An Overview of the Economic History of Chile Since the 1800’s Special Focus on the Economic History of Procedural Democracy and Civil Society By Markos J. Mamalakis University of Wisconsin – Milwaukee Copyright April 2006 To be published in _EH.Net Encyclopedia_, edited by Robert Whaples, http://eh.net/encyclopedia/. 0 Table of Contents INTRODUCTION.............................................................................................................................................................................................. 10 OVERVIEW ...................................................................................................................................................................................................... 11 PART I ............................................................................................................................................................................................................... 14 1810-1817, PATRIA VIEJA (1810-1814) AND SPANISH RECONQUEST (1814-1817) ...................15 PRESIDENCY (DICTATORSHP) OF BERNARDO O’HIGGINS, 1817-1823 ....................................18 PRESIDENCIES, DICTATORSHIPS, GOVERNMENTS OF RAMÓN FREIRE AND OTHERS, 1823 1831 ..........................................................................................................................................................21 TWO TERM PRESIDENCY OF JOSÉ JOAQUÍN PRIETO VIAL, 1831-1841 ...................................24 TWO-TERM PRESIDENCY OF MANUEL BULNES, 1841-1851 ......................................................27 TWO-TERM PRESIDENCY OF MANUEL MONTT, 1851-1861 ........................................................30 TWO-TERM PRESIDENCY OF JOSÉ JOAQUÍN PÉREZ, 1861-1871 ...............................................33 PRESIDENCY OF FEDERICO ERRÁZURIZ ZAÑARTU, 1871-1876 ...............................................36 PRESIDENCY OF ANÍBAL PINTO, 1876-1881 ...................................................................................39 PRESIDENCY OF DOMINGO SANTA MARÍA, 1881-1886 ...............................................................42 PRESIDENCY OF MANUEL BALMACEDA, 1886-1891 ...................................................................45 PRESIDENCY OF JORGE MONTT, 1891-1896 ...................................................................................48 PRESIDENCY OF FEDERICO ERRÁZURIZ ECHAURREN, 1896-1901 ..........................................51 PRESIDENCY OF GERMÁN RIESCO, 1901-1906 ..............................................................................54 PRESIDENCY OF PEDRO MONTT, 1906-1910 ..................................................................................57 PRESIDENCY OF RAMÓN BARROS LUCO, 1910-1915 ...................................................................60 PRESIDENCY OF JUAN LUIS SANFUENTES, 1915-1920 ................................................................63 PRESIDENCY OF ARTURO ALESSANDRI PALMA, 1920-1924 .....................................................66 PRESIDENCY OF EMILIANO FIGUEROA LARRAÍN, December 23, 1925-May 10, 1927 .............69 PRESIDENCY (MILITARY DICTATORSHIP) OF CARLOS IBÁÑEZ DEL CAMPO, 1928-1931 ..72 PRESIDENCY OF JUAN ESTEBAN MONTERO RODRÍGUEZ, JULY 1931 - JUNE 1932 .............75 SECOND PRESIDENCY OF ARTURO ALESSANDRI PALMA, 1932-1938 ....................................79 PRESIDENCY OF PEDRO AGUIRRE CERDA, 1938-1941 ................................................................82 PRESIDENCY OF JUAN ANTONIO RÍOS, 1942-1946 .......................................................................86 PRESIDENCY OF GABRIEL GONZÁLEZ VIDELA, 1946-1952 .......................................................90 PRESIDENCY OF CARLOS IBÁÑEZ DEL CAMPO, 1952-1958 .......................................................94 PRESIDENCY OF JORGE ALESSANDRI RODRÍGUEZ, 1958-1964 ................................................98 PRESIDENCY OF EDUARDO FREI MONTALVA, 1964-1970 .......................................................102 PRESIDENCY OF SALVADOR ALLENDE, 1970-1973 ...................................................................107 1 TWO-TERM PRESIDENCY (MILITARY DICTATORSHIP) OF AUGUSTO PINOCHET UGARTE, 1973-1990 ..............................................................................................................................................113 PRESIDENCY OF PATRICIO AYLWIN AZÓCAR, 1990-1994 .......................................................120 PRESIDENCY OF EDUARDO FREI RUÍZ-TAGLE, 1994-2000 .......................................................124 2 Table of Tables 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 1810-1817, PATRIA VIEJA (1810-1814) AND SPANISH RECONQUEST (1814-1817) 15 Table: 1.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Table: 1.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Table: 1.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 15 16 17 PRESIDENCY (DICTATORSHP) OF BERNARDO O’HIGGINS, 1817-1823 18 Table: 2.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Table: 2.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Table: 2.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 18 19 20 PRESIDENCIES, DICTATORSHIPS, GOVERNMENTS OF RAMÓN FREIRE AND OTHERS, 1823 1831 21 Table: 3.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Table: 3.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Table: 3.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 21 22 23 TWO TERM PRESIDENCY OF JOSÉ JOAQUÍN PRIETO VIAL, 1831-1841 24 Table: 4.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Table: 4.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Table: 4.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 24 25 26 TWO-TERM PRESIDENCY OF MANUEL BULNES, 1841-1851 27 Table: 5.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Table: 5.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Table: 5.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 27 28 29 TWO-TERM PRESIDENCY OF MANUEL MONTT, 1851-1861 30 Table: 6.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Table: 6.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Table: 6.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 30 31 32 TWO-TERM PRESIDENCY OF JOSÉ JOAQUÍN PÉREZ, 1861-1871 33 Table: 7.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Table: 7.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Table: 7.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 33 34 35 PRESIDENCY OF FEDERICO ERRÁZURIZ ZAÑARTU, 1871-1876 36 Table: 8.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Table: 8.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Table: 8.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 36 37 38 PRESIDENCY OF ANÍBAL PINTO, 1876-1881 39 Table: 9.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Table: 9.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Table: 9.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 39 40 41 10. PRESIDENCY OF DOMINGO SANTA MARÍA, 1881-1886 42 Table: 10.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Table: 10.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Table: 10.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 11. PRESIDENCY OF MANUEL BALMACEDA, 1886-1891 42 43 44 45 Table: 11.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Table: 11.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Table: 11.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 3 45 46 47 12. PRESIDENCY OF JORGE MONTT, 1891-1896 48 Table: 12.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Table: 12.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Table: 12.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 13. PRESIDENCY OF FEDERICO ERRÁZURIZ ECHAURREN, 1896-1901 Table: 13.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Table: 13.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Table: 13.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 14. PRESIDENCY OF GERMÁN RIESCO, 1901-1906 48 49 50 51 51 52 53 54 Table: 14.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Table: 14.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Table: 14.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 15. PRESIDENCY OF PEDRO MONTT, 1906-1910 54 55 56 57 Table: 15.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Table: 15.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Table: 15.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 16. PRESIDENCY OF RAMÓN BARROS LUCO, 1910-1915 57 58 59 60 Table: 16.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Table: 16.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Table: 16.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 17. PRESIDENCY OF JUAN LUIS SANFUENTES, 1915-1920 60 61 62 63 Table: 17.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Table: 17.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Table: 17.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 18. PRESIDENCY OF ARTURO ALESSANDRI PALMA, 1920-1924 63 64 65 66 Table: 18.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Table: 18.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Table: 18.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 19. PRESIDENCY OF EMILIANO FIGUEROA LARRAÍN, December 23, 1925-May 10, 1927 Table: 19.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Table: 19.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Table: 19.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 20. PRESIDENCY (MILITARY DICTATORSHIP) OF CARLOS IBÁÑEZ DEL CAMPO, 1928-1931 Table: 20.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Table: 20.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Table: 20.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 21. PRESIDENCY OF JUAN ESTEBAN MONTERO RODRÍGUEZ, JULY 1931 - JUNE 1932 Table: 21.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Table: 21.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Table: 21.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 22. SECOND PRESIDENCY OF ARTURO ALESSANDRI PALMA, 1932-1938 Table: 22.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Table: 22.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Table: 22.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 23. PRESIDENCY OF PEDRO AGUIRRE CERDA, 1938-1941 66 67 68 69 69 70 71 72 72 73 74 75 75 76 77 79 79 80 81 82 Table: 23.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Table: 23.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other 4 82 83 Table: 23.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 84 24. PRESIDENCY OF JUAN ANTONIO RÍOS, 1942-1946 86 Table: 24.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Table: 24.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Table: 24.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 25. PRESIDENCY OF GABRIEL GONZÁLEZ VIDELA, 1946-1952 87 88 89 90 Table: 25.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Table: 25.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Table: 25.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 26. PRESIDENCY OF CARLOS IBÁÑEZ DEL CAMPO, 1952-1958 90 91 92 94 Table: 26.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Table: 26.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Table: 26.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 27. PRESIDENCY OF JORGE ALESSANDRI RODRÍGUEZ, 1958-1964 94 95 96 98 Table: 27.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Table: 27.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Table: 27.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 28. PRESIDENCY OF EDUARDO FREI MONTALVA, 1964-1970 98 99 100 102 Table: 28.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Table: 28.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Table: 28.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 29. PRESIDENCY OF SALVADOR ALLENDE, 1970-1973 103 104 105 106 Table: 29.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Table: 29.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Table: 29.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 30. TWO-TERM PRESIDENCY (MILITARY DICTATORSHIP) OF AUGUSTO PINOCHET UGARTE, 1973-1990 Table: 30.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Table: 30.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Table: 30.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 31. PRESIDENCY OF PATRICIO AYLWIN AZÓCAR, 1990-1994 107 109 111 113 114 115 117 120 Table: 31.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Table: 31.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Table: 31.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 32. PRESIDENCY OF EDUARDO FREI RUÍZ-TAGLE, 1994-2000 120 121 122 124 Table: 32.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Table: 32.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Table: 32.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) Part II Part III Part IV Part V 124 125 126 ??? ??? ??? ??? 5 Table of Graphs 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 1810-1817, PATRIA VIEJA (1810-1814) AND SPANISH RECONQUEST (1814-1817) 15 Graph: 1.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Graph: 1.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Graph: 1.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 15 16 17 PRESIDENCY (DICTATORSHP) OF BERNARDO O’HIGGINS, 1817-1823 18 Graph: 2.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Graph: 2.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Graph: 2.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 18 19 20 PRESIDENCIES, DICTATORSHIPS, GOVERNMENTS OF RAMÓN FREIRE AND OTHERS, 1823 1831 21 Graph: 3.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Graph: 3.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Graph: 3.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 21 22 23 TWO TERM PRESIDENCY OF JOSÉ JOAQUÍN PRIETO VIAL, 1831-1841 24 Graph: 4.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Graph: 4.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Graph: 4.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 24 25 26 TWO-TERM PRESIDENCY OF MANUEL BULNES, 1841-1851 27 Graph: 5.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Graph: 5.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Graph: 5.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 27 28 29 TWO-TERM PRESIDENCY OF MANUEL MONTT, 1851-1861 30 Graph: 6.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Graph: 6.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Graph: 6.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 30 31 32 TWO-TERM PRESIDENCY OF JOSÉ JOAQUÍN PÉREZ, 1861-1871 33 Graph: 7.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Graph: 7.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Graph: 7.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 33 34 35 PRESIDENCY OF FEDERICO ERRÁZURIZ ZAÑARTU, 1871-1876 36 Graph: 8.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Graph: 8.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Graph: 8.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 36 37 38 PRESIDENCY OF ANÍBAL PINTO, 1876-1881 39 Graph: 9.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Graph: 9.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Graph: 9.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 39 40 41 10. PRESIDENCY OF DOMINGO SANTA MARÍA, 1881-1886 42 Graph: 10.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Graph: 10.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Graph: 10.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 11. PRESIDENCY OF MANUEL BALMACEDA, 1886-1891 42 43 44 45 Graph: 11.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Graph: 11.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Graph: 11.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 6 45 46 47 12. PRESIDENCY OF JORGE MONTT, 1891-1896 48 Graph: 12.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Graph: 12.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Graph: 12.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 13. PRESIDENCY OF FEDERICO ERRÁZURIZ ECHAURREN, 1896-1901 Graph: 13.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Graph: 13.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Graph: 13.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 14. PRESIDENCY OF GERMÁN RIESCO, 1901-1906 48 49 50 51 51 52 53 54 Graph: 14.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Graph: 14.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Graph: 14.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 15. PRESIDENCY OF PEDRO MONTT, 1906-1910 54 55 56 57 Graph: 15.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Graph: 15.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Graph: 15.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 16. PRESIDENCY OF RAMÓN BARROS LUCO, 1910-1915 57 58 59 60 Graph: 16.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Graph: 16.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Graph: 16.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 17. PRESIDENCY OF JUAN LUIS SANFUENTES, 1915-1920 60 61 62 63 Graph: 17.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Graph: 17.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Graph: 17.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 18. PRESIDENCY OF ARTURO ALESSANDRI PALMA, 1920-1924 63 64 65 66 Graph: 18.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Graph: 18.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Graph: 18.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 19. PRESIDENCY OF EMILIANO FIGUEROA LARRAÍN, December 23, 1925-May 10, 1927 Graph: 19.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Graph: 19.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Graph: 19.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 20. PRESIDENCY (MILITARY DICTATORSHIP) OF CARLOS IBÁÑEZ DEL CAMPO, 1928-1931 Graph: 20.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Graph: 20.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Graph: 20.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 21. PRESIDENCY OF JUAN ESTEBAN MONTERO RODRÍGUEZ, JULY 1931 - JUNE 1932 Graph: 21.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Graph: 21.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Graph: 21.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 22. SECOND PRESIDENCY OF ARTURO ALESSANDRI PALMA, 1932-1938 Graph: 22.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Graph: 22.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Graph: 22.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 23. PRESIDENCY OF PEDRO AGUIRRE CERDA, 1938-1941 66 67 68 69 69 70 71 72 72 73 74 75 75 76 77 79 79 80 81 82 Graph: 23.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Graph: 23.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other 7 82 83 Graph: 23.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 84 24. PRESIDENCY OF JUAN ANTONIO RÍOS, 1942-1946 86 Graph: 24.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Graph: 24.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Graph: 24.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 25. PRESIDENCY OF GABRIEL GONZÁLEZ VIDELA, 1946-1952 87 88 89 90 Graph: 25.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Graph: 25.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Graph: 25.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 26. PRESIDENCY OF CARLOS IBÁÑEZ DEL CAMPO, 1952-1958 91 92 93 94 Graph: 26.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Graph: 26.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Graph: 26.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 27. PRESIDENCY OF JORGE ALESSANDRI RODRÍGUEZ, 1958-1964 95 96 97 98 Graph: 27.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Graph: 27.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Graph: 27.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 28. PRESIDENCY OF EDUARDO FREI MONTALVA, 1964-1970 99 100 101 102 Graph: 28.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Graph: 28.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Graph: 28.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 29. PRESIDENCY OF SALVADOR ALLENDE, 1970-1973 104 105 106 106 Graph: 29.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Graph: 29.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Graph: 29.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 30. TWO-TERM PRESIDENCY (MILITARY DICTATORSHIP) OF AUGUSTO PINOCHET UGARTE, 1973-1990 Graph: 30.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Graph: 30.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Graph: 30.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 31. PRESIDENCY OF PATRICIO AYLWIN AZÓCAR, 1990-1994 108 109 111 113 114 116 117 120 Graph: 31.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Graph: 31.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Graph: 31.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 32. PRESIDENCY OF EDUARDO FREI RUÍZ-TAGLE, 1994-2000 120 121 122 124 Graph: 32.1: Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Graph: 32.2: GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other Graph: 32.3: Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) 8 124 125 126 Part II Part III Part IV Part V ??? ??? ??? ??? 9 INTRODUCTION Chile’s (the origin of its name may be the Aymarà word chilli which denotes “place where the earth ends”) spectacular landscape (286,396 square miles of luscious valleys, glimmering glaciers, scorched desserts, scenic fjords, forbidding as well as inviting olympian mountain ranges, polychromatic, famed, lakes and endless pampas) borders Peru in the north with an area dominated by the immense Atacama Desert, and is separated from Bolivia, on the northeast, and Argentina on the east, by the largely snowcapped Andean Cordillera, the world’s second highest mountain after the Himalayas. The historical territorial boundary of Chile’s economy and its collective market expands over time and is subject of often monumental, structural transformations. Although, according to archeologists, Chile experiences the arrival of the first humans during 13,000-10,000 B.C., and the Chinchorro culture emerges in coastal areas of the north in 2000 B.C., establishment of significant human settlements primarily dates to 500 A.D. During 600-1000 A.D., the Tiahuanaco culture exerts significant influence on the inhabitants of northern Chile. The historical origins of Chile’s economic, social and political structure and its collective market are profoundly shaped by the Inca conquest of Indian communities north of the Rio Maule during 14701535. The Incas use their coercive state power to impose a labor tribute on the conquered tribes, including gold mining. Collective markets are marked by social disharmony as freedom, dominance, creation of income and accumulation of wealth by the Incas are gained at the expense of native Chilean Indian tribes which are subjected to domination, exploitation and discrimination. In order to better comprehend the historical interplay between geography and economy, including collective markets, a brief introduction to its geographic regions is desirable. From the west, the Pacific Ocean border, with its 2,653 mile coastline, makes Chile’s north-south range the greatest inhabited one of any country in the world. The first of three, west to east, parallel belts, is a low coastal range which rarely rises above 3,000 feet. A second belt is formed by the rich, longitudinal Central Valley. The third belt is formed by the imposing central Andean chain, with twenty peaks rising to 20,000 feet above sea level. From north to south, Chile is composed of four geographic regions. The North, which is divided into the Norte Grande (Great North) and the Norte Chico (Little North). The Center, or Valle Central (Central Valley), which is first explored by Diego de Almagro during 1535-36. In 1541, Pedro de Valdivia leads an expedition and founds Santiago, February 12, 1541. Mapuche Indians become a permanent irrirant, destroying the city in September, which is rebuilt by Valdivia. The domain of the 10 Spanish Crown expands in the Central Valley as the government of Valdivia establishes, during 1550-53, the towns of Concepción, Valdivia, Villarica, and Angol, and creates the forts of Arance, Tucapel, and Purèn. Pedro de Valdivia is captured and executed in 1553 at Tucapel by Mapuche troops led by Lautaro. In 1557, Lautaro is defeated and killed by Francisco de Villagra at Peteroa. Migration and settlements by Europeans lead to land dispossession, expulsion and dislocation of Mapuche and other indigenous peoples throughout Chile beginning in 1541. OVERVIEW 1810-1999 The long term percentage rate of increase in gross internal product per capita during 1810-1995 is 1.4%. It is, however, only 1.06% during 1810-1878, but an impressive 2.95% during 1978-1995. Furthermore, the percentage rate of increase of exports per capita is 2.33% during 1810-1995, 2.51% during 1810-1878, a dismal -0.46% during 1938-1970, and an even worse -0.70% during 1946-1970. In contrast, it rises to a phenomenal 6.59% during 1978-1995. In addition, the annual percentage rate of inflation is 18.55% during 1810-1995, only 0.49% during 1810-1878, less than 6.0% during 1880-1929, above 25% during 1938-1970, and below 5.0% since 2000. Moreover, of the eleven recessions or depressions between 1833 and 1999, as measured by the percentage decline in gross internal product, which is given in parentheses, seven occur during 1833-1929: 1861-1862 (-2.1%), 1876-1877 (-7.2%), 1883-1885 (-6.0%), 1896-1897 (-3.9%), 1899-1900 (-4.0%), 1914-1915 (-20.3%), and 1926-1927 (12.3%); one, and the worst, during 1930-1932 (-46.5%); only one, in 1964-1965 (-1.8%), between 1933 and 1971. And, finally, between 1972 and 1999, two strong ones, first during 1972-1975 (-23.3%), and then, again, during 1982-1983 (-18.8%). Why is the Chilean growth rate of per capita output only 1.4% during 1810-1995? Why is it below the growth rate of such developed nations as the United States, England, and France? Why is Chile’s per capita output growth rate uniformly low during both the 1833-1930 and the 1931-1973 periods? Why does this growth rate reach historically unprecedented high levels during 1975-2006 and, especially, after 1990? Why is inflation minimal during 1810-1878, but accelerates during 1935-1974, and recedes in recent years? What causes inflation and how does it affect output growth and the pursuit of good life? Why do exports experience positive growth during 1810-1929, negative growth during 1938-1970, and a phenomenal expansion after 1978? Why do most of the recessions-depressions occur before 1932, only one during 1933-1970, and two since 1971? 