Update to the Staffing and Infrastructure Model: A Model for Adequate Forensic Scientist Staffing and Funding of the Nation’s Forensic Science Crime Laboratories Garry J. Bombard, Ph. D. Loyola University Chicago Why the Model? ► Public Policy Analyses Viewpoint Lack of Data ► Forensic Laboratory Viewpoint Lack of Data Understaffed, Under Budgeted, More with Less “Field of Dreams” Syndrome Current National Trends Why the Model? ► Window of Opportunity is Starting to Open S.2177: Needs Analysis ► We Need to Frame and Justify Our Needs Previous Demonstration Projects Current Research/Demonstration Projects Future Research/Demonstration Projects Goal and Objectives of Model ► Create foundational data for determining the needs and costs for the forensic science community. Model should be dynamic and robust, yet versatile and flexible. The model should incorporate the realistic needs of the forensic science community. The model should provide the quantitative data for various policy analyses. History of Model ► ► ► ► ► ► Created in 2004 ASCLD Poster for Refinement (2005) ASCLD Poster Utilizing Model in DNA Burglary Demonstration Project (2007) AAFS Annual Meeting (2008) Midwest Laboratory Director’s Meeting (2008) Updated Model (2012-2015) Overview of Model ► Provides Two Staffing Levels Minimal Ideal ► Provides Two Sets of Data Infrastructure and New Headcount (Needs and Costs) Annual Costs Model Improvements ► Expands Number of Sections: Four (4) Biggest to Ten (10) including DNA Database ► Sophisticated Modeling Program vs Manual Evaluations ► Better Data Available Main Data Sources ► FBI Uniform Crime Reports (1993 – 2013) ► Survey of Publicly Funded Crime Labs (2009): Published and Raw Data Analyses ► Foresight (2013) ► Crime Lab Design (Ken Mohr) Model Examples: Crimes Reported Crimes: 1993-2013 Crimes Calculated to 2017 Cleared 2017 Total Homicides Cleared Rate Biology/DNA % Cases 2017 11,556 Homicides: Firearms 7,921 100.0% 7,921 100.00 7,921 Homicides: Knives/Cutting 1,160 100.0% 1,160 100.00 1,160 345 100.0% 345 100.00 345 1,539 100.0% 1,539 75.00 1,154 74,521 100.0% 74,521 100.00 74,521 Homicides: Blunt Objects Homicides: Unidentified weapons and personal Forcible Rape Model Examples: Crimes Reported Crimes: 1993-2013 Crimes Calculated to 2017 Cleared 2017 Total Homicides Cleared Rate Biology/DNA % Cases 2017 11,556 Homicides: Firearms 7,921 63.8% 5,054 100.00 5,054 Homicides: Knives/Cutting 1,160 63.8% 740 100.00 740 345 63.8% 220 100.00 220 1,539 63.8% 982 75.00 736 74,521 38.3% 28,542 100.00 28,542 Homicides: Blunt Objects Homicides: Unidentified weapons and personal Forcible Rape Model Examples: Cases, Headcount, and Costs DNA Database: Cases and Headcount Projections Arrests to Cases Total Database Cases DNA Database Costs 10,453,725 Infrastructure Total New Database Cases 5,226,863 Headcount Projections Cases Worked per FS (2009) Forensic Scientists Required Less Current FSs (2009) New FS Headcount New Technical Support Headcount (9% [1]) Buildings Equipment Training (Personnel and Commodities) $ $ 22,886,370.68 307,364,288.48 % Capital Expense as a proportion of Total Expense (Mean: Foresight) Total Capital Expenses 2,072 $ 6.93% 22,886,370.68 233 $ 1,839 4,639,003.50 330,250,659.17 1,839 $ 744,200,682.75 New Headcount