WATER AUTHORITY The Natural Water Resources Between the Mediterranean Sea and the Jordan River Gavriel Weinberger Head of Israel Hydrological Service Yakov Livshitz Amir Givati Michael Zilberbrand Adi Tal Menachem Weiss Arik Zurieli Jerusalem - 2012 Table of contents Preface Abstract 1. Introduction ..........................................................................................................1 2. Methodology ........................................................................................................2 3. Surface Water Flow in the Western and Eastern Basins......................................4 4. Summary Tables of Recharge into the Sources ..................................................8 5. Individual Basins 5.1 Lake Kinneret Watershed .........................................................................14 5.2 Western Galilee Basin ..............................................................................21 5.3 Carmel Basin.............................................................................................25 5.4 Coastal Basin ............................................................................................28 5.4.1 The Coastal Basin within Israel ..........................................................30 5.4.2 The Coastal Basin within the Gaza Strip ............................................31 5.5 Lower Galilee Basin.................................................................................32 5.6 Northeast Mountain Basins ......................................................................34 5.7 Eastern Mountain Basins .........................................................................37 5.8 Western Mountain Basin (Yarkon-Taninim) ...........................................43 5.9 Negev and Arava Basins ..........................................................................49 5.10 Summary of Recharge Estimates for all Basins .......................................54 6. Appendix……………………………………………………………………….. 59 7. References .............................................................................................................60 List of Figures 1. Schematic Delineation of the Major Water Basins in the studied area..................... 2 2. Average Annual Rainfall and Evaporation across the studied area .......................... 5 3. The Western, Eastern and Kinneret Drainage Areas. ............................................... 6 4. Regional Map of the Eastern Mediterranean and the Lake Kinneret Watershed including the upper catchments of the Jordan River and the direct watersheds (east and west)............................................................................................................ 14 5. Water Balance in the Kinneret Basin, average values for the period 1976-2009…..16 6. Annual Recharge from Rainfall to the Kinneret Basin ............................................16 i 7. Annual Average of Actual and Predicted Available Water in Lake Kinneret ..........19 8. Decreasing Trend of Available Water in Lake Kinneret ..........................................20 9. Simulated Trends of Mean Seasonal Precipitation for the Period 2030-2060 ..........21 10. The Western Galilee Basin .......................................................................................22 11. Hydro-Stratigraphic Column for Northern Israel. ....................................................23 12. Water Level Map and Flow Direction in the Western Galilee Basin. ......................23 13. Annual Recharge from Rainfall to the Western Galilee Basin. ................................24 14. Structural Map (top of Judea Group) of the Carmel Basin .......................................25 15. Groundwater Contour Map of Carmel Basin ............................................................26 16. Annual Recharge from Rainfall to the Carmel Basin ...............................................27 17. Location Map of the Coastal Basin ...........................................................................29 18. Typical Hydrogeological Section of Israel’s Coastal Aquifer ..................................30 19. Annual Recharge from Rainfall to the Coastal Basin ...............................................31 20. Water Level Map and Groundwater Flow Directions (Fall, 1998) in the Gaza Area of the Coastal Basin ..........................................................................................32 21. Lower Galilee Basin Location Map and Lithostratigraphic Column with Major Hydrogeologic Units .................................................................................................33 22. Annual Recharge from Rainfall to the Lower Galilee Basin ....................................33 23. Northeast Mountain Basin Location Map and Lithostratigraphic Column with Major Hydrogeologic Units .....................................................................................35 24. Annual Recharge from Rainfall to the Northeast Mountain Basin ...........................37 25. Eastern Mountain Basin Location Map and Lithostratigraphic Column with Major Hydrogeologic Units ......................................................................................38 26. Major Springs in the Eastern and Northeastern Mountain Basins with Approximate Annual Discharge ..............................................................................41 27. Annual Recharge from Rainfall to the Eastern Mountain Basin based on a Calibrated Cell-Balance Model................................................................................42 28. Boundaries of the Western Mountain Basin including the Historical (1950s) Spring Discharges .....................................................................................................44 29. Annual Recharge from Rainfall to the Western (Yarkon-Taninim) Mountain Basin. .......................................................................................................45 30. Distribution of High Salinity Groundwater in the Western Mountain Basin. ..........46 31. Relationship Between the Discrepancy of Estimated Storage Change and the Calculated Recharge ................................................................................................47 32. Recharge Time Series for three most Updated Models of the Yarkon-Taninim Basin..............................................................................................49 33. Location Map of the Negev and Arava Basin ...........................................................50 34. Hydro-stratigraphy of the Negev and Arava Basin...................................................51 35. Maps of Recharge Distribution to a). Hatzeva and Dead Sea Group Aquifers, b). Judea Group Aquifer, c). Kurnub Group Aquifer, throughout the Various Areas of the Negev and Arava Basin ......................................................................52 36. Average and Median Recharge from Rainfall Estimates for the Entire Time Period, 1973-2009 ....................................................................................................55 37. Average and Median Recharge from Rainfall Estimates for the Recent Time Period, 1993-2009 ....................................................................................................56 38. Comparison Between the Average Recharge from Rainfall Estimates for the Earlier Time Period (1973-1992) and the Later Time Period (1993-2009) .............56 39. Average and Median Recharge from Rainfall Estimates for the Entire Time Period (1973-2009) with Chloride Concentration Below 400 mg/l.........................57 40. Average and Median Recharge from Rainfall Estimates for the Recent Time Period (1993-2009) with Chloride Concentration Below 400 mg/l.........................57 41. Comparison Between the Average Recharge from Rainfall Estimates for the Earlier Time Period (1973-1992) and the Later Time Period (1993-2009) with Chloride Concentration Below 400 mg/l. ...............................................................58 42. Rainfall in the Middle East for the Period of 1993-2009 compared to the Period of 1973-1992 .................................................................................................................58 List of Tables 1. Annual Measured Flood Volumes and Runoff/Precipitation Coefficients for the Western Drainage Area…………………………………………………………..7 2. Average and Median Flood Volumes in the Western Drainage Area………………..8 3. Average Annual Recharge into the Major Hydrological Basins for the Period 1973-1992…………………………………………………………………….9 4. Average Annual Recharge into the Major Hydrological Basins for the Period 1993-2009…………………………………………………………………....10 5. Average Annual Recharge into the Major Hydrological Basins for the Combined Period 1973-2009……………………………………………….……….11 6. Annual Recharge from Rainfall for the Major Basins with Statistical Parameters for time periods: 1973-1992, 1993-2009 and 1973-2009……………. 12 7. Annual Total Recharge into areas with Chloride Concentration less than 400 mg/l for the Major Basins with Statistical Parameters for time periods: 1973-1992, 1993-2009 and 1973-2009…………………………………………….13 8. Water Balance in the Kinneret Watershed ...........................................................….18 9. Statistics of the Water Balance for the Kinneret Watershed at different periods. ..............................................................................................….19 10. Summary of the Climate, Hydrological, Evaporation and Salinity Concentration Models and the Effect on Water Availability in Lake Kinneret...............................................................................................................….20 11. Summary of Water Balance Estimations for the Coastal Aquifer in the Gaza Strip...................................................................................................….30 12. Average and Median Annual Recharge Estimates for the Northeast Mountain Basin Aquifers for three time periods. .................................................................….36 13. Average and Median Annual Recharge Estimates for the Eastern Basin from Two Separate Models………………………………………………………………42 14. Summary of Recharge Distribution for the Various Aquifers in the Negev and Arava Basin according to Chloride Concentrations. .....................................