Viet Nam

advertisement

PRESENTATION

OF H.E. AMBASSADOR NGUYEN XUAN LUU

ECONOMIC FORUM CLUB

Bratislava, 20 June 2013

1

Viet Nam

Part I: Overview of Vietnam

Part II: Main economic achievements of Vietnam in recent years

Part III: Some aspects of Vietnam - Slovakia economic and trade relations

Recommendations to promote economic cooperation between the two countries

2

I. Overview of Vietnam

 Area: 331,051.4

km2

 Bordering: China (North),

Laos, Cambodia (West), East

Sea (East)

 Population: 88,780,000 ( 2012 ),

54 ethnic groups, multi religions

 Capital: Hanoi with 6.7

mn

 Business Center: HCM City,

7.5

mn

3

Hanoi Capital

4

Hue City

5

Ho Chi Minh City

6

Ha Long Bay

7

Overview of Vietnam

 Vietnam is gateway of Southeast Asia and North-East

Asia countries, a geopolitical location conducive to intergration and economic cooperation with other countries

 Security, political stability

 Viet Nam-active member of international organizations in the region and world.

 Market is growing faster and more uniform (economic reform – renovation)

 Abundant young workforce, 70% of the population under 40 years old, skilled and good education system conductive to economic development.

8

II. Main economic achievements of

Vietnam in recent years

Renovation achievements

 Economic reform (Doi Moi Renovation) from 1986

 Sustain high and stability economic growth for years,

GDP growth average 7.5% during 2001-2005 , 7% between 2006-2010 and 5.03% in 2012

GDP 2012 total: USD 136 bn; Agriculture: 21% GDP,

Industry: 41% and Service: 38% ; corresponding structure in 1991 : 41%, 24%, 35%.

GDP per capita in 1986 : 100 USD, 2012 : 1,540 USD

 Viet Nam joined the middle-income countries

9

GDP growth in 2010-2012 at relatively high level

7

6

5

9

8

4

3

2

1

0

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

GDP

10

11

 Regional and International Integration:

- Motto: Vietnam is a friend and reliable partner of all countries in the international community

- Diplomatic relations with over 180 countries.

Trade-investment relations with more 200 countries and territories

- Member of ASEAN, APEC, UN, WTO …

12

Export and Import

Import-export turnover increase 15-

20% / year

In 2012 , exports reached USD 115 bn, up 18% compared with

2011

120

110

100

90

80

70

60

Imports reached USD

114 bn, up 7% compared with 2011

50

40

30

20

Opening of economy is high: im-ex/GDP:

170%

10

0

2009 2010 2011 2012

Export

Import

13

Goods export market in 2012

25

EU: USD 20 bn, 17% of total exports

United States: USD 20 bn, 17%

ASEAN: USD 17 bn,

15%

Japan: USD 13 bn, 11%

China: USD 12 bn, 10%

20

15

10

5

0

US

EU

ASEAN

CHINA

JAPAN

14

Main export goods

Textiles & garments: USD 15 bn, up

7% in 2012

Phone & accessories: 12.6

bn, up 97%

Crude oil: USD 8.5

bn, up 16%

Electronic & computer: 8 bn, up 70%

Footwear: 7 bn USD, up 11%

Aquatic products: USD 6 bn, up 1%

Machinery, equipment, tool & spare parts: USD 5.5

bn, up 27%

Wood & wood products: USD 4.6 bn, up 17%

Vehicles & parts: USD 4.5

bn, up 30%

Rice: USD 3.7

bn,

Coffee: USD 3.7

bn,

Rubber: USD 2.8

bn,

16

14

12

10

8

6

4

2

0

Textiles and garments

Crude oil

Phone & accessories

Footwear

Aquatic products

Electronic & computer

Machinery parts

Wood products

Rice

Rubber

Coffee

Vehicles & parts

15

 Vietnam is the world leader in exports of black pepper, cashew nuts.

 Second place in exports of rice, coffee.

 Third place in exports of natural rubber.

 Top 10 place in exports of seafood.

16

Goods import market

China: USD 29 bn, 25% of total imports

ASEAN: USD 21 bn, 18%

South Korea: USD 15.6

bn, 14%

Japan: USD 12 bn, 10%

EU: USD 8.8

bn, 8%

United States: USD 4.7

bn,

4%

30

25

20

15

10

5

0

CHINA

ASEAN

SOUTH

KOREA

JAPAN

EU

US

17

Main import goods

Electronic, computer & accessories: USD 13 bn

Machinery, equipment, tools, spare parts: USD 16 bn

Petroleum: USD 9 bn

Fabric: USD 7 bn

Steel: USD 6 bn

Phone & accessories: USD 5 bn

Plastics: USD 5 bn

Raw materials for textile, wear, footwear: USD 3 bn

Chemicals and Chemical products: USD 5 bn

16

14

12

10

8

6

4

2

0

Machinery, equipment, tool, spare parts

Petroleum

Fabric

Plastic

Raw materials for textile, wear, footwear

Chemicals

Chemical products

Animal feed & raw materials

Electronic

Steel

Phone & accessories

18

Foreign investment

(Law adopted in 1988)

FDI in 2010 : USD 18.6

bn

In 2011 : USD 14.7

bn

In 2012 : USD 13 bn

As of 5/2013 : USD 217 bn,

14,918 investment projects from 100 countries and territories

2010

2011

2012

As of

5/2013

Value

(Billion

USD)

