Building Up Defense Capabilities
MG Jerzy BIZIEWSKI
DCOS PLANS
SHAPE
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AGENDA
 NATO Defence Planning Process (NDPP) Overview:
 NATO Defense Planning Model;
 NATO Defense Planning Process:
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Step 1. Political Guidance;
Step 2. Determine Requirements;
Step 3. Apportion Requirements and Set Targets;
Step 4. Facilitate Implementation;
Step 5. Review Results.
 NDPP Enhancement.
 Questions.
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NATO Defence Planning Model
Establish
Political
Guidance
Review
Results
Determine
Requirements
Improving
Alliance
Capabilities
Facilitate
Implementation
Apportion
Requirements
Set Targets
5 steps, 4-year cycle  Provide the Operational Commander with
continuously improved capabilities that are more tailored and more capable
to meet the Alliance’s evolving missions, roles, and tasks
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NATO Defense Planning Process
Step 1
Step 2
Step 3
Step 4
Step 5
Establish Political Guidance
Determine Requirements
Apportion Requirements and Set Targets
Facilitate Implementation
Review Results
DPPC(R)
RPPB
NATO Strategic
Concept
Capability Requirements Review (CRR)
approves
DPST
review & report
(every four years)
NATO
SCs lead
develops targets
NATO Level of
Ambition (LOA)
(reviewed at least every four years)
IS leads
first draft
further
develop
approve
DPST
endorse
DPPC(R)
submits
NAC
DPC
NPG
Ministers
Head of
State and
Gov
Phase 1:
Analyse/
Interpret
High Level
Guidance
BLOCK 1:ENVIRONMENT ANALYSIS
NATO Political
Guidance
ACO
supports
ACT
leads
(Bi-SC document)
Guiding Principles (GP) &
Planning Assumptions
(PA)
Develop Targets
and apportion
Multinational
(every two years)
National
MC
Support
(Reinvestment targets)
DPST
Mission Types (MT) &
Generic Planning
Situations (GPS)
Lessons
Learned
Determine
Capability
Shortfall
solutions
notes
RPPB
Meetings
with nations
develops preliminary
solutions
reports
(Bi-SC document)
Phase 2:
Capture
Future
Security
Environment
Capability Review
Draft packages
(every four years)
notes
SCs lead
DPST
Burden
Sharing
Multilateral
Examinations
Operations
Agreed
Targets
(28-1)
DPPC(R)
NATO agreed
Intelligence
MC161
Future Trends
BLOCK 2: REQUIREMENTS ANALYSIS
MC Supplementary Guidance
(MC400, CRR, PSA, SRA)
Alignment short-midlong term requirements
Phase 3:
Requirements
determination
Minimum Capability
Requirements
(MCR)
determination
NAC
DPC
NPG
Planning
domains
Interoperability,
Standardisation and
Jointness
Nations
reply
NATO
Capability
Survey
Ministers
(including STANAGS, AP’s)
SCs
supports
DPPC(R)
(Bi-SC document)
Dialogue with
Planning Domains
Phase 4:
Integrated
Cross-check
of identified
MCR
Associated
Risk
develops and
approves
National –
Multinational
Implementation
adopt
submits
MTD*, CS,
CHF,
CAL, CC & CS
DPPC(R)
Summary report and
prepares Risk Assessment
Reasonable
challenge
CUR
LL
Progress
Report NATO
Targets
NATO
Implementation
Common-funded
Targets
decides
by exception
Monitor
Facilitate
IS leads
Identifies
actions
Ultimate Goal of NDPP:
facilitate the timely
identification, development
and delivery of the necessary
range of forces, as well as
associated military and nonmilitary capabilities, to
undertake the Alliance’s full
spectrum of missions
DPST
Conduct NATO
Capability Review
* Acronyms:
- MTD: Mission to Task
Decomposition
- CS: Case Studies
- CHF: Capability Hierarchy
Framework
- CAL: Capability Assignment Logic
- CC & CS: Capability Codes and
Capability Statements
References:
1. PO(2009)0042, Outline
Model for a NATO Defence
Planning Process, 02 Apr
09
2. PO(2009)0079,
Implementation and
Transition Plan – NDPP, 10
Jun 09.
