INSTITUTE OF GEOPHYSICS, TBILISI, GEORGIA INSTITUTE OF NUMERICAL MATHEMATICS, RUSSIAN ACADEMY OF SCIENCES INSTITUTE OF GEOGRAPHY OF THE ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF REPUBLIC OF MOLDOVA BSEC PROJECT Hydro and Thermodynamic Processes in the “Black Sea – Land – Atmosphere” System and Regional Climate. Development of Fundamentals of Monitoring and Forecasting System Final Report Head of the Project Professor A. Kordzadze Tbilisi, 2007 The participating organizations M. Nodia Institute of Geophysics 1, M. Alexidze str., 0193 Tbilisi, Georgia Contact person: Head of the Department of Mathematical Modeling of Geophysical and Ecological Processes in the Sea and Atmosphere, Professor Avtandil Kordzadze Tel.: (+995 32) 33-38-14; Fax: (+995 32) 332867; e-mail: avtokor@ig.acnet.ge Institute of Numerical Mathematics of Russian Academy of Sciences 8, Gybkina str., GSP-1, 119991 Moscow, Russia Contact person: Professor Vladimir Zalesny Tel.: (+7 095) 938-39-07; Fax: (+7095) 938-18-21; e-mail: zalesny@inm.ras.ru Institute of Geography of the Academy of Sciences of Republic of Moldova MD – 2028. Chishinau 1, Academiei str., Republic of Moldova Contact person: Professor Tatiana Constantinova Tel/Fax: (+37322) 73-98-38; e-mail: const@asm.md 2 Contents A. TECHNICAL PART .................................................4 1. Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 2. Modern State of a Problem of the Sea-Atmosphere Interaction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6 3. General Structure of the Coupled Regional Numerical Model of the Black Sea – Land – Atmosphere . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 4. The Black Sea Dynamics Model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .8 4.1 Model Description . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 4.2 Numerical Scheme of Solution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 4.3 Simulation of the Black Sea Circulation Processes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 5. Atmospheric Boundary Layer – Soil Quasi-one-dimensional Numerical Model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 5.1 Equations, Boundary Conditions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 5.2 Defenation of a Turbulence Field . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 5.3 Numerical Scheme of Solution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 5.4 Results of Test Numerical Experiment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 6. Numerical Model of Large-Scale Atmospheric Processes for a Limited Area . . . . . . . . . 18 6.1 Statement of the Atmospheric Dynamics Problem . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 6.2 Numerical Scheme of Solution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 6.3 Realization of the Atmospheric Dynamics Model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .21 7. A Coupled Regional Hydrodynamic Model “Sea – Land –Atmosphere” . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 7.1 Model Equations, Boundary Conditions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 7.2 Some Problems of Realization of the Coupled Regional Model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .26 7.3 About Software of the Coupled Regional Model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .28 7.4 Preliminary Results from the Coupled Regional Model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28 8. Semi-Lagrangian Model of the Atmosphere for Numerical Weather Prediction . . . . . . . .38 9. Estimation of Climatic and Agroclimatic Potential of Territories with a Mountain . Relief in Conditions of a Varying Climate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41 10. Conclusions. Perspectives of Works on Creation of Monitoring and Forecasting System for the Black Sea Region . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50 11. References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .51 B. FINANSIAL PART . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55 3 1. Introduction For the last decades the natural environment undergoes significant modifications. These changes are caused by the increased economic activity of humanity and are connected with its intensive anthropogenic action on the environment. People have always acted on the environment, however while the scales of these actions were small, the nature always had time to regenerate itself. From the middle of 20th century the intensity of anthropogenic action on the nature has increased so, that it has violated the ecological equilibrium, which was kept within many centuries [1-5]. The increased anthropogenic influence on the natural environment had in view well-known geophysics R. Revel and G. Suess, when they noticed else in 1957 that humanity carries out ,,the large-scale geophysical experiment » not in the laboratory or on the computer, but on the own planet [3]. From the point of view of deterioration of an ecological situation the Black Sea and its adjoining region is not exception. The Black Sea is an estuary basin, facing rapid environmental degradation. Scientific results clearly show that profound changes have occurred