Trust and Profit Sensitive Ranking for Web Databases and On

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Trust and Profit Sensitive Ranking for Web

Databases and On-line Advertisements

Raju Balakrishnan

(PhD Proposal Defense)

Committee: Subbarao Kambhampati (chair)

Yi Chen

AnHai Doan

Huan Liu.

Agenda

 Problem 1: Ranking the Deep Web

– Need for New Ranking.

– SourceRank: Agreement Analysis.

– Computing Agreement and Collusion .

– Results & System Implementation.

 Proposed Work: Ranking the Deep Web Results.

 Problem 2: Ad-Ranking sensitive to Mutual Influences.

– Browsing model & Nature of Influence.

– Ranking Function and Generalizations.

– Results.

 Proposed Work : Mechanism Design for Ads.

Deep Web Integration Scenario

Millions of sources containing structured tuples

Uncontrolled collection of redundant information

Mediator

Search engines have nominal access. We don’t Google for a “Honda Civic

2008 Tempe”

Web DB

Web DB

Web DB

Deep Web

Web DB

Web DB

Why Another Ranking?

Rankings are oblivious to result Importance & Trustworthiness

Example Query: “ Godfather Trilogy” on Google Base

Importance : Searching for titles matching with the query. None of the results are the classic Godfather

Trustworthiness (bait and switch)

 The titles and cover image match exactly.

 Prices are low. Amazing deal!

 But when you proceed towards check out you realize that the product is a different one! (or when you open the mail package, if you are really unlucky)

Source Selection in the Deep Web

Problem: Given a user query, select a subset of sources to provide important and trustworthy answers.

Surface web search combines link analysis with

Query-Relevance to consider trustworthiness and relevance of the results.

Unfortunately, deep web records do not have the hyper-links.

Source Agreement

Observations

 Many sources return answers to the same query.

 Comparison of semantics of the answers is facilitated by structure of the tuples

Idea: Compute importance and trustworthiness of sources based on the agreement of answers returned by different sources

.

Agreement Implies Trust & Importance.

 Important results are likely to be returned by a large number of sources.

 e.g. For the query “Godfather” hundreds of sources return the classic “ The Godfather ” while a few sources return the little known movie “ Little Godfather ”.

 Two independent sources are not likely to agree upon corrupt/untrustworthy answers.

 e.g. The wrong author of the book (e.g.

Godfather author as “ Nino Rota” ) would not be agreed by other sources. As we know, truth is one (or a few), but lies are many.

Agreement is not just for the search

Which tire?

Agreement Implies Trust & Relevance

1

3



Probability of agreement of two independently selected

1 irrelevant/false tuples is

100 k

P a

( f

1

, f

2

)

|

1

U |

Probability of agreement or two independently picked relevant and true tuples is

P a

( r

1

, r

2

)

1

| R

T

|

| U |



| R

T

|

P a

( r

1

, r

2

)



P a

( f

1

, f

2

)

Method: Sampling based Agreement

W ( S

1

S

2

)

  

( 1

 

)

A ( R

1

, R

2

)

| R

2

|

0.78

S

3

S

1

0.86

0.6

0.22

0.14

S

2

0.4

Link semantics from S i weight w : S i to S j with acknowledges w fraction of tuples in S j

.

Since weight is the fraction, links are unsymmetrical .

to account for the unseen samples.

R

1

, R

2 are the result sets of S

1

, S

2

.

 Agreement is computed using 200 key word queries.

 Partial titles of movies/books are used as queries.

 Mean agreement over all the queries are used as the final agreement.

Method: Calculating SourceRank

How can I use the agreement graph for improved search?

• Source graph is viewed as a markov chain, with edges as the transition probabilities between the sources.

• The prestige of sources considering transitive nature of the agreement may be computed based on a markov random walk.

SourceRank is equal to this stationary visit probability of the random walk on the database vertex.

This static SourceRank may be combined with a queryspecific source-relevance measure for the final ranking.

