File

advertisement
Research 9
Reading 2
The Normal Distribution Curve
The NDC “is a theoretical or ideal mode which was obtained
from a mathematical equation” (Levin & Fox, 1990, p 134).
The Normal Distribution Curve
Continuous probability distribution
Used for computing and making statements of probabilities in terms
of areas.
Used for describing scores (and their distribution) and interpreting
the standard deviation.
Often called as the “error curve” because random fluctuations about a
center occur frequently.
The Standard Normal Curve
(sources: Gilbert, p 137 & Milton, p 209)
1. Extends indefinitely in both directions but most of the areas under the
curve can be found between -3 and +3.
2. The “dips” of the curve, called points of inflection are located 1
standard deviation to either side of the mean.
3. μ = Mdn = Mo
Research 9
Reading 2
4. The Standard Normal curve is a probability distribution. The area
under the whole curve is 1.0.
Learning the Areas under the Normal Curve
Use Table 4 (attached to your IM). The entries in this table give the area
under the NDC between the mean (z=0) and the given positive value of z.
The integral value and the first decimal place of z are given in the stubs at
the left; the second decimal place of z is given in the column heads.
REMINDER : ALWAYS SKETCH THE AREA NEEDED!!!
Examples : (from z to prob.)
1. What is the probability that a z score lies between 0 and
1.45?
Pr (0 ≤ Z ≤ 1.45) = Area (z) =
2. What is the probability that a z score lies between 0 and
-1.45?
Pr (-1.45 ≤ Z ≤ 0) = Area (z) =
(negative values of z are not given in
the table, however, the standard
normal curve is symmetrical)
Research 9
Reading 2
3. If a z score is chosen at random, what is the probability
that it is at least 1.30 standard deviation units above the
mean?
Pr (1.30 ≤ z ≤ ά) =
=
-
4. If a z score is chosen at random, what is the probability
that it is at least -1.75?
Pr (-1.75 ≤ z ≤ ά) =
=
+
Research 9
Reading 2
5. If a z score is chosen at random, what is the probability
that it is at most -1.90?
Pr (-ά ≤ z ≤ -1.90) =
=
-
6. If one score is chosen at random from a population, which
is normally distributed with mean of 0 and sd of 1, what is
the probability that the score is between .39 and 2.04
standard deviation units from the mean?
Pr (.39 ≤ z ≤ 2.04) =
=
-
7. Determine the proportion of z scores between -1.09 and
2.10.
Pr (-1.09 ≤ z ≤ 2.10) =
=
+
Research 9
Reading 2
REVERSE PROBLEMS
(from prob. to z)
8. Find the z value if the area under the normal curve is
between 0 and A(z) is .4279.
OR
9. What is the z score of the 80th percentile?
10.
What is the minimum z score of the upper 80 percent
of the distribution?
Research 9
Reading 2
PROBLEM TYPES
Type I problem (from z score to probability/proportion/frequency)
(from stub and column head to cell)
1st) Transform the X into a standard score (formula for z score)
2nd) Use the NDC table to determine the appropriate probability/
proportion
3rd) If frequency is required, then multiply the proportion by the total
number of cases (e.g. f = prop x N)
4th) Draw your conclusions. Don’t forget to respect the principle of
inclusiveness (rounding-UP to the nearest whole number) when
calculating frequencies.
Type II problem (from probability/proportion/frequency to z score)
(from cell to stub and column head)
1st)
2nd)
3rd)
4th)
Transform frequency into proportion (e.g. prop = freq / N)
Check the cells of the NDC table and choose the nearest value
Transform the z value into a raw score (e.g. X = Mean + [Z * SD])
Draw your conclusions. Don’t forget to respect the principle of
inclusiveness (rounding-UP to the nearest whole number) when
calculating frequencies.
CENTRAL LIMIT THEOREM
It is used to estimate population parameters and in
hypothesis testing. It considers the collection of sample
means (sampling distribution of the means) and the
standard error of the mean (sd of the sampling distribution
of means). Simply put, the CLT uses the mean of a certain
sample group (where n is usually 30 or more), instead of
using individual values. Thus, the formula is interpreted as:
_
Z= X–μ
________
σ / √n
Standard error of the mean
σ˜x
Research 9
Reading 2
APPLICATION
(The distribution of the following is assumed to be bell-shaped)
1. The mean of IQ scores is 100 with a standard deviation
of 15. If an individual is selected at random, what is
the probability that his or her IQ score is
a. at least 135?
b. between 96 and 119?
c. not less than 95?
d. between 79 and 92?
2. …if 30 people are randomly selected, what is the
probability that their IQ scores are between 96 and
119?
3. Mensa (an organization for people with exceptional IQ)
only accepts the upper 1.79% of the population. What
should be your minimum IQ to be eligible for Mensa?
4. Given the following information about daily wages:
(parameter mean=130Php, SD=25Php, N=500 workers). How
MANY workers earn
a. at least 125Php?
b. Between 125 and 140Php?
c. 100Php or less?
Liz092015
Research 9
Reading 2
Download