IANAS 2nd Energy Meeting – Bogotá, Colombia
9-10 June 2011
Bioenergy strategy: the
LACAF/GSB project
Luís Cortez
Professor UNICAMP
Vice Coordinator of Special Programs- FAPESP
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Presentation
1. Introduction
2. Presentation LACAF/GSB project collaboration:
- GSB tasks
- LACAF structure
- LACAF/GSB/IANAS collaboration
Global Sustainable Bioenergy
project-GSB
Board:
Prof. Carlos Henrique de Brito Cruz, Fapesp, Brazil (Chairman)
Prof. Luuk van der Viellen, T.U. Delft, The Netherlands
Dr. Martin Keller, Oak Ridge Laboratory, USA
Executive Committee:
Prof. Lee Lynd, Darthmouth College, USA
Prof. Patricia Osseweijer, T.U. Delft, The Netherlands
Prof. Luís Cortez, UNICAMP, Brazil
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GSB tasks
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Task 1.
Task 2.
Task 3.
Task 4.
Task 5.
Task 6.
Task 7.
Task 8.
Task 9.
Current land inventory
Pasture intensification
Double crops
Change animal feed rations
Dietary choice & food supply chain efficiency
Energy crop productivity
Food security
Fertilizer demand, residue utilization, and soil fertility
Integrated analysis
GSB Stage 2 Tasks
Current Land
Inventory
(Foundation
for other
tasks)
Potential Levers
Fostering large scale bioenergy production
Available
Task 2
Pasture
Land
intensification
(Quantity
Task 3
& quality)
Double crops
Task 4
Changed animal
feed rations
Literature
Burned/disturbed
land
Potential Levers
or/and Constraints
Demand
Productivity of
food/feed
crops
Task 6
Bioenergy
Crop
Productivity
Task 9
Integrated
Analysis
Tons
Conversion
(Literature)
Task 5 Dietary
choice & food
supply chain
efficiency
Bioenergy
Production
Potential
(Quantity
& quality)
Land
Required
For
Food
Production
Literature
Potential/Perceived
Showstoppers
Task 7
Food security
impacts
Fertilizer demand Task 8
impacts
Fuel & electricity demand and efficiency of utilization (literature)
Whether/How
Showstoppers
Can be
Avoided
Land Availability for bioenergy in
Latin America and Africa
Sources: FAOSTAT (2008), IICA (2009), www.eclac.org. 2009
6
Food (Grains) and Energy
(Gasoline) Dependence in Latin
America
Food Independence
and
Gasoline Dependence
Pasture and Prairie Land
(Mha)
Paraguay - 16
Argentina - 100
Export - Import / Consumption
Agricultural (in)dependence - Grains
100%
Food and Gasoline
Independence
Brazil - 196
Argentina - 100
50%
Colombia - 39
Mexico - 75
Brazil - 196
Peru - 17
Bolivia - 33
0%
Nicaragua - 3
Bolivia - 33
Peru - 17
Guatemala - 2
Guatemala - 2
Costa Rica - 1
Nicaragua - 3
-50%
Mexico - 75
Costa Rica - 1
-100%
-100%
Colombia - 39
Cuba - 3
Food Dependence
and
Gasoline Independence
Food and Gasoline
Dependence
Jamaica - 0.2
Guyana - 1
Jamaica - 0.2
Paraguay - 16
Cuba - 3
0%
100%
Energy (in)dependence - Gasoline
Export - Import / Consumption
Source: FAO and IEA
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Ethanol production in Latin
America
Source: USDA, 2010
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Latin America & Caribbean and Africa
LACAF project
1. Diagnosis of Energy and Food Situation in LA and AF & Integrated analysis
Coordinator: Luiz Augusto Horta Nogueira (UNIFEI)
– Why should Latin American and African countries get involved in a global
effort to increase biofuels production?
– How can countries in LA and AF implement the necessary actions: the cases of
Colombia, Guatemala, South Africa and Mozambique?
– What is the present and expected future situation of energy and food security
in Latin America and Africa?
