POL S 658- FALL 2015 T 1600 @ NH-131 SEMINAR IN POST-COMMUNIST SYSTEMS Professor Mikhail Alexseev Office hours: Tuesdays 1315-1545 & by appointment, NH-127 alexseev@mail.sdsu.edu This course uses a comparative-historical approach to examine political institutions and behavior in Eurasia—an area that during most of the last two centuries was under the rule of the Russian Empire and the Soviet Union. We will first examine the communist legacies common to all postSoviet states and then study how these states diverged since the Soviet Union collapsed. In addition to providing a wealth of granular detail on how post-Soviet systems work, the course will explore fundamental empirical and theoretical puzzles in comparative politics. They concern the rise and decline of states, categorization of political systems and regimes, authoritarianism and democratization, communism, nationalism, civil war, insurgency, identity politics, and ethnoreligious violence. Additionally, throughout the semester, we will track developments in the Russia-Ukraine conflict as a special case study that brings these big issues into sharp relief. Your primary learning objectives are (a) to understand and memorize the maximum amount of factual details about the workings of the dominant Soviet government institutions and the institutions of most Soviet successor states; (b) to sharpen your understanding of theoretical explanations of the rise and fall of the Soviet Union and the differentiation of post-communist systems presented in your required readings; (c) to compare and contrast the influence of international-level vs. domestic-level determinants of state formation and institutional change in the region; (d) to develop awareness of the effects of research design on key conclusions of scholarly studies; (e) to improve your appreciation and the ability of interpreting a wide range of qualitative and quantitative methods widely used in contemporary research on post-communist systems; (f) to use theory, history, and scenario-planning methodology to predict future trajectories of post-communist systems; and (f) to improve your analytic writing skills. Finally, you have a meta-objective, without which none of the above can be achieved: attend all class meetings and engage in all class activities. Required Readings I. BOOKS (available at Amazon. com and ordered through the Aztec Bookstore): Mikhail A. Alexseev, ed., Center-Periphery Conflict in Post-Soviet Russia: A Federation Imperiled, St. Martin’s Press, 1999. Mary McAuley, Soviet Politics 1917-1991. Oxford University Press, 1992. Christopher Andrew and Oleg Gordievsky, KGB: The Inside Story, HarperCollins, 1990. Peter Baker and Susan Glasser, Kremlin Rising: Vladimir Putin’s Russia and the End of Revolution. Scribner, 2005. Robert Conquest, The Harvest of Sorrow: Soviet Collectivization and the Terror-Famine, Oxford University Press, 1987. 1 Karen Dawisha, Putin’s Kleptocracy: Who Owns Russia? Simon & Schuster, 2015. Maria Lipman and Nikolay Petrov, Russia in 2020: Scenarios for the Future, Carnegie Endowment, 2011. [e-BOOKS SDSU] Edward Lucas, The New Cold War: Putin’s Russia and the Threat to the West (Updated), Palgrave Macmillan 2014. Henry Hale, Patronal Politics: Eurasian Regime Dynamics in Comparative Perspective, Cambridge University Press, 2014. Stephen E. Hanson, Time and Revolution. North Carolina University Press, 1997. Stephen Kotkin, Armageddon Averted: The Soviet Collapse, 1970-2000. Oxford, 2001 Richard Pipes, The Formation of the Soviet Union: Communism and Nationalism, 1917-1923, Revised Edition. Harvard University Press, 1997. (or any earlier edition) Mikhail Voslensky, Nomenklatura: The Soviet Ruling Class, Doubleday, 1984. Daniel Yergin and Thane Gusthafson, Russia 2010. II. OTHER SOURCES: ◊ All readings listed under Schedule of Readings and Activities under the weekly reading assignments are required. ◊ Evidence of regular reading on post-Soviet politics in at least one of these sources: --The Economist --The New York Times --The Washington Post --BBC World Service Grade Components Attendance