Chapter 37

McGraw-Hill/Irwin

International

Trade

Copyright © 2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Chapter Objectives

• Comparative advantage and the gains from trade

• Exports and imports

• Economic effects of tariffs and quotas

• Arguments for protectionism

37-2

Some Key Facts

• What is the import/export situation with goods? Services?

• U.S. trade deficit in goods

–$735 billion in 2014

• U.S. trade surplus in services

–$231 billion in 2007

• Canada largest U.S. trade partner

• Trade deficit with China

–$257 billion in 2007 – 2014?

–$342 billion in 2014

37-3

World Exports

Percentage Share of World Exports,

Selected Nations, 2007

Germany

United States

China

Japan

France

Netherlands

United Kingdom

Italy

0 2 4 6 8 10 12

4.06

3.83

5.38

3.71

3.40

9.20

8.59

8.02

2012,

13%

Source: World Trade Organization

37-4

Economic Basis for Trade

• Nations have different resource endowments

• Labor-intensive goods

• Land-intensive goods

• Capital-intensive goods

37-5

Comparative Advantage

• Assumptions

–Two nations

–Same size labor force

–Constant costs in each country

–Different costs across countries

–U.S. absolute advantage in both

• Opportunity cost ratio

–Slope of the curve

–Coffee sacrificed per ton of wheat

37-6

20

15

12

10

45

40

35

30

25

5

0

Comparative Advantage

(a) United States

A

5 10 15 18 20 25

Wheat (Tons)

30

15

10

4

5

0

25

20

45

40

35

30

(b) Brazil

B

5 8 10 15 20

Wheat (Tons)

37-7

Comparative Advantage

• Self-sufficiency output mix

• Specialization and trade

• Produce good with lowest domestic opportunity cost

• Opportunity cost 1 ton wheat

–1 pound of coffee in U.S.

–2 pounds of coffee in Brazil

37-8

Comparative Advantage

• Terms of trade

–U.S. 1W = 1C

–U.S. will sell 1W for more than 1C

–Brazil 1W = 2C

–Brazil will pay less than 2C for 1W

–Settle between the two

–Depends on supply/demand factors

–Assume 1W = 1.5C

37-9

Comparative Advantage

• Gains from trade

–Trade possibilities line

–Slope equals terms of trade

–Improved options

• Complete specialization

• More of both goods

• More efficient resource allocation

37-10

Economic Basis for Trade

45 45

C’

40

(a) United States

40

(b) Brazil

35 35

30

C

Trading

Possibilities Line

25

30

25

20 c

Trading

Possibilities Line

20

A’

15

12

10

A

15

10

5

0

5 10 15 18 20 25

Wheat (Tons)

W

30

5

4

0

B’

5

B w w’

8 10 15

Wheat (Tons)

20

37-11

Benefits of Free Trade

• The case for free trade

–Promote efficiency

• If China can produce steel cheaper than the U.S., shouldn’t they?

• If the U.S. can create useful technology more efficiently than

China, shouldn’t they?

–Promote competition

• More and better stuff!

• Adapt or Die, right?

37-12

Costs of Free Trade

• What if you’re a steelworker in Pittsburgh?

• What if you’re a software developer in China?

• Americans benefit from cheaper steel, but the nightly news has no problem profiling the loss of steel jobs

• The benefits are spread out and hard to see, the harmed are easily identified

• Special interests will mobilize, seeking protection… examples?

Supply and Demand Analysis

• World price

• Domestic price with no trade

• World price > domestic price

–Export surplus

–Export supply curve

• World price < domestic price

–Import shortage

–Import supply curve

37-14

Supply and Demand Analysis

1.50

1.25

1.00

.75

.50

0

(a) U.S. Domestic

Aluminum Market

Surplus = 100

S d

Surplus = 50

(b) U.S. Export Supply and Import Demand

Shortage = 50

Shortage = 100

50 75 100 125

Quantity of Aluminum

(Millions of Pounds)

150

D d

1.50

1.25

b

U.S.

Export

Supply c

1.00

a

.75

.50

0 x

U.S.

Import

Demand y

50 100

Quantity of Aluminum

(Millions of Pounds)

37-15

Supply and Demand Analysis

(a) Canada’s Domestic

Aluminum Market

(b) Canada’s Export Supply and Import Demand

1.50

1.25

1.00

.75

.50

0

Surplus = 100

Surplus = 50

Shortage = 50

50 75 100 125

Quantity of Aluminum

(Millions of Pounds)

D d

150

S d

1.50

1.25

1.00

.75

q

.50

0 r

Canadian

Export

Supply t

Canadian

Import

Demand

50 100

Quantity of Aluminum

(Millions of Pounds) s

37-16

International Equilibrium

Import demand = Export supply

U.S.

Export

Supply

1.00

.88

.75

0 e

Canadian

Export

Supply

Equilibrium

U.S.

Import

Demand

Canadian

Import Demand

50 100

Quantity of Aluminum

(Millions of Pounds)

37-17

Trade Barriers

• Tariffs

–Revenue tariff

–Protective tariff

• Import quota

• Nontariff barrier (NTB)

–Licensing, standards, etc.

• Voluntary export restriction

(VER)

– Why would a producer voluntarily restrict their exports?

37-18

Trade Barriers

• Economic impact of tariffs

• Direct effects

–Decline in domestic consumption

–Increase in domestic production

–Decline in imports

–Tariff revenue

• Indirect effects

–Promote inefficiency

–Hurt growth

37-19

Trade Barriers

Economic Effects of a Tariff or Quota

1. Who/What benefits from the tariff?

2. Who/What suffers?

Free trade provides consumers with a higher quantity at a lower price!

S d

S d

+ Q

P d

P t

P w

What about a quota?

0

D d a b q

Quantity c d

37-20

The Case for Protection

• Different arguments – examples?

• Military self-sufficiency

• Diversification for stability

• Infant industry

• Protection against dumping

• Increased domestic employment

• Cheap foreign labor

37-21

The WTO Protests

• World Trade Organization has

151 member nations

–Liberalize trade through negotiation

• Protest groups

–Labor unions, environmentalists, socialists, anarchists

• Key issues for the protestors

–Labor protection and environmental standards

37-22

Key Terms

• labor-intensive goods

• land-intensive goods

• capital-intensive goods

• opportunity-cost ratio

• principle of comparative advantage

• terms of trade

• trading possibilities line

• gains from trade

• world price

• domestic price

• export supply curve

• import demand curve

• equilibrium world price

• tariffs

• revenue tariff

• protective tariff

• import quota

• nontariff barrier (NTB)

• voluntary export restriction

(VER)

• strategic trade policy

• dumping

• Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act

• World Trade Organization

(WTO)

• Doha Round

37-23

Next Chapter Preview…

The Balance of

Payments, Exchange

Rates, and Trade

Deficits

37-24