Low Frequency Variability and
Climate Regimes:
A look at the Charney DeVore Model
Josh Griffin and Marcus Williams
Outline
Brief History
Introduction
The CDV model
From Holton
From Charney
Examples
Stochastic forcing
What are we talking about?
We know that the climate is described as a basic
state flow that is modified by eddy fluxes --needs
better wording-- Low frequency variability describes these eddy
fluxes that last on time scales longer than those of
transient eddies
Can be anywhere from 7-10 days to interannular
variability
These persistent anomalies can lead to climate
regimes in the general circulation of the
atmosphere
These regimes are characterized be either a highindex or low-index state
Define climate regime
Graphic as an example
What is the purpose of the CDV
model?
What does it look at? An extremely simplified
model of a barotropic atmosphere.
What does it hope to solve? Hoped to describe the
persistance of large amplitude flow anomalies like
blocking or recurring regional weather patterns
What does it tell us? Examines the equilibrium
mean states of the atmosphere when a damped
topographic Rossby wave interacts with the zonalmean flow. --direct quote from holton
Model tells us that there are multiple equilibrium
solutions for the atmosphere.
Both solutions are stable, however only one is
seen. ???
Charney
Who invented it?
Hard to find something he didn’t do…
His PhD thesis took up an entire journal in october
1947
Important for 2 reasons --list them
Developed quasi-geostrophic approximations
Helped proved the concept of numerical weather
prediction was feasible and practical
Helped come up with concept of barotropic instability
??? (“True” according to wikipedia)
Helped explain formation of mid-lat cyclones
Dishpan experiment
DeVore
One hit wonder…
This is his only paper listed on the AMS website
Apparently works for a company named Visidyne
Let’s talk about models…
Will be looking at two approaches
First approach is from Holton
Is a more ad hoc approach
Less dynamical than the original CDV paper
Actually feasible for us to derive…
Second approach is from CDV Paper
More dynamical
Mathematically complex
Holton’s approach
Start with the barotropic potential vorticity
equation
DhT
H V g f f 0
t
Dt
Explain terms
Why use this equation? It is the simplest model of
topographic Rossby waves
Make the assumption that the upper boundary is fixed at a
height H and the lower boundary is variable height ht(x,y)
where ht <<H
Now what?
f 0 DhT
u v g f
t
x
v
H Dt
First step is to linearize
u u u
v v v
v u
x y
Next we make some assumptions
flow
v 0
Zonal
mean
Take the zonal average
0
x
And then…
We then integrate the equation w.r.t y
u
f
v 0 v hT
t
H
By adding some “forcing??” terms, you
arrive at the equation
u
t
D u u U e
Where
This
is defined as the barotropic momentum
equation
D u v
f0
vhT
H
Now that we have an equation
The barotropic momentum equation is
dominated by two terms
D(u) describes the forcing interaction between the
waves and the mean flow
-kappa(u-Ue) describes a linear relaxation toward an
externally determined basic state flow, Ue
Since we know D(u), we can plot the
solution if we make some assumptions.
assumptions
Assume the streamfuction is composed of a
single harmonic wave in the x and y
direction.
Doing this results in:
x, y Re0 expikxcosly
hT Reh0 expikxcosly
where 0
We know that
v
x
and
2 2
2 2
x
y
HK
f 0 h0
2
K s i
2
Plug and chug
After plugging the wave solutions, D(u) simplifies
The eddy vorticity flux goes away
The second term, the form drag, is all that remains
Explain terms
rK 2 f 02 h02 cos2 ly
D u
2
2
2uH K 2 K S2 2
Graphical solution
Explain the equilibrium points
Why is one low-index and one high index?
Transition slide into CDV paper
CDV derivation
The CDV model comprises a Rossby wave mode and uniform zonal
flow over a mountain in a plane channel.
The coriolis parameter f is approximated by
The flow is restricted by lateral walls with width 0< y<Lx and length
0<x<Lx.