….53 Appendix General Theory of Cell-Balance Model Used by the Israel Hydrologic Service for Estimating Recharge to Groundwater Basins..................................................59 Preface Dear Friends, We are honored to present you the following report "The Natural Water Resources between the Mediterranean Sea and the Jordan River". This work is a result of profound and comprehensive analysis based on the most up to date hydrological data collected and the recent research conducted on the available groundwater and surface water resources in the area between the Mediterranean Sea and the Jordan River. We truly hope that this report will be a toolkit for the professional community in the region, as well as for the decision makers, and the wide audience interested in the water issues in the Middle East. The utmost importance is given to the basic axiom in our region – the natural water resources are stressed, and the continuous water crisis is a fact of life. The key for coping with this mutual challenge on the sustainable basis is lying in the Integrated Water Resources Management, including water recycling, effective use of natural water resources and water saving. Our appreciation is given to the hydrological specialists and to the professional staff of the Hydrological Service of Israel in the Governmental Authority for Water and Sewage, for putting the efforts to complete this important report. Alexander Kushnir Director General The Governmental Authority for Water and Sewage Abstract The Israel Hydrological Service staff has prepared this detailed report which presents the complete water resource potential (natural recharge) in the area between the Mediterranean Sea and the Jordan River. Each of the basins within the study area is described separately, including a hydrogeologic background, the methods of calculating the recharge estimates, and their results. The results are presented in Tables 3 thru 7 and the statistical parameters in Figures 36 to 41. It is shown that the total, average natural recharge for Israel (chloride concentrations both above and below 400 mg/l) is between 1.6 and 1.8 billion cubic meters per year, depending on the averaging period. For chloride concentrations below 400 mg/l alone (the recommended drinking water standard), the average natural recharge is between 1.4 and 1.6 billion cubic meters per year. It is also shown that the overall recharge in Israel has decreased significantly over the past 40 years. A comparison between the periods prior and subsequent to 1993 shows a decrease of up to 13% in the natural water resource potential. Regional climate and water resources models suggest that this trend will continue for the next 25 years. Acknowledgment: We would like to express our gratitude to Emeritus Prof. Uri Shamir, Senior Consultant to the Water Authority, from the Faculty of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Stephen and Nancy Grand Water Research Institute, Technion - Israel Institute of Technology, Haifa, for his helpful suggestions and to Prof. Haim Gvirtzman from the Institute of Earth Sciences, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem for his advice and support. 1. Introduction The goal of this report is to present the relevant hydrogeologic data collected, analyzed and interpreted by the Israel Hydrologic Service relating to the potential of natural water resources between the Mediterranean Sea and the Jordan River. The area's delineation (Figure 1) is based entirely on hydrological considerations, designed to provide the pertinent data for the management of water resources under any and all political arrangements. Many of the locations and sources are designated in the report by the names used in Israel, as the report relies on maps, data, models and reports produced by Israel. The report deals with surface water flows and groundwater recharge volumes originating from precipitation, with attention given to water salinity and flow between the various basins. The report pertains to the water sources from the Mediterranean coast on the west to the Jordan River and Arava Valley on the east, including the Golan Heights and covers the following basins/aquifers: Kinneret, Western Galilee, Carmel, Coastal, Lower Galilee, Northeast Mountain, Eastern Mountain, Western Mountain (Yarkon-Taninim) and the Negev and Arava. The Gaza Strip is considered separately in the report although it is hydrologically inseparable from the Coastal Aquifer. The data presented in the report are divided into three time-periods: 1973-1992, 19932009, and the combined period 1973-2009, to facilitate presentation of changes over time. For each time period the averages, medians and standard deviations are presented as statistical indicators. In some cases the available data do not cover the entire period. All of the data presented here are available to the public in the annual reports: “Development, Utilization and Status of Israel’s Water Resources” and “The Israel Hydrologic Yearbook” (both in Hebrew) compiled by the Israel Hydrologic Service. The reports can also be found on the Israel Water Authority website: http://www.water.gov.il 1 Western Galilee Carmel Kinnert Lower Galilee Northeastern Mountain Coastal Aquifer Eastern Mountain Aquifer Western Mountain Aquifer Negev Arava Figure 1. Schematic Delineation of the Major Water Basins in the studied area. It should be noted that the Treaty of Peace between Israel and the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan (1994), includes an agreement on water. The content of this agreement has an impact on the water resources in the region. Reference is also made to Oslo II Interim Agreement on the West Bank and Gaza Strip between Israel and the PLO (1995), which includes agreed provisions on the coordinated management of water resources and sewage. This Agreement remains in effect to date. 2. Methodology The hydrology of the region, including the recharge of the water resources and flow between adjacent basins, is affected by the variability of precipitation (natural and/or man-made) and by anthropogenic actions. The latter include water extractions for use in the basin, and changes in infiltration and runoff due to land development and return flows. The calculations of the historical natural recharge (which is the primary objective of this report) must therefore consider these effects, which change over time and have components that are not measured directly or not with sufficient density in time and space (e.g., recharge in urban areas, flow from the Coastal Aquifer to the sea). The calculations are carried out by a variety of techniques, ranging from relatively simple water balances using "cell models", to more sophisticated two and three-dimensional numerical models. The results presented in this report are the best results obtained to-date based on geo-hydrological expertise aided by the models. The following recurring terms are used: Aquifer and Basin: these terms are sometimes used interchangeably for groundwater, although strictly speaking the "basin" is a domain of flow while an "aquifer" is the layer in which flow takes place (and a basin may therefore have several aquifers or sub-aquifers). The reason is that in hydrological parlance it is common to use "aquifer" for "basin". For example, the "Coastal Aquifer" is a groundwater basin flowing towards the Mediterranean Sea, with several sub-aquifers. Recharge from rain: The volume of rain water that enters a particular basin/aquifer from rainfall. The volume is either calculated directly, as in the case of Lake Kinneret (water-level measurements of the lake itself), or indirectly through the use of hydrologic balance equations and models. Lateral inflows and outflows: The volume of water that flows from one basin/aquifer to another or to the adjacent water body. For example: into the Coastal Aquifer there is inflow of brackish water from the adjacent Eocene aquitard, inflow of seawater from the adjacent Mediterranean Sea, and outflow of freshwater to the Mediterranean Sea. Total recharge: The recharge from rain plus the net of lateral inflows minus outflows. The current report deals with natural recharge only. Water quality in the sources is a matter of concern. This report deals only with what is termed "fresh water", i.e., water that is suitable for supply to the urban sector with minimal/modest/conventional treatment. Within this range of qualities we differentiate between sources with chloride concentration below and above 400 mg/liter which is the maximum level for drinking water according to the Israeli Ministry of Health. Within the Coastal Aquifer, the area around Shafdan (Israel’s largest plant for wastewater treatment and groundwater recharge) and other locally affected areas are defined as having recharge from rain into areas with chloride concentrations above 400 mg/liter. 3. Surface Water Flow in the Western and Eastern Basins Israel is located between the northern latitudes of 29 and 33 and includes both desert and Mediterranean climates, the former affecting more than half of the country. Annual rainfall in Israel ranges from approximately 1000 millimeters (mm) in the northern mountains (upper Kinneret and western Galilee), to 500-600 mm in the Yarkon-Taninim basin, the central mountains and the Coastal basin. In the southern Negev and Arava regions the annual rainfall is usually below 50 mm (Figure 2). The majority of rainfall is lost to evapo-transpiration (approximately 70% according to most models), while approximately 25% infiltrates to groundwater and 5% flows as surface water. The surface water flow system in Israel is divided into two parts: western and eastern. The western system drains towards the Mediterranean Sea while the eastern system drains towards the Jordan Rift, the Dead Sea and the Red Sea (Figure 3). A third flow system, the Kinneret Basin, is dealt with as a separate basin. The stream channels that drain to the east account for a small percentage (~10%) of the overall surface water flow while the other ~90% flows in the western drainage system. Surface water can be divided into base flow (springs discharging to stream channels) and floods. The overall discharge volumes calculated from measurements integrate both of these flow types. Table 1 shows the annual discharge of surface flows in the western system for the period 1987-2010 and the calculated runoff-precipitation coefficients. The runoff is measured at gauging stations located relatively close to the point of discharge to the sea. The runoff-precipitation coefficient is the ratio between the volume of surface water flow generated from rain that fell on a particular drainage basin, to the volume of rain itself. The volumes shown do not include an additional approximately 40 mcm of surface water from non-gauged areas. Based on regression analyses of the rainfall-surface flow relationship in the urbanized area near the coast, it is estimated that approximately ~13% of the area in the western system is not monitored with gauging stations. Figure 2. Average Annual Rainfall and Evaporation across the studied area. Kinneret Basin Western Drainage Eastern Drainage Figure 3. The Western, Eastern and Kinneret Drainage Areas. Table 1. Annual Measured Flood Volumes and Runoff/Precipitation Coefficients for the Western Drainage Area. Flood Hydrologic Year Volume (mcm) Runoff / Precipitation Coefficient (%) 1986/87 168 3.7 1987/88 200 4.4 1988/89 45 1.6 1989/90 74 2.4 1990/91 70 2.5 1991/92 967 15.6 1992/93 247 8.6 1993/94 38 2.7 1994/95 322 9.2 1995/96 78 3.7 1996/97 140 4.6 1997/98 84 3.7 1998/99 20 3.1 1999/00 111 4.8 2000/01 39 2.2 2001/02 154 4.6 2002/03 346 7.5 2003/04 116 5.6 2004/05 147 3.0 2005/06 74 2.8 2006/07 60 2.5 2007/08 59 1.8 2008/09 72 3.6 2009/10 118 3.9 Average 156 4.5 Median 98 3.7 Table 2 shows the average and median volumes of surface water flow for the two periods: 1987-2010 and 1993-2010 (including the additional estimated 40 mcm for non-gauged area). The average volume for the entire western basin ranges between 178 and 210 mcm/yr, depending upon the time period considered. The estimated average annual volume of surface flow in the eastern flow system is ~25 mcm/yr. Table 2: Average and Median Flood Volumes in the Western Drainage Area (includes 40 mcm/yr for non-gauged areas). Period Flood Volumes (mcm) Average:0891 -0202 002 Median:0891 -0202 051 Average:0881 -0202 019 Median:0881 -0202 019 4. Summary Tables of Recharge into the Sources Tables 3-7 present the summary of all subsequent sections. The tables show the estimated annual recharge from rain for each basin/aquifer, including the estimates of annual total recharge for areas with chloride concentrations above and below 400 mg/l for each defined time-period. Table 3. Average Annual Recharge into the Major Hydrological Basins for the Period 1973-1992. 