New Headcount cases worked Total Headcount costs 165 Annual Costs New Managerial Headcount (14% [1]) Upper Management (4:1 ratio of Middle Mgt) New Clerical Headcount (9% [1]) Additional Headcount Requirements 2523 Median Foresight: 2523 [1]: CLS 2009; pg 9 $ 71.19 Cost per Case (Mean from Foresight) 257 64 165 Total Cases x cost/ case Model Examples: One Time Costs New Headcount Forensic Scientists Technical Support Middle Managers Upper Managers Clerical Support Forensic Biology #'s Salaries 11,033 993 $47,754,809 1,545 $144,013,906 386 $40,398,960 993 $47,754,809 14,950 #'s 17,192 1,547 2,407 602 1,152 22,900 DNA Salaries $74,414,137 $224,410,289 $62,951,854 $55,397,191 DNA Database #'s Salaries 1,839 165 $7,958,369 257 $24,000,007 64 $6,732,512 165 $7,958,369 2,491 Infrastructure (One Time Cost) Building Forensic Scientists Managerial $10,192,025,501 $895,615,117 $15,881,767,605 $1,395,596,112 $1,698,507,419 $149,254,819 Techincal/Clerical Support $555,859,933 $755,493,711 $92,634,405 $71,459,939 $297,666,563 $22,886,371 $1,197,810,735 $2,381,600,432 $307,364,288 $13,192,693,710 $21,129,297,893 $2,317,296,559 Equipment Training (Personnel and Commodities) Totals Model Examples: Annual Costs Biology Screening Headcount #'s Salaries DNA #'s Salaries #'s Salaries Forensic Scientists 11,472 Technical Support 1,032 $49,654,930 1,666 $80,114,498 186 $8,966,861 Managerial 1,606 $149,744,088 2,591 $241,600,836 290 $27,041,311 402 $42,006,398 648 $67,774,167 73 $7,585,662 1,032 $49,654,930 1,666 $80,114,498 186 $8,966,861 Upper Management Clerical Support Total Staff Annual Expenses Totals 18,509 DNA Database 15,545 2,072 25,080 $1,319,773,801 $1,610,834,146 2,807 $ 2,884,507,433 $3,354,111,432 $ 744,200,683 $796,761,379 Model Calculations Minimal Staffing (Clearance Minimal or Arrest Staffing Rate): (Clearance All or Arrest Rate): All Crimes Crimes New Headcount New CostsHeadcount Ideal Staffing: All Crimes New Headcount Costs For Bio 3,723 For $Bio 3,285,119,2423,723 $ DNA 5,068 DNA$ DNA DB 2,491 DNA$ DB2,317,296,5592,491 $ LFP 1,833 LFP $ FA TM 1,175 FA TM $ 1,120,790,6671,175 $ Costs For Bio 3,285,119,242 DNA 4,676,097,915 DNA DB 2,317,296,559 LFP 1,602,890,969 FA TM 1,120,790,667 Drug 1,605 Drug $ 1,428,639,7381,605 $ Drug 1,428,639,738 Trace 3,345 Trace $ 3,468,048,7453,345 $ Trace 3,468,048,745 24,394 $ 25,719,907,297 Impression 4,476 Impression $ 4,245,160,7544,476 $ Impression 4,245,160,754 32,661 $ 30,976,238,671 Tox Tox 13 $ QD 3,249 QD $ Total 26,978 4,676,097,9155,068 $ 1,602,890,9691,833 $ 14,950 $ 13,192,693,710 22,900 $ 21,129,297,893 2,491 $ 2,317,296,559 9,592 $ 8,388,040,398 8,355 $ 7,968,621,227 1,822 $ 1,622,589,040 13 $ Tox 142,856,875 1,132 $ 1,186,837,729 3,066,633,3683,249 $ QD 3,066,633,368 8,019 $ 7,568,856,564 25,353,534,832 Total 26,978 25,353,534,832 Total 142,856,875 126,317 120,070,379,088 2013 UCR: 13,051 Police Agencies with 902,410 FTEs in LE: 626,942 Sworn; 275,468 Civilian Further Improvements ► Current Case Distribution to Sections and within Sections ► Better Foresight Data (Increase the 83 Current Contributors) ► Better Building Projections (space and cost) through Crime Lab Design’s SABER Program Acknowledgements ► Paul Speaker, Foresight Project at WVU ► Matt Durose, BJS ► Ken Mohr, Crime Lab Design