First Exam Econ 161 Spring 2012 Instructions Find your assigned seat using the seating chart. All books, backpacks, notes, jackets, etc. should be left at the front of the room. Once the exam has begun, you cannot leave the room before you turn in your exam. Back of Room (JH 1131 2PM) Seat Row 1 El-Awar, Nader N 2 3 4 Saka, Hernandez, Molloy, Hussain O Berenice John C Zelaya, Tellez, Jonathan A Joshua T 5 6 7 Tolentino, Khachatury Moulton, Gustavo A an, Nana M Joseph D Han, Seung McGregor, Bravo, Hyun Marx, Luigi Daniel J Fidencio 8 9 10 Basfar, Mohamme Mao, Oguntolu, d Kimpheng Temitope A Keleshyan, Avedisian, Patel, Ruchi Lam, Andy Harout A Vahe R Delgado, Ruben Hernandez, Sarabia, UnderwoodNuyda, Jonathan A Barrvara Y , Tanner A Adrian B Huang, De Silva, Geoffery T Dillon S Lin, Joshua Bernabe, E Ashley G Wan, Silian Ramos, Gerardo Yaffe, Merkle, Almagdad, Tobin, Brendan A Jacqueline J Shadi H Charles L Szekely, Aaron Alateeqi, Fahad A A Fuentes, M Manuel Pudumjee, Peshotan V GuatemalaBaharvar, Carranza, Starr, Ariella S Azusena Shalon N Butler, Sherry S Volkov, Nikita AlemanAlamillo, Perla Mostrel, Gletten, Michael A Jason A Diamond, Nguyen, Robby Lily T Front of Room Trinh, Nancy Carter, Michael A Cruz, Eddie Donoyan, Ghatak, ChristopherArjun K Kohli, Scherilynn Sabzehzar, Hall, K Sara D Vaughn M Row 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Seat Rear of Room Kimelm an, Jehdian, Aldabus Rostisla Canyon, Bonilla, Hagop S , Qais A v Carl A Daniel A Millard, Bin Nanejan Michael Twalah, ians, Yu, Po- Mansou D Zaid M Natalie Chun r, Issac J Contrer BapteGaribkh as, Martine Arteaga, Mendoz Jean- Reneau Albaker, Fick, anyan, Leyva, Jonatha Chung, Haddad, z, Jonatha a, Ventura Mendoz Christie, Chacon, Lal, Ivan Louis, x, Ahmed AnthonyVelling, Marten Ana P n James H Melissa Nayelly In C Monica , Nelson a, Jesus Cole J Daniel G R Glenn C Denise A C Arthur E Fitzwate Nersesi Clay, Ortega, Meng, Martine Manoug Iwanski, r, Aleksan Carpent Adi, an, Ani Tilbiyan, Jonatha Joseph Zhenha z, Sarkisya Garcia, ian, Amber Sanchez Matthe dryan, Ingram, Millan, Alissa, er, Anatt S Anna n J M o Cinthia n, Allen Jorge L Bayzig E M , Henry w R Samvel Corey Erik E Omar M Byron A Militello Mendoz Escobed Petrosy Ubau, Mckend , Yang, Jones, Ryan, a, Specter, Hong, o, Ivone an, Michell Prieto, Pafford, rick, Stefano Chengdi Gavia, Alexand Rao, Jordan Rasten, Samlall, Marcus Kelsey E Joseph D Narek eA Omar A Matt L Mike J P ng Sarah R er P Datuan N Alexis E Ravi R R Matevo Kolandji Wong, Marsou Sanchez Nishinak syan, Hu, Scott, Sitiso, an, Xi, Juarez, Bekaria Lee, Anthonybian, , Victor Gumma a, Zhao, Joseph, Wu, Raymon Alonso, Xiaoqia NicholasNitigron Harout Weiren Briana C n, Sossi Daniel K C Garo B E di, Arun Daisaku Peiyu Mark M Haohan d Justin M ng A P A Harbour Makdiss Anguelo Smith, Moshe- Baldo, Vartania Weissm , Yu, Hawatm Sepanos Cabrera, i, Sine, v, Armani Hai, Alexand n, Artin an, Eric Andrew Binchen Benson, Garnica, eh, Gage, Ratliff, ian, Emelyn Annese, George Abdul- Dessisla J Eliran er P K R S g Diana L Natalie Sarah Brent R Ben J Reneh M AnthonyM Aziz A va Wilson, Janayn Ortiz, D Alice Maynar d, Siciliano Tiffany , Sara A Y 1 2 Schuma D'Silva, Daughten, Fernand Kim, Al-Refai, Durand ry, Michell Levi, ez Jr, Kippeu Othman Anguian Kye, Chen, J Daniel J e K Daniel A David m S o, Irma Hyunjin Yi-Jen Brodska Aljuraib Gzlyan, Li, ya, Macias, Uribe, an, Anahet Atwood,Linzhen Kye, Key, Veronic Barajas, Esmeral Vanesa Jasser S A Ashley L g Hyunjin Kristy P a Mayra da A 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Front of Room 11 12 Melend Aldewe ez, esh, Manora Rodrigu Geovan Schuil, Abdulla t, Milan Esgate, ez, yA David D h D N Ryan M Eduardo Fernand Morales Barba, Hobson, o, Heredia, Lopez, Tathian LeGrand Danielle Andrew Linda G Nydia J a M , Jared P N I 13 14 15 16 17 18 1. Lower oil prices reduces the cost of production shifting the SRAS to the left. This increases real GDP and lowers prices. 2. The increase in real GDP will cause a rightward shift in the savings curve. The shift will be larger if the drop in oil prices is temporary and smaller if the drop in prices is considered permanent. This will cause a decrease in interest rates and an increase in investment. 3. If the decrease in oil prices is permanent, the LRAS will shift to the right. 