider study abroad What kinds of aid don’t work? Aid designed to benefit the donor, not the recipient ... food aid 1950s surplus dumping ... food must be bought, processed, shipped by donor ... donor countries insist that recipient open their markets ... farmers in all rich countries lobby for barriers Not billions given to buy favours WTO? IMF? World bank? Read /google J Perkins “Confessions of an economic hit-man” Vandana Shiva How to tell who’s lying to you ... Be suspicious of those ... ... with a strong self-interest follow the money ... with history of lying, bribing, or cheating Canada ... who’s generosity extends only to their borders ... ... who speak from a dogmatic ideology ... small ears ... who allow no voice for the dispossessed ... who can’t admit a mistake ... who can’t accept that there are multiple paths ... professors They’re not all lying - maybe it’s 5 blind men & an elephant Don’t expect to agree with any one person ... look for common good Keep an open mind: free enterprise, free trade, GM seeds, globalization birth control / condoms? ... ... look for unbiased data next slide Yunus Pitfalls problems & roadblocks •Financial melt-down Diverts development & aid $ Increases the price of foods •National scale land purchases •Food fuel ... Also displaced persons & •War on terror ... Destroys the local economy •Nations in crippling debt to IMF & World Bank Vandana Shiva on Vandana Shiva on •Unfair trade practices globalization Food Laws •Climate change •Globalization of food economics Take home message •Catastrophic inequities in distribution of not just across nations – increasingly within foods water, status protein, iron, vitamin A, iodine •Kinds of nutritional & health impact perinatal - women and children by accident? Who’s responsible? needed •We’ve Not faced causes, know there What’s are cures Optimistic •As we face the future we are ... Impatient http://www.sfu.ca/global-nutrition Long term village needs tools for sustainable development Health & perinatal services Dispensary & emergency nurse within 7 miles Hospital within 50 miles Transport system Bicycle or motor-cycle ambulance Every village has a cell phone, & very truck-driver Steady-ish progress toward MDGs Goal Sub-targets likely to be achieved 1. Eradicate reduce poverty by ½ extreme poverty & developing countries’ export hunger earnings devoted to servicing external debt fell by ~50% 2 Universal primary Primary school enrolment of education at least 90% 3 Promote gender The gender parity index in equality, empower primary education > 95% women 4 Reduce child Measles deaths 89% of mortality children receive vaccinations 5 maternal health 6 infectious disease & safe water 7 Global partnership for development Malaria prevention tripled, AIDS: deaths new infections, tuberculosis 1.6b people have gained access to safe drinking water Unprecedented verbal agreement & generous promises At half-way, most MDGs are partly met. Action still needed Eradicate hunger: ½ those in subSaharan Africa may still live on < $1/d; ¼ of all children are underweight. Fairer trade unlikely Promising progress Of 113 countries 18 may achieve parity in 2o ed; Parity in employment & politics seems unlikely Child mortality has dropped by ½ but still too high Some progress, 500,000 pregnant women still die of complications Some 2.5 billion people, ½ developing world, live without approved sanitation In reality, aid expenditures declined for 2 years. Few meet 0.7% of GNP Only goal #2 is fully within reach! Page 80 Who gives 0.7% of GNP? Myths, truth, & omissions Myth: “In absolute terms the USA gives more than anyone else” Truth: $57.5: given by the EU’s 20 most developed countries $22.74: given by USA with about the same population US aid goes mostly to nations it can use militarily Omissions: Canada is in bottom 1/4 of rich nations Kuwait gives 8.2% of GNO, Saudi Arabia 4% in 2002 Cuba may give the highest % of GNP. China & India?? Web links to a world without hunger Clinton Global Initiative http://www.clintonglobalinitiative.org Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation http://www.gatesfoundation.org/Pages/home.aspx Grameen Family of Social Businesses http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Grameen_family_of_organizations Millennium Village Project (WHO, UN, Jeffrey Sachs) http://www.unmillenniumproject.org/ Official Development Aid Sweden, Luxenbourg, Norway, Netherlands, Denmark The Cuba, China model for bootstrap development spreading in Africa, Latin America, Middle East University Global Health initiatives Spreading in Latin America, Africa, USA, Australia, Canada, Switzerland – through student power, and top administration, not ... Population growth & nutrition Google Public Data (from World Bank) A new tool to learn