6th Meeting of the Low-Carbon Model Town Task Force APEC Low Carbon Model Town (LCMT) Project Phase 3 Feasibility Study for Ngu Hanh Son District in Da Nang City, Viet Nam 46th Meeting of the APEC Energy Working Group and Associated Meetings 18th November, 2013 Submitted by Masakazu ITAKURA (Project Officer) from NEWJEC Inc. 1 Project Purpose The key objective of the Project is to provide a Feasibility Study on the Redevelopment witch deals with the existing urban districts in Da Nang (Viet Nam), with a large focus on Ngu Hanh Son District. This will be done by investigating CO2 reduction visions, and verifying how to develop attractive, low-carbon development plan. Ngu Hanh Son District is long skinny district between the East Sea and the Han River. This area is 39.12km2 and the population is approximately 70,667. 2 Scope of work Outline Outline of APEC Low Carbon Model Town (LCMT) Project Phase 3 Present Situation and Issues for the Urbanization of Da Nang LCT Development Project Phase 1: Report on Low-Carbon Strategy for Da Nang Low-Carbon town Development Project Feedback! Da Nang People’s Committee (Implementation Board) Phase 2: Report on Analyses of CO2 Reductions and Costs for the Selected Design Measures Phase 3: Report Study on the Implementing Methodology of Proposed CO2 Reductions Measures Phase 4: Finalization of the Feasibility Study Report with Executive Summary 3 Approach to a High-Level Vision for LCMT in Da Nang 1. Regional challenges - Re-development - Sprawl - Deterioration of the landscape - Excess of sewage - Traffic growth 2. Improve attractiveness 3. Benchmark of low-carbon - Urban development - Resort beach - Define the environmental target - Tourism - Prepare a low-carbon Guideline - Evaluate cost of CO2 reduction - Select CO2 reduction measures 4. LCMT Introduced measures With the sustainable development of the future, the realization of attractive and innovative urban development!! 4 Legal Framework and Policies in Da Nang City 1) Da Nang’s master plan for socio-economic development up to 2020 2) A General Plan for 2000 - 2020 in Da Nang City 3) Building Da Nang City as An Environmental City (Aug. 2008) Based on the Agenda 21 of Viet Nam government (PM Decision, 2004) To aim at a sustainable development with the target year 2020, To develop many different environmental issues such as: air pollution reduction, waste treatment and recycling, energy conservation, and renewable energy. However, not indicate any scope and measure challenging climate change issues, GHG emission reduction and low-carbon city. 1) "Carbon Emission Situation Study at Da Nang City”(2011) cooperated by Asian Institute of Technology (AIT) 2) "Action Plan in Responding to Climate Change and Sea Level Rise for Da Nang up to 2020" financed by Rockefeller Foundation 3) ”Sustainable Urban Energy Program”(2011 to 2013) cooperated by Aus AID and World Bank 4) "Low-carbon Model Town Project Phase 3 " (2013) by APEC Policy development 5 CO2 Emission Estimation in the Base Year Estimated CO2 emissions for the base year 2010 in Ngu Hanh Son District totaled 95,720 tonnes of CO2e (CO2 equivalent). Table 3.2.2 CO2 emissions by category in the base year 2010 in Ngu Hanh Son District. Greenhouse Gas Category (sector – subsector) CO2 [103 tonnes] CH4 [103 tonnes] CO2e [103 tonnes] Percentage [%] 77.34 80.79 1. Energy 77.34 - Manufacturing industries and construction 30.22 - 30.22 31.57 - Transportation 16.99 - 16.99 17.75 6.89 - 6.89 7.19 23.24 - 23.24 24.28 - Commercial/institutional - Residential 2. Waste - 0.88 18.39 19.21 - Solid waste - 0.32 6.81 7.12 - Wastewater - - Industrial wastewater - 0.55 11.58 12.09 0.88 95.72 100.00 Total 77.34 6 Population forecast in Da