Green ICTs - Cédric GOSSART - Institut Mines

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SPRU Friday seminar – 22 February 2013

Patterns of innovation in Green ICTs:

A patent-based analysis

Nicoletta CORROCHER #

Grazia CECERE*

Cédric GOSSART*

Müge ÖZMAN*

# KITeS, Bocconi University, Milan

* Télécom Ecole de Management, Institut Mines-Télécom, Paris

An output of the ECOPATENTS project funded by ADEME http://ecopatents.wp.mines-telecom.fr/

Outline

1.

Introduction

2.

Background literature

3.

Methodology & Data

4.

Results

5.

Implications for future research

2

1. Introduction

Introduction

Context: economic & ecological crises

Solution: eco-innovations? (to enable decoupling)

Ecoinnovation in the ICT sector: “green ICTs”?

Limits of green ICTs: their own ecological impacts

Key question: Can innovation dynamics in the green ICT sector contribute to solve the aforementioned crises?

Objective of this paper: Analyse dynamics of innovation in green ICTs

3

ICTs & the environment

1. Introduction

Green ICTs Ecological impacts of ICTs

4

1. Introduction

Green ICTs

(hardware + software)

Reduce negative ecological impacts + create jobs:

1.

Direct impacts: ICTs reduce their own ecological impacts.

2.

Enabling impacts: ICTs are used by other sectors to reduce ecological impacts.

3.

Systemic impacts: The diffusion of ICTs enable structural changes towards sustainable development

(absolute decoupling).

Source: Hilty, L. (2008), Information Technology and Sustainability: Essays on the Relationships between

Information Technology and Sustainable Development, Norderstedt: Books on Demand.

5

2. Literature

Ecoinnovation & patents

1.

Increasing number of studies using patents to analyse ecoinnovation

(cf. lit. rev. in our paper: http://ssrn.com/abstract=2117831 ).

2.

The propensity to patent varies across sectors including for eco-technologies

( => which ones are the most dynamic?

)

.

3.

Eco-innovation studies cover different technological domains, e.g. automobile, waste, water, air cleaning

( not ICTs ).

6

3. Methodology & Data

Objective & Questions

 Objective: Examine the emergence and dynamics of green ICT technological domains.

 Question: What are the patterns of innovative activity in green ICT technological domains , notably in terms of:

 Growth of patents

 Concentration of innovative activities by organizations and countries

 Entry of firms

 Technological pervasiveness

 Sources of knowledge

7

3. Methodology & Data

Data

Construction of our green ICT technological domain:

1.

WIPO Green Inventory – includes IPC codes associated with environmentally friendly technologies (6 technological fields: alternative energy production, transportation, energy conservation, waste management, agriculture/forestry, administrative/regulatory as well as design aspects, and nuclear power generation).

2.

OECD classification of ICTs - includes IPC codes associated with the ICT sector (4 technological fields: telecoms, consumer electronics, computer and office machinery, other ICTs).

8

3. Methodology & Data

Methodology

3 steps:

1.

Select EPO patents that have at least one green and one ICT technological class (at 7 digit level) granted between 1987 and 2006.

2.

We perform a network analysis on the classes, where each node is a technological class and each link represents number of patents (we select couples of classes that have at least 55 patents - top 1%) dataset includes, 3978 classes at 7 digits (795 green, 2859 ICT and 325 pure green ICT) and

13210 patents.

3.

We analyse network components (technological domains) in detail.

3. Methodology & Data

Methodology

1. Select EPO patents that have at least one green and one ICT technological class (at 7 digit level) granted between 1987 and 2006

International Patent Classification (IPC) codes

3. Methodology & Data

Green

IPC codes

ICT

IPC codes a , c

International Patent Classification (IPC) codes

3. Methodology & Data

Green

IPC codes

Pure Green

ICT

IPC codes

ICT

IPC codes b

3. Methodology & Data

Methodology

80

H01L 33/00

H01S 5/34

ICT Code Green Code

H01S 5/323 H01L 33/00

H01S 5/34 H01L 33/00

H01S 5/343 H01L 33/00

H04L 9/32 G06Q 20/00

H04L 12/58 G06Q 10/00

H04L 29/06 G06Q 10/00

H04L 29/06 G06Q 30/00

109

80

85

62

69

67

80

67

80

69

2. Network analysis:

Analyse the structural characteristics of this network.

Clusters of codes can define technology domains.