what’s happening World population growth World under 5 mortality Wildcards and unknowns Economic meltdown; will it bring more sympathy & help for the hungry, or less when demand for food is increasing? Will the richest continue to redirect development aid to spreading a “war on terror”? The worlds richest nation now has a president with vision. Will he be allowed to “change”? In Africa, for whatever reasons, most nations are turning to China. Will they be made the theatre for a new cold war? Will the eastern nations, on whom the sun is now rising, be better global corporate citizens than those who went before? Cuba has done a spectacular job in providing excellent nutritional health for itself & others. Will we use its example? Climate change, will we find a fairer globalization, trade barriers Page 84 China & India - future role in development 1 of 3 In the ensuing 50 years, the combined GDP of two Asian countries will likely be more than double the total of their nearest 3 rivals. Clearly that has implications for development aid & relief of hunger, particularly in Africa Page 85 China & India - future role in development 1 of 3 The situation in complex, & only hindsight is 20-20 Nevertheless, the present & its prevailing trends are clear China has been forthright in its motives – to develop good relations with resource-rich Africa, & to take advantage of political and strategic blunders of its rivals on that continent In the economic climate prevailing in 2009 African economies are in strong decline. Simultaneously OECD investment is decreasing Chinese investment, aid, and loans have been increasing dramatically since 200 Page 86 Hope for Africa ... from China & India according to the Government of Canada Mr. Obhrai insisted that the government understands Canada's obligations in this regard and is committed to increasing ODA. He thought it more useful to focus on dollar values than ODA percentages. He emphasized that Canadian ODA is going up and now totals $4.4 billion, “a lot of money," he pointed out. It is twice what Canada was spending a few years ago and represents an extremely strong commitment by this government to development assistance. A more important question, Mr. Obhrai suggested, is how this money is being spent. Aid has to be effective and, to this end, the government is narrowing its focus from 107 to 25 countries. Unfortunately, recipient countries do not always have the capacity to absorb the money available. There is no lack of money, especially now that China and India have joined the ODA game; the challenge is to make effective use of it. India and China have already succeeded in moving large numbers of people out of poverty and this is what will happen in Africa. Mr. Obhrai underlined the necessity of investing in capacity to make a difference. The Government has significantly increased spending in defence and development with a view to Canada reassuming its position of leadership in the world. Page 87 There has seldom been a more pivotal time An upwelling of energy for action Page 88 Review your pre-quiz to confirm that you have advanced your knowledge. As we move now to think of the future, here is part of the pre-quiz for module 41b Does globalization promote nutritional health? For whom? Is free enterprize good for everyone? If not, for whom? Are African leaders dictators? Does most aid to Africa end up in their Swiss bank accounts? Does food aid do more harm than good? Academics argue fiercely about what should be done. Does that mean that we don’t know what to do? Page 89 Summary: What you’ve learned & its applications Nutritional health is not equitably distributed worldwide Correcting nutritional inequities is crucial to a viable future We've reviewed nutritional principles in global context Nutritional health, public health, & economics are inseparable Worst nutritional risks: water, protein, iron, vitamin A, iodine. This helps us know what to look for and what to recommend Across the life cycle, kids & mothers are at greatest risk So we know priorities & best practices for risk mitigation We have seen setbacks, slow progress toward the MDGs We have substantial agreement about what needs to be done We see powerful signs of hope: fortunes given away, crazy ideas, lending money to the poorest & getting it back, fresh voices We join those working for a better world with new clarity & energy Page 90 Innovations that make a difference Barefoot agriculturists Soil conservation, don’t burn contour farming, irrigation, Drip irrigation crop rotation Pump installation Millions fed Burkina Faso: planting-pits & stone furrows land food for 500,000 Phillipines: Tilapia in protein for 30,000,000 China: Hybrid rice in – enough for 60,000,000 Bangladesh: Market liberalization in rice yield 