1973-1992 Recharge from Rainfall (1) <400 mg/l Cl >400 mg/l Cl 148 104 (3) 369 211 151 24 6 (8) 119 20 (9) 27 15 (10) 4 28 (12) 605 18 (14) 18 26 Hydrological Basin Coastal Western Mountain Eastern Mountain (7) North Eastern Mountain (7) Lower Galilee (7) Western Galilee Carmel Negev Kinneret (7) Gaza 1658 1676 Total without Gaza Total 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 191 217 Total 252 369 211 151 30 139 42 32 623 44 1849 1893 Natural Natural Recharge Discharge(16) Lateral Recharge/Discharge Total Recharge <400 mg/l Cl >400 mg/l Cl Total <400 mg/l Cl >400 mg/l Cl Total Springs (2) -20 (4) 43 (5) 23 128 147 275 0 369 369 45 211 211 131 151 151 94 24 6 30 12 -10 (4) -5 (4) -15 109 15 124 36 -5 (11) -5 27 10 37 5 -4 (13) -4 4 24 28 -17 (14) -17 605 605 -5 (4) 31 (15) 26 13 57 70 -30 -35 12 43 -18 8 1628 1641 rainfall turns to surface water/groundwater data reconstructed: Western Galilee prior 1987; Carmel prior 1995; Eastern Mountain and Noth Eastern Mountain since 2000 comprised of 78 MCM local groundwater; 14MCM - Shafdan Plant; 12 MCM - Highly contaminated zones discharge to the sea Inflow from the nearby Eocene - 37 MCM and 6 MCM from the sea supposed additional recharge from adjacent aquifers/phreatic area data available for Kinneret; Eastern Mountain, North Eastern Mountain and Lower Galilee since 1976 mainly in the Yavniel Valley Including 13 MCM - Naaman; 5 MCM - Kurdani; 1 MCM -Yizreel Valley, 1 MCM Galilee Coast Including 7 MCM Carmel Coast and 8 MCM Carmel Mt. discharge to the sea - 4MCM and to Yizreel Valley - 1 MCM 12 MCM Alluvial aquifers; 12.5 MCM Judea Gr. and 3.4 MCM Kurnub Gr. Aquifers, evaluated difference between transboundary flow saline water carrier downward flow from the adjacent Coastal aquifer 24 MCM and sea water inrtusion 7 MCM part of total Recharge 202 259 1830 1900 323 323 Table 4. Average Annual Recharge into the Major Hydrological Basins for the Period 1993-2009. 1993-2009 Recharge from Rainfall (1) <400 mg/l Cl >400 mg/l Cl 136 96 (3) 333 174 134 20 6 (8) 112 20 (9) 25 15 (10) 4 28 (12) 526 14 (14) 17 23 Hydrological Basin Coastal Western Mountain Eastern Mountain North Eastern Mountain Lower Galilee Western Galilee Carmel Negev Kinneret Gaza 1464 1481 Total without Gaza Total 1 2 3 4 5 6 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 179 202 56 56 Total 232 333 174 134 26 132 40 32 540 40 1643 1683 Natural Natural Recharge Discharge(16) Lateral Recharge/Discharge Total Recharge <400 mg/l Cl >400 mg/l Cl Total <400 mg/l Cl >400 mg/l Cl Total Springs (2) -20 (4) 43 (5) 23 116 139 255 0 333 333 45 174 174 130 134 134 93 20 6 26 12 -10 (4) -5 (4) -15 102 15 117 41 -5 (11) -5 25 10 35 4 -1 (13) -1 4 27 31 -15 (14) -15 526 526 45 (15) 45 17 68 85 -30 -30 8 8 17 62 47 62 -13 32 1434 1451 rainfall turns to surface water/groundwater data reconstructed: Western Galilee prior 1987; Carmel prior 1995; Eastern Mountain and Noth Eastern Mountain since 2000 comprised of 72 MCM local groundwater; 14 MCM - Shafdan Plant; 11 MCM - Highly contaminated zones discharge to the sea Inflow from the nearby Eocene - 37 MCM and 6 MCM from the sea supposed additional recharge from adjacent aquifers/phreatic area mainly in the Yavniel Valley Including 13 MCM - Naaman; 5 MCM - Kurdani; 1 MCM -Yizreel Valley, 1 MCM Galilee Coast Including 7 MCM Carmel Coast and 8 MCM Carmel Mt. discharge to the sea - 4MCM and to Yizreel Valley - 1 MCM 12 MCM Alluvial aquifers; 12.5 MCM Judea Gr. and 3.4 MCM Kurnub Gr. Aquifers, evaluated difference between transboundary flow saline water carrier downward flow from the adjacent Coastal aquifer 30 MCM and sea water intrusion 15 MCM part of total Recharge 197 265 1631 1716 325 325 Table 5. Average Annual Recharge into the Major Hydrological Basins for the Combined Period 1973-2009. 1973-2009 Recharge from Rainfall (1) <400 mg/l Cl >400 mg/l Cl 143 100 (3) 352 192 142 22 6 (8) 116 20 (9) 26 15 (10) 4 28 (12) 565 16 (14) 18 24 Hydrological Basin Coastal Western Mountain Eastern Mountain (7) North Eastern Mountain (7) Lower Galilee (7) Western Galilee Carmel Negev Kinneret (7) Gaza Total 243 352 192 142 28 136 41 32 581 42 Natural Natural Recharge Discharge(16) Lateral Recharge/Discharge Total Recharge <400 mg/l Cl >400 mg/l Cl Total <400 mg/l Cl >400 mg/l Cl Total Springs (2) -20 (4) 43 (5) 23 123 143 266 0 352 352 43 192 192 130 142 142 94 22 6 28 12 -10 (4) -5 (4) -15 106 15 121 38 -5 (11) -5 26 10 36 5 -2 (13) -2 4 26 30 -15 (14) -15 565 565 -3 38 (15) 35 15 62 77 Total without Gaza 1562 185 1747 -30 16 -14 1532 200 1732 322 Total with Gaza 1580 209 1789 -33 54 21 1547 262 1809 322 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 rainfall turns to surface water/groundwater data reconstructed: Western Galilee prior 1987; Carmel prior 1995; Eastern Mountain and Noth Eastern Mountain since 2000 comprised of 75 MCM local groundwater; 14 MCM - Shafdan Plant; 11 MCM - Highly contaminated zones discharge to the sea Inflow from the nearby Eocene - 37 MCM and 6 MCM from the sea supposed additional recharge from adjacent aquifers/phreatic area data available for Kinneret; Eastern Mountain, North Eastern Mountain and Lower Galilee since 1976 mainly in the Yavniel Valley Including 13 MCM - Naaman; 5 MCM - Kurdani; 1 MCM -Yizreel Valley, 1 MCM Galilee Coast Including 7 MCM Carmel Coast and 8 MCM Carmel Mt. discharge to the sea - 4MCM and to Yizreel Valley - 1 MCM 12 MCM Alluvial aquifers; 12.5 MCM Judea Gr. and 3.4 MCM Kurnub Gr. aquifers, evaluated difference between transboundary flow saline water carrier downward flow from the adjacent Coastal aquifer 27 MCM and sea water intrusion 11 MCM part of total Recharge Table 6. Annual Recharge from Rainfall for the Major Basins with Statistical Parameters for time periods: 1973-1992, 1993-2009 and 1973-2009. Year Hydro. Year Coastal Western Mountain 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 1970/1971 1971/1972 1972/1973 1973/1974 1974/1975 1975/1976 1976/1977 1977/1978 1978/1979 1979/1980 1980/1981 1981/1982 1982/1983 1983/1984 1984/1985 1985/1986 1986/1987 1987/1988 1988/1989 1989/1990 1990/1991 1991/1992 1992/1993 1993/1994 1994/1995 1995/1996 1996/1997 1997/1998 1998/1999 1999/2000 2000/2001 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009 250 267 195 329 280 186 266 231 184 300 239 193 316 155 170 183 313 298 218 274 208 504 298 178 350 244 255 233 116 221 214 276 324 202 216 233 219 189 178 392 408 305 528 366 310 400 343 229 436 378 303 473 239 247 254 416 426 306 340 295 780 425 244 424 337 399 326 146 352 258 419 512 262 346 362 299 237 309 175 212 183 178 240 212 180 305 147 175 135 243 244 187 191 163 409 251 154 207 194 213 164 100 136 167 208 244 134 204 159 177 111 131 135 170 103 53 240 131 99 260 115 81 94 163 194 112 132 79 411 163 81 187 130 156 170 40 120 84 149 260 123 132 137 127 89 128 (1973-1992) (1993-2009) (1973-2009) (1973-1991) (1973-1992) (1993-2009) (1973-2009) (1973-1992) (1993-2009) (1973-2009) 252 232 243 56 81 57 71 235 221 231 369 333 352 83 126 89 111 342 337 340 211 174 192 43 66 44 58 187 167 182 151 134 142 58 87 49 70 131 130 130 Average Average Average Standard deviation Standard deviation Standard deviation Standard deviation Median Median Median Eastern Mountain North Eastern Mountain Lower Western Galilee Galilee Carmel Negev Kinneret Gaza 28 33 28 19 44 34 17 34 24 23 23 31 33 21 34 23 58 30 23 34 26 29 30 16 24 20 30 43 24 23 23 28 17 27 162 121 89 160 126 136 163 151 80 180 166 105 156 128 139 100 175 174 95 124 95 232 144 103 161 143 144 165 95 116 96 154 199 148 115 117 123 92 129 49 42 28 41 47 41 54 42 30 57 37 23 51 33 29 33 44 60 31 44 28 81 44 25 48 41 34 48 27 40 37 53 54 50 35 42 36 30 35 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 586 701 673 269 846 874 442 844 535 535 376 806 831 359 321 258 1332 806 468 701 587 567 667 326 371 249 453 1140 822 523 448 404 274 377 41 44 36 57 43 28 38 31 32 52 27 37 66 24 28 28 66 54 46 49 46 90 57 30 59 47 35 31 19 35 51 50 68 32 34 30 43 21 33 30 26 28 7 10 7 9 28 26 27 139 132 136 32 38 29 34 138 129 136 42 40 41 11 14 9 12 41 40 41 32 32 32 0 0 0 0 32 32 32 623 540 581 223 283 231 258 586 468 535 44 40 42 13 17 14 15 41 35 37 Total without Gaza Total with Gaza 1629 2030 1786 1074 2375 2103 1396 2471 1409 1431 1230 2223 2291 1362 1492 1181 3839 2193 1308 2144 1735 1830 1833 898 1411 1156 1774 2808 1798 1628 1552 1444 1070 1344 1656 2068 1817 1106 2427 2130 1432 2537 1433 1459 1258 2289 2345 1408 1542 1227 3929 2249 1338 2203 1782 1865 1864 917 1446 1208 1823 2875 1830 1662 1582 1487 1091 1377 1848 1643 1748 465 684 465 584 1719 1551 1654 1892 1682 1790 473 698 475 597 1760 1586 1690 Table 7. Annual Total Recharge into areas with Chloride Concentration less than 400 mg/l for the Major Basins with Statistical Parameters for time periods: 1973-1992, 1993-2009 and 1973-2009. Year 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Average Average Average Standard deviation Standard deviation Standard deviation Standard deviation Median Median Median Hydro. Year Coastal Western Mountain Eastern Mountain North Eastern Mountain Lower Galilee Western Galilee Carmel Negev 34 27 13 26 32 26 39 27 15 42 22 8 36 18 14 18 29 45 16 29 13 66 29 10 33 26 19 33 12 25 22 38 39 35 20 27 21 15 20 27 25 26 11 14 9 12 26 25 26 1970/1971 1971/1972 1972/1973 1973/1974 1974/1975 1975/1976 1976/1977 1977/1978 1978/1979 1979/1980 1980/1981 1981/1982 1982/1983 1983/1984 1984/1985 1985/1986 1986/1987 1987/1988 1988/1989 1989/1990 1990/1991 1991/1992 1992/1993 1993/1994 1994/1995 1995/1996 1996/1997 1997/1998 1998/1999 1999/2000 2000/2001 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009 124 136 93 169 142 93 141 115 90 158 123 90 166 72 78 92 163 157 107 141 101 272 148 84 190 120 130 117 51 113 107 144 167 103 108 115 109 88 85 392 408 305 528 366 310 400 343 229 436 378 303 473 239 247 254 416 426 306 340 295 780 425 244 424 337 399 326 146 352 258 419 512 262 346 362 299 237 309 175 212 183 178 240 212 180 305 147 175 135 243 244 187 191 163 409 251 154 207 194 213 164 100 136 167 208 244 134 204 159 177 111 131 135 170 103 53 240 131 99 260 115 81 94 163 194 112 132 79 411 163 81 187 130 156 170 40 120 84 149 260 123 132 137 127 89 128 22 27 22 13 38 28 11 28 18 17 17 25 27 15 28 17 52 24 17 28 20 23 24 10 18 14 24 37 18 17 17 22 11 21 132 91 59 130 96 106 133 121 50 150 136 75 126 98 109 70 145 144 65 94 65 202 114 73 131 113 114 135 65 86 66 124 169 118 85 87 93 62 99 (1973-1992) (1993-2009) (1973-2009) (1973-1991) (1973-1992) (1993-2009) (1973-2009) (1973-1992) (1993-2009) (1973-2009) 128 116 123 33 46 33 41 119 113 115 369 333 352 83 126 89 111 342 337 340 211 174 192 43 66 44 58 187 167 182 151 134 142 58 87 49 70 131 130 130 24 20 22 7 10 7 9 22 20 21 109 102 106 32 38 29 34 108 99 106 Total without Gaza Total with Gaza 563 679 655 249 827 857 432 825 517 514 358 786 820 342 302 238 1322 794 454 680 569 548 651 309 355 239 441 1127 810 508 429 390 262 371 13 14 10 19 12 7 12 8 9 16 7 10 23 5 7 6 23 18 14 16 14 33 23 14 25 20 14 13 8 15 21 22 31 13 14 13 18 9 14 1435 1804 1573 881 2135 1890 1203 2223 1229 1239 1042 1974 2060 1154 1261 975 3518 1952 1121 1884 1513 1607 1623 736 1207 960 1551 2559 1608 1426 1336 1241 878 1167 1441 1816 1581 890 2151 1897 1213 2246 1234 1246 1048 1997 2077 1169 1277 989 3551 1976 1134 1909 1533 1621 1636 744 1222 981 1573 2590 1622 1440 1348 1259 887 1181 605 526 565 223 284 230 258 563 454 515 13 17 15 6 7 6 7 12 14 14 1627 1433 1533 447 652 443 557 1501 1349 1439 1640 1450 1548 450 658 448 562 1513 1364 1453 Kinneret Gaza 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 0 0 0 0 4 4 4 5. Individual Basins 5.1 Lake Kinneret Watershed The Kinneret basin stretches from the Hermon Mountain Range in the north to the southern shore of Lake Kinneret in the south. The western border is the hydrologic water divide in the Galilee Hills and into Lebanon while the eastern border is on the Golan Heights and the border with Syria (Figure 4). Figure 4. Regional Map of the Eastern Mediterranean and the Lake Kinneret Watershed including the upper catchments of the Jordan River and the direct watersheds (east and west). The Kinneret basin has its main water source in the ~1,700 km2 