PSG_JSE_SSF_Seminar_presentation

advertisement

SINGLE STOCK FUTURE TRADING

Shaun van den Berg

PSG Online: Head of Client Education

_______________________________

James Boardman

JSE Derivatives

Wednesday,23 May 2012

OVERVIEW

• JSE

– Central Orderbook

• PSG Online

– What are SSFs

– Terminology

– SSFs versus Equities.

– Risk

– Trading Strategy

– Pricing

– Account Registration

– SSF Simulator

JSE - A CENTRALISED MARKET

JSE – EVOLVING MARKETS

From this…

JSE – EVOLVING MARKETS

… where you could expect this…

JSE – EVOLVING MARKETS

… to this. Quiet, calm efficiency

JSE - A LEVEL THE PLAYING FIELD

JSE - SSF GUARANTEE HIERARCHY

JSE IT WAS EASY TO SAY NO…

NO!

JSE - CENTRAL ORDERBOOK

• Introduced competition on rates

• Now they all come to you, hoping for a yes…

Please?

You

Please?

Please?

Please?

Please?

JSE - SPREADS

JSE - SPREADS

R99

R1.5

R1

R1.5

R100 R101

JSE - SPREAD COST

• Can’t compare absolute spread values between instruments

• Need to compare in percentage of exposure

( OFFER BID )

( OFFER

2

BID )

• Value will be in basis points

= Spread%

– 1 Basis point = 0.0001

• On average spreads on Top40 Futures are 25 Basis Points

JSE - CONTACT DETAILS

• Parking tickets!

• Magnus de Wet

• James Boardman

• Rudolf Oosthuizen

– DerivativesTrading@JSE.co.za

– +27 11 520 7051

PSG - WHAT ARE SSFs

• SSFs are contracts entered into between

2 parties

• Right for the buyer to take delivery of that stock on the date of the contract’s expiry, a ‘deposit’, known as the initial margin is made and used as security

• Close out or Roll positions

• An SSF contract is made up of 100 shares geared at around 15%

PSG - SSFs EXPLAINED

• Standardised contract

• SAFEX

• Partially matched orders simply expire!

• Expire March, June, September and

December

• Including all relevant dividends and interest

• Go long or Go short

• Marked to market daily (MTM)

PSG - TERMINOLOGY

• Underlying

• Going Long

• Going Short

• Closing a position

• Expiry date

• Initial margin

• Variation margin

• Rolling a position

PSG - BENEFITS

• Highly capital efficient

• Low brokerage

• Very liquid

• Earn interest

• Benefit from Corporate Actions

• Cheaply diversify risk

• Hedge your portfolio

PSG - SSFs OR EQUITIES

Joe (Equity / Share Trader) John (SSFsTrader)

Joe is confident that Sasol Ltd shares will increase in the coming months.

He has R36,500 which she can invest.

Sasol’s share price is R365, therefore she buys 100 shares.

3 months later the price has increased by

10% so he sells his shares to make a R3,650 profit.

His return on his investment is 10%

John is confident that Sasol Ltd shares will increase in the oncoming months.

Sasol’s share price is R365, therefore he buys a Long Sasol SSF contract (JUN12

SOLQ).

The initial margin set by the broker is

R4,950 which is paid by the buyer.

After 3 months the price has increased by

10% and the investor closes out his position and sells out of the Sasol SSF contract he is holding. His profit is R3,650

His return on his investment is 58%.

PSG - UNDERSTANDING RISK

• Jack is an SSFs Trader

• Jack is confident that Sasol Ltd shares will increase in the coming months.

• Sasol’s share price is R365, therefore he buys a Long Sasol SSF contract – JUN12 SOLQ at R4 950 initial margin which is paid by the buyer

• The Brent Crude price decreases by $10 a barrel which negatively impacts on Sasol’s share price, which drops to R335 per share

• The SSF contract is made up of 100 underlying shares.

• The margin call for Investor B to continue trading is 100 x R30 (R365

– R335) = R 3000 variation margin which needs to be paid in to keep the investors position open. He has now laid out R 7,950

• After a month the share price continues to drop to R300. The investor chooses to close his position and must pay in a further

R 3,500 variation margin.

• His total outlay is R 10,950 but he receives his Initial margin back, so his total loss is R6000 (-121.2%)

PSG - SSF PRICING

• Interest payable is determined daily by the market maker in relation to the ruling

SAFEX rates.

• Interest will be paid on cash balances at a rate linked to the JSE Trustees rate.

PSG - SSF COSTS

• Brokerage on the Central Orderbook is charged at 0.4% (excl VAT) of the value of the transaction.

• 14% VAT on opening leg and 14% VAT on closing leg

• 0.912% total

• A booking fee of R60

PSG - TRADING STRATEGY

• Identify the candidate

• Wait for the breakout

• Set a reasonable target price (TP)

• Allow the share to retest

• Know when your trade has failed

• Exit at your price target (TP)

• Be patient

• Be disciplined

PSG - IDENTIFY THE CANDIDATE

• The more times a share price has touched these areas, the more valid these levels are & the more important they become.