11 The economic development of Chile, both before and after Independence, has been inexorably linked to, as well as determined by, the degree of efficiency of its collective services markets. Any attempt, therefore, to answer these questions requires a systematic examination and understanding of the essence and existence of collective services markets. Collective services markets need to be examined because they are the arena within which the moral collective services of safety, security, and protection of life, safety, security, and protection of private property, freedom (political as well as economic), equal treatment by government, social harmony and environmental protection are, or are not, produced. Production of the collective service of political freedom determines the degree of satisfaction of the moral collective need for political freedom, which is the foundational stone of procedural democracy. Furthermore, production of the moral collective services of safety, security, and protection of life and private property, economic freedom, equal treatment by government, social harmony, and environmental protection, determines the degree of satisfaction of the corresponding moral collective needs which define the essence of civil society. Furthermore, unless both procedural democracy (the groom) and civil society (the bride) are strong and close enough, sustainable democracy and growth can not materialize. It is the nature of collective services, which are produced within the collective markets, that determines the efficiency of the markets producing individual (food, clothing, and shelter), semipublic (education, health, and welfare), and collective (public administration and defense) composite commodities, as well as agricultural, industrial (including construction, gas, water, and electricity) and service (health, education, welfare, transportation and communication, ownership of dwellings, storage and financial, business and government) value added components of these composite commodities. It also determines the efficiency of markets where labor and property endowments and their respective factor services are demanded and supplied, and factor incomes and endowments are created. They also shape the behavior and participation of all institutional units (persons and legal or social entities, i.e. corporations, non-profit institutions -NPI- and government units) and sectors (financial and non-financial corporations, non-profit institutions serving households –NPISHS-, general government and households) in the processes of production, distribution of income (primary distribution of income-generation of income and allocation of primary income-, secondary distribution, redistribution in kind, quartic distribution of collective consumption), use of income and accumulation. A Chilean economic historiography can not be complete unless it examines, among other, the unique evolution, including devolution, of the collective services markets. What is unique in Chile during 1800 and 2006 is the relationship between enlightened moral/immoral collective markets and other 12 enlightened moral/immoral markets leading to the satisfaction of final and “means” (to satisfy final) needs. What is unique is, on the one hand, the constellation of moral/immoral, real, collective outputs produced and collective needs satisfied, and, how this ever-changing constellation impacts upon, and/or, is shaped by, the constellation of moral/immoral, real, non-collective, output-means produced and final and “means” needs satisfied. Furthermore, what is also unique in Chile is the two-way relationship between collective and other markets, on the one hand, and such prominent variables as output, income, population, exports, imports, public revenues and expenditures, and institutional units and sectors, on the other hand. The history of collective markets and the degree of satisfaction of (moral/immoral) collective needs is inseparable from the history of all other markets and the degree of satisfaction of other (moral/immoral) needs. These two economic histories reveal the central, complementary dimensions of overall economic, social, political, and legal evolution of Chile. A building has a bedroom, a living room, a kitchen, a bathroom; has doors, windows, plumbing, heating, stairs, walls, floors and so forth. Each part of the building is subject of study by a specialist, or a group of specialists. In addition to the “part” specialists, there also exist the “whole” structure-buildingedifice specialists, who are normally called generalists. They are the “polymathies” who have to know each part of the building, how each part relates to all others, how the “life” of one part shapes the life of all the other parts and of the “whole”. The same holds true of economists and economic historians. There are “parts”-economists and economists-of-the-“whole”. An economic history of Chile requires a “whole” analysis. It also must go beyond the “what is”, the “how” and “when” (the so-called positive economics) and examine the “why” and the “what ought to be” (normative dimension). Examination of the collective markets reveals the inseparability of “what is”, the positive aspects, and the “what ought to be”, normative dimensions. The gap between actual, and desirable, recognition and satisfaction of collective needs integrates the positive, “what is”, element, with the normative, “what ought to be”, dimension. Unless a collective need, e.g. freedom, is satisfied, “what ought to be”, the consequentialist aspect, the freedom necessary for development, does not exist, i.e. the procedural part, “what is”, will be missing. The collective markets serve to answer the fundamental question of “why” Chilean development was inadequate and “how” this situation can be remedied. They provide the strategic, explanatory, in general, and economic history in particular, “lessons” of history. National accounts statistics, including those of per capita income, which serve as indicators of economic welfare and good life, do not take explicit account of collective markets, needs, and services, due to lack of adequate, explanatory underlying theory. The neglect of collective markets, which are the 13 heart and brain of the economic organism and riddle, has prevented attainment of an adequate understanding of key dynamics of historical processes. It has also been responsible for imperfect recognition of fundamental causalities and interdependencies between markets, and defective, remedial developmental strategies. The focus of the present historical overview of the Chilean economy on the crucial role of collective markets aims to provide, at least in part, a fundamental missing piece of the history of the economic development puzzle. PART I 1800-1930 INDEPENDENCE AND INCORPORATION INTO THE GLOBAL ECONOMY ASCENT AND RETREAT OF EMBRYONIC LIBERALISM. CHILEAN COLLECTIVE MARKET EXCEPTIONALISM IN THE GRADUAL CREATION OF PROCEDURAL DEMOCRACY AND CIVIL SOCIETY SELECTIVE REPLACEMENT OF COLONIAL COMPONEMTS OF COLLECTIVE MARKETS BY PATRIOTIC ONES LOW PRODUCTIVITY AND INCOME GROWTH 14 1 1810-1817, PATRIA VIEJA (1810-1814) AND SPANISH RECONQUEST (1814-1817) Table: 1.1 1810-1817, PATRIA VIEJA (1810-1814) AND SPANISH RECONQUEST (1814-1817) Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual rate of Growth (%) 1810 1811 0.4 0.9 4.3 1812 1813 0.4 0.4 -0.2 1.0 2.8 4.1 1814 1815 1816 1817 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 -0.2 0.3 1.1 0.7 2.3 2.5 3.0 2.3 Average 0.4 0.5 3.0 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) Graph 1.1 1810-1817, PATRIA VIEJA (1810-1814) AND SPANISH RECONQUEST (1814-1817) Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment 4.5 4 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 -0.5 Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) 1817 1816 1815 1814 1813 1812 1811 1810 Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment in Millions of 1996 Pesos. To be referred to henceforth as RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) 15 Table: 1.2 1810-1817, PATRIA VIEJA (1810-1814) AND SPANISH RECONQUEST (1814-1817) GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other GDP 1810 1811 1812 1813 1814 1815 1816 1817 Average Agriculture Mining Manufacturing Other Sectors Government Services Construction Commerce Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) 116.5 117.0 117.5 118.0 118.5 119.0 119.5 120.0 118.3 Reference: Cap1_0 Series. Sheet1: Real GDP by SEA. Pp. 28-39 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-39) Graph 1.2 1810-1817, PATRIA VIEJA (1810-1814) AND SPANISH RECONQUEST (1814-1817) GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity 121.0 GDP 120.0 Agriculture Mining 119.0 Manufacturing 118.0 Other Sectors 117.0 Government Services 116.0 Construction 115.0 Commerce 1817 1816 1815 1814 1813 1812 1811 1810 114.0 Reference: Cap 1_0 Series: Sheet PIBRealporActividad; [GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity. To be referred henceforth as GDP by SEA in Millions of 1996 Pesos (Pp. 28-39)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-39) 16 Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) Table: 1.3 1810-1817, PATRIA VIEJA (1810-1814) AND SPANISH RECONQUEST (1814-1817) Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports Private Consumption (1) Government Consumption (2) 1810 1811 1812 1813 1814 1815 1816 1817 Average Gross Fixed Capital Formation (1)+(3)* 27.9 25.1 22.2 19.4 16.8 14.6 12.7 11.1 18.7 Exports (4) Imports (5) 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.0 3.2 3.8 3.1 3.8 3.2 3.1 3.9 4.4 3.6 1+2+3+4-5 (6) Real GDP (7) Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) Reference: Cap2_0 Series, Sheet2: GPIBReal. Pp. 121-127 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) Graph 1.3 1810-1817, PATRIA VIEJA (1810-1814) AND SPANISH RECONQUEST (1814-1817) Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports Private Consumption (1) 30 Government Consumption (2) 25 Gross Fixed Capital Formation (1)+(3)* Exports (4) 20 15 Imports (5) 10 1+2+3+4-5 (6) 5 Real GDP (7) 1817 1816 1815 1814 1813 1812 1811 1810 0 Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GBIPReal; [Annual Expenditure on Gross Domestic Product: Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports, in Millions of 1996 Pesos. To be referred to henceforth as AEGDP. (Pp. 121-125, 130)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) 17 2 PRESIDENCY (DICTATORSHP) OF BERNARDO O’HIGGINS, 1817-1823 Table: 2.1 PRESIDENCY (DICTATORSHP) OF BERNARDO O’HIGGINS, 1817-1823 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) 1817 0.4 0.7 2.3 1818 1.7 2.3 -1.8 1819 -2.1 -1.3 2.6 1820 2.1 3.4 1.4 1821 -2.2 -0.4 0.3 1822 2.9 3.2 -0.8 1823 1.9 -0.8 2.6 Average 0.7 1.0 0.9 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) Graph: 2.1 PRESIDENCY (DICTATORSHP) OF BERNARDO O’HIGGINS, 1817-1823 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment 4 Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) 3 2 1 Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) 0 -1 -2 Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) 18 1823 1822 1821 1820 1819 1818 1817 -3 Table: 2.2 PRESIDENCY (DICTATORSHP) OF BERNARDO O’HIGGINS, 1817-1823 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other GDP 1817 1818 1819 1820 1821 1822 1823 Average Agriculture Mining Manufacturing Other Sectors Government Services Construction Commerce Services (Electricit y, Gas and Water) 120.0 122.1 119.5 122.1 119.4 122.8 125.1 121.6 Reference: Cap1_0 Series. Sheet1: Real GDP by SEA. Pp. 28-35 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) Graph: 2.2 PRESIDENCY (DICTATORSHP) OF BERNARDO O’HIGGINS, 1817-1823 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity 126.0 GDP 125.0 Agriculture 124.0 Mining 123.0 122.0 Manufacturing 121.0 Other Sectors 120.0 Government Services 119.0 Construction 118.0 Commerce 117.0 Reference: Cap 1_0 Series: Sheet PIBRealporActividad; [GDP by SEA (Pp. 28-35)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) 19 1823 1822 1821 1820 1819 1818 1817 116.0 Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) Table: 2.3 PRESIDENCY (DICTATORSHP) OF BERNARDO O’HIGGINS, 1817-1823 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports Private Consumption (1) Government Consumption (2) Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) Imports (5) 1+2+3+4-5 (6) Real GDP (7) Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) 11.1 2.3 4.4 15.9 2.3 5.2 11.6 2.3 6.2 14.3 2.4 7.9 13.3 2.1 9.8 18.4 1.8 10.2 14.4 2.1 7.0 14.1 2.2 7.2 Reference: Cap2_0 Series, Sheet2: GPIBReal. Pp. 121-127 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) 1817 1818 1819 1820 1821 1822 1823 Average Graph: 2.3 PRESIDENCY (DICTATORSHP) OF BERNARDO O’HIGGINS, 1817-1823 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports 20.0 Private Consumption (1) 18.0 Government Consumption (2) 16.0 Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) 14.0 12.0 10.0 Imports (5) 8.0 6.0 1+2+3+4-5 4.0 Real GDP (7) 2.0 (6) Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GBIP Real; [AEGDP. (Pp. 121-127)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) 20 1823 1822 1821 1820 1819 1818 1817 0.0 3 PRESIDENCIES, DICTATORSHIPS, GOVERNMENTS OF RAMÓN FREIRE AND OTHERS, 1823 1831 Table: 3.1 PRESIDENCIES, DICTATORSHIPS, GOVERNMENT OF RAMÓN FREIRE AND OTHERS, 1823-1831 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) 1823 1824 1825 1826 1827 1828 1829 1830 1831 Average 1.9 -0.2 5.3 3.0 2.7 1.5 2.8 0.6 2.0 2.2 Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) -0.8 -0.5 4.5 3.7 2.5 1.5 2.6 -0.2 2.1 1.7 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) 2.6 1.1 0.1 3.9 1.8 2.5 2.0 1.1 3.1 2.0 Graph: 3.1 PRESIDENCIES, DICTATORSHIPS, GOVERNMENT OF RAMÓN FREIRE AND OTHERS, 1823-1831 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment, 1823-1831 6.00 Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) 5.00 4.00 3.00 Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) 2.00 1.00 0.00 Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) -1.00 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) 21 1831 1830 1829 1828 1827 1826 1825 1824 1823 -2.00 Table: 3.2 PRESIDENCIES, DICTATORSHIPS, GOVERNMENT OF RAMÓN FREIRE AND OTHERS, 1823-1831 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other GDP 1823 125.1 1824 124.9 1825 131.5 1826 135.6 1827 139.2 1828 141.3 1829 145.2 1830 146.1 1831 149.1 Average 128.8 Agriculture Mining Manufacturing Other Sectors Government Services Construction Commerce Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) | Reference: Cap1_0 Series. Sheet1: Real GDP by SEA. Pp. 28-35 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) Graph: 3.2 PRESIDENCIES, DICTATORSHIPS, GOVERNMENT OF RAMÓN FREIRE AND OTHERS, 1823-1831 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity 160.0 GDP 140.0 Agriculture 120.0 Mining 100.0 Manufacturing 80.0 Other Sectors Government Services 60.0 Construction 40.0 Commerce 20.0 Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) Reference: Cap 1_0 Series: Sheet PIBRealporActividad; [GDP by SEA (Pp. 28-35)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) 22 1831 1830 1829 1828 1827 1826 1825 1824 1823 0.0 Table: 3.3 PRESIDENCIES, DICTATORSHIPS, GOVERNMENT OF RAMÓN FREIRE AND OTHERS, 1823-1831 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports Private Consumption (1) Government Consumption (2) 1823 1824 1825 1826 1827 1828 1829 1830 1831 Average Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) Imports (5) 2.1 2.3 3.0 3.5 3.8 4.1 4.4 4.8 5.0 3.7 7.0 6.9 6.8 8.3 8.5 8.9 9.1 7.9 8.7 8.0 14.4 12.5 18.2 18.7 20.0 19.1 20.4 18.7 17.9 17.8 1+2+3+4-5 (6) Real GDP (7) Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) Reference: Cap2_0 Series, Sheet2: GPIBReal. Pp. 121-127 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) Graph: 3.3 PRESIDENCIES, DICTATORSHIPS, GOVERNMENT OF RAMÓN FREIRE AND OTHERS, 1823-1831 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports 25 Private Consumption (1) Government Consumption (2) 20 Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) 15 Imports (5) 10 1+2+3+4-5 (6) Real GDP (7) 5 Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GBIP Real; [AEGDP. (Pp. 121-127)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) 23 1831 1830 1829 1828 1827 1826 1825 1824 1823 0 4 TWO TERM PRESIDENCY OF JOSÉ JOAQUÍN PRIETO VIAL, 1831-1841 Table: 4.1 TWO TERM PRESIDENCY OF JOSÉ JOAQUÍN PRIETO VIAL, 1831-1841 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) 2.0 2.1 3.5 3.6 1.7 2.7 4.3 4.1 4.3 4.8 1.3 0.3 4.4 5.5 2.4 1.2 2.1 2.1 7.2 6.9 2.1 2.9 3.2 3.3 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) 1831 1832 1833 1834 1835 1836 1837 1838 1839 1840 1841 Average 3.1 2.7 2.1 3.9 4.0 2.3 4.4 2.3 3.7 5.7 3.4 3.4 Graph: 4.1 TWO TERM PRESIDENCY OF JOSÉ JOAQUÍN PRIETO VIAL, 1831-1841 . Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment 8.00 7.00 6.00 5.00 4.00 3.00 2.00 1.00 0.00 Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) 24 1841 1840 1839 1838 1837 1836 1835 1834 1833 1832 1831 Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) Table: 4.2 TWO TERM PRESIDENCY OF JOSÉ JOAQUÍN PRIETO VIAL, 1831-1841 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other GDP 1831 1832 1833 1834 1835 1836 1837 1838 1839 1840 1841 Average Agriculture Mining Manufacturing Other Sectors Government Services Construction Commerce Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) 149.1 154.3 156.9 163.6 170.7 172.8 180.4 184.8 188.7 202.3 206.4 175.5 Reference: Cap1_0 Series. Sheet1: Real GDP by SEA. Pp. 28-35 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) Graph: 4.2 TWO TERM PRESIDENCY OF JOSÉ JOAQUÍN PRIETO VIAL, 1831-1841 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity 250.0 GDP Agriculture 200.0 Mining Manufacturing 150.0 Other Sectors 100.0 Government Services Construction 50.0 Commerce Reference: Cap 1_0 Series: Sheet PIBRealporActividad; [GDP by SEA (Pp. 28-35)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) 25 1841 1840 1839 1838 1837 1836 1835 1834 1833 1832 1831 0.0 Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) Table: 4.3 TWO TERM PRESIDENCY OF JOSÉ JOAQUÍN PRIETO VIAL, 1831-1841 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports Private Consumption (1) Government Consumption (2) 1831 1832 1833 1834 1835 1836 1837 1838 1839 1840 1841 Average Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) Imports (5) 1+2+3+4-5 (6) Real GDP (7) Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) 17.9 5.0 8.7 19.8 5.5 9.5 21.2 5.2 10.9 22.3 5.7 11.4 24.5 6.1 12.8 21.5 6.2 11.3 24.5 6.0 13.8 22.8 6.8 12.0 20.7 7.2 12.5 24.2 9.0 14.2 24.1 8.8 15.9 22.1 6.5 12.1 Reference: Cap2_0 Series, Sheet2: GPIBReal. Pp. 121-127 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) Graph: 4.3 TWO TERM PRESIDENCY OF JOSÉ JOAQUÍN PRIETO VIAL, 1831-1841 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports 30 Private Consumption (1) 25 Government Consumption (2) 20 Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) 15 Imports (5) 10 1+2+3+4-5 (6) Real GDP (7) 5 Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GBIP Real; [AEGDP. (Pp. 121-127)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) 26 1841 1840 1839 1838 1837 1836 1835 1834 1833 1832 1831 0 5 TWO-TERM PRESIDENCY OF MANUEL BULNES, 1841-1851 Table: 5.1 TWO-TERM PRESIDENCY OF MANUEL BULNES, 1841-1851 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) 1841 1842 1843 1844 1845 1846 1847 1848 1849 1850 1851 Average Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) 2.1 2.9 3.0 3.9 3.8 4.7 2.2 2.5 3.7 2.1 4.1 5.2 2.8 2.4 4.8 3.8 7.8 8.6 5.8 5.2 3.4 7.3 4.0 4.4 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) 3.4 4.0 3.1 1.9 1.6 6.4 2.6 2.1 9.2 4.8 6.4 4.1 Graph: 5.1 TWO-TERM PRESIDENCY OF MANUEL BULNES, 1841-1851 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment 10.00 9.00 8.00 7.00 6.00 5.00 4.00 3.00 2.00 1.00 0.00 Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) 27 1851 1850 1849 1848 1847 1846 1845 1844 1843 1842 1841 Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) Table: 5.2 TWO-TERM PRESIDENCY OF MANUEL BULNES, 1841-1851 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other GDP 1841 1842 1843 1844 1845 1846 1847 1848 1849 1850 1851 Average Agriculture Mining Manufacturing Other Sectors Government Services Construction Commerce Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) 206.4 212.7 220.8 225.6 234.0 243.6 250.6 262.6 283.2 299.7 310.0 249.9 Reference: Cap1_0 Series. Sheet1: Real GDP by SEA. Pp. 28-35 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) Graph: 5.2 TWO-TERM PRESIDENCY OF MANUEL BULNES, 1841-1851 Sectors of Economic Activity 350.0 GDP 300.0 Agriculture Mining 250.0 Manufacturing 200.0 Other Sectors 150.0 Government Services 100.0 Construction 50.0 Commerce Reference: Cap 1_0 Series: Sheet PIBRealporActividad; [GDP by SEA (Pp. 28-35)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) 28 1851 1850 1849 1848 1847 1846 1845 1844 1843 1842 1841 0.0 Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) Table: 5.3 TWO-TERM PRESIDENCY OF MANUEL BULNES, 1841-1851 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports Government Consumption (2) Private Consumption (1) 1841 1842 1843 1844 1845 1846 1847 1848 1849 1850 1851 Average Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) Imports (5) 1+2+3+4-5 (6) Real GDP (7) Residual (7-6)/7% (8) 24.1 8.8 15.8 24.9 9.1 18.2 29.1 8.9 20.2 31.0 8.3 20.6 32.7 8.7 17.6 31.9 10.0 22.1 32.2 10.3 21.6 37.2 10.0 20.1 38.9 15.7 27.6 42.1 19.0 29.8 47.5 18.6 41.8 33.8 11.6 23.2 Reference: Cap2_0 Series, Sheet2: GPIBReal. Pp. 121-127 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) Graph: 5.3 TWO-TERM PRESIDENCY OF MANUEL BULNES, 1841-1851 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports 50 Private Consumption (1) 45 40 Government Consumption (2) 35 Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) 30 25 Exports (4) 20 Imports (5) 15 1+2+3+4-5 10 5 (6) Real GDP (7) Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GBIP Real; [AEGDP. (Pp. 121-127)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) 29 1851 1850 1849 1848 1847 1846 1845 1844 1843 1842 1841 0 Residual (7-6)/7% (8) 6 TWO-TERM PRESIDENCY OF MANUEL MONTT, 1851-1861 Table: 6.1 TWO-TERM PRESIDENCY OF MANUEL MONTT, 1851-1861 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) 3.4 7.3 3.7 1.9 -1.5 -4.3 3.5 5.4 5.2 4.7 1.8 3.1 3.9 3.0 5.0 4.4 3.9 3.1 4.0 3.6 0.6 0.0 3.1 2.9 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) 1851 1852 1853 1854 1855 1856 1857 1858 1859 1860 1861 Average 6.4 2.1 -3.8 5.1 5.9 3.2 3.2 2.2 2.9 6.3 1.1 3.2 Graph: 6.1 TWO-TERM PRESIDENCY OF MANUEL MONTT, 1851-1861 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment 8.00 Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) 6.00 4.00 Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) 2.00 0.00 -2.00 -4.00 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) 30 1861 1860 1859 1858 1857 1856 1855 1854 1853 1852 1851 -6.00 Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) Table: 6.2 TWO-TERM PRESIDENCY OF MANUEL MONTT, 1851-1861 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other 1851 1852 1853 1854 1855 1856 1857 1858 1859 1860 1861 Average GDP Agriculture 310.0 321.3 316.3 327.6 344.8 351.1 364.9 383.3 398.3 414.3 417.0 359.0 68.1 70.1 69.1 Mining Manufacturing Other Sectors Government Services Construction Commerce Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) 33.5 49.5 263.2 9.3 31.8 50.8 264.3 8.1 31.8 50.2 263.8 8.7 Reference: Cap1_0 Series. Sheet1: Real GDP by SEA. Pp. 28-35 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) Graph: 6.2 TWO-TERM PRESIDENCY OF MANUEL MONTT, 1851-1861 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity 450.0 GDP 400.0 Agriculture 350.0 Mining 300.0 Manufacturing 250.0 Other Sectors 200.0 Government Services 150.0 Construction 100.0 Commerce 50.0 Reference: Cap 1_0 Series: Sheet PIBRealporActividad; [GDP by SEA (Pp. 28-35)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) 31 1861 1860 1859 1858 1857 1856 1855 1854 1853 1852 1851 0.0 Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) Table: 6.3 TWO-TERM PRESIDENCY OF MANUEL MONTT, 1851-1861 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports Private Consumption (1) Government Consumption (2) 1851 1852 1853 1854 1855 1856 1857 1858 1859 1860 1861 Average Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) Imports (5) 1+2+3+4-5 (6) Real GDP (7) Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) 47.5 18.6 41.8 47.9 20.3 38.5 44.4 15.9 24.4 47.6 16.3 31.2 46.3 20.6 34.5 47.4 19.4 38.0 48.2 21.4 37.4 57.5 22.6 36.9 60.0 24.4 36.1 52.4 30.6 41.0 48.5 24.3 32.1 49.8 21.3 35.6 Reference: Cap2_0 Series, Sheet2: GPIBReal. Pp. 121-127 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) Graph: 6.3 TWO-TERM PRESIDENCY OF MANUEL MONTT, 1851-1861 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports 70 Private Consumption (1) 60 Government Consumption (2) 50 Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) 40 Exports (4) 30 Imports (5) 20 1+2+3+4-5 10 Real GDP (7) Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GBIP Real; [AEGDP. (Pp. 121-127)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) 32 1861 1860 1859 1858 1857 1856 1855 1854 1853 1852 1851 0 (6) Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) 7 TWO-TERM PRESIDENCY OF JOSÉ JOAQUÍN PÉREZ, 1861-1871 Table: 7.1 TWO-TERM PRESIDENCY OF JOSÉ JOAQUÍN PÉREZ, 1861-1871 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.1 4.4 5.0 5.9 3.6 4.0 5.7 2.7 0.9 -3.4 -1.0 5.6 5.8 10.6 9.4 2.7 5.4 0.3 -1.4 3.1 3.1 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) 1861 1862 1863 1864 1865 1866 1867 1868 1869 1870 1871 Average 1.1 0.8 4.8 2.3 2.7 -3.8 -1.6 8.9 11.7 5.7 -1.1 2.9 Graph: 7.1 TWO-TERM PRESIDENCY OF JOSÉ JOAQUÍN PÉREZ, 1861-1871 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment 14.00 Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) 12.00 10.00 8.00 6.00 Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) 4.00 2.00 0.00 Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) -2.00 -4.00 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) 33 1871 1870 1869 1868 1867 1866 1865 1864 1863 1862 1861 -6.00 Table: 7.2 TWO-TERM PRESIDENCY OF JOSÉ JOAQUÍN PÉREZ, 1861-1871 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other 1861 1862 1863 1864 1865 1866 1867 1868 1869 1870 1871 Average GDP Agriculture 416.9 418.0 436.5 462.4 480.8 494.0 477.3 504.0 557.5 572.4 573.9 490.3 70.1 67.8 75.4 75.6 79.1 79.9 78.5 83.5 88.6 87.4 95.5 80.1 Mining Manufacturing Other Sectors Government Services Construction Commerce Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) 31.8 50.8 264.3 8.1 33.7 52.2 264.3 7.9 29.3 53.7 278.1 8.8 38.3 55.3 293.1 9.9 36.5 56.9 308.4 13.2 31.8 59.8 322.5 18.1 42.4 46.8 309.6 18.8 42.0 53.4 325.0 17.0 51.0 61.8 356.0 16.2 43.5 73.1 368.4 17.0 39.9 68.0 370.4 17.2 38.2 57.4 314.6 13.8 Reference: Cap1_0 Series. Sheet1: Real GDP by SEA. Pp. 28-35 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) Graph: 7.2 TWO-TERM PRESIDENCY OF JOSÉ JOAQUÍN PÉREZ, 1861-1871 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity 700.0 GDP 600.0 Agriculture 500.0 Mining Manufacturing 400.0 Other Sectors 300.0 Government Services 200.0 Construction 100.0 Commerce Reference: Cap 1_0 Series: Sheet PIBRealporActividad; [GDP by SEA (Pp. 28-35)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) 34 1871 1870 1869 1868 1867 1866 1865 1864 1863 1862 1861 0.0 Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) Table: 