Computing Agreement is Hard

Computing semantic agreement between two records is the record linkage problem, and is known to be hard.

Godfather, The: The

Coppola Restoration

The Godfather - The

Coppola Restoration

Giftset [Blu-ray]

James Caan /

Marlon Brando more

Marlon Brando, Al

Pacino

Example

“Godfather” tuples from two web sources.

Note that titles and castings are denoted differently.

Semantically same entities may be represented syntactically differently by two databases (non-common domains).

Method: Computing Agreement

Agreement Computation has Three levels.

1. Comparing Attribute-Value

 Soft-TFIDF with Jaro-Winkler as the similarity measure is used.

2. Comparing Records.

 We do not assume predefined schema matching.

 Instance of a bipartite matching problem.

 O ( v

2

) Greedy matching is used. Values are greedily matched against most similar value in the other record.

 The attribute importance are weighted by IDF. (e.g. same titles

(Godfather) is more important than same format (paperback))

3. Comparing result sets.

 Using the record similarity computed above, result set similarities are computed using the same greedy approach.

Detecting Source Collusion

The sources may copy data from each other, or make mirrors, boosting

SourceRank of the group.

Observation 1: Even non-colluding sources in the same domain may contain same data.

e.g. Movie databases may contain all Hollywood movies.

Observation 2: Top-k answers of even non-colluding sources may be similar.

e.g. Answers to query “Godfather” may contain all the three movies in the Godfather trilogy.

Source Collusion--Continued

 Basic Method: If two sources return same topk answers to the queries with large number of answers (e.g. queries like “the” or “DVD”) they are likely to be colluding.

 We compute the degree of collusio n of sources as the agreement on large answer queries.

 Words with highest DF in the crawl is used as the queries.

 The agreement between two databases are adjusted for collusion by multiplying by

(1-collusion).

Factal: Search based on SourceRank

” I personally ran a handful of test queries this way and got much better [than Google

Products] results using Factal ” --

Anonymous WWW’11 Reviewer.

http://factal.eas.asu.edu

Evaluation

Precision and DCG are compared with the following baseline methods

1) CORI: Adapted from text database selection. Union of sample documents from sources are indexed and sources with highest number term hits are selected

[Callan et al. 1995].

2) Coverage: Adapted from relational databases. Mean relevance of the top-5 results to the sampling queries

[Nie et al. 2004].

3) Google Products: Products Search that is used over

Google Base

All experiments distinguish the SourceRank from baseline methods with 0.95 confidence levels

.

0,3

0,25

0,2

0,15

0,1

0,05

0

0,45

0,4

Though combinations are not our competitors, note that they are not better:

Online Top-4 Sources-Movies

relevance, as selected sources fetch answers

Precision similarity may be an “overweighting”

0,35

2. Search is Vertical

29%

Coverage SourceRank CORI SR-Coverage SR-CORI

18

0,2

0,15

0,1

0,05

0

0,35

Online Top-4 Sources-Books

0,3

48%

0,25

Coverage SourceRank

Precision

DCG

CORI SR-Coverage SR-CORI

19

0,5

0,4

0,3

0,2

0,1

0

Google Base Top-5 Precision-Books

675 Sources

24%

 675 Google Base sources responding to a set of book queries are used as the book domain sources.

 GBase-Domain is the Google Base searching only on these 675 domain sources.

 Source Selection by SourceRank

(coverage) followed by ranking by Google

Base.

20

0,15

0,1

0,05

Google Base Top-5 Precision-Movies

0,25

209 Sources

25%

0,2

0

Gbase Gbase-Domain SourceRank

21

Coverage

Trustworthiness of Source Selection

60

50

40

30

20

10

0

-10

0

Google Base Movies

SourceRank

Coverage

CORI

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

Corruption Level

0.7

0.8

0.9

1. Corrupted the results in sample crawl by replacing attribute vales not specified in the queries with random strings (since partial titles are the queries, we corrupted attributes except titles).

