Key Economic Indicators and Events:
Company Event Calendar - Week 10
Date
Indicator/Event
Country
Company
Date/Month
Event
2-Mar-15
4-Mar-15
5-Mar-15
5-Mar-15
ISM Manufacturing
Beige Book
ECB Rate Announcement
BOE Rate Announcement
US
Jeudan
4-Mar-15
Annual report 2014
US
EMU
UK
Key figures update
02/03/2015
Bonds & CDS
Last
Last week
Last month
YTD
Interest rates
Norway
Sweden
Denmark
Euro
iTraxx Europe 5Y
49.68
-7.9 %
-7.9 %
-21.7 %
Repo rate
1.25%
-0.10%
0.05%
0.05%
iTraxx Crossover 5Y
261.63
-8.7 %
-12.6 %
-24.7 %
1M (Nibor, Stibor, Cibor, Euribor)
1.35%
-0.02%
-0.33%
-0.01%
iTraxx Fin Senior 5Y
54.26
-11.3 %
-9.5 %
-19.6 %
3M (Nibor, Stibor, Cibor, Euribor)
1.34%
0.02%
-0.22%
0.03%
Norway 10Y Govt. index
1.4 %
6.9 %
10.2 %
-8.7 %
6M (Nibor, Stibor, Cibor, Euribor)
1.29%
0.06%
-0.04%
0.08%
Sweden 10Y Govt. index
0.7 %
14.2 %
-0.8 %
-23.6 %
1Y swap
1.20%
0.06%
-0.12%
0.09%
UK 10Y Govt. index
1.8 %
-0.3 %
20.5 %
1.4 %
2Y swap
1.14%
0.14%
0.08%
0.10%
3Y swap
1.19%
0.26%
0.17%
0.14%
4Y swap
1.28%
0.41%
0.27%
0.20%
5Y swap
1.39%
0.56%
0.37%
0.27%
6Y swap
1.50%
0.71%
0.47%
0.35%
Equity indices
Last
Last week
Last month
YTD
616
0.3 %
3.1 %
6.9 %
7Y swap
1.60%
0.84%
0.57%
0.44%
OMX Stockholm 30
1,691
1.6 %
10.3 %
15.5 %
8Y swap
1.70%
0.95%
0.66%
0.52%
OMX Helsinki 25
3,446
1.4 %
5.3 %
15.3 %
9Y swap
1.79%
1.05%
0.75%
0.61%
884
3.5 %
9.3 %
18.7 %
10Y swap
1.87%
1.14%
0.83%
0.68%
18,798
2.5 %
5.8 %
7.7 %
OSEBX Oslo
OMX Copenhagen 20
Nikkei 225
S&P 500 COMPOSITE
2,105
-0.3 %
3.7 %
NASDAQ COMPOSITE
4,964
0.2 %
6.0 %
4.8 %
DAX 30
11,402
3.2 %
7.3 %
16.3 %
FTSE 100
6,947
0.5 %
2.0 %
5.8 %
Property indices
Last
Last week
2.2 %
Last month
YTD
Real estate equities
Last Last week Last month
Sweden
SEK
%
%
%
ALM Equity
137.5
10.0 %
10.9 %
18.3 %
254
Atrium Ljungberg
137.0
5.0 %
13.2 %
19.4 %
3,214
Balder
147.8
4.8 %
24.2 %
34.1 %
5,284
Besqab
114.0
6.0 %
31.0 %
31.0 %
186
YTD
EV
Implied
leverage
Dividend
yield
%
%
x
188
26%
0.00%
2.2
1,945
39%
2.41%
1.6
2,947
44%
0.00%
1.9
188
-1%
n.a.