7.3 TWO-TERM PRESIDENCY OF JOSÉ JOAQUÍN PÉREZ, 1861-1871 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports Private Consumption (1) Government Consumption (2) 1861 1862 1863 1864 1865 1866 1867 1868 1869 1870 1871 Average Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) Imports (5) 1+2+3+4-5 (6) Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) Real GDP (7) 48.5 24.3 32.1 46.0 26.6 33.9 49.0 28.9 38.9 56.0 37.2 37.5 71.2 36.3 44.3 91.4 39.8 39.0 93.3 42.7 53.8 86.3 46.4 59.2 84.4 54.0 62.0 87.8 42.2 65.9 85.3 48.4 62.5 72.7 38.8 48.1 Reference: Cap2_0 Series, Sheet2: GPIBReal. Pp. 121-127 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) Graph: 7.3 TWO-TERM PRESIDENCY OF JOSÉ JOAQUÍN PÉREZ, 1861-1871 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports 100 Private Consumption (1) 90 Government Consumption (2) 80 70 Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) 60 50 40 Imports (5) 30 1+2+3+4-5 20 10 (6) Real GDP (7) Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GBIP Real; [AEGDP. (Pp. 121-125)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-125) 35 1871 1870 1869 1868 1867 1866 1865 1864 1863 1862 1861 0 Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) 8 PRESIDENCY OF FEDERICO ERRÁZURIZ ZAÑARTU, 1871-1876 Table: 8.1 PRESIDENCY OF FEDERICO ERRÁZURIZ ZAÑARTU, 1871-1876 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) 1871 1872 1873 1874 1875 1876 Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) 0.3 -1.4 7.5 9.4 6.7 7.2 -4.2 -5.1 8.3 9.7 -1.0 -0.8 2.9 3.2 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) Average -1.1 10.7 7.6 -9.7 12.1 0.3 3.3 Graph: 8.1 PRESIDENCY OF FEDERICO ERRÁZURIZ ZAÑARTU, 1871-1876 Rates of Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment 15.00 Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) 10.00 5.00 Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) 0.00 -5.00 Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) -10.00 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) 36 1876 1875 1874 1873 1872 1871 -15.00 Table: 8.2 PRESIDENCY OF FEDERICO ERRÁZURIZ ZAÑARTU, 1871-1876 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other 1871 1872 1873 1874 1875 1876 Average GDP Agriculture 573.9 617.1 658.3 631.0 683.4 676.2 640.0 95.5 94.8 108.9 96.0 99.8 93.9 98.2 Mining Manufacturing Other Sectors Government Services Construction Commerce Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) 39.9 68.0 370.4 17.2 52.2 74.2 396.0 18.8 48.3 76.1 425.1 20.7 59.4 64.2 410.6 27.3 56.0 83.2 444.5 26.7 60.1 85.5 436.7 24.3 52.7 75.2 413.9 22.5 Reference: Cap1_0 Series. Sheet1: Real GDP by SEA. Pp. 28-35 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) Graph: 8.2 PRESIDENCY OF FEDERICO ERRÁZURIZ ZAÑARTU, 1871-1876 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity 800.0 GDP 700.0 Agriculture 600.0 Mining 500.0 Manufacturing 400.0 Other Sectors 300.0 Government Services 200.0 Construction Commerce 100.0 Reference: Cap 1_0 Series: Sheet PIBRealporActividad; [GDP by SEA (Pp. 28-35)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) 37 1876 1875 1874 1873 1872 1871 0.0 Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) Table: 8.3 PRESIDENCY OF FEDERICO ERRÁZURIZ ZAÑARTU, 1871-1876 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports Private Consumption (1) 1871 1872 1873 1874 1875 1876 Average Government Consumption (2) Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) Imports (5) 1+2+3+4-5 (6) Real GDP (7) Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) 85.3 48.4 62.5 86.5 58.1 83.9 90.6 56.7 87.9 113.3 62.6 86.0 111.5 53.2 87.8 104.3 47.4 83.7 98.6 54.4 82.0 Reference: Cap2_0 Series, Sheet2: GPIBReal. Pp. 121-127 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) Graph: 8.3 PRESIDENCY OF FEDERICO ERRÁZURIZ ZAÑARTU, 1871-1876 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports 120.0 Private Consumption (1) Government Consumption (2) Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) 100.0 80.0 60.0 Imports (5) 40.0 1+2+3+4-5 (6) Real GDP (7) 20.0 Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GBIP Real; [AEGDP. (Pp. 121-127)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) 38 1876 1875 1874 1873 1872 1871 0.0 9 PRESIDENCY OF ANÍBAL PINTO, 1876-1881 Table: 9.1 PRESIDENCY OF ANÍBAL PINTO, 1876-1881 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) -1.0 -0.8 -3.2 -4.2 6.1 4.6 15.2 12.8 12.4 11.3 3.5 4.0 5.5 4.6 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) 1876 1877 1878 1879 1880 1881 Average 0.3 -4.1 7.3 10.2 11.7 3.2 4.8 Graph: 9.1 PRESIDENCY OF ANÍBAL PINTO, 1876-1881 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment 20.00 Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) 15.00 10.00 Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) 5.00 0.00 Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) -5.00 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) 39 1881 1880 1879 1878 1877 1876 -10.00 Table: 9.2 PRESIDENCY OF ANÍBAL PINTO, 1876-1881 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other 1876 1877 1878 1879 1880 1881 Average GDP Agriculture 676.2 654.6 694.3 799.9 898.8 930.4 775.7 93.9 83.9 86.4 107.7 113.7 118.8 100.7 Mining Manufacturing Other Sectors Government Services Construction Commerce Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) 60.1 85.5 436.7 24.3 54.0 92.3 424.3 24.0 57.0 106.1 444.9 19.5 63.8 108.8 519.6 29.9 81.6 119.0 584.5 37.1 97.5 110.4 603.7 41.0 69.0 103.7 502.3 29.3 Reference: Cap1_0 Series. Sheet1: Real GDP by SEA. Pp. 28-35 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) Graph: 9.2 PRESIDENCY OF ANÍBAL PINTO, 1876-1881 GDP by Sector of Economic Activity 1,000.0 GDP 900.0 Agriculture 800.0 700.0 Mining 600.0 Manufacturing 500.0 Other Sectors 400.0 Government Services 300.0 200.0 Construction 100.0 Commerce Reference: Cap 1_0 Series: Sheet PIBRealporActividad; [GDP by SEA (Pp. 28-35)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) 40 1881 1880 1879 1878 1877 1876 0.0 Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) Table: 9.3 PRESIDENCY OF ANÍBAL PINTO, 1876-1881 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports Private Consumption (1) 1876 1877 1878 1879 1880 1881 Average Government Consumption (2) Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) Imports (5) 1+2+3+4-5 (6) Real GDP (7) Residual (7-6)/7% (8) 104.3 47.4 83.7 99.3 42.1 70.0 88.4 45.1 64.9 116.3 55.4 61.3 126.7 68.9 67.0 138.2 86.4 88.9 112.2 57.6 72.6 Reference: Cap2_0 Series, Sheet2: GPIBReal. Pp. 121-127 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) Graph: 9.3 PRESIDENCY OF ANÍBAL PINTO, 1876-1881 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports 160 Private Consumption (1) 140 Government Consumption (2) Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) 120 100 80 Imports (5) 60 1+2+3+4-5 40 (6) Real GDP (7) 20 Residual (7-6)/7% (8) Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GBIP Real; [AEGDP. (Pp. 121-127)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) 41 1881 1880 1879 1878 1877 1876 0 10 PRESIDENCY OF DOMINGO SANTA MARÍA, 1881-1886 Table: 10.1 PRESIDENCY OF DOMINGO SANTA MARÍA, 1881-1886 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) 3.5 4.0 8.3 9.0 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.9 -3.0 -4.9 4.2 4.3 2.4 2.5 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) 1881 1882 1883 1884 1885 1886 Average 3.2 6.6 -0.9 3.3 -2.6 0.9 1.7 Graph: 10.1 PRESIDENCY OF DOMINGO SANTA MARÍA, 1881-1886 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment 10.00 8.00 Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) 6.00 4.00 2.00 Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) 0.00 -2.00 -4.00 Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) 42 1886 1885 1884 1883 1882 1881 -6.00 Table: 10.2 PRESIDENCY OF DOMINGO SANTA MARÍA, 1881-1886 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other 1881 1882 1883 1884 1885 1886 Average GDP Agriculture 930.4 1,008.0 1,014.2 1,023.2 992.7 1,034.7 1,000.5 118.9 123.1 110.8 113.2 108.9 103.9 113.1 Mining Manufacturing Other Sectors Government Services Construction Commerce Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) 97.5 110.4 603.7 41.0 121.2 110.5 653.2 48.2 127.9 115.5 660.0 53.1 128.2 122.9 658.8 45.6 113.1 130.9 639.7 41.4 114.1 138.6 678.2 54.4 117.0 121.5 648.9 47.3 Reference: Cap1_0 Series. Sheet1: Real GDP by SEA. Pp. 28-35 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) Graph: 10.2 PRESIDENCY OF DOMINGO SANTA MARÍA, 1881-1886 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity 1,200.0 GDP Agriculture 1,000.0 Mining 800.0 Manufacturing 600.0 Other Sectors Government Services 400.0 Construction 200.0 Commerce Reference: Cap 1_0 Series: Sheet PIBRealporActividad; [GDP by SEA (Pp. 28-35)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) 43 1886 1885 1884 1883 1882 1881 0.0 Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) Table: 10.3 PRESIDENCY OF DOMINGO SANTA MARÍA, 1881-1886 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports Government Consumption (2) Private Consumption (1) 1881 1882 1883 1884 1885 1886 Average Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) Imports (5) 1+2+3+4-5 (6) Real GDP (7) Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) 138.2 86.4 88.9 169.8 111.1 119.7 184.1 126.4 135.5 176.4 113.6 133.4 147.5 102.2 101.4 182.5 111.6 111.7 166.4 108.6 115.1 Reference: Cap2_0 Series, Sheet2: GPIBReal. Pp. 121-127 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) Graph: 10.3 PRESIDENCY OF DOMINGO SANTA MARÍA, 1881-1886 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports 200 Private Consumption (1) 180 Government Consumption (2) 160 Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) 140 120 100 Imports (5) 80 60 1+2+3+4-5 40 Real GDP (7) 20 (6) Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GBIP Real; [AEGDP. (Pp. 121-127)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) 44 1886 1885 1884 1883 1882 1881 0 11 PRESIDENCY OF MANUEL BALMACEDA, 1886-1891 Table: 11.1 PRESIDENCY OF MANUEL BALMACEDA, 1886-1891 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) 4.2 4.3 0.9 1886 1887 7.0 5.5 5.1 1888 -4.0 -1.2 2.2 1889 2.6 4.3 1.1 1890 7.3 6.7 5.3 1891 8.2 7.0 7.9 Average 4.2 4.4 3.7 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) Graph: 11.1 PRESIDENCY OF MANUEL BALMACEDA, 1886-1891 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment 10.00 8.00 Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) 6.00 4.00 Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) 2.00 0.00 Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) -2.00 -4.00 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) 45 1891 1890 1889 1888 1887 1886 -6.00 Table: 11.2 PRESIDENCY OF MANUEL BALMACEDA, 1886-1891 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other 1886 1887 1888 1889 1890 1891 Average GDP Agriculture 1,034.7 1,107.1 1,063.3 1,090.8 1,169.9 1,265.4 1,121.9 103.9 99.6 81.7 72.3 76.7 100.2 89.1 Mining Other Sectors Manufacturing Government Services Construction Commerce Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) 114.1 138.6 678.6 54.4 141.7 145.4 720.5 58.4 154.4 151.1 676.1 44.0 162.4 155.8 700.3 53.6 178.5 159.5 755.2 63.4 158.2 162.5 844.5 88.5 151.6 152.2 729.2 60.4 Reference: Cap1_0 Series. Sheet1: Real GDP by SEA. Pp. 28-35 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) Grpah: 11.2 PRESIDENCY OF MANUEL BALMACEDA, 1886-1891 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity 1,400.0 GDP 1,200.0 Agriculture Mining 1,000.0 Manufacturing 800.0 Other Sectors 600.0 Government Services 400.0 Construction 200.0 Commerce Reference: Cap 1_0 Series: Sheet PIBRealporActividad; [GDP by SEA (Pp. 28-35)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) 46 1891 1890 1889 1888 1887 1886 0.0 Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) Table: 11.3 PRESIDENCY OF MANUEL BALMACEDA, 1886-1891 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports Government Consumption (2) Private Consumption (1) 1886 1887 1888 1889 1890 1891 Average Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) Imports (5) 1+2+3+4-5 (6) Real GDP (7) Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) 182.5 111.6 111.7 196.2 138.6 123.5 163.8 139.5 155.3 200.8 143.7 178.8 227.1 159.0 190.0 234.5 159.7 179.5 200.8 142.0 156.5 Reference: Cap2_0 Series, Sheet2: GPIBReal. Pp. 121-127 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) Graph: 11.3 PRESIDENCY OF MANUEL BALMACEDA, 1886-1891 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports 250 Private Consumption (1) Government Consumption (2) Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) 200 150 100 Imports (5) 1+2+3+4-5 50 (6) Real GDP (7) Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GBIP Real; [AEGDP. (Pp. 121-127)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) 47 1891 1890 1889 1888 1887 1886 0 Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) 12 PRESIDENCY OF JORGE MONTT, 1891-1896 Table: 12.1 PRESIDENCY OF JORGE MONTT, 1891-1896 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) 1891 8.2 7.0 7.9 1892 -2.0 1.8 6.4 1893 5.0 1.3 4.6 1894 -1.6 -4.4 -5.5 1895 7.0 9.3 5.2 1896 0.6 -0.7 -5.2 Average 2.8 2.4 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] 2.2 Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) Graph: 12.1 PRESIDENCY OF JORGE MONTT, 1891-1896 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment 12.00 10.00 Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) 8.00 6.00 4.00 2.00 Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) 0.00 -2.00 -4.00 Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) -6.00 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) 48 1896 1895 1894 1893 1892 1891 -8.00 Table: 12.2 PRESIDENCY OF JORGE MONTT, 1891-1896 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other 1891 1892 1893 1894 1895 1896 Average GDP Agriculture 1,265.4 1,240.1 1,301.7 1,280.3 1,370.1 1,377.9 1,305.9 100.2 124.7 136.5 108.0 123.8 120.6 119.0 Mining Other Sectors Manufacturing Government Services Construction Commerce Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) 158.2 162.5 844.5 88.5 148.8 164.8 801.7 56.7 170.4 166.7 828.1 49.2 186.4 168.1 817.9 57.4 200.7 169.0 876.6 63.4 188.8 169.6 898.8 78.8 175.6 166.8 844.6 65.7 Reference: Cap1_0 Series. Sheet1: Real GDP by SEA. Pp. 28-35 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) Graph: 12.2 PRESIDENCY OF JORGE MONTT, 1891-1896 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity 1,600.0 GDP 1,400.0 Agriculture 1,200.0 Mining 1,000.0 Manufacturing 800.0 Other Sectors 600.0 Government Services 400.0 Construction 200.0 Commerce Reference: Cap 1_0 Series: Sheet PIBRealporActividad; [GDP by SEA (Pp. 28-35)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) 49 1896 1895 1894 1893 1892 1891 0.0 Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) Table: 12.3 PRESIDENCY OF JORGE MONTT, 1891-1896 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports Private Consumption (1) Government Consumption (2) Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) Imports (5) 1891 1892 234.5 190.0 159.7 152.0 179.5 219.9 1893 1894 156.5 162.5 177.7 185.6 201.6 172.2 1895 1896 222.4 273.3 205.7 234.6 219.7 231.8 Average 1+2+3+4-5 (6) Real GDP (7) Residual (7-6)/7% (8) 206.5 185.9 204.1 Reference: Cap2_0 Series, Sheet2: GPIBReal. Pp. 121-127 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) Graph: 12.3 PRESIDENCY OF JORGE MONTT, 1891-1896 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports 300 Private Consumption (1) Government Consumption (2) 250 Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) 200 150 Imports (5) 100 1+2+3+4-5 (6) Real GDP (7) 50 Residual (7-6)/7% (8) Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GBIP Real; [AEGDP. (Pp. 121-127)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) 50 1896 1895 1894 1893 1892 1891 0 13 PRESIDENCY OF FEDERICO ERRÁZURIZ ECHAURREN, 1896-1901 Table: 13.1 PRESIDENCY OF FEDERICO ERRÁZURIZ ECHAURREN, 1896-1901 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) 0.6 -0.7 -5.2 1897 -2.2 0.5 6.3 1898 12.1 6.2 4.7 1899 0.6 2.3 3.6 1900 -2.6 1.3 1.6 1901 2.5 7.4 6.4 Average 1.8 2.8 2.9 1896 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) Graph: 13.1 PRESIDENCY OF FEDERICO ERRÁZURIZ ECHAURREN, 1896-1901 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment 14.00 12.00 10.00 8.00 6.00 4.00 2.00 0.00 -2.00 -4.00 -6.00 -8.00 Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) 51 1901 1900 1899 1898 1897 1896 Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) Table: 13.2 PRESIDENCY OF FEDERICO ERRÁZURIZ ECHAURREN, 1896-1901 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other 1896 1897 1898 1899 1900 1901 Average GDP Agriculture 1,377.9 1,347.3 1,510.7 1,520.1 1,481.1 1,518.2 1,459.2 120.6 134.7 147.5 142.5 125.1 143.8 135.7 Mining Manufacturing Other Sectors Government Services Construction Commerce Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) 188.8 169.6 898.8 78.8 180.5 169.8 862.3 57.8 223.1 169.7 970.4 74.9 233.3 169.4 974.9 76.3 239.2 169.0 947.8 75.5 215.7 168.9 989.8 88.6 213.4 169.4 940.7 75.3 Reference: Cap1_0 Series. Sheet1: Real GDP by SEA. Pp. 28-35 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) Graph: 13.2 PRESIDENCY OF FEDERICO ERRÁZURIZ ECHAURREN, 1896-1901 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity GDP 1,600.0 Agriculture 1,400.0 1,200.0 Mining 1,000.0 Manufacturing 800.0 Other Sectors 600.0 Government Services 400.0 Construction 200.0 Commerce Reference: Cap 1_0 Series: Sheet PIBRealporActividad; [GDP by SEA (Pp. 28-35)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) 52 1901 1900 1899 1898 1897 1896 0.0 Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) Table: 13.3 PRESIDENCY OF FEDERICO ERRÁZURIZ ECHAURREN, 1896-1901 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports Private Consumption (1) 1896 1897 1898 1899 1900 1901 Average Government Consumption (2) Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) Imports (5) 1+2+3+4-5 (6) Real GDP (7) Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) 273.3 234.6 231.8 210.2 178.7 212.8 241.3 234.2 190.9 230.9 218.4 198.8 231.3 210.3 249.8 261.6 182.7 298.3 241.4 209.8 230.4 Reference: Cap2_0 Series, Sheet2: GPIBReal. Pp. 121-127 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) Graph: 13.3 PRESIDENCY OF FEDERICO ERRÁZURIZ ECHAURREN, 1896-1901 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports 350 Private Consumption (1) 300 Government Consumption (2) 250 Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) 200 Exports (4) 150 Imports (5) 100 1+2+3+4-5 (6) Real GDP (7) 50 Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GBIP Real; [AEGDP. (Pp. 121-127)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) 53 1901 1900 1899 1898 1897 1896 0 14 PRESIDENCY OF GERMÁN RIESCO, 1901-1906 Table: 14.1 PRESIDENCY OF GERMÁN RIESCO, 1901-1906 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) 2.5 7.4 6.4 1901 1902 4.4 1.9 2.4 1903 -5.6 -4.7 -3.7 1904 1905 8.2 -0.1 8.8 4.3 8.3 5.7 1906 7.8 14.5 13.3 Average 2.9 5.4 5.4 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) Graph: 14.1 PRESIDENCY OF GERMÁN RIESCO, 1901-1906 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment 20.00 Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) 15.00 10.00 Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) 5.00 0.00 -5.00 Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) 54 1906 1905 1904 1903 1902 1901 -10.00 Table: 14.2 PRESIDENCY OF GERMÁN RIESCO, 1901-1906 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other 1901 1902 1903 1904 1905 1906 Average GDP Agriculture 1,518.2 1,584.5 1,495.5 1,618.0 1,616.3 1,742.7 1,595.9 143.8 162.1 129.1 150.5 126.8 128.4 140.1 Mining Manufacturing Other Sectors Government Services Construction Commerce Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) 215.7 168.9 989.8 88.6 219.0 169.5 1,034.0 91.9 242.0 171.0 953.4 72.4 250.4 173.9 1,043.2 87.9 275.0 178.6 1,035.9 88.3 283.0 185.2 1,146.1 123.1 247.5 174.5 1,033.7 92.0 Reference: Cap1_0 Series. Sheet1: Real GDP by SEA. Pp. 28-35 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) Graph: 14.2 PRESIDENCY OF GERMÁN RIESCO, 1901-1906 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity 2,000.0 GDP 1,800.0 Agriculture 1,600.0 Mining 1,400.0 Manufacturing 1,200.0 Other Sectors 1,000.0 800.0 Government Services 600.0 Construction 400.0 Commerce 200.0 Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) Reference: Cap 1_0 Series: Sheet PIBRealporActividad; [GDP by SEA (Pp. 28-35) Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) 55 1906 1905 1904 1903 1902 1901 0.0 Table: 14.3 PRESIDENCY OF GERMÁN RIESCO, 1901-1906 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports Government Consumption (2) Private Consumption (1) 1901 1902 1903 1904 1905 1906 Average Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) Imports (5) 1+2+3+4-5 (6) Real GDP (7) Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) 261.6 182.7 298.3 259.7 210.2 290.1 234.0 213.3 304.8 261.8 231.3 340.1 252.6 260.2 444.9 307.2 220.5 539.6 262.8 219.7 369.6 Reference: Cap2_0 Series, Sheet2: GPIBReal. Pp. 121-127 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) Graph: 14.3 PRESIDENCY OF GERMÁN RIESCO, 1901-1906 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports 600 Private Consumption (1) 500 Government Consumption (2) 400 Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) 300 Imports (5) 1+2+3+4-5 200 (6) Real GDP (7) 100 Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GBIP Real; [AEGDP. (Pp. 121-127)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) 56 1906 1905 1904 1903 1902 1901 0 15 PRESIDENCY OF PEDRO MONTT, 1906-1910 Table: 15.1 PRESIDENCY OF PEDRO MONTT, 1906-1910 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) 7.8 14.5 13.3 1907 5.3 11.7 13.2 1908 10.6 3.2 5.1 1906 1909 0.5 -3.5 -4.4 1910 11.3 10.5 10.0 Average 7.1 7.3 7.4 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) Graph: 15.1 PRESIDENCY OF PEDRO MONTT, 1906-1910 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment 20.00 Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) 15.00 10.00 Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) 5.00 0.00 -5.00 Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) 1910 1909 1908 1907 1906 -10.00 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) 57 Table: 15.2 PRESIDENCY OF PEDRO MONTT, 1906-1910 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other 1906 1907 1908 1909 1910 Average GDP Agriculture 1,742.7 1,834.8 2,029.6 2,039.9 2,270.6 1,983.5 128.4 134.7 155.5 145.1 158.3 144.4 Mining Manufacturing Other Sectors Government Services Construction Commerce Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) 283.0 185.2 1,146.1 285.5 193.9 1,220.7 314.7 204.1 1,355.4 332.5 214.7 1,347.5 380.0 223.8 1,508.3 3,191.6 204.3 1,315.6 Reference: Cap1_0 Series. Sheet1: Real GDP by SEA. Pp. 28-35 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) Graph: 15.2 PRESIDENCY OF PEDRO MONTT, 1906-1910 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity 2,500.0 GDP Agriculture 2,000.0 Mining Manufacturing 1,500.0 Other Sectors Government Services 1,000.0 Construction 500.0 Commerce Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) Reference: Cap 1_0 Series: Sheet PIBRealporActividad; [GDP by SEA (Pp. 28-35)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) 58 1910 1909 1908 1907 1906 0.0 Table: 15.3 PRESIDENCY OF PEDRO MONTT, 1906-1910 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports Private Consumption (1) Government Consumption (2) Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) Imports (5) 1906 307.2 220.5 539.6 1907 317.2 234.4 703.3 1908 289.2 311.3 658.7 1909 297.2 304.4 558.5 1910 340.0 310.2 333.9 280.9 599.0 611.8 Average 1+2+3+4-5 (6) Real GDP (7) Residual (7-6)/7% (8) Reference: Cap2_0 Series, Sheet2: GPIBReal. Pp. 121-127 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) Graph: 15.3 PRESIDENCY OF PEDRO MONTT, 1906-1910 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports 800 Private Consumption (1) 700 Government Consumption (2) 600 Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) 500 Exports (4) 400 Imports (5) 300 1+2+3+4-5 (6) 200 Real GDP (7) 100 Residual (7-6)/7% (8) Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GBIP Real; [AEGDP. (Pp. 121-127)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) 59 1910 1909 1908 1907 1906 0 16 PRESIDENCY OF RAMÓN BARROS LUCO, 1910-1915 Table: 16.1 PRESIDENCY OF RAMÓN BARROS LUCO, 1910-1915 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) 1910 11.3 10.5 10.0 1911 -2.7 2.0 2.3 1912 4.0 3.4 2.1 1913 1.8 0.4 2.4 1914 -15.5 -15.4 -15.6 1915 -3.2 -14.0 -14.0 Average -0.7 -2.2 -2.1 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) Graph: 16.1 PRESIDENCY OF RAMÓN BARROS LUCO, 1910-1915 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment 15.00 Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) 10.00 5.00 Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) 0.00 -5.00 -10.00 Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) -15.00 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) 60 1915 1914 1913 1912 1911 1910 -20.00 Table: 16.2 PRESIDENCY OF RAMÓN BARROS LUCO, 1910-1915 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other 1910 1911 1912 1913 1914 1915 Average GDP Agriculture 2,270.5 2,209.1 2,296.8 2,338.9 1,976.5 1,912.8 2,167.4 158.3 154.6 182.3 198.7 183.5 201.8 179.9 Mining Manufacturing Other Sectors Government Services Construction Commerce Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) 380.0 223.8 1,508.3 180.3 380.4 228.3 1,445.8 154.7 400.2 223.8 1,490.5 148.6 420.8 223.8 1,495.6 131.1 379.4 161.9 1,251.6 104.8 302.4 180.4 1,228.3 100.6 377.2 207.0 1,403.4 136.7 Reference: Cap1_0 Series. Sheet1: Real GDP by SEA. Pp. 28-35 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) Graph: 16.2 PRESIDENCY OF RAMÓN BARROS LUCO, 1910-1915 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity GDP 2,500.0 Agriculture 2,000.0 Mining Manufacturing 1,500.0 Other Sectors 1,000.0 Government Services Construction 500.0 Commerce Reference: Cap 1_0 Series: Sheet PIBRealporActividad; [GDP by SEA (Pp. 28-35)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) 61 1915 1914 1913 1912 1911 1910 0.0 Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) Table: 16.3 PRESIDENCY OF RAMÓN BARROS LUCO, 1910-1915 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports Private Consumption (1) 1910 1911 1912 1913 1914 1915 Average Government Consumption (2) Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) Imports (5) 1+2+3+4-5 (6) Real GDP (7) Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) 340.0 333.9 599.0 340.8 302.9 680.5 382.8 333.4 711.4 336.7 357.4 703.1 288.6 260.9 555.0 247.8 290.3 330.8 322.8 313.1 596.6 Reference: Cap2_0 Series, Sheet2: GPIBReal. Pp. 121-127 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) Graph: 16.3 PRESIDENCY OF RAMÓN BARROS LUCO, 1910-1915 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports 800 Private Consumption (1) 700 