in the Black Sea ecosystem during the last two decades, as a consequence of a negative anthropogenic impact in the region. The Black Sea region is located in the central zone of the transport corridor connecting Europe with Asia. In conditions of intensive transportation of power resources danger of occurrence of mancaused failures is considerably increased. Such failures may become the reason of significant environmental contamination, and as a whole of ecological accident. The Black Sea is the richest source of natural resources, its influence on a social-economic state of Black Sea riparian countries is very large. Therefore the ecological state of the Black Sea is very important for these countries. The intensification of human activity on exploitation of the sea considerably raises importance of skill and ability to supervise and predict a state of the sea environment and resources to avoid large financial expenses, and also negative critical consequences of economic activity. Commercial exploitation of a shelf of the sea and, in particular, its uses for extraction and transportation of petroleum and gas inevitability results its uses in increase of probability of large accidents with irreparable damage to recreational and biological resources of the sea. Therefore it is clear, that simultaneously with an intensification of industrial development of the sea the monitoring and forecasting system of changes of the sea environment capable to give a solid data for acceptance of administrative decisions, updating working and substantiation of the future economic projects should develop. There is also the other problem, which is connected to change of a regional climate. In the last years problems of anthropogenic change of a climate and adaptation of human activity to new climatic conditions have become one of the most paramount problems of a modern civilization. The Black Sea region in this respect deserves the significant attention. According to many experts’ estimations on a background of the global warming of a climate, the cooling of the Black Sea surface and its adjoining territory is observed [6, 7]. Real opportunity of essential changes of a climate have strengthened anxiety on consequences of these changes for an agriculture of the Black Sea region countries. It is obvious that influence of climatic changes on this branch of a national economy is shown through change of various agroclimatic characteristics - durations of the vegetative period, the sums of temperatures, deposits etc. Set of estimations of changes of various agroclimatic parameters may form a basis for construction of the general picture of change of agroclimatic potential of the Black Sea region countries. The Black Sea plays an important role in formation of weather and regional climate [8]. As well as ocean and atmosphere, the Black Sea and the atmosphere form uniform hydrothermodynamic system, where exchangeable processes of energies and different substances on the interface sea4 atmosphere take place continuously. Therefore, for the successful solution of problems of forecast of weather, the Black Sea state and regional climate changes the Black Sea and atmosphere must be considered as an entire hydrothermodynamic system. Thus, in the beginning of the XXI century protection of the environment, restoration and preservation of ecological equilibrium, forecasting of anthropogenous change of a global and regional climate, ecologically safe and rational assimilation of natural resources became the necessary condition for the sustainable development of humanity. Management policies need answers to concrete questions concerning the response of nature to both natural and man-made changes in environmental forcing factors and loading. Numerical modelling is an important and necessary tool for a better understanding of the relations between the processes, and for forecasting these response. The rational use of natural recourses and optimal organization of the economic activity of humans significantly depends on operational reception of information about state and changes of the natural environment. Therefore the creation of a monitoring and forecasting system for the sea and atmosphere is a very relevant problem regarding the Black Sea region. The realization of this system will enable to observe continuously the temperature, salinity of the sea, currents, zones of contamination, ets, that describe current and future states of the Black Sea and atmosphere. The principal goal of the suggested project was preparation of the scientific base for implementation of the operational monitoring and forecasting system of hydrothermodynamic fields in the Black Sea and the atmosphere. With this purpose the coupled regional model of the system “the Black Sea – atmosphere – soil” is developed within the framework of the given project, test numerical experiments are carried out for the extended limited area with the centre – the Black Sea region. It is necessary to note, that presented in the framework of BSEC project work is the first attempt of unification of models of dynamics of the sea and the atmosphere for the Black Sea region. Besides, it is