III.3 Five Factors in Eight Runs

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II.4 Sixteen Run Fractional

Factorial Designs

Introduction

Resolution Reviewed

Design and Analysis

Example: Five Factors Affecting

Centerpost Gasket Clipping Time

Example / Exercise: Seven Factors

Affecting a Polymerization Process

Discussion

II.4 Sixteen Run Fractional

Factorial Designs:

Introduction

With 16 runs, up to 15 Factors may be analyzed at Resolution III.

– Resolution IV is possible with 8 or fewer factors.

– Resolution V is possible with 5 or fewer factors.

These designs are very useful for “ screening ” situations: determine main effects

which

factors have strong

20% rule

II.4 Sixteen Run Designs:

Resolution Reviewed

Q: What is a Resolution III design?

– A: a design in which main effects are not confounded with other main effects, but at least one main effect is confounded with a 2-way interaction

Resolution III designs are the riskiest fractional factorial designs…but the most useful for screening

– “ damn the interactions….full speed ahead!

II.4 Sixteen Run Designs:

Resolution Reviewed

Q: What is a Resolution IV design?

– A: a design in which main effects are not confounded with other main effects or 2-way interactions, but either (a) at least one main effect is confounded with a 3-way interaction, or

(b) at least one 2-way interaction is confounded with another 2-way interaction.

Hence, in a Resolution IV design, if 3-way and higher interactions are negligible, all main effects are estimable with no confounding.

II.4 Sixteen Run Designs:

Resolution Reviewed

Q: What is a Resolution V design?

– A: a design in which main effects are not confounded with other main effects or 2- or 3-way interactions, and

2-way interactions are not confounded with other 2way interactions. There is either (a) at least one main effect confounded with a 4-way interaction, or (b) at least one 2-way interaction confounded with a 3-way interaction.

II.4 Sixteen Run Designs:

Resolution Reviewed

Hence, in a Resolution V design, if 3-way and higher interactions are negligible, all main effects and 2-way interactions are estimable with no confounding.

16 Run Signs Table

Actual

Order y

Sum

Divisor

Effect

16

A

-1

1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

1

1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

-1

1

8

C

1

1

1

1

-1

-1

-1

-1

-1

1

1

-1

-1

-1

1

1

8

B

-1

-1

1

1

-1

-1

1

1

1

-1

-1

-1

-1

1

1

1

8

AB

1

-1

-1

1

1

-1

-1

1

1

1

-1

1

-1

-1

-1

1

8

D

-1

-1

-1

-1

-1

-1

-1

-1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

8

AD

1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

-1

1

8

AC

-1

1

-1

1

1

-1

1

-1

-1

-1

1

1

-1

1

-1

1

8

BC

-1

-1

1

1

-1

-1

1

1

-1

-1

-1

1

1

-1

1

1

8

BD

-1

-1

1

1

-1

-1

1

1

1

-1

-1

-1

-1

1

1

1

8

CD ABC ABD ACD BCD ABCD

1

-1

-1

1

-1

1

1

-1

-1

1

-1

-1

1

1

-1

1

-1

-1

-1

-1

1

1

1

1

-1

1

1

-1

-1

-1

1

1

-1

1

1

-1

-1

1

1

-1

1

-1

-1

1

1

-1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

1

1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

-1

1

1

-1

-1

1

1

-1

-1

-1

1

1

-1

1

1

-1

1

1

-1

1

-1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

-1

1

1

-1

1

8 8 8 8 8 8

II.4 Sixteen Run Designs

Example: Five Factors

Affecting Centerpost Gasket Clipping Time* y = clip time (secs) for 16 parts from the sprue (injector for liquid molding process)

Factors and levels

– A: Table

– B: Shake

– C: Position

– D: Cutter

– E: Grip

-

No

No

Sitting

Small

Unfold

+

Yes

Yes

Standing

Large

Fold

*Contributed by Rodney Phillips (B.S. 1994), at that time working for Whirlpool. This was a STAT 506 (Intro. To

DOE) project .