Network analysis – Detection of Green ICT domains

65 different technological fields (components):

4. Results

The components of green ICT technological fields

4. Results

15

4. Results

Patents & IPC classes in green ICT fields

Technological component

Number of

Patents

Number of

IPC classes

ICT classes

Green classes

Semiconductors 2058 1248 33% 2.4%

Pure Green ICT Other classes

4.7% 59.9 %

Arrangements for testing electric properties and locating electric faults

Secure electronic commerce

Arrangements or instruments for measuring magnetic variables

Nuclear magnetic resonance technologies

Solid state devices using organic materials

Traffic control systems

Hall effect devices

Liquid crystal displays

Technologies for total factory control

Excitation or detection systems

2849

669

705

658

470

899

284

209

75

360

1085

406

370

160

489

335

126

643

77

68

34.8%

48.1%

7.3%

12.5%

9.6%

38.8%

55.5%

1.7%

23.4%

20.6%

2.3%

1.7%

2.4%

2.5%

1%

1.2%

0.8%

0.2%

3.9%

0

4.7%

0.2%

4.6%

10%

0

2.4%

5.5%

0

0

13.2%

58.2%

50%

85.7%

75%

89.3%

57.6%

38.2%

98.1%

72.7%

66.2%

16

Patterns of Innovative Activity

The average number of patents per domain is 412, but the distribution is very skewed (a couple of domains concentrate most of the patents).

4. Results

0 20 component

40 60

17

Annual growth rate of patents in Green ICTs

(1987-2006)

4. Results

Average annual growth rate =

0,34 (34%)

18

Firms with the highest number of Green ICT patents

Firm

SIEMENS BUILDING TECHNOLOGY AS

IBM

HEARTSTREAM

HEWLETT-PACKARD

BUDERUS HEIZTECHNIK

KONINKLIJKE PHILIPS ELECTRONICS

ADVANCED CERAMICS

CANDESCENT TECHNOLOGIES

NIPPON TELEGRAPH AND TELEPHONE

FUJIKIN

FUJI ELECTRIC

TEKTRONIX

AT & T

MATSUSHITA ELECTRIC INDUSTRIAL

FUJITSU

CENTRAL JAPAN RAILWAY

AGILENT TECHNOLOGIES

ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES

ERICSSON

CENTRE NATIONAL DE LA RECHERCHE SCIENTIFIQUE CNRS

Number of patents

250

237

211

208

191

190

189

188

169

163

143

139

857

694

341

339

323

272

271

123

4. Results

19

Top 3 organisations by Green ICT technological component

Technological component

Total n° of organisations

Top 3 organisations

Semiconductors 537

CANDESCENT TECHNOLOGIES

NIPPON TELEGRAPH AND TELEPHONE (NTT)

Arrangements for testing electric properties and locating electric faults

Secure electronic commerce

Arrangements or instruments for measuring magnetic variables

Nuclear magnetic resonance technologies

Solid state devices using organic materials

Traffic Control Systems

Hall effect devices

Liquid crystal displays

785

315

191

166

141

253

101

39

IBM

IBM

SIEMENS BUILDING TECHNOLOGY AS

HEWLETT-PACKARD

IBM

FUJITSU

FRANCE TELECOM

ADVANCED CERAMICS

HEARTSTREAM

SIEMENS BUILDING TECHNOLOGY AS

ADVANCED CERAMICS

HEARTSTREAM

KONINKLIJKE PHILIPS ELECTRONICS

EASTMAN KODAK

CAMBRIDGE DISPLAY TECHNOLOGY

3M INNOVATIVE PROPERTIES

BUDERUS HEIZTECHNIK

SIEMENS BUILDING TECHNOLOGY AS

AISIN AW

IBM

BUDERUS HEIZTECHNIK

CNRS

CELANESE

CHISSO

F. HOFFMANN-LA ROCHE

Number of patents

120

112

42

52

35

33

109

38

36

68

64

105

122

160

128

36

28

22

103

71

51

44

14

12

63

36

14

4. Results

20

Top 3 innovative countries in Green

ICT technological domains

Technological domain Number of patents

Semiconductors

Arrangements for testing electric properties and locating electric faults

Secure electronic commerce

Arrangements or instruments for measuring magnetic variables

Nuclear magnetic resonance technologies

Solid state devices using organic materials

89

66

329

81

62

170

109

74

716

704

177

1151

472

329

329

220

130

345

Country

US

JAPAN

GERMANY

US

JAPAN

GERMANY

US

JAPAN

FRANCE

US

UNITED KINGDOM

JAPAN

US

UNITED KINGDOM

SWITZERLAND

US

JAPAN

GERMANY

4. Results

21

Top 3 innovative countries in Green

ICT technological domains (cont.)

Technological domain

Traffic control systems

Hall effect devices

Liquid crystal displays

Technologies for total factory control

Excitation or detection systems, e.g. using radiofrequency signals

Number of patents

50

44

89

36

24

25

17

295

252

115

92

13

173

53

48

Country

JAPAN

GERMANY

US

US

JAPAN

GERMANY

GERMANY

HUNGARY

UNITED KINGDOM

JAPAN

GERMANY

US

US

UNITED KINGDOM

SWITZERLAND

4. Results

EU

22

Patterns of innovative activity in Green ICTs

 Growth of patents over time

 Different types of indices:

 Country concentration (HHI index)*

 Organization concentration (HHI index)*

 Entry of new patenting firms

 Technological pervasiveness: the extent to which domains spread across different IPC classes (Jaffe et al., 1993)*

 Knowledge source across technological classes-variety of knowledge (Trajetenberg et al., 2002)*

 Internal knowledge sources

 Academic sources of knowledge

* Using the method suggested by Hall (2002).

