Maxwell School of Citizenship and Public Affairs Department of Public Administration and International Affairs Syracuse University Syllabus (Fall, 2015) INTRODUCTION TO STATISTICS PAI 721 Name: Email: Office: Office Hours: Instructor Hosung Sohn sohnhosung@gmail.com 426 Eggers Hall (Room 406J) Friday, 2:00 pm–4:00 pm (Or by appointment) Classroom: Date: Time: Class Web: Lecture 110 Maxwell Tuesday & Thursday 8:00 am–9:20 am Class materials posted at http://blackboard.syr.edu Course Description and Objectives This course will introduce MPA students to the logic of statistical approach widely used in research that use data. I have two goals in mind. The first goal is to equip students with knowledge necessary for becoming a critical consumer and producer of data-driven research. To fulfill the goal, this course will focus on reasoning, rather than mathematical derivation and proofs. Focusing on reasoning, however, doesn’t necessarily imply that there will be no math-related stuffs in this course. Studying statistics with some degree of mathematics will tremendously help students grasp the logic behind statistics. So, some mathematical rigor will be involved in this course—a thorough understanding of basic high school algebra and geometry will be assumed. The second goal is to make students well prepared for the Quantitative Analysis course (i.e., Econometrics)—the other statistics-related MPA core course offered in the spring semester. Econometrics relies heavily on concepts that you will learn in this course. Accordingly, I hope students make a “soft landing” on and to excel at the second semester course after completing this course. After taking this course, as well as the Quantitative Analysis course, students are expected to read and understand data-driven research and to judge the degree to which they can provide an evidentiary basis for policy. Prerequisites Although the focus of the course is on logic rather than mathematical derivations, I expect from the students taking this course to have knowledge in algebra and geometry at the high school level. 1 Maxwell School of Citizenship and Public Affairs Department of Public Administration and International Affairs Syracuse University Syllabus (Fall, 2015) Assignments & Grading At this point in your career, the grade you receive in this course should have next to no impact on your future life—unless you intend to pursue another master or doctoral degrees. Therefore, worrying excessively about grades is strongly discouraged (it’s not good for your health!). To encourage students to learn diligently, however, I will assign final grades based on the following: 1. Class participation (0%) Although class participation does not count toward your final grades, participating in class discussion is extremely beneficial for your own understanding. It is also a service that you can provide to our class (including me!). In my experience, it is almost certainly the case that if you are unsure about something, other students are as well. So please do not worry about the sophistication of your questions or the correctness of your answers about topics under discussion. 2. Problem sets (20%) I will assign four problem sets over the semester, spaced about three to four weeks apart. These problem sets will be pencil-and-paper exercises, intended to make you solve equations and apply concepts you learned, as well as computer exercises using data. In order to solve computer exercises, you have to use statistical software. I recommend using SPSS as it will be used in the Quantitative Analysis course; but you are welcome to use other statistical software such as STATA and R. Answers to computer exercises, however, will be provided in the SPSS format. Students are allowed to work together on these problem sets, but each student should write up one’s answers using their own words! Please submit your problem set by the end of the class (i.e., 9:20 AM). Answers to each problem set will be available at the course website after the corresponding due date. The due date of each problem set is as follows: • Problem set 1: released on September 18 and due on September 29 • Problem set 2: released on October 9 and due on October 20 • Problem set 3: released on November 6 and due on November 17 • Problem set 4: released on November 27 and due on December 1 3. In-class midterm (30%) & final exams (50%) Midterm exams will be held on October 27 and final exams will be held on December 10. 