The flow is also periodic in longitude so
No normal transport at the boundaries requires to be constant at y=
0,Ly
CDV Derivation
The equation used in the model is the QGPV equation
, *,
To derive the low order spectral model you must expand
orthonormal eigenfunctions of the Leplace operator.
This derivation is very complex. I will show a more general representation by solving
Leplace’s equation on a rectangle and introducing
the concept of orthogonality.
and h(x,y) into
CDV Derivation
Laplace equation
2 u 2 u
u 2 2
x
y
Break the problem into four problems with each having one
homogeneous condition u u1 u2 u3 u4
Next assume that u is a function of a product of x and y
u( x, y) h( x) ( y)
Separate the variable to get an ODE for x and y and set equal to
an arbitrary constant.
CDV Derivation
Solve x dependent equation and y dependent equation. The equation with
two homogeneous boundary conditions will provide you with your
eigenvalues.
d 2h
h( x )
2
dx
h( L) 0
d 2
2
dy
(0) 0
(H ) 0
Use boundary conditions to solve for the eigenfunction and orthogonality to
solve for the inhomogeneous initial condition
CDV derivation
Orthogonality
Whenever
L
A(x)B(x)dx 0
it is said that functions are
orthogonal over the interval 0<x<L. The term is borrowed
from perpendicular vectors because the integral is analogous
to a zero
dot product
0
0
nx
mx
sin
dx
0 L
L /2
L
0
L
nx
mx
cos
cos
dx
0
L
L
L /2
L
L
sin
m n
m n
m n
m n 0
m n 0
CDV Derivation
The process is similar in the derivation of the CDV model
First you have to non-dimensionalize the QGPV equation.(A1,A2)
2
h
D
2 J , 2 f o y f o E 2 *
t
H
2H
Make the rigid lid approximation 0 and use the characteristic height, the
timescale, the horizintal length scale, and the characteristic amplitude of the
topography.
2
The non-dimensionalized QGPV becomes
2 J , 2 J , h
C 2 * : A1
t
x
f h
f D
0 0 ,
,C 0 E
H
k
2H
CDV Derivation
Represent h(x,y) and in terms of sines and cosines(A4).
*
1
y
2 co s(x ) sin
2
b
*
y
1 2 co s
0
b
h ( x, y )
*
Expand into three orthonormal modes(A3).
1 2 3
y
b
1 11 1 2 cos
y
b
y
33 3 2 sin(x ) sin
b
2 22 2 2 cos x sin
3
CDV derivation
Insert A3 and A4 back into the A1 and utilize the orthonomality of the
eigenfunctions and let xi b , . f0h0 H
i
This leads to the following equations known as the CDV equations(A5).
.
x
1
b x3 C x1 x1
*
1
a b x1 x3 Cx2
2
.
1
1
x 3 a b x1 2 x2 2 a x1 Cx3
with
2b
3
3
a
,
, C
C
2
1 b
4 2
4 2
.
x
2
These equations define the low-order spectral model.The CDV equations
are solved to find the equilibrium points
CDV model
As we found from holton, the system has three equilibrium point. One
unstable and two stable(Show graphic again?)
For arbitrary initial conditions the phase space trajectories always tend to one
of the two stable equilibrium
This is a drawback of the CDV model because there is no way to transition
between the two stable equilibrium points.
CDV model
Example of a blocking climate regime in mid-lattitudes
Stochastic slide 1
•As was shown earlier, there is no way to start a
transition from one stable equlibria to another
•Papers by Eggert (1981) and Sura (2002) discuss
this transition between equilibrium through
stochastic processes
Stochastic slide 2
Obviously, since the points are equilibrium points,
the solutions tend to go to one of those points and
remain there in the CDV model
By adding the stochastic white noise to the
system, it generates a mechanism by which the
system can switch between the equilibrium points
Matlab examples
Holton provides an example of a twomeridional-mode version of the CharneyDeVore model
Now we’ll show a few examples of how
topographic forcing alters the
streamfunctions, both in structure and
persistence.