2.6
Market cap
EURm
EURm
P/Book*
GPR 250 PSI Europe
19.9
1.6 %
5.1 %
15.9 %
Castellum
142.8
2.5 %
13.2 %
17.0 %
4,579
2,618
43%
3.22%
1.8
GPR 250 PSI US
29.4
-1.5 %
-6.0 %
3.1 %
Catena
120.8
7.1 %
9.8 %
14.2 %
677
330
51%
2.48%
1.6
GPR 250 PSI UK
19.2
1.8 %
1.2 %
8.8 %
Corem
33.4
2.8 %
17.6 %
16.4 %
1,009
414
59%
2.40%
1.7
GPR 250 PSI Global
15.3
-0.5 %
-2.2 %
5.4 %
D. Carnegie & Co
59.3
2.2 %
19.7 %
30.5 %
1,253
413
67%
0.00%
1.2
Diös
74.0
6.5 %
23.3 %
28.1 %
1,399
589
58%
3.11%
1.6
Pangea Real Estate Indices (PREX)
PREX Sweden
781.2
2.1 %
15.0 %
21.7 %
Fabege
126.6
0.1 %
16.0 %
25.8 %
4,368
2,232
49%
2.57%
1.5
PREX Norway
257.3
3.6 %
11.4 %
22.4 %
FastPartner
138.8
2.0 %
14.9 %
27.6 %
1,691
877
48%
2.52%
2.5
PREX Denmark
222.9
-2.9 %
14.7 %
21.1 %
Heba
96.3
0.0 %
5.5 %
-1.0 %
598
423
29%
1.35%
1.4
PREX Finland
263.3
3.5 %
11.4 %
22.5 %
Hemfosa Fastigheter
211.5
-1.9 %
20.9 %
28.2 %
3,098
1,481
52%
2.84%
1.6
PREX Office
387.2
0.8 %
13.3 %
19.7 %
Hufvudstaden
122.2
2.0 %
15.6 %
20.3 %
3,351
2,811
16%
2.37%
1.6
PREX Retail
711.2
5.5 %
12.0 %
26.9 %
JM
296.0
0.7 %
13.0 %
18.9 %
2,284
2,432
-6%
2.70%
4.9
PREX Residential
1,138.6
1.8 %
10.8 %
15.0 %
Klövern
11.1
12.8 %
31.5 %
34.8 %
3,788
1,634
57%
2.71%
1.5
PREX Construction
374.8
1.1 %
14.4 %
22.7 %
Kungsleden
68.5
0.7 %
13.7 %
21.2 %
2,420
1,329
45%
2.19%
1.4
PREX Mixed
374.8
1.1 %
14.4 %
22.7 %
NP3
44.8
0.0 %
17.3 %
29.5 %
400
231
42%
1.12%
1.4
PREX Warehouse
699.0
3.3 %
17.1 %
24.1 %
NCC
292.3
0.4 %
11.1 %
18.4 %
4,047
3,375
17%
4.11%
3.6
PREX Total
44.7
1.2 %
8.7 %
15.8 %
Peab
70.8
2.7 %
21.7 %
28.8 %
2,869
2,232
22%
3.18%
2.6
Platzer
40.8
-0.2 %
13.3 %
21.8 %
924
416
55%
1.84%
1.3
Sagax
67.8
0.0 %
3.8 %
53.3 %
2,212
1,316
40%
1.18%
2.7
Skanska
207.9
1.1 %
15.1 %
23.8 %
8,596
9,304
-8%
3.25%
4.1
Tribona
39.9
-0.3 %
1.0 %
3.4 %
476
207
57%
1.25%
1.1
9.8
10.8 %
28.3 %
57.3 %
522
116
78%
0.00%
0.7
148.3
0.5 %
8.6 %
14.3 %
4,288
2,687
37%
1.52%
2.0
1.9
Commodities
Last
Last week
Last month
YTD
WTI Spot ($)
49.8
-0.2 %
8.7 %
-6.8 %
Wallenstam
Crude Oil-Brent ($)
Victoria Park
61.1
1.4 %
28.8 %
9.4 %
Wihlborgs Fastigheter
176.0
0.6 %
13.2 %
23.3 %
2,942
1,442
51%
2.70%
Gold (U$/Troy Ounce)
1,216.6
0.8 %
-5.9 %
2.6 %
Norway
NOK
%
%
%
EURm
EURm
%
%
x
Silver (Cents/Troy ounce)
1,986.0
0.0 %
0.0 %
0.0 %
AF Gruppen
-0.5 %
10.4 %
14.6 %
954
937
2%
5.52%
6.1
Alu (U$/MT)
1,801.5
-0.5 %
-1.8 %
-0.1 %
Entra
8.6 %