2.If the source selection is sensitive to corruption, the ranks should decrease with the corruption levels.

Every relevance measure based on query-similarity are oblivious to the corruption of attributes unspecified in queries.

22

Trustworthiness- Google Base Books

45

40

35

SourceRank

Coverage

CORI

30

25

20

15

10

5

0

-5

0 0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

Corruption Level

0.7

23

0.8

0.9

1

0.8

0.6

0.4

0.2

Collusion—Ablation Study

Collusion

Agreement

Adjusted Agreement

 Two database with the same one million tuples from IMDB are created.

 Correlation between the ranking functions reduced increasingly.

0

1 0.9

0.8

0.7

0.6

0.5

0.4

0.3

Rank Correlation

0.2

0.1

0

Observations:

1. At high correlation the adjusted agreement is very low.

2. Adjusted agreement is almost the same as the pure agreement at low correlations.

Natural agreement will be preserved while catching near-mirrors.

24

Computation Time

 Random walk is known to be feasible in large scale.

 Time to compute the agreements is evaluated against number of sources.

 Note that the computation is offline.

 Easy to parallelize.

25

Publications and Recognition

SourceRank:Relevance and Trust Assessment for

Deep Web Sources Based on Inter-Source

Agreement.

Raju Balakrishnan, Subbarao Kambhampati.

Accepted for WWW 2011 (Full Paper).

Factal: Integrating Deep Web Based on Trust and

Relevance.

Raju Balakrishnan, Subbarao Kabmbhampati.

Accepted for WWW 2011 (Demonstration).

SourceRank:Relevance and Trust Assessment for

Deep Web Sources Based on Inter-Source

Agreement ( Best Poster Award, WWW 2010 ).

Raju Balakrishnan, Subbarao Kambhampati.

WWW 2010 Pages 1055~1056.

Proposed Work: Ranking the Deep Web Results

Results from the selected sources need to be combined and ranked. Ranking is online and hence time critical. We plan to:

Consider H igher order agreements.

e.g. Second order agreement, i.e. Friends of two tuples are agreeing to each other.

 Computing and combining query-similarity.

Query similarity considering structure of tuples.

 Positional voting, as sources rank tuples.

e.g. Borda count instead of set based agreement used currently.

Ranking Deep Web Results---Continued

 Learning to combine ranking Parameters.

Multiple Parameters: agreement, lineage, query-similarity higher order agreements etc. need to be combined.

 Considering Diversity Ranking.

Incorporating diversity in the result level and in the source level.

 Large Scale Evaluation of Result Ranking.

Similar to source selection, the result ranking need to be evaluated on multiple large scale datasets

.

 Enhancing prototype.

Factal prototype may be enhanced with the result ranking.

Agenda

 Ranking the Deep Web

– as important as the ranking of

 results.

.

 Problem 2: Ad-Ranking sensitive to Mutual

Influences.

A different

– Motivation and Problem Definition. aspect of

– Browsing model & Nature of Influence ranking

– Ranking Function & Generalization

– Results.

 Proposed Work : Mechanism Design & Evaluations.

Ad Ranking: State of the Art

Sort by

Bid Amount x Relevance

Sort by

Bid Amount

Ads are Considered in Isolation, as both ignore Mutual influences.

We consider ads as a set, and ranking is based on user’s browsing model

a a

1 residual relevance of 2

•User browses down staring at the first decreases and ad abandonment probability increases.

a

• At every ad he May

 Click the ad with relevance probability

R ( a )

P ( click ( a ) | view ( a ))

 Abandon browsing with probability

 Goes down to the next ad with probability

Process repeats for the ads below with a reduced probability

®

Mutual Influences

Three Manifestations of Mutual Influences on an ad a are:

1. Similar ads placed above a

 Reduces user’s residual relevance of a

2. Relevance of other ads placed above

 User may click on above ads may not view a a

3. Abandonment probability of other ads placed above a

 User may abandon search and may not view a

Expected Profit Considering Ad Similarities

$( a i

)

( a i profit from a set of n results is,

R ( a i

Expected Profit = i n 

1

$( a i

) R r

( a i i

)

 j

1

1

1

R r

( a j

)

 

( a j

)

 

THEOREM: Ranking maximizing expected profit considering similarities between the results is NP-Hard

Even worse, constant ratio approximation algorithms are hard

(unless NP = ZPP) for diversity ranking problem

Proof is a reduction of independent set problem to choosing top-k ads considering similarities.