Class activities and presentations Final course paper 20% 20% 60% Class activities will include (but will not be limited to) question-and-answer sessions, student presentations followed by discussions/debates, small-group/“task force” projects, postings on BB Discussion Groups; short writing projects, and miscellaneous small analytic assignments. Attendance score will be calculated as a percentage of class meetings you attended (minus one for gratis absences);* participation score will be calculated as a percentage of completed/submitted class assignments—if the latter exceed the average in scope of the material coverage, additional bonus points will be earned. 2 *One absence is allowed without explanation at no loss of points; above that, absences do not earn credit regardless of circumstances; partial makeup for class activities will be available in case of absence due to properly documented force majeur circumstances. Grade Scales for Tests, Papers and Final Grade Assignment: 95-100 = A 73-76 = C 90-94 = A70-72 = C- 87-89 = B + 67-69 = D+ 83-86 = B 63-66 = D 80-82 = B60-62 = D- 77-79 = C+ < 59 = F For criteria satisfying the grade ranges see http://www-rohan.sdsu.edu/~digger/305/grades.html. NOTE: Plagiarism (copying other people’s work without attribution and presenting it as your own) is unacceptable. Engaging in plagiarism on any test will result in an automatic “F” grade for the course. Blackboard at SDSU You will use SDSU Blackboard to access announcements, the syllabus, readings, and assignments online; to participate in discussion forums; and submit the final exam. FOR STUDENTS WITH DISABILITIES If you are a student with a disability and believe you will need accommodations for this class, it is your responsibility to contact Student Disability Services at (619) 594-6473. To avoid any delay in the receipt of your accommodations, you should contact Student Disability Services as soon as possible. Please note that accommodations are not retroactive, and that accommodations based upon disability cannot be provided until you have presented your instructor with an accommodation letter from Student Disability Services. Your cooperation is appreciated. 3 CLASS MEETINGS AND READING SCHEDULE Except for the first day of class, your best bet is to do all your required readings prior to the class meetings of the week for which they are assigned. Required readings are listed below under each week’s topic. Please bring the required readings to class on the ways when they are assigned or required by the syllabus. W1--08/25: Historical-Comparative Analysis: States and Institutional Legacies -Course introduction --Grigore Pop-Eleches, “Historical Legacies and Post-Communist Regime Change,” Journal of Politics 69:4 (November 2007) [Library Databases] --Russia: a country study, Federal Research Division, Library of Congress Edited by Glenn E. Curtis (Research Completed July 1996) –up to 1917 http://lcweb2.loc.gov/frd/cs/rutoc.html PART I: THE RISE AND FALL OF THE SOVIET UNION W2--09/01: The Communist Party --Pipes, The Formation of the Soviet Union (all chapters required; special emphasis on chapters 1-3 and 6) --McAuley, Soviet Politics 1917-1991, Ch. 1, 2. W3--09/08: The KGB --Andrew and Gordievsky, KGB, chapters: (The evolution of the KGB; Tsarist origins (1565-1917); the Cheka, counterrevolution and the "Lockhart Conspiracy" (1917-21); Stalin and spy-mania (192638); the takeover of Eastern Europe (1944-8); Cold War - the Stalinist phase (1945-53); the decline and fall of Detente (1972-84); the Gorbachev era (1985-) --McAuley, Ch. 3. W4--09/15: The Terror and the Empire -Conquest, The Harvest of Sorrow. -McAuley, Ch. 4. W5—09/22: The Bureaucracy --Voslensky, Nomenklatura (particular focus on Khrushchev and Brezhnev’s Dneproptrovsk clan) --McAuley, Ch. 5, 6. W6—09/29: State Ideology --Hanson, Time and Revolution, --McAuley, Ch. 7,8. W7—10/06: The Military-Industrial Complex --Kotkin, Armaggedon Averted 4 --George F. Kennan (X), “Sources of Soviet Conduct,” Foreign Affairs (1947) (BB) --George Kolt, The Soviet Cauldron, NIE 1991. In Russia Watch: Essays in Honor of George Kolt, eds. Eugene Rumer and Celeste Wallander, CSIS (2007), pp. 84-92. (BB) --Andrew Barnes, “Do We Have A Winner? Disentangling the Competing Explanations for the End of the Soviet System,” Program on New Approaches to Russian Security (PONARS) Working Paper, Jan 2012 (BB or: http://ponarseurasia.org/blog/publications/working-papers/) Part II. POST-COMMUNIST TRAJECTORIES W8—10/13: Secessionism and State Collapse -- Alexseev, Federation Imperiled (Ch. 1, 3, 4, 6) -- Hale, “The Makeup and Breakup of Ethnofederal States: Why Russia Survives Where the USSR Fell,” Perspectives on Politics (2005) 3, no. 1 55-70 (BB) -- Daniel Treisman, “Russia’s ‘Ethnic Revival’” World Politics (1997) (ProjectMUSE) W9—10/20: Patronal Resurgence Hale, Patronal Politics, Ch. 1, 2, 4-6 W10—10/27: Authoritarian Re-Consolidation at the Former Soviet Core --Dawisha, Putin’s Kleptocracy, Ch. 2-5 --Baker & Glasser, Kremlin Rising, Ch. 2-4, 12, 13. --“The Long Life of Homo Sovieticus,” The Economist, Dec 10-16, 2011. VIDEO: “Putin’ Way,” Frontline (2015) (http://video.pbs.org/video/2365401766/) W11—11/03: Revolutions and Liberalization Hale, Patronal Politics, Ch. 7-9, 12. Alfred Stepan, “Ukraine: Improbable Democratic ‘Nation-State’ But Possible Democratic ‘State-Nation’”? Post-Soviet Affairs, 2005, 21, 4, pp. 279–308 (EBSCO) W12—11/10: Neo-Imperial Resurgence --Lucas, The New Cold War, Ch. 1, 4-9 --Mikhail Alexseev. "Russia's 'Cold Peace' Consensus: Transcending the Presidential Election," The Fletcher Forum of World Affairs 21:1 (SpringSummer 1997): 33-49. 5 --Andrei Soldatov & Irina Borogan, “Russia’s New Nobility,” Foreign Affairs (Sep/Oct 2010) W13—11/17: Political System Categorization Freedom House, Nations in Transit (https://freedomhouse.org/sites/default/files/FH_NIT2015_06.06.15_FINAL.pdf) FINAL PAPER TOPIC AND INDEPENDENT STUDY DISCUSSION W14—11/24: From Analysis to Prediction: Eurasia-2020 INDEPENDENT STUDY (No class meeting; online interactive consulting) --Yegin and Gusthafson, Russia 2010 --Lipman & Petrov, Russia 2020 (e-Books) W15—12/02: The Eurasian Union: Its Rise and Prospects --Putin’s address on Crimea annexation, Mar 18, 2014 (http://eng.kremlin.ru/news/6889) --Nicu Popescu, “The Eurasian Union: The Real, the Imaginary, and the Likely,” Chaillot Paper No. 132, European Union Institute for Security Studies (September 2014). (BB) --Nikolas K. Gvosdev, “Russia's Eurasian Union: Part of a Master Plan,” The National Interest, 7 Jun 2014, http://nationalinterest.org/feature/russias-eurasian-union-partmaster-plan-10619 --Peter Pomerantsev, “How Putin Is Reinventing Warfare,” Foreign Policy, 05May14, http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2014/05/05/how_putin_is_reinventing_warfare --“Ukraine and Russia: War by Any Other Name,” The Economist, 5 Jul 2014, http://www.economist.com/news/europe/21606290-russia-has-effect-already-invadedeastern-ukraine-question-how-west-will --Alexey Eremenko, “3rd 'Gas War' Looming Between Russia, Ukraine, EU,” Moscow Times 13 Aug 2014, http://www.themoscowtimes.com/business/article/3rd-gas-warlooming-between-russia-ukraine-eu/505071.html --Vladimir Socor, “Russia’s Master Plan to Break the Trans-Atlantic Alliance,” WSJ, 20Apr2015 (http://www.wsj.com/articles/russias-master-plan-to-break-the-trans-atlanticalliance-1429575502) --Ivan Krastev, “Europe’s Shattered Dream of Order: How Putin is Disrupting the Atlantic Alliance,” Foreign Affairs (May/June 2015): 48-58 (ProQuest Research) --Mikhail Alexseev, “Backing the USSR 2.0: Russia’s Ethnic Minorities and Expansionist Ethnic Russian Nationalism,” forthcoming chapter, University of Edinburg Press, book project on Russia’s new nationalism. (BB) W16—12/08: PRESENTATION OF FINAL PAPER OUTLINES, COURSE OVERVIEW 12/15/2015 @ 1800 FINAL COURSE PAPER DUE (SUBMIT UNDER TURNITIN ASSIGNMENT @ BLACKBOARD ONLY—submissions in other formats will not be read unless mandated by special circumstances such as student disability): Online final exam day class discussion forums on Blackboard will be open during the final exam hours. 6