Nang City 3,000,000 Hoa Vang Cam Le Ngu Hanh Son Son Tra Hai Chau Thanh Khe Lien Chieu 2,500,000 Persons 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000 0 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Year 7 Projections of COe2 emissions by category towards 2030 in Ngu Hanh Son District according to (BAU Scenario – High Growth). [Ngu Hanh Son District] Category Emissions in CO2e [k tonnes] 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 1. Energy 77 126 237 436 662 - Manufacturing industries 30 31 32 33 34 - Transportation 17 27 43 69 131 7 18 52 120 197 - Residential 23 50 110 214 300 2. Waste 18 32 45 71 98 - Solid waste 7 13 21 38 61 - Wastewater 12 19 24 33 37 96 158 283 508 760 % of 2010 base year emissions 100% 165% 295% 530% 794% Population [persons] 68,270 111,125 178,571 287,589 370,142 - Commercial/institutional Total 8 Setting out CO2 emissions reduction target towards 2030 in accordance with the “National Green Growth Strategy” kt-CO2/year 11,000 BAU scenario for 2030 10,000 - Wastewater 9,000 - Solid waste 8,000 7,000 20 % ▼ 30 % ▼ - Residential - Commercial/institutional - Transportation 6,000 - Manufacturing industries 5,000 BAU scenario for 2020 4,000 10%▼ 20%▼ 3,000 2,000 Base year (2010) 1,000 0 2010 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Year 9 BS-H (BAU Scenario – High Growth) Options for CO2e emission reduction targets Ngu Hanh Son District Target Year Option A B C Target Contents 2020 2030 Reductions from BAU 28 ktCO2e 76 ktCO2e % above base year level 166 % 615 % Reductions from BAU 57 ktCO2e 152 ktCO2e % above base year level 136 % 535 % Reductions from BAU 85 ktCO2e 228 ktCO2e % above base year level 107 % 456 % 10% from BAU 20% from BAU 30% from BAU N.B. Target figures indicated in blue and red are in accordance with the voluntary reduction target the “National Green Growth Strategy” 10 Categories Establishment for Creating a Low Carbon Town Possible low carbon measures for Ngu Hanh Son District in Da Nang City can be divided into nine categories listed below: (1) Buildings (2) Transportation (3) Energy - Energy Management System (4) Energy - Area Energy Network (5) Energy - Untapped Energy (6) Energy - Renewable Energy (7) ICT Control (8) Environment (9) Water Supply and Sewage 11 Categories and Possible CO2 Reduction Measures for Example… 1. Buildings - Introduction of a system of comprehensive environment benchmarks that target buildings. etc. 2. Transportation - Facilitation of the spread of electric motor-bakes and charging facilities. etc. 9. Water Supply and Sewage - Bio generation by utilization of water treatment sludge. etc. 8. Environment Planning - Making environmental initiatives visible. etc. 7. ICT Control - Optimized control of traffic flow due to an ITS (intelligent transportation system) . etc. 23 Possible CO2 Reduction Measures 6. Energy - Renewable Energy - Purification and power generation utilization of biogas (digestive gas) . etc. 3. Energy - Energy Management System - Stabilization of the electric power supply by a high capacity electrical storage facility. etc. 4. Energy - Area Energy Network - Heat pump style cooling system that uses river water and ocean water. etc. 5. Energy Untapped Energy - Power supplied by renewable energy from wind power and solar power. etc. 12 Four Viewpoints for Determining Guidelines With these ideas in mind, the following four points are established as a guideline (evaluation viewpoints) in order to create a low carbon town in Ngu Hanh Son District Viewpoint 1: measures by which a large volume of CO2 reductions are expected. Viewpoint 2: measures whose cost-effectiveness is large. Viewpoint 3: measures that may contribute to solving the area‘s current challenges in addition to global warming. (*1) Viewpoint 4: measures that may lead to sustainable development and increasing attractiveness. (*2) (*1) The main current challenges are Re-development, Sprawl, Deterioration of the landscape and Energy supply. (*2) The main attractiveness is Low carbon town, Resort beach, Tourism and Sustainable. 