18.6

Projects Countries, territories

1,237 55

14.7

13.0

1,465

1,535

217 14,918

53

58

100

19

Top five countries FDI

Value

35

As of 5/2013

Japan: USD 32 bn, 1,959 projects

30

25

20

Taiwan: USD 27 bn, 2,249 projects

15

10

5

Singapore: USD 27 bn, 1,154 projects

0

Projects

South Korea: USD 25 bn, 3,302 projects

British Virgin Islands: USD 15 bn, 511 projects

3.500

3.000

2.500

2.000

1.500

1.000

500

0

Japan

Singapore

South Korea

Taiwan

British

Virgin

Islands

Japan

Singapore

South Korea

Taiwan

British

Virgin

Islands

20

 FDI of Viet Nam in abroad:

Up to 3/2013 , Vietnam had 742 investment projects abroad with a total registered capital of USD 15.5

bn in many countries and territories.

21

Official Development Aid (ODA)

 ODA record USD 7.9

bn in 2010 , 7.4

bn in 2011 and 6.5

bn in 2012.

 As of 2012 , about USD 37 bn ODA disbursed since

1993 .

 The major ODA donor: WB, ADB, EU, France,

Germany, Japan, South Korea, Australia...

22

Vietnam’s economic success:

The reason for

 Political and social stability

 Improve the legal environment and institutional market economy

 Reform the public sector and encourage the development of the private sector

 Improving infrastructure, transport, energy and training of human resources for development

 International economic integration activities

23

Socio-economic development indicators in

2013

 GDP increased by 5.5% .; Export turnover increased by 10% .; Trade deficit about 8% ; State budget deficit by 4.8% of GDP; Inflation about 8% ;

Total investment of the whole society developed around 30% of GDP.

 The poverty rate fell by 2% ; Create jobs for about

1.6 million workers; The unemployment rate in urban areas as 4% ;

24

Difficulties to be solved

 Overcome the difficulties as Potential risk of high inflation; Macroeconomic instability; High bad debt ( 7% of GDP); High level of bankruptcy; Real estate market and stock market plummeted.

 Steps are taken:

- Reform banking system to solve the high bad debt

- Fix financing policy to reduce inflation, reduce the income and company tax.

- Restructuring the state companies

- Promoting exports, FDI and ODA inflows.

25

III. Vietnam and Slovakia relations

Traditional friendship and multilateral cooperation

26

 In 2006 President of Slovakia Ivan Gaspanovic visited Viet

Nam.

 In 2008 , Prime Minister Fico visited and reopened the Embassy of Slovakia in Hanoi.

 In 2009 , Vietnam President Nguyen Minh Triet visited

Slovakia. Embassy of Vietnam opened in Bratislava in 2010 .

 In 2010 , Chairman of N A Pavol Paska visited Viet Nam

 The results of the visits gave new impetus to the development of bilateral relations today.

 In April 2013 , First Meeting of Joint Commission on Economic

Cooperation between Viet Nam & Slovakia

 The two countries signed several treaties and cooperation agreements to create a legal framework for promoting bilateral cooperation.

27

28

29

TWO-WAY TRADE TURNOVER

Trade

VIETNAM EXPORT-IMPORT

Mi l lion USD

350

300

250

200

150

100

50

0

2006 2011 2012

Two-way trade turnover

150

100

50

0

Mi l lion USD

300

250

200

2011 2012 export import

30

Trade

 Two-way trade turnover increased from USD 26 mn in

2006 to USD 170 mn in 2011 and USD 307 mn in 2012 .

 Viet Nam exported USD 291 mn mainly computers, electronic products and components, footwear of all kinds, textiles and garments, seafoods

 Viet Nam imported USD 16 mn mainly machinery, equipment and parts, wood and wood products; chemical raw materials for textile, leather, shoes and feed materials

31

Investment & economic cooperation

 Investment & economic cooperation are limited

 Investment: Slovak companies interested in the Vietnam market. Group Investment and Development of Slovakia

(BTG) has an investment project in Hoa Binh province

(Industrial park).

 Slovak companies participated in Exhibitions in Ha Noi 2011 and 2013 ; Economic forums are organized in Viet Nam &

Slovakia.

Finance Group J & T (investment in construction project of office buildings in HCM City).

Some Vietnamese companies are interested in Slovak mobile market; selling coffee, rubber, seefood to Slovakia and though

Slovakia to EU countries.

32

Recommendations

 Vietnam is a bridge to Slovakia in the ASEAN market and Slovakia for Vietnam into Eastern

Europe - EU.

 Great potential to develop cooperation in tourism, cultural cooperation, training and education.

 Joint Commission is a good mechanism to promote cooperation. Encourage the small & medium enterprises (SME)

33

How doing business in Vietnam?

- Open economy but highly competitive and lack of information.

- Big markets, profitability prospects but administrative procedures; unskilled workers

- Doing business in the cities, the industrial zones due to good infrastructure conditions

- Increase export of SK through investment projects

- Support from the Slovak Embassy in Vietnam and the Vietnam Embassy in Slovakia.

34

Conclusion

 Time of opportunity to promote relations and cooperation between Vietnam and Slovakia.

Vietnam - industrialization, modernization and rapid economic development. Slovakia – new, active member EU.

 Slovakia and Vietnam will take advantage of opportunities to enhance cooperation, exploit strengths and potential of the two sides, meeting the interests of our two countries.

 Friendly relations and cooperation need a new driving force from the young generations.

35

Thank you!

36

Download