Status and plans for the NEOO program

advertisement

Near Earth Objects

Overview of the NEO Observation Program

Lindley Johnson

Planetary Science Division

NASA HQ

21 June 2012

NEO Observation Program

US component to International Spaceguard Survey effort

Has provided 99% of new detections of NEOs since 1998

Began with NASA commitment to House Committee on Science in May, 1998

– Averaged ~$4M/year Research funding 2002-2010

– 400% plus-up to $20M in President’s 2012 budget submittal

Scientific Objective: Discover 90% of NEOs larger than 1 kilometer in size within 10 years (1998 – 2008)

NASA Authorization Act of 2005 provided additional direction)

“… plan, develop, and implement a Near-Earth Object Survey program to detect, track, catalogue, and characterize the physical characteristics of near-Earth objects equal to or greater than 140 meters in diameter in order to assess the threat of such near-Earth objects to the Earth. It shall be the goal of the Survey program to achieve

90 percent completion of its near-Earth object catalogue within 15 years [by 2020].

2

NASA’s NEO Search Program

(Current Systems)

Minor Planet Center (MPC)

• IAU sanctioned

• Int’l observation database

• Initial orbit determination www.cfa.harvard.edu/iau/mpc.html

NEO Program Office @ JPL

• Program coordination

• Precision orbit determination

• Automated SENTRY http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/

LINEAR

Catalina Sky

Survey

NEO-WISE

End of

Operations

Feb 2011,

Analysis

Of Data

Continues

JPL

Sun-synch LEO

Pan-STARRS

MIT/LL

Soccoro, NM

UofAZ

Arizona & Australia

Haleakula, Maui

Known Near Earth Asteriod Population

Start of

NASA NEO

Program

Known Near Earth Asteroid Population

5

Spaceguard Survey Catalog Program

Current Spaceguard Survey Infrastructure and Process

Survey,

Detect,

& Report

Correlate, Determine

Rough Orbit

Observations and

Update Orbit

Radar

Routine

Processing

Publish

Results

No

Possible

New PHO?

No

Yes

Potential

Impact?

Survey Systems

Minor Planet Center

JPL NEO Office*

* In parallel with NEODyS

Yes

Resolve

Result

Differences

Publish

Results

No

Yes

Iterate

Impact

Still

Possible?

Precision Orbit and Follow Up

Observations

Publish/

Update

Results

Alerts to

NASA HQ

• MPC - PHO of interest

• MPC possible close approach

• JPL - reports potential for impact

JPL publishes probability of impact

6

NASA’s NEO Search Program

(Current Systems)

Minor Planet Center (MPC)

• IAU sanctioned

• Int’l observation database

• Initial orbit determination

NEO-WISE

End of

Operations

Feb 2011,

Analysis

Of Data

Continues

NEO Program Office @ JPL

• Program coordination

JPL

Sun-synch LEO

Several Professional Observatories http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/

Pan-STARRS

LINEAR

Survey

Numerous Amateur Astronomers worldwide provide high-precision observations to fill critical gaps

MIT/LL

Soccoro, NM

UofAZ

Arizona & Australia

Haleakula, Maui

Radar Studies

Observations on the limited accessible objects

– 20 to 30 NEOs/year from Goldstone and Arecibo

– Required for timely precision orbit determination

– Characterization with sufficient signal strength

• Shape, spin-state, surface structure

• Satellites (an then derived mass)

Study of Shape, Size, Motion and

Mass of 66391 (1999 KW4)

Shape, Size of

6489 Golevka

8

2005 YU55 Approach to Earth Nov. 8, 2011

C-type asteroid

Diameter ~400 meters

Earth & Moon close approach

Extensive radar, visual and infrared observations were obtained.

Radar Rotation Study of 2005 YU55

Arecibo Observes Newly Discovered 2012 LZ

2012 LZ1 was found to be about 1 kilometer (0.6 miles) in its largest dimension. It must be quite dark, reflecting only 2-4% of the light that hits it.

The image shows that it is fairly spherical and rotates in about 10-15 hours. Image was taken when the asteroid was 10 million kilometers (6 million miles) away, and the resolution is 7.5 m (25 feet).

2012 LZ1 was discovered 10 June 2012 by

Siding Spring Observatory in Australia.

Classified as a potentially hazardous by the Minor Planet Center because its orbit brings it close to Earth (within 20 lunar distances). Arecibo observed this asteroid on 19 June 2012 to measure its orbit more precisely, and to determine its size, rotation rate and shape.

2012 LZ1 is twice as large as originally estimated based on its brightness, large enough to have serious global consequences if it were to hit the Earth.

However, the new orbit solution based on radar measurements shows that this object does not have any chance of hitting the

Earth for at least the next 750 years.

FY2012 Budget Allocation

Future Survey Capabilities

Space SurveillanceTelescope

DARPA funded project

Designed and built by MIT/LL

Same division as LINEAR

Located Atom Peak, WSMR, NM

3.6 meter primary mirror

First Light was Feb 2011

Started 1 year of checkout

Eventual operations by AFSPC

First of 3 to 4 worldwide sites

Serendipitous detection of NEOs in background mode to space surveillance

14

Near Term Impact Warning

Asteroid Terrestrial-impact Last Alert System –ATLAS*:

A project to patrol the entire night sky every night in search of incoming asteroids

A geographically dispersed network (> 6 sites) of small coupled telescopes observing “shallow but wide” to provide more complete sky coverage for warning of near-term impact threats

Proposed ATLAS telescope design

*Courtesy University of Hawaii Institute for Astronomy

Large Synoptic Survey Telescope

A National Science

Foundation Project

Initial Operations 2019?

6.4-m effective diameter

10 sq deg field of view ugrizy optical filters

18,000 square degrees ++

2x15s exposures + 2 more within 60 minutes

Survey entire visible sky every

3-4 days in 2 filters for 10 years

16

Various NEO Survey Telescope Concepts

• A NEO survey telescope will discover highly accessible NEO targets suitable for human exploration in a timely manner.

– Optimized for detection of objects in Earth-like orbits within two years of launch

– Launch ready in 4 to 5 years with low risk

• The survey will include follow-up of all detected objects, plus characterization (size, rotation rate) of selected objects .

Picture Study Description Survey

Type

NEOCam/JPL

NEOStar/BATC

NEST – L2/APL

NEST -

Venus/APL

•Sun-Earth L1 orbit

•Mid-IR

•50cm aperture

•Trailing Venus orbit

•Mid-IR

•50cm aperture

•Sun-Earth L2 orbit

•Visible

•90cm aperture

•Trailing Venus orbit

•Mid-IR

•90cm aperture

Sweet Spot

Opposition

Sweet Spot

Opposition

Cost

< $500 M

(excluding launch)

~ $500 M

(excluding launch)

< $500 M

(excluding launch)

~ $500 M

(excluding launch)

Space-based

“Sentinel”

Concept

Spitzer

X

Kepler

“Sentinel”

NASA has signed a Space Act Agreement to support B612 Project Sentinel

19

Download