upper catchment of the Jordan River (UCJR) which includes ~920 km2 in Israel and ~780 km2 in Syria and Lebanon. The basin also includes a number of smaller sub-basins/aquifers which, like the UCJR, all have their final discharge into Lake Kinneret, the most important surface water resource in Israel. The area of the smaller sub-basins is ~965 km2, 577 km2 of which are in the southern part of the Golan Height to the east of the lake, and the other 388 km2 are in the Eastern Galilee Mountains to the west of the lake. The Hermon Mountain range in the northern part of the UCJR has an elevation of 1,200–2,800 meters and is the wettest area in the basin with an average annual precipitation between 1200–1500 mm. The Hermon range feeds the three major tributaries of the Jordan River: 1) Dan with average annual flow of ~250 mcm/yr, 2) Hermon (also known as Banias) with ~110 mcm/yr and 3) Snir (also known as Hazbani) with ~115 mcm/yr. The hydrogeological units making up the various aquifers are of Jurassic and Upper Cretaceous age (mainly carbonate limestone and dolomite), Eocene (mainly chalk and limestone) and Quaternary age (basalt and alluvium). The average annual recharge from rain to the entire Kinneret basin has dropped from approximately 623 mcm/yr during the period 1976-1992 to approximately 540 mcm/yr during the period 1993-2009. Included is approximately 16 mcm/yr of saline spring water with chloride concentrations above 400 mg/l (Tables 3-4). The high salinity water is discharged at the Tabcha Springs and diverted away from Lake Kinneret to prevent accumulation of salts within the lake. For the entire period 1976-2009, the average recharge from rain to the Kinneret Basin is 581 mcm (Table 5). On average, approximately 434 mcm/yr enters from the Jordan River, 65 mcm/yr comes from direct rainfall, 75 mcm/yr flows from the subbasins/aquifers and artificial diversion, and 55 mcm/yr comes from springs flowing directly into the lake. An average of 230 mcm/yr evaporates so that the average volume of available water is 399 mcm/yr. An additional 182 mcm/yr are used in the upstream areas of the Basin so the average total recharge is 581 mcm (Figure 5). From this, approximately 16 mcm/yr of high salinity water is diverted so that the average total recharge for the period 1976-2009 is 565 mcm/yr (Table 5). Figure 6 shows the annual recharge from rain to the Kinneret Basin in graphic form. Inflow: Consumption in the upstream watershed Outflow: Direct rainfall on the lake: 65 mcm Jordan River: 434 mcm (Hydrometric station at the obstacle bridge) Direct watershed runoff : 70 mcm Springs (Eastern Galilee) : 55 mcm Other (Kinneret 7) : 5 mcm Private consumption: 98 mcm Pumping in the watershed (Golan fields, Einan, Eastern Galilee): 49 mcm Saline water carrier diversion: 15 mcm Assumed consumption from the Snir basin (in Lebanon): 20 mcm Evaporation from the lake :230 mcm (“Mekorot”) Total inflow to Lake: 629 mcm Total consumption in the upstream watershed: 182 mcm Net available water in the lake (flow minus evaporation) = 399 mcm (in Recharge from Rain (Available Water+Total consumption upstream): Water Authority 581 mcm Figure 5. Water Balance in the Kinneret Basin, average values for the period 1976-2009. Figures are for the total recharge, including areas with more than 400 mg/liter chloride. Total Recharge from Rainfall Average 623 540 581 1976-1992 1993-2009 1976-2009 Recharge from Rainfall less than 400 mg/l chloride Median 586 468 535 1400 1200 mcm 1000 800 600 400 200 08 20 06 20 04 20 02 20 00 20 98 19 96 19 94 19 92 19 90 19 88 19 86 19 84 19 82 19 80 19 78 19 19 76 0 Figure 6. Annual Recharge from Rainfall to the Kinneret Basin. Averages and medians for different time periods apply to the total recharge (mcm) from rainfall. Table 8 displays the annual water balance in the Kinneret Basin considering the consumption upstream. A decreasing trend in the total recharge to the basin is evident as can be seen in Table 9. Figures 7 and 8 display the average annual amount of water that reaches the Lake itself, and not the watershed recharge. Figure 7 shows the average available water at Lake Kinneret for the periods 1950-1980, 1980-2010 and the predicted values for the period 2010-2030 based on Rimmer et al., 2011. It can be seen in both Figures 7-8 that the volume of water in Lake Kinneret has decreased significantly throughout the years. Similarly, a significant decreasing trend in precipitation (15-20%) and spring flow was reported for the Kinneret basin for the period 1975-2008 (Givati and Rosenfeld, 2007 and Givati and Rosenfeld, 2011). According to a an ensemble of regional climate models, the available water in Lake Kinneret during the period 2015-2034 will be approximately 15% less than the period 1979-2007 (Table 10), (Rimmer et al., 2011; Samuels et al., 2011; Givati and Rosenfeld, 2011). More climate simulations for longer periods (2030-2060), (Figure 9) also show a decrease in precipitation in the northern parts of the country, together with a stable trend in the center (Krichak, et al., 2009; Krichak et al., 2011). In addition, salinity of the basin is increasing as the overall recharge decreases (precipitation less than averge) with the average salinity concentration over the last 3 years being approximately 280 mg/l chloride. Table 8: Water Balance in the Kinneret Watershed (total recharge, including areas with chloride concentrations above 400 mg/liter). Hydrological year Total consumption in the Net available water in Recharge from Rain to upstream watershed (mcm) Lake Kinneret (mcm) the watershed (mcm) 1975/76 170 416 586 1976/77 167 534 701 1977/78 163 510 673 1978/79 159 110 269 1979/80 134 712 846 1980/81 152 722 874 1981/82 168 274 442 1982/83 226 617 844 1983/84 172 364 535 1984/85 167 368 534 1985/86 180 196 376 1986/87 169 637 806 1987/88 178 653 831 1988/89 172 187 359 1989/90 147 174 321 1990/91 142 116 258 1991/92 156 1176 1332 1992/93 172 635 806 1993/94 002 089 869 1994/95 006 815 120 1995/96 012 159 591 1996/97 018 109 561 1997/98 008 880 661 1998/99 001 028 106 1999/00 099 098 110 2000/01 092 68 088 2001/02 096 061 851 2002/03 081 880 0082 2003/04 088 609 900 2004/05 080 110 501 2005/06 080 051 889 2006/07 091 002 828 2007/08 080 90 018 2008/09 026 016 377 Table 9: Statistics of the Water Balance for the Kinneret Watershed at different periods (mcm/yr; total recharge, including areas with chloride concentrations above 400 mg/liter). Available Water in Total Consumption Period Total Recharge to Lake Kinneret from the Upstream Entire Watershed (mcm) Watershed (mcm) (mcm) Average:0816 -0880 870 153 605 Median:0816 -0880 463 023 563 Average:0816 -0228 395 096 565 Median:0816 -0228 388 096 515 Average:0881 -0228 102 020 526 Median:0881 -0228 212 086 854 600 Actual available water [mcm] 505 Predicted available water [mcm] 500 385 400 340 300 200 100 0 - - - Figure 7. Annual Average of Actual and Predicted Available Water in Lake Kinneret. 1500 Available water in lake Kinneret [mcm] 1400 1300 1200 1100 1000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Figure 8. Decreasing Trend of Available Water in Lake Kinneret. Table 10. Summary of the Climate, Hydrological, Evaporation and Salinity Concentration Models and the Effect on Water Availability in Lake Kinneret. 1979–2007 1979–2007 2015-2034 Predicted Predicted Observed Modeled Modeled Change Change [%] Average Precipitation [mm] 835 832 802 -30 -4% Std. Precipitation [mm] 271 263 228 -35 -13% Average Incoming water [mcm] 663 664 620 -44 -7% Std. Incoming water [mcm] 273 256 246 -10 -4% Average Evaporation [mcm] 230 238 249 11 5% Average Available water [mcm] 408 401 345 -56 -14% Std. Available water [mcm] 273 272 250 -22 -8% 233 234 277 43 18% Period Average Cl Concentration in the lake (mg/l] Figure 9. Simulated Trends of Mean Seasonal Precipitation (%) for the Period 2030 - 2060. 5.2 Western Galilee Basin The Western Galilee Basin extends from the Mediterranean Sea in the west to the water divide in the east, and from the Yizrael Valley in the south to the IsraelLebanon border in the north (Figure 10). The Western Galilee Basin includes three major aquifers: 1). the Kurdani Formation of plio-Pleistocene age consisting mainly of sandy limestone and calcareous sandstone with intercalations of clay layers, 2). the Judea Group of Cenomanian-Turonian age consisting mainly of carbonate limestone and dolomite with lesser amounts of chalk and 3). the Eocene Avdat Group (aquitard) consisting mainly of chalk and chalky limestone (Figure 11). The Judea Group outcrops are mainly in the higher elevations to the east while the Pleistocene rocks are exposed mainly in the western part of the basin. The Eocene formation is exposed in the Shfaram syncline in the southern part of the basin. The natural drainage of the basin is to the Mediterranean Sea (Figure 12), the Yizrael Valley and springs. The average discharge of the springs for the period 1973-2009 is 38 mcm/yr. Figure 10. The Western Galilee Basin. Composed of three major aquifers: Cretaceous Mountain aquifer, Eocene Chalk aquifer and Plio-Pleistocene Coastal aquifer. Figure 11. Hydro-Stratigraphic Column for Northern Israel. Figure 12. Water Level Map and Flow Direction in the Western Galilee Basin. The water quality in the Judea aquifer is very good while the water quality in the plioPleistocene formation suffers from rising concentrations of chloride and nitrate over the last two decades. Similar to the Coastal Basin, the coastal section of the Western Galilee Basin is sensitive to contaminants originating on the surface and also to salinization from the Mediterranean Sea. Recharge calculations for the basin are done by using a calibrated cell model developed by the Israel Hydrologic Service (Bachmat, 1981; Bachmat and Ben Zvi, 1983; see appendix) which has rainfall data and groundwater level measurements as input. The results are in close agreement to other published models for the basin. The average total annual recharge to the basin during the period 1973-1992 is estimated to be 124 mcm/yr (Table 3) whereas during the period 1993-2009 the estimate is 117 mcm/yr (Table 4). Included in these estimates are approximately 15 mcm/yr of water with salinity higher than 400 mg/l chloride. The annual discharge of the basin to the Mediterranean Sea and the Yizrael Valley is approximately 15 mcm (10 mcm/yr fresh water and 5 mcm/yr high salinity water). The average annual natural recharge for the western Galilee Basin is presented in Tables 3-5 for the different time periods (19731992, 1993-2009 and 1973-2009). Tables 6 and 7 present the annual recharge from rainfall and the annual total recharge with chloride concentration less than 400 mg/l, accordingly and summarize the average and the median recharge estimates for the different time periods. Figure 13 shows the annual recharge from rain to the Western Galilee Basin in graphic form. Average Median Total Recharge from Rainfall 1973-1992 139 138 Recharge from Rainfall less than 400 mg/l chloride 1993-2009 132 129 1973-2009 136 136 250 200 mcm 150 100 50 09 20 05 03 01 07 20 20 20 20 97 95 99 19 19 19 91 89 93 19 19 19 85 83 87 19 19 19 81 19 77 75 79 19 19 19 73 19 19 71 0 Figure 13. Annual Recharge from Rainfall to the Western Galilee Basin. Averages and medians for different time periods apply to the total recharge (mcm) from rainfall. 