Measuring Decent Work through labour force surveys

advertisement

ILO Department of Statistics

Measuring Decent Work through labour force surveys

Elisa M. Benes

Household Surveys Unit

ILO Department of Statistics

Email: benes@ilo.org

Workshop on Challenges and Strategies in

Improving Labour Statistics in Africa

Bamako, Mali (22-24 November 2010)

Contents

• Labour force surveys relevance & topic coverage

• Decent work indicators measurable through household surveys

• Informal employment

• Labour underutilization

• Periodicity of data & labour force survey arrangements

• Current ILO activities

ILO Department of Statistics 2

LFS relevance & topic coverage

PEOPLE

• Age/Sex

• Marital status

• Education

HOUSEHOLDS

•Size/Composition

• Income/benefits

• Location

Current activity status (in the reference week) of working age population

EMPLOYED (all jobs)

• Branch of economic activity

• Occupation

• Institutional sector

• Status in employment

• Contract characteristics

• Informal employment

• Informal sector employment

• Working time (usual & actual hours)

• Time-related underemployment & other inadequate employment

• Income from employment

• Employment-related benefits

• Social dialogue

ILO Department of Statistics

UNEMPLOYED

• Search methods

• Duration

• Qualifications

• Previous work exp.

• Characteristics of last job

• Receipt benefits

NOT IN LF

• Reasons

• Desire to work

• Availability

• Job search

• Qualifications

• Previous work exp.

• Characteristics of last job

• Receipt benefits

Best source of information about the

Economically Active Population

-One single source for Working Age Population (WAP)

-All types of workers, jobs, branches of economic activity

-Flexible, detailed probing permits precise measurement 3

Decent work indicators measurable through household surveys

• More than half of the Decent Work indicators have as main source a household survey (Labour Force Surveys, Labour

Force module, or child labour survey)

– Main indicators: 12 out of 18 indicators

– Additional & future indicators: 16 out of 29 indicators

• Household surveys are also an important source of contextual indicators

– 5 out of 11 indicators

ILO Department of Statistics 4

Decent work indicators measurable through Labour Force Surveys

Main indicators

• Employment-to-population ratio

• Unemployment rate

• Youth not in education & not in employment

• Informal employment

• Low pay rate

• Excessive hours

Child labour*

• % employed in precarious work

• Occupational segregation by sex

• Female share of employment in ISCO groups 11 & 12

• % pop. 65+ benefiting from a pension

• Union density rate

ILO Department of Statistics

Additional/future indicators

• Labour force participation rate

• Youth unemployment rate

• Unemployment by level of education

• Employment by status in employment

• % Own account workers & contributing family workers in total employment

• % wage employment in non-agricultural employment

• Labour underutilization

• Employees with recent job training

• Usual hours worked (hour bands)

• Rate of time-related underemployment

• Number/wages of casual/daily workers

• Gender wage gap

• Share of population covered by (basic) health care provision

• Share of EAP contributing to a pension scheme

5

Decent work indicators measurable through Labour Force Surveys

Main indicators

• Employment-to-population ratio

• Unemployment rate

Additional/future indicators

• Labour force participation rate

• Youth unemployment rate

• Unemployment by level of education

• Youth not in educ. & not in employment

• Informal employment

• Low pay rate

• Excessive hours

Child labour*

• % employed in precarious work

• Occupational segregation by sex

• Female share of employment in ISCO groups 11 & 12

• Employment by status in employment

• % Own account workers & contributing family workers in total employment

• % wage employment in non-agricultural employment

• Labour underutilization

• Employees with recent job training

• Usual hours worked (hour bands)

• Rate of time-related underemployment

• % pop. 65+ benefiting from a pension

• Union density rate

Most indicators are already a core part of LFS

ILO Department of Statistics

• Number/wages of casual/daily workers

• Gender wage gap

• Share of population covered by (basic) health care provision

• Share of EAP contributing to a pension scheme

6

Decent work indicators measurable through Labour Force Surveys

Measurement based on

• Standards adopted by the International Conference of Labour

Statisticians (ICLS)

• Countries’ best practices in measurement through labour force surveys

Few in developmental stage

• Measurement of income from employment through household surveys

• Indicator(s) of labour underutilization

• Measurement of indicators on stability and security at work, …

ILO Department of Statistics 7

Relevance of LFS statistics

Employment

Stability & security

Informal employment

Voice & representation

Informal sector employment

ILO Department of Statistics 8

Relevance of LFS statistics

Excessive hrs.