3x Innovations that make a difference Appropriate technology Watering can irrigation $25 pump irrigates ½ acre $100/y net sub-surface drip irrigation valve rainwater collection pits Zero-tillage wheat-seeder drill - $100? Doubled yield govt subsidy Farmer buys & rents to pay off 2 factories 100 in Haryana & Punjab Labour goes further. Earlier planting yield Farm production Nutritional services Millennium Village Project Water Environment $3m x 5yrs funded in advance Gender equity Energy & environment Health services Prevent malaria & TB Initiatives making a difference The Millennium Development Goals – for the poorest The Millennium Village project Grameen Family of social enterprises The Kings of Philanthropy & 100s of foundations Influential voices for change Scientists & students are making a difference You! ... Speak, write, telephone amplify with others @ SFU &? against 99.7% of tax on ourselves Vote Oxfam, IDRF (Can Revenue charities) Donate to leave enough for everyone Live International internship consider study abroad What kinds of aid don’t work? Aid designed to benefit the donor, not the recipient ... food aid 1950s surplus dumping ... food must be bought, processed, shipped by donor ... donor countries insist that recipient open their markets ... farmers in all rich countries lobby for barriers Not billions given to buy favours WTO? IMF? World bank? Read /google J Perkins “Confessions of an economic hit-man” Vandana Shiva How to tell who’s lying to you ... Be suspicious of those ... ... with a strong self-interest follow the money ... with history of lying, bribing, or cheating Canada ... who’s generosity extends only to their borders ... ... who speak from a dogmatic ideology ... small ears ... who allow no voice for the dispossessed ... who can’t admit a mistake ... who can’t accept that there are multiple paths ... professors They’re not all lying - maybe it’s 5 blind men & an elephant Don’t expect to agree with any one person ... look for common good Keep an open mind: free enterprise, free trade, GM seeds, globalization birth control / condoms? ... ... look for unbiased data next slide Yunus Pitfalls problems & roadblocks •Financial melt-down Diverts development & aid $ Increases the price of foods •National scale land purchases •Food fuel ... Also displaced persons & •War on terror ... Destroys the local economy •Nations in crippling debt to IMF & World Bank Vandana Shiva on Vandana Shiva on •Unfair trade practices globalization Food Laws •Climate change •Globalization of food economics Take home message •Catastrophic inequities in distribution of not just across nations – increasingly within foods water, status protein, iron, vitamin A, iodine •Kinds of nutritional & health impact perinatal - women and children by accident? Who’s responsible? needed •We’ve Not faced causes, know there What’s are cures Optimistic •As we face the future we are ... Impatient http://www.sfu.ca/global-nutrition Long term village needs tools for sustainable development Health & perinatal services Dispensary & emergency nurse within 7 miles Hospital within 50 miles Transport system Bicycle or motor-cycle ambulance Every village has a cell phone, & very truck-driver Steady-ish progress toward MDGs Goal Sub-targets likely to be achieved 1. Eradicate reduce poverty by ½ extreme poverty & developing countries’ export hunger earnings devoted to servicing external debt fell by ~50% 2 Universal primary Primary school enrolment of education at least 90% 3 Promote gender The gender parity index in equality, empower primary education > 95% women 4 Reduce child Measles deaths 89% of mortality children receive vaccinations 5 maternal health 6 infectious disease & safe water 7 Global partnership for development Malaria prevention tripled, AIDS: deaths new infections, tuberculosis 1.6b people have gained access to safe drinking water Unprecedented verbal agreement & generous promises At half-way, most MDGs are partly met. Action still needed Eradicate hunger: ½ those in subSaharan Africa may still live on < $1/d; ¼ of all children are underweight. Fairer trade unlikely Promising progress Of 113 countries 18 may achieve parity in 2o ed; Parity in employment & politics seems unlikely Child mortality has dropped by ½ but still too high Some progress, 500,000 pregnant women still die of complications Some 2.5 billion people, ½ developing world, live without approved sanitation In reality, aid expenditures declined for 2 years. Few meet 0.7% of GNP Only goal #2 is fully within reach! Page Who gives 0.7% of GNP? Myths, truth, & omissions Myth: “In absolute terms the USA gives more than anyone else” Truth: $57.5: given by the EU’s 20 most developed countries $22.74: given by USA with about the same population US aid goes mostly to