Expected Profit Considering other two Mutual

Influences (2 and 3)

Dropping similarity, hence replacing Residual Relevance

Expected Profit = i n 

1

$( a i

) R ( a i i

)

 j

1

1

1

R ( a j

)

 

( a j

)

 

Ranking to maximize this expected utility is a sorting problem

Optimal Ranking

Rank ads in the descending order of:

RF ( a )

$( a ) R ( a )

R ( a )

 

( a )

 The physical meaning RF is the profit generated for unit consumed view probability of ads

 Higher ads have more view probability. Placing ads producing more profit for unit consumed view probability higher up is intuitive.

Comparison to current Ad Rankings

Sort by Bid Amount

 Assume abandonment probability is zero

( a )

0

RF ( a )

$( a ) R ( a )

R ( a )

$( a )

Assumes that the user has infinite patience to go down the results until he finds the ad he wants.

Bid Amount x Relevance

Assume

( a )

 k

R ( a )

RF ( a )

$( a ) R ( a )

 k

$( a ) R ( a )

Assumes that abandonment probability is negatively proportional to relevance.

Generality of the Proposed Ranking

The generalized ranking based on utilities.

For documents utility=relevance

For ads utility=bid amount

Popular relevance ranking

Quantifying Expected Profit

40

35

30

25

20

15

10

5

0

0 0.1

RF

Bid Amount x Relevance

Bid Amount

Difference in profit between RF and competing strategy is significant

45.7%

0.2

0.3

35.9%

Bid amount only strategy becomes optimal at

( a )

0

0.4

0.5

 

0.6

Abandonment probability

Uniform Random as

0

 

( a )

 

Relevance

Uniform random as

 

R ( a )

1

0.7

Number of Clicks

Zipf random with exponent 1.5

Proposed strategy gives maximum profit for the entire range

Bid Amounts

Uniform random

0

$( a )

10

0.8

0.9

1

Publication and Recognition

Optimal Ad-Ranking for

Profit Maximization.

Raju Balakrishnan, Subbarao

Kabmbhampati .

WebDB 2008

Yahoo! Research Key scientific Challenge award for Computation advertising, 2009-10

Proposed Work: Mechanism Design and Analysis

1.

Ad-Auction based on the proposed ranking

Associate a pricing mechanism (e.g. Generalized Second

Pricing) wit the proposed ranking to formulate a complete auction mechanism.

 Formulating an envy free equilibrium

At envy free equilibria, no advertiser will be able to increase the profit by changing bids, and the auction becomes stable.

 Analysis of advertiser’s profit and comparison with the existing mechanisms.

The profits at equilibrium is likely to be the sustained profit.

Proposed Work: Mining Ad Ranking Parameters

Evaluating the proposed ranking on Click Logs

 In addition to currently used CTR and bid amounts, the proposed ranking requires the additional parameter abandonment probability.

 Mining/Learning abandonment probability from click logs, and using to improve ranking will ensure the applicability of the proposed method.

 Since the access to the ad click logs is restricted within search providers, I am hoping to perform this work as part of a possible summer internship ( this is a risk factor ).

Contributions (completed & proposed)

1. SourceRank based source selection sensitive to trustworthiness and importance for the deep web.

2. A wisdom of sources approach to rank deep web results considering trust and relevance.

3. An optimal generalized ranking for ads and search results.

4. A ranking framework optimal with respect to the perceived relevance of search snippets, and abandonment probability.

5. A complete auction mechanism extending the optimal ranking with pricing.

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