Time –Related

Underemployment

Low pay

GPG

ILO Department of Statistics 9

Relevance of

LFS statistics

ILO Department of Statistics unemployment

Labour market attachment

10

Relevance of

LFS statistics

ILO Department of Statistics

Characteristics of unemployed & labour market attachment

11

Informal employment

Informal employment as % of total employment

ILO Department of Statistics

Informal employment

• Adopted by 17 th International Conference of Labour

Statisticians (2003)

• To complement informal sector employment as a related but different concept

– Informal sector employment: enterprise-based concept

– Informal employment: job-based concept

• Refer to different aspects of the informalization of employment

• Important to measure in a coherent & consistent manner with informal sector employment

13

Definition of informal employment

17 th ICLS (2003)

Informal employment refers to

Total number of informal jobs, whether carried out in formal sector enterprises, informal sector enterprises, or households (paid domestic workers, production for own-consumption), during a given reference period

Key elements

– Job-based concept (focus on characteristics of the job)

– Includes all jobs (main & secondary jobs)

– Includes jobs in all types of production units

– Includes workers in all status in employment

– Includes all branches of economic activity (agriculture & non-agricult)

ILO Department of Statistics 14

Relation between informal sector employment & informal employment

Production units

Informal sector enterprises

Other units of production

(formal sector enterprises & households)

Informal jobs Formal jobs

A B

C D

Informal employment

Informal sector employment

Informal employment outside of the informal sector

Employment in the informal economy

A + C

A + B

C

A + B + C

ILO Department of Statistics 15

Relation between informal sector employment & informal employment

Informal jobs outside of

IS enterprises

ILO Department of Statistics

Informal employment

Informal sector employment

Formal jobs in

IS enterprises

TOTAL EMPLOYMENT

16

Who has an informal job? (1)

• Criteria to determine the formal / informal nature of jobs depends on status in employment

Employees

– Have informal jobs if their employment relationship is, in law or in practice, not subject to national labour legislation, income taxation, social protection or entitlement to certain employment benefits (advance notice of dismissal, severance pay, paid annual or sick leave, etc.)

Note: Definition covers (i) de jure informal jobs and (ii) de facto informal jobs.

ILO Department of Statistics 17

Measurement of informal jobs of employees in LFS

Operational criteria to identify employees in informal jobs:

• Lack of contributions to social security system by employer

• Lack of entitlement to paid annual leave

• Lack of entitlement to paid sick leave

Note, it is not sufficient to use:

Lack of written employment contract

Casual/temporary nature of work

ILO Department of Statistics 18

Who has an informal job? (2)

Self-employed

• Employers, own-account workers & members of producers’ coop.

– Formal/informal nature of job depends on characteristics of enterprise

– Have informal jobs if their enterprises are part of the informal sector

• Contributing family members

– Employment usually not subject to labour legislation, no contractual relationship

– All have informal jobs regardless of whether the enterprise is formal or informal

• Engaged in production for own final use by household

– Employment not subject to labour legislation

– All have informal jobs

ILO Department of Statistics 19

Measurement of informal jobs of self-employed in LFS

Informal employment of self employed

• Employers’, own account workers, members of producers cooperatives

– Requires identification of the enterprise or cooperative as belonging to the informal sector

• Contributing family members

– Question on status in employment

• Engaged in production for own final use by their household

– Question on branch of economic activity (industry)

– ISIC, Rev. 3/3.1/4 permits identification (9810)

ILO Department of Statistics 20

30

20

10

0

60

50

40

90

80

70

Figure 1.

