Radicalisation and al-Shabaab recruitment in Somalia

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ISS PAPER 266 | SEPTEMBER 2014
Radicalisation and al-Shabaab
recruitment in Somalia
Anneli Botha and Mahdi Abdile
Summary
Effective counter-radicalisation strategies should be based on an empirical
understanding of why people join terrorist organisations. Researchers interviewed
former al-Shabaab fighters and identified a complex array of reasons for why they
joined the organisation. Interviewers developed a profile of typical al-Shabaab recruits
and identified factors facilitating their recruitment, including religious identity, socioeconomic circumstances (education, unemployment), political circumstances and the
need for a collective identity and a sense of belonging. The reasons for al-Shabaab’s
rise are discussed and recommendations are made to the Somali government,
countries in the region and international organisations and donors on how to counter
radicalisation and recruitment to al-Shabaab.
THIS STUDY IS BASED on the belief
Counter-radicalisation measures have
in terms of the broad political
that counter-radicalisation strategies
proved to be ineffective and even
socialisation process rather than from
should be informed by a better
counterproductive if they are not based
the perspective of a single root cause,
understanding of why people join terrorist
on a clear understanding of what
or conditions conducive to terrorism
organisations. This understanding should
causes individuals to be susceptible to
that, although useful, are too broad.
be based on empirical evidence and
violent extremism.
Because socialisation is a life-long
not guesswork or analysis of completely
There is no shortage of publications on
different organisations in other countries
the root causes of terrorism. However,
process, the study considers a range of
socialisation agents that affect the
radicalisation process.
or regions. Although such studies
most concentrate on the broad
contribute to a better understanding
circumstances that motivate people to
In order to gain insight into the
of radicalisation, counter-radicalisation
commit acts of terrorism and are
radicalisation and recruitment
strategies should be tailored to address
therefore not always applicable. While
processes that al-Shabaab recruits
specific issues that explain why a
acknowledging the influence of external
in Somalia go through, the Institute
particular type of person joins a particular
factors, this study intends to explain
for Security Studies and Finn Church
organisation in a specific locality or
radicalisation from the perspective of
Aid collaborated to conduct this
country. A single factor, such as poverty,
individual, self-professed members of
study. Southlink Consultants Ltd were
can rarely be blamed for radicalisation.
al-Shabaab. It will explain radicalisation
commissioned to conduct fieldwork
for the study from 14 to 28 April 2014
in Mogadishu, Somalia.1 Using local
contacts, researchers were able to
identify former fighters in a number of
sites in the Mogadishu area, including
internally displaced persons’ camps
that are known to house many former
al-Shabaab fighters.2 A total of 88
respondents were interviewed, while
another seven interviewees, including
two former members of Amniyat (alShabaab’s intelligence service), agreed
to be interviewed off the record. Despite
numerous challenges,3 the team achieved
the fieldwork’s objective of generating
empirical data about the radicalisation and
recruitment process used by al-Shabaab.
develop the ability to think ideologically,5
i.e. to politically identify with subgroups
in society, which is a crucial step in
establishing their political ‘selves’.6 During
this period they also form ‘worldview
beliefs’ that influence how they perceive,
interpret, and respond to their social and
interpersonal environments.7
Because they are not used to the
realities of political and socio-economic
participation, young people are
more idealistic and reform minded,
and are therefore impatient with the
compromising methods of their elders
and are therefore easily drawn into
unconventional political behaviour.8
Instead of accommodation or
Profile of interviewees
manipulation (the favourite political tactics
of the older generation), young people
In keeping with its name, which means
‘The Youth’, al-Shabaab targets
adolescents and young adults: only 9%
of interviewees joined after their 30th
birthdays (Figure 1).
favour confrontation. Because they are
particularly susceptible to influences
during their mid-to-late teens, it is not
surprising that it is during this period that
Figure 1: Age at which interviewees joined al-Shabaab
45
40
40
35
%
30
25
25
20
21
15
10
5
88
THE NUMBER OF FORMER
AL-SHABAAB FIGHTERS WHO
WERE INTERVIEWED
7
THE NUMBER OF OTHERS
INTERVIEWED OFF
THE RECORD
2
0
1
4
<10
10-14
15-19
20-24
25-29
5
2
2
30-34
35-39
>40
It is important to note that during the
period between puberty (ages 12–17)
and early adulthood (18–22) people are
at their most impressionable and most
open to outside influence, because they
are both becoming increasingly aware of
the social and political world around them
and simultaneously establishing their own
identities and political ‘selves’.4
they are often radicalised and recruited.
Individuals form their identities between
the ages of 12 and 16, when they
without a mother. What is particularly
Radicalisation and al-Shabaab recruitment in Somalia
Generally young people are particularly
vulnerable to radicalisation for two
primary reasons: their impatience with
the status quo and their desire to change
the political system – if necessary,
through the use of violence.
Among the sample group, 34% grew
up without a father, while 16% grew up
telling is the age at which interviewees
lost their fathers or mothers: 23% lost
It can be expected that an individual’s
their fathers and 8% their mothers
position in the organisation will have
when they were younger than five, 68%
a direct impact on the way in which
lost their fathers and 69% their mother
questions will be answered in interviews.
between the ages of 16 and 18, while
The majority of interviewees (60%)
9% lost their fathers and 23% lost their
Radicalisation and
recruitment
Although a number of definitions of
radicalisation are available, Gurr defines
the concept as:
categorised themselves as ‘fighters’
(see Figure 4), thus representing the
A process in which the group has
grassroots levels of the organisation
been mobilized in pursuit of a social
Most interviewees who lost a parent
(Figure 3). The figures given in Figure 3
or political objective but has failed
or both parents did so between early
indicate how interviewees ranked their
to make enough progress toward
adolescence and early adulthood, at a
position in al-Shabaab structures. Note
the objective to satisfy all activists.
time when individuals are particularly
that it is possible that members of
Some become disillusioned and
vulnerable to losses of this magnitude.
middle management and the higher
discouraged, while others intensify
At the other end of the spectrum, the
echelons of the organisation would be
their efforts, lose patience with
majority of interviewees had a father
more committed to al-Shabaab and its
conventional means of political
(66%) and mother (84%) present in
ideals, which could form the basis of a
action, and look for tactics that will
future study.
have greater impact. This is the
mothers between 19 and 20.
their lives.
In terms of whether marital status and
having children of their own at the time
%
51
34
15
25
will decide to experiment with terror
20
tactics. The choice is made, and
15
justified, as a means to the original
10
ends of radical reform, group
7
3-4
5-6
7-8
0
dynamics of the process are such
9-10
that the terrorists believe that they
enjoy the support of some larger
community in revolt.9
70
vo
rc
ed
W
id
ow
er
Ch
ild
r
Si
ng en
le
a
ch nd
ild
re
n
rie
d
2
60
Di
M
ar
1-2
autonomy, or whatever. And the
2
Figure 4: Interviewees’ roles in al-Shabaab
4
0
le
make it likely that some activists
Note: Rating on a scale of 1–10, where 1 indicates ‘lowest ranked’ and 10 indicates
‘highest ranked’.
20
Si
ng
30
0
10
episodes of violence elsewhere) that
37
5
47
30
and rationalistic grounds (dramatic
35
60
%
an expressive motivation (anger)
44
40
interviewees were single (Figure 2).
40
Impatience and frustration provide
45
on their recruitment, the majority of
50
or ‘imitative’ behaviour occurs.
50
of joining al-Shabaab had any impact
Figure 2: Interviewees’ marital
and parental status
kind of situation in which modelling
Figure 3: Interviewees’ position
in al-Shabaab
60
50
40
%
Although the majority were single,
however, marriage and having children
did not prevent interviewees from
joining al-Shabaab. The relatively fewer
married recruits should be interpreted
together with interviewees’ age at the
time of their recruitment, remembering
that al-Shabaab tends to attract
younger individuals.