Copper (Grade A U$/MT)
5,924.0
3.8 %
8.6 %
-7.0 %
Norwegian Property
Zink (U$/MT)
2,048.3
0.9 %
-2.4 %
-5.5 %
Olav Thon Eiendomsselskap
Currencies
NOK/USD
NOK/EUR
90.5
85.3
0.3 %
11.4 %
3,709
1,827
51%
3.39%
1.8
10.7
-1.4 %
5.4 %
5.9 %
1,757
684
61%
0.00%
1.1
174.0
7.4 %
13.0 %
38.6 %
4,087
2,160
47%
0.92%
1.4
27.7
9.5 %
36.5 %
37.8 %
565
303
46%
4.33%
1.1
11.5
4.1 %
-6.1 %
-8.0 %
30
26
15%
13.91%
3.7
Veidekke
91.5
2.8 %
16.9 %
24.1 %
1,609
1,427
11%
3.83%
5.1
Finland
EUR
%
%
%
EURm
EURm
%
%
x
3.2
3.7 %
9.5 %
22.6 %
3,352
1,877
44%
4.74%
1.4
4.5
3.8 %
1,266
54%
4.25%
0.9
4.4
469
63%
3.41%
1.0
%
%
x
1.5
Selvaag Bolig
Storm Real Estate
Last
Last week
Last month
YTD
7.6
0.3 %
-2.1 %
2.6 %
Citycon
8.6
-0.2 %
-2.7 %
-5.1 %
Sponda
13.6 %
23.5 %
SEK/EUR
9.4
-1.8 %
0.4 %
-1.4 %
Technopolis
1.9 %
13.4 %
18.9 %
1,279
NOK/SEK
91.5
1.4 %
-3.3 %
-4.7 %
Denmark
DKK
%
%
%
EURm
Jeudan
668.0
-2.9 %
14.6 %
21.0 %
2,614
992
62%
1.80%
3.0 %
36.5 %
29.4 %
412
4
n.a.
n.a.
Nordicom
2.8
2,727
EURm
Note: For comparison reasons, we have chosen to have a single currency on Market Cap and EV
n.a.
Source: Reuters
* Based on latest company reports and current market capitalization figures
Equity chart - Norway
Equity chart - Sweden
190
180
170
160
150
140
130
120
110
100
90
70
Feb-13
May-13
Aug-13
OSEBX
Nov-13
PREX Norway
Feb-14
May-14
Norwegian Property
Aug-14
Nov-14
Feb-15
80
Feb-13
Olav Thon
Source: Reuters
May-13
Aug-13
OMX
Nov-13
PREX Sweden
Feb-14
Hufvudstaden
May-14
Castellum
Aug-14
Nov-14
Feb-15
Wallenstam
Source: Reuters
– Page 1 –
Interest rate term structure – Nordic
Sight deposit rates - Nordic
2.0 %
2.5 %
2.0 %
1.5 %
1.5 %
1.0 %
1.0 %
0.5 %
0.5 %
0.0 %
3m
1Y swap
2Y swap
3Y swap
4Y swap
5Y swap
7Y swap
0.0 %
2010
10Y swap
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
-0.5 %
-0.5 %
Norway
Sweden
Denmark
Norway
Euro
Sweden
Denmark
Euro
Source: Reuters
Short term interest rates - Nordic
Long term interest rates (5y swaps) - Nordic
3.5 %
4.5 %
3.0 %
4.0 %
2.5 %
3.5 %
2.0 %
3.0 %
1.5 %
2.5 %
1.0 %
2.0 %
0.5 %
1.5 %
1.0 %
0.0 %
Feb-10
Feb-11
Feb-12
Feb-13
Feb-14
Feb-15
-0.5 %
0.5 %
-1.0 %
0.0 %
Feb-10
NIBOR
STIBOR
CIBOR
Feb-11
Feb-12
Norway
EURIBOR
Feb-13
Sweden
Denmark
Feb-14
Feb-15
Euro
Source: Reuters
Yield gap – Oslo office
Yield gap – Stockholm office
8.0 %
7.5 %
7.0 %
6.5 %
6.0 %
5.5 %
5.0 %
4.5 %
4.0 %
3.5 %
3.0 %
2.5 %
2.0 %
1.5 %
1.0 %
Feb-05
Feb-06
Feb-07
Feb-08
Feb-09
Feb-10