• The longer these support & resistance levels have been in play, the better the outcome when the share price finally breaks out.

PSG - ENTRY AND EXIT POINTS

• Once prices are set to close above a resistance level, a trader will establish a bullish position.

• When prices are set to close below a support level, a trader will take on a bearish position.

• The exit point itself should be set at a critical price level, e.g.

Support & Resistance

PSG - ASCENDING TRIANGLES

TP

PSG - MARKETWORX

• Mentored learning

• Full day workshop (09h00 – 16h00)

– Monday, 25 June 2012

• Fundamental Analysis & Investing

• Technical Analysis & Trading

• Cost: R200

PSG - SIMULATOR TRADING

• Click here

• Submit your details

• Login

• Select your SSFSM account (top right)

• Reset simulator

• Select “New Order”

SSF ACCOUNT REGSITRATION

• Click here

SSF Margin

Initial margin per contract

Top 40 Shares

ALSI & ALMI

Copper, Gold, Platinum

& Silver

WTI Crude Oil

SSF Central Order Book

ALSI – Most popular

Top 40 Shares

Liquidity, Cheap,

Tight Spreads

Long & Short

SSF Order Book – ALSI Trade

Margin = R28 050

Exposure = R280 500

Cost R25 per contract

R10 per point

100 points move =

R1000

Buy (Long) @ 30 089

Moves 300 points up

= 30 389

300 points move x R10

= R3 000

SSF Order Book – ALMI Trade

Margin = R2805

Exposure = R28 050

Cost R55 per contract

R1 per point

100 points move =

R100

5 Contracts x R2 805 =

R14 025

Buy (Long) @ 30 050

Moves 300 points up

= 30 359

300 points move x R1

= R300 x 5 = R1500

SSF Simulator (SSFSM)

Step 3

Click Reset

Simulator

Step 1

Select

SSFSM

Step 2

Check

R100 000

New Order (ALSI)

New Order (ALSI Buy)

Step 1

Select

Direction

Example 1:

Buy (Long)

1 contract

@ 30 089

Step 2

Enter

Contracts

Step 3

Enter

Price (R)

Step 4

Click

Submit

Order

Trade History (ALSI Buy)

Select

Trade

History

Margin

Movement

Financial History (ALSI Buy)

Select

Financial

History

Margin = R28 050

Exposure = R280 500

Cost R25 per contract

R10 per point

100 points move =

R1000

Margin &

Brokerage

R25

New Order (ALSI Sell)

Sell (Long Close)

Moves up to 30 389

= 300 points move x R10

= R3 000

Step 1

Select

Direction

Step 2

Enter

Contracts

Step 3

Enter

Price

Step 4

Click

Submit

Order

Trades History (ALSI Sell)

Profit or

Loss

Margin

Returned

Financial History (ALSI Sell)

Select

Financial

History

SSF Simulator Portfolio

Select

Portfolio

Example 2:

Buy (Long) @ 30 089

Moves down to 29 921

= 169 points move x R10

= R1 690 loss

(Margin Call)

Example 3:

Sell (Short) @ 30 089

Moves down to 29 789

= 300 points move x R10

= R3 000

New Order (Remgro Buy)

Step 1

Select

Direction

Step 2

Enter

Contracts

Step 3

Enter

Price (R)

Step 4

Click

Submit

Order

Trade History (REM Buy)

Select

Trade

History

Margin = R2 122

5 Contracts

5 x R2 122 = R10 610

Exposure = 5 x 100 x

R131.50 = R65 750

Margin

Movement

Financial History (REM Buy)

Select

Financial

History

Brokerage =

Exposure R65 750 x

0.47% (VAT incl) =

R309.03

Margin &

Brokerage

R309.03

SSF Simulator - Portfolio

Select

Portfolio

Exposure

5 x 100 x

R131.50 =

R65 750

New Order (Remgro Sell)

Step 1

Select

Direction

Step 2

Enter

Contracts

Step 3

Enter

Price (R)

Step 4

Click

Submit

Order

Trade History (REM Sell)

Select

Trade

History

Profit or

Loss

Sell (Close)

REMJUN12 contract

@ R142.00

Exposure = 5 x 100 x

R142.00 = R71 000

Margin

Returned

Financial History (REM Sell)

Select

Financial

History

Brokerage = R71 000 x

0.47% (VAT incl.) =

R333. 70

Profit =

R71 000

– R65 750

= R5 250

Brokerage

&

Profit

SUPPORT

• General enquiries

– 0860 PSG PSG (774 774)

– info@psgonline.co.za

– www.psgonline.co.za

• Trading assistance

– Lawrence Marshall

– lawrence@psgonline.co.za

• Educational enquiries

– education@psgonline.co.za

SHARE YOUR THOUGHTS

Click on the relevant icon facebook twitter

YouTube

Contact us

Thank You shaunvdb@psgonline.co.za

011 996 5200

Download