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DISCUSSED DURING HAWKTRADE MEETINGS. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investment returns and principal value will fluctuate, so that
investors' shares, when sold, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Investing in any financial instruments does not guarantee that an investor will make
money, avoid losing capital, or indicate that the investment is risk-free. There are no absolute guarantees in investing. HAWKTRADE and its members do not bear any
responsibility for losses or gains made by members trading on their personal accounts based on analysis from HAWKTRADE meetings.
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Current Market Events
Economic Data
Trading Competition Results
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Sony has been a victim of a cyber attack
Employees have been threatened and there
are rumors that the hack has been going on
for over a year
North Korea is the main suspect, provoked by
the new Seth Rogen movie
Sony 2014 Historical Prices
18000000
$25.00
16000000
$20.00
14000000
12000000
$15.00
10000000
Volume
High
8000000
Low
$10.00
6000000
4000000
$5.00
2000000
0
1/2/14
$-
2/2/14
3/2/14
4/2/14
5/2/14
6/2/14
7/2/14
8/2/14
9/2/14
10/2/14
11/2/14
12/2/14
Adj Close
Recent Price History
$25.00
y = 0.0903x - 3635.9
R² = 0.8931
$20.00
$15.00
2 month price history
1 SD above
1 SD below
$10.00
$5.00
$10/1/14 10/8/14 10/15/14 10/22/14 10/29/14 11/5/14 11/12/14 11/19/14 11/26/14 12/3/14
Linear (2 month price history)
Close - Open
$0.80
$0.60
$0.40
$0.20
$-
$(0.20)
$(0.40)
Close - Open
Linear (Close - Open)
When Target Got Breached
$66.00
$64.00
$62.00
y = -0.0729x + 2989.5
R² = 0.7262
$60.00
Prices
$58.00
Linear (Prices)
$56.00
$54.00
$52.00
$50.00
11/1/13 11/8/13 11/15/13 11/22/13 11/29/13 12/6/13 12/13/13 12/20/13 12/27/13 1/3/14
1/10/14 1/17/14 1/24/14
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United States is producing nearly 9 million
barrels of oil daily.
Highest levels of production all-time.
Crude oil closed around $65 on Friday, and
could continue to see greater declines.



OPEC (Organization of Pretroleum Exporting
Countries) announced last week that it would
not cut production.
Members include Saudi Arabia, Iran,
Venezuela, Iraq.
Saudi Arabi produces nearly 10 million barrels
daily, sees prices stabilizing around $60.




OPEC believes it stabilizes around $60.
Some U.S. shale players believe breakeven is
around $40, and oil could settle in the $50’s.
OPEC has made it clear that it has no
intention of reducing daily production from
30 million.
Iran is already taking a hit, requiring oil prices
around $100.



Consumer Discretionary sector – consumers
spend less money at the pumps, more on
discretionary items
Airlines – fuel costs remain low, make up the
majority of operating expenses
Automotive – consumers are more likely to
buy cars when gas in low
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P & E oil company with a focus on crude oil,
natural gas and natural gas liquids
Domestic onshore driller
Currently trading well below analyst
consensus
George Soro’s owns an 8% stake in the
company
PVA Historical Prices
25000000
$20.00
$18.00
20000000
$16.00
$14.00
15000000
$12.00
$10.00
Volume
High
Low
10000000
$8.00
$6.00
5000000
$4.00
$2.00
$-
1
19
37
55
73
91
109
127
145
163
181
199
217
235
253
271
289
307
325
343
361
379
397
415
433
451
469
487
505
523
541
559
577
595
613
631
649
667
685
0
Adj Close
Yearly Price History & Trend Line
$20.00
$18.00
y = -0.0003x2 + 22.821x - 460052
R² = 0.8734
$16.00
$14.00
$12.00
2014 prices
$10.00
The Street
Poly. (2014 prices)
$8.00
$6.00
$4.00
$2.00
$1/2/14
2/2/14
3/2/14
4/2/14
5/2/14
6/2/14
7/2/14
8/2/14
9/2/14
10/2/14
11/2/14
12/2/14
3-month price chart
$18.00
$16.00
$14.00
y = -0.092x + 3732
R² = 0.8355
$12.00
$10.00
Historical prices
Concensus
$8.00
Linear (Historical prices)
$6.00
$4.00
$2.00
$9/2/14 9/9/14 9/16/14 9/23/14 9/30/14 10/7/14 10/14/1410/21/1410/28/14 11/4/14 11/11/1411/18/1411/25/14 12/2/14
2014 Oil and gas properties
137,464
Proved
Unproved
$450,601
2013 Oil and gas properties
101,520
Proved
Unproved
$460,255
Crude Oil
14,000.00
12,000.00
10,000.00
8,000.00
2014 Crude oil
2013 Crude Oil
6,000.00
4,000.00
2,000.00
0.00
South Texas
East Texas
Mid-Continent
Mississippi
Appalachia
Natural Gas
14.00
12.00
10.00
8.00
2014
2013
6.00
4.00
2.00
0.00
South Texas
East Texas
Mid-Continent
Mississippi
Appalachia
NGLs
2,500.00
2,000.00
1,500.00
2014
2013
1,000.00
500.00
0.00
South Texas
East Texas
Mid-Continent
Mississippi
Appalachia
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
Non-farm payrolls came in at 321,000 vs.
consensus of 230,000.
Unemployment rate stayed consistent at
5.8%.
Best month of job growth since February
2012.



Real GDP for the 3rd quarter came in at 3.9%
vs. consensus of 3.3%.
Revised up from first estimate of 3.5%.
Points to an improving economy, and
suggests Q1 could be attributed to the
extreme weather.
Date
1/9/14
1/17/14
1/28/14
2/5/14
2/13/14
2/24/14
3/4/14
3/12/14
3/20/14
3/28/14
4/7/14
4/15/14
4/24/14
5/2/14
5/12/14
5/20/14
5/29/14
6/6/14
6/16/14
6/24/14
7/2/14
7/11/14
7/21/14
7/29/14
8/6/14
8/14/14
8/22/14
9/2/14
9/10/14
9/18/14
9/26/14
10/6/14
10/14/14
10/22/14
10/30/14
11/7/14
11/17/14
11/25/14
12/4/14
Historical VIX Levels
35
30
25
20
Adj Close
15
Low Level
10
High Level
5
0
Holding the underlying
stock, buying
protective puts and
selling call options
 Good to use if you
want to collect
premiums while
protecting against
movements in the
underlying

1
7
13
19
25
31
37
43
49
55
61
67
73
79
85
91
97
103
109
115
121
127
133
139
145
151
157
163
169
175
181
187
193
199
205
211
217
223
229
235
241
247
Historical 10 Yr Interest Rates
3.5
3
2.5
2
2012 Rates
1.5
2013 Rates
2014 Rates
1
0.5
0
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
Phil Wingert
Dalton Streff
Michael Canfield
Dylan Half
Craig Fernandes
Austin Panek