nations it can use militarily Omissions: Canada is in bottom 1/4 of rich nations Kuwait gives 8.2% of GNO, Saudi Arabia 4% in 2002 Cuba may give the highest % of GNP. China & India?? Myth: Aid isn’t working Trade for profit instead Truth: Profit motive doesn’t work sustainable development aid Trillions wasted! - 1 b still starving works V little is wasted Population outstrips food supply Most aid corrupt dictators MDGs won’t be achieved Malthus is wrong Corrupt multinationals Broken promises Never promised 0.7% and anyway … … we give more than anyone! “Trade not aid” 2008 recession 10 You did so! ½ what EU gives! Trade barriers. Fair trade & aid “They” didn’t cause it World GDP $PPP per cap (est) 1500-2100 $10,000 1 Manifest destiny of world - wealth China + India 2040? USA + West Europe since 1945 Western Europe to 1945 China + India to 1850 $5,000 India to 1500 $0 1500 2000 http://ers.usda.gov/Data/Macroeconomics/ Number of malnourished world-wide See also: WHO, UN, WB, USDA, CIA, OECD, IFPRI 1000 UNICEF 2009 Millions under-nourished (FAO kcal / household) 900 800 kcal per household water-carrier surveyed 700 600 500 FAO data 400 300 200 http://www.unicef.org/media/files/Tra cking_Progress_on_Child_and_Mat ernal_Nutrition_EN_110309.pdf 100 0 1970 106 1980 1990 2000 2010 33% World % undernourished 22% 17% same data 15 1970 14% 1980 1990 2000 107 2010 Number fed & under-nourished worldwide Prediction millions 8000 Target Fed Malnourished 6000 4000 2000 33% 14% 11% 6% 0 1970 1 2010 2015 target 2030 FAO 108 est Percentage stunted http://www.unicef.org/media/files/Tracking_Progress_on_ Child_and_Maternal_Nutrition_EN_110309.pdf 60% http://ije.oxfordjournals.org/content/32/4/518.full.pdf Africa 40% Asia Latin Am 20% 1980 & every 5 years Last 2 or 3 points are projections 109 200m Number stunted http://www.who.int/mediacentre/factsheets/ fs290/en/index.html http://www.fao.org/mdg/en/ http://www.un.org/millenniumgoals/reports. shtml#mdgs Asia 100m Africa Latin Am 1980 & every 5 years 0 110 } Paying for total strangers to eat? Not us, not if it goes to corrupt dictators” 111 1 “Phantom aid”, the wasted 47% “Development aid”, not spent on poverty or development Lost to: Inefficiency Unfair trade Emergency aid Refugees Tied to benefit rich & Debt relief http://www.globalissues.org/articl e/35/foreign-aid-developmentassistance#GovernmentsCutting BackonPromisedResponsibilities Refers to ODA, not MDGs Real aid 53% 112 Rich... Corrupt Dictators? Accept personal & campaign “contributions” peddling influence. Could stop bribery at home & abroad by abolishing secret a/c wikipedia Swiss Air 600 Lockheed 400 200 0 -200 ... & Poor Accept “bribes” to give trade concessions that impoverish their people -400 -600 11 We know what works • Transparent & accountable , open bids • Partnerships not paternalism • Goals, objectives, timed milestones • Strategies revised annually by both partners • Externally monitored. No political pressure • Sustainable emphasis on poverty, agriculture • Serves recipient needs, not donor / ideology • Firm long-term commitments: MV, Grameen 11 Unrealistic? Let’s see ... Beyond MDGs: amazing changes •The Millennium Village project •Grameen Family of social enterprises •Billionaire philanthropists & foundations •Instant spread of innovations: agric, educ, &c •Passionate & influential voices for change •Scientists & students bring energy to future 11 www.sfu.ca/global-nutrition Passionate renegades 116 11 The End adavison@sfu.ca www.sfu.ca/global-hunger adavison@sfu.ca www.sfu.ca/global-hunger 117 11 Web links to a world without hunger Clinton Global Initiative http://www.clintonglobalinitiative.org Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation http://www.gatesfoundation.org/Pages/home.aspx Grameen Family of Social Businesses http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Grameen_family_of_organizations Millennium Village Project (WHO, UN, Jeffrey Sachs) http://www.unmillenniumproject.org/ Official Development Aid Sweden, Luxenbourg, Norway, Netherlands, Denmark The Cuba, China model for bootstrap development spreading in Africa, Latin America, Middle East University Global Health initiatives Spreading in Latin America, Africa, USA, Australia, Canada, Switzerland – through student power, and top administration, not ... Population growth & nutrition Google Public Data (from World Bank) A new tool to learn what’s happening World population growth World under 5 mortality Credits • [Add author 1 information] • [Add author 2 information] • [Add … ] Slide instructions Place this Credits slide before the End of module slide. Please erase this box after its reading. Page 120 End of module Please refer to the supplementary contents for more information about this module. [Reserved for GHEC notes]