Example: Five Factors

Affecting Centerpost Gasket Clipping Time

Design the Experiment: associate factors with carefully chosen columns in the 16run signs matrix to generate a design matrix

– Always associate A, B, C, D with the first four columns

– With five factors, E = ABCD is universally recommended (or E= -

ABCD)

Example: Five Factors

Affecting Centerpost Gasket Clipping Time

Full Alias Structure for the design E=ABCD

I=ABCDE

A=BCDE

B=ACDE

C=ABDE

D=ABCE

E=ABCD

AB=CDE

AC=BDE

AD=BCE

AE=BCD

BC=ADE

BD=ACE

BE=ACD

CD=ABE

CE=ABD

DE=ABC

Example: Five Factors

Affecting Centerpost Gasket Clipping Time

Std.

Order

12

16

3

2

4

13

5

1

10

6

9

11

8

7

14

15

Completed Operator Report Form

Actual

Order

1

2

3

4

10

11

8

9

5

6

7

12

13

14

15

16

A =

Table

Yes

Yes

No

Yes

Yes

No

No

Yes

No

No

Yes

No

Yes

No

Yes

No

B= C=

Shake Position

Yes Sitting

Yes Standing

Yes

No

Sitting

Sitting

Yes Sitting

No Standing

No Standing

No Standing

No Sitting

No

No

Sitting

Sitting

Yes Sitting

Yes Standing

Yes Standing

No Standing

Yes Standing

D=

Cutter

E= y = Clip

Grip Time (s)

Large Unfold

Large Fold

Small Unfold

Small Unfold

46.30

27.35

54.89

40.05

Small Fold

Large Fold

Small Unfold

Small Fold

Large Unfold

Small

Large

Fold

Fold

Large Fold

Small Unfold

Small Fold

Large Unfold

Large Unfold

28.82

45.99

57.69

29.49

44.19

31.55

28.47

29.16

36.01

39.51

36.60

52.41

Example: Five Factors

Affecting Centerpost Gasket Clipping Time

Completed Signs Table with Estimated Effects

Actual

Order y = clip time

A B C D AB AC AD BC BD CD ABC

=DE

ABD

=CE

ACD

=BE

BCD

=AE

ABCD

=E

6

15

16

2

9

11

12

1

7

8

14

13

10

4

3

5

31.55

40.05

54.89

28.82

57.69

29.49

39.51

36.01

44.19

28.47

29.16

46.30

45.99

36.60

52.41

27.35

-1

1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

-1

1

1

-1

-1

1

1

-1

-1

1

1

-1

-1

1

1

-1

-1

-1

-1

1

1

1

1

-1

-1

-1

-1

1

1

1

1

-1

-1

-1

-1

-1

-1

-1

-1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

-1

-1

1

1

-1

-1

1

1

-1

-1

1

1

-1

-1

1

1

-1

1

-1

-1

1

-1

1

1

-1

1

-1

-1

1

-1

1

1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

1

1

1

-1

-1

-1

-1

1

1

1

1

-1

-1

-1

-1

1

1

1

1

-1

-1

1

1

-1

-1

-1

-1

1

1

-1

-1

1

1

1

1

1

1

-1

-1

-1

-1

-1

-1

-1

-1

1

1

1

1

-1

1

1

-1

1

-1

-1

1

-1

1

1

-1

1

-1

-1

1

-1

1

1

-1

-1

1

1

-1

1

-1

-1

1

1

-1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

1

1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

-1

1

-1

1

Sum

Divisor

628.5

16

-82.4

8

0.40

8

21.6

8

-7.52

8

7.36

8

-50.0

8

16.24

8

-29.4

8

-0.48

8

6.88

8

10.72

8

26.96

8

-21.8

8

18.08

8

-107.8

8

Effect 39.28

-10.3

0.05

2.70

-0.94

0.92

-6.25

2.03

-3.68

-0.06

0.86

1.34

3.37

-2.72

2.26

-13.48

-1

-1

1

1

-1

-1

1

1

-1

-1

1

1

-1

-1

1

1

1

-1

-1

1

-1

1

1

-1

-1

1

1

-1

1

-1

-1

1

Example: Five Factors

Affecting Centerpost Gasket Clipping Time

Normal Plot of Estimated Effects

Ordered

Effects:

-13.48

-10.28

-6.25

-3.68

-2.72

-0.94

-0.06

0.05

0.86

0.92

1.34

2.03

2.26

2.70

3.37

AC=BDE

A=BCDE

E=ABCD

-20 -10

Effects

0 10

Example: Five Factors

Affecting Centerpost Gasket Clipping Time

Preliminary Interpretation

The Normal Plot indicates three effects distinguishable from error. These are

– E = ABCD (estimating E+ABCD)

– A = BCDE (estimating A+BCDE)

– AC = BDE (estimating AC+BDE), marginal.

