A manager needs to select a group of 4 research associates (RAs

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A manager needs to select a group of 4 research associates (RAs) to form a research team. Out of a pool of 16 total RAs, 10 are female and 6 are male. If the manager randomly selects 4 RAs from this pool, what is the probability that the research team will include 2 females and 2 males?

The total number of outcomes in the sample space,

N = C

16 

4

16!

1,820 .

The number of ways to select 2 females from the 10 available, C

10 

2

10!

45 .

The number of ways to select 2 males from the 6 available, C

6 

2

6!

15 .

The number of outcomes that satisfy the condition of 2 females and 2 males is,

N

A

= 45 × 15 = 675.

Therefore, the probability that a randomly selected set of 4 will include 2 females and 2 males is

P

A

A

10 6

N C C

2

N

C

16

4

2

1,820

.3709

.

In a recent survey about the direction of the U.S. economy, a sample was asked whether they thought the U.S. economy was headed in the “right direction” or the “wrong direction” (the only two choices) Of those surveyed, 41% of the respondents said that they thought the U.S. economy was headed in the right direction. Males comprised 56% of the sample, and of the males, 35% said the U.S. economy was headed in the right direction. A person is randomly chosen from the survey sample.

Let M denote Male, F denote Female, R denote “right direction” and W denote “wrong direction.” Given: P(M) = 0.56, P(R) = 0.4, P(R|M) = 0.35

M

F

Total

R W Total

P(R∩M) P(W∩M)

0.56

P(R∩F) P(W∩F) P(F)

0.41 P(W) 1

What is the probability that the person we select is male that thinks the U.S. economy is headed in the right direction?

Looking for P(R ∩ M) = P(R|M)P(M) = (0.35)(0.56) = 0.196

A publisher sends advertising materials for an accounting text to 80% of all professors teaching the appropriate course. Thirty percent (30%) of the professors who received this material adopted the book, as did 10% of the professors who did not receive the material. What is the probability that a professor who adopts the book has received the advertising material?

A production manager knows that 5% of components produced by a particular manufacturing process have some defect. A random sample of 6 components is selected.

(a) What is the probability that none of the 6 components have a defect?

(b) What is the probability that one of the components has a defect?

(c) What is the probability that at least 2 of the components have a defect?

A customer service center receives, on average, 4.2 calls per minute. If the distribution of calls is Poisson, what is the probability of receiving at least 3 calls during a particular minute?

What is the probability of receiving between 3 and 5 calls (inclusive) in a given minute?

Grocery Store buys chickens from Aggie Farms and t-sip Foods. Among the chickens from

Aggie Farms, 10% of the processed chickens weigh less than 3 pounds. Among the chickens from t-sip Foods, 20% weight less than 3 pounds. Grocery Store buys 40% of its chicken from

Aggie Farms and mixes the products together with no identification of the supplier.

Suppose you purchase a chicken from Grocery Store that weighs more than 3 pounds.

What is the probability that it came from Aggie Farms?

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