30
20
10
0
17
2
6
Casual
worker
Collect
money
Fighter
3
5
Intelligence Recruiter
Religious
scholar
5
Security
2
Trainer
ISS PAPER 266 • SEPTEMBER 2014
3
The duration and process of radicalisation
differ from person to person, although it
is commonly accepted that the process
occurs gradually over a period of time.
Conscious decisions to, for example, join
a terrorist organisation or use violence for
political ends are not made suddenly, but
entail a gradual process that includes a
multitude of occurrences, experiences,
perceptions and role players.
indicated that they would remain friends
Having contact and listen to others with
different opinions are important facilitators
preventing radicalisation, because
discussions with people with different
opinions force people to constantly
rethink and refine their own positions. On
the other hand, sharing one’s opinions
indicated a short period of between one
with people who hold similar viewpoints
will reinforce one’s position, identify
common problems and provoke collective
action.10 This form of isolation leads to
‘groupthink’, which can be described as
an irrational style of thinking that causes
group members to make poor decisions.11
With this in mind, only 9% of interviewees
%
4
leaders, community members and friends.
When asked how long the period was
between being introduced to and joining
the organisation, a large proportion (48%)
and 30 days (Figure 5). This should be
interpreted in terms of the primary reasons
why interviewees joined al-Shabaab
(Figure 7), i.e. religion and the economic
benefits al-Shabaab offered.
The short period between being
introduced to and joining al-Shabaab
might reflect an emotional and poorly
thought through decision in which
interviewees experienced two central
emotions: anger and fear (Figure 6).
Anger is probably one of the most
common and powerful emotions
event in an attempt to regain control and/
directed at those considered to be causing
48
it.12 According to Huddy et al.,13 anger is
intensified when the responsible party is
31
perceived to be unjust and illegitimate.
10
16
5
1-30
days
2-6
months
7-12
months
Anger seldom enables the person to
reasonably evaluate the information
1-5
years
surrounding its cause. Consequently,
Figure 6: Emotion associated with joining al-Shabaab
30
25
26
24
18
15
10
10
2
em
pt
5
Co
nt
lt
d
Ha
tre
Fe
ar
nd
fe
ar
er
a
An
g
er
ha and
tre
d
An
g
Radicalisation and al-Shabaab recruitment in Somalia
2
G
ui
5
0
H
an atr
d ed
fe
ar
5
ge
r
%
20
An
The percentage of
interviewees who
indicated that they would
remain friends with those
they do not agree with
(40%) referred to elders, parents, religious
response to a particular circumstance or
20
9%
indicated that they would listen to others
or remove the reason for anger, and is
30
0
listen to friends’ advice. Interviewees who
terrorism. This emotion normally occurs in
60
40
further 60% indicated that they would not
associated with political violence and
Figure 5:Period between being
introduced to and joining
al-Shabaab
50
with those they did not agree with, while a
affected individuals are often unable to
recognise additional threats that might
contribute to unnecessary risk taking.
They tend to resort to stereotyping,
making them vulnerable to individuals
attempting to convince them to
respond,14 leading to hatred and the
desire for vengeance.
The Global Counter-Terrorism Strategy
It is clear from Figure 7 that religious
identifies ‘conducive conditions’
and economic factors were central to
to terrorism. These ‘push factors’
explaining why interviewees joined al-
or enabling circumstances include
Shabaab. These factors, together with
political circumstances, including
the political circumstances in which the
poor governance, political exclusion,
decision to join the organisation was
lack of civil liberties and human rights
made, are discussed below.
The level of frustration interviewees
experienced was a relatively minor
contributing factor: the majority (56%)
of interviewees rated their levels of
frustration at between 1 and 4 on a scale
of 1–10 (with 1 indicating ‘not frustrated’
and 10 ‘highly frustrated’). Forty-two
per cent referred to frustration levels of
between 5 and 7, while only 2% rated
their frustration levels between 8 and
10. The fact that the majority did not
recall high frustration levels suggests
that they either wanted to minimise their
commitment to and involvement with alShabaab or were not driven to accept the
cause it represented by frustration alone.
sociological circumstances, e.g.
abuses; economic circumstances;
Mohamud (not his real name) was
barely 14 years old when he joined
religious and ethnic discrimination;
counter-terrorism operations and their
impact; and perceived injustice and
international circumstances. Although a
basic understanding of these conditions
provides an insight into radicalisation,
without pressure from domestic and
personal circumstances individuals might
support the ideas of extremists (nonviolent extremism) without becoming
al-Shabaab. He was a schoolboy in
Marka, and when the three-month
long holidays approached in 2009,
he was advised by friends to join the
organisation. ‘When you join, they give
you a mobile phone and every month
you get $50’, he said. ‘This is what
pushes a lot of my friends to join.’
actively involved in acts of terrorism
Religious identity
(violent extremism). Secondly, not all
As explained in the discussion of
people faced with the same set of
the role of the family in radicalisation
circumstances will become radicalised,
(see ‘Political circumstances’, below),
while not all of those who are radicalised
political socialisation also include the
Circumstances facilitating
interviewees’ recruitment to
al-Shabaab
will join a terrorist organisation or commit
development of a social identity as ‘part
acts of violence and terrorism.
of the individual’s self-concept which
Radicalisation involves both external
and internal factors. External factors
can be subdivided into domestic and
international circumstances, as presented
in the United Nations Global CounterTerrorism Strategy.15 Internal or personal
interpretations of the external environment
are influenced by psychological factors
that refer directly to political socialisation.
individual who decides to join a terrorist
Despite these circumstances, it is still the
organisation or is drawn to the ideals
and activities of extremist organisations.
Ultimately one realises that human
behaviour is extremely complex and that
the key to radicalisation is the individual’s
response to the circumstances described
above. Interviewees identified the reasons
why they joined al-Shabaab (Figure 7).
derives from one’s knowledge of his
or her membership in a social group
or groups together with the value and
emotional significance attached to
that membership’.16 This gives rise to
a collective identity that Abádi-Nagy
defines as ‘the set of culture traits, social
traits, values, beliefs, myths, symbols,
images that go into the collective’s selfdefinition’.17 Simon and Klandermans
explain the importance of collective
identity in an individual’s psychological
Figure 7: Interviewees’ reasons for joining al-Shabaab
makeup, stating that it:
• Confirms the individual’s membership of
30
25
27
20
• Provides distinctive characteristics to
15
this group
7
4
us
Re
an lig
d io
fo us
rc
ed
an R
d elig
ec io
on us
om
ic
an Re
d lig
pe io
rs us
on
al
Re
an ligi
o
d u
et s
hn
ic
3
• Ensures respect from those sharing the
individual’s position in society
io
Re
lig
d
4
rc
e
no
m
Ec
o
tu
re
en
1
ic
an Ec
d on
ad o
ve mic
nt
ur
e
Pe
rs
on
al
1
0
Fo
5
identify others who are not members of
15
13
10
Ad
v
%
a particular group in society
25
• Leads to a sense of self-respect or
self-esteem by providing understanding
ISS PAPER 266 • SEPTEMBER 2014
5
of or meaning to the social world the
individual is part of
that they perceived Islam to be under
• Provides a sense of solidarity with
others and reminds the individual that
he/she is not alone18
threat, interviewees referred to the
In light of the above, it is significant that
all the interviewees grew up in areas
where Muslims were in the majority and
that they had a very negative perception
of religious diversity and acceptance of
other religions (Figure 8).
a religious figure. Despite this, the single
Figure 8: Interviewees’ religious perceptions
limited role of a religious figure in the
recruitment process: only 4% of them
were encouraged to join al-Shabaab by
largest group (27%) were introduced to
al-Shabaab at a mosque, implying the
involvement of other individuals who
used the space and opportunity for
recruitment purposes.