Example: Five Factors

Affecting Centerpost Gasket Clipping Time

Preliminary Interpretation

Since it is unusual for four-way interactions to be active, the first two are attributed to E and A

Since A is active, the AC+BDE effect is attributed to AC

– We should calculate an AC interaction table and plot

Example: Five Factors

Affecting Centerpost Gasket Clipping Time

AC Interaction Table and Plot

C

1 2

1

31.55

54.89

44.19

29.16

39.95

57.69

39.51

45.99

52.41

48.90

A

2

40.05

28.82

28.47

46.30

35.91

29.49

36.01

36.60

27.35

32.26

Example: Five Factors

Affecting Centerpost Gasket Clipping Time

AC Interaction Table and Plot

Interaction Plot for y = clip time (s)

A=Table

-1 = no

1 = yes

47

42

37

32

-1=sitting

C=Position

1=standing

Example: Five Factors

Affecting Centerpost Gasket Clipping Time

Interpretation

E = -13.5. Hence, the clip time is reduced an average of about 13.5 seconds when the worker uses the low level of E (the folded grip, as opposed to the unfolded grip). This seems to hold regardless of the levels of other factors (E does not seem to interact with anything).

Example: Five Factors

Affecting Centerpost Gasket Clipping Time

Interpretation

The effects of A (table) and C

(position) seem to interact. The presence of a table reduces average clip time, but the reduction is larger

(16.6 seconds) when the worker is standing than when he/she is sitting

(4.0 seconds)

II.4 Sixteen Run Designs

Example / Exercise: Seven Factors Affecting a

Polymerization Process

 y = blender motor maximum amp load

Factors and levels -

– A: Mixing Speed

– B: Batch Size

Lo

Small

– C: Final temp.

– D: Intermed. Temp.

– E: Addition sequence

– F: Temp. of modifer

Lo

Lo

1

Lo

– G: Add. Time of modifier Lo

Hi

Hi

2

Hi

Hi

+

Hi

Large

Contributed by Solomon Bekele (Cryovac). This was part of a STAT

706 (graduate DOE) project.

Example / Exercise: Seven Factors Affecting a Polymerization Process

Design the Experiment: associate additional factors with columns of the 16-run signs matrix

For 6, 7, or 8 factors, we assign the additional factors to the 3-way interaction columns

For this 7-factor experiment, the following assignment was used

E = ABC, F = BCD, G = ACD

Example / Exercise: Seven Factors Affecting a

Polymerization Process

Runs table

Std Order A B C D E=ABC G=ACD F=BCD

9

10

7

8

11

12

13

14

15

16

1

2

3

4

5

6

-1

1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

1

1

-1 -1 -1

-1 -1 -1

1 -1 -1

1 -1 -1

-1 1 -1

-1 1 -1

1

1

-1 -1

-1 -1

1 -1

1 -1

1

1

1 -1

1 -1

-1 1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

-1

1

-1

1

1

-1

1

-1

-1

1

-1

1

1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

1

1

-1

-1

-1

1

1

-1

-1

-1

-1

1

1

-1

-1

1

1

1

1

Example / Exercise: Seven Factors Affecting a

Polymerization Process

Determine the design ’ s alias structure

– There will again be 16 rows in the full alias table, but now 2 7 = 128 effects (including I)!

Each row of the full table will have 8 confounded effects! Here is how to start: find the full defining relation:

– Since E = ABC, we have I = ABCE.

– But also F = BCD, so I = BCDF

– Likewise G = ACD, so I = ACDG

– Likewise I = I x I = (ABCE)(BCDF) = ADEF !