4. Results

23

Growth: The average annual growth rate of the domain wrt the number of patents

H

ORG

: The concentration degree of organizations

ENTRY: share of firms patenting for the first time in domain i over the total number patenting

H

COUNTRY

: The concentration degree of countries in each domain

HTECH: the extent to which the domains spread across different technological classes.

SELFKNOW: Extent of self citations as a measure of knowledge cumulativeness

4. Results

PUBKNOW: Extent of public research organizations and universities, over all

H

CITTECH:

The concentration of technology classes among the cited patents

Variable

Number of patents

Number of technological classes

Share of ICT classes

Share of green classes

GROWTHi

ENTRYi

H

ORGi

H

COUNTRYi

H

TECHi

SELFKNOWi

PUBKNOWi

H

CITTECH

Obs

65

65

65

65

65

65

65

65

65

65

65

65

Mean Std.

Dev.

252.2

818.4

Min

435.0559 6

1850.121 110

Max

2849

11687

.5082421 .0411233 .4182306 .7400442

.4917579 .0411233 .2599558 .5817695

.3475701 .1669447 .0971514 .8044047

.0350057 .0378638 .0099174 .2595041

.0281049 .0299088 .0055423 .2123942

.2016453 .0537544 .1264003 .4248914

.0192141 .0151048 .0041719 .0966121

.0720965 .0339153 .0216138 .1959799

.0038859 .0095034 0 .0527638

.0396431 .0277021 .0014406 .1556497

24

Cluster analysis: 3 different clusters of technological domains

Variables

Average nb of patents

Average nb of tech. classes

Share of ICT classes

Share of green classes

GROWTHi*

ENTRYi*

H

ORGi

*

H

COUNTRYi

*

CLUSTER 1

(25 domains)

GREEN

172.32

236.60

.503

.497

.030

.022

.190

CLUSTER 2

(11 domains)

EMERGING

128.09

207

.522

.478

.649

CLUSTER 3

(29 domains)

ESTABLISHED

368.14

731.04

.508

.493

.212

.023 .044

Little innovation by new entrants in a

Pervaniseness_

TECHi

.040

S ELF _ CITATION i i* .062

ACADEMIC _ KNOW i

* .009

Variery_

CITTECH*

.013

=> Room for radical changes?

*Indicates statistically significant differences across clusters.

.034

.080

.004

.024

4. Results

25

Summary of Cluster Analysis Results

Green domains:

 High dispersion of innovative activity across organizations, countries and technological classes.

 Public knowledge plays a marginal role.

 Degree of self-citations is low (low degree of knowledge cumulativeness & lack of specific firms’ competitive advantage).

Established domains :

 Technological areas with a well-established innovative activity, which concentrates within few actors and countries.

 Very high technological pervasiveness: their potential fields of applications spread across different technological areas.

 Semiconductors and Electronic commerce are the most relevant domains in this cluster.

Emerging domains: ( key findings )

 Prevalence of ICT-related technological classes and companies + variety of knowledge sources, with an important role of universities and public research centres.

 Innovative activity carried out by established firms through the acquisition of new competences outside their core area of technological expertise.

 Represent areas with a high level of opportunity for future development.

4. Results

26

Conclusions about innovation dynamics in Green ICTs

5. Implications for future research

1.

Green ICTs cover 65 technological domains (different combinations of green &

ICT classes).

2.

Fastest growing domain = SSD using organic materials (Germany strongest EU country).

3.

France: strong in Secure electronic commerce & Hall effect devices (thanks to

CNRS).

4.

LEDs = promising Green ICT: potential for job creation in Europe? (cf. FP7 cycLED project: http://www.cyc-led.eu).

5.

Current set of technological classes in Green Inventory neglects important green

ICT domains that stem from the combination of existing green and ICT classes.

6.

3 main clusters of green ICT domains (Green, Emerging, Established) that differ substantially in the structure of their innovative activity.

7.

Further research: Green ICTs & relative/absolute decoupling? (magnitude of ecological benefits, job creation potential, ...).

27

Thank you.

Grazia CECERE*

Nicoletta CORROCHER #

Cédric GOSSART*

Müge ÖZMAN*

# KITeS, Bocconi University, Milan

* Télécom Ecole de Management, Institut Mines-Télécom, Paris

ECOPATENTS project http://ecopatents.wp.mines-telecom.fr/

Extra slides

A review of the ecological impacts of ICTs evaluated with life cycle analyses

(in French, list of references –mostly in English- available from http://ecoinfo.cnrs.fr/article279.html

):

29

Long term impacts of green ICTs:

Absolute decoupling

Relative decoupling

Absolute decoupling

ICTs

?

time

30

Systemic changes towards absolute decoupling

31

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