According to one interviewee,
‘preachers delivered sermons for hours
about destiny and the sweetness of
100
100
80
the holy war. They distributed leaflets
97
97
96
on Islam, showed video recordings
97
from other jihadist in the world and
79
%
In addition to the general motivation
60
how AMISOM [the African Union
40
crusaders invaded our beloved country
Mission in Somalia] or the Christian
and were converting our children to
20
Christianity.’
te
re oth
lig er
io
ns
Ha
Ac
c
re ep
lig t o
io th
ns e
(n r
o)
ry
in
re to
lig ot
io he
n r
(n
o)
ar
Interviewees also came from a large
number of ethnic groups or, in the Somali
context, clans.
M
lig
Re
Re
lig
io
us
io
n
im m
po os
rta t
nt
d
(n iver
eg si
at ty
ive
)
Re
eq ligi
ua on
l (n s
o)
0
This confirms not only al-Shabaab’s
strong religious motivations, but links
directly to interviewees’ perception that
their religion (Islam) was under threat,
which was the belief of a highly significant
98% of interviewees (Figure 9). This
threat was often associated with nonMuslim countries.
Ahmadey Kusow, a Somali-Bantu,
joined the al-Shabaab voluntarily and
became a loyal member of the group.
He is one of hundreds of young men
belonging to the Somali-Bantu and
minority clans who have freely joined
the militant group because they feel
they have been marginalised since
the collapse of the Somali state. They
THE PERCENTAGE OF
INTERVIEWEES WHO
PERCEIVED ISLAM TO BE
UNDER THREAT
6
100
80
an opportunity to take revenge and
tribes who grabbed their farming areas
and (to some extent) property.
98
69
60
In addition to local Somali nationals, al-
40
29
20
0
say recruitment to al-Shabaab as
empower themselves against majority
120
%
98%
Figure 9: Interviewees’ perception
that Islam is under threat
0
Islam
under
threat
Radicalisation and al-Shabaab recruitment in Somalia
Physical Ideological Physical
threat
threat
and
ideological
Shabaab also attracts Somali nationals
living abroad, other foreign fighters and
nationals from neighbouring countries to
join the organisation.
Socio-economic
circumstances
Interviewees were asked to identify
their most important reasons for joining
al-Shabaab. While the majority referred
to religion (see above), 25% combined
religion with economic reasons, while a
further 1% referred to economic reasons
and the desire for adventure. These
interviewees thought that al-Shabaab
membership would become a career,
which casts doubt on their ideological
commitment to the organisation’s aims.
One can possibly conclude, therefore,
that if most interviewees had been
given access to other employment
opportunities, they would not have
joined al-Shabaab.
Education
Education is identified as crucial to
preparing young people to obtain
employment. Education can also counter
later radicalisation, because better-
• They feel that they can influence the
political process more than lesseducated people because they can
articulate their opinions better
• They are more aware of the impact of
government on their lives
• They generally have opinions on a
wider range of political topics. They are
also more likely to engage in political
discussions with a wide range of
people, while the less educated are
more likely to avoid such discussions
Figure 11:Interviewees’ school
leaving age
60
50
52
46
40
%
educated people tend to participate in
conventional politics, for various reasons:
30
20
10
0
2
98
7-9
10-14
15-19
Interviewees also identified education
and employment as two central
components of attempts to find a
solution to Somalia’s problems, together
• Educated people are more likely to have
confidence in the political process and
be an active member of a legitimate
political organisation19
with peace, stability, reconciliation, etc.
The unfortunate reality in Somalia is that
the formal education system came to a
standstill when the Somali state collapsed
in 1991, leaving an entire generation
uneducated: 40% of interviewees received
no education, while the remaining 60%
received only limited education (Figure 10).
Higher levels of education also
(Without these latter attributes, education
and sustainable development will remain
an illusive dream.)
decrease individuals’ propensity to
engage in civil strife.20 Ultimately, the
solution to radicalisation is not
education as such, but the quality and
type of education provided. Students
need to learn from other disciplines,
such as the social sciences, history
and philosophy, that can equip them
Figure 10: Education received
by interviewees
to be open to other opinions, to argue
50
intelligently, and to understand domestic
45
40
35
%
Abu Aisha came from the United
States and joined al-Shabaab after
being recruited through the Internet.
He fought for three years, but became
discouraged by the way in which
jihad was conducted. He was among
a handful of Somali-Americans who
had drifted to al-Shabaab over the
years. A number of recruitment
agents and support networks have
been uncovered in the United States
that approach potential targets
through mosques, the Internet and
community contacts. The Englishlanguage skills and social disconnect
of Somali-Americans may be assets to
al-Shabaab. Due to both the trauma
experienced by recruits’ parents
when fleeing Somalia’s long period of
anarchy, and cultural and economic
problems they encountered when
attempting to integrate into US society,
some angry teens have become fertile
targets for al-Shabaab recruitment.
and international realities.
43
Unemployment
40
30
Lack of education adversely affects
25
employment opportunities. Self-
20
employment is an option when formal
15
employment opportunities are limited, but
lack of education is a limiting factor here
10
9
5
0
8
too. In a study conducted in Uganda,
Tushambomwe-Kazooba showed that
No
education
Private
Religious
Private
and
religious
The majority of interviewees who
received a religious education or
attended a madrassa recalled the level
of focus on the Qur’an. Of those who
received some form of education, the
majority left school between the ages of
10 and 14 (Figure 11).
the majority of new business owners
were not properly trained, leading to poor
business planning and management
decisions.21 In an attempt to assess the
potential role unemployment plays in
radicalisation, interviewees’ employment
levels are summarised in Figure 12.
All those who were employed had
low-income jobs, largely because they
ISS PAPER 266 • SEPTEMBER 2014
7
Figure 12: Interviewees’
employment status
fighter and was killed in 2011. Amina
reported that she still bore the scars
60
50
49
from severely beatings she suffered
50
when she tried to escape. Eventually
%
40
she pretended that her mother was
30
ill and fled into the bush when the
20
guards were praying as she was
10
0
1
Employed
Unemployed
Student
being escorted to see her mother. ‘I
was later rescued by herders who
assisted me with a change of clothing
did not have the education needed to
before I ended up in Mogadishu’, she
obtain better jobs. It was therefore not
told the interviewer.
surprising that interviewees who defined
adverse economic circumstances as a
recruitment factor saw al-Shabaab as
Political circumstances
a potential employer, claiming that they
As discussed above, prior political
were paid between $150 and $500
experiences are an important indicator of
per month.
the extent to which people trust politicians
and the political system. This starts at the
Amina (not her real name), a widow,
was brought up in Burhakaba.
