Youth Profile
Social Capital in GLLEN Region
Anne Brinsden
Assistant Regional Director, Early Childhood and Youth,
Loddon Mallee Region
21st June 2012
What do we know about how we learn?
Social gradient of learning
•
Effects on literacy and numeracy achievement at school entry to mid
school years:
1. Educational attainment of the mother
2. Quality of learning in the home
3. Quality of early childhood education
Social Gradient of Health
•
The best predictor of poor health and even death in middle age may be
failure to learn to read by the age of 8 years (Associate Professor Jill Sewell)
Brain Development
LMR Environment
LMR Demographics
% Victoria
% Loddon
Mallee Region
Year 12 or equivalent attainment
79.8
73.1
Adolescent victims of crime
17.5
Loddon = 23.3
21.1 per 1000
Adolescent offenders of crime
65.3
MRCC = 27.0
90.4 per 1000
Adolescents on community based order
1.5
Swan Hill = 29.2
2.1
Teenage pregnancies
CGB =19.4
Gannawarra = 25.1
LMR had a record number of CP
Campaspe = 19.8
notifications in10.6
2011
19.1 per 1000
Child protection substantiations
4.4
7.3
AEDI: vulnerable on two or more domains
10.0
12.0
SEHQ Highest family stress levels
1.7
2.2
SEHQ Children with speech and language difficulties
14.6
Mt Alexander = 5.3
Central goldfields = 19.6%
17.6
SEHQ Children with disability or developmental delay
Bendigo = 18.3%
4.7
5.0
Bendigo = 6.4%
SEHQ Concerns about child's behaviour
15.3
17.1
Average age of kindergarten teachers in 2009
41.5 years
44.7 years
LMR Index of Relative Socio-economic
Disadvantage
•
Number and percentage of the population living in collector districts
with SEIFA score under the 986 Regional Victorian average, 2006
(ABS 2006)
Number
%
Loddon Mallee
146201
36%
Greater Bendigo
44446
48%
Mildura
26894
54%
Campaspe
17084
47%
Swan Hill
12290
60%
Central Goldfields
12326
100%
Mount Alexander
8582
51%
Gannawarra
7587
67%
Loddon
5654
72%
Buloke
4838
71%
Macedon Ranges
4826
13%
Current Impacts: Loddon Mallee Region
Adolescent Profile
% Victoria
Year 10-12 apparent retention rate
Year 12 or equivalent attainment
Adolescent victims of crime
Adolescent offenders of crime
Adolescents on community based order
Teenage pregnancies
Child protection substantiations
AEDI: vulnerable on 2 or more domains
82.4
79.8
17.5
65.3
1.5
10.6
4.4
10.0
% Loddon
Mallee Region
Swan Hill = 29.2
Mildura = 27.0
Gannawarra = 25.1
Loddon = 23.3
Campaspe = 19.8
CGB = 19.4
77.6
70.7
21.1
90.4
2.1
19.1 per 1000
7.3
12.0
Loddon Mallee: Youth Disengaged from
Learning
Victoria: Disengaged Young People
Estimated 15-18 years disengaged (2007)
6.00%
5.10%
5.00%
4.40%
4.80%
4.60%
4.40%
4.00%
3.60%
3.70%
3.70%
WMR
SMR
NMR
3.70%
3.00%
2.20%
2.00%
1.00%
0.00%
BSW
Gramps
LMR
Hume
Gipps
EMR
Victoria
LMR Government School Student Absences
by Year Level
School absences by year correlate with vulnerability cohorts
Central Goldfields Shire
 SEIFA = 1 out of 79 i.e. most disadvantaged municipality in
Victoria
Demographics
% Victoria
% Central
Goldfields
Children developmentally vulnerable on one or more AEDI
domains
20.2%
35.7%
Children developmentally vulnerable on two or more AEDI
domains
10.0%
17.9%
Year 12 or equivalent attainment *
79.8%
70.8%
Adolescent victims of crime**
17.5 per 1000
35.6 per 1000
Adolescent offenders of crime**
65.3 per 1000
159.3 per 1000
Substantiated child protection reports***
7.0%
21.7%
City of Greater Bendigo
 SEIFA = 33 out of 79: 1 = most disadvantaged municipality in
Victoria
Demographics
% Victoria
% Central
Goldfields
Children developmentally vulnerable on one or more AEDI
domains
20.2%
23.1%
Children developmentally vulnerable on two or more AEDI
domains
10.0%
12.5%
Year 12 or equivalent attainment*
79.8
67.9%
Adolescent victims of crime**
17.5 per 1000
22.7 per 1000
Adolescent offenders of crime**
65.3 per 1000
99.5 per 1000
Substantiated child protection reports***
7.0%
11.9%
Mount Alexander Shire
 SEIFA = 30 out of 79: 1 = most disadvantaged municipality in
Victoria
Demographics
% Victoria
% Central
Goldfields
Children developmentally vulnerable on one or more AEDI
domains
20.2%
18.7%
Children developmentally vulnerable on two or more AEDI
domains
10.0%
11.8%
Year 12 or equivalent attainment *
79.8
82.9%
Adolescent victims of crime**
17.5 per 1000
14.4 per 1000
Adolescent offenders of crime**
65.3 per 1000
74.0 per 1000
Substantiated child protection reports***
7.0%
11.0%%
The Costs of Disengagement
Individual
Less highly educated
offspring
Decreased financial security
Decreased cultural enjoyment
An early school leaver can
expect to earn approximately
$500,000 less than some who
completes year 12 (1)
Government
Society
Lower tax revenue
Increased demand on the
health system
Higher costs of crime
prevention
Increased administration costs
of social welfare
Lower levels of education
Lower health status
Increased crime
Generally decreased social
interactions and contributions
to the community
Unemployment benefits of
$80 million per annum and
failure to realise $3.5
billion in tax revenue (2)
Social benefits are
conservatively estimated
as 20% of any increase in
market earnings
For every dollar that government invests in retaining early school leavers, the
expected return is as much as 3.2 times more