– Integrating analysis for AL and AF
LACAF project
2. Determining the Physical Potential for Sugarcane Ethanol Production in Latin
America and Africa
Coordinator: André Nassar (ICONE)
– Identify potential areas to sugarcane production in African and Latin American
countries; (CTC team)
– Quantify the different production potential of sugarcane crops in these
countries; (CTC team)
– Assess the land use impacts of biofuels production in Latin America and Africa:
the cases of Colombia, South Africa and Mozambique
– Use a Sugarcane Crop Model and Estimate Total Sugarcane Ethanol Production
in LA and AF
LACAF project
3. Crop and Pasture Productivity, Improving Soil Fertility and Needs for Fertilizers
Coordinator: Heitor Cantarella (APTA/IAC)
– Analyzing the Increase Productivity in Agriculture: Pasture Productivity
(Geraldo Martha), Sugarcane Expansion with Pasture Integration
– Analyzing the Possible Impact of Advanced Technologies in Agriculture:
precision agriculture, no-till, soil conditioning
– Estimating the Future Inorganic Fertilizer Demand and Recycling Nutrients in
Sugarcane Ethanol Production
LACAF project
4. Production Models & Innovation
Coordinator: Manoel Regis Lima Verde Leal (CTBE)
– Defining Possible Production Models for LA and AF
– Analyzing the Possible Impact of Advanced Technologies in Conversion:
Celullosic ethanol, energy cane
LACAF project
5. Assessing the Constraints and Benefits of sugarcane ethanol production in LA and AF
Coordinator: José Antonio Scaramucci (NIPE/UNICAMP)
– Agriculture and energy issues analysis in Latin America and Africa
– Scenarios for future demand of food and its impacts on land use
– Economic analysis of the advancement of sugarcane bioenergy in Latin America
and Africa: the cases of Colombia, Guatemala, South Africa and Mozambique
– Impacts on socio-economic development from Sugarcane Ethanol Production
Latin America and Africa: the cases of Colombia, South Africa and Mozambique
Sugarcane Ethanol in Latin America
Colombia:
• The world’s second-largest sugarcane ethanol producer
• Governmental regulations established a mandatory blend (E10)
• Current ethanol production covers 85% of the local needs
• Colombia has a great potential for sugarcane ethanol production in the East
part of the country (expected lower yield than Cauca Valley)
Guatemala:
• Number one producer of sugarcane in Central America
• In 2009, Guatemala produced 2.38 million tons of raw sugar, of which 1.3
million tons were exported
• 5 out of the 14 sugar mills are also producing ethanol, whose production
reached 265 million liters in 2008
• All of the ethanol is exported, mainly to Europe and the U.S.
• The domestic market for biofuels consumption has not been developed yet
Sources: IICA (2009); USDA (2010)
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Collaboration LACAF-GSB
Coordination of tasks
Role in the LACAF Project
Coordinator of Subproject 2: Land
Use and determining LA and AF
Bioenergy potential
Role in the GSB project
Coordinator task 1:
Current Land Inventory
a) Global land use inventory
b) Local (e.g. country-scale) validation
Edgar Beauclair
(Esalq/USP, Brazil)
Sugarcane Model
Jeremy Woods (IC, UK)
Food Security, Food VS Biofuels
Coordinator task 6:
Energy crop productivity
Multi-crop global energy crop
productivity model
Analyst task 3:
Double crops
a) Global double crop productivity
model
b) Local validation
Coordinator task 7:
Food security
Analysis of conditions under which
bioenergy
positively and negatively impacts food
security
André Nassar (ICONE,
Brazil)
Heitor Cantarella (APTA, Coordinator of Subproject 3:
Brazil)
Fertilizer Demand
Coordinator task 8:
Fertilizer demand and soil fertility
a) Comparative analysis of fertilizer
requirements for various energy crops
b) More detailed analysis of specific
aspects
Collaboration LACAF-GSB
Analysts of tasks
Keith Kleine (ORNL, USA) Land Use and determining LA and
AF Bioenergy potential
Analyst task 1:
Current Land Inventory
a) Global land use inventory
b) Local (e.g. country-scale) validation
Geraldo Martha
(Embrapa, Brazil)
Analyst task 2:
2. Pasture productivity
a) Global pasture productivity model
and
estimation of the pasture yield gap
b) Local (e.g. country-scale) validation
Analyst task 4:
Changed animal feed rations
Analysis of 2 to 4 examples
Analyst task 4:
Changed animal feed rations
Analysis of 2 to 4 examples
Analyst task 6:
Energy crop productivity
Multi-crop global energy crop
productivity model
Analyst task 3:
Double crops
a) Global double crop productivity model
b) Local validation
Pasture Productivity
Miguel Taube (UNISOMA, Sugarcane-Beef Integration
Brazil)
Luis Pinto (UNISOMA,
Brazil)
Sugarcane-Beef Integration
Fabio Marin (Embrapa,
Brazil)
Sugarcane Model
Collaboration LACAF-GSB
Analysts of tasks
Durval Dourado
(Esalq/USP, Brazil)
Sugarcane Model
Raffaella Rossetto
(IAC/APTA, Brazil)
Fertilizer Demand, Nutrient recycling
Oscar Braunbeck (CTBE,
Brazil)