Her parents were staunch Muslim
farmers and herders. In 2004 she
married a farmer from her clan
and had two children. In 2009 her
husband was approached by several
young men who claimed to represent
al-Shabaab. He was told to join
and fight for his people, community
and religion against their external
in families where politics is discussed or
where parents are interested in politics are
more likely to see the value of participating
in the political process. This extends to
peer groups, in which the level of political
discussion will mirror group members’
sense of political efficacy. Finally, actual
events will impact on individuals’ political
socialisation and contribute to their
political perceptions and values.
enemies and infidels. ‘We will protect
The family serves as a child’s first
you and once you join we will pay
introduction to the political culture
you $300 per month’, they told him.
of his/her country. Despite Somalia’s
Amina feared for her husband’s life
violent past, only 17% of interviewees
when they threatened him later.
indicated that their parents discussed
She and her husband later yielded
politics in their presence while they were
to the coercion and decided to join
growing up. Asked if they agreed with
the group. They were paid $300 for
their parents’ political opinions, only 7%
the first few months, but later were
answered in the affirmative. This limited
informed that they would not be paid
political interaction between parent and
and had to work hard and fight for
child reflects a generation gap, and could
the sake of Islam if they wanted to go
be extended to the possibility that the
to heaven. Amina cooked, washed
ideology al-Shabaab represents is not
clothes and collected firewood in
historically embedded in Somalia and
PER MONTH
the presence of guards, while her
that parents fear any form of political
husband first inspected roads before
discussion with their children. This was
AMOUNT INTERVIEWEES
WERE PAID BY AL-SHABAAB
becoming a fundraiser working in
reflected in the fact that only 5% of
$150 –
$500
8
family level in that children growing up
nearby villages. He later became a
Radicalisation and al-Shabaab recruitment in Somalia
interviewees indicated that a parent was
aware of their decision to join al-Shabaab.
the organisation. Secondly, only 3% of
interviewees indicated that they had joined
with family members, while 3% recruited
family members to al-Shabaab. The reality
is that if the family is unable to transfer
its political orientations to its younger
members, other socialisation agents are
likely to be more influential.
The role of friends in interviewees’
decision to join the organisation was
unmistakable: friends introduced 30% of
interviewees to al-Shabaab, while 22% of
interviewees stated that they had recruited
other friends. Friends were also the largest
group (42%) that interviewees informed of
their decision to join the organisation. This
is because the family’s influence wanes at
13 or 14 years of age (note that 40% of
Figure 13:Influence of friends and family on interviewees
%
participates in specifically political affairs.22
The fact that the majority of interviewees
joined with friends testifies to peer
pressure, but it also affects how
interpersonal relationships should be
is based on two key pillars: the emotional
link between the individual and the peer
group, and the access the individual has
20
22
3
3
Joined Joined Joined Recruit- Recruitwith
with
alone
ed
ed
friends family
family friends
without the experience of an effective
political system, despite various
attempts to consolidate political power
following the collapse of the Siad Barre
regime in 1991.23
Figure 14: Interviewees’ political
experiences and perceptions
90
80
70
old and was born and brought up
60
in Baidoa, but is currently living in
50
Mogadishu. He was 20 years old
%
Abdi (not his real name) is 24 years
30
youth who are desperate for the
20
ever-illusive source of a livelihood.
10
Abdi was approached by a friend
0
who was already an al-Shabaab
member. Initially shocked, having
been engaged in social activities
that al-Shabaab did not permit, Abdi
82
69
40
and was idle, just like many Somali
39
17
7
2
rejected the idea, but later joined
the group after being persuaded
by his friend. After joining, he was
instructed to abandon his lifestyle of
smoking and chewing miraa, which
he found difficult, earning him several
punishments. He escaped several
times, but was caught and returned
to the al-Shabaab camp. To retain
him, the camp elders supported his
habits and bought him cigarettes
and miraa. He became an informer
and a link with local farmers, from
relocated to Kismayu before travelling
33
In Somalia, an entire generation grew up
to the group, and vice versa.
him $250 a month. He ran away and
30
Interviewees’ experience
of politics
interpreted. The strength of peer groups
group reneged on its promise to pay
40
0
begins to take a more active interest and
Abdi finally left al-Shabaab when the
64
50
10
This is also the period when the individual
who he used to collect $50 a month.
70
60
the ages of 15 and 19; see Figure 1).
sc
p us
Ag olit s
re ics
e
jo V p wit
in o ar h
in te en
g d
al- b ts
Sh efo
r
Tr aba e
us
ab
te
Tr
ld
us
er
s
tp
ol
itic
El
ec
i
tio ans
ns
b
ch rin
an g
ge
In addition to the relatively limited
involvement of their parents in
interviewees’ recruitment by al-Shabaab,
siblings played the smallest role,
introducing only 2% of interviewees to
interviewees joined al-Shabaab between
Di
Only 3% specifically informed a parent of
their joining the organisation, while 3%
informed another sibling. To put these
figures in context: 57% of interviewees
informed another person. It is therefore
improbable that family members agree
with al-Shabaab’s ideology or even accept
it as the norm. Parents of interviewees
clearly played a lesser role in transferring
their political orientations to their children
through the socialisation process.
Instead, peers played a greater role in
interviewees’ political socialisation, which
will be discussed below.
to Mogadishu. Almost a year since
leaving the group, Abdi still lives in
fear that once one joins al-Shabaab, it
is very hard to walk away from it.
When asked whether they trusted
politicians and the political system,
39% of interviewees indicated that they
trusted politicians (Figure 14). In contrast,
82% trusted clan elders, while a further
69% trusted the political process to
bring about change, despite the fact that
only 2% had participated in the election
process before joining al-Shabaab.
Interviewees’ trust in elders is a positive
finding that the Federal Government
could build on. However, 18% of interviewees believed that elders were only
looking after their own personal interests
and that of close family members.
When asked whether they thought that
elections would bring about change,
37% of interviewees did not consider
elections to be ‘free and fair’, while a
further 55% did not consider elections to
be ‘free and fair’ and believed that they
ISS PAPER 266 • SEPTEMBER 2014
9
were not able to register a political party
that represented their ideas.
situations, collective identity might
Despite positive perceptions that
elections can bring change, the vast
majority of interviewees agreed with the
statement that ‘government only looks
after and protects the interests of a few’.
When asked whether ‘opposing the
government is legal and just’, only 4%
did not agree with this statement
(Figure 15).
• When individuals are increasingly
Figure 15: Interviewees’ views on
the government
• When they are confused by social
and political chaos around them
• When they feel threatened by
another group
In an attempt to address these
circumstances, individuals will turn to
an ideological movement to provide
ethnic or political group. In Somalia
al-Shabaab presents Islam as the
97
%
and/or their families
their identification with a religious,
98
97,5
single overarching factor that binds
96,5
all the different clans together and
96
96
95,5
95
unable to provide for themselves
them with an identity or will enhance
98,5
98
become more prominent:
provides a solution to years of social
and political upheaval. That being said,
Government only
protect own interests
Revolt is legal
it should be stressed that although
religion serves as a nation-building
factor, al-Shabaab does not represent
From interviewees’ answers, it is clear
Islam as such, but rather a particular
that politicians and the government face
interpretation of Islam as a solution to
a serious legitimacy crisis. In other words,
Somalia’s problems.
if the government wants to present a
meaningful option to unconventional
political participation, it needs to meet
people’s expectations. Most interviewees
referred to the government’s duty to
provide safety and protect people’s
rights, while a few also included the
responsibility to govern (in terms of their
perceptions of what this meant).
82%
THE PERCENTAGE OF
INTERVIEWEES WHO TRUSTED
CLAN LEADERS
10
Collective identity manifests in the way
in which individuals categorise people
in terms of concepts such as ‘us’, ‘we’
or ‘ours’ when referring to the in-group,
versus ‘they’, ‘them’ or ‘theirs’ in
terms of the out-group or ‘enemy’. In
Somalia, even among interviewees who
stated that they were forced to join the
organisation, al-Shabaab managed
Collective identity and
a sense of belonging
to establish itself at the centre of
A sense of collective identity can be
grouped al-Shabaab and being
easily politicised if the majority of the in-
Muslim in the same category (‘us’)
group share their feelings of injustice or
and saw al-Shabaab as the defender
inequality and thus turn ‘my grievances’
of Islam against other religions (with
into ‘our grievances’. The next step is to
specific reference to Christians) and
identify the ‘other’ or out-group that can
other countries (‘them’). It was also
be blamed for these grievances, leading
unsurprising to note that no interviewee
to its stereotyping. Consequently, when
referred to a Somali national identity or
the individual is faced with particular
‘Somalis’ (Figures 16 and 17).
