Optimal Reciprocal Insurance Contract for Loss Aversion Preference Hung-Hsi Huang 黃鴻禧 National Chiayi University Ching-Ping Wang 汪青萍 National Kaohsiung University of Applied Sciences Purpose and Abstract The reciprocal insurance contract is defined by maximizing the weighted expected wealth utility of the insured and the insurer. For fitting the gap of the optimal insurance field, this study develops the reciprocal optimal insurance under the four situations: – risk-averse insured versus risk-averse insurer – risk-averse insured versus loss-averse insurer – loss-averse insured versus risk-averse insurer – loss-averse insured versus loss-averse insurer. www.ncyu.edu.tw/fin 2 國立嘉義大學財務金融系 Motivation Kahneman and Tversky (1979) states that investors are characterized by a loss-averse utility preference, in which individuals are much more sensitive to losses than to gains. Wang and Huang (2012) and Sung et al. (2011) have investigated the optimal insurance contract for maximizing a risk-averse insured’s objective against a risk-neutral insurer. www.ncyu.edu.tw/fin 3 國立嘉義大學財務金融系 Loss Aversion Behavior Evidence Benartzi and Thaler (1995) found that the equity premium is consistent with the loss aversion utility. Hwang and Satchell (2010) demonstrated that investors in financial markets are more loss averse than assumed in the literature. In addition to individual loss aversion, several scholars have drawn on loss aversion to explain executive behaviors or institution risktaking behaviors. – Devers et al. (2007) – O’Connell and Teo (2009) www.ncyu.edu.tw/fin 4 國立嘉義大學財務金融系 Optimal Insurance Studies Raviv (1979, AER) is the pioneer who uses the optimal control theory in deriving the optimal insurance contract. Extension – Uninsurable asset: Gollier (1996, JRI) – VaR (value-at-risk) constraint: Wang et al. (2005, GRIR), Huang (2006, GRIR), Zhou and Wu (2009, GRIR) – Expected loss constraint: Zhou and Wu (2008, IME) – Loss limit: Zhou et al. (2010, IME) www.ncyu.edu.tw/fin 5 國立嘉義大學財務金融系 Optimal Insurance for Prospect Theory Wang and Huang (2012) developed an optimal insurance for loss aversion insured. – The representative optimal insurance form is the truncated deductible insurance. – When losses exceed a critical level, the insured retains all losses and adopts a particular deductible otherwise. Sung et al. (2011) studied the optimal insurance policy with convex probability distortions. – Under a fixed premium rate, the results showed that either an insurance layer or a stop-loss insurance is an optimal insurance policy. www.ncyu.edu.tw/fin 6 國立嘉義大學財務金融系 Reciprocal Reinsurance Cai et al. (2013, JRI) designed the optimal reinsurance treaty f that maximize the joint survival probability and the joint profitable probability. www.ncyu.edu.tw/fin 7 國立嘉義大學財務金融系 Loss, Premium, Wealth, Utility Loss X and Premium P I E[ I ( ~ x )] x E[x~ ] P h(I ) h() 0 h(0) 0 Insured’s and Insurer’s final wealth ~ ~ w P I (~ W W0 P ~ x I (~ x ) and w x) 0 Objective of the optimal reinsurance ~ ~)], λ weight E[U (W ) V (w www.ncyu.edu.tw/fin 8 國立嘉義大學財務金融系 S-shaped Loss Aversion Utility Insured’s loss aversion utility u1 (W Wˆ ) if W Wˆ U (W ) 0 if W Wˆ u (Wˆ W ) if W Wˆ 2 u1() 0 u1() u2 () 0 u2() Insurer’s loss aversion utility if v1 ( w wˆ ) V ( w) 0 if v ( wˆ w) if 2 www.ncyu.edu.tw/fin 9 w wˆ w wˆ w wˆ v1() 0 v1() v2 () 0 v2() 國立嘉義大學財務金融系 The Optimal Reciprocal Insurance Form Optimal indemnity schedule for RAU-RAU Optimal indemnity schedule for RAU-LAU Optimal indemnity schedule for LAU-RAU Optimal indemnity schedule for LAU-LAU RAU = Risk Aversion Utility LAU = Loss Aversion Utility www.ncyu.edu.tw/fin 10 國立嘉義大學財務金融系 Optimal indemnity schedule for RAU-RAU ~ ~ Maximize E[U (W ) V ( w)] 0 [U (W ) V ( w)] f ( x)dx 0 I ( x ) x W W0 P x I ( x) and w w0 P I ( x) with By calculus of variations, the Hamiltonian Maximize H {U (W ) V ( w)} f ( x) 0 I ( x ) x {U (W0 P x I ( x)) V ( w0 P I ( x))} f ( x) FOC: H / I [U (W ) V (w)] f ( x) 0 I ( x) Iˆ( x) SOC : 2 H / I 2 [U (W ) V (w)] f ( x) 0 www.ncyu.edu.tw/fin 11 國立嘉義大學財務金融系 Optimal indemnity schedule for RAU-RAU Proposition 1 for RAU-RAU: min{Iˆ( x), x} if I ( x) ˆ( x), 0} if max{ I * 0 Iˆ( x) ARAU 1 ARAU ARAV ARAU U (W ) / U (W ) www.ncyu.edu.tw/fin Iˆ(0) 0 Iˆ(0) 0 12 ~ ARAR (WR ) V / V 國立嘉義大學財務金融系 Unconstrained and Constrained Optimal Insurance Unconstrained optimal reinsurance Optimal insurance I (x) Iˆ( x) 2 1.9 1.8 Iˆ( x) xˆ 1.7 45 line 2.25 x 1.6 2.2 1.5 2.15 1.4 2.1 0 0.1 1.3 2.05 2 Iˆ(0) 1.950 1.9 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 x dˆ 1.8 0.5 0.3 I (x) Iˆ(0) 1.850 Iˆ(0) 1.750 0.2 x xˆ 0.55 0.6 0.65 0.7 0.75 0.8 0.85 Iˆ( x) 0.9 2 1.9 1.8 1.7 0 dˆ x 1.6 www.ncyu.edu.tw/fin 13 1.5 國立嘉義大學財務金融系 Optimal indemnity schedule for RAU-LAU ~ ~ ~)] E[U (W ~ wˆ )1~ v ( wˆ w ~)1 }] Maximize E[U (W ) V ( w ) {v1 ( w w wˆ 2 w wˆ 0 I ( x ) x 0 [U (W ) {v1 ( w wˆ )1w~ wˆ v2 ( wˆ w)1w wˆ } ] f ( x)dx W W0 P x I ( x) and w w0 P I ( x) with Panel A Panel B Utility Panel C Utility v1 (w wˆ ) Utility v1 (w wˆ ) v1 (w wˆ ) U (W ) U (W ) 0 0 0 v2 (w wˆ ) IˆbR www.ncyu.edu.tw/fin U (W ) v2 (w wˆ ) I (x) IˆbR 14 v2 (w wˆ ) I (x) IˆbR I (x) 國立嘉義大學財務金融系 Optimal indemnity schedule for RAU-LAU Panel A Ut ilit y ˆ) v1 (w w U (W ) 0 ˆ) v2 (w w Iˆ R b www.ncyu.edu.tw/fin 15 I (x) 國立嘉義大學財務金融系 Optimal indemnity schedule for RAU-LAU Panel B Ut ilit y ˆ) v1 (w w U (W ) 0 ˆ) v2 (w w Iˆ R b www.ncyu.edu.tw/fin 16 I (x) 國立嘉義大學財務金融系 Optimal indemnity schedule for RAU-LAU Panel C Ut ilit y ˆ) v1 (w w 0 U (W ) ˆ) v2 (w w Iˆ R b www.ncyu.edu.tw/fin 17 I (x) 國立嘉義大學財務金融系 Optimal indemnity schedule for RAU-LAU Maximize H {U (W ) [v1 ( w wˆ )1w wˆ v2 ( wˆ w)1w wˆ ]} f ( x) 0 I ( x ) x with W W0 P x I ( x) and w w0 P I ( x) H {U (W ) v1 ( w wˆ )} f ( x) if H / I {U (W ) v1 ( w wˆ )} f ( x) 2 2 H / I {U (W ) v1( w wˆ )} f ( x) 0 w wˆ H {U (W ) v2 ( wˆ w)} f ( x) if H / I {U (W ) v2 ( wˆ w)} f ( x) 2 2 H / I {U (W ) v2( wˆ w)} f ( x) w wˆ www.ncyu.edu.tw/fin 18 國立嘉義大學財務金融系 Optimal indemnity schedule for RAU-LAU I * ( x) min{max{Iˆ( x), 0}, x} for large λβ H ( x) H ( x) ˆ H ˆ H Iˆ IˆbR I (x) x 1x xˆ min{Iˆ( x), x} 1x xˆ 2 2 I * ( x) x 1x xˆ0 x www.ncyu.edu.tw/fin 19 Iˆ IˆbR Iˆ1 if if if Iˆ2 I (x) 0 Iˆ Iˆ1 Iˆ 0 Iˆ1 for small λβ Iˆ Iˆ 0 1 國立嘉義大學財務金融系 Optimal indemnity schedule for RAU-LAU Panel A. I * ( x) min{max{Iˆ( x), 0}, x} for large λβ I (x) I (x) Iˆ( x) 2 1.9 1.8 dˆ xˆ 1.7 1.6 Iˆ( x) 2 x 1.9 1.5 1.8 1.4 1.3 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 xˆ 0.5 x 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.7 x dˆ 0 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.3 www.ncyu.edu.tw/fin 20 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 國立嘉義大學財務金融系 Optimal indemnity schedule for RAU-LAU Panel B. for small λβ x 1x xˆ min{Iˆ( x), x} 1x xˆ 2 2 I * ( x) x 1x xˆ0 x I (x) if 0 Iˆ Iˆ1 Iˆ 0 Iˆ if Iˆ Iˆ1 0 if I (x) 1 I (x) x xˆ2 2 1.9 Iˆ( x) 1.8 xˆ xˆ0 1.7 x 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.3 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 xˆ 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 xˆ2 0.9 www.ncyu.edu.tw/fin x 0 x xˆ0 21 x 0 國立嘉義大學財務金融系 Optimal indemnity schedule for LAU-RAU ~ ~ ˆ ~ ˆ ~)] E[u (W ~ wˆ )] ~ Maximize E[U (W ) V ( w W ) 1 u ( W W ) 1W~ Wˆ V ( w 1 2 W wˆ 0 I ( x) x 0 {u1 (W Wˆ )1W Wˆ u2 (Wˆ W )1W Wˆ V ( w)} f ( x)dx W W0 P x I ( x) and w w0 P I ( x) with Panel A Panel B Panel C Utility Utility Utility u1 (W Wˆ ) u1 (W Wˆ ) 0 0 V (W ) u1 (W Wˆ ) 0 V (W ) V (W ) u2 (Wˆ W ) u2 (Wˆ W ) IˆbI www.ncyu.edu.tw/fin u2 (Wˆ W ) IˆbI I (x) 22 I (x) IˆbI I (x) 國立嘉義大學財務金融系 Optimal indemnity schedule for LAU-RAU Panel A. I * ( x) min{max{Iˆ( x), 0}, x} for small λ/α I (x) Iˆ( x) 2 1.9 1.8 H (x ) xˆ 1.7 Hˆ x 1.6 1.5 1.4 0 0.1 1.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 xˆ 0.5 x 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 I (x) IˆbI Iˆ I (x) dˆ Iˆ( x) 2 1.9 1.8 1.7 0 dˆ x 1.6 www.ncyu.edu.tw/fin 23 1.5 國立嘉義大學財務金融系 Optimal indemnity schedule for LAU-RAU min{Iˆ( x), x} 1x xˆ 0 * I ( x) min{I ( x), x} 0 Panel B. for large λ/α Iˆ1 0 Iˆ2 Iˆ Iˆ1 Iˆ2 0 Iˆ Iˆ 0 or Iˆ 0 if if if 1 I (x) H (x ) Iˆ( x) 2 Hˆ 1.9 xˆ 1.8 1.7 x 1.6 1.5 xˆ 0 Iˆ1 1.3 0 I (x) Iˆ2 IˆbI Iˆ 1.4 I (x) 0.1 xˆ 0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 xˆ 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 x I (x) Iˆ( x) 2 1.9 1.8 xˆ 1.7 x 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.3 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 www.ncyu.edu.tw/fin xˆ 0.5 x 0.6 0.7 0.8 0 0.9 24 x 國立嘉義大學財務金融系 Optimal indemnity schedule for LAU-LAU ~ ~)] Maximize E[U (W ) V ( w 0 I ( x ) x with W W0 P x I ( x) and w w0 P I ( x) ~ E[u1 (W Wˆ )1W Wˆ u2 (Wˆ W )1W Wˆ ~ wˆ )1 v ( wˆ w ~ )1 }] {v ( w 1 0 w wˆ 2 w wˆ {[u1 (W Wˆ )1W Wˆ u2 (Wˆ W )1W Wˆ [v1 ( w wˆ )1w wˆ v2 ( wˆ w)1w wˆ ]} f ( x)dx Maximize H {[u1 (W Wˆ )1W Wˆ u2 (Wˆ W )1W Wˆ 0 R ( x ) x [v1 ( w wˆ )1w wˆ v2 (wˆ w)1w wˆ ]} f ( x) www.ncyu.edu.tw/fin 25 國立嘉義大學財務金融系 Optimal indemnity schedule for LAU-LAU Panel A Ut ilit y ˆ) u1 (W W ˆ) v1 (w w 0 ˆ W ) u2 (W ˆ) v2 (w w Iˆb www.ncyu.edu.tw/fin 26 I (x) 國立嘉義大學財務金融系 Optimal indemnity schedule for LAU-LAU Panel B Ut ilit y ˆ) u1 (W W ˆ) v1 (w w 0 ˆ) v2 (w w ˆ W ) u2 (W IˆbI www.ncyu.edu.tw/fin 27 IˆbR I (x) 國立嘉義大學財務金融系 Optimal indemnity schedule for LAU-LAU Panel C Ut ilit y u1 (W Wˆ ) ˆ) v1 (w w 0 ˆ W ) u2 (W IˆbR www.ncyu.edu.tw/fin ˆ) v2 (w w IˆbI 28 I (x) 國立嘉義大學財務金融系 Optimal indemnity schedule for LAU-LAU * Panel A. I ( x) x for small λ H ( x) I (x) ˆ H I (x) Iˆb 0 x Panel B. I * ( x) 0 for large λ H ( x) I (x) ˆ H Iˆb www.ncyu.edu.tw/fin I (x) 29 0 x 國立嘉義大學財務金融系 Optimal indemnity schedule for LAU-LAU Panel C. for small λ x 1x xˆ min{Iˆ( x), x} 1x xˆ 2 2 I * ( x) x 1x xˆ0 x H ( x) if 0 Iˆ Iˆ1 Iˆ 0 Iˆ if Iˆ Iˆ1 0 if 1 H ( x) ˆ H ˆ H Iˆ IˆbR Iˆ1 Iˆ2 I (x) IˆbI IˆbI Iˆ IˆbR Iˆ1 I (x) I (x) Iˆ2 I (x) I (x) x xˆ2 2 1.9 xˆ0 Iˆ( x) 1.8 xˆ 1.7 x 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.3 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 xˆ 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 xˆ2 x 0 x xˆ0 0 0.9 www.ncyu.edu.tw/fin 30 x 國立嘉義大學財務金融系 Optimal indemnity schedule for LAU-LAU min{Iˆ( x), x} 1x xˆ 0 I * ( x) min{I ( x), x} 0 Panel D. for large λ H ( x) if if if Iˆ1 0 Iˆ2 Iˆ Iˆ1 Iˆ2 0 Iˆ Iˆ 0 or Iˆ 0 1 H ( x) ˆ H ˆ H I (x) Iˆ1 Iˆ2 IˆbI Iˆ IˆbR Iˆ( x) 2 Iˆ( x) 2 1.9 I (x) I (x) I (x) I (x) xˆ Iˆ2 IˆbI Iˆ IˆbR Iˆ1 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.8 x 1.6 1.5 xˆ 0 xˆ 1.7 1.4 1.3 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 x 1.6 0.9 1.5 1.4 0 xˆ 0 xˆ www.ncyu.edu.tw/fin x 1.3 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 31 0.4 xˆ 0.5 x 0.6 0.7 0.8 0 x 0.9 國立嘉義大學財務金融系 Optimal Premium and Coverage Level For step 1, Section 3 derives the optimal indemnity schedule being a function of premium P. Subsequently, this section aims to determine the optimal premium and the coverage level. ~ ~ Maximize E[U (W ) V ( w)] 0 [U (W ) V ( w)] f ( x)dx P subject to W W0 P x I ( x; P ) and w w0 P I ( x; P ) h( I ) P, I E[ I ( ~ x ; )] P www.ncyu.edu.tw/fin 32 國立嘉義大學財務金融系 Conclusions and Further Works This study has developed the reciprocal optimal insurance under the four situations: RAU-RAU, RAU-LAU, LAU-RAU, LAU-LAU. The further works should further present the result intuitions. Moreover, the results will be compared with the previous works, especially Raviv (1979), Wang and Huang (2012) and Sung et al. (2011). www.ncyu.edu.tw/fin 33 國立嘉義大學財務金融系