Government Consumption (2) 600 Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) 500 Exports (4) 400 Imports (5) 300 1+2+3+4-5 200 (6) Real GDP (7) 100 Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GBIP Real; [AEGDP. (Pp. 121-127)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) 62 1915 1914 1913 1912 1911 1910 0 17 PRESIDENCY OF JUAN LUIS SANFUENTES, 1915-1920 Table: 17.1 PRESIDENCY OF JUAN LUIS SANFUENTES, 1915-1920 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) -3.2 -14.0 22.6 24.0 2.2 6.3 1.3 -2.9 -14.2 -5.5 13.0 0.5 3.6 1.4 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) 1915 1916 1917 1918 1919 1920 Average -14.0 27.9 8.0 -3.2 -5.5 -1.8 1.9 Graph: 17.1 PRESIDENCY OF JUAN LUIS SANFUENTES, 1915-1920 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment 35.00 30.00 25.00 20.00 15.00 10.00 5.00 0.00 -5.00 -10.00 -15.00 -20.00 Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) 63 1920 1919 1918 1917 1916 1915 Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) Table: 17.2 PRESIDENCY OF JUAN LUIS SANFUENTES, 1915-1920 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other 1915 1916 1917 1918 1919 1920 Average GDP Agriculture 1,912.8 2,344.9 2,395.3 2,425.8 2,081.3 2,351.0 2,251.9 201.8 207.2 196.3 199.7 193.0 184.1 197.0 Mining Manufacturing Other Sectors Government Services Construction Commerce Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) 302.4 180.4 1,228.3 100.6 477.1 212.4 1,448.1 91.9 508.9 226.9 1,463.2 82.5 492.6 247.8 1,485.8 81.0 322.6 248.3 1,317.4 86.3 427.2 239.0 1,500.7 129.9 421.8 225.8 1,407.3 95.4 Reference: Cap1_0 Series. Sheet1: Real GDP by SEA. Pp. 28-35 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) Graph: 17.2 PRESIDENCY OF JUAN LUIS SANFUENTES, 1915-1920 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity 3,000.0 GDP Agriculture 2,500.0 Mining 2,000.0 Manufacturing Other Sectors 1,500.0 Government Services 1,000.0 Construction 500.0 Commerce Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) Reference: Cap 1_0 Series: Sheet PIBRealporActividad; [GDP by SEA (Pp. 28-35)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) 64 1920 1919 1918 1917 1916 1915 0.0 Table: 17.3 PRESIDENCY OF JUAN LUIS SANFUENTES, 1915-1920 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports Private Consumption (1) 1915 1916 1917 1918 1919 1920 Average Government Consumption (2) Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) Imports (5) 1+2+3+4-5 (6) Real GDP (7) Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) 247.8 290.3 330.8 241.1 387.9 465.4 219.5 418.4 597.6 220.0 546.2 620.9 207.3 174.8 455.6 259.8 387.9 411.7 232.6 367.6 480.3 Reference: Cap2_0 Series, Sheet2: GPIBReal. Pp. 121-127 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) Graph: 17.3 PRESIDENCY OF JUAN LUIS SANFUENTES, 1915-1920 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports 700 Private Consumption (1) 600 Government Consumption (2) 500 400 Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) 300 Imports (5) 1+2+3+4-5 200 (6) Real GDP (7) 100 Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GBIP Real; [AEGDP. (Pp. 121-127)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) 65 1920 1919 1918 1917 1916 1915 0 18 PRESIDENCY OF ARTURO ALESSANDRI PALMA, 1920-1924 Table: 18.1 PRESIDENCY OF ARTURO ALESSANDRI PALMA, 1920-1924 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) 1920 13.0 0.5 -1.8 1921 -13.3 -6.6 -8.2 1922 3.7 1.1 1.2 1923 20.5 20.8 23.0 1924 7.5 6.9 6.9 Average 6.3 4.6 4.2 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) Graph: 18.1 PRESIDENCY OF ARTURO ALESSANDRI PALMA, 1920-1924 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment 25.00 20.00 Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) 15.00 10.00 5.00 Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) 0.00 -5.00 -10.00 Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) -15.00 1924 1923 1922 1921 1920 -20.00 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) 66 Table: 18.2 PRESIDENCY OF ARTURO ALESSANDRI PALMA, 1920-1924 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other 1920 1921 1922 1923 1924 Average GDP Agriculture 2,351.0 2,037.7 2,112.2 2,544.1 2,736.0 2,356.2 184.1 203.2 208.9 218.3 218.7 206.6 Mining Manufacturing Other Sectors Government Services Construction Commerce Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) 427.2 239.0 1,500.7 129.9 255.5 245.6 1,333.3 114.1 266.6 256.7 1,380.0 116.5 416.1 285.3 1,624.4 127.3 495.1 285.5 1,736.7 140.0 372.1 262.4 1,515.0 125.6 Reference: Cap1_0 Series. Sheet1: Real GDP by SEA. Pp. 28-35 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) Graph: 18.2 PRESIDENCY OF ARTURO ALESSANDRI PALMA, 1920-1924 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity 3,000.0 GDP Agriculture 2,500.0 Mining 2,000.0 Manufacturing Other Sectors 1,500.0 Government Services 1,000.0 Construction Commerce 500.0 Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) Reference: Cap 1_0 Series: Sheet PIBRealporActividad; [GDP by SEA (Pp. 28-35)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) 67 1924 1923 1922 1921 1920 0.0 Table: 18.3 PRESIDENCY OF ARTURO ALESSANDRI PALMA, 1920-1924 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports Private Consumption (1) Government Consumption (2) 1920 1921 1922 1923 1924 Average Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) Imports (5) 1+2+3+4-5 (6) Real GDP (7) Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) 259.8 387.9 411.7 276.8 231.5 412.7 279.4 265.6 397.5 293.4 398.8 565.5 312.1 468.3 629.5 284.3 350.4 483.4 Reference: Cap2_0 Series, Sheet2: GPIBReal. Pp. 121-127 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) Graph: 18.3 PRESIDENCY OF ARTURO ALESSANDRI PALMA, 1920-1924 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports 700 Private Consumption (1) 600 Government Consumption (2) 500 Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) 400 Imports (5) 300 1+2+3+4-5 (6) 200 Real GDP (7) 100 Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GBIP Real; [AEGDP. (Pp. 121-127)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) 68 1924 1923 1922 1921 1920 0 19 PRESIDENCY OF EMILIANO FIGUEROA LARRAÍN, December 23, 1925-May 10, 1927 Table: 19.1 PRESIDENCY OF EMILIANO FIGUEROA LARRAÍN, December 23, 1925-May 10, 1927 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) 1925 4.4 10.5 10.4 1926 -8.3 1.9 0.3 1927 -1.8 -13.1 -14.1 Average -1.9 -0.2 -1.1 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) Graph: 19.1 PRESIDENCY OF EMILIANO FIGUEROA LARRAÍN, December 23, 1925-May 10, 1927 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment 15.00 Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) 10.00 5.00 0.00 Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) -5.00 -10.00 Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) -15.00 1927 1926 1925 -20.00 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) 69 Table: 19.2 PRESIDENCY OF EMILIANO FIGUEROA LARRAÍN, December 23, 1925-May 10, 1927 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other 1925 1926 1927 Average GDP Agriculture 2,855.1 2,617.3 2,569.8 2,680.7 205.1 213.6 228.4 215.7 Mining Manufacturing Other Sectors Government Services Construction Commerce Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) 515.5 306.1 1,828.5 163.2 458.2 280.0 1,665.5 133.8 439.9 269.9 1,631.6 124.5 471.2 285.3 1,708.5 140.5 Reference: Cap1_0 Series. Sheet1: Real GDP by SEA. Pp. 28-35 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) Graph: 19.2 PRESIDENCY OF EMILIANO FIGUEROA LARRAÍN, December 23, 1925-May 10, 1927 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity 3,000.0 GDP Agriculture 2,500.0 Mining 2,000.0 Manufacturing Other Sectors 1,500.0 Government Services 1,000.0 Construction Commerce 500.0 Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) 1927 1926 1925 0.0 Reference: Cap 1_0 Series: Sheet PIBRealporActividad; [GDP by SEA (Pp. 28-35)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) 70 Table: 19.3 PRESIDENCY OF EMILIANO FIGUEROA LARRAÍN, December 23, 1925-May 10, 1927 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports Private Consumption (1) 1925 1926 1927 Average Government Consumption (2) Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) 347.7 399.7 376.1 374.5 Exports (4) Imports (5) 432.4 411.4 461.7 435.2 780.0 1057.3 727.9 855.1 1+2+3+4-5 (6) Real GDP (7) Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) Reference: Cap2_0 Series, Sheet2: GPIBReal. Pp. 121-127 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) Graph: 19.3 PRESIDENCY OF EMILIANO FIGUEROA LARRAÍN, December 23, 1925-May 10, 1927 Expenditure on GDP (Millions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports 1200 Private Consumption (1) 1000 Government Consumption (2) Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) 800 Exports (4) 600 Imports (5) 400 1+2+3+4-5 200 Real GDP (7) (6) Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) 1927 1926 1925 0 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GBIP Real; [AEGDP. (Pp. 121-127)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) 71 20 PRESIDENCY (MILITARY DICTATORSHIP) OF CARLOS IBÁÑEZ DEL CAMPO, 19281931 Table: 20.1 PRESIDENCY (MILITARY DICTATORSHIP) OF CARLOS IBÁÑEZ DEL CAMPO, 1928-1931 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) 1928 22.5 18.8 20.6 1929 5.2 10.9 12.5 1930 -16.0 -10.8 -12.6 1931 -21.2 29.5 33.0 Average -2.4 12.1 13.4 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) Graph: 20.1 PRESIDENCY (MILITARY DICTATORSHIP) OF CARLOS IBÁÑEZ DEL CAMPO, 1928-1931 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment 30.00 Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) 20.00 10.00 0.00 Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) -10.00 -20.00 Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) -30.00 1931 1930 1929 1928 -40.00 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) 72 Table: 20.2 PRESIDENCY (MILITARY DICTATORSHIP) OF CARLOS IBÁÑEZ DEL CAMPO, 1928-1931 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other 1928 1929 1930 1931 Average GDP Agriculture 3,147.9 3,312.5 2,782.2 2,191.9 2,858.6 285.9 273.5 253.7 232.4 261.4 Mining Other Sectors Manufacturing Government Services Construction Commerce Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) 663.3 281.8 1,916.9 100.6 707.0 304.1 2,027.9 120.0 515.2 288.2 1,725.0 101.2 343.4 233.5 1,382.6 87.0 557.2 276.9 1,763.1 102.2 Reference: Cap1_0 Series. Sheet1: Real GDP by SEA. Pp. 28-35 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) Graph:20.2 PRESIDENCY (MILITARY DICTATORSHIP) OF CARLOS IBÁÑEZ DEL CAMPO, 1928-1931 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity GDP 3,500.0 Agriculture 3,000.0 Mining 2,500.0 Manufacturing 2,000.0 Other Sectors 1,500.0 Government Services 1,000.0 Construction 500.0 Commerce 1931 1930 1929 1928 0.0 Reference: Cap 1_0 Series: Sheet PIBRealporActividad; [GDP by SEA (Pp. 28-35)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) 73 Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) Table: 20.3 PRESIDENCY (MILITARY DICTATORSHIP) OF CARLOS IBÁÑEZ DEL CAMPO, 1928-1931 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports Private Consumption (1) 1928 1929 1930 1931 Average Government Consumption (2) Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) Imports (5) 1+2+3+4-5 (6) Real GDP (7) Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) 401.3 560.0 780.0 396.2 586.9 1,007.8 413.6 362.4 909.9 394.0 307.1 463.0 401.3 454.1 790.2 Reference: Cap2_0 Series, Sheet2: GPIBReal. Pp. 121-127 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) Graph: 20.3 PRESIDENCY (MILITARY DICTATORSHIP) OF CARLOS IBÁÑEZ DEL CAMPO, 1928-1931 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports 1200 Private Consumption (1) 1000 Government Consumption (2) Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) 800 Exports (4) 600 Imports (5) 400 1+2+3+4-5 (6) Real GDP (7) 200 Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) 1931 1930 1929 1928 0 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GBIP Real; [AEGDP. (Pp. 121-127)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) 74 21 PRESIDENCY OF JUAN ESTEBAN MONTERO RODRÍGUEZ, JULY 1931 - JUNE 1932 Table: 21.1 PRESIDENCY OF JUAN ESTEBAN MONTERO RODRÍGUEZ, JULY 1931 - JUNE 1932 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) 1931 -21.2 -29.5 -33.0 1932 -15.5 -19.8 -15.5 Average -18.4 -24.7 -24.2 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) Graph: 21.1 PRESIDENCY OF JUAN ESTEBAN MONTERO RODRÍGUEZ, JULY 1931 - JUNE 1932 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment 0.00 Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) -5.00 -10.00 -15.00 Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) -20.00 -25.00 Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) -30.00 1932 1931 -35.00 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) 75 Table: 21.2 PRESIDENCY OF JUAN ESTEBAN MONTERO RODRÍGUEZ, JULY 1931 - JUNE 1932 (JULY 27, 1931-AUGUST 20, 1932)(NOVEMBER 15, 1931-JUNE 4, 1932) GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other 1931 1932 Average GDP Agriculture 2,191.9 1,852.0 2,022.0 232.4 227.0 229.7 Mining Manufacturing Other Sectors Government Services Construction Commerce Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) 343.4 233.5 1,382.6 87.0 199.9 235.6 1,189.5 69.8 271.7 234.5 1,286.1 78.4 Reference: Cap1_0 Series. Sheet1: Real GDP by SEA. Pp. 28-35 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) Graph: 21.2 PRESIDENCY OF JUAN ESTEBAN MONTERO RODRÍGUEZ, JULY 1931 - JUNE 1932 (JULY 27, 1931-AUGUST 20, 1932)(NOVEMBER 15, 1931-JUNE 4, 1932) GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity 2,500.0 GDP Agriculture 2,000.0 Mining Manufacturing 1,500.0 Other Sectors 1,000.0 Government Services Construction 500.0 Commerce 1932 1931 0.0 Reference: Cap 1_0 Series: Sheet PIBRealporActividad; [GDP by SEA (Pp. 28-35)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) 76 Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) Table: 21.3 PRESIDENCY OF JUAN ESTEBAN MONTERO RODRÍGUEZ, JULY 1931 - JUNE 1932 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports Private Consumption (1) Government Consumption (2) Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) Imports (5) 1931 394.0 307.1 463.0 1932 231.2 133.1 163.2 Average 312.6 220.1 313.1 1+2+3+4-5 (6) Real GDP (7) Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) Reference: Cap2_0 Series, Sheet2: GPIBReal. Pp. 121-127 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) Graph: 21.3 PRESIDENCY OF JUAN ESTEBAN MONTERO RODRÍGUEZ, JULY 1931 - JUNE 1932 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports 500.0 Private Consumption (1) 450.0 Government Consumption (2) 400.0 350.0 Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) 300.0 Exports (4) 250.0 Imports (5) 200.0 150.0 1+2+3+4-5 100.0 Real GDP (7) (6) 50.0 Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) 1932 1931 0.0 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GBIP Real; [AEGDP. (Pp. 121-127)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) 77 PART II 1930-1973 RISE AND FALL OF INTERVENTIONIST STRUCTURALISM 1930-1941 GENESIS OF THE INTERVENTIONIST STRUCTURALIST PARADIGM AND ECONOMIC RECOVERY GRADUAL REPLACEMENT OF LIBERAL COMPONENTS OF COLLECTIVE MARKETS BY INTERVENTIONIST NONLIBERAL COMPONENTS 78 22 SECOND PRESIDENCY OF ARTURO ALESSANDRI PALMA, 1932-1938 Table: 22.1 SECOND PRESIDENCY OF ARTURO ALESSANDRI PALMA, 1932-1938 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) 1932 -15.5 -19.8 -15.5 1933 23.2 18.3 15.9 1934 20.7 18.0 20.1 1935 5.8 9.1 7.1 1936 4.9 5.9 6.7 1937 13.8 10.6 11.9 1938 1.1 4.3 3.2 Average 7.7 6.6 7.0 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) Graph: 22.1 SECOND PRESIDENCY OF ARTURO ALESSANDRI PALMA, 1932-1938 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment 30.00 25.00 20.00 15.00 10.00 5.00 0.00 -5.00 -10.00 -15.00 -20.00 -25.00 Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) 79 1938 1937 1936 1935 1934 1933 1932 Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) Table: 22.2 SECOND PRESIDENCY OF ARTURO ALESSANDRI PALMA, 1932-1938 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other 1932 1933 1934 1935 1936 1937 1938 Average GDP Agriculture 1,852.0 2,282.2 2,755.1 2,913.7 3,056.9 3,477.7 3,515.7 2,836.2 227.0 290.9 319.8 265.8 275.3 285.4 293.4 279.7 Mining Manufacturing Other Sectors Government Services Construction Commerce Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) 199.9 235.6 1,189.5 69.8 235.4 264.9 1,491.0 110.6 367.9 299.4 1,768.0 123.4 428.7 337.2 1,882.0 155.2 433.1 356.3 1,992.2 177.1 577.6 375.4 2,239.3 197.2 519.7 389.1 2,313.5 234.5 394.6 322.6 1,839.4 152.5 Reference: Cap1_0 Series. Sheet1: Real GDP by SEA. Pp. 28-35 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) Graph: 22.2 SECOND PRESIDENCY OF ARTURO ALESSANDRI PALMA, 1932-1938 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity 4,000.0 GDP 3,500.0 Agriculture 3,000.0 Mining 2,500.0 Manufacturing 2,000.0 Other Sectors 1,500.0 Government Services 1,000.0 Construction Commerce 500.0 Reference: Cap 1_0 Series: Sheet PIBRealporActividad; [GDP by SEA (Pp. 28-35)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) 80 1938 1937 1936 1935 1934 1933 1932 0.0 Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) Table: 22.3 SECOND PRESIDENCY OF ARTURO ALESSANDRI PALMA, 1932-1938 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports Government Consumption (2) Private Consumption (1) 1932 1933 1934 1935 1936 1937 1938 Average Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) Imports (5) 1+2+3+4-5 (6) Real GDP (7) Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) 231.2 133.1 163.2 313.9 217.4 162.0 330.2 371.0 242.8 405.3 378.4 329.6 410.1 394.7 371.1 421.5 538.7 417.1 472.0 490.7 475.4 369.2 360.6 308.7 Reference: Cap2_0 Series, Sheet2: GPIBReal. Pp. 121-127 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) Graph: 22.3 SECOND PRESIDENCY OF ARTURO ALESSANDRI PALMA, 1932-1938 600.0 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports Private Consumption (1) 500.0 Government Consumption (2) 400.0 Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) 300.0 Imports (5) 200.0 1+2+3+4-5 100.0 (6) Real GDP (7) Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GBIP Real; [AEGDP. (Pp. 121-127)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) 81 1938 1937 1936 1935 1934 1933 1932 0.0 23 PRESIDENCY OF PEDRO AGUIRRE CERDA, 1938-1941 A trend of accelerated expansion of the state-owned segment of the non-financial and financial corporate sector is initiated during the Presidency of Pedro Aguirre Cerda (1938-1941). The candidate of a center-left coalition, which includes the Radical, Socialist and Communist parties, Aguirre narrowly defeats Gustavo Ross, the rightwing candidate. In response to the devastating earthquake of Chillàn in 1939, Aguirre creates the Chilean Development Corporation (Corporación de Formento, CORFO), the most powerful state owned enterprise in Chilean history. CORFO serves as a modernization and development catalyst by expanding the corporate segment of the public sector in steel, electricity, petroleum, transportation, mining, agriculture, and manifold service activities. It plays a pivotal governmental role throughout the 1938-1973 presidencies of Aguirre Cerda, Ríos, González Videla, Ibáñez del Campo, Jorge Alessandri, Eduardo Frei Montalva, and Salvador Allende. Table: 23.1 PRESIDENCY OF PEDRO AGUIRRE CERDA, 1938-1941 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) 1938 1.1 4.3 3.2 1939 2.1 1.5 1.1 1940 4.0 5.0 6.6 1941 -1.1 -3.1 -5.7 Average 1.5 1.9 1.3 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) 82 Graph: 23.1 PRESIDENCY OF PEDRO AGUIRRE CERDA, 1938-1941 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment 8.00 Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) 6.00 4.00 2.00 Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) 0.00 -2.00 -4.00 -6.00 Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) 1941 1940 1939 1938 -8.00 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) Table: 23.2 PRESIDENCY OF PEDRO AGUIRRE CERDA, 1938-1941 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other 1938 1939 1940 1941 Average GDP Agriculture 3,515.7 3,589.5 3,733.3 3,691.0 3,632.4 293.4 297.6 276.3 252.5 280.0 Mining Manufacturing Other Sectors Government Services Construction 519.7 389.1 2,313.5 234.5 520.5 396.5 2,374.9 250.5 546.9 458.8 2,451.3 241.2 379.8 638.7 631.3 2,168.5 277.8 455.3 556.5 468.9 2,327.1 251.0 417.6 Reference: Cap1_0 Series. Sheet1: Real GDP by SEA. Pp. 28-35 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) 83 Commerce Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) Graph: 23.2 PRESIDENCY OF PEDRO AGUIRRE CERDA, 1938-1941 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity 4,000.0 GDP 3,500.0 Agriculture 3,000.0 Mining 2,500.0 Manufacturing 2,000.0 Other Sectors 1,500.0 Government Services 1,000.0 Construction Commerce 500.0 Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) 1941 1940 1939 1938 0.0 Reference: Cap 1_0 Series: Sheet PIBRealporActividad; [GDP by SEA (Pp. 28-35)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) Table: 23.3 PRESIDENCY OF PEDRO AGUIRRE CERDA, 1938-1941 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports Private Consumption (1) 1938 1939 1940 1941 Average 2,712.4 2,616.7 2,664.6 Government Consumption (2) Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) Imports (5) 1+2+3+4-5 (6) 472.0 490.7 475.4 493.2 441.6 406.1 470.4 681.3 458.5 457.0 3,865.6 541.0 671.7 516.4 442.6 3,903.2 494.2 676.5 476.8 445.3 3,884.4 Reference: Cap2_0 Series, Sheet2: GPIBReal. Pp. 121-127 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) 84 Real GDP (7) Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) 3,733.3 3,691.0 3,712.2 -3.5 -5.7 -4.6 Graph: 23.3 PRESIDENCY OF PEDRO AGUIRRE CERDA, 1938-1941 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports 4500 4000 Private Consumption (1) 3500 Government Consumption (2) 3000 Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) 2500 Exports (4) 2000 1500 Imports (5) 1000 1+2+3+4-5 500 (6) Real GDP (7) 0 Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) 1941 1940 1939 1938 -500 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GBIP Real; [AEGDP. (Pp. 121-127)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) 85 1942-1952 HEALTHY BUT CYCLICAL GROWTH CONTRADICTORY, DESTABILIZING REPERCUSSIONS OF THE RISE OF INTERVENTIONIST COMPONENTS OF COLLECTIVE MARKETS 24 PRESIDENCY OF JUAN ANTONIO RÍOS, 1942-1946 Collective markets experience continuous and substantial changes during the 1942-1946 presidency of Juan Antonio Ríos. Suspension of freedom of foreign trade and increasing regulatory intervention in all domestic markets undermine civil society by reducing the satisfaction of the moral collective need for economic freedom. Capital intensive investment projects by state-owned corporations in steel, petroleum, energy, and so forth, strengthen the skilled middle classes without, however, seriously daunting the pervasive problems of low productivity and poverty among urban and rural unskilled workers and their families. The preferential treatment of the middle, educated classes, in terms of compensation and educational, health and social security benefits, aggravates traditional inequalities in the distribution of labor income. Members of powerful unions in protected, national and foreign owned, activities, enter a privileged, high income class which excludes the majority of workers. The relatively modest increases in income and labor productivity throughout the 1930-1973 era of increasingly intervention-oriented collective markets, mask vast differences, both gains and losses, within the broadly defined “labor class”. Furthermore, persistent Keynesian deficit spending policies aggravate inflationary pressures, as the rate of growth of money supply regularly exceeds that of productivity. As monetary policy is subordinated to the fiscal one, inflation endemically serves as an instrument of income redistribution. Increasingly, throughout 1930-1973, the efficiency of moral collective markets, as measured by the degree of satisfaction of the moral collective needs for economic freedom, protection of life and private property, equal treatment by government and social harmony, remains, or falls, significantly below the critical minimum level required to sustain civil society and sharp, universal increases in labor productivity, income and good life. 86 Table: 24.1 PRESIDENCY OF JUAN ANTONIO RÍOS, 1942-1946 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Real GDP Annual Real Aggregate Expenditure Real Private Consumption and Investment Rate of Growth (%) Annual Rate of Growth (%) Annual Rate of Growth (%) 4.6 2.7 4.2 2.9 1.1 -0.5 1.9 4.0 4.6 8.6 8.3 6.0 8.6 9.4 10.2 5.3 5.1 4.9 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) 1942 1943 1944 1945 1946 Average Graph: 24.1 PRESIDENCY OF JUAN ANTONIO RÍOS, 1942-1946 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment 12.00 Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) 10.00 8.00 6.00 Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) 4.00 2.00 Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) 0.00 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) 87 1946 1945 1944 1943 1942 -2.00 Table: 24.2 PRESIDENCY OF JUAN ANTONIO RÍOS, 1942-1946 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other GDP Agriculture Mining Manufacturing Other Sectors Government Services 1942 3,862.3 262.2 565.5 609.0 2,425.7 276.8 398.1 1943 3,972.7 295.4 588.2 714.8 2,374.2 290.3 410.3 1944 4,047.6 312.0 587.9 713.8 2,433.9 295.3 494.3 1945 4,397.4 276.3 542.3 735.1 2,843.6 353.0 532.0 1946 4,773.8 327.4 625.4 744.8 3,076.3 348.2 684.2 Average 4,210.8 294.7 581.9 703.5 2,630.7 312.7 503.8 Construction Commerce Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) Reference: Cap1_0 Series. Sheet1: Real GDP by SEA. Pp. 28-35 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) Graph: 24.2 PRESIDENCY OF JUAN ANTONIO RÍOS, 1942-1946 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity 6,000.0 GDP Agriculture 5,000.0 Mining 4,000.0 Manufacturing Other Sectors 3,000.0 Government Services 2,000.0 Construction 1,000.0 Commerce Reference: Cap 1_0 Series: Sheet PIBRealporActividad; [GDP by SEA (Pp. 28-35)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) 88 1946 1945 1944 1943 1942 0.0 Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) Table: 24.3 PRESIDENCY OF JUAN ANTONIO RÍOS, 1942-1946 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports Private Consumption (1) 1942 1943 1944 1945 1946 Average 2,797.5 2,826.4 2,864.0 3,093.4 3,133.6 2,943.0 Government Consumption (2) Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) Imports (5) 509.7 534.3 571.9 423.2 564.5 573.6 629.2 409.6 567.3 645.1 584.2 440.1 691.7 681.3 619.6 451.4 729.1 943.6 619.6 472.6 612.5 675.6 604.9 439.4 Reference: Cap2_0 Series, Sheet2: GPIBReal. Pp. 121-127 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) 1+2+3+4-5 (6) Real