Example / Exercise: Seven Factors Affecting a Polymerization Process

Continue in this fashion until you find

I = ABCE = BCDF = ACDG = ADEF = BDEG = ABFG = CEFG

We have verified that this design is of

Resolution IV (why?)

Example / Exercise: Seven Factors Affecting a

Polymerization Process

Determine the alias table: multiply the defining relation

(rearranged alphabetically here)

I = ABCE = ABFG = ACDG = ADEF = BCDF = BDEG = CEFG by A for the second row:

A = BCE = BFG = CDG = DEF = ABCDF = ABDEG = ACEFG

 by B for the third row:

B = ACE = AFG = ABCDG = ABDEF = CDF = DEG = BCEFG

 and so on; after all seven main effects are done, start with two way interactions:

AB = CE = FG = BCDG = BDEF = ACDF = ADEG = ABCEFG and so on...(what a pain!)…until you have 16 rows.

Example / Exercise: Seven Factors Affecting a

Polymerization Process

Full Alias Structure for the 2

IV

7-3 design

E = ABC, F = BCD, G = ACD

I + ABCE + ABFG + ACDG + ADEF + BCDF + BDEG +

CEFG

A + BCE + BFG + CDG + DEF + ABCDF + ABDEG + ACEFG

B + ACE + AFG + CDF + DEG + ABCDG + ABDEF + BCEFG

C + ABE + ADG + BDF + EFG + ABCFG + ACDEF + BCDEG

D + ACG + AEF + BCF + BEG + ABCDE + ABDFG + CDEFG

E + ABC + ADF + BDG + CFG + ABEFG + ACDEG + BCDEF

F + ABG + ADE + BCD + CEG + ABCEF + ACDFG + BDEFG

G + ABF + ACD + BDE + CEF + ABCEG + ADEFG + BCDFG

AB + CE + FG + ACDF + ADEG + BCDG + BDEF + ABCEFG

AC + BE + DG + ABDF + AEFG + BCFG + CDEF + ABCDEG

AD + CG + EF + ABCF + ABEG + BCDE + BDFG + ACDEFG

AE + BC + DF + ABDG + ACFG + BEFG + CDEG + ABCDEF

AF + BG + DE + ABCD + ACEG + BCEF + CDFG + ABDEFG

AG + BF + CD + ABDE + ACEF + BCEG + DEFG + ABCDFG

BD + CF + EG + ABCG + ABEF + ACDE + ADFG + BCDEFG

ABD + ACF + AEG + BCG + BEF + CDE + DFG + ABCDEFG

Example / Exercise: Seven Factors Affecting a

Polymerization Process

Reduced Alias Structure (up to 2-way interactions) for the 2

IV

7-3 design E = ABC, F = BCD, G = ACD

I + ABCE + ABFG + ACDG + ADEF + BCDF + BDEG + CEFG

C

D

E

A

B

AB + CE + FG

AC + BE + DG

AD + CG + EF

AE + BC + DF

AF + BG + DE

F AG + BF + CD

G BD + CF + EG

(***) (  three-way and higher ints.)

Example / Exercise: Seven Factors Affecting a

Polymerization Process

A B C D

11

12

13

14

15

16

Std Order Y (amps)