5.3 Carmel Basin The Carmel Basin is an isolated tectonic structure (Figure 14) bounded on the north by the Carmel (Yagur) fault which has caused vertical displacement of up to 1000 meters. The southeast border of the Carmel block is bounded by the Menashe syncline and the western border is the Mediterranean Sea. The basin consists of the Judea Group which is limestone and dolomite of Cenomanian-Turonian age, and the coastal Kurkar Group of Quaternary age which overlies the Judea Group near the coast. A water divide separates the eastward drainage to the Yizrael Valley and the westward drainage to the Mediterranean Sea. The Yagur fault apparently limits the flow of groundwater eastward into the thick sequence of sediments in the Yizrael Valley. On the west side, water from the limestone aquifer drains into the sandstone aquifer and from there the flow is to the Mediterranean Sea (Figure 15). Figure 14. Structural Map (top of Judea Group) of the Carmel Basin (after Segev and Sass, 2009). Figure 15. Groundwater Contour Map of the Carmel Basin. The average annual discharge of the springs for the period 1973-2009 in the Carmel Basin is approximately 5 mcm. The water quality in the Kurkar Group is poor (higher than 900 mg/Cl in some places) and therefore various desalination installations have been set up over the years (Ma`agan-Michael, Atlit, Ma`ayan-Zevi) that treat more than 12 mcm/yr. In the Judea Group the water quality is good (at least until it flows laterally into the overlying Kurkar Group where it becomes brackish). It is estimated that approximately 15 mcm/yr of the recharge from rainfall has chloride concentrations above 400 mg/l. Recharge calculations for the basin are done by a calibrated cell model developed by the Israel Hydrologic Service (Bachmat, 1981; Bachmat and Ben Zvi, 1983; see appendix) which has rainfall data and groundwater level measurements as input. The results are in close agreement to other published models for the basin. The average annual total recharge to the Carmel Basin during the period 1973-1992 is approximately 37 mcm/yr whereas during the later period 1993-2009 the total recharge decreased to approximately 35 mcm/year. The average annual discharge of the basin to the Mediterranean Sea and the Yizrael Valley is approximately 5 mcm, all with a chloride concentration higher than 400 mg/l. The average natural recharge for the Carmel Basin is presented in Tables 3-5 for the different time periods (1973-1992, 1993-2009 and 1973-2009). Tables 6 and 7 present the annual recharge from rainfall (chloride above and below 400 mg/l) and summarize the average and the median recharge estimates for the different time periods. Figure 16 shows the annual recharge from rain to the Carmel Basin in graphic form. Total Recharge from Rainfall Recharge from Rainfall less than 400 mg/l chloride Average Median 1973-1992 42 41 1993-2009 40 40 1973-2009 41 41 90 80 70 mcm 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Figure 16. Annual total recharge from rainfall to the Carmel Basin. Shows recharge from rainfall and chloride concentration below 400 mg/liter. Averages and medians for different time periods apply to the total recharge (mcm) from rainfall. 5.4 Coastal Basin The Coastal Basin (also referred to as the Coastal Aquifer) stretches from the Carmel Range in the north to the Sinai Peninsula in the south, and from the Judea and Samaria foothills in the east to the Mediterranean Sea in the west (Figure 17). The southernmost part of the basin (Sinai) as well as the Gaza Strip, are not controlled by Israel. A cross-section of the basin (Figure 18) reveals a series of sediments with a thickness of up to 200 meters in the west which pinch-out to the east. The sediments are of Pleistocene age and consist mainly of calcareous sandstone and conglomerates interlayered with silt and clay units which divide the overall basin into distinct subaquifers (Kurkar Group). The sub-aquifers exist only in the western part of the basin up to a distance of approximately 4 km from the coast (eastward). The basin is underlain in most areas by a very low permeability, Neogene rock formation (Saqiye Group). The basin has been divided into four parts: Northern, Central, Southern and the Gaza Strip with the groundwater flow direction in all its parts generally perpendicular to the sea shore line (towards the Sea) but with many localized groundwater table depressions caused by excessive pumping. In the area of the Hefer Valley in the north, and between the cities of Rehovot and Nir-Am in the south, the eastern margin of the Coastal Basin is in direct contact with the Eocene Avedat Group (aquiclude). In these areas, relatively high salinity groundwater flows from the Avedat Group into the Coastal Aquifer. Along its western margins, the Coastal Basin is in direct contact with sea water where a delicate balance exists between sea water intrusion to the basin, and outflow of freshwater to the sea, depending upon the pumping configuration and resulting water table. Another significant element of the total recharge to the basin, along with direct rainfall and infiltration flood water, is the designed-infiltration of treated waste-water, percolation from agricultural and domestic sources, and industrial discharges which are often contaminated. The latter sources have affected mainly the uppermost sub-aquifer. Recharge calculations for the Israeli part of the basin are carried out with a calibrated cell model developed by the Israel Hydrologic Service (Bachmat, 1981; Bachmat and Ben Zvi, 1983; Bachmat et al., 2003, see appendix) which has rainfall data and groundwater level measurements as input. The results are in close agreement to nearly all other published models for the basin. The estimated recharge of the Gaza Strip portion of the basin is calculated using a balance model developed by Melloul and Bachmat (1975) with estimates in close agreement to other published models (Mercalf and Eddy, 2000; Moe et al, 2001; Yaqoubi, 2007) (Table 11). Carmel Range Samaria Judea Figure 17. Location map of the Coastal Basin. Figure 18. Typical Hydrogeological Section of the Coastal Aquifer. Table 11. Summary of Water Balance Estimations (mcm/year) for the Coastal Aquifer in the Gaza Strip. Inflow Year Rain From Israel Return Flow 1975 40 24 1990 49 1992 Outflow Source Pumping Outflow to Sea 23 110 21 -44 Melloul & Bachmat, 1975 24 20 80 21 -8 Melloul & Collin, 1994 86 24 16 69 21 +36 Melloul & Collin, 1994 1998 35 36 52 145 9 -31 Moe, H., et al., 2001 2000 40-45 18-30 44-54 142-145 0 -38- -11 60 30 From Egypt In-Out 2-5 153 -60 Mercalf & Eddy, 2000 Yaqoubi, 2007 5.4.1 The Coastal Basin within Israel Figure 19 shows the annual natural recharge from rainfall and the average and median recharge estimates for different periods. The total recharge from rain to the basin has decreased from approximately 252 mcm/yr during the period 1973-1992, to approximately 232 mcm/yr during the period 1993-2009 (Tables 3-4). The recharge from rainfall estimates include a significant element of high salinity groundwater (approximately 100 mcm/yr with chloride higher than 400 mg/l). This is broken down between locally high salinity groundwater (75 mcm/yr), influences from infiltration of treated waste-water from Shafdan (13 mcm/yr), and various pointsources of contamination from industries (12 mcm/yr) (Tables 3-5). Lateral inflows to the basin include approximately 37 mcm/yr of brackish water from the Eocene formation and approximately 6 mcm/yr from the sea (high-salinity). Lateral outflow of freshwater to the sea accounts for approximately 20 mcm/yr. In addition to the above natural recharge sources, return irrigation is estimated to account for another 30 mcm/yr, artificial recharge of treated wastewater from Shafdan is another approximately 120 mcm/yr, and flood water infiltration from the Sheqma and Menashe facilities is approximately 15 mcm/yr. Figure 19. Annual recharge from rainfall to the Coastal Basin. Averages and medians for different time periods apply to the total recharge (mcm) from rainfall. 5.4.2 The Coastal Basin within the Gaza Strip The recharge from rain to the basin is approximately 40 mcm/yr with the majority (approximately 25 mcm/yr) infiltrating into a subsurface with relatively high salinity (chloride higher than 400 mg/l) (Tables 3-5). This ratio is based on the water salinity map published by Mogheir (2003). Lateral inflow of groundwater from Israel (Figure 20) accounts for an additional approximately 30 mcm/yr of the total recharge. Sea water intrusion into the basin has increased significantly over the years due to overpumping. During the period 1973-1992 the inflow from sea water was estimated to be 7 mcm/yr, while during the period from 1993-2009 the amount increased to approximately 15 mcm/yr. The outflow of freshwater to the sea was estimated to be approximately 5 mcm/yr during the period 1973-1992, and zero during the period 1993-2009 (Tables 3-5). Estimates of return flow vary between approximately 30-50 mcm/yr (Table 11). Overall, the aquifer storage is being depleted and the water quality is being degraded at a very high rate Figure 20. Water Level Map and Groundwater Flow Directions (Fall, 1998) in the Gaza Area of the Coastal Basin (from Vengosh et al, 2005). 5.5 Lower Galilee Basin The Lower Galilee Basin is bounded on the north by the eastern sector of the Upper Galilee Basin and on the east by Lake Kinneret and the Jordan Valley. The basin is bounded on the southwest by the Yizrael Valley and on the west by the water divide separating the basin from the adjacent Western Galilee Basin (Figure 21). The Lower Galilee Basin is composed of two major hydrogeologic units: 1). The Judea Group (limestone and dolomite of Cenomanian age) and 2). Neogene basalt rocks (Figure 21). In addition, Quaternary alluvial sediments provide for localized aquifers. The recharge calculations are based on a cell model developed by the Israel Hydrologic Service (Bachmat, 1981; Bachmat and Ben Zvi, 1983; see appendix). The model utilizes rainfall and groundwater level measurements to solve a time-series of equations and obtain a recharge coefficient. Tables 3-5 summarize the average annual natural recharge from rainfall for the various time periods. It can be seen that the average recharge has decreased from 30 mcm/yr during the time period 1976-1992, to 26 mcm/yr during the time period 1993-2009. The total recharge to the basin comes from rainfall alone (no lateral inflows or outflows) and approximately 6 mcm/yr of the recharge is into relatively high salinity water (chloride concentrations above 400 mg/l). Spring flow accounts for approximately 12 mcm/yr. Figure 22 shows the annual natural recharge from rainfall to the basin. Figure 21. Lower Galilee Basin Location Map and Lithostratigraphic Column with Major Hydrogeologic Units. Total Recharge from Rainfall Recharge from Rainfall less than 400 mg/l chloride Average Median 1976-1992 30 28 1993-2009 26 26 1976-2009 28 27 70 60 mcm 50 40 30 20 10 08 20 06 20 04 20 02 20 00 20 98 19 96 19 94 19 92 19 90 19 88 19 86 19 84 19 82 19 80 19 78 19 19 76 0 Figure 22. Annual recharge from rainfall to the Lower Galilee Basin. Averages and medians for different time periods apply to the total recharge (mcm) from rainfall. 