Cost modeling and Price regulation in telecommunications

advertisement

Cost modeling and Price Regulation in telecommunications: Methods and

Experiences

Sandra Cohen

Lecturer of Accounting

Athens University of Economics and

Business

Presentation overview

 Goals of EU directives

 Costing and pricing principles for regulated services

 Presentation of the basic steps in costing methodology

 Asset valuation alternatives (HC- CC)

 Cost standard alternatives (FDC- LRAIC)

 Cost accounting systems used by the incumbents in member states

 Common deviations from cost orientation

1/7/2004 Sandra Cohen 2

EU objectives pursued

 Liberalisation of the telecoms market

 Restriction of the monopolistic power of the incumbent

 Protection of the newcomers

 Improvement of the quality of services offered, decrease of prices, increase of consumers’ options and introduction of new innovative services

1/7/2004 Sandra Cohen 3

EU directives

 Fixed Telephony directive 98/10 (previous

95/62)

 Leased lines directive 92/44

 Interconnection directive 97/33

 Recommendation

98/322/EC,

8/4/1998 (costing)

 Proposed amendments included in a new ERG Document

 Recommendation

98/195/EC,

8/1/1998 (pricing)

 Assess directive 2002/19

 Framework directive 2002/21

 USO directive 2002/22

1/7/2004 Sandra Cohen 4

Basic pricing goals

(non competitive services)

 Encouragement of the effective competition

 Avoidance of:

 price squeeze

 predatory pricing and

 excessive pricing practices

 Transmission of the «correct» economic signals

 Coverage of the incumbent's accounting cost and allowance for a reasonable rate of return

1/7/2004 Sandra Cohen 5

Basic pricing principles

 The prices have to be:

 Adequately unbundled

 Publiced

 Competition oriented

 Non descriminatory

 Cost orientated

1/7/2004 Sandra Cohen 6

Why cost orientated ?

 Cost is an adequate benchmark when competition doesn’t exist

 As soon as three factors are taken into consideration

 Incumbent’s efficiency

 Bottom -up models can be used as benchmarks

 Network technology

 Cost of capital (“Reasonable profit margin”)

 In case cost orientation cannot be obtained:

Then use best practice

1/7/2004 Sandra Cohen 7

Basic costing principles

(for regulatory purposes)

 Cost causation principle

 Activity based costing

 Network costing

 Objectivity principle

 Consistency principle

 Transparency principle

 Auditability

 Accounting Separation

Access

Retail

1/7/2004 Sandra Cohen

Network

Other services

8

Accounting Separation -

Access

OLOs

Access Network

Transfer prices

Revenues for Access

Cost for Retail

Retail

Other services

Customers

Sandra Cohen 1/7/2004 9

Accounting Separation -

Network

Access Network

Transfer prices

Retail

Revenues for Network

Cost for Retail

Other services

OLOs

1/7/2004

Customers

Sandra Cohen 10

Accounting Separation

Reports

Network

Revenues(1)

OLOs



Local Interconnection



Single Interconnection



Double Interconnection



Leased lines



Other

OTE



Local calls



Trunk calls



National calls



Land to mobile



Land to fixed



Other

Total Costs (2)

Operating Income (1)-(2)

1/7/2004 Sandra Cohen

XXX

XXX

XXX

XXX

XXX

XXX

XXX

XXX

XXX

XXX

XXX

XXX

XXX

11

Basic cost elements

 Salaries of personnel

 Depreciation of network elements

 Depreciation of buildings and vehicles

 Transport costs

 Marketing cost

 Overhead

 etc.

1/7/2004 Sandra Cohen 12

Depreciation

 Depreciation is the yearly recognition of the cost of assets usage and corresponds to the decrease of asset value

 Historical cost - cumulative depreciation =

Net book value

1/7/2004 Sandra Cohen 13

Depreciation - Example

Linear method

 Historical cost = € 1.000.000

 Depreciation rate = 20%

 useful life = 5 years

 Depreciation year 1 = € 200.000

(1.000.000 x 20%)

 Depreciation year 2 = € 200.000

(1.000.000 x 20%)

 Net book value year 2 = € 600.000

 (1.000.000 - 200.000 - 200.000)