GDP (7) Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) 3,990.2 4,184.1 4,220.5 4,634.6 4,953.3 4,396.5 3,862.3 3,972.7 4,047.6 4,397.4 4,773.8 4,210.8 -3.3 -5.3 -4.3 -5.4 -3.8 -4.4 Graph: 24.3 PRESIDENCY OF JUAN ANTONIO RÍOS, 1942-1946 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports 6,000.0 Private Consumption (1) 5,000.0 Government Consumption (2) 4,000.0 Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) 3,000.0 Exports (4) 2,000.0 Imports (5) 1+2+3+4-5 1,000.0 (6) Real GDP (7) 0.0 Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GBIP Real; [AEGDP. (Pp. 121-127)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) 89 1946 1945 1944 1943 1942 -1,000.0 25 PRESIDENCY OF GABRIEL GONZÁLEZ VIDELA, 1946-1952 Collective markets are affected by two additional major events during the 1946-1952 presidency of Gabriel González Videla. The moral collective needs for political freedom, equal treatment by government and social harmony receive increased recognition and satisfaction as women are granted, in 1948, the right to vote, by Congress and González Videla. This marks an important ascending trend in female political power and its use to satisfy moral collective needs. This trend culminates in the election, in 2006, of Michel Bachelet to the presidency. Social harmony, political freedom, and equal treatment are, however, weakened as González Videla persuades Congress to pass, also in 1948, the Democracy Defense Law (Ley de Defensa de la Democracia) outlawing the Communist Party. Table: 25.1 PRESIDENCY OF GABRIEL GONZÁLEZ VIDELA, 1946-1952 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) 1946 8.6 9.4 10.2 1947 -10.8 -8.5 -9.3 1948 16.6 14.4 17.2 1949 -2.2 1.5 1.1 1950 4.9 3.4 3.8 1951 4.4 6.5 6.8 1952 6.4 6.2 4.7 4.0 4.7 4.9 Average Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) 90 Graph: 25.1 PRESIDENCY OF GABRIEL GONZÁLEZ VIDELA, 1946-1952 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment 20.00 Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) 15.00 10.00 5.00 Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) 0.00 -5.00 Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) -10.00 1952 1951 1950 1949 1948 1947 1946 -15.00 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) Table: 25.2 PRESIDENCY OF GABRIEL GONZÁLEZ VIDELA, 1946-1952 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other 1946 1947 1948 1949 1950 1951 1952 Average GDP Agriculture 4,773.8 4,258.6 4,967.2 4,860.1 5,099.5 5,321.7 5,664.5 4,992.2 327.4 274.8 336.5 341.2 342.2 324.6 342.2 327.0 Mining Manufacturing Other Sectors Government Services Construction 625.4 744.8 3,076.3 348.2 548.8 738.5 2,696.6 381.7 673.2 873.7 3,083.7 358.8 618.6 968.9 2,931.4 402.0 565.5 1,001.7 3,190.1 523.0 652.4 989.6 3,355.1 490.9 619.4 1,031.6 3,671.2 621.9 614.8 907.0 3,143.5 446.6 Reference: Cap1_0 Series. Sheet1: Real GDP by SEA. Pp. 28-35 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) 91 684.2 655.0 545.4 546.6 602.6 575.9 579.5 598.5 Commerce Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) Graph: 25.2 PRESIDENCY OF GABRIEL GONZÁLEZ VIDELA, 1946-1952 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity 6,000.0 GDP 5,000.0 Agriculture Mining 4,000.0 Manufacturing 3,000.0 Other Sectors 2,000.0 Government Services Construction 1,000.0 Commerce Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) 1952 1951 1950 1949 1948 1947 1946 0.0 Reference: Cap 1_0 Series: Sheet PIBRealporActividad; [GDP by SEA (Pp. 28-35)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) Table: 25.3 PRESIDENCY OF GABRIEL GONZÁLEZ VIDELA, 1946-1952 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports Private Consumption (1) 1946 1947 1948 1949 1950 1951 1952 Average 3,133.6 3,289.2 3,413.4 3,556.8 3,698.7 3,969.3 4,220.2 3,611.6 Government Consumption (2) Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) Imports (5) 729.1 943.6 619.6 472.6 696.7 1,037.2 533.4 507.8 698.1 921.0 642.5 517.3 724.6 1,053.3 495.7 551.1 732.4 972.4 540.2 522.2 767.7 1,106.7 547.5 637.6 882.9 1,157.9 566.1 647.3 747.4 1,027.4 563.6 550.8 Reference: Cap2_0 Series, Sheet2: GPIBReal. Pp. 121-127 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) 92 1+2+3+4-5 (6) Real GDP (7) Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) 4,953.3 5,048.7 5,157.7 5,279.3 5,421.5 5,753.6 6,179.8 5,399.1 4,773.8 4,258.6 4,967.2 4,860.1 5,099.5 5,321.7 5,664.5 4,992.2 -3.8 -18.6 -3.8 -8.6 -6.3 -8.1 -9.1 -8.3 Graph: 25.3 PRESIDENCY OF GABRIEL GONZÁLEZ VIDELA, 1946-1952 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports 7,000.0 Private Consumption (1) 6,000.0 Government Consumption (2) 5,000.0 Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) 4,000.0 Exports (4) 3,000.0 Imports (5) 2,000.0 1+2+3+4-5 1,000.0 (6) Real GDP (7) 0.0 Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GBIP Real; [AEGDP. (Pp. 121-127)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) 93 1952 1951 1950 1949 1948 1947 1946 -1,000.0 1952-1964 MATURITY OF INTERVENTIONIST STRUCTURALISM AS POVERTY, INEQUALITY, LOW PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND INFLATION PERSIST. WEAKENING OF CIVIL SOCIETY. 26 PRESIDENCY OF CARLOS IBÁÑEZ DEL CAMPO, 1952-1958 Each and all presidents, between 1930 and 1973, win short term battles but lose the war against inflation. Its endemic and accelerating nature undermines the fabric of civil society by strengthening redistributive, while weakening production, efforts. By the time of the Carlos Ibáñez del Campo presidency (1952-58), the liberal elements of the collective markets, i.e. economic freedom, private property, equal treatment and individual sovereignty, which the structuralist left holds responsible for underdevelopment, inequality and poverty, have been largely crowded out by the new, favored by the structuralists, fundamentally antiliberal components of collective markets, i.e. controlled, protected, planned markets, state sovereignty and ownership of corporations, and unequal treatment (promotion of import substituting industry and discrimination of agriculture, exports, mining and banking) of activities. Ibáñez’s efforts to contain the power of the privileged unionized segment of the labor force are symptomatic of the deep tensions and conflicts that characterize Chile as, increasingly after 1930, the liberal components of collective markets are repressed and replaced by anti-liberal, diriguista ones. Table: 26.1 PRESIDENCY OF CARLOS IBÁÑEZ DEL CAMPO, 1952-1958 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 Average Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) 6.4 6.2 7.5 9.6 -3.2 -4.3 3.8 4.5 1.7 2.3 10.3 10.7 5.5 4.0 4.6 4.7 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) 94 4.7 8.3 -4.0 4.0 3.5 11.5 2.8 4.4 Graph: 26.1 PRESIDENCY OF CARLOS IBÁÑEZ DEL CAMPO, 1952-1958 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment 14.00 12.00 10.00 8.00 6.00 4.00 2.00 0.00 -2.00 -4.00 -6.00 Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) 1958 1957 1956 1955 1954 1953 1952 Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) Table: 26.2 PRESIDENCY OF CARLOS IBÁÑEZ DEL CAMPO, 1952-1958 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 Average GDP Agriculture 5,664.5 6,091.3 5,894.2 6,115.9 6,218.7 6,857.1 7,233.6 6,296.5 342.2 348.7 348.9 362.3 391.8 389.1 433.0 373.7 Mining Manufacturing Other Sectors Government Services Construction 619.4 1,031.6 3,671.2 621.9 579.5 549.1 1,179.4 4,014.0 600.6 748.7 511.2 1,322.4 3,711.7 622.4 725.6 535.1 1,346.5 3,872.0 608.8 848.6 415.9 1,302.1 4,108.9 661.4 892.4 443.3 1,412.2 4,612.6 729.8 938.7 431.1 1,363.9 5,005.6 619.4 918.0 500.7 1,279.7 4,142.3 637.8 807.4 Reference: Cap1_0 Series. Sheet1: Real GDP by SEA. Pp. 28-35 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) 95 Commerce Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) Graph: 26.2 PRESIDENCY OF CARLOS IBÁÑEZ DEL CAMPO, 1952-1958 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity 8,000.0 GDP 7,000.0 Agriculture 6,000.0 Mining 5,000.0 Manufacturing 4,000.0 Other Sectors 3,000.0 Government Services 2,000.0 Construction 1,000.0 Commerce 1958 1957 1956 1955 1954 1953 1952 0.0 Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) Reference: Cap 1_0 Series: Sheet PIBRealporActividad; [GDP by SEA (Pp. 28-35)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) Table: 26.3 PRESIDENCY OF CARLOS IBÁÑEZ DEL CAMPO, 1952-1958 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports Private Consumption (1) 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 Average 4,220.2 4,335.1 4,590.5 4,408.6 4,433.5 5,065.6 5,151.7 4,600.7 Government Consumption (2) Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) Imports (5) 882.9 1,157.9 566.1 647.3 1,032.5 1,169.5 445.3 653.2 971.6 1,133.0 510.9 643.9 1,037.9 1,311.9 571.2 753.2 999.4 1,249.8 528.0 753.4 1,063.1 1,429.5 559.1 835.8 1,180.7 1,406.9 586.2 774.9 1,024.0 1,265.5 538.1 723.1 Reference: Cap2_0 Series, Sheet2: GPIBReal. Pp. 121-127 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) 96 1+2+3+4-5 (6) Real GDP (7) Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) 6,179.8 6,329.2 6,562.1 6,576.4 6,457.3 7,281.5 7,550.6 6,705.3 5,664.5 6,091.3 5,894.2 6,115.9 6,218.8 6,857.1 7,233.6 6,296.5 -9.1 -3.9 -11.3 -7.5 -3.8 -6.2 -4.4 -6.6 Graph: 26.3 PRESIDENCY OF CARLOS IBÁÑEZ DEL CAMPO, 1952-1958 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports 8,000.0 Private Consumption (1) 7,000.0 6,000.0 Government Consumption (2) 5,000.0 Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) 4,000.0 3,000.0 Exports (4) 2,000.0 Imports (5) 1,000.0 1+2+3+4-5 0.0 (6) 1958 1957 1956 1955 1954 1953 1952 -1,000.0 Real GDP (7) Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GBIP Real; [AEGDP. (Pp. 121-127)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) 97 27 PRESIDENCY OF JORGE ALESSANDRI RODRÍGUEZ, 1958-1964 It is ironic that the first Agrarian Reform Law, which further weakens the sanctity of the private property component of the liberal part of collective markets being victimized by the structuralist left, is passed in 1962 during the conservative administration (1958-1964) of Jorge Alessandri Rodríguez, the son of former President Arturo Alessandri. It is not surprising, however, since agrarian reform is strongly advocated under the Alliance for Progress programs of the Kennedy Administration, which are being offered to Alessandri. Alessandri greatly promotes social harmony through educational and housing programs. His anti-inflationary program, however, collapses because of unsustainable twin budget and trade deficits. The budget deficit is caused by increased government expenditures due to a disastrous earthquake in the south in May 1960. The trade gap is caused, on the one hand, by a sharp increase in imports due to domestic inflation, a fixed foreign exchange rate and trade liberalization, and, on the other hand, by rigid export revenues and capital inflows. Table: 27.1 PRESIDENCY OF JORGE ALESSANDRI RODRÍGUEZ, 1958-1964 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) 1958 5.5 4.0 2.8 1959 -5.7 -6.1 -7.5 1960 8.3 12.7 14.0 1961 4.8 5.8 7.0 1962 4.7 3.0 2.6 1963 6.3 5.9 7.1 1964 2.2 2.8 2.6 Average 3.7 4.0 4.1 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) 98 Graph: 27.1 PRESIDENCY OF JORGE ALESSANDRI RODRÍGUEZ, 1958-1964 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment 20.00 Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) 15.00 10.00 Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) 5.00 0.00 Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) -5.00 1964 1963 1962 1961 1960 1959 1958 -10.00 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) Table: 27.2 PRESIDENCY OF JORGE ALESSANDRI RODRÍGUEZ, 1958-1964 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 Average GDP Agriculture 7,233.6 6,823.9 7,381.0 7,743.4 8,110.3 8,623.4 8,815.3 7,818.7 432.9 442.1 402.7 396.4 374.9 396.7 397.3 406.1 Mining Manufacturing Other Sectors Government Services Construction 431.1 1,363.9 5,005.6 619.4 918.0 479.3 1,417.1 4,485.4 650.3 787.7 525.6 1,548.9 4,912.8 750.8 865.6 577.8 1,664.0 5,105.2 742.0 796.5 623.6 1,821.1 5,290.8 762.3 1,021.6 630.6 1,892.8 5,703.3 753.6 1,270.9 669.9 1,988.9 5,759.2 820.3 1,116.5 562.6 1,671.0 5,180.3 728.4 968.1 Reference: Cap1_0 Series. Sheet1: Real GDP by SEA. Pp. 28-35 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) 99 Commerce Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) 731.2 806.0 821.8 846.0 866.1 814.2 143.7 152.6 168.1 184.2 193.7 168.5 Graph: 27.2 PRESIDENCY OF JORGE ALESSANDRI RODRÍGUEZ, 1958-1964 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity 10,000.0 GDP 9,000.0 Agriculture 8,000.0 Mining 7,000.0 Manufacturing 6,000.0 Other Sectors 5,000.0 Government Services 4,000.0 Construction 3,000.0 Commerce 2,000.0 Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) 1,000.0 1964 1963 1962 1961 1960 1959 1958 0.0 Reference: Cap 1_0 Series: Sheet PIBRealporActividad; [GDP by SEA (Pp. 28-35)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) Table: 27.3 PRESIDENCY OF JORGE ALESSANDRI RODRÍGUEZ, 1958-1964 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports Private Consumption (1) 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 Average 5,151.7 5,099.6 5,550.0 5,868.6 6,108.3 6,365.8 6,327.1 5,781.6 Government Consumption (2) Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) Imports (5) 1,180.9 1,406.9 586.2 774.9 1,199.7 1,213.3 652.2 798.7 1,280.4 1,571.7 680.1 1,147.3 1,272.1 1,591.9 713.7 1,282.7 1,340.6 1,787.3 732.3 1,185.3 1,336.6 2,051.1 771.0 1,216.2 1,386.9 1,934.2 842.1 1,345.6 1,285.3 1,650.9 711.1 1,107.2 Reference: Cap2_0 Series, Sheet2: GPIBReal. Pp. 121-127 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) 100 1+2+3+4-5 (6) Real GDP (7) Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) 7,550.8 7,366.1 7,934.9 8,163.6 8,783.2 9,308.3 9,144.7 8,321.7 7,233.6 6,823.9 7,390.0 7,743.4 8,110.3 8,623.4 8,815.3 7,820.0 -4.4 -7.9 -7.4 -5.4 -8.3 -7.9 -3.7 -6.4 Graph: 27.3 PRESIDENCY OF JORGE ALESSANDRI RODRÍGUEZ, 1958-1964 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports 10,000.0 Private Consumption (1) 8,000.0 Government Consumption (2) Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) 6,000.0 Exports (4) 4,000.0 Imports (5) 2,000.0 1+2+3+4-5 (6) Real GDP (7) 0.0 Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GBIP Real; [AEGDP. (Pp. 121-127)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) 101 1964 1963 1962 1961 1960 1959 1958 -2,000.0 28 PRESIDENCY OF EDUARDO FREI MONTALVA, 1964-1970 1964-1970 FATIGUE OF STRUCTURALIST PARADIGM DEAD END OF THE CHRISTIAN DEMOCRATIC MIDDLE ROAD WEAKENING CIVIL SOCIETY PARALYZES PROCEDURAL DEMOCRACY The recognition and satisfaction of the moral collective needs for economic freedom and private property suffer a major blow in 1967 when the Frei administration succeeds in passing an amended article 10.10 of the 1925 Constitution. The boundary of private property is both reduced and changed to an extent that the “economic freedom of private property ownership” loses almost any form of constitutional, legal protection. An open ended attack on private property is initiated under the wrong excuse that it promotes good life: the “law” can “reserve for the state exclusive control” of property “declared of primary importance for the economic, social or cultural life of the country…. encourage the convenient distribution of property and the establishment of family-sized property units” (Article 10.10). In the presidential election of 1958, when Jorge Alessandri narrowly defeats Salvador Allende, the left-wing candidate, by 33,000 votes, Eduardo Frei, the Christian Democrat, registers more than 20 percent of the votes. On September 4, 1964, with support from the right-wing and radical parties, the charismatic, elegant, benevolent, righteous, Frei, receives 56 percent of the vote, defeating Alleude, who polls 36 percent, and Durán with 5 percent. Frei accelerates the process of wealth and income redistribution through, among other, “Chileanization” of large-scale copper mining, expropriation of land, unionization of campesinos (peasants) and widespread wage increases. Included among his major accomplishments is a widespread improvement in all aspects of education: early childhood, elementary, secondary, university, technical and adult. Despite impressive public investments and modernization in all activities, the uncertainty and fear caused by the sharply declining satisfaction of the moral collective needs for economic freedom and private property have lasting negative effects on private saving, investment and overall production. Civil society also suffers as social harmony is replaced by tensions and conflicts between, and within, the beneficiaries and victims of coercive redistributional policies. 102 An ominous cloud of rising social and political polarization and weakening of the traditionally solid foundations of procedural democracy, casts a dark shadow over Chile’s political and social landscape. The moral coercive power of the state is slipping away from the hands of Frei and his administration. The radicalized Christian Democratic Left deserts his party. Jacques Chonchol, the party’s left-wing leader, an ardent enemy of economic freedom and private property, and adherent of Marxist principles of state supremacy and control, takes the control of the party away from the followers of Frei. Chile’s Left, which is emboldened by its redistributional gains, attributes Frei’s failures to his revolutionary timidity. Its demands for complete state control and destruction of liberal civil society are advanced as non-negotiable. The, deprived of its property and economic freedoms, victimized, Right, which is joined by the middle classes, refuses to sign its own obituary and surrender. The seismic vibration of the collapsing civil society edifice is undermining procedural democracy, the second pillar of sustainable democracy and growth. Civil society (the bride) and procedural democracy (the groom) are growing weaker, apart and asunder. The Christian Democratic slogan of “Revolution with Freedom” is being replaced by the epitaph “Revolution without Freedom Means Catastrophe”. Table: 28.1 PRESIDENCY OF EDUARDO FREI MONTALVA, 1964-1970 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) 1964 2.2 2.8 2.6 1965 0.8 0.5 -1.0 1966 11.2 15.3 16.2 1967 3.2 1.2 1.1 1968 3.6 4.5 4.5 1969 3.7 5.3 5.0 1970 2.1 1.9 1.1 Average 3.8 4.5 4.2 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) 103 Graph: 28.1 PRESIDENCY OF EDUARDO FREI MONTALVA, 1964-1970 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment 18.00 16.00 Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) 14.00 12.00 10.00 Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) 8.00 6.00 4.00 2.00 Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) 0.00 1970 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) 1969 1968 1967 1966 1965 1964 -2.00 Table: 28.2 PRESIDENCY OF EDUARDO FREI MONTALVA, 1964-1970 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 Average GDP Agriculture 8,815.3 8,886.5 9,877.5 10,198.2 10,563.3 10,956.3 11,181.6 10,068.4 397.3 405.3 491.1 505.9 529.6 468.5 485.3 469.0 Mining Manufacturing Other Sectors Government Services Construction 669.9 1,988.9 5,759.3 820.3 1,116.5 611.9 2,076.3 5,792.7 863.8 1,062.8 637.5 2,338.0 6,410.9 911.2 1,010.3 652.8 2,405.0 6,634.5 937.8 1,026.5 681.4 2,482.9 6,869.4 941.8 1,109.6 697.9 2,549.5 7,240.4 951.3 1,214.0 677.3 2,600.0 7,419.0 965.1 1,281.0 661.2 2,348.7 6,589.5 913.0 1,117.2 Reference: Cap1_0 Series. Sheet1: Real GDP by SEA. Pp. 28-35 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) 104 Commerce Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) 866.1 819.5 965.2 1,001.0 1,024.4 1,086.0 1,069.8 976.0 193.8 202.6 219.7 231.8 230.4 237.6 250.2 223.7 Graph: 28.2 PRESIDENCY OF EDUARDO FREI MONTALVA, 1964-1970 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity 12,000.0 GDP Agriculture 10,000.0 Mining 8,000.0 Manufacturing 6,000.0 Other Sectors 4,000.0 Government Services 2,000.0 Construction Commerce 1970 1969 1968 1967 1966 1965 1964 0.0 Reference: Cap 1_0 Series: Sheet PIBRealporActividad; [GDP by SEA (Pp. 28-35)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) Table: 28.3 PRESIDENCY OF EDUARDO FREI MONTALVA, 1964-1970 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports Private Consumption (1) 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 Average 6,327.1 6,320.9 7,034.2 7,272.4 7,550.3 7,947.7 7,901.3 7,193.4 Government Consumption (2) Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) Imports (5) 1,386.9 1,934.2 842.1 1,345.6 1,518.3 1,817.4 835.0 1,316.4 1,678.2 1,875.8 868.4 1,793.8 1,706.6 1,915.9 896.8 1,628.6 1,782.2 2,097.2 915.0 1,776.1 1,906.0 2,203.0 947.5 2,025.4 2,018.5 2,345.1 967.1 2,044.5 1,713.8 2,026.9 896.0 1,704.3 Reference: Cap2_0 Series, Sheet2: GPIBReal. Pp. 121-127 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) 105 1+2+3+4-5 (6) Real GDP (7) Residual (76)/7 % (8) 9,144.7 9,175.2 9,662.8 10,163.1 10,568.6 10,978.8 11,187.5 10,125.8 8,815.3 8,886.5 9,877.5 10,198.2 10,563.3 10,956.3 11,181.6 10,068.4 -3.7 -3.2 2.2 0.3 -0.1 -0.2 -0.1 -0.7 Graph: 28.3 PRESIDENCY OF EDUARDO FREI MONTALVA, 1964-1970 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports 12,000.0 Private Consumption (1) 10,000.0 Government Consumption (2) 8,000.0 Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) 6,000.0 Exports (4) 4,000.0 Imports (5) 1+2+3+4-5 2,000.0 (6) Real GDP (7) 0.0 Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GBIP Real; [AEGDP. (Pp. 121-127)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) 106 1970 1969 1968 1967 1966 1965 1964 -2,000.0 29 PRESIDENCY OF SALVADOR ALLENDE, 1970-1973 THE RISE AND FALL OF SALVADOR ALLENDE COLLAPSE OF STRUCTURALIST AND MARXIST EXPERIMENTS CRUMBLING CIVIL SOCIETY AND PROCEDURAL DEMOCRACY Salvador Allende is an illustrious, active participant in the procedural democracy segment of the collective markets. Among his numerous laurels, he is a founding member of the Socialist party in 1933, serves as minister of health (1939-1942) in the Popular Front government of Pedro Aguirre Cerda, rises to the presidency of the Senate (1965-1969), serves twice as secretary-general of the Socialist Party and ascends to the presidency in his fourth candidacy in 1970. Two fundamental aspects of the relationship between Allende and the collective markets play a pivotal role in his comet-like rise and violent, lamentable, death during 1970-1973. The first is his steadfast commitment to, as well as inability to control, a radical change in the content and orientation of the collective markets. Table: 29.1 PRESIDENCY OF SALVADOR ALLENDE, 1970-1973 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) 2.1 1.9 1.1 1971 9.0 9.5 9.0 1972 -1.2 0.5 -0.5 1973 -5.6 -6.1 -7.7 Average 1.1 1.5 0.4 1970 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) 107 Graph: 29.1 PRESIDENCY OF SALVADOR ALLENDE, 1970-1973 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment 12.00 10.00 Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) 8.00 6.00 4.00 2.00 Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) 0.00 -2.00 -4.00 -6.00 Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) -8.00 1973 1972 1971 1970 -10.00 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) According to the structuralist approach, which is, to various degrees, adopted by the governments of Presidents Arturo Allessandri, Aguirre Cerda, Ríos, González Videla, Ibáñez del Campo, Jorge Alessandri, and even Eduardo Frei Montalva, the state has a, complementary to the private sector, role. There is a blurred vision of a balanced sharing of “individual and state” sovereignty. Collective markets are being transformed to create an efficient private (individual) and state (collective) complementary sovereignty, which is compatible, it is hoped, with both civil society and procedural democracy. In contrast, the explicit goal of Allende, which is shared by the extreme left of the Christian Democrats, the communists, and other left-wing parties, is to radically transform Chile’s mixed, “structuralist”, pre-1970, collective markets by totally replacing all remaining liberal, private-and-individual-sovereignty based and oriented segments by state-based and-oriented ones, to turn all collective market components into pure Marxist, non-or anti-liberal ones. The second aspect is an antinomy between his professed revolutionary goal of establishing a Marxist collective market and the will of the people, the mandate of the electorate. As the candidate of the Unidad Popular (Popular Unity, UP), a coalition of the Socialist, Communist and four non-Marxist Parties, Allende comes first in the presidential elections of 1970, receiving 35.5 percent of the vote. Former president Jorge Alessandri, the candidate of the right-wing National Party, comes second with 108 35.2 percent of the vote. Radomiro Tomic, the favorite of its center-left bloc, and candidate of the Christian Democrats, receives 28 percent. The decision on the presidency goes to Congress because no candidate scores an absolute majority. In Congress, Allende is elected president with the support of the Unidad Popular and the Christian Democrats. Never, however, does Allende have a majoritarian, electoral mandate. Furthermore, neither the Center nor the Right, which comprise more than half, and possibly even two-thirds, of the Chilean electorate, are willing to accept this new, totalitarian, Marxist essence for their collective markets. Table: 29.2 PRESIDENCY OF SALVADOR ALLENDE, 1970-1973 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other 1970 1971 1972 1973 Average GDP Agriculture 11,181.6 12,183.0 12,035.2 11,365.4 11,691.3 485.3 476.5 441.3 395.9 449.8 Mining Manufacturing Other Sectors Government Services Construction 677.3 2,600.0 7,419.0 965.1 1,281.0 718.0 2,953.0 8,035.4 999.4 1,282.4 691.1 3,019.1 7,883.7 1,032.6 1,031.9 675.0 2,785.7 7,508.8 1,057.2 918.1 690.4 2,839.5 7,711.7 1,013.6 1,128.4 Reference: Cap1_0 Series. Sheet1: Real GDP by SEA. Pp. 28-35 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) Commerce 1,069.8 1,238.9 1,285.8 1,204.0 1,199.6 Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) 250.2 287.4 306.7 298.2 285.6 Graph: 29.2 PRESIDENCY OF SALVADOR ALLENDE, 1970-1973 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity 14,000.0 GDP 12,000.0 Agriculture 10,000.0 Mining Manufacturing 8,000.0 Other Sectors 6,000.0 Government Services 4,000.0 Construction 2,000.0 Commerce Reference: Cap 1_0 Series: Sheet PIBRealporActividad; [GDP by SEA (Pp. 28-35)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) 109 1973 1972 1971 1970 0.0 Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) Undeterred by the lack of an electoral mandate, Allende embarks on a broad redistributional strategy. All foreign mining companies are expropriated. Agrarian reform and expropriation accelerates. Most of the industry is nationalized. An attempt to control all media is only partially successful, as the Right resists with financial support from the CIA. Hefty wage increases coupled with price controls increase the purchasing power of both the working and middle classes. Whenever the state does not nationalize fast enough, radical workers, students, and campesinos forcibly expel the owners, with the consent of the government. The combination of a consumption extravaganza, output increases, and a sharp decline in unemployment in 1971, temporarily increases the Popular Unity’s electoral support. It also creates an illusion of permanent prosperity and euphoria among the poor and the suspicious middle classes. The ensuing decline, however, in private saving and investment in mining, industry and agriculture, the exhaustion of inventories, capital flight, the exodus of skilled entrepreneurial labor, urban and rural unrest, subordination of monetary to fiscal policy, and rigid foreign credits, contribute, to output shortfalls, the worst inflation in the annals of the history of Chile and an ominous escalation in social unrest and conflict. With their very existence and survival subject of terminal threat, the Christian Democrats and the National Party form the Democratic Confederation (Confederación Democrática), or CODE. With their combined votes they have the power to block extremist legislation of the Unidad Popular. Attempts by Allende and CODE to place limits on the expropriation of private property are, however, blocked by the radical Left. The paralyzed procedural democracy is further subverted as collective markets are penetrated by the anarchist fringes of the extreme Left and Right. As 1972 progresses, the economy is increasingly crippled as fear, uncertainty, shortages, and speculation lead to strikes, riots, and arrests by, or of, retail merchants, truckers, shop and factory owners, lawyers, doctors, architects, and other middle class professionals, as well as agricultural cooperatives. 