2 Maxwell School of Citizenship and Public Affairs Department of Public Administration and International Affairs Syracuse University Syllabus (Fall, 2015) Textbook and Reading • Moore, D. S., McCabe, G. P., & Craig, B. A. (2014). Introduction to the Practice of Statistics, 8th Edition. NY: W.H. Freeman and Company (ISBN-13: 9781464158933; ISBN-10: 1464158932) • Lecture notes Optional Books • For those who want to read an “easy-to-read” book related to statistics, I recommend Naked Statistics: Stripping the Dread from the Data by Charles Wheelan. • If you really love math and want to study statistics rigorously, I am more than happy to recommend books on probability and mathematical statistics. Statistics Software Students may purchase a personal copy of the software from the SU Bookstore. If you do not want to purchase the software, copies are located on the computers in the student clusters in the basement of Eggers Hall. Also, the UCLA website has many helpful resources for statistical software. • SPSS : http://www.ats.ucla.edu/stat/spss/ • STATA: http://www.ats.ucla.edu/stat/stata/ • R: http://www.ats.ucla.edu/stat/r/ Religious Observance Syracuse University’s religious observances policy, found at http://supolicies.syr.edu/emp_ben/religious_observance.htm 3 Maxwell School of Citizenship and Public Affairs Department of Public Administration and International Affairs Syracuse University Syllabus (Fall, 2015) recognizes the diversity of faiths represented among the campus community and protects the rights of students, faculty, and staff to observe religious holidays according to their tradition. Under the policy, students are provided an opportunity to make up any examination, study, or work requirements that may be missed due to a religious observance, provided they notify their instructors before the end of the second week of classes. For fall and spring semesters, an online notification process is available through “MySlice/Student Services/Enrollment/My Religious Observances” from the first day of class until the end of the second week of class. Any student who will miss an assignment or exam due to a religious observance and has made the appropriate notifications should see me as soon as possible (at least within the two weeks of class) to make arrangements for making up his or her missed work. Make Up Work Although students are expected to complete the requirements of this course by the deadline, I totally understand that life is a blinding blizzard. If there happens to be some legitimate reasons for missing the deadline (e.g., family emergency, religious observance mentioned above), please write to me with proper documents to prove your emergency. Disability Statement If you need accommodations for a disability, please contact the Office of Disability Services (ODS), http://disabilityservices.syr.edu/, located at 804 University Avenue, or call 315-443-4498 for an appointment to discuss your needs and the process for requesting accommodations. The ODS is responsible for coordinating disability-related accommodations and will issue students with documented disabilities “Accommodation Authorization Letters,” as appropriate. Because accommodations may require early planning and generally are not provided retroactively, please contact the ODS as soon as possible. Academic Integrity Statement The Syracuse University Academic Integrity Policy holds students accountable for the integrity of the work they submit. Students should be familiar with the policy and know that it is their responsibility to learn about instructor and general academic expectations with regard to proper citation of sources in written work. The policy also governs the integrity of work submitted in exams and assignments as well as the veracity of signatures on attendance sheets and other verification of participation in class activities. Serious sanctions can result 4 Maxwell School of Citizenship and Public Affairs Department of Public Administration and International Affairs Syracuse University Syllabus (Fall, 2015) from academic dishonesty of any sort. For more information and the complete policy, see: http://supolicies.syr.edu/ethics/acad_integrity.htm Calendar and Important Dates Day/Date Month September September September September September/October October October October October November November November November December December Tuesday 1 8 15 22 29: 6 13 20: 27: 3 10 17: 24: 1: 8 Problem set 1 due Problem set 2 due Midterm exam Problem set 3 due No class (Thanksgiving) Problem set 4 due 5 Thursday 3 10 17 24 1 8 15 22 29 5 12 19 26: No class (Thanksgiving) 3 10: Final exam Tentative Course Schedule Dates September 1, 3 September 8, 10 September 15, 17 September 22, 24 September 29, October 1 October 6, 8 October 13, 15 Topic Descriptive Descriptive Descriptive Descriptive Descriptive Descriptive Descriptive Readings statistics statistics statistics statistics statistics statistics statistics 6 Chapter Chapter Chapter Chapter Chapter Chapter Chapter 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, lecture lecture lecture lecture lecture lecture lecture note note note note note note note 1 1 1 1 1 1 1