estimated climatic and agro-climatic potential of territories with a mountain relief (on an example of a Republic Moldova), The tendency of climatic characteristics is revealed. In the present scientific Report the detailed description of separate modules of the coupled regional model and results of their realization for the Black Sea region are consistently given. There is also description of a global semi-Lagrangian finite difference atmospheric general circulation model of the Institute of Numerical Mathematics of Russian Academy of Sciences (Moscow, Russia). Outcomes of realization of this global model will used in the coupled regional model for simulation of regional climate fields in perspective. There is description of the coupled regional hydrodynamic model of the system “The Black Sea-land-atmosphere” and some results of its realization for the expanded territory with the center - the Black Sea region are given. The basic modules of the coupled model represent models of dynamics of the atmosphere and ocean which are based on full systems of hydro and thermodynamic equations of the ocean and the atmosphere. For solution of the tasks included in the coupled model, well-known splitting methods are used, which were suggested by G. I. Marchuk for the first time for solution of problems of dynamics of the atmosphere and ocean.[9, 10]. It is necessary to note, that the works carried out within the framework of the given project cannot be consider as final. They have preliminary character and there is preparatory stage for the further works on improvement of the coupled model “the Black Sea-land-atmosphere”. 5 2. Modern State of a Problem of the Sea-Atmosphere Interaction Nowadays methods of mathematical modelling are widely used in studying of hydro and thermodynamic, and ecological processes including the problem of ocean-atmosphere interaction. Interest to the problem of global interaction between the ocean and atmosphere is caused first of all by necessity of solution of problems of long-term weather forecast and the forecast of change of a global climate. The problem of global change of a climate, widely discussed nowadays, finds the reflection in changes at a regional level also and interest grows to the simulation of a regional climate. Studying of a global climate occurs on the basis of hydrodynamic models of global circulation which intensively develop. In hierarchy of such models from the point of view of perfection and complexities at the supreme step are three-dimensional coupled models of the system “ocean – atmosphere” (for example, [11-14]). In the majority of these models the equation systems are written in spherical coordinate system, and on a vertical the coordinate system is used. These models describe well the basic features of climatic system “ocean – atmosphere”, but at the same time some results are in the unsatisfied consent with the observational data. Except of the three-dimensional models of ocean - atmosphere interaction by some authors it was considered also rather simplified problems in which separate aspects of interaction was studied [15-18]. Object of ours research is small-scale sea – atmosphere interaction. Quantitative characteristics of this interaction represent turbulent heat, moisture and movement fluxes, with the help of which interaction between atmospheric and sea surface layers are carried out. In [19] the comparative analysis of calculation methods of turbulent fluxes between the ocean and atmosphere was given. Some Questions of small-scale interaction are considered in well-known monographies [20-22]. In [23] it is presented the methodology to develop a coupled modeling system between atmosphere and ocean. Meso-scale Modeling System and Princeton Ocean Model (POM) have been used as the basic tools for the proposed methodology. Computational, and some physical aspects, of the coupled system are investigated for the Southwest Atlantic Bight. The analysis of the literature accessible to us shows, that the coupled regional model “seaatmosphere” for the Black Sea region till now is not realized. 3. General Structure of the Coupled Regional Numerical Model of the Black Sea-Land-Atmosphere The coupled model consists of separate blocks, each of them represents the mathematical model describing hydro and thermodynamic processes in separate objects of the environment (the sea, the atmosphere, active layer of the soil). The model is based on full systems of ocean and atmosphere hydro and thermodynamic equations, equation of heat conductivity in the soil and heat balance equations on the underground surface (land, water). In Fig.1 the vertical structure of the model is schematically showed. The vertical structure of the model comprises the following layers: 1. Troposphere; 2. Atmospheric surface layer; 3. Active layer of the soil; 4. Active layer of the sea; 5. Deep layer of the sea. In each layer for description of physical processes the following differential equation systems are considered: I. In the troposphere 6 the full system of atmospheric hydrothermodynamic equations in hydrostatic approximation; II. In the lower turbulent layer of the atmosphere simplified