chapter - Human Kinetics

advertisement
chapter
7
Statistical Issues
in Research
Planning and
Evaluation
Chapter Outline
• Probability
• Meaningfulness
• Power
• Using information in the context of the
study
• Reporting statistical data
Interpreting Statistical Findings
• Probability
– Alpha: level of chance occurrence (type I error)
•
•
•
•
Typical: p < .05 or p < .01
Varying alpha
Truth table
Exact probability
– Beta (type II error)
• Meaningfulness (effect size)
• Confidence intervals
• Power: probability of rejecting the null
hypothesis when it is false
Truth Table for
the Null Hypothesis
Ho true
Ho false
Accept
Correct decision
Type II error
(beta)
Reject
Type I error
(alpha)
Correct decision
Sampling for Null Hypothesis
From Experimental procedures for behavioral science, 3rd ed., by R.E. Kirk © 1995. Reprinted with
permission of Brooks/Cole, an imprint of the Wadsworth Group, a division of Thomson Learning. Fax
800-730-2215.
Estimating Effect Size
• Effect size represents the standardized
difference between two means.
• Formula: ES = (M1 – M2)/s
• ES allows comparison between studies using
different dependent variables because it puts
data in standard deviation units.
• An effect size of 0 is no difference, 0.2 is small,
0.5 medium, and 0.8 large.
Effect Size Examples
of 0.5s and 1.0s
Effect Size Curve to Estimate
Sample Size When p = .05
Effect Size Curve to Estimate
Sample Size When p = .01
Context of the Study
How do findings from the study fit within the
context of
• Theory
• Practice
Planning Research
Information needed in planning
• Alpha
• Effect size
• Power
• Sample size
Using the Power Calculator When
Reading a Research Study
When reading research, often sample size,
means, and standard deviations are
supplied. You can calculate the effect size
by the formula in chapter 7. Using this data
and the Power Calculator at the Web site
below, you can estimate the power to detect
a difference or relationship.
http://calculators.stat.ucla.edu/powercalc/
Using the Power Calculator
to Plan Research
If you are planning your own research, you
can often estimate the effect size from other
studies. By setting your alpha (say .05) and
power (say .8), you can use the Power
Calculator at the website below to estimate
the sample size you need.
http://calculators.stat.ucla.edu/powercalc/
Reporting Statistical Data
(Summary From APA and APS)
• How was power analysis done?
• Always report complications (screen your
data).
• Select minimally statistical analyses.
• Report p values of confidence intervals.
• Report magnitudes of the effects.
• Control multiple comparisons.
• Report variability using standard deviations.
• Report data to appropriate level.
Download