5.6 Northeast Mountain Basins The Northeast Mountain Basin is the portion of the greater Mountain Aquifer (includes also the Western and Eastern Aquifers) which has a groundwater flow direction mostly towards the north-northeast that emerges in several major springs. The basin is a very important source of fresh water for both the Israeli and Palestinian populations. The northern border of the basin is the Harod and Beit-She’an Valleys and the western, southern and eastern borders (defined by the geologic structure) are all located mostly within the Samarian Hills (Figure 23). Until 1967, the Kingdom of Jordan was responsible for developing the water resources in the majority of the basin. The basin consists of two major hydrogeologic units: 1). The Avedat Group (Eocene) which consists of chalk and limestone and outcrops throughout most of the Samarian Hills and, 2). Limestone and dolomite of the Judea Group (Albian to Turonian) which exists mostly at depth (limited outcropping) and has very high quality water. The Avedat Group is a moderate aquifer providing fresh water with chloride concentrations generally between 100 and 400 mg/l. The groundwater in the Avedat Group exists under phreatic conditions and is very prone to declines from overpumping. Springs that discharge from the Avedat Group, especially in the area around Shchem, are also effected by overpumping. Below the Avedat Group is found the Mount Scopus Group (Senonian), a sequence of marl and clay that is relatively impermeable. This aquiclude separates the Avdat Group aquifer from the underlying Judea Group aquifer and together with the major Shchem-Jenin syncline structure plunging to the north-northeast, helps dictate the direction of groundwater flow towards the thick sequence of alluvial sediments in the Harod and Beit She’an Valleys. The Judea Group aquifer exists under both confined and phreatic conditions. In general, the hydraulic conductivity in the Judea Group aquifer is high due to the development of karst and many significant springs discharge from the Judea Group. In the phreatic portions of the aquifer where recharge occurs, overpumping has caused significant groundwater level declines. On the other hand, groundwater levels near the discharge areas are relatively unaffected by pumping because of the thick section of saturated rock in the area. In some locations the Judea aquifer is divided into two sub-aquifers due to the presence of an impermeable, up to 50 meters thick, marl and clay layer. Fault systems also cut across the basin, particularly near the Farah anticline, to create a series of horst and graben structures that are filled with quaternary alluvium. The quaternary alluvium provides a local aquifer which is also considered as part of the Northeast Basin. Beit She’an 0-900 Upper Aquifer Upper Aquifer Lower Aquifer Lower Aquifer Beit She’an 0-900 80 80 50 50 170 170 100-130 100-130 50-70 50-70 80-100 80-100 0-70 0-70 130-160 130-160 100-110 100-110 120-220 120-220 60-130 60-130 45-55 45-55 0-53 0-53 30-165 30-165 0-45 0-45 0-90 0-90 Jenin Shchem Jenin Shchem Modified after GSI,Modified 2000 after GSI, 2000 ~5 km ~5 km Modified after GSI,Modified 1998 after GSI, 1998 Figure 23. Northeast Mountain Basin Location Map and Lithostratigraphic Column with Major Hydrogeologic Units. The recharge to the Northeast basin is calculated by application of empirical recharge coefficients obtained in previous calibrations for less detailed models (Guttman and Tzukerman, 1995; Goldshtof and Shaliv, 1979). Details of the model are published in Zilberbrand and Shaliv (1999). The model was calibrated for the period 1976-1996 and provides separate recharge values for the Avedat and Judea aquifers. In general, each of the aquifers provides approximately half of the overall recharge to the basin (Table 12). The small alluvial aquifers within the basin are modeled as part of the Judea aquifer from which they receive the majority of recharge via lateral groundwater flow. The recharge for the years 1997-present is calculated by using a linear regression equation based on the model results and current rainfall data. The lack of Palestinian pumping data since the year 2000 makes recalibration of the model difficult. The average natural recharge for the entire Northeast Mountain Basin is presented in Tables 3-5 for the different time periods (1973-1992, 1993-2009 and 1973-2009). Tables 6 and 7 present the annual recharge from rainfall and summarize the average and the median recharge estimates for the different time periods. Figure 24 shows the annual recharge from rain to the entire Northeast Mountain Basin in graphic form. It can be seen that all of the recharge has chloride concentrations below 400 mg/l. The average total recharge to the basin has decreased from approximately 151 mcm/yr during the period 1976-1992 to approximately 134 mcm/yr during the period 19932009. This is due to the overall steady decline of precipitation in Israel over the last 30 years. The decrease in recharge, together with an increase of groundwater pumping has depleted the aquifer storage and degraded the groundwater quality. It is worth noting that the recharge potential of the Northeast Mountain Basin was defined in the Interim agreement as 145 mcm/yr, significantly higher than the recent average. Table 12. Average and Median Annual Recharge Estimates for the Northeast Mountain Basin Aquifers for Three Time Periods. Northeast Basin Upper and Lower Cenomanian Northeast Basin Eocene Calibrated Numerical Model (Zilberbrand and Shaliv, 1999) 1976-1996 provides time-series recharge values for entire basin. Limear regression with rainfall data 1997-present. Calibrated Numerical Model (Zilberbrand and Shaliv, 1999) 1976-1996 provides time-series recharge values for entire basin. Limear regression with rainfall data 1997-present. 78 73 Average 66 59 Median 73 61 Average 73 58 Median 75 67 Average 71 59 Median 1976-1992 1993-2009 1976-2009 Total Recharge from Rainfall Recharge from Rainfall less than 400 mg/l chloride Average Median 1976-1992 151 131 1993-2009 134 130 1976-2009 142 130 450 400 350 mcm 300 250 200 150 100 50 08 20 06 20 04 20 02 20 00 20 98 19 96 19 94 19 92 19 90 19 88 19 86 19 84 19 82 19 80 19 78 19 19 76 0 Figure 24. Annual recharge from rainfall to the Northeast Mountain Basin. Averages and medians for different time periods apply to the total recharge (mcm) from rainfall. 5.7 Eastern Mountain Basins The Eastern Mountain Basin is the portion of the greater Mountain Aquifer (also includes the Western and Northeastern Aquifers) which flows towards the east. The basin is a very important source of fresh water for both the Israeli and the Palestinian populations. The western border of the basin follows approximately the surface water divide along the ridge of the Judea and Samaria Hills, while the eastern border is the Jordan Valley. To the south, the basin stretches to the region past the southern Hevron Hills (Figure 25). The northern boundary of the basin has been defined in most models as the Fara Graben. However during the 1995 discussions of the Interim Agreement the northern boundary of the Eastern Basin extended further north to include the eastern side of the Fara anticline also known as Beka’ot. The alluvium within the Jordan Valley is included in many of the models of the Eastern Basin but has sometimes been considered separately (EXACT, 1998). Until 1967, the Kingdom of Jordan was responsible for developing the water resources in the majority of the Basin. The basin consists mainly of limestone and dolomite of the Cretaceous Judea Group (Figure 25) which provides very high quality water from a high hydraulic conductivity rock. In addition, the Quaternary alluvial sediments in the Jordan Valley and Dead Sea area form a shallow aquifer that receives recharge from the adjacent Judea Group (as well as from flood infiltration, return flow and direct rainfall) and is therefore included as part of the Eastern Basin. The groundwater quality in the alluvial aquifer is relatively low (300-800 mg/l chloride) and is prone to groundwater level declines due to overpumping. The Jordan Valley is also heavily used for agriculture and therefore the groundwater in the alluvial aquifer is being affected by nitrates from fertilizers. A limited section of Eocene rocks in the northeastern-most area serves as a local aquifer which is also included as part of the Eastern Mountain Basin (Figure 25). Figure 25. Eastern Mountain Basin Location Map and Lithostratigraphic Column with Major Hydrogeologic Units. The Judea Group exists under both confined and phreatic conditions. Overpumping in the mountainous areas where the recharge occurs, has caused significant groundwater level declines whereas groundwater levels near the discharge areas are relatively undisturbed by pumping because of the thick section of saturated rock in the area. In some locations the aquifer is divided into 2 sub-aquifers due to the presence of an impermeable clay layer up to 50 meters thick. The geological structure of the basin consists of a major anticline axis running in a south-north direction. Just south of the city of Shchem, the anticline forks-off into two separate anticlines (Um-el-Fachem which trends to the northwest and is part of the Western Mountain Basin, and the Farah anticline which trends to the northeast and forms the boundary between the Eastern and Northeast Mountain Basins. West of the Dead Sea, the eastern flank of the major Judea anticline has a relatively shallow dip with sub-structures (synclines and anticlines) that control the direction of groundwater flow (Laronne and Gvirtzman, 2005). The natural discharge of the Judea aquifer is to springs located along the western shore of the Dead Sea and at various other locations near the Jordan Valley (Jericho, Uja and Kelt for example) (Figure 26). In addition, many smaller springs discharge in the mountainous regions through karstic openings. Overall, the springs account for approximately 60% of the total recharge from the entire Mountain Basin (Eastern and Northeastern, ~190 mcm/yr). Although the groundwater quality throughout most of the aquifer is high, most of the springs along the Dead Sea are saline (concentrations above 1000 mg/l chloride). This phenomenon is not completely understood however the main consensus is that interstitial brines and salt formations seated deep in the Judea Group promote the salinity in the groundwater as it flows towards the discharge points. The recharge to the Eastern Mountain Basin is calculated using two methods: 1). A cell-balance model (Bachmat, 1981; Bachmat and Ben Zvi, 1983; see appendix) which solves a system of equations for multiple unknowns, including the rainrecharge coefficient (see appendix) by using precipitation and groundwater pumping data, along with groundwater level and spring discharge data, and 2). a numerical model (MODFLOW) which provides a number of parameters (mainly the recharge distribution) according to calibration with groundwater level changes and other parameters. It is important to note that the boundaries for the two modeling approaches do not overlap. The cell-balance model considers an open flow boundary between the Judea aquifer to the west and the alluvial aquifer in the Jordan Valley to the east, while the numerical model applies a no-flow boundary between the aquifers thereby disregarding the Jordan Valley. Similarly, the cell-balance model considers the southern-most area of the basin within its boundaries while the numerical model disregards this area (no flow boundary conditions). Table 13 summarizes the average and median values for the recharge to the Eastern Mountain basin for each of the models. According to the models, the average total annual recharge to the basin has decreased significantly from approximately 211 mcm/yr during the period 1976-1992 to approximately 174 mcm/yr during the period 1993-2009 (Cell Model). The numerical model shows a decrease from 173 mcm/yr during the period 1976-1992 to 138 mcm/yr during the period 1993-2009. Tables 6 and 7, along with Figure 27, present the time-series of annual recharge from rainfall for the calibrated cell-balance model. It can be seen that all of the recharge coming from rainfall in the mountainous regions has chloride concentrations below 400 mg/l. Again, the decrease in recharge is due to the overall steady decline of precipitation in Israel over the last 30 years. This decrease, together with an increase of groundwater pumping, has depleted the aquifer storage and in specific areas (higher elevations) some pumping wells have gone dry. It is worth noting that the recharge potential of the Eastern Mountain Basin was agreed in the Interim Agreement as 172 mcm/yr. Figure 26. Major Springs in the Eastern and Northeastern Mountain Basins with Approximate Annual Discharge. Table 13. Average and Median Annual Recharge Estimates for the Eastern Basin from Two Separate Models. Eastern Mountain Basin Upper and Lower Cenomanian, Eocene and Alluvium in Jordan Valley Eastern Mountain Basin Upper and Lower Cenomanian Calibrated Cell Model (Bachmat) provides rainfall-recharge coefficient for basin including Jordan Valley but excluding eastern Beka’ot and Farah Valley. Calibrated MODFLOW Model (Tahal/HIS) provides time-series recharge values for partial basin (excludes southern-most cell 667, entire area north of Farah Valley, and Jordan Valley). 