Radicalisation and al-Shabaab recruitment in Somalia
its members’ terms of reference.
Fifty-eight per cent of interviewees
Figure 16: Interviewees’
perceptions of ‘us’
Figure 18: Interviewees’
perceptions of
al-Shabaab
70
60
58
100
80
30
%
40
30
30
al-
0
17
9
23
Figure 19: Interviewees’ sense of
belonging in al-Shabaab
80
ar
e
re d a
sp n
ec d
te
Th
d
e
so
lu
tio
n
Ar
m
re ed
sp =
ec
alt
S
m hab
y a
‘fa ab
m
ily
Id
al- ea ’
Sh ls
ab of
aa
b
aa
alb
a n Sh
d ab
M a
al- usl ab
an Sh ims
d ab
So aa
m b
a
So lis
m
ali
s
0
ab
s
1
Sh
lim
ily
m
us
M
Fa
60
20
11
0
0
94
40
20
10
99
70
Fe
%
50
of interviewees were low-ranked alShabaab members motivated by the
promise of financial gain, while the
small percentage that rated a sense of
belonging higher had presumably been
socialised as committed members of
the organisation.
60
73
68
Figure 17: Interviewees’ perceptions of ‘them’
al-Shabaab for only economic reasons
referred to the organisation’s religious
60
ideals and being Muslim and/or al-
55
50
40
Shabaab members as ‘us’ and other
30
religions and countries as ‘them’ (Figures
27
20
18
10
0
go So
ve m
rn ali
m
en
t
0
16 and 17).
O
re the
lig r
O
io
th
ns
er
co
an u
d ntr
re ie
gi s
on
G
ov
s
ot e
h rn
an er r me
d elig nt
co io ,
un ns
tri
es
%
However, all the interviewees who joined
Asking interviewees to rate their sense
40
30
27 27
20
10
0
0
1-4
5-7
Joining
5
8-10
Member
Note: Rating on a scale of 1–10, where 1
indicates ‘least’ and 10 indicates ‘most’.
of belonging when they joined and
as members of al-Shabaab showed
interesting results. Over time the sense
of belonging increased slightly for some
interviewees, although a large majority
In addition to the reason why interviewees joined al-Shabaab, it was
equally important to assess their
perceptions of the organisation
(summarised in Figure 18). It is clear that
only a small percentage of interviewees
were completely integrated into the
organisation or truly believed in alShabaab and what it represents (23%)
or regarded al-Shabaab as being the
solution to Somalia’s problems (17%).
Instead, the majority of interviewees
were drawn to al-Shabaab because it
is feared and respected (99%), and the
fact that when they as individuals are
armed they are respected (94%). To
place this in perspective, it is important to
remember that the overwhelming majority
of interviewees were foot soldiers, not
commanders, who joined because of
the economic opportunities al-Shabaab
potentially provided.
%
50
indicated a very low sense of belonging
in both scenarios (see Figure 19). What
made these results interesting is that
30% of interviewees when asked to
This sense of belonging was also
emphasised when interviewees were
asked to define ‘us’. The role of religion
combined with al-Shabaab membership
confirms that the interest of the collective
– based on religion – serves as the most
important component of members’
identities. For the majority of interviewees
identity ‘us’ referred to al-Shabaab,
whereas the majority (58%) referred to
being Muslim and being members of
al-Shabaab. These results measure the
extent to which the individual identifies
these two are seamlessly interwoven.
In this regard, self-categorisation theory
predicts that ‘people are more inclined
to behave in terms of their group
with the group and thus measures
membership because their common
solidarity within the group. This will have
identity as a group is more salient’ when
an impact on socialisation and group
they are under threat. Consequently, any
identification, which Janis describes as
threat to the in-group will be interpreted
‘a set of preconscious and unconscious
as a threat to the individual.25 Some
attitudes which incline each member to
interviewees indicated that their sense of
apperceive the group as an extension of
belonging slightly increased the longer
himself and impel him to remain in direct
they were members of al-Shabaab. This
contact with the other members and
confirms that over time the identity of the
to adhere to the group’s standards’.
organisation becomes the identity of the
The apparent discrepancy between the
individual, as suggested by Post26 and
responses discussed above could be
supported by Taylor and Louis,27 and that
explained by the fact that the majority
belonging to a terrorist organisation such
24
ISS PAPER 266 • SEPTEMBER 2014
11
as al-Shabaab can result in a collective
as Iraq and Palestine, the presence of
identity where individual identities are
‘infidels’ in Somalia, and the protection of
replaced by a sense of being part of
Islam. A further 11% indicated that they
something bigger.
were forced to join al-Shabaab or did so
out of fear.
The level of indoctrination the individual
has been exposed to also influences
Joining an organisation is the first step;
the extent to which he/she internalises
a more important issue is why members
the relevant social and cultural values of
stay. Figure 20 summarises interviewees’
that group through socialisation, leading
most predominant reasons for staying
to ‘collective conditioning’ as a form of
in al-Shabaab. Although economic
indoctrination. When an individual reaches
circumstances were a prominent reason
this state in his/her social identity, he/she
for joining the organisation, Figure 20
will start to think in terms of the collective
indicates that a sense of belonging and
and completely identify with the group.28
responsibility were the main reasons why
interviewees stayed in al-Shabaab.
Catalysts for joining
al-Shabaab
In a follow-up question, interviewees
were asked if they had any regrets
While radicalisation can occur over a
about their links with al-Shabaab, as
long period of time, affecting not just
presented in Figure 21. The majority of
individuals, but entire populations, often a
interviewees (42%) indicated that their
single event or catalyst finally completes
greatest regret was joining al-Shabaab
the radicalisation process. Such a
and getting caught by AMISOM and the
catalyst is seen as relevant to a particular
Somali authorities. Together with the
situation and can occur on the micro
19% who indicated that their greatest
or macro levels, or possibly cover both.
regret was getting caught and another
Whatever the case, it is traditionally an
5% who regretted not having recruited
extreme or volatile event. When asked to
more people to al-Shabaab, this indicates
indicate what finally ‘pushed’ them to join
that interviewees were more socialised
al-Shabaab, the majority of interviewees
into the organisation than at first seemed
(39%) referred to economical reasons
apparent. The 33% of interviewees whose
specifically or in combination with other
greatest regret was joining al-Shabaab
circumstances, while 20% referred to the
joined for personal reasons while not
persecution of Muslims in places such
committing themselves to its ideals.
Figure 20: Why interviewees stayed in al-Shabaab
25
20
21
12
11
13
11
8
5
6
6
4
1
5
2
Fe
ar
Be
lo
ng
in
Re
g
sp
on
sib
Be
ilit
lo
y
n
g
re in
sp g
on an
sib d
Be ility
Be an long
d in
lo
m g
ng
on
in
e
g
an y
d
Re
fe
ar
sp
Be
on
a
lo
s
n
d ibi
n
ib ging mo lity
ilit ,
n
Be y a res ey
lo nd po
ng
m ns
in
on g,
ey
Re
an res
d pe
sp
m ct
ec
on
ta
ey
nd
m
on
Fe
ey
ar
an
d
m
on
ey
ey
0
on
The percentage of
interviewees who stayed
in al-Shabaab because
they felt they belonged
12
10
M
21%
%
15
Radicalisation and al-Shabaab recruitment in Somalia
Figure 21: Interviewees’ sources of
regret regarding their
joining of al-Shabaab
45
40
42
government officials, gather information
to gather accurate intelligence, plan
on agencies and donors funding these
attacks, and operationalise such plans in
agencies, and track scheduled visits by
both Somalia and the wider region. The
foreign partners and donors.
planning and execution of the Kampala
restaurant bombing, the daylight attack
35
30
%
Today al-Shabaab has the capability
on the Westgate mall in Nairobi and the
33
25
siege of the UN compound in Mogadishu
20
demonstrates such capabilities, which
19
15
30
10
5
1
5
Ch
an
g
ta ed
ct
ics
al- Jo
Sh ine
Di
ab d
aa
m dn
or ot
b
e re
m c
em ru
be it
rs
G
ot
ca
ug
ht
Jo
in
go ed
t c an
au d
gh
t
0
Possible reasons for
al-Shabaab’s success
the Somali government seems to lack.
Thirdly, according to these sources, alShabaab uses clan and family networks
to recruit informers who are usually close
relatives, friends and family members of
targeted individuals. According to the
former Amniyat operative, information on
Secondly, al-Shabaab uses coercion,
UN agencies, foreign embassies, donors
intimidation, bribery and outright murder
and international organisations
to collect information, forcing many
are collected by targeting their staff or
people to cooperate from fear of being
close family and friends of a particular
killed. According to one former Amniyat
staff member.
operative, such cooperation has been
vital in al-Shabaab’s ability to collect
crucial information and identify targets.
According to this informant, al-Shabaab
Over the course of seven years alShabaab has transformed itself from a
rag-tag militia attempting to overthrow
the Western-backed government and
force the withdrawal of African Union
peacekeepers to a fully fledged army
that was able to conquer, control and
administer most of southern and central
Somalia for a lengthy period. Even after
it withdrew from Mogadishu and several
other regions, al-Shabaab continued to
wage an aggressive war in key locations.
is coercing many senior staff of the
It was able to do this for several reasons.
Firstly, unlike the Somali government and
the international community assisting it,
their families, and businesspeople who
largest telecommunication companies in
Somalia to provide information such as
phone numbers, email addresses, and
the residential and business addresses
of individuals and groups under alShabaab surveillance.
Fourthly, al-Shabaab uses
unsophisticated tracking and surveillance
techniques to monitor and access targets.
The clan system plays a major role in
this process. Family members, close
clan members and friends are used to
issue threats or facilitate collaboration.
Tracking and surveillance are mostly done
via phones. Through these techniques a
personal profile of the targeted individual
is built up covering things like his/her daily
Targeted individuals are Somali
routine, the layout of the target’s home,
government officials, parliamentarians,
their security arrangements, whether they
UN staff members, the donor community,
are armed, etc.
local and international organisations, local
staff working for these organisations and
have business ties with these entities.
Refusing to cooperate or exposing those
Fifthly, foreigners and especially Kenyans
play a leading role in al-Shabaab
intelligence operations and planning.
Informants claimed that most foot soldiers
and middle commanders on the battlefield
are Somalis, but almost all intelligence
Al-Shabaab has invested heavily in its intelligencegathering capabilities
analysts, middle and senior managers
are better educated, more experienced
and well-connected foreigners. Corrupt
security officials and sympathetic
al-Shabaab has invested heavily in its
seeking such information could put those
businesspeople and individuals are used
intelligence-gathering capabilities. The
who are forced to supply this information
to pay for logistics and provide access to
establishment of its intelligence service
and their families at risk. According
restricted areas.
unit, Amniyat, some years ago may have
to another source, al-Shabaab has
looked like a shift in the organisation’s
infiltrated approximately 150 of its agents
tactics, but interviews with former al-
into the Somali intelligence services,
Conclusion and
recommendations
Shabaab fighters indicated a deliberate
police, army and other government
This study has examined the vulnerability
strategic attempt to modernise the
agencies. This allows the organisation
of young people to being recruited by
organisation’s operations and planning.
to monitor the movements of senior
al-Shabaab; the radicalisation process;
ISS PAPER 266 • SEPTEMBER 2014
13
and radicalised al-Shabaab members’
perceptions of government, religious
identity and external role players. The
Somali government and its security
forces, governments in the region
(especially that of Kenya), and donors
and international agencies can develop
specific, tailored strategies to address the
factors behind radicalisation as identified
in this study.
Recommendations to the
Somali government and
security forces
Instability in Somalia was initially
motivated by clan politics and the
inability of leaders to build an inclusive
Somali state. Al-Shabaab has managed
to gain a foothold in the various clans,
while areas recovered from al-Shabaab
to different ideas to counter ‘group think’
and later possible radicalisation.
Somalia still has a long way to go to
effectively govern the areas it controls.
While governance and providing
essential services are crucial to securing
popular trust and support, none of this
will be possible without security. The
following is recommended to the Somali
security forces:
1. Intelligence-led operations. From
the above analysis, it is clear that
al-Shabaab’s strength rests on its
intelligence-gathering capabilities,
while the Somali security forces and
AMISOM lack such capabilities.
Intelligence is the core of any
counter-insurgency programme:
without proactive intelligence those
The Somali government needs to establish
partnerships with clan leaders and urgently initiate
a nation-building strategy
control once again show signs of
conducting counter-insurgency
falling back into the devastating reality
operations are literally blind. The
of clan-based politics. For Somalia to
security forces should both develop
recover, the Somali government needs to
intelligence assets among the public
establish partnerships with clan leaders
and use technology in the form of
and urgently initiate a nation-building
ground radar and sensors, aerial
strategy. In this regard it is important
to recognise that those interviewed for
the present study said they trusted clan
elders more than politicians. An inclusive
strategy that recognises the importance
of Somali’s clan system should therefore
be developed.
Education and skills are key components
Education can play a
key part in countering
radicalisation
14
reconnaissance (through unmanned
aerial vehicles) and the interception
of communications. Without proper
intelligence-gathering capabilities,
security forces often resort to force
to obtain information from civilians.
With good intelligence, operations
can be directed at those behind the
insurgency, without targeting
of securing employment, which in turn
civilians or those not involved in
can break the cycle in which joining
the insurgency.
al-Shabaab and similar organisations is
2. Counter-intelligence. The other side
the only viable option individuals have
of intelligence gathering is counter-
to provide for themselves and their
intelligence, i.e. the capacity to
families. Being at school also provides an
prevent al-Shabaab from infiltrating
opportunity to introduce young people
the government and its security
Radicalisation and al-Shabaab recruitment in Somalia
forces. The vetting of new and existing
members of the security forces should
be the first step, followed by the
investigation of potential security
risks. In light of al-Shabaab’s
intelligence-gathering capabilities,
government security forces urgently
need training on personal, physical
and information security.
3. Building trust through ‘winning hearts
and minds’ while enhancing control.
Since popular support is considered
to be a force enhancer, winning back
popular support is considered a
central component of any effective
counter-insurgency strategy, i.e.
‘winning hearts and minds’. The most
effective way to counter al-Shabaab
is to show ordinary people that the
government offers a better life than
the one they experienced under
al-Shabaab’s control. The problem
is that people are being convinced
by actions, not words, i.e. how
the government and government
representatives (especially the military
and police) conduct themselves.
The smallest incident in which the
security forces are seen to abuse
their power can break down trust.
Avoiding such incidents calls for
enormous discipline and a sense of
responsibility that does not always
a particular person or office, leading to
the inability to see the bigger picture,
which requires information to be
shared. Another problem is resources
allocation. Not being equally resourced
will affect how these agencies view
and work with one another during
joint operations. In summary, rivalry
and poor working relationships among
security agencies will continue to
affect the quality of cooperation for as
long as the mandate of each agency is
not defined by law and training
and remuneration schemes differ
among the agencies making up the
security apparatus.
return the situation to ‘normal’ so that
5. Transferring authority from the military
to the police. Understandably, the
military initially takes the lead in
defeating al-Shabaab, but successful
counter-insurgency operations require
authority to be transferred to a civilian
government and the police as soon as
possible. This is easier said than done
in a country that needs to rebuild the
most basic of its institutions following
decades of instability. Although the
military is often associated with
counter-insurgency operations,
the police are better equipped to
deal with insurgents in an urban
setting (supported by the military)
and in ‘liberated’ areas generally.