1/7/2004 Sandra Cohen 14

Cost objects

 Commercial services

 Local calls

 long distance calls

 International calls

 Leased lines

 Monthly rentals

 Wholesale products

 Interconnection services

 Local Loop unbundling

 Non regulated Services

 E.g. telex, internet

1/7/2004 Sandra Cohen

The regulator does not care about them

15

From cost elements to cost of services

Cost elements

• Cause causality principle application

• Asset valuation method

• Cost standard selection

1/7/2004 Sandra Cohen

Cost of services

16

Methods of cost causation principle application

 Linking cost elements with cost objects

 Activity based costing

 Network costing

1/7/2004 Sandra Cohen 17

Activity based costing

Personnel cost General Ledger and Salary database

Business processes - departments

Activities

Questionnaires- Time spend to activities

V

I

C

E

S

E

R

What is the reason for the activity to be performed

Cost drivers

Allocation to services

C

O

S

T

1/7/2004

Overheads

Allocation to services

Sandra Cohen 18

Activity based costing

Personnel cost

1/7/2004

Overheads

General Ledger and Salary database

Customer service

Activities related to customer service- access

Number of lines

Already allocated cost

Sandra Cohen

Allocation to services

19

C

O

S

T

V

I

C

E

S

E

R

A

S

S

C

C

E

Activity based costing

Personnel cost

€10.000.000

General Ledger and Salary database

Customer service

30%, € 3.000.000

Overheads € 20.000.000

Assume 5%,

€ 100.000 or € 0,05/line

1/7/2004

Activities related to customer service- access

50%, € 1.500.000

Number of lines -

2.000.000

€ 0,75 /line

Allocation to services

Already allocated cost

Sandra Cohen 20

S

E

R

V

I

C

E

C

O

S

T

A

S

S

C

C

E

Network costing

Cost of assets

1/7/2004

General Ledger and Fixed Assets Register

Physical network elements

Cost drivers

Grouping of elements based on cost driver analysis

What is consuming the capacity of the element: Minutes, calls, subscribers?

Network entities

Routing factors

C

O

S

T

Service recipes, volume per service and total volume

Sandra Cohen 21

V

I

C

E

S

E

R

Routing Factors -

10.000 min of local call

1

Tandem

Local

Link

Tandem

Switch

1

1

RSU -

Local

Link

Local Switch Local Switch

1

1

Telephone

Sub.

RSU- Local Link

Tandem - local link

Local switch

Tandem switch

1/7/2004

Telephone

Sub.

Routing factor

2

2

2

1

Actual min

10.000

10.000

Equivalent minutes

20.000

20.000

Cost per component

2.000

5.000

Cost/equi valent minute

0,100

0,250

10.000

10.000

20.000

10.000

Sandra Cohen

4.000

0,200

1.000

0,100

Total cost minute

Cost per minute

0,200

0,500

0,400

0,100

1,200

22

Routing Factors -

1 min of local call

Local Switch

1

Tandem

Local

Link

1

Tandem

Switch

1

Local Switch RSU -

Local

Link

1

RSU- Local Link- 2 min.

1

Telephone

Sub.

Tandem - local link - 2min

Telephone

Sub.

Local switch - 2min

1/7/2004 23

Network costing- example switches

Cost of local switches

Depreciation, Air condition

Buildings, power, network management, etc.

Local switch components access and local switch components traffic

Cost driver = minutes

RSU - traffic cost

Tandem switch cost

RSU-local transmission link

Local - Local transmission link

Local -Tandem transmission link local switch traffic

(actual min. x routing factors per service) local switch traffic minutes used for local calls

C

A

L

L

L

O

C

A

L

V

I

C

E

S

E

R

Sandra Cohen 24

Network costing- example switches

Cost of local switches

€ 10.000

Depreciation, Air condition

Buildings, power, network management, etc.

Local switch components access and local switch components traffic - 70% € 7.000

Cost driver = minutes

RSU - traffic cost

Tandem switch cost

RSU-local transmission link

Local - Local transmission link local switch traffic = 20.000 actual x 1,8 = 36.000

cost per minute = € 0,195/min.

Local -Tandem transmission link local switch traffic minutes used for local calls assume 16.000 x 1,1 x 0,195 = € 3.432

Assume 0,215 (1.1x 0.195)

+ 0,10 +…+ 0,05 =

V

I

C

E

S

E

R

C

A

L

L

L

O

C

A

L

Cost of capital

 The total cost of a service also includes a

rational rate of return ( profit margin )

 This rate of return is based on the cost of capital of the incumbent (WACC)

 The cost of capital that corresponds to each service equals the capital

employed for this service multiplied by the rate of return (WACC)

1/7/2004 Sandra Cohen 26

Balance Sheet

Capital employed

Total Assets Total liabilities

1/7/2004

FIXED ASSETS

CURRENT ASSETS

TOTAL ASSETS

EQUITY

LONG TERM

LIABILITIES

SHORT TERM

LIABILITIES

= TOTAL LIABILITIES

Accounting Equation

Sandra Cohen 27

WACC (Weighted Average

Cost of Capital)

Cost of debt

Χ debt

+

Cost of equtiy

Χ equity

WACC =

Debt +Equity

Example:

Cost of debt =7%, debt € 100.000, cost of equity 15%, Equity € 200.000

(Market Value or Book value)

7% Χ 100.000 + 15% Χ 200.000

=

37.000

300.000

=

12,34%

100.000 + 200.000

1/7/2004 Sandra Cohen 28

Cost Model Structure

Capital employed

Service Α x WACC

Service Α

Service Β

Capital employed

Service B x WACC

Network element 1 Network element n

Activity 1 Activity 2

Activity n

Cost element 1

1/7/2004

Cost element 2

Sandra Cohen

Cost element n

29

Asset valuation

 Asset valuation influences cost in two ways:

 Depreciation cost ( of service ) directly influences the cost

 Net book value ( indirectly influences the cost of service via working capital )