211 173 Average 187 134 Median 174 138 Average 167 127 Median 192 157 Average 182 130 Median 1976-1992 1993-2009 1976-2009 Average Median Total Recharge from Rainfall 1976-1992 211 187 Recharge from Rainfall less than 400 mg/l chloride 1993-2009 174 167 1976-2009 192 182 450 400 350 mcm 300 250 200 150 100 50 08 20 06 20 04 20 02 20 00 20 98 19 96 19 94 19 92 19 90 19 88 19 86 19 84 19 82 19 80 19 78 19 19 76 0 Figure 27. Annual recharge from rainfall to the Eastern Mountain Basin based on a Calibrated Cell-Balance Model. Shows total and chloride concentration below 400 mg/liter (in this case identical). Averages and medians for different time periods apply to the total recharge (mcm) from rainfall. 5.8 Western Mountain Basin (Yarkon-Taninim) The Western Mountain Basin, also known as the Yarkon-Taninim Basin, is the portion of the greater Mountain Aquifer (includes also the Eastern and Northeastern Aquifers) in which rainwater infiltrating at the outcrops flows towards the west. The basin stretches from the water divide in the Judea and Samaria Hills in the east until the Mediterranean Sea in the west. The northern border of the basin extends to the Yizrael Valley and Carmel block while the southern extent is well into the Sinai Peninsula (Weinberger et al., 1994), (Figure 28). The major hydrogeologic unit making up the basin is the Judea Group aquifer consisting mainly of limestone and dolomite from the upper Cretaceous. In the eastern areas the geologic units are exposed, while towards the western areas the aquifer becomes confined below relatively impermeable rocks (Eocene and Senonian chalks and marls). The Judea Group is divided into upper and lower sub-aquifers by a relatively impermeable marl and clay unit with a thickness of 40-120 meters (Figures 23 and 25 above), (Weinberger et al., 1994). Groundwater in more than half of the basin area is brackish or saline. The eastern portion of the aquifer contains mostly high-quality groundwater. At the foot of the Judea and Samaria Hills, the lower subaquifer contains fresher groundwater than the upper sub-aquifer. To the north of Netanya, saline water west of the aquifer represents a seawater interface with the aquifer. At several locations (e.g. Kalkilya, Tulkarm and Hebron) within the areas under the control of the Palestinian Authority, fresh groundwater is contaminated by nitrates. Before pumping from the aquifer started in the early 1950’s, groundwater discharge by the Yarkon and Taninim springs was about 220 and 110 MCM/yr, respectively (Goldschmidt and Jacobs,1958),(Figure 28). The increase in pumping caused a gradual drop of groundwater levels and as a result, by the 1960’s the Yarkon springs stopped flowing. The discharge rate of the Taninim springs in 2009 was approximately 16 mcm whereas the average for the period 1993-2009 was 45 mcm/yr. Although several hydrogeological models of different spatial and temporal resolution have been developed for the Western Basin, recharge is estimated mostly by using a cell-balance model (Bachmat, 1981; Bachmat and Ben Zvi, 1983; see appendix) that considers a single aquifer system (no subdivision into sub-aquifers) with three cells of 10-60 km2 size (see appendix). Figure 28. Boundaries of the Western Mountain Basin including the Historical (1950s) Spring Discharges. The model uses a time step of 1 year and solves a system of equations for multiple unknowns (including the rain-recharge coefficient) by using precipitation and groundwater pumping data, along with groundwater level and spring discharge data. The average natural recharge for the Western Mountain Basin is presented in Tables 3-5 for the different time periods (1973-1992, 1993-2009 and 1976-2009). Tables 6 and 7, along with Figure 29, present the time-series of annual recharge from rainfall for the cell-balance model. Total Recharge from Rainfall Recharge from Rainfall less than 400 mg/l chloride Average Median 1976-1992 369 342 1993-2009 333 337 1976-2009 352 340 900 800 700 mcm 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Figure 29. Annual recharge from rainfall to the Western (Yarkon-Taninim) Mountain Basin. Shows total and chloride concentration below 400 mg/liter (in this case identical). Averages and medians for different time periods apply to the total recharge (mcm) from rainfall. The total recharge to the aquifer has decreased from approximately 369 mcm/yr during the period 1973-1992, to approximately 333 mcm/yr during the period 19932009. All of the recharge reaching the outcrops in the mountainous regions has chloride concentrations less than 400 mg/l. However, it is important to note that in the southern part of the basin there is a significant plume of relatively high salinity groundwater (up to 2500 mg/l chloride). Similarly, the western margin of the basin is in contact with groundwater which has the salinity of slightly diluted seawater (chloride concentrations above 10,000 mg/l; Figure 30). Therefore, over-pumping at the foothills may cause degradation of the generally high groundwater quality owing to propagation of the interface eastward. Currently, less than half the aquifer volume contains groundwater with chloride concentrations less than 400 mg/l. Figure 30. Distribution of High Salinity Groundwater in the Western Mountain Basin. The decrease in recharge is due to the overall decline of precipitation in Israel over the last 30 years, and together with an increase of groundwater pumping, aquifer storage has been seriously depleted. The cell model provides two ways of calculating the net storage change. First, it can be calculated using rainfall data, pumping and spring flow data, and recharge coefficients. Second, since water levels are measured, the storage changes can also be calculated from these measurements and head-storage coefficients (See Appendix). It has been found that the storage change values calculated by the first method (recharge minus withdrawals) are lower than by the second (using measured water level changes). It is surmised that this discrepancy is due to either an unmeasured element of water inflow from the upper aquifers (Eocene and/or Coastal), or an unconsidered storage change in the mountain portion of the basin where the current monitoring scheme is insufficient. In the absence of additional data, the water balance equation is corrected by introducing an additional “water input" calculated as an empirical function of the calculated groundwater recharge. Figure 31 shows that this problem is especially pronounced in years with low rainfall. Figure 31. Relationship Between the Discrepancy of Estimated Storage Change and the Calculated Recharge. In addition to the relatively simple cell model, a number of other models have been developed over the years for the Western Mountain Basin including the following: 1. A MODFLOW model by Tahal (Guttman & Tzukerman, 1995). Considered a single aquifer system with cell sizes 5-20 km2 and a time step of 0.5 year. The estimate of the average groundwater recharge during 1971-2003 is 367 mcm. 2. A MODFLOW model built for Harvard University (Bachmat, 1995). Considered a 2-layer aquifer system with equal 20x20 km2 cells and a time step of 1 year. The estimate of the average groundwater recharge during 1975-1995 is 330 mcm. 3. A MATLAB model by Mekorot (Berger, 1999). Considered a single aquifer system with an irregular mesh, a time step of 1 day for rain input and 1 month for both input and forecast of groundwater levels. The estimate of the average groundwater recharge during 1971-2010 is 348 mcm. 4. A PMWIN (MODFLOW) model built for Michigan University (Bachmat & Wolman, 2000) updated recently on GMS by Wolman et al., 2010. The model considers 2 sub-aquifers at 5x5 km2 cells and a time step of 0.25 year. The estimate of the average groundwater recharge during 1975-2010 is 350 mcm. 5. A FEFLOW model built by the Hebrew University of Jerusalem (Dafni et al., 2009). Considers 2 sub-aquifers with an irregular mesh, and a time step of 1 day for rain input and 1 month for both input and forecast of groundwater levels. The estimate of the average groundwater recharge during 1978-2008 is 354 mcm. It can be seen that all of the models yield estimates of the average ground water recharge similar to the cell model. Figure 32 presents a comparison of the annual recharge time series for the three most updated models. It is worth noting that the recharge potential of the Western Mountain Basin was defined in the Interim Agreement as 362 mcm/yr which is significantly higher than the most recent average (333 mcm/yr). It is also important to note that all of the models have difficulty in calibrating the 1991-1992 extremely rainy winter. Cell Model (1981,1983) Modflow (2010) Matlab (1999) 1400 1200 Recharge (mcm) 1000 800 600 400 200 0 1972 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 2002 2007 Year Figure 32. Recharge Time Series for three most Updated Models of the YarkonTaninim Basin. 5.9 Negev and Arava Basins The Negev and Arava Basin is bordered by the Sinai Peninsula in the west and south, the Negev in the north, and the Arava valley in the east (Figure 33). The boundary with the Yarkon Taninim and Eastern Mountain Basins in the north is generally defined by the structural northern anticlines of the Negev, which form a structural groundwater divide. The boundary in the east is defined along the major Dead Sea rift valley faults. The Negev and Arava Basins are composed of three major hydrogeological units: 1). The Kurnub Group (Nubian Sandstone) consisting of variegated sandstones alternating with some silts, clays and shales from the Lower Cretaceous period, 2). The Judea Group consisting of hard carbonates (limestone and dolomite) alternating 2012 with some shales and marls from the Albian to Turonian period, and 3). The Hatzeva and Dead Sea Groups, a sequence of sedimentary rocks which accumulated in the Arava rift valley and Karkom graben consisting of clastic alluvium alternating with clays from the Neogene and Quaternary periods (Figure 34). Figure 33. Location Map of the Negev and Arava Basin. Figure 34. Hydro-stratigraphy of the Negev and Arava Basin (after Druckman et al, 1993). The Negev and Arava Basins are located in the most arid region of Israel where precipitation is extremely low. The recharge to the aquifer is by infiltration from isolated flashflood events which occur at most just a few times each year. Generally, groundwater flows from Sinai and the Negev into the Arava valley, southern Dead Sea and the Gulf of Eilat. A local surface and groundwater divide exists in the central Arava which divides the flow towards the Dead Sea in the north and the Gulf of Eilat in the South. The recharge contribution in the Negev and Arava hydrogeological basin is based on several scientific papers and reports (Shentsis et al., 1997; Guttman et al., 1998; Bein et al., 2001; Shentsis et al., 2001(a); Shentsis et al., 2001(b); Halamish, 2004). The estimated total recharge to the basins is approximately 32 mcm/yr (16 mcm - Hatzeva and Dead Sea Groups, 13 mcm - Judea Group and 3 mcm - Kurnub Group) with the