CGE Training Materials National Greenhouse Gas Inventories Land Use, Land-Use Change and Forestry (LULUCF) Sector Version 2, April 2012 Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories Target Audience and Objective of the Training Materials • These training materials are suitable for people with beginner to intermediate level knowledge of national greenhouse gas (GHG) inventory development. • After having read this Presentation, in combination with the related documentation, the reader should: a) Have an overview of how emissions inventories are developed for the land use, land-use change and forestry sector; b) Have a general understanding of the methods available, as well as of the main challenges of GHG inventory development in that particular area; c) Be able to determine which methods suits their country’s situation best; d) Know where to find more detailed information on the topic discussed. • These training materials have been developed primarily on the basis of methodologies developed by the IPCC; hence the reader is always encouraged to refer to the original documents to obtain further detailed information on a particular issue. Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 2 Acronyms • AD Activity Data • AGR Annual Growth Rate • EF Emission Factor • EFDB IPCC Emission Factor Database • GPG Good Practice Guidance • LUCF Land-Use Change and Forestry • LULUCF Land Use, land-Use Change and Forestry • RF Removal Factor Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 3 Outline of Course – Land Use, Land-Use Change and Forestry (LULUCF) Introduction (slide 5) Definitions (slide 6) Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines (slide 10) IPCC good practice guidance for LULUCF (GPG 2003) (slide 36) Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 4 Introduction • This presentation aims to assist non-Annex I (NAI) Party experts in preparing GHG inventories in the LULUCF sector using the Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines and the IPCC good practice guidance for LULUCF (GPG 2003), particularly in the context of UNFCCC decision 17/CP.8, focusing on: a) The need to shift to GPG 2003 and higher tiers/methods to reduce uncertainty b) Overview of the tools and methods c) Review of activity data (AD) and emission factors (EF) and options to reduce uncertainty d) Use of UNFCCC inventory software and IPCC emission factor database (EFDB). Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 5 Definition of Key Terms • LUCF (Land-Use Change and Forestry) – Land use is the type of activity being carried out on a unit of land, such as forest land, cropland and grassland. The Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines refer to sources and sinks associated with GHG emissions/removals from human activities, which: a) Change the way land is used (e.g., clearing of forest for agriculture, conversion of grassland to forest) b) Affect the amount of biomass in existing biomass stocks (e.g., forest, village trees, savanna) and soil carbon stocks. • LULUCF (Land Use, Land-Use Change and Forestry) – This includes GHG emissions/removals resulting from managed land (involving no change in use, such as forest remaining forest land) and land-use changes (involving changes in land-use, such as grassland converted to forest land or forest land converted to cropland). Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 6 Definitions (cont.) • Source – Any process or activity that releases a GHG (such as CO2 and CH4) into the atmosphere. A carbon pool can be a source of carbon to the atmosphere if less carbon is flowing into it than is flowing out of it. • Sink – Any process, activity or mechanism that removes a GHG from the atmosphere. A given pool can be a sink for atmospheric carbon if during a given time interval more carbon is flowing into it than is flowing out of it. Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 7 Definitions (cont.) • Activity data – Data on the magnitude of human activity, resulting in emissions/removals taking place during a given period of time (e.g., data on land area, management systems, lime and fertilizer use). • Emission factor – A coefficient that relates the activity data to the amount of chemical compound, which is the source of later emissions. Emission/removal factors are often based on a sample of measurement data, averaged to develop a representative rate of emission or removal for a given activity level under a given set of operating conditions. • Removal factor – Rate at which carbon is taken up from the atmosphere by a terrestrial system and sequestered in biomass and soil. Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 8 Contribution and Role of LUCF Sector to NAI GHG Emissions: 3 examples • Argentina, Indonesia and Zimbabwe for 1994 • LUCF sector has a significant impact on national net CO2 equivalent emissions in most developing countries, being sink or source • LUCF sector is a net sink for Argentina and Zimbabwe • Net source for Indonesia, which experienced forest land conversion of over one Mha • Inclusion of LUCF sector in the inventory had the following impact on GHG emissions: a) Argentina: Emissions of 119 Tg CO2 when LUCF excluded, but 84 TgCO2 when LUCF included b) Indonesia: Emissions of 189 Tg CO2 when LUCF excluded, but 344 Tg CO2 when LUCF included. c) Zimbabwe: Source of 17 Tg CO2 when LUCF excluded, but a net sink of 45 TgCO2 when LUCF included. Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 9 Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines: Basic assumptions • The flux of CO2 to/from atmosphere is assumed to be equal to changes in carbon stocks in existing biomass and soils • Changes in carbon stocks can be estimated by establishing rates of change in land use and practices that bring about change in land use • Estimating carbon stocks in land-use categories: • That are not subjected to change • That are changed. Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 10 Four Default Categories in Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines 5A. Changes in forest and other woody biomass stocks due to: a) Commercial management b) Harvest of industrial roundwood (logs) and fuelwood c) Establishment and operation of forest plantations d) Planting of trees in urban, village and non-forest locations. 5B. Forest and grassland conversion: a) The conversion of forests and grassland to pasture, cropland etc, can significantly change carbon stocks in vegetation and soil. 5C. Abandonment of cropland, pasture, plantation forests, or other managed lands 5D. CO2 emissions and removals from soils: a) Cultivation of mineral soils b) Cultivation of organic soils c) Liming of agricultural soils. Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 11 Reporting of GHG Inventory in the LUCF Sector – Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines LUCF categories CO2 emissions CO2 removal/uptake CH4 N2O CO NOx 5A. Changes in forest and other woody biomass stocks 5B. Forest and grassland conversion 5C. Abandonment of croplands, pastures, plantation forests, or other managed lands 5D. CO2 emissions and removals from soils 5E. Others TOTAL Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 12 Basic Steps in Preparing Inventory Using Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines • Step 0: The Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines do not provide a key category analysis approach. Inventory experts are encouraged to conduct it using GPG 2003. • Step 1: Select the land-use categories (forest/plantations), vegetation types subjected to conversion (forest and grassland), changes in land-use/management systems (for soil carbon inventory). • Step 2: Assemble the required AD, depending on tier selected, from local, provincial, national and global databases, including EFDB. Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 13 Basic Steps in Preparing Inventory Using Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines (cont.) • Step 3: Collect EF/RF, depending on tier level selected, from local/regional/national/global databases, including EFDB. • Step 4: Estimate GHG emissions and removals. • Step 5: Estimate uncertainty involved. • Step 6: Report GHG emissions/removals. • Step 7: Report all procedures, equations and sources of data used for GHG inventory estimation. Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 14 Category 5A. Steps • Step 1: Estimate total biomass carbon uptake by using area under different plantations/forests (AD) and annual biomass growth rate (removal factor). • Step 2: Estimate total biomass consumption by adding commercial harvest, fuelwood consumption and other wood use. • Step 3: Estimate the net carbon uptake or release by deducting the consumption or loss from total biomass carbon uptake. Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 15 Sources of AD Activity data Area of plantation/forests Harvest categories (e.g., sawn wood, industrial wood and fuelwood) Commercial harvest (e.g. industrial roundwood) Traditional fuelwood use Other wood use Tier 1 - National sources such as the Ministry of Environment / Forests/ Natural Resources - International data sources such as FAO and TBFRA - Tier 2 - National sources such as the Ministry of Environment /Forests/Natural Resources Tier 3 - National remote sensing/satellite assessment sources - National sources - FAO Yearbook of Forest Products Website: www.fao.org - National sources - FAO Yearbook of Forest Products - National sources according to forest/plantation categories - Country-specific data according to forest/plantation categories - National production /consumption data - Country-specific data - National production /consumption data - FAO Yearbook of Forest Products Website: www.fao.org National data sources - FAO Yearbook of Forest Products Same as for commercial harvest/fuelwood use Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 16 Emission/Removal Factors • The key emission/removal factors include: • annual biomass growth rate, carbon fraction of dry matter, biomass expansion ratio. • Biomass Expansion Ratios (BERs) as given in the Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines are required to convert commercial roundwood harvested biomass (in m3) to total above-ground biomass (in tonnes). • Similarly, AGB/BGB ratio is required to estimate BGB using data on AGB and the conversion ratio, according to GPG 2003. Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 17 Sources of EF/RF EF/RF Annual biomass growth rate Tier 1 - Default values from IPCC 1996GL and GPG2003 - EFDB Carbon fraction of dry matter Biomass expansion ratio (BER) - Default data of 0.5 - Default values of 1.8 Tier 2 - Default data; 1996GL, GPG2003 - Country-specific data - EFDB - Default data of 0.5 - Default data of 1.8 - National data for key forest types Tier 3 - National forest inventory or monitoring system - Allometric equations - Species-specific data from laboratory estimations - Species-specific data from measurements Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 18 Assessment of Emission Factors and Strategy for Improvement • To reduce uncertainty, it is desirable to use nationally derived AD and EF at as disaggregated level as possible. • Example: Annual Growth Rate (AGR) of biomass is mean annual above-ground biomass growth rate expressed in t/ha/year. AGR varies with: • Forest or vegetation or plantation types (e.g. evergreen/deciduous/eucalyptus) • Climatic region based on latitude and rainfall (e.g. humid, sub-humid, semi-arid, arid) • Age of the forest or plantation stand • Management system or silvicultural practice (e.g. thinning, fertilizer application, fire management). Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 19 Short-term Strategy for Improving AGR Values • Disaggregate the land use, forest or vegetation types occurring in the country at as fine a level as possible along the following lines or using other more nationally relevant stratification: • Different forest types/vegetation types/plantations • Latitude: tropical, temperate, boreal • Rainfall zone (mm/yr): humid (>2000), semiarid (500–1000), arid (<500) • Age of the stand: 0–5 yr, 5 to 10 yr, 10–20 yr, > 20yr • Management system: naturally regenerated or planted • Other category. • Allocate area of different forest types/plantations in the country, using forest map, rainfall zone map, soil map and other statistical information. Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 20 Illustration of UNFCCC Inventory Software – Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines Total carbon uptake increment (in kt C) = Area of forest/plantation category (in kha) * Annual growth rate (in t dm/ha) * Carbon fraction of dry matter From UNFCCC Software Sheet 5-1s1 Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 21 Category 5B. Forest and Grassland Conversion Worksheet 5.2 Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 22 Category 5B. Steps • Step 1: Estimate annual loss of biomass due to conversion. • Step 2: Estimate quantity of carbon released from fraction of biomass burned onsite. • Step 3: Estimate quantity of carbon released from fraction of biomass burned offsite. • Step 4: Estimate carbon released from decay of above-ground biomass. • Step 5: Estimate total annual CO2 release from burning and decay of biomass, resulting from forest and grassland conversion. Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 23 Issues in Estimating CO2 Emissions from Biomass – Forest and Grassland Conversion • Lack of compatibility between Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines vegetation types and national circumstances or classification • Absence of forest and grassland conversion data for the inventory year as well as the 10-year average • Lack of methods for savanna/grassland burning • Lack of disaggregated activity data on biomass stock before and after conversion • Lack of clarity on fraction of biomass burnt on-site, off-site and left to decay • Biomass burned for energy is reported in the energy sector. Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 24 Sources of AD AD factors Area converted annually Average area converted (10-year average) Tier 1 - FAO: Tropical Forest Assessment Report Tier 2 - National data on area conversion at disaggregated level - If no national data, use data from FAO: Tropical Forest Assessment Report Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories Tier 3 - Ministry of Land Resources - Satellite or remote sensing data 25 Sources of EF EF Aboveground biomass before and after conversion Tier 1 Tier 2 - IPCC 1996GL - GPG2003 - EFDB - National/regional scientific literature - EFDB - GPG2003 Fraction of biomass oxidised - Default value of 0.9 - Default value of 0.9 Carbon fraction of biomass Fraction of biomass left to decay - Default value of 0.5 - Default value of 10 t/ha - Default value of 0.5 - Default value of 10 t/ha Fraction of biomass burnt onsite and off-site Tier 3 - Data from national forest inventory at finer scales according to forest/grassland categories - Ecological / silvicultural studies in different categories - National forest inventory data - Biomass consumption data according to forest/grassland categories - National forest inventories - Field measurements - Published data at species level - National forest inventory Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 26 Category 5C. Abandonment of Managed Lands Worksheet 5-4 MO DULE ABANDO NMENT O F MANAGED LANDS WO RKSHEET 5-4 SHEET 1 O F 3 CARBO N UPTAKE BY ABO VEGRO UND REGRO WTH - FIRST 20 YEARS CO UNTRY 0 YEAR 0 Vegetation types Tropical LAND-USE CHANGE AND FO RESTRY SUBMO DULE A 20-Year Total Area Abandoned and Regrowing (kha) B Annual Rate of Aboveground Biomass Growth (t dm/ha) S TEP 1 C Annual Aboveground Biomass Growth D Carbon Fraction of Aboveground Biomass (kt dm) E Annual Carbon Uptake in Aboveground Biomass (kt C) C = (A x B) E = (C x D) Wet/Very M oist 0.00 0.00 M oist, short dry season 0.00 0.00 M oist, long dry season 0.00 0.00 Dry 0.00 0.00 M ontane M oist 0.00 0.00 M ontane Dry 0.00 0.00 Tropical Savanna/Grasslands 0.00 0.00 Temperate Coniferous 0.00 0.00 Broadleaf 0.00 0.00 Grasslands Boreal M ixed Broadleaf/Coniferous 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Coniferous 0.00 0.00 Forest tundra 0.00 0.00 Grasslands/Tundra 0.00 0.00 Other 0.00 0.00 S ubtotal Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 0.00 27 Category 5C. Steps Estimation Procedure • Step 1: Estimate the annual carbon uptake in above-ground biomass, using the area abandoned (during the previous 20 years) and annual biomass growth. • Step 2: Estimate the total carbon uptake from area abandoned (during 20–100 years) and annual growth rate. • Step 3: Estimate the total carbon uptake from abandoned land (Step 1 + Step 2). Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 28 Issues in Estimating CO2 Uptake from Abandonment of Managed Lands • Lack of compatibility between vegetation types given in the Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines and national classification for abandoned land • Lack of methods to identify managed land abandoned and regenerating: • according to different vegetation types • for the past 20 years and 20–100 years • Absence of annual data for aboveground biomass growth for abandoned land: • according to different vegetation types • for the past 20 years and 20–100 years. Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 29 Category 5D. CO2 Emissions and Removals from Soils Worksheet 5-5 Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 30 Category 5D. Steps • Step 1: Changes in soil carbon for mineral soils. • Step 2: Carbon emissions from intensively managed organic soils. • Step 3: Carbon emissions from liming of agricultural soils. Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 31 Methodological and Data Related Issues on Soil Carbon • Absence of linkage between biomass carbon and soil carbon for different land categories or vegetation types • Ambiguity in classification of land-use/management systems, and soil types • Absence of activity data on land area under different conditions: • land-use/management systems • soil type • for periods t (inventory year), and t–20 • intensively managed organic soils • Absence of emission factors such as soil carbon in mineral soils and annual loss rate of carbon in managed organic soils. Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 32 Sources of AD Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 33 Sources of Emission/Removal Factors Activity data and emissions/removal factor Soil carbon in different land use / management systems and soil types Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 - FAO soil survey database at aggregated land use / management system level - IPCC 1996GL - National soil survey sources for different land use systems Annual rate of loss of carbon from managed organic soils - Global database - IPCC 1996GL - National sources - IPCC 1996GL Carbon conversion factor from lime to carbon Base factor Tillage factor Input factor - IPCC 1996GL - IPCC 1996GL - National forest inventory studies - Experimental studies in different land use systems - National forest inventory in organic soils - Field studies on organic soil carbon - IPCC 1996GL - IPCC 1996GL - EFDB - IPCC 1996GL - EFDB - IPCC 1996GL - EFDB Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 34 Summary of Methodological Issues/Problems in GHG Inventory Using the Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines • Compatibility of Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines land categories to national classification • High uncertainty of inventory, AD and EF • Lack of disaggregated data, particularly on vegetation types • Lack of clarity for reporting estimates of emissions/removals in managed natural forest • Lack of consistency in estimating/reporting total biomass or only above-ground biomass • Lack of methods for below-ground biomass and for incorporating non-forest areas, such as coffee, tea, coconut, cashew nut • Difficulty in differentiating managed (anthropogenically impacted) and natural forests • Ambiguity in terminology, e.g. forest, afforestation, reforestation, managed forest • Complexity of the methodology. Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 35 GPG 2003 LULUCF Land-Use Categories and Methods Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 36 Mapping/Linkage Between the Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines and GPG2003 • GPG 2003 is based on a land-use category approach, and provides a procedure to link inventory estimates of GPG 2003 to the Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines, based on Categories 5A to 5D. • However, the inventory estimates obtained using the Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines could be different from the estimates obtained using GPG 2003 due to the following reasons: • Inclusion of additional land categories, e.g. agro-forestry, coconut, coffee, tea • Inclusion of additional carbon pools; belowground biomass, dead organic matter, etc. • Estimation of biomass increment and losses in each land category, sub-category • Linking of biomass and soil carbon for each land category • Use of improved default values. Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 37 Reporting of GHG Inventory in the LULUCF Sector – GPG2003 Greenhouse gas source and sink categories 5. Total Land-Use Categories 5.A. Forest Land 5.A.1. Forest Land remaining Forest Land 5.A.2. Land converted to Forest Land 5.B. Cropland 5.B.1. Cropland remaining Cropland 5.B.2. Land converted to Cropland 5.C. Grassland 5.C.1. Grassland remaining Grassland 5.C.2. Land converted to Grassland 5.D. Wetlands (2) 5.D.1. Wetlands remaining Wetlands 5.D.2. Land converted to Wetlands (2) 5.E. Settlements 5.E.1. Settlements remaining Settlements 5.E.2. Land converted to Settlements (2) 5.F. Other Land 5.F.1. Other Land remaining Other Land 5.F.2. Land converted to Other Land (2) 5.G. Other (please specify) (2) Harvested Wood Products IPCC guidelines Net CO2 emissions / removals (1) CH4 N2O NOx CO (Gg) 5A 5A, 5C, 5D 5A, 5D 5B, 5D 5A, 5D 5C, 5D 5A, 5E 5B, 5E 5A 5B, 5E 5A 5B, 5E Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 38 GPG2003 - Major Advancements: 1 GPG2003 adopted two major advances over the Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines. The first is: 1. Three hierarchical tiers of methods: • T1: use of default data and simple equations • T2: use of country-specific data and • T3: models to accommodate national circumstances. Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 39 Rationale for Adopting GPG2003 Addresses most of the methodological limitations and inadequacies of IPCC 1996GL Adopts key source/sink category analysis, which enables dedication of limited inventory resources to key source/sink categories, CO2 pools and non-CO2 gases Enables estimation of carbon stock changes and non-CO2 emissions for all the relevant geographic area Accounts for all the five carbon pools Ensures consistent representation of land for long-term periodic inventories Reduces uncertainty in GHG estimates Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 40 Combination of Tiers • NAI experts can adopt multiple tiers in the GHG inventory for LULUCF sector: • For different land-use categories • Within a given land-use category for different carbon pools • Within a carbon pool, for activity data and emission factor. Adopt higher tiers for key categories and wherever possible use countryspecific, climatic region-specific emission/removal factors Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 41 GPG 2003 - Major Advancements: 2 2. Land-use-category-based approach for organizing methodologies: • Six land-use categories to ensure consistent representation, covering all geographic areas of a country • • Forest land, cropland, grassland, wetland, settlements and other lands Each land-use category is further disaggregated to reflect the past and the current land use: • Forest land remaining forest land • Lands converted to forest land. Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 42 In addition GPG 2003 includes Key Source/Sink Category Analysis • GPG 2003 assists Parties in identifying the key: • Land categories (e.g. forest land, cropland, etc.) • Gases (CO2, CH4 and N2O) • Carbon pools (living biomass, dead organic matter and soil organic carbon). • The decision trees given in GPG 2003 could be adopted: • Decision trees at two levels of disaggregation: • Land remaining in the same land-use category (e.g. forest land remaining forest land) • Land converted to another land-use category (e.g. grassland converted to forest). Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 43 Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 44 Definitions of Land-Use Categories in GPG 2003 • Forest land: all land with woody vegetation consistent with thresholds used to define forest land in the national GHG inventory, sub-divided into managed and unmanaged, and also by ecosystem type as specified in the Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines. Also includes systems with vegetation that fall below, but are expected to exceed, the threshold of the forest land category. • Cropland: land that is not forest land or grassland. (Arable and tillage land, and agroforestry systems where woody vegetation falls below the thresholds used for the forest land). Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 45 Definitions (cont.) • Grassland: rangelands and pasture land that is not forest land or cropland. (Pasture lands with woody vegetation below the threshold used in the forest land category and not expected to exceed it without human intervention are included). • Settlements: all developed land, including transportation infrastructure and human settlements of any size, unless they are already included under other categories. This should be consistent with the selection of national definitions. Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 46 Definitions (cont.) • Wetland: land covered or saturated by water for all or part of the year and that does not fall into the forest land, cropland, grassland or settlements categories. • Other lands: includes bare soil, rock, ice, and all unmanaged land areas that do not fall into any of the other five categories. It allows the total of identified land areas to match the national area, where data are available. Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 47 Important… • Classify land under only one category to prevent double counting. • It is good practice to combine or disaggregate the existing land classes of a land-use classification in order to use the categories presented here, and to report on the procedure adopted. • It is good practice to specify national definitions for all categories used in the inventory and report any threshold or parameter values used in the definitions. Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 48 Other Categories • Harvested wood products (HWP), wetlands and other sources/sinks • Default assumption of Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines is that: • HWP pool is constant. So carbon removed in wood and other biomass from forests is oxidized in the year of harvest • Countries may report on HWP pools, if they can document that existing stocks of forest products are in fact increasing • GPG2003-Appendix provides guidance on methodological issues for accounting emissions and removals from HWP. Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 49 Land Representation is Key: 3 Approaches in GPG 2003 Approach 1: Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 50 Approach 2 Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 51 Approach 3: Spacially Explicit (GIS required) Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 52 Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 53 Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 54 Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 55 Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 56 Carbon Pools • CO2 emissions and removal are estimated for all the carbon pools namely: • Aboveground biomass (AB) • Belowground biomass (BB) • Soil organic carbon (SOC) • Dead organic matter (DOM) and woody litter (L) Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 57 Non-CO2 Gases and Sources of Non-CO2 Gases • Non-CO2 gases estimated include: • CH4, N2O, CO and NOx • Sources of non-CO2 gases: • N2O and CH4 from forest fires • N2O from managed (fertilized) forests • N2O from drainage of forest soils • N2O and CH4 from managed wetland • Soil emissions of N2O from land-use conversion. Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 58 Broad Approach and Steps in Adopting GPG 2003 • Accounts for all land-use categories and subcategories, all carbon pools and nonCO2 gases, depending on key source/sink category analysis • Select nationally adopted land-use classification system (categories and sub- categories) for inventory estimation. Each land category is further subdivided into: • Land remaining in the same category (e.g. forest land remaining forest land) • Other land category converted to this land category (e.g. grassland converted to forest land). Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 59 Broad Approach and Steps in Adopting GPG 2003 (cont.) • Select appropriate land classification system most relevant to country • Conduct key source/sink category analysis to identify the key: • Land categories and subcategories • Non-CO2 gases • Carbon pools. Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 60 Steps to Adopting GPG 2003 1. Select appropriate tier level for key land categories and sub-categories, non-CO2 gases and carbon pools, based on key category analysis as well as resources available for the inventory process. 2. Assemble required AD, depending on tier selected, from regional, national and global databases. 3. Collect EF/RF, depending on tier selected, from regional, national and global databases, forest inventories, national greenhouse gas inventory studies, field experiments and surveys and use of EFDB. Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 61 Steps to Adopting GPG 2003 4. Select method of estimation, based on tier level selected, quantify emissions/removals for each land-use category, carbon pool and non-CO2 gas. Adopt default worksheet provided in GPG2003. 5. Estimate uncertainty. 6. Adopt quality assurance/quality control (QA/QC) procedures and report results. 7. Report GHG emissions and removals using the reporting tables. 8. Document and archive all information used. Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 62 Features of Land-category-based Approach – Forest Land • Estimates carbon stock changes and GHG emissions/removals associated with changes in biomass and soil organic carbon on forest land and lands converted to forest land: • Forest land remaining forest • Land converted to forest • Provides methodology for five carbon pools • Links biomass and soil carbon pools for the same land areas (at higher tiers). Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 63 Where: ΔC FFLB = annual change in carbon stocks in living biomass (includes above- and belowground biomass) in forest land remaining forest land, tonnes C yr-1 C t2 = total carbon in biomass calculated at time t2, tonnes C C t1 = total carbon in biomass calculated at time t1, tonnes C V = merchantable volume, m3 ha-1 D = basic wood density, tonnes d.m. m-3 merchantable volume BEF2 = biomass expansion factor for conversion of merchantable volume to aboveground tree biomass, dimensionless. Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 64 Features of Land-category-based Approach – Cropland • Provides methods for estimating carbon stock changes in living biomass, mineral soils and in organic soils • Provides methods for estimating annual N2O emissions from mineral soils due to addition of nitogen (in the form of fertilizer, manure and crop residue) and nitrogen released by soil organic matter mineralization • These categories are estimated and reported in the agriculture sector in Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines. Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 65 Features of Land-category-based Approach – Grassland • Methodology for estimating carbon stock changes in living biomass and soils in grassland and lands converted to grassland • Estimates annual change in carbon stocks in living biomass and soil organic carbon (mineral soils and cultivated organic soils) in grassland remaining grassland and lands converted to grassland • Methodology for estimating non-CO2 emissions from vegetation fires based on: area of grassland burned, mass of available fuel, combustion efficiency and emission factor for each GHG from grassland remaining grassland and land converted to grassland. Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 66 Features of Land-category-based Approach – Wetlands • The GHGs estimated include CO2, CH4 and N2O • Methodology for estimating GHGs for ‘wetlands remaining wetlands’ is given in the Appendix and for GHGs from ‘lands converted to wetlands’ in the main text • Estimates changes in carbon stocks in lands converted to wetlands due to peat extraction and land converted to flooded land • Estimates N2O emissions from peatland drainage and flooded land and CH4 emissions from flooded land. Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 67 Features of Land-category-based Approach – Settlements and Other Land Settlements: • Provides methodology for estimating CO2 emissions and removals for ‘lands converted to settlements’ and methodology is given in Appendix for ‘settlements remaining settlements’ • Methods for estimating annual change in carbon stocks in living biomass in ‘forest lands converted to settlements’ based on area of land converted and carbon stock in living biomass immediately before and after conversion to settlements. Other land: • Changes in carbon stocks and non-CO2 emissions/removals need not be assessed for category of ‘other land remaining other land’ • Methodology provided for estimating annual change in carbon stocks in ‘land converted to other land’ based on estimates of change in carbon stocks in living biomass and SOC. Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 68 Improvements for the Future • Non-Annex I Parties may have to: • • Initiate dedicated inventory programmes Provide infrastructural and technical support for sustained inventory process. • This may involve: • Organizing periodic forest inventories • Use of satellite or remote-sensing-based land-use maps • Development of nationally relevant emission/removal factors. • It is likely that many NAI Parties lack resources needed to initiate satellitebased monitoring: • Obtain satellite maps from institutions such as FAO, UNEP and NASA and undertake ground truthing. Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 69 Short-term Strategy… • Check Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines, GPG 2003, EFDB and other global sources and select the closest default values • Check whether any national forest inventory studies are available (many NAI Parties have them) and collect the growth rate data • Review the national and international literature (web sites of FAO, CGIAR centres, universities, books and reports) • Compile all the parameter values available from national and international sources for the disaggregated or stratified forest/plantation types • Select the most appropriate AGR for each stratum of the forest/plantation types. Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 70 Long-term Strategy for Improving AGR Values • Initiate national forest inventory studies • Disaggregate/stratify the forest/plantation types • Adopt sampling technique as explained in GPG2003 (Chapter 3 and 4) • Adopt permanent plots with proper boundaries marked for periodic revisits • Refer to any text book on ‘forest mensuration’ or web sites such as www.winrock.org, www.cifor.org, etc., for methods of measurement and estimation • Estimate the standard deviation or variance. Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 71 Comparing Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines and GPG 2003 Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 72 Comparison of GPG 2003 and the Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines GPG2003 i) Land category based approach covering forest land, cropland, grassland, wetland, settlement and others ii) These land categories are further sub divided into; land remaining in the same use category 1. other land converted to this land category iii) Methods given for all carbon pools; AGB, BGB, dead organic matter and soil carbon and all non-CO2 gases iv) Key source/sink category analysis provided for selecting significant land categories sub-land categories C-pools CO2 and non-CO2 gases v) Three tier structure presented for choice of methods, Activity Data and Emission Factors vi) Biomass and soil carbon pools linked IPCC 1996GL i) Approach based on four categories namely 5A to 5D (refer to Section 5.1) All land categories not included such as coffee, tea, coconut etc. Lack of clarity on agro-forestry ii) Forest and grassland categories defined in 5A and 5B iii) Methods provided mainly for aboveground biomass and soil carbon. 2. Assumes as a default that changes in carbon stocks in dead organic matter pools are not significant and can be assumed to be zero, i.e. inputs balance losses. 3. Similarly, belowground biomass increment or changes are generally assumed to be zero iv) Key source/sink category analysis not provided v) Three tier structure approach presented but its application to choice of methods, AD and EF not provided vi) Changes in stock of biomass and soil carbon in a given vegetation or forest type not linked Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 73 Key Activity Data Required for GPG 2003 and Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines GPG2003 IPCC 1996GL FOREST LAND i) Area of forest land remaining forest land Disaggregation according to climatic region, vegetation type, species, management system, age etc. ii) Area of other land category converted to forest land Disaggregation as mentioned above iii) Forest area affected by disturbances iv) Forest area undergoing transition from state (i) to (j) v) Area of forest burnt vi) Total afforested land derived from cropland/grassland vii) Area of land converted to forest land through natural regeneration establishment of plantations CROPLAND, GRASSLAND, WETLAND ETC. Similar categorization as above Category 5A to 5D i) Area of plantation/forests ii) Area converted annually iii) Average area converted (10-year average) iv) Area abandoned and regenerating 20-years prior to year of inventory 20-100 years prior to the year of inventory v) Area under different land use/management systems and soil type during year-t (inventory year) 20-years prior to year-t vi) Area under managed organic soils Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 74 Key Emission Factors Required for GPG 2003 and Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines Average annual net increment in volume suitable for industrial processing Biomass expansion factor (BEF) for conversion of annual net increment (including bark) to above ground tree biomass increment Root:shoot ratio appropriate to increment Biomass expansion factor (BEF) for converting volumes of extracted roundwood to total aboveground biomass (including bark) Mortality rate in naturally and artificially regenerated forest Annual biomass transfer into deadwood Annual biomass transfer out of deadwood Litter stock under different management systems Soil organic carbon in different management systems Mass of biomass fuel present in area subjected to burning Emission factors common to both: Aboveground biomass growth rate, biomass density Aboveground biomass stock, soil carbon density Fraction of biomass left to decay. Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 75 Conclusion and Strategy for the Future Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 76 Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines • NAI experts and compilation and synthesis reports by UNFCCC have identified a number of issues and problems in using the Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines, including: • Lack of clarity in the methods and inadequacies of the methods • Lack of AD and EF • Low quality or reliability of AD and EF • High uncertainty of AD and EF, leading to uncertainty in inventory estimates • Unsuitability. Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 77 GPG 2003 • GPG 2003 was intended to overcome some of the methodological issues/problems identified in using the Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines a) Suggests methods to reduce uncertainty b) Suggests an improved land category and full carbon (and non-CO2 gases) estimation based approach and methods. • Adoption of GPG 2003 approach will lead to: • Full and consistent representation, consideration and reporting of all land categories • Full carbon (all 5 carbon pools) estimation • Reduced uncertainty • Efficient use of limited inventory resources. Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories 78 Thank you! Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) Training Materials for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories