Issue no. 44 (Period: 12 –19 April, 2013) Economic News JP Morgan ups 2013 economic increase forecast for Romania JP Morgan improved its forecast on economic increase for Romania this year from a previous 1.5 percent, to 1.9 percent, after the 2012 GDP was revised by Romania’s Statistics Institute. JP Morgan expects agricultural to contribute 0.6 percentage points to the increase. For 2014, the bank kept its 2.3 percent economic growth estimation for Romania, and on the long term, Romania has a potential to achieve a 4 percent economic increase. JP Morgan’s forecast mentions the problematic absorption of European funds, as it can cause damage to economic increase by losing large amounts of money. So far, the most optimistic economic increase prognosis came from UBS, with a 2.8 percent increase forecast for 2013. Internal estimations however point to an increase ranging from 0.5 to 1.6 percent for this year, with the more optimistic estimation coming from Romanian authorities. source: Romania – insider.com Greece’s Piraeus confirms sale of ATE bank Romania for EUR10.3M Greece’s Piraeus Bank has sold its 93.27% stake in ATE Bank Romania to local businessman Dorinel Umbrarescu for EUR10.3 million, the Greek lender said in a statement. source: zfenglish.com IMF outlook: 1.6% growth in Romania in 2013, in-line with govt prediction, globally road to recovery still bumpy According to the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) new World Economic Outlook for 2013. Romania, like other emerging economies and some regional EU Member States, continues to show stronger growth than the neighboring eurozone, but, as ever, there are dangers to economic increase. For Romania, the IMF predicts real GDP growth of 1.6 percent this year and 2 percent in 2014. The estimate is the same as the Romanian government’s 2013 prediction. Locally, estimates for GDP increase this year have ranged from as low as 0.5 percent up to as high as 2.8 percent, however most forecasts fall in the 1 – 2 percent range. Growth last year in Romania was of 0.3 percent according to the IMF. Romania lies below the IMF’s emerging Europe averages, which are for 2.2 percent growth in 2013 and 2.8 percent in 2014. Looking further ahead, the IMF predicts a 3.5 percent GDP growth rate in Romania by 2018. source: Romania-insider.com Fitch Affirms Romania At BBB-, with stable outlook Fitch Ratings Thursday affirmed Romania’s long-term foreign currency default rating at BBB-, with stable outlook, as a poor growth outlook and structural shortcomings hindered a potential upgrade of the sovereign ratings. source: zfenglish.com Mircea Eliade Bvd., 1st Floor, 012015, Bucharest 1, t (+40) 21 310 06 03/4, f (+40) 21 310 06 05, www.gaiateam.com 1 Real Estate Market News Papalekas construct buys projects from Lufin Local investor in green energy takes over French supermarket chain Interex in Romania In a deal worth €5m, the Romanian businessman Ioannis Papalekas bought three plots and two residential projects from Lufin Construct, which filed for insolvency in January 2012. Romanian businessman Sorin Bonciu, active in the real estate and renewable energy sectors, has bought the French supermarket chain Interex in Romania, via two companies. Papalekas acquired a 3,000 sqm plot near Bucharest’s Herastrau Park, one of the most expensive residential areas in the capital. Before the crisis hit, plots in the area were valued at between €3,000 – €4,000/sqm. The deal includes a plot on Theodor Pallady Avenue and another in Voluntari, a Bucharest suburb. Papalekas also picked up two apartment projects on Fabrica de Glucoza street. “Bomax Group took over, with the transaction value confidential, the supermarket chain Interex, owned by the French retailer with a turnover of EUR 40 million. The intention is to rent or sell them to a food or a Do-It-Yourself retailer,” said Laura Hantari, Bomax Group representative, quoted by local newspaper Ziarul Financiar. source: Romania-insider.com source: business-review.ro EUR6M Banks foreclose on 2,000 homes monthly Romanian businessman Bogdan Pitigoi is developing a 10,000-square meter logistic park in Iasi county and the investment is worth 26.3 million lei (some EUR6 million). Banks have ended up foreclosing on 2,000 homes per month as they seek to recoup money from bad payers, according to ZF