majority (28 mcm/yr) having chloride concentrations greater than 400 mg/l. A detailed division of the total recharge contribution in the Negev and Arava hydrogeological basin is given in Figures 35(a-c) and Table 14. Recharge contribution is small and almost constant in time because: 1). the main source of water is from fossil storage, 2). the minor recharge is insignificant compared to pumping, and 3). the minor recharge falls onto outcrops far away from the pumping area. The average natural recharge for the Basin is presented in Tables 3-5 for the different time periods (1973-1992, 1993-2009 and 1973-2009), and includes the chloride concentration distribution. Tables 6 and 7 present the time-series of annual recharge from rainfall for the basin. Figures 35(a-c). Maps of Recharge Distribution to a). Hatzeva and Dead Sea Group Aquifers, b). Judea Group Aquifer, c). Kurnub Group Aquifer, throughout the Various Areas of the Negev and Arava Basin. Table 14. Summary of Recharge Distribution for the Various Aquifers in the Negev and Arava Basin according to Chloride Concentrations. Aquifer Hazeva and Dead Sea Group Aquifers Area Recharge (mcm/year) Northwestern 5.2 Northeastern 2.3 Karkom Graben 1.6 Yutum Valley 2.0 Roded Valley 0.4 Southeastern 4.2 Recharge 250-400 mg/l chloride 3.6 Recharge >400 mg/l chloride 12.1 Total Recharge 15.7 Judea Group Aquifer Zin Valley 2.5 Nekarot Valley 2.0 Paran Valley 0.4 Northern Anticlines 3.2 Mahmal Anticline 4.4 Recharge 250-400 mg/l chloride 0.0 Recharge >400 mg/l chloride 12.5 Total Recharge 12.5 Kurnub Group Aquifer Zin Valley 0.4 Hatira Anticline 0.5 Hatzera Anticline 1.0 Mahmal Anticline 1.5 Recharge 250-400 mg/l chloride 0.0 Recharge >400 mg/l chloride 3.4 Total Recharge 3.4 Entire Negev and Arava Basin Recharge 250-400 mg/l chloride 3.6 (11%) Recharge >400 mg/l chloride 28 (89%) Total Recharge 31.6 5.10 Summary of Recharge Estimates for all Basins Table 6 summarizes the annual recharge from rainfall for all of the basins/aquifers from 1976 to 2009 (values for some sources going back to 1971), and the statistical parameters for three time periods. These volumes include water that is considered usable for domestic supply, including water with chloride concentrations above 400 mg/l (below the drinking water standard). Table 7 summarizes the annual recharge from rainfall for all of the basins/aquifers for low-salinity water alone, i.e., with chloride concentration below 400 mg/l. These results are also shown in Figures 36-41 below. The calculated average for the entire time period from 1973-2009 for total recharge from rain to all the basins (excluding Gaza) is 1,748 mcm/yr while the calculated median for this period is 1,654 mcm/yr (Figure 36). For the shorter, more recent time period from 1993 to 2009, the average and median values are 1,643 and 1,551 mcm/yr, respectively (Figure 37). A comparison between the earlier time period (1973-1992) and the later time period (1993-2009) reveals that the total average annual recharge from rainfall has decreased dramatically (11%) from 1,848 to 1,643 mcm/yr (Figure 38). Figure 39 shows that the average volume of recharge from rain with chloride concentrations below 400 mg/l for the entire period from 1973-2009 for all of Israel’s basins (excluding Gaza) is 1,533 mcm/yr. The median for the same time period is 1,439 mcm/yr. An examination of the more recent time period alone (1993-2009) shows an average and median annual recharge from rain (low salinity only) significantly lower, 1,433 and 1,349 mcm, respectively (Figure 40). Figure 41 shows a comparison between the earlier time period and the later time period. It can be seen that the average annual low-salinity recharge has decreased nearly 12%, from 1,627 to 1,433 mcm. In particular, the Kinneret Basin shows a very significant decrease (Table 6, Figure 38) from 623 mcm/yr in the earlier period, to 540 mcm/yr in the more recent period (total recharge including higher-salinity water), a decrease of more than 13%. The Kinneret Basin is the largest of the basins providing more than a third of the country’s fresh water. It can be seen that the differences become less significant in most of the basins when the median is compared. However, in the Kinneret Basin the differences are even more significant when the median is compared. Also important to note is the inverse correlation between recharge and salinity: as natural recharge decreases, salinity concentrations increase. According to regional climate models the available water in the Kinneret Basin will continue to decrease, approximately 15% for the period 2014-2035 relative to 1979-2007 (Rimmer et al., 2011). Figure 42 shows the difference in precipitation between the period of 1993-2009 and the period of 1973-1992 in the Middle East. The decrease in precipitation which has occurred in Israel can be clearly seen in the figure. Average (1973-2009) Median (1973-2009) 2000 1748 1654 1800 1790 1690 1600 Recharge (mcm) 1400 1200 1000 800 581 535 600 400 352 340 243 231 192 182 200 142 130 136 136 28 27 41 41 42 37 32 32 G az a ta lw it h To ou tG az a G az a ta lw it h To er et Ki n ev Ne g Ca rm el ai n w er G al ile W e es te rn G al ile e Lo M ou nt nt ai n ou M Ea st er n No r th M W es te rn Ea st er n ou nt ai n Co as ta l 0 Figure 36. Average and Median Recharge from Rainfall Estimates for the Entire Time Period, 1973-2009. Average (1993-2009) Median (1993-2009) 1800 1643 1600 1551 1682 1586 1400 Recharge (mcm) 1200 1000 800 540 600 468 400 333 337 232 221 174 200 167 134 130 132 129 40 40 26 26 40 35 32 32 G az a ta lw it h To To ta lw it h ou tG az a G az a Ki n er et ev Ne g Ca rm el Lo M ou nt ai n w er G al ile W e es te rn G al ile e nt ai n ou Ea st er n No r th W es te rn Ea st er n M M ou Co a nt ai n st al 0 Figure 37. Average and Median Recharge from Rainfall Estimates for the Recent Time Period, 1993-2009. Average (1973-1992) Average (1993-2009) 2000 1892 1848 1800 1643 1682 1600 Recharge (mcm) 1400 1200 1000 800 623 540 600 369 400 252 232 333 211 200 174 151 134 139 132 30 26 42 40 44 40 32 32 G az a ta lw it h To ou tG az a G az a ta lw it h To er et Ki n ev Ne g Ca rm el ai n w er G al ile W e es te rn G al ile e Lo Ea st er n M ou nt nt ai n ou M No r th M W es te rn Ea st er n ou Co a nt ai n st al 0 Figure 38. Comparison Between the Average Recharge from Rainfall Estimates for the Earlier Time Period (1973-1992) and the Later Time Period (1993-2009). Average (1973-2009) Median (1973-2009) 1800 1548 1533 1453 1439 1600 Recharge (mcm) 1400 1200 1000 800 565 515 600 352 340 400 192 182 123 115 200 142 130 106 106 26 26 22 21 4 15 14 4 G az a ta lw it h To To ta lw it h ou tG az a G az a Ki ne re t ev Ne g Ca rm el M ou nt ai n Lo w er G al ile W e es te rn G al ile e nt ai n ou Ea st er n No r th W es te rn Ea st er n M M ou Co a nt ai n st al 0 Figure 39. Average and Median Recharge from Rainfall Estimates for the Entire Time Period (1973-2009) with Chloride Concentration Below 400 mg/l. Average (1993-2009) Median (1993-2009) 1600 1450 1433 1364 1349 1400 Recharge (mcm) 1200 1000 800 600 526 454 333 337 400 174 167 116 113 200 134 130 102 99 20 20 25 25 4 17 14 4 G az a ta lw it h To ou tG az a G az a ta lw it h To er et Ki n ev Ne g Ca rm el ai n Lo w er G al ile W e es te rn G al ile e Ea st er n M ou nt nt ai n ou M No rt h M W es te rn Ea st er n ou n Co a ta in st al 0 Figure 40. Average and Median Recharge from Rainfall Estimates for the Recent Time Period (1993-2009) with Chloride Concentration Below 400 mg/l. Average (1973-1992) Average (1993-2009) 1800 1640 1627 1600 1433 1450 1400 Recharge (mcm) 1200 1000 800 605 600 526 369 400 333 211 174 128 116 200 151 134 109 102 24 20 27 25 4 13 17 4 G az a ta lw it h To ou tG az a G az a ta lw it h To er et Ki n ev Ne g Ca rm el ai n w er G al ile W e es te rn G al ile e Lo M ou nt nt ai n ou M Ea st er n No r th M W es te rn Ea st er n ou Co a nt ai n st al 0 Figure 41. Comparison Between the Average Recharge from Rainfall Estimates for the Earlier Time Period (1973-1992) and the Later Time Period (1993-2009) with Chloride Concentration Below 400 mg/l. mm/day Figure 42: Rainfall (mm/day) in the Middle East for the period of 1993-2009 compared to the period of 1973-1992. Source: The 20th Century Reanalysis V2 Monthly Composites provided by the NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory. 6. Appendix A cell-balance model is utilized by the Israel Hydrologic Service for calculating the annual recharge to many of the hydrologic basins in Israel. Pumping + Spring Discharge Recharge Recharge = ARi* Rain Storage Change = AS* dH dH Qin Qout Where: Qin - inflow from neighboring cells Qout - outflow from neighboring cells H - piezometric head ARi - rain-recharge coefficient AS - head-storage coefficient A (i-1),i / A i,(i+1) - water exchange coefficients between adjacent cells (Pumping + Spring Discharge)i = ARi * Raini – A(i-1),i * (Hi-1 – Hi( + Ai,(i+1) * (Hi – Hi+1) – AS * (Hit+1 – Hit) General Theory of Cell-Balance Model Used by the Israel Hydrologic Service for Estimating Recharge to Groundwater Basins. 7. References Bachmat, Y., 1981. Chapters in Practical Groundwater Hydrology. Hydrological Service Report, Jerusalem, 23 pps, (in Hebrew). Bachmat, Y., 1995. Hydrologic model of the Western Mountain groundwater basin. Harvard Middle East Water Project. Jerusalem, 43 pp. Bachmat, Y. and Ben-Zvi, M., 1983. A Bayesian Approach to the Estimation of Hydrogeological parameters, Application to the Coastal Aquifer, Hydrological Service Report, 51 pps. (In Hebrew). Bachmat, Y. and Wolman, S., 2000. Development and Testing of a Hydrological Model to Assess the movement of Pollutants in the Western Basin of the Mountain Aquifer (2000). In: Environmental Protection of the Shared Israeli-Palestinian Mountain Aquifer. Final Report. Jan. 1994 – Dec. 1999. Supported by USAID, Jerusalem – Bethlehem, pp. 89-138. Bachmat, Y., Dax, A. and Reshef, G., 2003. Yearly Operation of the Coastal Aquifer, Hydrological Service Report, 52 pps. In Hebrew. Bein, A., Yechieli, Y. and Ben-shabat, J., 2001. Quantifying the groundwater resources of the southern Arava Rift Valley: A confined desert system recharged laterally by external sources. Isr. J. Earth Sci. 50:217-236. Berger, D., 1999. Hydrological model of the Yarkon-Taninim aquifer, Report of Mekorot, January 1999, 50 pp. (in Hebrew). Braun, M., 1967. Type sections of Avedat Group, Eocene Formations in the Negev (southern Israel), Isr. Geol. Surv., Strat. Sec. 4, 14p. Dafni, E., Gvirtzman, H. and Burg, A., 2009. Development of the conceptual hydrogeological model and application of the 3D numerical model of flow and transport in the Yarkon-Taninim Basin. Report to the Israeli Water Commission., 89 pp. (in Hebrew). Druckman, Y., Weissbrod, T. and Garfunkel, Z., 1993. Geological Map of Israel, Yotvata and Elat, 1:100,000, Geological Survey of Israel, Jerusalem. EXACT, 1998. Overview of Middle East water resources. Geological Survey for the Executive Action Team, 44 pp. Compiled by U.S. Flexer, A., 1968. Stratigraphy and facies development of Mount Scopus Group (Senonian-Paleocene) in Israel and adjacent countries, Isr.J.Earth-Sci., vol. 17, pp. 85-114. Freund, R., 1959. 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WATER AUTHORITY The Natural Water Resources Between the Mediterranean Sea and the Jordan River Gavriel Weinberger Israel Hydrological Service Gabiw20@water.gov.il Yakov Livshitz Israel Hydrological Service YakovL20@water.gov.il Amir Givati Israel Hydrological Service Amirg@water.gov.il Michael Zilberbrand Israel Hydrological Service Michaelz20@water.gov.il Adi Tal Israel Hydrological Service Adit20@water.gov.il Menachem Weiss Israel Hydrological Service Menachemw@water.gov.il Arik Zurieli Israel Hydrological Service Arikz@water.gov.il