1

2

3

130

232

135

6

7

4

5

8

9

10

249

130

225

235

128

184

133

143

270

132

198

138

249

1

1

1

1

1

1

-1

1

1

-1

-1

-1

-1

-1

-1

-1

-1

-1

1

1

1

1

1

-1

-1

-1

1

-1

-1

-1

1

1

1

1

-1

-1

1

1

1

-1

-1

1

-1

-1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

1

1

-1

1

1

-1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

E=ABC G=ACD F=BCD

-1

1

1

-1

1

-1

-1

-1

1

-1

-1

-1

1

1

-1

1

1

1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

-1

1

1

1

-1

1

1

1

-1

1

-1

-1

1

1

-1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

-1

-1

-1

1

1

Example / Exercise: Seven Factors Affecting a

Polymerization Process

Completed Signs Table with Estimated Effects

Actual

Order y = max amps

Unknown

Sum

Divisor

Effect

225

143

270

132

198

138

249

130

232

135

235

128

184

133

249

130

2911

16

181.9

A B C

1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

1

1

-1

1

-1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

-1

1

1

-1

-1

1

1

-1

1

1

-1

-1

-1

1

1

-1

773 193

8 8

-89

8

96.6

24.1

-11.1

-1

-1

-1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

-1

-1

-1

-1

-1

1

D

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

-1

-1

-1

1

-1

-1

-1

-1

-1

8

AB

=CE

=FG

AC

=BE

=DG

-1

-1

1

1

-1

-1

1

-1

-1

1

1

1

-1

-1

1

1

59 135

8

-1

1

-1

-1

1

-1

1

1

-1

1

1

1

-1

1

-1

-1

-75

8

7.4

16.9

-9.4

AD

=CG

=EF

25

8

3.1

1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

1

BC

=AE

=DF

61

8

7.6

1

-1

-1

-1

-1

1

1

-1

1

1

1

-1

-1

1

1

-1

-1

1

1

-1

-1

1

1

1

-1

-1

-1

-1

-1

1

1

1

37

8

-13

8

4.6

-1.6

-1

-1

-1

1

1

1

1

-1

-1

-1

-1

1

1

1

1

-1

BD

=CF

=EG

CD

=AG

=BF

ABC

=E

75

8

9.4

1

1

-1

1

-1

-1

1

-1

-1

1

-1

-1

1

1

-1

1

ABD ACD

=G

BCD

=F

-1

-1

1

1

-1

-1

1

1

1

-1

1

-1

1

1

-1

-1

-1

1

-1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

1

-1

1

1

19

8

-15

8

-63

8

2.4

-1.9

-7.9

1

-1

-1

-1

-1

1

1

1

-1

-1

1

-1

-1

1

1

1

ABCD

=AF

=BG

=DE

1

1

-1

1

-1

-1

1

1

1

-1

-1

1

-1

-1

1

-1

-49

8

-6.1

Example / Exercise: Seven Factors Affecting a

Polymerization Process

Analyze the Experiment: as an exercise,

– construct and interpret a Normal probability plot of the estimated effects;

– if any 2-way interactions are distinguishable from error, construct interaction tables and plots for these;

– provide interpretations

Example / Exercise: Seven Factors Affecting a

Polymerization Process

Solution: Normal Plot of Estimated Effects

Ordered

Effects:

-11.1

-9.4

-7.9

-6.1

-1.9

-1.6

7.6

9.4

16.9

24.1

96.6

2.4

3.1

4.6

7.4

-20

B

A

0 20

Effects

60 80 100

Example / Exercise: Seven Factors Affecting a

Polymerization Process

Suggested Interpretation

The effect of mixing speed is A = 96.6 amps.

Hence, when we change the mixing speed from its low setting to its high setting, we expect the motor ’ s max amp load to increase by about 97 amps.

The effect of batch size is B = 24.1 amps.

Hence, when we change the batch size from small to large, we expect the motor ’ s max amp load to increase by about 24 amps.

None of the other factors seems to affect the motor ’ s max amp load.

II.4 Discussion

As in 8-run designs, we can always “ fold over ” a

16 run fractional factorial design. There are several variations on this technique; in particular, for any 16-run Resolution III design, it is always possible to add 16 runs in such a way that the pooled design is Resolution IV.

There are a great many other fractional factorial designs; in particular, the Plackett-Burman designs have runs any multiple of four

(4,8,12,16,20, etc.) up to 100, and in n runs can analyze (n-1) Factors at Resolution III.

II.4 References

Daniel, Cuthbert (1976). Applications of Statistics to Industrial Experimentation . New York: John

Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Box, G.E.P. and Draper, N.R. (1987). Empirical

Model-Building and Response Surfaces . New

York: John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Box, G.E.P., Hunter, W. G., and Hunter, J.S.

(1978). Statistics for Experimenters

John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

. New York:

Lochner, R.H. and Matar, J.E. (1990). Designing for Quality . Milwaukee: ASQC Quality Press.

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