calculations based on the difference between the rise in the number of loans and the actual sales reported by banks. Romanian businessman Logistic park in Iasi source: zfenglish.com builds source: zfenglish.com Mircea Eliade Bvd., 1st Floor, 012015, Bucharest 1, t (+40) 21 310 06 03/4, f (+40) 21 310 06 05, www.gaiateam.com 2 Renewable Energy News Enel to invest EUR80M in Solar Power Projects after investing EUR500M in wind farms Enel Green Power (EGP), the renewable energy division of Italian utilities group Enel, intends to enter the Romanian solar energy sector and develop farms with a total capacity of 55 MW between 2013 and 2017 after in the past few years it has invested over EUR500 million in wind power projects. source: zfenglish.com Romania to strike off co-generation tax from electricity bills in move to cut renewable energy incentives The co-generation tax, which is currently included on all electricity bills in Romania, will be taken out, but it is yet unclear whether it will be paid via another way, or if it will be canceled completely. The Romanian Prime Minister announced that the tax, which is meant to support renewable energy in Romania, will be taken out the electricity bill. The co-generation tax was introduced in 2011 and amounts to RON 0.0185/kWh, plus VAT. For every 100 kWh used, a co-generation tax of RON 2.29 – or EUR 0.5 is due. The decision is part of a series of measures aimed at decreasing support for the renewable energy industry. A first step was a cut in the number of green certificates given as an incentive to renewable energy producers. The country’s energy authority ANRE believes investors are being overcompensated in Romania by the green certificates scheme for renewable energy projects. source: Romania-insider.com Romanian Power Market Operator (OPCOM) An average of 28.23 €/MWh has been recorded on Day Ahead Market prices during the period 12/4 – 19/4/2013, a decrease of 5.98€/MWh comparing to the week 5/4 - 12/4/2013 (34.21 €/MWh). Mircea Eliade Bvd., 1st Floor, 012015, Bucharest 1, t (+40) 21 310 06 03/4, f (+40) 21 310 06 05, www.gaiateam.com 3 Corporate News IBM wins EUR 16 mln server maintenance contract with Romania’s Tax Administration Local media: Daimler wants to open factory in Romania IBM Romania recently landed a EUR 16.1 million contract with the Romanian tax Administration ANAF for maintenance and technical assistance for ANAF”s servers across the country. The contract is funded by the country’s budget and was awarded to the lowest price offer. According to the announcement published on the online public bids website elicitatie.ro, only one bidder submitted an offer. German car maker Daimler is reportedly planning to open a factory in Romania, according to Ziarul Financiar, quoting sources on the local market. The news comes after Prime Minister Victor Ponta recently said a prestigious German car maker was to open a factory in the country, with a memorandum of understanding already signed. The PM did not mention the name of the company. IBM Romania will manage the over 1,000 servers which support ANAF’s tax collection activity. The bid for this contract was launched in October 2012, but was suspended for a month after HP Romania complained of restrictive conditions and of conditions which, according to HP, were openly in favor of IBM Romania. The bid was re-started after the task books were modified, a month later. The investment would be somehow unexpected, as in 2008, Daimler chose Hungary over Romania as the site of a new car factory. The factory in Romania however would be dedicated to producing car parts, according to Romanian media. Romania is already home to two large international car makers, Renault and Ford, both of which entered the market by taking over existing production facilities. source: Romania-insider.com Several investors interested in buying Blue Air Businessman Dan Adamescu, Mirica Dumitrescu - owner of Romanian airline Medallion Air, which operates charter flights, an investor from Doha, a representative of an Italian-based airline and a law firm in Belgium are interested in taking over low-cost airline Blue Air, according to market sources. source: Romania-insider.com source: zfenglish.com Mircea Eliade Bvd., 1st Floor, 012015, Bucharest 1, t (+40) 21 310 06 03/4, f (+40) 21 310 06 05, www.gaiateam.com 4