 Two alternatives:

 Historical cost

 Current cost

1/7/2004 Sandra Cohen 30

Historical prices

 The cost of asset acquisition when the asset was bought or constructed

 The cost of the asset corresponds to a past decision that may be obsolete due to technology changes or other reasons

1/7/2004 Sandra Cohen 31

Current prices

 There are a lot of alternative ways in order to calculate current cost

 Modern equivalent asset market place (

: An asset that has the same functionality as the existing one and uses the most efficient and economic technology established in the forward looking )

 Replacement cost

 Secondary market

 Cost adjusted to inflation

 The usage of current prices sends the correct signals to the market

1/7/2004 Sandra Cohen 32

Cost calculation

 There are two main approaches in service costing (cost standards)

 Fully distributed cost (FDC)

 Long Run Average Incremental cost (LRAIC)

 EU is in favour of LRAIC because it is theoretically suitable for efficient pricing

 Both cost standards permit incumbent’s cost coverage

1/7/2004 Sandra Cohen 33

Fully distributed cost

 According to the FDC standard the cost of a service derives from the usage of a set of algorithms that allocate both direct and indirect costs to it

 Some of the indirect allocations are arbitrary and may cause cost distortion

1/7/2004 Sandra Cohen 34

Long run average incremental cost (1)

 The long run average incremental cost

(LRAIC) of a service equals to the total cost of the company minus the cost of the total company if it continues to provide all the other currenty provided services but the specific one

 The sum of LRAIC of all services is less than the total cost of the company due to the existance of common costs

1/7/2004 Sandra Cohen 35

Long run average incremental cost (2)

 The cost of a service on the basis of

LRAIC is:

 lower than the SAC (Stand Alone Cost) of the service and

 higher than the IC (Incremental Cost) of the service

 This is because the common cost has to be allocated to services

 Mark - ups

 LRAIC+

IC  LRIC  LRIC   SAC

1/7/2004 Sandra Cohen 36

Total cost 2 services

1/7/2004

Total volume

Sandra Cohen 37

Total cost - 2 services

FDC - Cost per service

Α

Β

1/7/2004 Sandra Cohen Total volume 38

Total cost - 2 services

Average ΙC- Cost per service

Incremental cost

Α

Β

1/7/2004 Sandra Cohen Total volume 39

Floors and Ceilings

Ceiling SAC

LRAIC +

Floor

LRAIC

Sandra Cohen 1/7/2004 40

Total cost - 2 services

SAC Service A & IC Service Β

Α

Β

1/7/2004 Sandra Cohen Total volume 41

Fixed vs. Variable costs

 Fixed are the costs that remain unchanged for a relevant range of activity

 Depreciation

 Management remuneration

 Variable are the costs that fluctuate relatively to the level of activity

 Linear or no linear relationships (economies of scale)

 Power

 Direct labour

1/7/2004 Sandra Cohen 42

Cost accounting systems currently used for interconnection

LRAIC

 Greece

 Austria

 Denmark

 France

 Germany

 Ireland

 Luxembourg

 Spain (FDC mix)

 Switzerland (FDC mix)

 Great Britain

FDC

 Belgium (CC)

 Italy (CC)

 Norway

 Portugal

Source:

Cullen International February 2004

1/7/2004 Sandra Cohen 43

WACC rates currently used

 Austria 9.34%

 Belgium 12.46%

 Denmark 12%

 France 12.1%

 Germany 10.6 %

 Ireland 12 %

 Italy 13.5%

 Holland 10.7%-12.3%

1/7/2004

Norway 13%

Spain 12.6%

 Sweden 15%

 Swetzerland 11.75%

 Great Britain 12.5%

 Greece 12.1%

Sandra Cohen

Source:

Cullen International November 2001

44

Common deviations from cost orientation

 Cross subsidisation of services

 Unbalanced tariffs

 Geographically averaged tariffs

 Universal service (affordability)

1/7/2004 Sandra Cohen 45

Bibliography

 BT, ‘‘LRIC Methodology’’, 6 May 1997, p. 13/52

 Official Journal, 98/195/EC: Commission Recommendation of 8 January

1998 on interconnection in a liberalised telecommunications market (Part-1-

Interconnection Pricing), L 141, 13/05/1998, p. 0006-0035.

 Official Journal, 98/322/EC: Commission Recommendation of 8 April 1998 on interconnection in a liberalised telecommunications market (Part-2-

Accounting Separation and cost accounting), L 073, 12/03/1998, p. 0042-

0050.

 OFTEL, “Draft guidelines on the application of the competition act in the telecommunication sector – Consultation”, January 1999.

 WIK, “Network Interconnection in the Domain of ONP” Study for DG XIII of the European Commission, Final report, November 1994

 Telecom Reform: Principles, Policies and Regulatory Practices, Editor W.

Melody, Technical University of Denmark, 2001.

 Hilton, R., M. Maher and F. Selto, “Cost management: Strategies for

Business Decisions”, International Edition, second version, Mc Graw Hill,

2002.

1/7/2004 Sandra Cohen 46

Download