13 Result of calculation 100000 (2-1) EV-bike (18Pt) (5-1) Bio-Generation (21Pt) (9-2) Bio-gas (13Pt) (5-2) Garbage (15Pt) (1-1) CASBEE (20Pt) (2-3) Subway (8Pt) (2-2) BRT (18Pt) (1-1) CASBEE (20Pt) 10000 (1-2) E-Saving (14Pt) (2-1) EV-bike (18Pt) (2-2) BRT (18Pt) (2-3) Subway (8Pt) (7-3) ITS (14Pt) (3-1) ES-Facility (8Pt) (3-1) ES-Facility (8Pt) (3-2) Peak Power (7Pt) (4-1) Heat Pump (10Pt) (1-2) E-Saving (14Pt) tCO2/year (4-2) Waste Heat (8Pt) (4-1) Heat Pump (10Pt) 1000 (5-1) Bio-Generation (21Pt) (9-1) Water Supply (9Pt) (5-2) Garbage (15Pt) (7-1) LED (15Pt) (8-3) Planting Trees (16Pt) (5-3) BDF (9Pt) (6-1) Wind & Solor (10Pt) (6-1) Wind & Solor (10Pt) (4-2) Waste Heat (8Pt) (6-2) PSPS (0Pt) (7-1) LED (15Pt) 100 (7-2) Multiple (7Pt) (5-3) BDF (9Pt) Implementation Board (7-2) Multiple (7Pt) (7-3) ITS (14Pt) (7-4) Smart Mater (7Pt) (8-1) Visible (9Pt) (7-4) Smart Mater (7Pt) (8-2) Citizens (12Pt) 10 1 Policy for Selecting Measures in This Project (8-2) Citizens (12Pt) (8-1) Visible (9Pt) (3-2) Peak Power (7Pt) 1 10 (8-3) Planting Trees (16Pt) (9-1) Water Supply (9Pt) (9-2) Bio-gas (13Pt) (6-2) PSPS (0Pt) 100 1,000 10,000 100,000 1,000,000 10,000,000 Initial Cost (1000USD) 14 1. Buildings Introduction of a system of comprehensive environmental benchmarks that target buildings 2. Transportation – Motorcycle Facilitation of the spread of electric motor-bikes and charging facilities 3. Transportation – BRT Introduction of a Bus Rapid Transit system 4. Untapped Energy – Waste Water Purification and power generation utilizing of biogas (digestive gas) 5. Untapped Energy – Solid Waste Biomass generation from kitchen garbage 6. ICT Control LED Optimum management and energy conservation of the street lights through LED lighting 15 1. Buildings 3.0 BEE=1.0 1.5 120% Sustainable A S B+ Eco-friendly 50 B0.5 Modern Vernacular C Most of the buildings resulted in B+(Good) ~ B-(Slightly poor) → Ranked in Modern 0 80% 60% B40% A 50 L:Enviromental Load 100 S B+ 20% Examples in Japan Results in DaNang 線形 (Examples in Japan) 0% 0 CO2 reduction is possible by increasing the buildings ranked in S: Eco-Friendly and Sustainable 100% CO2-Emission Rate Q:Enviromental Quality 100 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 BEE 4.0 5.0 6.0 Results of the site survey in Da Nang City based on CASBEE* system Step 1 Development of Assessment System/ Tool for Built Environmental Performance Step 2 Administrative procedure of Assessment system Step 3 Action plan of environmental public building construction -Starting of the measure implementation in 2015 -Target number of buildings at 50% of new construction buildings -Expected implementation rate at 50% of target number of buildings -Expected CO2 reduction ratio with 25% reduction for common building Approx. 11,764 tCO2/year (6%) reduction from BAU Contents CASBEE system Total CO2 Reduction Volume 11,764 tCO2/year *CASBEE: Comprehensive Assessment System for Building Environmental Efficiency (JSBC in Japan) 16 Shift to Electric MC 2. Transportation-Motorcycles Shift to BRT Share of means of transportation in Da Nang City in 2010 Share of means of transportation in Da Nang City in 2030 Policy1: Diffusion & Educational Activities Policy2: Preferential Treatment concerning Taxes & Subsidy for Purchase Policy3: Parking Areas for Electric Motorcycles Contents Shift to Electric