Informal Employment and Employment in the Informal Sector in Ten

Selected Countries, latest year available a/

(Percent of total non-agricultural employment) b/

Informal employment Employment in the informal sector

Source: ILO. In Brazil, estimates based on official data from various sources. In Colombia, Ecuador, Mali, Mexico, Panama, Peru and South Africa: ILO estimates computed from labour force survey micro data. In Moldova and Turkey, labour force survey data. a/ In Brazil, 2003 data. In Mali, South Africa, Moldova and Turkey, 2004 data. In Colombia, Ecuador, Mexico, Panama and Peru, 2007 data. b/ In Brazil, Mali, Moldova, South Africa and Turkey, estimates are provided as a percent of total non-agricultural employment. In all other countries, data are provided as a percent of total employment in urban areas.

International Labour Office

Department of Statistics

ILO Department of Statistics

Labour underutilization

Labour underutilization

• Intended uses

– To supplement the unemployment rate and be reported along with it

– Broad measure of the employment problem that:

• better reflects people’s perception of “unemployment”

• i.e. captures key economic AND social dimensions of

“unemployment”

• Proposed scope

– Key mismatches between labour supply and demand

– Undervalued labour

ILO Department of Statistics 23

Labour underutilization

• Key characteristics

– Fully consistent with labour force framework

– Builds on existing related concepts

– Readily measurable with data from labour force surveys

– Single composite indicator

– Can be broken down into its components for deeper analysis and policy-making

ILO Department of Statistics 24

Envisioned use of the indicator

(

18 th ICLS, room document 13, page 28

)

ILO Department of Statistics 25

Labour force as a continuum

From…

Employed Unemployed

Economically active population

(Labour force)

Not economically active

ILO Department of Statistics 26

Labour force as a continuum

To…

Employed Unemployed Not economically active

Labour underutilization

ILO Department of Statistics 27

Components of labour underutilization a. Labour slack Insufficient volume of work b. Skills underutilization

Inadequate match between education and occupation c. Low earnings Low remuneration of work

ILO Department of Statistics 28

Components of labour underutilization (1) a. Labour slack Insufficient volume of work

• Unemployed

• Time-related underemployed

Labour slack among economically active persons

• Discouraged jobseekers

Labour slack among

• Other inactive persons marginally inactive persons attached to the LF

Requires development of a classification of persons not in the labour force (based on desire to work, availability & job search)

ILO Department of Statistics 29

Components of labour underutilization (2) b. Skills underutilization

Inadequate match between education and occupation

• Persons employed in jobs with skills requirements below educational attainment

Measurement based on level of educational attainment

(ISCED 1997) and 1 digit occupational classification

(ISCO-08) applied to main job only

ILO Department of Statistics 30

Components of labour underutilization (3) c. Low earnings Low remuneration of work

• Full-time employed with low monthly earnings

• Less than full-time employed with low hourly earnings

• Overly employed with low earnings

ILO Department of Statistics 31

Labour underutilization within labour force framework

Working age population

Economically active Not economically active

Employed

Other employed

Unemployed

Time-related underemployed

Employed,

Skills underutilized

Employed, low pay

ILO Department of Statistics

Discouraged

Other inactive, available

Other inactive, not available

32

Labour underutilization (LU):

Calculation approach

• As a single composite measure

LU= labour slack + low earnings + skills underutilization

• Rate of labour underutilization

Rate of LU=(LU / working age population or extended labour force )*100

• Components treated as mutually exclusive (priority criteria):

– 1 st step: Labour slack

– 2 nd step: Low earnings

– 3 rd step: Skills underutilization

• Components can also be calculated as overlapping and reported separately

ILO Department of Statistics 33

Examples: Unemployment rate & labour underutilization rate

Country

Tanzania, Rep. of (2005/06)

Mexico (2007 Q2)

Moldova, Rep. of (2007)

Philippines (2003 Q4)

Panama (2007 Aug)

Turkey (2007)

Bosnia & Herzegovina (2006)

Unemployment rate (%)

3.3

3.4

5.0

5.4

5.7

9.3

27.0

Labour underutilization rate (%)

51.9

30.2

46.3

40.8

45.1

29.9

56.0

ILO Department of Statistics 34

Periodicity of data &

LFS arrangements & strategies

ILO Department of Statistics

National programme for LF statistics:

13 TH ICLS Resolution I, para. 2.

Long-term needs

(for structural in depth-analysis and as benchmark data)

– Comprehensive data on the economically active population

– In-depth statistics on relation between employment, income & other social and economic characteristics

– Data on particular topics (children, youth, women)

– At minimum every 10 years

Short-term needs

(for current purposes, compiled frequently & recurrent basis)

– To encompass statistics of the economically active population and its components for monitoring of trends and seasonal variations

– At minimum once a year (& twice to account for seasonal variations)

ILO Department of Statistics 36

Labour force survey programme for current

& long-term data needs

For long-term labour force statistics programme

– Occasional survey (e.g. one-off multipurpose survey)

– Regular survey (e.g. inter-censal stand-alone or multipurpose survey)

For current labour force statistics programme

– Annual survey with periodic data collection for annual pointestimates

Depending on resources & capacity

– Continuous survey system with sample rotation for monthly/ quarterly/ annual average estimates

ILO Department of Statistics 37

Some strategies to improve

Labour force statistics programme

• Objective: To build a regular labour force survey programme to provide for current & long-term data needs

• Strategy: Progressive development & implementation

1 One-off multipurpose survey with labour force module

2

Annual urban labour force survey or short labour force module in multipurpose survey & 5-yearly (inter-censal) national LFS

3 Annual LFS with periodic data collection in high & low seasons

4

Annual LFS with continuous data collection for monthly/quarterly/annual estimates

ILO Department of Statistics 38

Annual labour force surveys

• Periodic data collection

– once a year, two, four or twelve times a year

– point in time estimates

• Continuous data collection

– every week or fortnight

– annual, quarterly, monthly averages

Annual labour force surveys with continuous data collection

Advantages:

– Seasonal variations over time are captured and period effects eliminated

– Estimates reflect the average situation during a month, quarter or year

– Flexibility in periodicity of data dissemination (depending on sample design)

– No longer need to use concepts based on long reference periods (e.g. usual activity, annual income), which are prone to recall errors

– Improved timeliness in dissemination due to continuous data entry & processing

– Smaller dedicated field interviewers teams = better quality & lower staff turnover

Activities of the ILO:

Work in progress

• Labour force surveys & decent work indicators

– Model labour force surveys materials based on standards & best practices

• Building-block approach

• Model labour force survey section & question sequences flow charts

• Question elements (text, response options, skips, instructions)

• Topic-specific flow charts

• Explanatory notes

• Definition sheets for derived variables

• Indicator requirement sheets

– Developmental work to pilot test question sequences

ILO Department of Statistics 41

Activities of the ILO:

Work in progress

• Manual on Surveys of Informal Employment & Informal Sector

– 11 th Meeting of the Delhi Group (Geneva, January 2010)

– Main draft available at (under 11 th Meeting): http://mospi.nic.in/Mospi_New/site/DelhiGroup.aspx

– Publication: forthcoming in 2011

Activities of the ILO:

Work in progress

• Labour underutilization

– 2008: 18 th ICLS Resolution concerning the development of measures of labour underutilization

– 2009: Technical Workshop on measures of labour underutilization

– 2010: Working Group for the Advancement of Employment &

Unemployment Statistics

• Objective: To propose draft recommendations for possible adoption by the 19 th ICLS in 2013

ILO Department of Statistics 43

Working Group for the Advancement of

Employment & Unemployment Statistics

Current membership

Africa

Mali

Mauritius

Morocco

South Africa

Tunisia

Uganda

Zimbabwe

Americas

Brazil

Colombia

Mexico

Peru

USA

Asia & Pacific Europe

India

Japan

Kazakhstan

New Zealand

Philippines

Sri Lanka

Thailand

West Bank &

Gaza Strip

Denmark

France

Germany

Ireland

Italy

Moldova

Norway

Spain

Switzerland

Turkey

+5 representatives from Afristat, Eurostat, OECD

ILO Department of Statistics 44

ILO Department of Statistics

Merci / Thank you

Download