110 Table: 29.3 PRESIDENCY OF SALVADOR ALLENDE, 1970-1973 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports Private Consumption (1) 1970 1971 1972 1973 Average 7,901.3 8,941.0 9,630.9 8,998.0 8,867.8 Government Consumption (2) Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) Imports (5) 2,018.5 2,345.1 967.1 2,044.5 2,269.3 2,290.8 975.0 2,219.0 2,398.2 1,830.5 827.7 2,289.0 2,440.0 1,720.2 850.8 2,165.0 2,281.5 2,046.7 905.2 2,179.4 Reference: Cap2_0 Series, Sheet2: GPIBReal. Pp. 121-127 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) 1+2+3+4-5 (6) Real GDP (7) Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) 11,187.5 12,257.1 12,398.3 11,844.0 11,921.7 11,181.6 12,183.0 12,035.2 11,365.4 11,691.3 -0.1 -0.6 -3.0 -4.2 -2.0 Graph: 29.3 PRESIDENCY OF SALVADOR ALLENDE, 1970-1973 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports 14,000.0 Private Consumption (1) 12,000.0 Government Consumption (2) 10,000.0 Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) 8,000.0 Exports (4) 6,000.0 Imports (5) 4,000.0 1+2+3+4-5 (6) 2,000.0 Real GDP (7) 0.0 Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GBIP Real; [AEGDP. (Pp. 121-127)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) 111 1973 1972 1971 1970 -2,000.0 By the middle of 1973, Chile is ravaged by destructive centrifugal forces unleashed by the final opening of a Pandora’s Box of more, anarchic, uncontrollable, government intervention. Despite, or possibly because of, ever more complex, extensive, government intervention in all sectors and activities from the desert of the North to the Patagonian pampas, Chile suffers from stagnation in output, hyperinflation, misallocation of resources, expanding poverty, excessive protection and barriers to trade, panic due to food and other consumer goods shortages, hoarding and black markets, collapse in civil order bordering on civil war, and an ominous malaise and anarchy. Armed revolutionary groups fill the increasing vacuum created by the failure of Allende and the opposition to agree on a mutually acceptable transformation of the collective markets, the constitution and the economic structure. Signs of impending civil war multiply as the uncompromising Left pursues the goal of, and the extreme Right desperately fights against, immediate, complete suspension of all aspects of liberal society and establishment of a Totalitarian Marxist State. As disintegration and chaos of civil society increasingly engulf procedural democracy, the military, with the consent, even prodding, of the center-right coalition, put a violent end to the structuralist, as well as the incomplete Allende Marxist, experiments. Salvador Allende, nevertheless, makes a priceless contribution to future generations of Chileans. By severing, through his expropriations, the last reactionary links of Chile’s collective market umbilical cord to its colonial past, he enables Pinochet and the democratic presidents who follow him, to use the power of the state to serve the people rather than the crown, a caudillo, an elite, or the state itself. As post 1973 unencumbered governments are free to satisfy the moral collective needs of all people, first civil society, and subsequently also procedural democracy, blossom. Allende’s failed quest of the utopian dream of a Marxist paradise, removes the last obstacles to the creation of the moral, liberal, collective markets which he had so ardently sought to destroy. 112 PART III 1973-2010 SUSPENSION AND RECOVERY OF PROCEDURAL DEMOCRACY RESTORATION OF LIBERAL COLLECTIVE MARKETS AND CIVIL SOCIETY AND SPECTACULAR GROWTH 1973-1990 30 TWO-TERM PRESIDENCY (MILITARY DICTATORSHIP) OF AUGUSTO PINOCHET UGARTE, 1973-1990 THE AGE OF PINOCHET: SUSPENSION OF PROCEDURAL DEMOCRACY AND AUTHORIATARIAN RECONSTRUCTION OF A LIBERAL CIVIL SOCIETY DECLINE AND GROWTH OF LABOR PRODUCTIVITY AND INCOME The widening, as well deepening, post 1970 clash between the Marxist-Socialist, revolutionary, anti-capitalist Left and the anti-Marxist, anti-totalitarian, anti-statist Right, is brought to an end on September 11, 1973, when the Military suspend the last vestiges of procedural democracy and embark on an unprecedented restructuring of collective markets. Augusto Pinochet Ugarte, who was a member of Allende’s government, commander in chief of the armed forces and head of the military junta, plays a pivotal role in the revolt against Allende, the closing of congress and the banishment of Socialist and Marxist parties. As president of Chile from 1974 to 1990, Pinochet provides unprecedented continuity and stability through liberal, production and accumulation centered, rather than coercive, redistribution focused policies. As during the 1800-1930 and 1930-1973 periods, labor productivity, income growth and international trade mirror, and are intimately affected by, the changing nature of collective markets. A strong recession during 1972-1975, and a milder one during 1982-1983, are followed by a prolonged recovery extending into the era of post-1990 democratic presidencies. The metamorphosis of Chilean collective markets by the military, under the aegis of General Augusto Pinochet Ugarte, arguably the most powerful personality in Chilean history, is as unexpected as 113 it is profound. Never before in Chilean history have collective markets been transformed as rapidly and as drastically as during the Pinochet Presidency. Table: 30.1 TWO-TERM PRESIDENCY (MILITARY DICTATORSHIP) OF AUGUSTO PINOCHET UGARTE, 1973-1990 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 Average Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) -5.6 -6.1 1.0 -1.6 -12.9 -19.1 3.5 1.0 9.9 13.1 8.2 9.3 8.3 10.0 7.9 9.1 6.2 10.9 -13.6 -21.1 -2.8 -6.2 5.9 7.8 2.0 -2.1 5.6 5.0 6.6 8.5 7.3 7.4 10.6 12.0 3.7 2.9 2.9 2.3 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) -7.7 -4.3 -21.4 1.3 16.0 10.0 10.2 13.6 13.9 -24.6 -7.3 10.0 -3.2 5.9 11.0 8.2 13.6 3.3 2.7 Graph: 30.1 TWO-TERM PRESIDENCY (MILITARY DICTATORSHIP) OF AUGUSTO PINOCHET UGARTE, 1973-1990 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment 20.00 15.00 10.00 5.00 0.00 -5.00 -10.00 -15.00 -20.00 -25.00 -30.00 Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) 1990 1989 1988 1987 1986 1985 1984 1983 1982 1981 1980 1979 1978 1977 1976 1975 1974 1973 Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) Restoration of fundamental, broken pillars of civil society becomes the first goal of the military. Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) Their physiocratic emphasis on the recognition and satisfaction of the moral collective need for economic 114 freedoms, i.e. liberalization, leads to policies eliminating almost all pre-1973 obstacles to free trade in the internal and external markets for final as well as intermediate agricultural, industrial, mining, and service commodities and their value added components, factor services and labor and property endowments. Furthermore, adoption of the Aristotelian-Lockian, sanctity of private property, principle, leads to the recognition and satisfaction of the, complementary to freedom, moral collective need for safety, security, and protection of private property, i.e. privatization, an anathema to the Marxist dogma of private property extinction, which was lionized during the Allende regime. With the exception of the Large Scale Copper Mining corporations, all state owned financial and non-financial corporations are returned to private ownership and/or control. The speed and amplitude in the production, by the military government, of the collective services satisfying the moral collective needs for economic freedom and private property is almost without precedent. Table: 30.2 TWO-TERM PRESIDENCY (MILITARY DICTATORSHIP) OF AUGUSTO PINOCHET UGARTE, 1973-1990 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 Average GDP Agriculture 11,365.4 11,476.2 9,994.6 10,346.2 11,366.2 12,300.2 13,318.9 14,377.0 15,270.1 13,195.2 12,825.5 13,580.4 13,847.7 14,622.6 15,584.9 16,720.7 18,493.9 19,172.9 13,769.9 395.9 501.7 526.0 510.5 563.5 536.1 566.2 586.4 602.7 593.0 574.4 622.8 667.1 712.9 781.2 879.9 927.3 1,013.4 642.3 Mining Manufacturing Other Sectors Government Services Construction 675.0 2,785.7 7,508.8 1,057.2 918.1 824.7 2,714.6 7,435.2 1,141.6 1,159.1 731.9 2,023.3 6,713.4 1,162.9 857.3 821.1 2,145.0 6,869.5 1,231.2 715.5 843.6 2,327.1 7,632.0 1,253.3 709.4 857.0 2,542.8 8,364.4 1,214.8 766.6 903.0 2,743.7 9,105.9 1,200.3 949.5 949.8 2,913.1 9,927.7 1,161.9 1,176.6 1,022.9 2,987.7 10,656.9 1,141.0 1,425.1 1,089.6 2,361.6 9,151.1 1,111.3 1,089.5 1,066.8 2,434.7 8,749.6 1,129.1 933.0 1,125.2 2,651.2 9,181.2 1,110.1 953.9 1,161.8 2,722.4 9,296.3 1,116.1 1,121.6 1,172.5 2,929.9 9,807.3 1,140.1 1,230.9 1,168.6 3,084.5 10,550.6 1,121.2 1,343.5 1,260.1 3,356.3 11,224.5 1,126.3 1,458.8 1,358.3 3,723.8 12,484.4 1,122.7 1,621.3 1,370.9 3,760.6 13,028.0 1,135.7 1,783.8 1,022.4 2,789.3 9,315.9 1,148.7 1,123.0 Reference: Cap1_0 Series. Sheet1: Real GDP by SEA. Pp. 28-35 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) 115 Commerce Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) 1,204.0 967.2 801.7 821.7 1,025.4 1,230.7 1,366.6 1,535.3 1,647.6 1,340.9 1,325.7 1,368.4 1,286.5 1,352.7 1,500.1 1,579.7 1,829.5 1,914.0 1,338.8 298.2 313.8 302.0 319.6 338.0 360.7 385.3 404.7 413.0 413.2 430.4 461.0 478.6 507.9 535.6 565.8 521.5 476.0 418.1 Graph: 30.2 TWO-TERM PRESIDENCY (MILITARY DICTATORSHIP) OF AUGUSTO PINOCHET UGARTE, 1973-1990 25,000.0 GDP GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity 20,000.0 Agriculture 15,000.0 Mining Manufacturing 10,000.0 Other Sectors 5,000.0 Government Services 0.0 1990 1989 1988 1987 1986 1985 1984 1983 1982 1981 1980 1979 1978 1977 1976 1975 1974 1973 Construction Commerce Reference: Cap 1_0 Series: Sheet PIBRealporActividad; [GDP by SEA (Pp. 28-35)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) Peace, order, growth, economic freedom, private property and social harmony, remain vulnerable, however, as long as inflation, that endemic, almost genetic, Chilean scourge, is not eradicated. Accordingly, average price stabilization, the third complementary pillar of the neo-liberal experiment, is forcefully pursued through a constitutionally guaranteed independence of the Central Bank, elimination of dominance of fiscal over monetary policy, and a decisive expulsion of public sector budget deficits. The spectacular recovery and enrichment of the economic freedom and private property components of collective markets is, however, in stark contrast to the dark backsliding in the political freedom, universal security of life and social harmony segments. The brutal treatment of actual, or perceived, enemies of law, order, and the regime, and the relative neglect, and inadequate access, of lower income strata, to health, education, and welfare services and employment opportunities, leave permanent stigmata on the monumental reconstructive legacy of Pinochet. 116 Table: 30.3 TWO-TERM PRESIDENCY (MILITARY DICTATORSHIP) OF AUGUSTO PINOCHET UGARTE, 1973-1990 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports Government Consumption (2) Private Consumption (1) 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 Average 8,998.0 7,353.8 6,513.9 6,530.4 7,575.8 8,146.2 8,674.8 9,275.3 10,517.1 8,965.8 8,451.8 8,504.9 8,421.5 8,852.5 9,492.4 10,159.6 11,190.4 11,435.7 8,836.7 Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) Imports (5) 2,440.0 1,720.2 850.8 2,165.0 2,674.3 2,049.0 1,241.8 2,237.9 2,399.1 1,582.4 1,270.9 1,372.5 2,396.5 1,348.0 1,580.6 1,431.5 2,488.7 1,556.2 1,768.4 1,940.1 2,657.0 1,826.6 1,966.3 2,280.7 2,900.2 2,134.4 2,244.4 2,797.5 2,665.4 2,601.9 2,565.3 3,321.3 2,581.5 3,038.0 2,335.7 3,843.0 2,533.9 1,874.4 2,445.8 2,485.0 2,503.2 1,592.5 2,448.3 2,040.5 2,483.0 1,892.7 2,504.1 2,309.1 2,548.1 2,081.5 2,811.6 2,070.7 2,575.8 2,131.8 3,095.5 2,234.3 2,509.4 2,599.0 3,300.1 2,645.8 2,599.5 2,966.7 3,673.6 2,986.9 2,697.3 3,855.8 4,273.6 3,733.7 2,719.6 3,971.8 4,636.2 3,944.9 2,576.3 2,267.9 2,500.7 2,546.7 Reference: Cap2_0 Series, Sheet2: GPIBReal. Pp. 121-127 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) 1+2+3+4-5 (6) Real GDP (7) Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) 11,844.0 11,081.0 10,393.8 10,424.0 11,449.0 12,315.4 13,156.3 13,786.6 14,629.3 13,334.9 12,955.3 13,075.6 13,792.0 14,421.3 15,255.1 16,412.5 18,283.4 18,818.4 13,634.9 11,365.4 11,476.2 9,994.6 10,346.2 11,366.2 12,300.2 13,318.8 14,377.0 15,270.1 13,195.2 12,825.5 13,580.4 13,847.7 14,622.6 15,584.9 16,720.7 18,493.9 19,172.9 13,769.9 -4.2 3.4 -4.0 -0.8 -0.7 -0.1 1.2 4.1 4.2 -1.1 -1.0 3.7 0.4 1.4 2.1 1.8 1.1 1.8 0.8 Graph: 30.3 TWO-TERM PRESIDENCY (MILITARY DICTATORSHIP) OF AUGUSTO PINOCHET UGARTE, 1973-1990 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports Private Consumption (1) 25,000.0 20,000.0 Government Consumption (2) 15,000.0 Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) 10,000.0 5,000.0 Imports (5) 0.0 1+2+3+4-5 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GBIP Real; [AEGDP. (Pp. 121-127)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) 117 1990 1989 1988 1987 1986 1985 1984 1983 1982 1981 1980 1979 1978 1977 1976 1975 1974 1973 -5,000.0 Real GDP (7) (6) The contribution of Pinochet and the military to Chile’s 1974-2006 exceptionalism can be summarized as follows: by replacing the Hegelian-Marxist-Allende principle that the “Individual exists to serve the state”, i.e. state sovereignty, by the moral collective markets principle that “The state exists to serve the (needs of the) individual”, i.e. individual sovereignty, they unleash the forces that rejuvenate civil society during 1974-2006, and procedural democracy during 1990-2006, thus facilitating their ultimate convergence. This radical economic transformation of collective markets explains the phenomenal, continuous improvement in opportunities to attain a good life open to Chileans, especially after 1990. 1990-2006 PHENOMENAL RISE IN LABOR PRODUCTIVITY, INCOME AND EXPORTS GRADUAL RESTORATION OF PROCEDURAL DEMOCRACY (CHANGE) AND FURTHER ADVANCE IN CIVIL SOCIETY (CONTINUITY) THE GROOM (PROCEDURAL DEMOCRACY) MEETS THE BRIDE (CIVIL SOCIETY) The 1973-2006 age of Chilean collective market exceptionalism is defined, on the one hand, by the recognition of both Pinochet and the democratic Presidents Aylwin, Frei, Lagos and Bachelet, of the golden rules of sustainable democracy and growth. All, either explicitly or tacitly, fully concede that there can be no sustainable democracy and growth, unless there exists both civil society and procedural democracy. They also realize that, unless all seven moral collective needs are satisfied, neither civil society and procedural democracy, nor sustainable democracy and growth, can be earned. The exceptionalism of 1973-2006, is also, on the other hand, however, above all, the consequence of the complementary roles played, first, by Pinochet and military authoritarianism in partially restoring liberal civil society during 1973-1989, and, subsequently, second by the democratic presidents Aylwin, Frei, Lagos, and Bachelet in restoring procedural democracy and extending the liberal civil society during 1990-2006. Without the unwavering commitment of Pinochet to use the power of the state to satisfy the moral collective needs for economic freedom and private property, civil society and economic prosperity could have never attained the splendid 1990-2006 levels. Furthermore, once the basic, economic freedom, and sanctity of private property, collective needs are satisfied, and law and order are reestablished, irresistible pressure arises to satisfy the partially or totally neglected collective needs for safety of life, political freedom, equal treatment by government, social harmony, and environmental protection, which also form indispensable pillars of sustainable democracy and growth. Presidents Aylwin, Frei, Lagos and Bachelet 118 use the power of the state to expand the frontiers of the collective markets bequeathed to them by Pinochet by increasing the degree of satisfaction of all seven moral collective needs. As true statesmen (women), they continue nourishing the already healthy segments of collective markets, while also fortifying the neglected, but nevertheless, necessary, pillars of political freedom, social harmony, equal treatment by government, protection of life and environmental sanctity. In the tradition of Portales and Ibáñez, Pinochet and the military assume the responsibility of delivering a partially reconstructed liberal civil society, even if it carries the price of suspending democracy. To the military, the benefits of preventing totalitarianism exceed the formidable human and social costs of their intervention. On the other side, controlling powerful sentiments of revenge and retribution, Democratic presidents Patricio Aylwin, Eduardo Frei Ruíz-Tagle, Ricardo Lagos and Michelle Bachelet assume the responsibility of carefully restoring the banished flame of political freedom and procedural democracy. They also do embrace the liberal civil society improvements of the 1974-1990 era, and consistently carry the satisfaction of almost all moral collective needs to new heights. Although hardly complete, the remarkable convergence of procedural democracy and civil society during 19902006 is unique in the annals of Chilean and Latin American economic, social and political history. 119 31 PRESIDENCY OF PATRICIO AYLWIN AZÓCAR, 1990-1994 The presidency (1990-1994) of Christian Democrat Patricio Alywin Azócar emerges as a unique landmark in the history of the Chilean economy and collective markets. Having been delivered an unparalleled, though incomplete, civil society structure by Pinochet, Aylwin carries the torch of political, economic, and social progress to all regions and people. The suspended by the military, irreplaceable, pillar of procedural Table: 31.1 PRESIDENCY OF PATRICIO AYLWIN AZÓCAR, 1990-1994 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) 3.7 2.9 8.0 6.7 12.3 13.9 7.0 9.5 7.9 7.5 7.8 8.1 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 Average 3.3 7.2 15.3 10.3 8.3 8.9 Graph: 31.1 PRESIDENCY OF PATRICIO AYLWIN AZÓCAR, 1990-1994 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) 120 1994 1993 1992 1991 Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) 1990 18.00 16.00 14.00 12.00 10.00 8.00 6.00 4.00 2.00 0.00 Table: 31.2 PRESIDENCY OF PATRICIO AYLWIN AZÓCAR, 1990-1994 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 Average GDP Agriculture 19,172.9 20,700.7 23,242.0 24,868.7 26,829.6 22,962.8 1,013.4 1,026.0 1,141.4 1,172.2 1,242.2 1,119.0 Mining Manufacturing Other Sectors Government Services Construction Commerce Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) 1,914.0 2,098.1 2,466.5 2,645.5 2,781.1 2,381.0 476.0 604.3 771.0 808.4 858.6 703.7 1,370.9 3,760.6 13,028.0 1,135.7 1,783.9 1,540.7 3,961.3 14,172.6 1,154.6 1,756.6 1,518.5 4,413.4 16,168.7 1,188.2 1,996.5 1,516.1 4,733.6 17,446.8 1,210.2 2,465.0 1,650.9 4,926.9 19,009.6 1,223.4 2,438.9 1,519.4 4,359.2 15,965.1 1,182.4 2,088.2 Reference: Cap1_0 Series. Sheet1: Real GDP by SEA. Pp. 28-35 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) Graph: 31.2 PRESIDENCY OF PATRICIO AYLWIN AZÓCAR, 1990-1994 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity 30,000.0 GDP Agriculture 25,000.0 Mining 20,000.0 Manufacturing Other Sectors 15,000.0 Government Services 10,000.0 Construction Commerce 5,000.0 Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) Reference: Cap 1_0 Series: Sheet PIBRealporActividad; [GDP by SEA (Pp. 28-35)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) 121 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 0.0 Table: 31.3 PRESIDENCY OF PATRICIO AYLWIN AZÓCAR, 1990-1994 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports Private Consumption (1) 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 Average 11,435.6 12,450.0 14,166.9 15,219.2 16,463.6 1,3947.1 Government Consumption (2) Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) Imports (5) 2,719.6 3,971.8 4,636.2 3,944.9 2,816.9 3,940.5 5,218.0 4,229.4 2,974.5 4,885.0 5,937.3 5,150.5 3,102.7 5,786.8 6,149.9 5,872.8 3,162.9 6,140.7 6,862.0 6,470.9 2,955.3 4,945.0 5,760.7 5,133.7 Reference: Cap2_0 Series, Sheet2: GPIBReal. Pp. 121-127 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) 1+2+3+4-5 (6) Real GDP (7) Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) 18,818.3 20,196.0 22,813.2 24,385.8 26,158.3 22,474.3 19,172.9 20,700.7 23,242.0 24,868.7 26,829.6 22,962.8 1.8 2.4 1.8 1.9 2.5 2.1 Graph: 31.3 PRESIDENCY OF PATRICIO AYLWIN AZÓCAR, 1990-1994 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports 30,000.0 Private Consumption (1) 25,000.0 Government Consumption (2) 20,000.0 Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) 15,000.0 Imports (5) 10,000.0 1+2+3+4-5 (6) Real GDP (7) 5,000.0 Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GBIP Real; [AEGDP. (Pp. 121-127)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) 122 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 0.0 democracy is gradually and cautiously restored by satisfying the dormant moral collective need for political freedom. In addition, the historically unprecedented, high degree of satisfaction, by the Pinochet government, of the moral collective needs for economic freedom, private property and equal treatment by government is further improved by Aylwin, heralding unprecedented economic, social, and political prosperity. 123 32 PRESIDENCY OF EDUARDO FREI RUÍZ-TAGLE, 1994-2000 As the collective needs for economic freedom and security of private property are satisfied, the aggregate propensity to save (percentage of total income saved) as well as the investment coefficient (percentage of investment in total output and expenditure) rise to historically unmatched levels. Table: 32.1 PRESIDENCY OF EDUARDO FREI RUÍZ-TAGLE, 1994-2000 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Average Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) 7.9 7.5 8.4 11.8 7.4 7.5 6.6 7.2 3.2 3.7 -0.8 -5.8 4.5 6.0 5.3 5.4 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) 8.3 12.8 7.9 7.4 3.9 -6.7 6.3 5.7 Graph: 32.1 PRESIDENCY OF EDUARDO FREI RUÍZ-TAGLE, 1994-2000 15.00 Annual Rates of Growth of Real GDP, Real Aggregate Expenditure, Real Private Consumption and Investment Real GDP Annual Rate of Growth (%) 10.00 5.00 Real Aggregate Expenditure Annual Rate of Growth (%) 0.00 Real Private Consumption and Investment Annual Rate of Growth (%) -5.00 Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GA Real; [RAECI. (Pp. 135-139)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:135-139) 124 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 -10.00 Table: 32.2 PRESIDENCY OF EDUARDO FREI RUÍZ-TAGLE, 1994-2000 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) Agriculture, Mining, Manufacturing, Other GDP 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Averag e 26,829. 6 29,084. 5 31,237. 3 33,300. 7 34,376. 6 34,115. 0 35,646. 5 32,084. 3 Mining Manufacturin g Other Sectors Government Services Constructio n Commerc e Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) 1,242.2 1,650.9 4,926.9 19,009.6 1,223.4 2,438.9 2,781.1 858.6 1,306.3 1,804.9 5,298.0 20,675.2 1,240.6 2,680.8 3,174.8 924.1 1,323.5 2,089.4 5,468.3 22,356.0 1,257.6 2,911.7 3,477.2 889.4 1,345.5 2,325.1 5,727.1 23,903.1 1,276.1 3,094.2 3,739.9 963.0 1,412.5 2,517.7 5,595.4 24,851.0 1,295.4 3,152.3 3,872.6 1005.5 1,401.5 2,784.3 5,566.7 24,362.5 1,314.1 2,841.0 3,700.8 957.7 1,485.9 2,873.6 5,840.2 25,446.7 1,334.0 2,820.9 3,862.8 1048.8 1,359.6 2,292.3 5,488.9 22,943.4 1,277.3 2,848.5 Reference: Cap1_0 Series. Sheet1: Real GDP by SEA. Pp. 28-35 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) 3,515.6 949.6 Agricultur e Graph: 32.2 PRESIDENCY OF EDUARDO FREI RUÍZ-TAGLE, 1994-2000 GDP by Sectors of Economic Activity 40,000.0 GDP 35,000.0 Agriculture 30,000.0 Mining 25,000.0 Manufacturing 20,000.0 Other Sectors 15,000.0 Government Services 10,000.0 Construction Commerce 5,000.0 2000 125 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 0.0 Services (Electricity, Gas and Water) Reference: Cap 1_0 Series: Sheet PIBRealporActividad; [GDP by SEA (Pp. 28-35)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:28-35) Table: 32.3 PRESIDENCY OF EDUARDO FREI RUÍZ-TAGLE, 1994-2000 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports Private Consumption (1) 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Average 16,463.6 18,079.8 19,785.0 21,089.1 22,074.2 21,864.0 22,668.7 20,289.2 Government Consumption (2) Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) Imports (5) 3,162.9 6,140.7 6,862.0 6,470.9 3,294.9 7,556.8 7,614.8 8,091.6 3,426.1 8,240.7 8,520.5 9,047.9 3,623.8 9,109.9 9,474.8 10,240.9 3,705.3 9,280.7 9,970.4 10,929.0 3,805.6 7,588.2 10,700.4 9,887.5 3,918.0 8,260.1 11,243.6 10,881.6 3,562.4 8,025.3 9,198.1 9,364.2 Reference: Cap2_0 Series, Sheet2: GPIBReal. Pp. 121-127 Source: Díaz- Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) 1+2+3+4-5 (6) Real GDP (7) Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) 26,158.3 28,454.7 30,924.4 33,056.7 34,101.6 34,070.7 35,208.8 31,710.7 26,829.6 29,084.5 31,237.3 33,300.7 34,376.6 34,115.0 35,646.5 32,084.3 2.5 2.2 1.0 0.7 0.8 0.1 1.2 1.2 Graph: 32.3 PRESIDENCY OF EDUARDO FREI RUÍZ-TAGLE, 1994-2000 Expenditure on GDP (Billions of 1996 Chilean Pesos) : Private Consumption, Government Consumption, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Exports and Imports 40,000.0 Private Consumption (1) 35,000.0 20,000.0 Government Consumption (2) Gross Fixed Capital Formation (3) Exports (4) 15,000.0 Imports (5) 30,000.0 25,000.0 10,000.0 1+2+3+4-5 (6) 5,000.0 Real GDP (7) Reference: Cap 2_0 Series: Sheet GBIP Real; [AEGDP. (Pp. 121-127)] Source: Diaz-Lüders-Wagner (2005:121-127) 126 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 0.0 Residual (7-6)/7 % (8) Furthermore, economic efficiency, as measured by the output-capital ratio (units of output produced by a unit of capital) rises significantly, possibly from 1:7 to 1:3. That is, instead of requiring seven units of capital to produce one unit of output, now, one unit of output can be produced with only three units of capital. The rise in the propensity to save and in the output-capital ratio, lead to phenomenal increase in growth rates, especially, early, during the Eduardo Frei Ruíz-Tagle (the son of Eduardo Frei Montalva) presidency, but also throughout the 1973-2006 period. Frei carefully balances change and continuity. 