10Y swap
Oslo office yields
Feb-11
Feb-12
Feb-13
Feb-14
Feb-15
0.5 %
Feb-08
Feb-09
Feb-10
Feb-11
10Y swap
Feb-12
Feb-13
Feb-14
Feb-15
Stockholm office yields
Source: Pangea Property Research
Recent transactions – Norway and Sweden
Norway
Property
Date
Seller
Buyer
Type
75 % of Bryggerikvartalet, Lillehammer
Feb-15
Smedvig Eiendom
Consortium
Retail
Storgata 10 A/B, Oslo
Feb-15
Haraldsen Eiendom
Eiendomsspar
Three plot areas at Løren, Oslo
Feb-15
Several sellers
Selvaag Bolig ASA*
Ulvenveien 75b, Oslo
Feb-15
Ulven AS
KLP Eiendom
Stadion 1-2, Kobberslagstredet 2/3/5, Fredrikstad
Feb-15
Syndicate
Gaustadalleén 21, Oslo
Feb-15
Lysaker Polaris, Lysaker
Feb-15
Property
Sofieberg Invest (5 properties), Greater Stockholm
Estimated value (NOKm)
Size (Sqm)
Adviser
300
30,000
DNB Næringsmegling (sell-side)
Retail
n.a.
8,600
n.a.
Residential development
550
n.a.
n.a.
Logistics
130
n.a.
n.a.
Hemfosa Fastigheter AB
Education, office
~700
30,400
n.a.
Oslotech
Syndicate
Office, other
~700
35,000
Malling & Co (sell-side)
NCC Property Development
Storebrand Eiendomsfond KS
Office
785
26,000
n.a.
Date
Seller
Buyer
Type
Feb-15
Sofieberg
Stendörren
Office, industrial, public
n.a.
52,000
n.a.
Sweden
Estimated value (SEKm)
Size (Sqm)
Adviser
280 student apartments, Umeå
Feb-15
Akademiska Hus
Svenska Studenthus
Project, undeveloped land
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
Häftklammaren 9 & Vattenfallet 16, Stockholm
Feb-15
Sveafastigheter
Hemfosa Fastigheter AB
Public sector
n.a.
5,200
n.a.
6 properties (170 apartments), Norrköping
Feb-15
Rikshem
Eklöf Fastigheter
Residential
150
11,700
n.a.
10 properties, western Sweden
Feb-15
Private property company
Hemfosa Fastigheter AB
Public sector
n.a.
46,000
Pangea Property Partners (sell-side)
8,700
Pangea Property Partners (sell-side)
27,400
n.a.
6 properties, Tranås
Feb-15
Möller & Partners
Boningsfastigheter
Residential
n.a.
450 apartments, Flemingsberg in Huddinge
Feb-15
Akademiska Hus
Byggvesta
Building rights, residential
n.a.
Source: Pangea Property Research
* Sinsenveien 45-49 was acquired in partnership with Veidekke ASA
Contact details
STOCKHOLM
Pangea Property Partners KB
Visiting: Norrlandsgatan 15, 7th floor
Postal: Box 7740, 103 95 Stockholm
Tel +46 8 545 25 780
www.pangeapartners.se
OSLO
Pangea Property Partners AS
Tjuvholmen Allé 3-5, 8th floor
N-0250 Oslo
Tel +47 21 95 80 70
www.pangeapartners.no
– Page 2 –