Appendix S1. Uninformative priors used to model the abundance of

advertisement
Appendix S1. Uninformative priors used to model the abundance of rabbits and cats across
pastoral regions in Otago and the Mackenzie Basin (Southern Canterbury), South Island, New
Zealand.
Uninformative priors in the observation model relating the observed counts of cats and
rabbits at transect i, survey j and season k, to their abundances and detection probability,
through a binomial process are:
π›Όπ‘Ÿπ‘Žπ‘π‘π‘–π‘‘,π‘˜ ~π‘ˆπ‘›π‘–π‘“π‘œπ‘Ÿπ‘š(0,1).
π›Όπ‘π‘Žπ‘‘,π‘˜ ~π‘ˆπ‘›π‘–π‘“π‘œπ‘Ÿπ‘š(0,1).
π›½π‘Ÿπ‘Žπ‘π‘π‘–π‘‘ ~π‘π‘œπ‘Ÿπ‘šπ‘Žπ‘™(0,100).
π›½π‘π‘Žπ‘‘ ~π‘π‘œπ‘Ÿπ‘šπ‘Žπ‘™(0,100).
2
π›Ώπ‘Ÿπ‘Žπ‘π‘π‘–π‘‘,𝑖,𝑗,π‘˜ ~π‘π‘œπ‘Ÿπ‘šπ‘Žπ‘™(0, 1/π›Ύπ‘Ÿπ‘Žπ‘π‘π‘–π‘‘
).
2
π›Ώπ‘π‘Žπ‘‘,𝑖,𝑗,π‘˜ ~π‘π‘œπ‘Ÿπ‘šπ‘Žπ‘™(0, 1/π›Ύπ‘π‘Žπ‘‘
).
π›Ύπ‘Ÿπ‘Žπ‘π‘π‘–π‘‘ ~π‘ˆπ‘›π‘–π‘“π‘œπ‘Ÿπ‘š(0,3).
π›Ύπ‘π‘Žπ‘‘ ~π‘ˆπ‘›π‘–π‘“π‘œπ‘Ÿπ‘š(0,3).
Uninformative priors in the Gompertz-type model describing the seasonal population
dynamics of rabbits and cats are:
πœŽπ‘Ÿπ‘Žπ‘π‘π‘–π‘‘ ~π‘ˆπ‘›π‘–π‘“π‘œπ‘Ÿπ‘š(0,3),
πœŽπ‘π‘Žπ‘‘ ~π‘ˆπ‘›π‘–π‘“π‘œπ‘Ÿπ‘š(0,3),
π‘Žπ‘Ÿπ‘Žπ‘π‘π‘–π‘‘,π‘ π‘’π‘Žπ‘ π‘œπ‘› ~π‘ˆπ‘›π‘–π‘“π‘œπ‘Ÿπ‘š(−5,5),
π‘Žπ‘π‘Žπ‘‘,π‘ π‘’π‘Žπ‘ π‘œπ‘› ~π‘ˆπ‘›π‘–π‘“π‘œπ‘Ÿπ‘š(−5,5) ,
π‘π‘Ÿπ‘Žπ‘π‘π‘–π‘‘ ~π‘ˆπ‘›π‘–π‘“π‘œπ‘Ÿπ‘š(−1,1),
π‘π‘π‘Žπ‘‘ ~π‘ˆπ‘›π‘–π‘“π‘œπ‘Ÿπ‘š(−1,1),
π‘π‘ π‘’π‘Žπ‘ π‘œπ‘› ~π‘π‘œπ‘Ÿπ‘šπ‘Žπ‘™(0,100),
πœ”π‘Ÿπ‘Žπ‘π‘π‘–π‘‘,𝑖,1 ~π‘ˆπ‘›π‘–π‘“π‘œπ‘Ÿπ‘š(π‘šπ‘Žπ‘₯𝑅𝑖 , (π‘šπ‘Žπ‘₯𝑅𝑖 + 1000)) ,
πœ”π‘π‘Žπ‘‘,𝑖,1 ~π‘ˆπ‘›π‘–π‘“π‘œπ‘Ÿπ‘š(π‘šπ‘Žπ‘₯𝐢𝑖 , (π‘šπ‘Žπ‘₯𝐢𝑖 + 100)).
The π‘šπ‘Žπ‘₯𝑅𝑖 and π‘šπ‘Žπ‘₯𝐢𝑖 values are the counts of rabbits and cats known to be alive on transect
i. Because rabbits have persisted throughout the Mackenzie Basin and Otago since the 1870s
[1], we limited π‘šπ‘Žπ‘₯𝑅𝑖 and π‘šπ‘Žπ‘₯𝐢𝑖 to ≥ 2, that is, a minimum abundance of two individuals.
References
1. Norbury G, Reddiex B (2005) European rabbit Oryctolagus cuniculus (Linnaeus, 1758).
In: King CM, editor. The Handbook of New Zealand Mammals 2nd Edition.
Melbourne: Oxford University Press. pp. 131-150.
Download