SHEEO Higher Education Policy Conference
August 10, 2012
Chicago, IL
The Growing Pressure to Use Workforce Data:
What to Use, How to Use It
Dr. Christina Whitfield, Director of Research and Policy Analysis
Kentucky Community and Technical College System
45.0
KY 75th Percentile Wage Line ->
Low Wage
&
High Demand
40.0
High Wage
&
High Demand
Veterinary Technologists and Technicians
Physical
Therapist
Assistants
35.0
Dental Hygienists
Occupational Therapist Assistants
30.0
Cardiovascular Technologists
and Technicians
2008-2018 Percent Change
25.0
Registered Nurses
Medical Equipment Repairers
Respiratory Therapists
Medical Records and Health
Information Technicians
20.0
Paralegals and
Legal Assistants
Biological Technicians
15.0
Life, Physical & Social Science Technicians, Other
Computer
Support
Specialists
Social Science Research Assistants
Radiation Therapists
Radiologic Technologists
and Technicians
Diagnostic Medical Sonographers
Environmental
Engineering
Technicians
Nuclear Medicine Technologists
Environmental Science and Protection Technicians
10.0
Medical and Clinical Laboratory Technicians
KY Average Percent Change Line
Funeral Directors
Civil Engineering Technicians
5.0
Computer Specialists, All Other
Agricultural and Food Science Technicians
Industrial Engineering Technicians
Respiratory Therapy Technicians
0.0
Low Wage
&
Low Demand
-5.0
Engineering Technicians,
Exc. Drafters, All Other
Chemical Technicians
Fashion Designers
Interior Designers
High Wage
&
Low Demand
Electrical and Electronic Engineering Technicians
Broadcast Technicians
Mechanical Engineering Technicians
-10.0
$0
$10,000
$20,000
$30,000
$40,000
2010 Median Wage
$50,000
$60,000
$70,000
$80,000
ACCOUNTABILITY
KCTCS Strategic Plan
High Wage, High Demand Completions
3,300
3,207
3,200
3,098
3,100
3,089
3,000
2,900
2,825
2,800
2,759
2,700
2,600
2,500
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
Note: Number of unduplicated credentials in programs cross-walked to a high wage, high demand occupation. KCTCS Data Base, Kentucky Occupational
Outlook to 2014, Office of Employment and Training Occupational Wages.
KCTCS Strategic Plan
Wage Index
100%
98%
95%
95%
92%
90%
88%
85%
85%
80%
75%
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
Note: Median wage of KCTCS completers earning $2500 or more in the second quarter after completion, indexed to the state median occupational wage.
Source: KCTCS Data Base, UI Wage Match, Office of Employment and Training Occupational Wages.
Unemployment Insurance Match Rates
by College
69%
59%
70%
62%
71%
70%
56%
74%
67%
74%
69%
67%
43%
Note: 2010-11 completers, second quarter after completion.
Source: KCTCS Data Base, UI Wage Match.
83%
69%
57%
Policy and Practice Considerations
• Impact of technical limitations of labor market
information vary by institution
• Institutions must partner with local economic
development entities and employers
• Many economic factors affecting employment
outcomes are beyond institutional control
CURRICULUM REVIEW
Dynamic Skills Audit
• A means to gauge education supply against
employer demand
• A methodology that incorporates traditional
and real-time labor market information into a
structured review of curriculum
• A way to determine how responsive course
content is to employer requirements
Note: KCTCS is participating in a pilot project to develop Dynamic Skills Audits with Jobs for the Future.
Dynamic Skills Audit:
Labor Market Assessment
DEMAND: Traditional LMI
DEMAND:
Real-time
LMI
SUPPLY:
College & Employment Indicators
ANALYSIS / ASSESSMENT
Program
of Study
2010-11
Ratio of Ratio of
2010-11
Job
All
2011
No. of
2010-11
2011
Projected
Graduates
Placement/
Complet2011 2008 2018 10 Yr %
Median 2011 2010 Students
All
Employed
ions to
Annual
by Program
Entered
Jobs Jobs Jobs Change
Annual Jobs Jobs
by
Completto 2011 Projected
Openings
(KCTCS)
EmployWage
Program
ions
Job
Annual
ment
Postings Openings
RN
2,440 2,163 2,634 21.78%
83 $54,401
298
175
160
65
81
82.1%
8:1
1:1
217
CMM
1,130 2,895 2,478 -14.40%
60 $37,000 1,534
683
28
20
46
63.6%
45:1
1:1
1,488
Job
Postings
minus
Completions
Note: Labor Market Assessment for selected programs at Owensboro Community and Technical College.
10
Dynamic Skills Audit:
Skills Matrix Development
Select Growth
Occupation
Gather Skills
and Credentials
from Employers
Analyze Skills
and
Certifications
Skills /
Certifications
Gap Analysis
Compare
Overlapping
Skills
Dynamic Skills Audit:
Skills Matrix, Registered Nursing
Real-Time
LMI Skills
Traditional
LMI Skills
Certifications
Patient Care
Social
Perceptiveness
Registered
Nurse
Organizational
Skills
Judgment
Cardiac LS
Spanish
Mathematics
Certified Rehab
Source: Burning Glass, www.onetonline.org
12
Policy and Practice Considerations
• Educational production one of many factors
that may contribute to supply/demand
mismatch
• Allows institutions to test data against
anecdotal experiences shared by employers
• Requires a high degree of flexibility (how
quickly can institutions respond to industry
demands?)
PROGRAM REVIEW
Graduate Employment Profiles
% NRG
Employed
Median Wage
% NRG Earning
$2500/Q
Median Wage
$2500+
Liberal Arts
60.7
$3,572
40.3
$5,100
Registered
Nursing
81.4
$11,176
78.5
$11,277
Business
Administration
72.3
$5,485
59.9
$6,158
Welding
Technology
63.8
$5,313
50.0
$6,360
All
67.2
$5,306
53.8
$6,450
Note: 2009-10 graduates two quarters post completion. Source: KCTCS Data Base, UI Wage Match
Graduate Employment Profiles
ETA Common Measures
Entered
Employment
Employment
Retention
6-month
Earning
Increase
Median Wage
$2500+
Registered
Nursing
70.7
90.2
$13,739
$11,277
Business
Administration
40.5
92.2
$4,759
$6,158
Note: 2003-4 graduates. Source: KCTCS Data Base, UI Wage Match
Graduate Employment Profiles
Employment by Industry
Registered Nursing
100%
7%
Other
Industries
93%
Health
Industries
90%
80%
70%
53%
Other
Industries
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
47%
Health
Industries
10%
0%
Date of Participation
Note: 2003-4 graduates. Source: KCTCS Data Base, UI Wage Match
1st Quarter after Completion
Graduate Employment Profiles
Employment by Industry
Business Administration
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
11%
Finance/Insurance
15%
50%
40%
25%
Retail
23%
Manufacturing
19%
30%
20%
10%
18%
0%
Date of Participation
Note: 2003-4 graduates. Source: KCTCS Data Base, UI Wage Match
1st Quarter after Completion
Graduate Employment Profiles:
Low Wage/High Demand Programs
Cosmetology
Child Care Provider
Wage/Demand
Quadrant
LW/HD
LW/HD
% Employed
60
70
Median Quarterly
Wage
$3,080
$4,205
% Employed
$2500+
42
55
Note: 2009-10 graduates, second quarter past completion
Source: KCTCS Data Base, UI Wage Match
Policy and Practice Considerations
• Programs with poor employment outcomes
may generate revenue for the institution
• Tenure and accreditation requirements may
limit institutional ability to retrain and
reassign faculty
• Programs with poor employment outcomes
may serve a social/community service
function