one-dimensional equation system of atmospheric boundary layer; III. In the active and deep layers of the sea the full system of ocean hydrothermodynamic equations IV. In the active layer of the soil the equation of heat conductivity. These equations are connected with one another with boundary conditions on a vertical, which basically express continuity of solutions and their first derivatives at transition from one layer to another. As one of boundary conditions on the underground surface (water, land) the equation of heat balance is considered. In the following sections there are description of separate modules of the coupled models. HT 10 12 km Troposphere HT x, y ha x, y ha ha 50 80 m surface layer surface layer above a sea upper layer of a sea h 1m hm lower layer of a sea x, y Z Z H M x, y ZM Fig.1. The schematic image of vertical structure of the coupled regional model. 7 hm 4. The Black Sea Dynamics Model 4.1 Model Description The goal of the sea dynamics model is to describe temporal-space evolution of currents, temperature, density, and salinity in all basin of the Black Sea from the sea surface to the sea bottom on a basis of numerical integration of full system of ocean hydrothermodynamic equations. Besides, the results of realization of the task will be applied as lower boundary conditions for the task of the upper active layer of the sea. For this purposes baroclinic prognostic sea dynamics model [24, 25] is used [24, 25]. The offered model is an improved version of before developed models of the Black Sea dynamics [26-29]. In the reporting period within the framework of the given BSEC Project space resolution of the model has been increased (from 10 km to 5 km spacing). With this purpose for the repoting period realization of the following works was required: - Elaboration of a designed program on the algorithmic language “Fortran” intended for translation of input data from the grid with 10 km spacing to the grid with 5 km spacing ; - Preparation of input data on the grid with 5 km spacing; - Corresponding modification of software of the Black Sea dynamics model in view of the new grid; - Performance of test numerical experiments using horizontal grid step 5 km. The model takes into account water exchange with the Mediterranean Sea, Danube river inflow, atmospheric forcing, quasi-realistic bottom relief, the absorption of short-wave radiation by surface layer of the sea, space-temporal variability of horizontal and vertical exchange. The model equations have been written down for deviations of thermodynamic values from the appropriate standard vertical distributions. The equation system of the model in the Cartesian coordinate system (the axis x is directed eastward, y - northward, and z - from a sea surface vertically downwards) has the following form: u u 1 p , divuu lv + = u z z t 0 x v 1 p v divuv + lu + = v , t 0 y z z div u = 0, p / z g , T T T T 1 I T div uT T .w T T T , t z z z c z t S S S S S div uS + S w = S S S , t z z z t = T T + S S , T T , z S (4.1.1) S , z T T ( z, t ) T , S S ( z, t ) S , = ( z, t ) , p p( z, t ) p , 8 = , x x y y I 0 a sinh 0 b sinh 0 , I (1 A) I 0 e z , sinh 0 sin sin cos cos cos 12 t, ~ 1 (a~ b n~)n~ . From the Mamaev’s empirical formula of equation of state for marine water f (T , S ) [30] are defined T f / T 10 3 (0.0035 0.00938T 0.0025 S ), S f / s 10 3.(0.802 0.002T ) . Here u, v, and w are the components of the current velocity vector u along axes x, y, z , respectively; T , S , P , - the deviations of temperature, salinity, pressure and density from their standard vertical distributions T , S, P, ; l l 0 . y - the Coriolis parameter; g , c 0 - the gravitational acceleration, the specific heat capacity and the average density of seawater; , T ,S , , T ,S - the horizontal and vertical eddy viscosity, heat and salt diffusion coefficients, respectively; I 0 - the total radiation flux determined by the Albrecht formula [31] at z = 0, A -albedo of a sea surface, h0 - the zenithal angle of the Sun; - the geographical latitude, - the parameter of declination of the Sun, - the factor which takes into account influence of a cloudiness on a total ~ radiation and depends upon ball of cloudiness n~ [32]; a, b, a~, b - the empirical factors; - the parameter of absorption of short-wave radiation by seawater. The equation system (4.1.1) was solved at the following boundary and initial conditions: u zx , z 0 zy v , w 0, z 0 T = T * T (0, t ) , S = S* S (0, t ) at z 0 , u 0, v = 0, T / n 0 , S/ n 0 on Г0, ~ ~ u u~ , v = ~ v , T = T , S = S оn Г1 , u 0 , v = 0 , w = 0, T / z T S/ z, S аt z H , u u 0 , v = v 0 , T = T 0 , S = S 0 at t = 0, (4.1.2) (4.1.3) where H describes the bottom relief of the sea basin; zx , zy , T * , S * are the wind stress components along axes x and y , temperature and salinity on a sea surface z = 0, respectively; Г0 – the rigid lateral boundary, and Г1 - the liquid boundary separating the sea basin from other water area (in our case – the boundary between the Black Sea basin and the Bosphorus strait or the Danube River); n - the ~ ~ external normal to surface Г0; u~ , ~v , T , S - the velocity components, deviations of temperature and salinity