• Securing and protecting key facilities
the police can take lead, the military
can and where necessary should be
called in as a force enhancer and/or
to support the police. These situations
might include the following:
• Assisting in the arrest of suspects
expected to resist arrest, especially if
they are well armed
• Supporting the police in search
operations
• Providing logistical support
• Controlling crowds during urban
unrest
• Providing advice to the police
For this to be successful political
will is needed to both enable the
police and equip them with the
necessary resources to carry out their
functions properly.
6. Minimal use of force. Because
injury and death among the civilian
population hurt the overall objective of
counter-insurgency operations, which
is to win the hearts and minds of the
public, force should be used with great
care, particularly in urban settings,
and only insurgents/terrorists should
be targeted. In other words, both the
come naturally to security force
members after years of instability.
4. Coordination and cooperation
between security agencies.
Competition and rivalry within
Successful counter-insurgency operations require
authority to be transferred to a civilian government and
the police as soon as possible
and among government security
agencies hamper their cooperation
Trained to interact with the public
military and police need to respond
and coordination, threatening the
and solve crimes, the police are in a
appropriately to the actual and not the
better position to isolate insurgents
perceived threat they face.
government’s ability to address threats
to security. Personal differences
between colleagues in security
through cooperating with the public
7. Rule of law. The overall objective of
– keeping in mind that the abuse
counter-insurgency operations is to
often make them unwilling to share
of power and the use of force will
re-establish the rule of law so as to
information. Trust or its lack has the
harm the overall objective of counter-
allow society to function properly. To
same effect. Another challenge is the
insurgency activities. Although the
achieve this the following should occur
perception that information belongs to
overall objective of such activities is to
as soon as possible:
services and intelligence agencies
ISS PAPER 266 • SEPTEMBER 2014
15
• Security operations need to move
from combat operations to law
enforcement as soon as possible
• When police take control insurgents
should categorised as ‘criminals’
and not ‘soldiers’. In this way
al-Shabaab will lose its remaining
legitimacy
• The capacity of the police, judiciary
and penal facilities to provide people
with justice should be enhanced,
since this is a core element of
securing lasting peace
• Accurate record should be kept of
all actions taken against insurgents
and all offences committed by
insurgents. These records can be
used in later court proceedings
show them that the police are there
for them and with them
• A police presence will not only
improve public security, but will secure
support for the government through
their law-enforcement actions
• If they are in daily contact with the
public, the police will be able to collect
information on al-Shabaab fighters
attempting to merge with the public
• If the police build trust among the
public and present themselves as part
of the public, security will follow
• The police should protect all citizens
irrespective of the clan to which they
belong
It is clear that strategies based on mass arrests
and racial profiling are counterproductive
The unfortunate reality in countries
confronted by insurgencies is that the
police are often one of the most poorly
managed state organisations and are
insufficiently equipped, poorly trained,
deeply politicised and chronically corrupt.
It is therefore essential that measures
be taken to enhance the capacity of
the police in Somalia to carry out the
presence of Kenyan nationals in alShabaab’s higher echelons. This confirms
earlier assessments that al-Shabaab
has successfully presented itself as a
jihadist organisation beyond the borders
of Somalia and that it is not exclusively
staffed by Somalis. It is therefore
• The police should have the power to
essential that security agencies in
arrest criminals and investigate criminal
Kenya and other countries of the region
offences. It is therefore essential that
move away from the perception that
• The police should be visible day and
night as the most noticeable ‘face’
of government:
•Police stations should be established
16
Many interviewees referred to the
following key functions:
assistance addresses these functions
The police should
protect all citizens,
irrespective of the clan
to which they belong
Recommendations to the
region, especially Kenya
only Somalis and Somali-Kenyans are
involved with al-Shabaab.
It is also clear that strategies based
on mass arrests, racial profiling, etc.
are counterproductive. Additionally,
police- and intelligence-led criminal
around the country, including in
justice responses to terrorism are more
volatile areas. However, the police
effective than an arbitrary and hard-
officers staffing these stations should
handed response. While Kenya’s security
not stay behind their walls, but
forces (the police and military) have
should interact with the public and
experienced constant attacks since the
Radicalisation and al-Shabaab recruitment in Somalia
country’s intervention in Somalia, the
consequences of blind retaliation are
severe. Fighting an often-unidentifiable
enemy who uses the anonymity of
the masses to hide among, strike and
then disappear is extremely frustrating.
could emanate internally from staff
willingly collaborating with these
groups or being coerced to do so
• Support the development and
• Careful background checks should
be conducted when recruiting
new staff
• Support an inclusive nation-building
implementation of reintegration and
counter-radicalisation strategies
process, e.g. create opportunities
for national dialogue initiatives
that bring clan leaders together at
Careful background checks should be conducted
when recruiting new staff
the national and regional levels to
debate, make recommendations
and agree on critical matters
affecting the country
However, lashing out against the
• Vulnerability assessments should be
collective is not only ineffective, but is
carried out with great care, because
also counterproductive, because there
they could alienate some staff or be
is a real danger that non-radicalised
seen as discriminatory
members of affected communities might
feel the need to defend themselves
against the ‘other’, thus ‘driving’
individuals to extremism.
3. Develop a strategy for assisting staff
on the fringes of society as the ‘enemy’,
International organisations with large
but also the broader Kenyan community,
number of local staff could consider
which is driven by a well-established
establishing secure guest houses
perception that al-Shabaab only
for local staff. (Most international
consists of Somali nationals or those
organisations and donors do not
who are visibly Muslim. In light of this,
usually pay much attention to local
staff, but this is a major vulnerability
Paper 265.
staff member is considered to be
most risks posed by al-Shabaab
and other extremist groups are
generally external, significant risks
Inter-Governmental Authority on
Development and the Eastern Africa
Police Chiefs Cooperation Organisation
• Ensure that people are trained in
the right skill sets, while respecting
the overall objective, i.e. that of
establishing a responsible government
and security apparatus that have the
interests of all Somali citizens at heart
Notes
1
This study is based on research for
author Anneli Botha’s doctoral thesis in
the Department of Political Studies and
Governance at the University of the Free State
entitled ‘Radicalisation to commit terrorism
from a political socialisation perspective in
Kenya and Uganda’. The thesis focused
on al-Shabaab and Kenya’s Mombasa
Republican Council, as well as the Allied
Democratic Forces and Lord’s Resistance
Army in Kenya.
2
Initially, the data collection exercise targeted
a sample of 80–100 former fighters who
were captured on the battlefield and were
housed in the Sarendi Rehabilitation Centre
in Mogadishu, a Federal Government facility.
A second potential source of interviewees
included government prisons in Mogadishu
future actions
• As highlighted in this study, although
through regional actors such as the
clan or family member who would be
should:
come from within the organisation:
• Coordinate efforts, most notably
bring his/her clan elder or an influential
Donors and external organisations
reduce risks, because threats could
these realities ‘on the ground’
vulnerable, he/she could be asked to
responsible for the staff member’s
2. Assess staff vulnerabilities in order to
develop a list of priorities based on
4. Consider using the concept of clan
security when hiring local staff. If a
their local staff
• Assess what is really needed and
that is worth investing in.)
radicalisation in Kenya please see ISS
1. Develop a regular screening policy for
capacity-building initiatives in the country.
needs, these actors should:
if a staff member lives in a known alassist them to relocate to safer areas.