127 Presidency of Ricardo Lagos, 2000-2006 The Ricardo Lagos presidency (2000-2006) is also characterized by continued strengthening of procedural democracy as well as civil society. Moral collective markets reach historically unmatched levels of efficiency. The degree of satisfaction of the moral collective need for political freedom reaches enviable levels both in absolute terms but also, especially, in comparison to the rest of Latin America. Displaying impressive statesmanship, Lagos, a member of Salvador Allende’s administration, an exile during the Pinochet government, a pivotal leader in the 1988 “NO” campaign, which successfully denies Pinochet eight more years as president, and a member of the Socialist Party, uses the formidable power of the state to improve the degree of satisfaction of the moral collective needs for economic, social and political freedom, safety, security, and protection of life and private property, equal treatment by government, social harmony and, to a lesser extent, environmental protection. The likelihood of Chile attaining sustainable democracy and economic growth increases significantly during the Aylwin-FreiLagos presidencies. As the nation follows the golden rules of attaining both procedural democracy and civil society, on the one hand, and satisfying all basic moral collective needs, on the other hand, its new female, socialist, President, Michele Bachelet, inherits the leadership of a Chile lindo experiencing remarkable price stability, improved output growth, a still unconformable level of inequality, unemployment, and social exclusion, and a minerals-boom-propelled balance of payments bonanza. 128 PART III TABLE 4 CHILE PERCENTAGE RATES OF INCREASE OF GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT AND EXPORTS PER CAPITA AND ANNUAL RATES OF INFLATION, 1810-1995. 1810-1878 1.06 PERIODS 1880-1929 1890-1929 1890-1913 1938-1970 1946-1970 1978-1995 1810-1995 1. Percentage Rates of Increase of Gross Internal Product Per Capita Annual Rate of Five-Year Average 1.58 1.24 1.37 1.85 1.54 2.95 1.40 Source: Lüders, 1997. Table 1, page 17. 2.51 2.71 0.49 4.59 2. Percentage Rates of Increase of Exports Per Capita Average Annual Moving Rates of Five Years 1.79 1.95 -0.46 -0.70 Source: Lüders, 1997. Table 3, page 26. 6.59 2.33 3. Annual Percentage Rates of Inflation Between Periods 5.41 5.74 25.97 30.36 20.62 Source: Lüders, 1997. Table 2, page 22 18.55 129 TABLE 5 CHILE TOTAL PRODUCT AND TOTAL PRODUCT PER CAPITA, 1810-1995. Annual Rates of Growth by Period TOTAL PRODUCT PER CAPITA PRODUCT 1810-1995 3.03% 1.40% 1810-1860 1860-1940 1940-1995 2.57% 2.79% 3.80% 0.92% 1.37% 1.89% 1810-1820 1820-1830 1830-1840 1840-1850 0.47% 1.81% 3.30% 4.01% -1.26% 0.13% 1.62% 2.37% 1850-1860 1860-1870 1870-1880 1880-1890 1890-1900 3.29% 3.29% 4.62% 2.67% 2.39% 1.75% 1.78% 3.00% 1.09% 1.22% 1900-1910 1910-1920 1920-1930 1930-1940 1940-1950 4.36% 0.35% 1.70% 2.98% 3.17% 3.09% -0.94% 0.36% 1.42% 1.35% 3.78% 4.23% 2.55% 2.92% 8.69% 1.47% 1.94% 0.93% 1.22% 7.16% 1950-1960 1960-1970 1970-1980 1980-1990 1990-1995 Source: Díaz-Lüders-Wagner (1998:3). 130 TABLE 6 CHILE SECTORAL PRODUCT, 1860-1995 Average Rates of Growth By Period Mining Manufacturing Government Product Product Services 3.00% 3.52% 3.72% 1860-1995 Agricultural Product 2.31% 1860-1940 1940-1995 1.77% 3.10% 3.55% 2.19% 2.82% 4.55% 4.16% 3.10% 2.77% 4.15% 1860-1870 1870-1880 1880-1890 1890-1900 2.53% 2.67% -3.87% 5.02% 2.65% 6.48% 8.15% 2.97% 3.98% 5.00% 2.97% 0.58% 6.26% 8.11% 5.49% 1.76% 3.45% 4.64% 2.31% 2.13% 1900-1910 1910-1920 1920-1930 1930-1940 1940-1950 2.38% 1.52% 3.26% 0.86% 2.16% 4.74% 1.18% 1.89% 0.60% 0.33% 2.85% 0.66% 1.89% 4.76% 8.12% 9.10% -3.22% -2.47% 9.07% 7.84% 4.51% 0.00% 1.48% 3.76% 2.22% 1950-1960 1.64% -0.73% 1960-1970 1.93% 2.57% 1970-1980 2.24% 3.44% 1980-1990 6.02% 3.74% 1990-1995 6.35% 5.66% Source: Díaz-Lüders-Wagner (1998: 4-5) 4.45% 5.32% 1.14% 2.59% 7.10% 4.32% 2.54% 1.87% -0.23% 1.78% 4.96% 4.58% 3.10% 2.85% 10.52% 131 Rest 3.33% 1810-1820 1820-1830 1830-1840 1840-1850 TABLE 7 PER CAPITA PRODUCT CHILE, SPAIN, MEXICO AND UNITED STATES, 1810-1995 IN DOLLARS OF 1995 (PPP1 1990), AVERAGES BY PERIOD Chile Spain Mexico United States 690 1,141 816 1,503 644 1,129 784 1,555 701 1,138 738 1,695 842 1,191 719 1,844 1850-1860 1860-1870 1870-1880 1880-1890 1890-1900 1,048 1,234 1,511 1,970 2,254 1,275 1,398 1,599 1,852 2,088 710 735 824 977 1,153 2,204 2,555 2,845 3,556 3,928 1900-1910 1910-1920 1920-1930 1930-1940 1940-1950 2,587 2,934 3,028 2,898 3,650 2,239 2,356 2,817 2,659 2,552 1,411 1,598 1,671 1,523 1,943 5,006 5,642 6,636 6,299 10,368 3,285 5,597 9,518 11,101 13,389 2,590 3,473 4,720 5,466 5,363 11,495 14,169 17,953 21,409 23,624 1950-1960 4,302 1960-1970 5,088 1970-1980 5,375 1980-1990 5,893 1990-1995 8,209 Source: Díaz-Lüders-Wagner (1998: 7) 1 PPP stands for purchasing power parity. 132 TABLE 8 CHILE COMPOSITION OF FISCAL INCOME BY CATEGORY, 1833-1999. DECENNIAL AVERAGES EXPRESSED AS A PERCENTAGE OF TOTAL FISCAL INCOME (A=A.1+ ..+A.3) Tax Revenue 1833-1839 1840-1849 1850-1859 1860-1869 1870-1879 1880-1889 1890-1899 1900-1909 1910-1919 1920-1929 1930-1939 1940-1949 1950-1959 1960-1969 1970-1979 1980-1989 1990-1999 81.05 95.92 95.52 90.21 91.53 92.16 84.46 83.91 89.22 70.76 73.19 73.67 84.06 94.79 76.70 81.19 86.32 (A.1) Taxes on Natural Mineral Resources 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.62 5.15 35.03 52.97 50.35 49.50 28.13 13.78 18.81 17.52 13.10 5.30 10.96 8.15 (A.2) (A.3i +A.3ii) Direct Indirect Taxes Taxes 0.00 11.46 10.93 8.88 7.37 5.73 0.76 0.01 2.97 9.67 15.53 18.83 18.68 25.20 19.94 14.49 17.83 81.05 84.47 84.60 73.71 79.01 51.40 30.73 33.56 36.75 32.97 43.88 36.03 47.85 56.49 51.46 55.74 60.35 (A3i) Internal Indirect Taxes (A.3ii) External Indirect Taxes (B) Non Tax Income (C) Extraordinary Income 21.14 26.98 22.91 22.15 22.68 7.88 0.86 2.07 7.75 9.49 13.87 17.82 33.20 41.51 42.23 47.82 50.86 59.91 57.49 61.69 51.56 56.33 43.51 29.88 31.49 29.00 23.48 30.01 18.21 14.66 14.98 9.23 7.92 9.49 18.95 4.08 4.48 3.84 6.39 7.84 5.90 5.83 7.51 9.04 14.80 11.76 4.84 5.03 22.96 18.81 13.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.95 2.07 0.00 9.64 10.26 3.27 20.20 12.00 14.58 11.10 0.18 0.33 0.00 0.00 Note: 1. Taxes on natural mineral resources correspond to those originating in Copper, Nitrate and Iodine, Other Resources and the Difference in the Sale of Foreign Exchange. 2. Direct taxes include income taxes, property taxes and various taxes. 3. Indirect internal taxes include taxes on specific activities, taxes on services and taxes on legal acts. 4. Indirect external taxes include import taxes and export taxes not included in category (1). 5. Non-tax income includes revenues from national property, national services, and various revenues. Source: Wagner, Gert, Jofré José and Rolf Lüders, (2000, 21). 133 TABLE 9 CHILE FISCAL EXPENDITURE ACCORDING TO FUNCTIONS, 1833-1999 DECENNIAL AVERAGES EXPRESSED AS A PERCENTAGE OF TOTAL FISCAL EXPENDITURE Total Expenditure (I+F-G+H) 1833-1839 1840-1849 1850-1859 1860-1869 1870-1879 1880-1889 1890-1899 1900-1909 1910-1919 1920-1929 1930-1939 1940-1949 1950-1959 1960-1969 1970-1979 1980-1989 1990-1999 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 (1) A. A.1 A.2 A.3 Total Central General Government Defense Justice Government Functions and Expenditure Security (A+.+E) 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 105.07 115.61 110.09 104.32 106.76 110.81 114.32 111.32 100.00 96.98 91.06 94.09 94.14 87.34 68.05 62.18 69.03 74.89 66.98 63.85 55.31 46.85 47.59 27.93 22.89 58.60 56.86 54.09 59.55 70.52 51.50 33.19 36.89 42.35 46.60 37.90 35.81 35.71 33.17 29.23 6.11 4.50 41.40 35.43 31.85 30.38 20.51 32.80 31.03 21.84 23.34 25.55 25.47 25.05 17.82 11.93 16.70 19.60 15.73 B. Social Functions B.1 Health B.2 Housing B.3 Social Security 0.00 3.02 5.14 5.91 5.55 5.19 6.09 7.54 11.34 15.02 23.73 25.18 21.58 26.01 42.96 69.64 67.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.73 4.93 7.30 7.87 8.46 8.56 10.37 12.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.10 5.39 4.36 5.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.20 30.35 0.00 4.69 5.12 4.16 3.11 3.05 3.83 3.45 3.35 2.74 3.60 2.99 1.77 1.75 1.67 2.22 2.65 134 B.4 B.5 B.6 Education Employment Other Programs 0.00 2.61 5.14 5.91 5.55 5.19 6.09 7.54 11.34 13.47 17.19 16.20 13.00 14.97 14.11 12.25 15.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.12 0.00 0.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.82 1.61 1.68 0.70 0.48 14.90 33.18 4.08 Table 9 (continued) Chile. Fiscal Expenditure According to Functions, 1833-1999 Decennial Averages Expressed as a Percentage of Total Fiscal Expenditure C. Economic Functions 1833-1839 1840-1849 1850-1859 1860-1869 1870-1879 1880-1889 1890-1899 1900-1909 1910-1919 1920-1929 1930-1939 1940-1949 1950-1959 1960-1969 1970-1979 1980-1989 1990-1999 0.00 0.00 3.80 0.00 0.31 5.96 25.84 27.78 19.15 6.10 11.14 12.30 22.92 33.90 20.26 13.38 15.36 C.1 Promotion and Regulation of Productive Activities 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.60 0.71 0.77 0.33 1.03 11.12 6.29 10.02 20.49 10.48 8.01 8.31 C.2 Infrastructure D. Other Non-Assignable Expenditures E. Public Debt Interest F. Net Recovered Loans G. Level Adjustment H. Financial Investment 0.00 0.00 3.80 0.00 0.00 5.36 25.13 27.01 18.81 5.07 0.02 6.00 12.90 13.41 9.79 5.37 7.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.51 0.02 2.50 0.48 9.07 13.76 8.76 4.51 0.00 0.00 0.49 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.88 5.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.98 -3.07 -0.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.07 15.61 10.09 4.32 6.76 12.79 10.18 7.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -1.08 -3.13 Source: Wagner, Gert, Jofré José and Rolf Lüders, 2000, pp 27-2 135 TABLE 10 CHILE ANNUAL PERCENTAGE RATES OF GROWTH OF FISCAL INCOME AND EXPENDITURE TOTAL AND PER CAPITA BY PERIODS, 1833-1999 Fiscal Income Fiscal Income Per Capita Fiscal Expenditures 1833-1995 1833-1999 4.42 4.35 2.78 2.72 4.23 4.35 Fiscal Expenditures Per Capita 2.60 2.72 1833-1860 1860-1940 1940-1999 5.07 4.10 4.37 3.43 2.67 2.47 4.68 3.83 4.90 3.05 2.40 3.00 1833-1840 1840-1850 5.55 7.53 3.48 5.58 2.64 7.77 0.62 5.82 1850-1860 1860-1870 1870-1880 1880-1890 1890-1900 2.33 4.61 4.99 7.91 1.56 0.32 2.87 3.30 6.55 0.40 3.09 7.21 5.12 8.19 0.36 1.06 5.42 3.43 6.83 -0.79 1900-1910 1910-1920 1920-1930 1930-1940 1940-1950 4.26 -2.87 10.08 2.79 2.42 2.84 -3.92 8.55 1.17 0.99 5.38 -3.40 6.50 1.84 5.08 3.95 -4.44 5.03 0.24 3.62 1950-1960 1960-1970 1970-1980 1980-1990 1990-1999 5.55 6.12 6.59 0.07 5.77 3.21 3.80 4.90 -1.59 4.24 6.71 4.92 3.81 0.59 8.86 4.34 2.62 2.17 -1.08 7.29 Source: Wagner, Gert, Jofré José and Rolf Lüders, (2000: 37). 136 TABLE 11 CHILE MAJOR ECONOMIC CRISES: 1833-1999 A COMPARISON WITH PER CAPITA FISCAL INCOME AND EXPENDITURES Gross Internal Product 1861-1862 -2.1% 1876-1877 1883-1885 -7.2% -6.0% 1896-1897 1899-1900 -3.9% -4.0% 1914-1915 1926-1927 1930-1932 -20.3% -12.3% -46.5% 1964-1965 1972-1975 1982-1983 -1.8% -23.3% -18.8% Percentage Reduction In Fiscal Revenues In Constant Prices 1838-1839 -15.9% 1853-1854 -16.0% 1861-1862 -19.4% 1870-1871 -21.2% 1876-1877 -25.5% 1884-1885 -24.8% 1897-1898 -13.6% 1900-1902 1908-1909 1913-1915 -13.4% -13.0% -45.2% 1929-1932 1936-1937 1949-1950 1953-1954 1963-1964 -67.3% -13.2% -21.8% -21.2% -5.0% 1982-1983 -25.4% 1998-1999 -8.7% Source: Wagner, Gert, Jofré José and Rolf Lüders, (2000: 40). 137 Fiscal Expenditures 1838-1839 1852-1853 1860-1862 1868-1869 1875-1878 1884-1885 1892-1893 -22.5% -11.0% -32.6% -14.7% -32.1% -27.6% -42.8% 1899-1900 1902-1903 -7.2% -15.7% 1913-1917 -55.0% 1931-1932 -55.1% 1963-1964 1975-1976 1982-1983 1985-1988 -13.4% -18.9% -10.0% -18.1% PART IV Organization of the Mamalakis Collective Markets Indices Table 12. The Mamalakis Index of Sustainable Democracy and Growth (SG). Chile, 1800-2005. The values of Table 9 time series are the weighted average of the values of table 10 (25%) and Table 12 (75%) time series. Table 13. The Mamalakis Index of Procedural Democracy (PD). Chile, 1800-2005. Weight 25% Table 14. The Mamalakis Index of the Degree of Satisfaction of the Moral Collective Need for Political Freedom (PF). Chile, 1800-2005. Weight 25%. Table 15 The Mamalakis Index of Civil Society (CS). Chile, 1800-2005. Weight 75%. Table 16. The Mamalakis Index of the Degree of Satisfaction of the Moral Collective Need for Safety, Security and Protection of Life (SL). Chile, 1800-2005. Weight 12.5%. Table 17. The Mamalakis Index of the Degree of Satisfaction of the Moral Collective Needs for Freedom (FR). Chile, 1800-2005. Weight 12.5%. Table 18. The Mamalakis Index of the Degree of Satisfaction of the Moral Collective Need for Safety, Security, and Protection of Private Property (PR), Chile, 1800-2005. Weight 12.5%. Table 19. The Mamalakis Index of the Degree of Satisfaction of the Moral Collective Need for Equal Treatment by Government (ET). Chile, 1800-2005. Weight 12.5%. Table 20. The Mamalakis Index of the Degree of Satisfaction of the Moral Collective Need for Social Harmony (SH). Chile, 1800-2005. Weight 12.5%. Table 21. The Mamalakis Index of the Degree of Satisfaction of the Moral Collective Need for Environmental Protection (EP). Chile, 1800-2005. Weight 12.5%. Some explanatory remarks may help the reader better understand the information found in the following tables. In table 9, column (1) measures the percentage contribution of procedural democracy (and of the political freedom index) to the aggregate index of sustainable democracy and growth. The maximum value of column (1), Table 12, time series is, 25, since this is the percentage weight assigned to it. An actual value of 25, in column (1), Table 12, would imply that one hundred percent of the moral collective need for political freedom is satisfied. It would also imply that there exists maximum, or perfect, procedural democracy. A value of zero in column (1) would imply either the existence of a pre-political state of nature in the tradition of Hobbes, Locke, and Rousseau, or a tyrannical, totalitarian system with no political freedom whatsoever. Column (2), in Table 12, measures the degree of existence of civil society as determined by the weighted sum of the degree of satisfaction of the six moral collective needs underpinning civil society. The maximum percentage contribution (value) of the CS index to the SG index is 75. An actual value of 75 would reflect a perfect civil society attained when all six moral collective needs have been satisfied. A zero value in 138 column (2), Table 12, would reflect either a complete absence of even the most primitive features of civil society and/or chaotic, or totalitarian, regimes engaged in unmitigated warfare, including genocide. Column (3), Table 12, (the values of column (3) are the sum of the values of columns (1) and (2)) contains statistics which aim to provide a measure of the degree to which a country has reached the goal of attaining sustainable democracy and growth (SG). The values of the time series of column (3), Table 12, can range between zero and one hundred. A value of zero would reflect complete lack of both procedural democracy and civil society. A value of 100 would represent the ideal state when both procedural democracy and civil society have reached a point of perfection. Between the value of 0 and 100%, there obviously exists an infinite number of combinations of procedural democracy and civil society. An SG value of less than 50% would suggest an imminent, or actual, collapse and/or absence of procedural democracy, civil society, and sustainable growth. An SG value of more than 50% would suggest that progress is being made in attaining procedural democracy and/or civil society and sustainable growth. In order to better understand the historical evolution of Chile, however, it will be necessary to also focus on the degree of satisfaction of each one of the collective moral needs. This task is undertaken in the sections that follow. 139 TABLE 12 THE AGGREGATE MAMALAKIS INDEX OF SUSTAINABLE DEMOCRACY AND GROWTH (SG):CHILE, 1800-2005 AN INDEX OF THE DEGREE OF SATISFACTION OF THE SEVEN FUNDAMENTAL MORAL COLLECTIVE NEEDS (EXPRESSED AS A PERCENTAGE) (1) (2) (3) Year Percentage contribution of Percentage Contribution Aggregate SG Index the Procedural Democracy of the Civil Society (CS) (PD) Index to the SG Index Index to the SG Index (1) (2) (1)=(2)+(3) 1800 12 47 59 1810 12 49 61 1820 12 49 61 1830 12 50 62 1840 12 50 62 1850 12 49 61 1860 13 50 63 1870 12 50 62 1880 12 51 63 1890 12 51 63 1900 15 56 71 1910 15 55 70 1920 15 56 71 1930 15 55 70 1940 16.5 54 70.5 1950 16 53 69 1960 16 50 66 1970 10 28 38 1980 6 41 47 1990 19 64 83 2000 20 67 87 Note: The Mamalakis indices presented in this essay are relative in nature. They attempt to provide quantifiable measures of the degree of satisfaction of the moral collective needs which are an integral part of civilized society. The indices can have values ranging between zero and one hundred percent. The first Mamalakis index is the Index of Sustainable Democracy, Civil Society, and Growth (SG). This index is a composite one. It is the weighted average of the Mamalakis Indices of Procedural Democracy (PD) and Civil Society (CS). The index of Procedural Democracy is given a weight of 25%. The Index of Civil Society has a weight of 75%. The composite index (SG) embodies, reflects, and aims to provide a quantitative measure of, the two golden rules of Mamalakis. One the one hand it, emphasizes the essential complementarity between procedural democracy and civil society, i.e., the first golden rule of Mamalakis. Unless there exists both procedural democracy and civil society, there can be neither sustainable democracy, nor sustainable growth. It also aims to emphasize the belief that civil society (with a weight of 75%) is an even more important complementary pillar of sustainable growth than procedural democracy (with a weight of 25%). One the other hand, it stresses the principle that all moral collective needs underpinning civil society must be satisfied. This is the second golden rule of Mamalakis. These moral collective needs are for safety, security, and protection of life (SL) (Table 16 and 16 graph), for freedom (FR) (Table 17 and 17 graph), for safety, security, and protection of private property (PR) (Table 18 and 18 graph), for equal treatment by government (ET) (Table 19 and 19 graph), for social harmony (SH) (Table 20 and 20 graph) and for environmental protection (EP) (Table 21 and 21 graph). The six moral collective needs underlying civil society are as complementary to each other, as procedural democracy is complementary to civil society. 140 Table 12 Graph. The Mamalakis Index of Sustainable Democracy and Growth: Chile, 1800-2005 100 Index (in Percent) 90 80 70 60 Procedural Democracy Index 50 Civil Society Index 40 Aggregate Index 30 20 10 0 141 In the case of Tables 13 and 14, the values of columns (1) and (2) are identical for the following reason. Procedural democracy, which is measured in Table 13, conceptually differs from the moral collective need for political freedom, the satisfaction of which is measured by the values found in Table 13. Since it is assumed, however, for simplicity purposes, that the degree of satisfaction of the moral collective need for political freedom determines the degree of progress in achieving procedural democracy, the values of columns (1) and (2) of Table 14 also become the values of columns (1) and (2) of Table 13. The degree of procedural democracy, therefore, corresponds, and is equal to, the degree of satisfaction of the moral collective need for political freedom. TABLE 13 THE MAMALAKIS INDEX OF PROCEDURAL DEMOCRACY (PD): CHILE, 1800-2005 AN INDEX OF THE DEGREE OF SATISFACTION OF THE MORAL COLLECTIVE NEED FOR POLITICAL FREEDOM (PF) EXPRESSED AS A PERCENTAGE (1) (2) Year Percentage Contribution of the PD Index of Degree of Satisfaction Index to the SG Index of the Moral Collective Need for Political Freedom (1) (2) 1800 12 48 1810 12 48 1820 12 48 1830 12 48 1840 12 48 1850 12 48 1860 13 52 1870 12 48 1880 12 48 1890 12 48 1900 15 60 1910 15 60 1920 15 60 1930 15 60 1940 16.5 66 1950 16 64 1960 16 64 1970 10 40 1980 6 24 1990 19 76 2000 20 80 Note: The Mamalakis Index of Procedural Democracy aims to provide a quantifiable measure of who has the coercive power of government. 142 Table 13. Graph. The Mamalakis Index of Procedural Democracy: Chile, 1800-2005 Index (in Percent) 90 80 70 Percentage Contribution of the PD Index to the SG Index 60 50 Index of Degree of Satisfaction of the Moral Collective Need for Political Freedom 40 30 20 10 0 Time 143 TABLE 14 THE MAMALAKIS INDEX OF THE DEGREE OF SATISFACTION OF THE MORAL COLLECTIVE NEED FOR POLITICAL FREEDOM (PF) CHILE, 1800-2005 EXPRESSED AS A PERCENTAGE (1) (2) Year Percentage Contribution of the PF Index of Degree of Satisfaction Index to the SG Index of the Moral Collective Need for Political Freedom 1800 1810 1820 1830 1840 1850 1860 1870 1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 12 12 12 12 12 12 13 12 12 12 15 15 15 15 16.5 16 16 10 6 19 20 48 48 48 48 48 48 52 48 48 48 60 60 60 60 66 64 64 40 24 76 80 Note: The Mamalakis Index of the Degree of Satisfaction of the Moral Collective Need for Political Freedom (PF) aims to provide a quantifiable measure of the attainment of procedural democracy. The degree of satisfaction of the moral collective need for political freedom is the sole direct determinant of procedural democracy. It is assigned a weight of 25% in determining sustainable democracy and growth. Thus, the sub-index of PF carries a weight of 25% in determining sustainable democracy, while the subindices of CS carry only 12.5% weight, or half of it, in contributing to sustainable democracy and growth. 144 TABLE 14 Graph The Mamalakis Index of the Degree of Satisfaction of the Moral Collective Need for Political Freedom: Chile, 1800-2005 90 Index (in Percent) 80 70 Percentage Contribution of the PF Index to the SG Index 60 50 40 30 Degree of Satisfaction of the PF Need 20 10 0 Time 145 TABLE 15 CHILE THE MAMALAKIS INDEX OF CIVIL SOCIETY (CS): 1800-2005 A COMPOSITE INDEX OF THE DEGREE OF SATISFACTION OF THE SIX FUNDAMENTAL MORAL COLLECTIVE NEEDS UNDERPINNING CIVIL SOCIETY EXPRESSED AS A PERCENTAGE (1) Year 1800 1810 1820 1830 1840 1850 1860 1870 1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 (2) Index of the Composite Degree of Percentage Contribution of the CS Satisfaction of the Six Index to the SG Index Fundamental Moral Collective Needs Underpinning Civil Society 35 47 37 49 37 49 38 51 38 51 37 49 37 49 38 41 38 41 39 52 41 54 40 53 41 54 40 53 38 51 37 49 34 45 18 24 35 47 45 60 47 62 Note: The Mamalakis Index of Civil Society hopes to provide a measure of how the power of the state is exercised by its arm of general government. How means whether it is used to satisfy the moral and block the immoral collective needs or vice versa. The index of CS is the weighted average of the values assigned to the degree of satisfaction of the six underlying moral collective needs. Each of the six moral collective needs is assigned a 12.5% weight in determining the value of the composite CG, or one sixth of the 75% weight assigned to Civil Society. A low index of CS can result from low values of all six underlying indices. Or, it can result from some high and other low values. For example, a country can have a high value for the Security of Life index, e.g. 12%, but a very low, i.e., only 3%, for the freedom index. Such a country enjoys “order” but lacks “freedom”, a combination acceptable to some while unacceptable to others. A strategy of creating sustainable democracy and growth is viable and effective if it increases the degree of satisfaction of moral collective needs with low values e.g. that for freedom, without reducing the degree of satisfaction of moral collective needs with high values, e.g. security of life and private property which are often described as “order”. 146 Table 15. Graph. The Mamalakis Index of Civil Society (CS): Chile, 1800-2005 70 Index (in Percent) 60 Percentage Contribution of the CS Index to the SG Index 50 40 30 Index of the Composite Degree of Satisfaction of the Six Fundamental Moral Collective Needs Underpinning Civil Society 20 10 0 Time 147 An explanation of the figures found in columns (1) and (2) of Tables 13-31 is necessary in understanding their relevance and importance. The figures found in column (2) provide an estimate of the degree of satisfaction of the respective moral collective need. They always are expressed as percentages. For example, a value of 50 means that fifty percent of the corresponding moral collective need has been satisfied. The values found in column (2) can range from zero (no satisfaction) to one hundred percent (100% or complete satisfaction). Since all values are expressed as percentages, the values of column (2) also are always part of an index which can never fall below zero or exceed one hundred. The figures of columns (2) are important because they provide a measure of the degree a vital, moral collective need is satisfied in a particular year in a particular country, in this case Chile. The figures found in column (1), Tables 16-21, measure the percentage contribution of the index (value) of the degree of satisfaction of the respective moral collective need to the aggregate index (value) of Sustainable Democracy and Growth (SG). Since each of the six moral collective needs underpinning SG has been assigned an equal weight of 12.5%, the actual values of the time series in column (1), Tables 16-21, can not fall below zero or exceed 12.5%. All six moral collective needs underpinning civil society are complementary and carry equal weights. Their degree of satisfaction can, and does, vary significantly over time and space-country, as in the Chilean case, which is examined in this essay, clearly demonstrates. 