on liquid boundaries, respectively. Factors of turbulence , T, S , and T , S were calculated by the formulas presented in [33,34] : 9 x.y 2 u + u v x y x 2 2 , T , S S , cS cT 2 2 g v T , S (0.05h) z z , 0 where x and y are horizontal grid steps along x and y , respectively; cT and c S are some constants; h is the depth of the turbulent surface layer, which is defined by the first point z m , in 2 u z 2 v + 2 y which following condition is satisfied: g u v (0.05 z m ) 2 T0 , S . z z 0 z 2 2 In case of unstable stratification, which may be appear during integration of the equations ( 0 ), the realization of this instability in the model was taken into account by increase of z factor of vertical turbulent diffusion T ,S 20 times in appropriate columns from a surface to the bottom. 4.2 Numerical Scheme of Solution The problem (4.1.1) - (4.1.3) is solved numerically on the basis of a two-cycle splitting method by physical processes, coordinate planes and lines described in details in [10, 29]. With this purpose the entire time interval (0,T) is broken up into equal broadened intervals tj-1 t tj+1 and on each such interval is made linearization of the advective members. Obtained quasi-linear equation system on each time interval tj-1 t tj+1 is splitted by physical processes, as a result of which following problems are allocated: 1. The transfer of the physical fields taking into account eddy viscosity and diffusion; 2. The adaptation of the physical fields with division of the solution into barotropic and baroclinic components. At the transfer stage on time interval tj-1 t tj the following equations are considered: j u1 u1 u1 u1 t divu u1 x x y y z z , v1 j v1 v1 v1 t divu v1 x x y y z z , T1 divu j T T1 T1 T1 T T , 1 T T T t x x y y z z z S1 divu j S S1 S1 S1 S S 1 S S S t x x y y z z z (4.2.1) with (4.1.2) boundary conditions and initial conditions: u1j-1 = uj-1, v1j-1 = vj-1, T1j-1 = Tj-1, S1j-1 = Sj-1, 10 For solving of equations (4.2.1) the two-cycle splitting method by coordinates is used, as a result of which the problem is reduced to set of one-dimensional linear equation system, that are effectively solved by the factorization method. At the second stage (adaptation stage) on time interval tj-1 t tj+1 the following equation system is considered: u 2 t v 2 t p 2 t u 2 x T2 t S 2 t 1 p 2 0, x 1 p 2 lu 2 0, y lv 2 g T T2 S S 2 , (4.2.2) v w 2 2 o, y z T w2 0, S w 2 0, with following boundary and initial conditions: w 2 0, u 2 n 0, at on z 0, H Г u2j-1 = u1j, v2j-1 = v1j, T2j-1 = T1j, S2j-1 = S1j, At the stage of adaptation the solution of the system (4.2.2) is divided into barotropic and baroclinic components. The barotropic task is reduced to the solution of two-dimensional equation for integral stream function. The operator of the baroclinic task received after allocation of the Coriolis force, in addition is splitted by vertical planes. As a result the adaptation problem is reduced to the solution of a set of the same type two-dimensional tasks for analogues of stream function. Received two-dimensional equations are effectively solved within the framework of uniform iterative algorithm [10, 29]. At the third stage (transfer stage) on the time interval tj t tj+1 the same equations (4.2.1) are solved. On each stage for approximation of tasks on a time the Krank-Nickolson scheme is used. 4.3 Simulation of the Black Sea Circulation Processes With the purpose of numerical realization of the problem (4.1.1) - (4.1.3) the surface of the Black Sea was covered with a grid with the constant steps equal to 5 km. The quantity of points on axes x and y was 223 and 109, correspondingly. On a vertical the non-uniform grid with 32 11 calculated levels on depths: 1, 3, 5, 7, 11, 15, 25, 35, 55, 85, 135, 205, 305,..., 2205 m were considered. To determine values of parameters connected with absorption of short-wave radiation, some works have been used [31, 32, 35, 36]. The dependence of the sea surface albedo upon zenithal angle had basically such character, which is specified in the table [36], corresponding to excitement of the sea surface with balls 1-3 and lower cloudiness with ball 0.2. According to this table the albedo undergoes significant daily changes between 0.02 - 0.39. A seasonal course of common cloudiness above the Black Sea basin was reproduced by linear interpolation on mean seasonal values of ball of cloudiness given in [35]. The parameter of absorption of radiation was accepted equal to = 0.0023 m-1, which corresponds to an usual ocean water in which about 10% of a radiation reaches a depth 10 ~ m [37]. Empirical factors accepted values [31,32]: a=1.54 kW/m2, b=0.22 kW/m2, ~ a b 0.38 . Specific heat capacity c = 4.09 Jg-1K-1, which corresponds to a seawater with salinity about 18 %o. The other parameters had the following values: g = 980 cm2/s, 0 =1g/cm3, l = 0,95.10-4s-1, = 10-13cm-1s-1, t 1h , c T cS 10 , (a) (c) (b) (d) Fig. 2. Computed current fields on horizons z = 3 m in August at different time moments: (a) - 5690 h, (b) – 5734h, (c) – 5756h, (d) – 5798h (time is counted since 1 th January of the 3 modeling year). 