Recommendations to donors
and external organisations
actors are offering training and other
coercion and threats. For example,
and its security forces that treat people
of urgency. For more information on
international community and regional
Due to the magnitude of Somalia’s
Shabaab stronghold, encourage and
be implemented in Kenya as a matter
relations with Somalia, both the
who are vulnerable to al-Shabaab
It is, however, not only the government
nation-building programmes need to
In addition to establishing diplomatic
5.Play a vital and active role in
addressing vulnerabilities identified
in this study. For example, donors
could help to address the shortfalls
highlighted in this study, such as:
• Education and skills development
• Employment opportunities for youth
• The insecurity and vulnerabilities
affecting ordinary Somalis
ISS PAPER 266 • SEPTEMBER 2014
17
that host recently captured al-Shabaab
fighters. However, due to the restructuring of
the Sarendi Centre and the departure of key
personnel, access to both the centre and
prisons was not possible, so other methods
of locating former al-Shabaab combatants
were used.
3
4
5
6
The first challenge was the prevailing
insecurity in Mogadishu. This general
problem was exacerbated by the nature of
the fieldwork – targeting former al-Shabaab
fighters. Locating and interviewing such
people proved to be one of the most
dangerous undertakings in Mogadishu due
to al-Shabaab’s highly sophisticated and
efficient structure and operations. The second
challenge related to ensuring that interviewees
safely reached the place where the interviews
took place and returned home afterwards,
while there was always the threat that
interviewees could be targeted for revealing
information about al-Shabaab to its enemies.
The third challenge consisted of logistical
constraints and securing interview sites – no
hotel or restaurant would allow former alShabaab fighters to be interviewed on their
premises. Also, data collectors faced security
threats such as the possibility of being
followed and traced to their hotel, ambushed,
or kidnapped. Also, on occasion sections of
roads in Mogadishu were blocked for security
reasons. The use of alternative ways of
locating interviewees when initial plans did not
work reduced the impact of the challenges on
the overall results.
DO Sears, and S Levy, Childhood and adult
political development, in DO Sears, L Huddy
and R Jervis (eds), Oxford handbook of
political psychology, Oxford: Oxford University
Press, 2003, 83.
Preston, Introduction to political psychology,
Mahwah: Lawrence Erlbaum, 2004, 80.
12 Ibid, 50.
13 L Huddy, S Feldman and E Cassese, On the
distinct political effects of anxiety and anger,
in WR Neuman, GE Marcus, AN Crigler
and M MacKuen (eds), The affect effect:
dynamics of emotions in political thinking and
behaviour, Chicago: University of Chicago
Press, 2007, 205–206.
14 Bodenhausen, cited in ibid, 208.
15 United Nations,The United Nations Global
Counter-Terrorism Strategy, A/RES/60/288,
20 September 2006, http://daccess-dds-ny.
un.org/doc/UNDOC/GEN/N05/504/88/PDF/
N0550488.pdf?OpenElement.
16 MP Arena and BA Arrigo, The terrorist
identity: explaining the terrorist threat, New
York: New York University Press, 2006,
27–28.
17Z Abádi-Nagy, Theorizing collective identity:
presentations of virtual and actual collectives
in contemporary American fiction, Neohelicon
30(1) (2003), 176.
18 B Simon and B Klandermans, Politicized
collective identity: a social psychological
analysis, American Psychologist 56(4) (April
2001), 321.
19 G Almond and S Verba, The civic culture,
Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1963,
380–381.
20 K Deininger, Causes and consequences of
civil strife: micro-level evidence from Uganda,
Oxford Economic Papers 55(4) (2003), 599.
21 C Tushambomwe-Kazooba, Causes of small
business failure in Uganda: a case study from
Bushenyi and Mbarara towns, African Studies
Quarterly 8(4) (2006), 27–35.
SA Peterson and A Somit, Cognitive
development and childhood political
socialisation, American Behavioral Scientist
25(3) (January/February 1982), 324.
22 Dawson and Prewitt, Political socialization,
RE Dawson and K Prewitt, Political
socialization, Boston: Little, Brown, 1969, 50.
23 The Transitional National Government was
7
J Duckitt and CH Sibley, Personality, ideology,
prejudice, and politics: a dual-process
motivational model, Journal of Personality
78(6) (December 2010), 1869.
8
RS Sigel and MB Hoskin, Perspectives on
adult political socialisation – areas of research,
in SA Renshon (ed.), Handbook of political
socialisation, New York: Free Press, 1977,
265.
9
TR Gurr, Terrorism in democracies: its social
and political bases, in W Reich (ed.), Origins
of terrorism: psychologies, ideologies,
theologies, states of mind, Washington, DC:
Woodrow Wilson Center Press, 1990, 87.
10 E Quintelier, D Stolle and A Harell, Politics in
peer groups: exploring the causal relationship
between network diversity and political
participation, Political Research Quarterly
20(10) (2011), 2.
18
11 M Cottam, B Dietz-Uhler, EM Mastors and T
129–130.
established in April–May 2000, but had little
power. Following the ‘merging’ of moderate
leaders, the Transitional Federal Government
of the Republic of Somalia (TFG) was
established in November 2004. Despite
growing support for the Islamic Courts Union
(the forerunner to al-Shabaab and Hizbul
Islam) until its defeat in 2006, the TFG was
the internationally recognised government
until the Federal Government of Somalia was
inaugurated on 21 August 2012. Its authority
is growing, but al-Shabaab still controls large
parts of the country.
24 IL Janis, Group identification under conditions
of external danger, in D Cartwright and A
Zander (eds), Group dynamics: research and
theory, New York: Harper & Row, 1968, 80.
25 CR Mitchell, The structure of international
conflict, London: Macmillan, 1989, 88.
Radicalisation and al-Shabaab recruitment in Somalia
26 JM Post, ’It’s us against them’: the group
dynamics of political terrorism, Terrorism, 10
(1987), 24.
27 DM Taylor and W Louis, Terrorism and the
quest for identity, in FM Moghaddam and
AJ Marsella (eds), Understanding terrorism:
psychological roots, consequences and
interventions, Washington, DC: American
Psychological Association, 2004, 172–173.
28 Abádi-Nagy, Theorizing collective identity,
177.
PAPER
About the authors
ISS Pretoria
Anneli Botha has been a senior researcher at the ISS in Pretoria since 2003.
After completing an honours degree in international politics she joined the
South African Police Service’s Crime Intelligence Unit in 1993, focusing, among
other things, on terrorism and religious extremism. She has a master’s degree
in political studies from the University of Johannesburg and a PhD from the
University of the Free State. Her specific areas of interest are counter-terrorism
strategies and the underlying causes of terrorism and radicalisation.
Block C, Brooklyn Court
361 Veale Street
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pretoria@issafrica.org
Mahdi Abdile is the FCA Deputy Regional Representative for East and Southern
African Regional Office. He is currently completing his PhD thesis in the
Department of Political and Economic Studies at the University of Helsinki,
Finland. He has participated in several EU and Academy of Finland research
5th Floor, Get House
Building, Africa Avenue
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Tel: +251 11 515 6320
Fax: +251 11 515 6449
addisababa@issafrica.org
projects on diaspora involvement in peacebuilding in the Horn of Africa. For the
past five years he has worked for a number of international organisations and as
a consultant for the United Nations.
About the ISS
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Acknowledgements
This study was funded by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Finland and is the
result of a partnership between Finn Church Aid and the ISS. The study was
commissioned by the Network of Religious Leaders Peacemakers, the ISS and
Finn Church Aid. FCA is a partner organisation of the Ministry for Foreign Affairs of
Finland. The ISS is grateful for support from the members of the ISS Partnership
Forum: the governments of Australia, Canada, Denmark, Finland, Japan, the
Netherlands, Norway, Sweden and the United States.
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Authors contribute to ISS publications in their personal capacity.
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