3. DSG(2009)0858, 8 Oct 09
4. Overhaul of the DRR
working papers and
presentations
BLOCK 3: REQUIREMENTS ASSESSMENT
DPST
NATO and nations
existing & planned
capabilities
Compare MCR
with existing &
planned
capabilities
MC Suitability &
Risk Assessment
Phase 5:
Gap analysis
(Bi-SC document)
IMS leads
produces
Capability surplus
Reinvestment targets
Risk Analysis
Capability Shortfalls
FORCE
GENERATION
ACO
leads
MC
Priority
Shortfall Areas
(PSA)
(Bi-SC recommendation)
DPST
MC
DPPC(R)
DPPC(R)
operations
endorse
NAC
DPC
NPG
reviews and approves
Ministers
develops
DPPC(R)
endorse
NATO Capabilities Progress
Update
presents
notes
submits
Country’s draft
Country’s
Country’sdraft
draft
assessments
Country’s
assessments
Meeting draft
with
assessments
assessments
nations
1)
prepares
Phase 6:
Shortfalls
prioritisation
Country’s draft
Country’s
Country’sdraft
draft
assessments
Country’s
assessments
Country’sdraft
draft
assessments
assessments
assessments
ACT
supports
Multilateral
Meetings (28-
NATO Capabilities
Report
Capabilities to be maintained
IS leads
produces
Bi-SC Suitability &
Risk Assessment
Synopsis of MCR including PSA
(intermediate years)
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SHAPE CPP-CAM-FCR POC: CDR Manso. Version 2 (February 2011)
STEP 1 – ESTABLISH POLITICAL GUIDANCE
[International Staff lead]
NATO STRATEGIC CONCEPT
POLITICAL GUIDANCE
LoA
MILITARY COMMITTEE SUPLEMENTARY GUIDANCE
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STEP 2 – Determine Requirements
[ACT IN THE LEAD, ACO SUPPORTING]
CAPABILITY REQUIREMENTS REVIEW
HIGH LEVEL GUIDANCE
Planning Assumptions
FUTURE SECURITY ENVIRONMENT
Planning Situations
REQUIREMENTS DETERMINATION
Minimum Capability Requirements
GAP ANALYSIS
Shortfalls, Surplus, To be maintained
SHORTFALLS PRIORITISATION
Bi-SC Priority Shortfall Areas
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STEP 3 – Apportion of Requirements, Set Targets
[IS IN THE LEAD]
DETERMINE SOLUTIONS
DEVELOP TARGETS
- National
- NATO
APPORTION TARGETS
- Multinational
RISK ASSESSMENT
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STEP 4 – Facilitate Implementations
• Out of Cycle STEP.
• NATO Initiatives:
– Smart Defense
– Framework Nation Concept
– Connected Forces Initiative
– Multinational Initiatives.
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STEP 5 – Review Results (every two years)
CAPABILITY REVIEW
DEFENCE PLANNING CAPABILITY SURVEY
IS in the lead
COUNTRY ASSESSMENT
BI-LATERAL / MULTILATERAL MEETINGS
IS in the lead
CAPABILITIES REPORT
MC SUITABILITY AND RISK ASSESSMENT
ACO in the lead
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NDPP ENHANCEMENT
• NDPP First Cycle weaknesses:
– Harmonization;
– Inflexibility;
– Complexity.
• Enhancing initiatives for all 5 steps of the process
• IS is leading the overall E-NDPP package
• SCs Tasking for STEP 2:
– simple, less time consuming, adaptable;
– analytical rigor, traceability and transparency are not compromised;
– Allies to be able to assess the key elements of the process, through better
understanding and visibility of its conduct.
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STEP 2 – Determine Requirements.
• Enhance linkage between Operations and Defence Planning.
• Short and Medium term.
• Long term: set via a NATO vision i.e. NATO 2030.
• Threat vs capability based approach.
• Time &
Space;
• Resources
Allocation;
• Tasks;
• Acquisition;
• ………
SPECIFIC
GENERIC
2019
ST
2024
MT
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2030
LT
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Questions?
Thank you
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