Advanced Technologies in Agriculture:
precision agriculture, no-till, soil
conditioning
Paulo Sérgio Graziano
Magalhães (UNICAMP,
Brazil)
Advanced Technologies in Agriculture:
precision agriculture, no-till, soil
conditioning
Antonio Bonomi (CTBE,
Brazil)
Advanced Technologies in Agriculture:
precision agriculture, no-till, soil
conditioning
Analyst task 6:
Energy crop productivity
Multi-crop global energy crop productivity
model
Analyst task 3:
Double crops
a) Global double crop productivity model
b) Local validation
Analyst task 8:
Fertilizer demand and soil fertility
a) Comparative analysis of fertilizer
requirements for various energy crops
b) More detailed analysis of specific aspects
Analyst task 8:
Fertilizer demand and soil fertility
a) Comparative analysis of fertilizer
requirements for various energy crops
b) More detailed analysis of specific aspects
Analyst task 8:
Fertilizer demand and soil fertility
a) Comparative analysis of fertilizer
requirements for various energy crops
b) More detailed analysis of specific aspects
Analyst task 8:
Fertilizer demand and soil fertility
a) Comparative analysis of fertilizer
requirements for various energy crops
b) More detailed analysis of specific aspects
Collaboration LACAF-GSB
Integrating Results
Emile van Zyl
(Stellenbosh University,
South Africa)
José Rincon (IANAS,
Colciencias, Colombia)
Luiz A. Horta Nogueira
(UNIFEI, Brazil)
Diagnosis and Integration in AF;
Innovation
Participates in Integrating in global
Bioenergy potential and constraints
Diagnosis and Integration in LA
Participates in Integrating in global
Bioenergy potential and constraints
Participates in Integrating in global
Bioenergy potential and constraints
Coordinator of Subproject 1:
Diagnosis and Integration in LA
and AF
Manoel Regis Leal
Coordinator of Subproject 4:
(CTBE, Brazil)
Production Models and Innovation
José Antonio Scaramucci Coordinator of Subproject 5: Socio(NIPE/UNICAMP, Brazil) Economic Evaluation
Edmar Luiz Fagundes de Socio-Economic Evaluation
Almeida (UFRJ. Brazil)
José Maurício S. Bento
Socio-Economic Evaluation
(Esalq/USP, Brazil)
Márcia Azanha
Socio-Economic Evaluation
(Esalq/USP, Brazil)
Participates in Integrating in global
Bioenergy potential and constraints
Participates in Integrating in global
Bioenergy potential and constraints
Participates in Integrating in global
Bioenergy potential and constraints
Participates in Integrating in global
Bioenergy potential and constraints
Participates in Integrating in global
Bioenergy potential and constraints
Collaboration LACAF-GSB
Integrating Results
Jean-Claude Autrey
(ISSCT, Mauritius)
Annie Chimphango
(Stellenbosh University,
South Africa)
Francis Yamba (CEEEZ,
Zambia)
Laurent Corcodel
(ERCane, Reunion
Island)
Francis Johnson (SEI,
Sweden)
V. Kafarov (UIS,
Colombia)
Frank Rosillo-Calle (IC,
UK)
Alexandre Strapasson
(IC, UK)
Leonard Sebio
(UNICAMP, Brazil)
Juan (UNICAMP, Brazil)
Diagnosis and Integration in AF
Diagnosis and Integration in AF;
socio-economic aspects
Participates in Integrating in global
Bioenergy potential and constraints
Participates in Integrating in global
Bioenergy potential and constraints
Diagnosis and Integration in AF;
socio-economic aspects
Diagnosis and Integration in AF;
socio-economic aspects
Participates in Integrating in global
Bioenergy potential and constraints
Participates in Integrating in global
Bioenergy potential and constraints
Diagnosis and Integration in AF;
socio-economic aspects
Diagnosis and Integration in LA
Participates in Integrating in global
Bioenergy potential and constraints
Participates in Integrating in global
Bioenergy potential and constraints
Participates in Integrating in global
Bioenergy potential and constraints
Participates in Integrating in global
Bioenergy potential and constraints
Participates in Integrating in global
Bioenergy potential and constraints
Participates in Integrating in global
Bioenergy potential and constraints
Diagnosis and Integration in LA
and AF
Diagnosis and Integration in LA
and AF
Diagnosis and Integration in AF
Diagnosis and Integration in LA
LACAF/GSB/IANAS Collaboration
• Prof. José Rincón Martinez – Coordinator in Colombia and Guatemala
•Partners in Colombia:
•Colciencias
•CENICAÑA
•Universidad Insustrial de Santander (Prof. V. Kafarov)
•Fedebiocombustibles
•Partners in Guatemala:
- CENGICAÑA
LACAF/GSB/IANAS Collaboration
• GSB tasks (defined)
• LACAF structure (defined)
• LACAF Teams (defined)
• LACAF – GSB Collaboration (defined)
• IANAS Collaboration
• Other countries ?
• Meetings?
Sugarcane Bioethanol: R&D for Productivity
and Sustainability
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Lauched Sept 2010
992 pages
76 chapters
139 authors
Publisher:
Ethanol PP Project:
Sales by Amazon
1st Brazilian Bioenergy Science &
Technology Conference - BBEST
• Venue: Campos do Jordão, SP, Brazil
• August 14-18, 2011
http://www.bbest.org.br/
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