Motorcycle Description Total CO2 Reduction Volume 57,483 tCO2/year Shift from gasoline to Electric Motorcycle 17 3. Transportation-BRT Contents Shift to BRT Description Total CO2 Reduction Volume 28,515 tCO2/year Shift from car & motorcycle to BRT 18 4. Untapped Energy - Waste Water (A) Reduction of CO2 emissions when generate electricity using the methane recovery Contents + (A) Generator (B) CO2 Reduction due to be recovered methane (B) Digestion Tank CH4 Volume 1,770.0tCH4/year CO2 Conversion 37,170.0tCO2/year Generation Volume 4,765,267.4kWh/year CO2 Conversion 2,578.0tCO2/year Total CO2 Reduction Volume → /2,112kWh = 2,260 Household 39,748 tCO2/year Population = 370,142 (Ngu Hanh Son District (Y2030)) 19 5. Untapped Energy - Solid Waste (A) Suppress the naturally occurring methane gas from the landfill CH4 = + (B) To power generation and purified methane gas from garbage CO2 × × Cut! Cut! Contents (A) landfill CH4 Volume 1,757.0 tGH4/year CO2 Conversion 21,085.0 tCO2/year Generation Volume 48,462.0 kWh/year (B) Generator → /2,112kWh = 23 Household CO2 Conversion Total CO2 Reduction Volume 8,783.0 tCO2/year 29,868 tCO2/year Population = 370,142 (Ngu Hanh Son District (Y2030)) 20 6. ICT Control LED - Optimum Management and Energy Conservation of Street Lights (A) Replacing the existing street lights to LED (B) Smart street lighting system System Manager Cost Reduction Maintenance costs LED, HPS Scheduling, Lighting control Fault monitoring Initial cost (lease) and Operational cost Ballast PLC Node Maintenance costs Center Server Electricity charges Power Line Communications (PLC) Electricity charges Internet Reduce by Lighting Control Communication line Power Usage Smart Server PM 6 :0 0 AM 6 :0 0 Contents CO2 Reduction Total CO2 Reduction Volume 327 tCO2/year 21 Estimated CO2 reductions by the six countermeasures when implemented to Ngu Hanh Son District over the period of 2015 to 2030. 1. The CO2 reductions by the six countermeasures when implemented will total 54.1kt-CO2 in 2020 and 167.7kt-CO2 in 2030. 2. The total amount of CO2 reductions (161kt-CO2) in 2030 consists of: (1) 57.5kt by electric motorcycles (2) 39.7kt by CH4 use (wastewater) (3) 29.9kt by CH4 use (solid waste) (4) 28.5kt by BRT (5) 11.8kt by EES of buildings (6) 0.3kt by ICT Control - LED CO2 Reductions by 6 countermeasures Unit: t-CO2 BS-H emission s Reductio ns target 2010 95,722 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 2015 157,759 14,140 534 921 0 0 0 0 1,455 0.92 2020 282,795 28,280 2,672 8,880 6,354 25,869 10,265 57 54,097 19.13 2025 507,575 90,144 6,948 33,366 17,052 35,118 19,339 327 112,151 22.10 2030 760,044 152,009 11,764 57,483 28,515 39,722 29,868 327 167,680 2222.06 Year EES of buildings Electric motor cycle Waste Water BRT ICT Control LED Solid Waste % of BSH Level Total Roadmap for reducing CO2 by implementing the six countermeasures to Ngu Hanh Son District towards 2030. 1. In comparison with the proposed reductions targets in accordance with the National Green Growth Strategy (NGGS), the CO2 reductions expected will total: ■ 19.2% of the BAU scenario emissions in 2020 (Target: 10%) ■ 21.2% of the BAU scenario emissions in 2030 (Target: 20%) t-CO2/year Just over the target 800,000 BAU emissions LED 700,000 CO2 reductions by 6 countermeasures CH4 (solid waste) CH4 (wastewater) 21.2% Target 600,000 BRT Electric motorcycle 500,000 The NGGS target (30% reductions) in 2030 consists of: EES of buildings Forecasted emissions (A) 20% reductions by voluntary effort 400,000 300,000 + Target [additional] (B) 10% reductions by international support 200,000 100,000 0 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Year 23 Thank you for your Attention Xin cám ơn 77