12 (a) (c) (b) (d) Fig. 3. Same as in Fig. 2, but on horizons z = 15m.. Figs. 2 and 3 illustrate calculated sea currents on depth of 3 m and 15m in August, when above the Black Sea alternation of different types of atmospheric circulation, characteristic for the Black Sea basin, took place. These wind types were taken from [38] Integration started on the 1 st of January by 5 km horisontals spacing and as initial conditions annual mean climatic fields of current, temperature, and salinity were used, which were obtained by the same model on annual mean input climatic data. Results of numerical experiment were analyzed on the third model year when quasiperiodical regime was established. In Figures basic features of the Black Sea circulation known from observations [39-43], such as the general cyclonic character of current, cyclonic circulations in east and western parts of the basin, anticyclones vortex in the southeast part (Batumi anticyclone) and some coastal anticyclonic vortexes are well visible. 13 5. Atmospheric Boundary Layer – Soil Quasi – one-dimensional Numerical Model 5.1. Equations, Boundary Conditions Correct description of interaction of the atmosphere with the underlying surface (land, water) of the Earth essentially depends on that fact as far as vertical distribution of meteorological values near the surface is precisely described. The goal of the task is to obtain vertical distribution of wind, temperature and moisture with high resolution in the atmospheric surface layer on the basis of onedimensional system of boundary layer equations (with taken in consideration of advective processes parametrically). Besides that this model has independent scientific and practical value, in the coupled regional model it will be play a role of the separate block with help of which will be describe interaction with underlying Erth’s Surface. For the reporting period atmospheric boundary layer – soil non-stationary quasi-onedimensional model (functions depend on time and vertical coordinates) with parametrical consideration of advective processes and relief is developed. The model is based on simplified system of planetary boundary equations, heat balance equation of the underlying surface and equation of molecular heat conductivity in the active layer of a soil. Turbulent viscosity and diffusion coefficients in the atmospheric surface layer are calculated during integration of model equations on the basis of the similarity theory of Monin-Obukhov. Model equation system has the following form [44]: In the atmospheric boundary layer u u lv Fu , t x z z v v lu Fv , t y z z u ( S ) v( S ) , t x x y y z z q1 q Q Q u ( q ) v( q ) q 1 . t x x y y z z l V , x z Fu lV U / t , (5.1.1) l U . y z Fv lU V / t , S / z , g / 0 , u U u, v V v, w W w, , q1 Q q1 . In the active layer of a soil Tп 2 Tп Kп , 0 zп h п . (5.1.2) t z п2 Here z = z1 - (x, y), where z1 is the vertical coordinate from the bottom of the relief and (x,y) the function describing the relief; u and v represent horizontal components of wind velocity vector; 14 U and V - - the background velocity components in the Cartesian coordinate system; - deviation of the potential temperature from the background value ; g – the gravitational acceleration; 0 =const – the average potential temperature of the atmosphere; l – the Coriolis parameter; S, the parameters of thermal stability and buoyancy; q1 - the deviation of the moisture from the background value Q. z п - the vertical coordinate downword from the surface to the soil; K п - the factor of temperature conductivity; h п -the thickness of the active payer of a soil; T п - deviation of the soil temperature from daily averaged value. Fu and Fv parametrically describe the influence of large scale processes on processes in the boundary layer. For the equations (5.1.1) we shall consider the following boundary conditions: on the top of the planetary boundary layer Ha u U , v V , 0, q1 0 At a level of a roughness z = z0 u v 0, - c p ~ q ~ T L 1 c n K п c1R , z z zn R (1 A) I F , T, q rq H (T0 ) (0 r 1) On the lower boundary of the active layer of a soil z п hп ~ Tп 0. Here c п is the volumetric heat capacity; R - the radiation balance of the underlying surface; A Albedo of a ground surface; I - the total short-wave radiation of the sun; F - the Earth’s surface effective long-wave radiation; r - the relative humidity at a ground surface. q H - the specific humidity in a saturated state; T0 - the temperature of the ground surface. For solving of (5.1.1) and (5.1.2) the following hypothetical initial conditions are used: u( z) U( H)(1 e az cos(az) V( H)e az sin az v( z ) V( H )(1 e az cos(az ) U( H )e az sin az ~ q T 0 , a = l / 2 Expressions for u and v represent known solutions of Ekman’s boundary layer [45, 46]. For calculation of short-wave radiation of the Sun the albrekht’s formula is accepted [31] t I a1 sinh b1 sinh , sinh sin sin cos cos cos 12 where is the declination of the Sun, - the geographical latitude Effective radiation of the Earth is defined by the Brent formula [46] F T04 a2 b2 e , where is Stephan – Bolcman constant, e – the partial pressure of water vapor. The factors c1 is defined by empirical formula [45]. Sating specific humidity was defined under Magnus’s formula [47]. 15