4. Welfare reform forces people off of government assistance and into the civilian labor force. This increases the supply of labor, lowers wage rates, and further shifts the SRAS to the right, increasing real GDP, and lowering prices. 5. Because the changes in welfare are permanent, the LRAS will shift to the right and shifting the institutional PPF outward. Interest Rate Savings Investment Dollars Saved or Invested Price Level All Other Goods S2-Permanent S2-Temporary LRAS LRAS2 LRAS3 SRAS SRASlow oil prices SRASWelfare Reform Institutional PPF AD Physical PPF Natural GDP Good X Real GDP Expenditures Year Person Housing Vacations Automobile Rich Person Middle Class Person 2006 Poor Person Total Rich Person Middle Class Person 2010 Poor Person Total Rich Person Middle Class Person 2012 Poor Person Total 2006 2010 2012 Prices 10 $ $ $ 5 4 Total Expenditures $ 3,800 7 3 20 12 2 0 7 7 2 0 6 5 $ $ $ $ 2,200 600 6,600 4,110 5 3 20 12 1 0 8 7 1 0 6 4 $ $ $ $ 1,140 450 5,700 3,200 5 3 20 1 0 8 1 0 5 $ $ $ 880 300 4,380 200 $ 150 $ 100 $ 200 180 160 $ $ $ For instance the 2010 price level using 2006 as the base year is computed with: 2006 basket of goods bought at 2006 prices Price Index 2006 Base Year 2010 2006 100.00 119.30 150.68 2010 83.64 100.00 125.34 2012 67.27 80.70 100.00 Income 2006 2010 2012 x100 83 . 64 Real Income Base Year 2006 2010 $ 6,600 $ 5,532 $ 6,815 $ 5,700 $ 6,511 $ 5,427 2012 2012 $ 4,380 $ 4,548 $ 4,380 Nominal income is converted to real income by taking nominal income in a given year and dividing by the price index for that year and the chosen base year. 200 210 220 The price index using 2010 as the base year is computed by taking the basket of goods actually consumed in 2010 and computing what that exact basket of goods would cost if purchased at 2006 and 2012 prices. 2006 basket of goods bought at 2010 prices Price Index For instance, converting nominal 2012 income to 2010 prices would be done with the formula. Nominal Price index Income for 2012 with in 2012 2006 as the base year x100 4380 67 . 27 $ 6511 Summary Statistics and Curve. Mean σ Count A B C D F Total Without Quiz With Quiz 30.90 40.13 19.11 21.38 52 First Exam Required Normalized Score Score 62 1.00 51 0.50 29 (0.50) 19 (1.00) 0 52 Count 7 7 17 16 5 52 Percent 13% 13% 33% 31% 10% Reading the Online Grade Roster Alias 1223334444 8183653925 8186533390 6161616161 8183199507 8186655591 8058130964 8183954498 Kobe4 MVP! 2170593025 8186419910 Course Current Current Normalized Normalized Course Grade Course Score Exam Score A 2.12 2.39 B 1.11 2.39 A 1.73 2.19 A 1.36 2.18 A 1.15 2.03 A 1.45 1.96 A 1.23 1.93 A 1.53 1.84 A 1.37 1.82 A 1.13 1.66 C 0.31 1.58 First Exam Grade A A A A A A A A A A A Total (In Class + Quizzes) 96 96 91 91 88 86 86 84 83 80 78 Quiz 2 Total Quiz In Class Exam Points Added Points Added 79 17 7 80 16 8 78 13 7 78 13 6 79 9 0 73 13 7 78 8 8 69 15 7 69 14 7 65 15 6 71 7 7 Normalized Exam Score is how many standard deviations away from the mean you are. Total points added to exam from all quizzes. Each quiz was worth a maximum of 10 points Raw score is the number of correct answers. Adjusted Quiz score is the percent of correct answers times 10. Quiz 1 Raw Score 12 13 12 10 12 13 12 12 11 12 Aplia.Com Points Added Raw Score Normalize (10) (24) Grade d Score Total 9.58 23 A 1.85 484.67 7.92 19 C (0.16) 255.83 6.25 15 A 1.26 418.00 7.08 17 B 0.54 335.50 8.75 21 C 0.26 304.17 6.25 15 B 0.94 381.00 0.00 B 0.52 334.00 7.50 18 A 1.22 413.33 7.08 17 B 0.93 380.00 8.33 20 B 0.59 341.00 0.00 D (0.96) 165.50 Online Grade Roster-Current Grade First Exam Alias Grade if Course Ended Today Current Course Score Normalized Exam Score 9112514913 A 1.56 1020881011 A 2323232323 3103793528 Quiz 2 Grade Total (In Class + Take Home + Quizzes) Take Home Exam In Class Exam 2.23 A 92 20 58 1.74 2.14 A 91 18 A 1.61 2.05 A 89 A 1.78 2.03 A 88 Total Quiz Points Added Quiz 1 Points Added Raw Score Points Added Raw Score 14 6 11 8 8 60 13 8 13 5 5 25 47 17 9 15 8 8 28 47 13 6 11 7 7 Current Course Score is how many standard deviations away from the mean you are on all graded items up to this point in the semester. Grade if Course Ended Today is what grade you would receive right now based on how many standard deviations away from the mean you are averaging on all graded items up to this point in the semester. Administrative Details. There will be a mandatory one week cooling off period for any and all questions about the exam. After one week, if you want to discuss your exam you must come by office hours.