148 TABLE 16 CHILE THE MAMALAKIS INDEX OF THE DEGREE OF SATISFACTION OF THE MORAL COLLECTIVE NEED FOR SAFETY, SECURITY, AND PROTECTION OF LIFE (SL): 1800-2005 Expressed as a Percentage (1) (2) Percentage Contribution of the SL Index of 0 Degree of Satisfaction of Year Index to the SG Index the SL Need 1800 1810 1820 1830 1840 1850 1860 1870 1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 6 6 6 6 2 8 8 8 48 48 48 48 56 56 56 64 64 64 64 64 48 48 48 48 16 64 64 64 Note: The most fundamental moral collective need, which must be satisfied if civil society is to exist and be maintained, is that for safety, security and protection of life. The Mamalakis Index of the Degree of Satisfaction of the Moral Collective Need for Safety, Security, and Protection of Life (SL) aims to provide a quantifiable measure of the degree of satisfaction of this need. There exist the following unique features of this index. First, it is an index that focuses on needs. Second, it focuses on collective needs, i.e. the needs where the exclusion and rivalry principles do not apply. Third, it is a moral collective need. Fourth, it is a need of each and all institutional units that can best, i.e. least expensively, be satisfied by a legal entity created by the people. This entity, within the system of National Accounts 2003 (SNA93), is referred to as the general government. This need is recognized within the collective markets and satisfied through the production of the moral collective service of safety, security, and protection of life by general government. Its total market value, or cost, is the sum of the multiple “value-added components” of the final moral collective composite service of safety of life created and used by government to satisfy the final moral collective need for SL. It is important to point out that this index is consequentialist in nature. It measures the actual degree of satisfaction of this need, not the cost. As an example, within a range of 0.0% to 100%, it may have a value of only 20%, i.e. low satisfaction, in Palestine, or only 15% in Iraq, and 30 % in Afghanistan, even though military and police expenses may absorb more than 50% of general government expenditures in all of these countries. 149 Table 13. Graph. The Mamalakis Index of the Degree of Satisfaction of the Moral Collective Need for Safety, Security and Protection of Life (SL): Chile, 1800-2005 70 50 Percentage Contribution of the SL Index to the SG Index Degree of Satisfaction of the SL Need 40 30 20 10 0 18 00 18 10 18 20 18 30 18 40 18 50 18 60 18 70 18 80 18 90 19 00 19 10 19 20 19 30 19 40 19 50 19 60 19 70 19 80 19 90 20 00 Index (in Percent) 60 Time 150 TABLE 17 CHILE THE MAMALAKIS INDEX OF THE DEGREE OF SATISFACTION OF THE MORAL COLLECTIVE NEED FOR FREEDOM (FR): 1800-2005 Expressed as a Percentage (1) (2) Year Percentage contribution of Index of Degree of Satisfaction of the FR Need the FR Index to the SG Index 1800 1810 1820 1830 1840 1850 1860 1870 1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 5 7 7 8 7 6 6 7 7 8 8 7 7 7 5 6 4 2 6 9 9 40 56 56 64 56 48 48 56 56 64 64 56 56 56 40 48 32 16 48 75 75 Note: Few collective needs have received as much attention over the millennia as that for freedom. Throughout the history of economics, politics, law, philosophy, sociology and so forth, freedom is examined under the nebulous concept of “rights”. Within the Mamalakis Theory of Natural Law, Social Justice, and Collective Markets, “freedom” is a “need”, a “collective need” of all natural and legal entities. It is a collective need which is satisfied, through collective markets, by the final composite, “moral freedom service” produced by general government. The “freedom need” has many components. In the present essay, two categories are distinguished. (1) The collective need for “political freedom”, satisfaction of which is the pillar of procedural democracy and (2) “other freedoms” which are a vital pillar of civil society. In his section, only “other freedoms”, i.e. “non political freedoms” are examined. Under “other freedoms”, economic freedoms primarily are examined. The Mamalakis Index of the Satisfaction of the Moral Collective Need for Freedom (FR), which is presented in Table 17, pertains to the “other freedoms” and aims to provide a quantifiable measure of the actual production of the “collective moral freedom service” and the percentage of the corresponding collective moral freedom need being satisfied. 151 Table 14. Graph. The Mamalakis Index of the Degree of Satisfaction of the Moral Collective Need for Freedom (FR): Chile 1800-2005 80 70 Percentage Contribution of the FR Index to the SG Index 50 40 Degree of Satisfaction of the FR Need 30 20 10 0 18 00 18 10 18 20 18 30 18 40 18 50 18 60 18 70 18 80 18 90 19 00 19 10 19 20 19 30 19 40 19 50 19 60 19 70 19 80 19 90 20 00 Index (in Percent) 60 Time 152 TABLE 18 CHILE The Mamalakis Index of the Degree of Satisfaction of the Moral Collective Need for Safety, Security and Protection of Private Property (PR): 1800-2005 Expressed as a Percentage (1) (2) Percentage Contribution of the PR Index of Degree of Satisfaction of Year Index to the SG Index the PR Need 1800 8 64 1810 8 64 1820 8 64 1830 8 64 1840 8 64 1850 8 64 1860 8 64 1870 8 64 1880 8 64 1890 8 64 1900 8 64 1910 8 64 1920 8 64 1930 8 64 1940 7 56 1950 6 48 1960 5 40 1970 2 16 1980 8 64 1990 9 75 2000 9 75 Note: Without freedom there can be no private property. And, without private property, there can be no freedom. The Mamalakis Index of the Degree of Satisfaction of the Moral Collective Need for Safety, Security, and Protection of Private Property (PR) aims to supply a quantifiable measure of the degree of satisfaction of the collective private property need. The central points of the Mamalakis theory of economic development, which is based on the efficiency of collective markets, related to private property are the following: First, there can be no sustainable economic growth and development unless there also exists civil society. Second, civil society can not exist without private property, i.e. unless the moral collective need for private property is satisfied. In addition, and as a consequence of the above, the goal of sustainable democracy can never be attained unless there exists private property, unless the moral collective need for private property is satisfied. According to the two golden rules of Mamalakis, any type of political system, in particular Marxist Totalitarianism, which fails to recognize and satisfy the moral collective need for private property, can never lead to sustainable growth because it is incompatible both with procedural democracy and civil society. 153 Table 18. Graph. The Mamalakis Index of the Degree of Satisfaction of the Moral Collective Need for Safety, Security and Protection of Private Property (PR): Chile 1800-2005 Index (in Percent) 80 70 60 Percentage Contribution of the PR Index to the SG Index 50 40 Degree of Satisfaction of the PR Need 30 20 10 0 Time 154 TABLE 19 CHILE The Mamalakis Index of the Degree of Satisfaction of the Moral Collective Need for Equal Treatment by Government (ET): 1800-2005 Expressed as a Percentage (1) (2) Percentage Contribution of the ET Index of Degree of Year Index to the SG Index Satisfaction of the ET Needs 1800 4 32 1810 4 32 1820 4 32 1830 4 32 1840 4 32 1850 4 32 1860 4 32 1870 4 32 1880 4 32 1890 5 40 1900 5 40 1910 5 40 1920 6 48 1930 7 56 1940 8 64 1950 8 64 1960 8 64 1970 4 32 1980 5 40 1990 8 64 2000 9 75 Note: The Mamalakis Index of Equal Treatment by Government (ET) is unique in the sense that it incorporates the political virtue of equality in the area where is belongs, i.e. in the domain of collective services markets. It advances equalitarianism as the principle of a level playing field for all institutional units and sectors within the collective servies markets. The focus is on the recognition and satisfaction of the moral collective NEED for equal treatment by government. Government here is synonymous to the System of National Accounts 1993 (SNA93) institutional sector of “general government”. General government is the sole institutional sector which has the coercive power to satisfy directly or indirectly (through delegation) the moral collective need for equal treatment by government. The moral collective need for equal treatment by government embodies the moral principle that “all people are equal in the eyes of the government”. The equal treatment by government principle, requires the production, by general government. of the enlightened collective service of equal treatment by government, to satisfy the moral collective need for equal treatment by government, both of natural people (individuals) or groups of individuals (in the form of households), and legal or social entities (financial and non-financial corporations, non-profit institutions (NPI) and government units). 155 Table 19. Graph. The Mamalakis Index of the Degree of Satisfaction of the Moral Collective Need for Equal Treatment by Government (ET): Chile, 1800-2005 Index (in Percent) 80 70 60 Percentage Contribution of the ET Index to the SG Index 50 40 Degree of Satisfaction of the ET Needs 30 20 10 0 Time 156 TABLE 20 CHILE The Mamalakis Index of the Degree of Satisfaction of the Moral Collective Need for Social Harmony (SH): 1800-2005 Expressed as a Percentage (1) (2) Percentage Contribution of the SH Index of Degree of Satisfaction of Year Index to the SG Index the SH Needs 1800 3 24 1810 6 48 1820 6 48 1830 6 48 1840 6 48 1850 6 48 1860 6 48 1870 6 48 1880 6 48 1890 5 40 1900 6 48 1910 6 48 1920 6 48 1930 6 48 1940 6 48 1950 5 40 1960 5 40 1970 2 16 1980 3 24 1990 7 56 2000 8 64 Note: The Mamalakis Index of the Degree of Satisfaction of the Moral Collective Need for Social Harmony (SH) is important in many respects. First of all, it is an index that involves production of a moral collective need. As such, second, for this SH need to be satisfied, general government requires general tax revenues to cover the costs of producing the moral collective service of social harmony. Third, there exists efficiency in the production of the moral collective need for social harmony if the tax (or, other, such as credit) revenues are neither too high nor to low in relation to the degree of satisfaction of the SH collective need. If the tax revenues are too high, i.e. they create negative incentives for the producing institutional units, we enter the domain of redistribution, i.e. the use of taxes to satisfy the immoral and economically unjustified need for redistribution from productive to parasitic institutional units. If the tax revenues are too low to satisfy the moral collective need for social harmony, destructive social disharmony may arise. The people experiencing deprivation in the satisfaction of their moral final or means needs, can destabilize peace and prosperity through actions weakening or eliminating the ability of general government to satisfy the other moral collective needs which sustain procedural democracy and civil society. The demarcation line between immoral redistribution through excessive taxation and underproduction of the moral collective need for social harmony because of inadequate taxation is not easily determined. The collective markets approach of Mamalakis aims to facilitate the creation of criteria that are helpful in identifying the trade off between on one hand, immoral, destabilizing, redistributive, production endangering and, on the other hand, production (of moral collective services) promoting (financing) taxes. 157 Table 20. Graph. The Mamalakis Index of the Degree of Satisfaction of the Moral Collective Need for Social Harmony (SH): Chile, 1800-2005 Index (in Percent) 70 60 50 Percentage Contribution of the SH Index to the SG Index 40 Degree of Satisfaction of the SH Needs 30 20 10 0 Time 158 TABLE 21 CHILE The Mamalakis Index of the Degree of Satisfaction of the Moral Collective Need for Environmental Protection (EP): 1800-2005 Expressed as a Percentage (1) (2) Percentage Contribution of the EP Index of Degree of Satisfaction of Year Index to the SG Index the EP Need 1800 6 48 1810 6 48 1820 6 48 1830 6 48 1840 6 48 1850 6 48 1860 6 48 1870 5 40 1880 5 40 1890 5 40 1900 6 48 1910 6 48 1920 6 48 1930 6 48 1940 6 48 1950 6 48 1960 6 48 1970 6 48 1980 5 40 1990 4 32 2000 4 32 Note: The Mamalakis Index of the Degree of Satisfaction of the Moral Collective Need for Environmental Protection (EP) is unique in multiple ways. Following the Mamalakis theory of composite commodities, it, first, demonstrates, by using the SNA concept of value added, that at each level of economic transformation (each meso step of value added) there are costly inputs and outputs which are not explicitly accounted for. Second, the argument is made that there exists a vital moral collective need for environmental protection, which is an integral component of collective services markets. That enlightened collective need can be satisfied through the corresponding enlightened, moral, collective service of environmental protection. The prevailing treatment of environmental issues within the so-called “nonmarket” economy is replaced, as being inadequate, by the collective service markets approach of Mamalakis. By identifying the moral collective need for environmental protection as a vital pillar of civil society, it aims to overcome the prevailing neglect of the all important collective markets and their role in advancing good life of all around the globe. 159 Table 21. Graph. The Mamalakis Index of the Degree of Satisfaction of the Moral Collective Need for Environmental Protection (EP): Chile, 1800-2005 Index (in Percent) 60 50 Percentage Contribution of the EP Index to the SG Index 40 30 Degree of Satisfaction of the EP Need 20 10 0 Time 160 REFERENCES Ahumada, Jorge, En Vez de la Miseria. Santiago, Chile: Editorial del Pacífico, 1958. Aldana, Abelardo, Resumen de la Hacienda Pública de Chile desde 1833 hasta 1914, Vol. 1. Londres, Spottiswoode and Company. 1915. Álvarez, Andrews, Oscar, Historia del Desarrollo Industrial de Chile. Santiago, Chile: Imp.y Lit. La Ilustración, 1936. Ballesteros, Marto A. and Davis T. (1963) “The Growth of Output and Employment in Basic Sectors of the Chilean Economy, 1908-1957”, Economic Development and Cultural Change (Chicago) Vol. XI, No. 2, Part 1 (January) pp. 152-176, 1963. Bauer, Arnold J., La Sociedad Rural Chilena. Desde la Conquista Española a Nuestros Días. Santiago, Chile: Editorial Andrés Bello, 1994. Carmagnani, Marcello, Sviluppo Industriale e Sottosviluppo Economico. Il Caso Cileno. (18601920). Turín, Italy: Fonsazione Luigi Einaudi, 1971. Central Bank of Chile. Statistical Synthesis of Chile, 2000-2004. Central Bank of Chile, 2005. Couyoumdjian, Juan Ricardo, Chile y Gran Bretaña Durante la Primera Guerra Mundial y la Postguerra, 1914-1921. Santiago, Chile: Editorial Andrés Bello/Ediciones Universidad Católica de Chile, 1986. De Ramón, Armando y J. Larraín, Orígenes de la Vida Económica Chilena, 1659-1808. Santiago, Chile: Centro de Estudios Públicos, 1982. De Shazo, Peter, Urban Workers and Labor Unions in Chile, 1902-1927. Wisconsin, U.S.A: The University of Wisconsin Press, 1983. Díaz, José, Lüders, Rolf S. and Gert Wagner. Economía Chilena 1810-1995: Evolución Cuantitativa del Producto Total y Sectorial. Santiago, Chile. Instituto de Economia, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile. Documento de Trabajo. No 186. Diciembre 1998. Mimeo. Díaz, José B., Lüders, Rolf S. and Gert Wagner H., Chile, 1810-2000, La República en Cifras. Santiago, Chile, 23 May 2005. Unpublished, forthcoming, manuscript. Pg. 1-495. This monumental study consists of eight chapters of mostly annual economic statistics covering all or most of the years between 1810 and 2000. It contains the longest, most comprehensive and most updated, as of 2006, statistics of the relevant variables presented in Spanish as well as in English. Lüders, Rolf S. Historia Económica de Chile: 1810-1995. Part I. Comparaciones Internacionales. Santiago, Chile. Instituto de Economía, Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile, Julio 1997. Mimeo. 161 ECLA, Economic Survey of Latin America,1949. New York, New York: United Nations/Department of Economic Affairs/Economic Commission for Latin America (ECLA), 1951. Falcoff, Mark. Modern Chile, 1970-1989: A Critical History. New Brunswick N.J: Rutgers, 1989. Fetter, Frank Whitson, La Inflación Monetaria en Chile. Santiago, Chile: Universidad de Chile, 1937. French-Davis, Ricardo, Políticas Económicas en Chile: 1952-1970. Santiago, Chile: Ediciones Nueva Universidad, 1973. Hurtado Ruiz-Tagle, Carlos, Concentración de Población y Desarrollo Económico. El Caso Chileno. Santiago, Chile: Universidad de Chile/Instituto de Economía, 1966. Jobet, Julio César, Ensayo Crítico del Desarrollo Económico-Social de Chile. Santiago, Chile: Editorial Universitaria, 1951. Kirsh, Henry W. Industrial Development in a Traditional Society. The Conflict of Entrepreneurship and Modernization in Chile. Gainesville, U.S.A.: The University Presses of Florida, 1977. Lagos Escobar, Ricardo, La Concentración del Poder Económico: Su Teoría: Realidad Chilena. Santiago de Chile. Editorial Del Pacifico, 1962. Mamalakis, Markos J. “Public Policy and Sectoral Development. A Case Study of Chile 19401958” in Mamalakis, M. and Rynolds, C.: Essays on the Chilean Economy. Homewood, Illinois. Richard D. Irwin, Inc. pp. 1-200, 1965. Mamalakis, Markos J. “The Theory of Sectoral Clashes”, The Latin American Research Review, Vol. 4, No. 3, pp. 3-46, Fall 1969. Mamalakis, Markos J. “Contribution of Copper to Chilean Economic Development, 1920-1967: Profile of a Foreign-Owned Export Sector,” Foreign Investment in Minerals and Petroleum, by Raymond Mikesell and Associates, Baltimore, Maryland: John Hopkins Press for Resources for the Future, 1971. Mamalakis, Markos J. “The Theory of Sectoral Clashes and Coalitions Revisited,” Latin American Research Review, Vol. VI, No. 3, pp. 89-126, Fall 1971. Mamalakis, Markos J. “Sectoral Conflicts in the USA and the Soviet Union: A Mesoeconomic Analysis”, Eastern Economic Journal, Vol. 18, No. 4, pp. 421-428, Fall 1992. Mamalakis, Markos J. The Growth and Structure of the Chilean Economy, From Independence to Allende. The Yale Eocnomic Growth Center. Yale University Press, 1976. Mamalakis, Markos J. Historical Statistics of Chile. Vol. 1. National Accounts. CN: Greenwood Press, 1978. 162 The six Mamalakis volumes of Historical Statistics of Chile, which are included in the present list of References, provide detailed time series and cross section data, as found in the original sources. They also include detailed qualitative methodological and analytical information and commentary. Each topic is normally examined in a comprehensive manner. A vast number of complementary statistics are presented and evaluated, enabling the reader to obtain the best possible picture of how the statistics were prepared, their limitations, how and when they can best be used, and describing possible pitfalls of their abuse. Each volume contains theoretical contributions attempting to solve fundamental analytical problems. All contain extensive bibliographies. Mamalakis, Markos J. Historical Statistics of Chile. Vol. 2. Demography and Labor Force. CN: Greenwood Press 1980. Mamalakis, Markos J. Historical Statistics of Chile Vol. 3. Forestry and Related Activities. CN: Greenwood Press 1982. Mamalakis, Markos J. Historical Statistics of Chile Vol. 4. Money, Prices, and Credit Services. CN: Greenwood Press, 1983. Mamalakis, Markos J. Historical Statistics of Chile Vol. 5. Money, Banking, and Financial Services. CN: Greenwood Press, 1985. Mamalakis, Markos J. Historical Statistics of Chile Vol. 6. Government Services and Public Sector and a Theory of Services. CN: Greenwood Press, 1989. Mamalakis, Markos J. “Economic Development” in Encyclopedia of Latin American History and Culture, Vol. 2, edited by Barbara A. Tenenbaum, 432-39. New York: Charles Scribner’s Sons, 1996. The eight Mamalakis economic essays in the Encyclopedia of Latin American History and Culture, which are included in this list of References, provide a panoramic view of the economic evolution of Latin America, including Chile, from Independence until the early 1990’s. They provide background information for the essay on Chile. By using up to date analytical economic frameworks, they aim to offer a balanced presentation of alternative approaches and explanations. Each contains a selective bibliography. Mamalakis, Markos J. “Economic Development, Theories of.” In Encyclopedia of Latin American History and Culture, Vol. 2, edited by Barbara A. Tenenbaum, 439-44. New York: Charles Scribner’s Sons, 1996. Mamalakis, Markos J. “Foreign Trade” In Encyclopedia of Latin American History and Culture, Vol. 2, edited by Barbara A. Tenenbaum, 596-601. New York: Charles Scribner’s Sons, 1996. Mamalakis, Markos J. “Income Distribution” In Encyclopedia of Latin American History and Culture, Vol. 3, edited by Barbara A. Tenenbaum, 251-59. New York: Charles Scribner’s Sons, 1996. Mamalakis, Markos J. “Informal Economy” In Encyclopedia of Latin American History and Culture, Vol. 3, edited by Barbara A. Tenenbaum, 276-80. New York: Charles Scribner’s Sons, 1996. 163 Mamalakis, Markos J. “Privatization” In Encyclopedia of Latin American History and Culture, Vol. 4, edited by Barbara A. Tenenbaum, 474-75. New York: Charles Scribner’s Sons, 1996. Mamalakis, Markos J. “Public Sector and Taxation” In Encyclopedia of Latin American History and Culture, Vol. 4, edited by Barbara A. Tenenbaum, 484-89. New York: Charles Scribner’s Sons, 1996. Mamalakis, Markos J. “Service Sector” In Encyclopedia of Latin American History and Culture, Vol. 5, edited by Barbara A. Tenenbaum, 97-103. New York: Charles Scribner’s Sons, 1996. Mamalakis, Markos J. “Chile,” Handbook of Latin American Studies: No. 41, Social Sciences, Austin and London: University of Texas Press, 1979. The ten bi-annual or tri-annual economic historiographic essays on Chile by Mamalakis, which are listed below, provide the reader with a critical guide to major economic trends and literature during successive periods. Mamalakis, Markos J. “Chile,” Handbook of Latin American Studies: No. 43, Social Sciences, Austin and London: University of Texas Press, 1981. Mamalakis, Markos J. “Chile,” Handbook of Latin American Studies: No. 45, Social Sciences, Austin and London: University of Texas Press, 1983. Mamalakis, Markos J. “Chile,” Handbook of Latin American Studies: No. 47, Social Sciences, Austin and London: University of Texas Press, 1985. Mamalakis, Markos J. “Chile,” Handbook of Latin American Studies: No. 49, Social Sciences, Austin and London: University of Texas Press, 1989. Mamalakis, Markos J. “Chile,” Handbook of Latin American Studies: No. 51, Social Sciences, Austin and London: University of Texas Press, 1991. Mamalakis, Markos J. “Chile,” Handbook of Latin American Studies: No. 53, Social Sciences, Austin and London: University of Texas Press, 1994. Mamalakis, Markos J. “Chile,” Handbook of Latin American Studies: No. 55, Social Sciences, Austin and London: University of Texas Press, 1997. Mamalakis, Markos J. “Chile,” Handbook of Latin American Studies: No. 57, Social Sciences, Austin and London: University of Texas Press, 2000. Mamalakis, Markos J. “Chile,” Handbook of Latin American Studies: No. 59, Social Sciences, Austin and London: University of Texas Press, 2003. Mamalakis, Markos J. “Chile,” Handbook of Latin American Studies: No. 61, Social Sciences, Austin and London: University of Texas Press, 2006. 164 Mamalakis, Markos J. “Las reglas doradas” (The Golden Rules) in the Supplemento Anniversario 16 años (16th Anniversary Issue) (Chile in the Eyes of the World) of the leading financial newspaper Diario Financiero, Santiago, Chile, Monday, 29 November 2004, p. 133. Reprinted in Spanish and also published in English as “Sustainable Democracy and the Golden Rules”, Global Currents, Center for International Education, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee, Vol. 1, Issue 2, Spring 2005, pp. 18-19. This publication contains a concise, summary presentation of the Golden Rules for attaining sustainable democracy and growth by Mamalakis. These golden rules provide a foundation of the Mamalakis indices of Sustainable Democracy and Growth of the present essay. Mamalakis, Markos J., J. Mark Payne, Daniel Zovatto G., Carrillo Florez, and Andres Allamand Zavala, Democracies in Development: Politics and Reform in Latin America. (Baltimore: John Hopkins University Press, 2002) THE AMERICAS, Vol. 61, Number 3 (January), 2005. This book review contains a summary attempt to link the Golden Rules and Collective Markets theory of Mamalakis to political and economic development theory. Mamalakis, Markos J. “Social Justice in a Global Environment: A Theory of Natural Law and Social Justice” in The Quest for Social Justice III: The Morris Fromkin Memorial Lectures 1992-2002. pp. 227-304. Edited by Peter G. Watson-Boone, Milwaukee, Wisconsin: University of WisconsinMilwaukee, 2005. This essay provides a detailed presentation of the Mamalakis Collective Markets approach to Economic, Political, Legal, and Political Philosophy Theory. It contains the theoretical and analytical foundations of the Mamalakis Indices of Sustainable Democracy and Growth of the present essay. Martner, Daniel, Historia de Chile. Historia Económica. Tomo I. Santiago, Chile: Establecimientos Gráficos de Balcells and Company, 1923. Meller, Patricio, Un Siglo de Economía Política Chilena (1891-1990). Santiago, Chile: Editorial Andrés Bello, 1996. Molina, Evaristo, Bosquejo de la Hacienda Pública de Chile, desde la Independencia hasta la Fecha. Santiago, Chile: Imprenta Nacional, 1898. Muñoz, Oscar, Crecimiento Industrial de Chile, 1914-1965. Santiago, Chile: Universidad de Chile/Instituto de Economía y Planificación. Second Edition, 1971. Pan American Union, Chile. Washington, D.C.: Organization of American States, 1957. Pinto, Aníbal, Chile: un Caso de Desarrollo Frustrado. Santiago, Chile: Editorial Universitaria, 1962. Rector, John L. The History of Chile. Palgrave Macmillan. 2005. This superb book is strongly recommended to anyone interested in Chile. In addition to its excellent historical main body, it also provides the reader with a comprehensive suggested list of “must read” historical, economic, political, and literary and other publications on Chile. 165 Reynolds, Clark, “Development Problems of an Export Economy. The Case of Chile and Cooper”, in Mamalakis, M. and Reynolds, C.: Essays on the Chilean Economy. Homewood, Illinois. Richard D. Irwin, Inc., pp. 201-398, 1965. Vera, Mario, Una Política Definitiva Para Nuestras Riquezas Básicas. Santiago, Chile. Prensa Latinoamericana, 1964. Wagner, Gert, Jofré, José and Rolf Lüders, Economia Chilena 1810-1995. Cuentas Fiscales. Santiago, Chile. Instituto de Economia, Protificia Universidad Católica de Chile. Documento de Trabajo. No. 188. Diciembre 2000. A monumental compilation of governmental statistics. 166