ECONOMICS, 5e Roger Arnold CHAPTER 6 Macroeconomic Measurements, Part II: GDP and Real GDP MACROECONOMIC QUESTIONS A Nation's Income – The most central issue of macroeconomics is an economy's total production of goods and services – A nation's income is the total of all the incomes of the people that live there MACROECONOMIC QUESTIONS Gross Domestic Product (GDP) – The dollar value of total output of goods and services is called nominal GDP » Part of the increases in GDP reflect inflation » Adjusting GDP for inflation gives real GDP MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES Definitions – Real gross domestic product is a measure of a country's total output of final markets goods and services during some year – Nominal gross domestic product is the dollar value of a country's output of final market goods and services during some year (billions of U.S. dollars) U.S. Real & Nominal GDP, 11,000 10,000 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 1965 1970 1975 1980 NGDP (billions of $) CHAPTER 2 1985 1967-2001 1990 1995 2000 RGDP (billions of 1996 $) The Data of Macroeconomics slide 31 SOURCE: Bureau of Economic Analysis. 75 Exhibit 4 The Circular Flow: Total Purchases (Expenditures) Equal Total Income in a Simple Economy 76 CIRCULAR FLOW AND AGGREGATE DEMAND Types of Spending – Consumption, or consumer spending, is spending by people on the final goods and services for current use CIRCULAR FLOW AND AGGREGATE DEMAND Types of Spending – Investment refers to spending to create new capital goods, such as machines, equipment, inventories, human skills, and knowledge CIRCULAR FLOW AND AGGREGATE DEMAND Types of Spending – Government purchases refers to all spending by the government except transfer payment (direct payments of money to people) CIRCULAR FLOW AND AGGREGATE DEMAND Types of Spending – Exports are sales of goods and services to people and firms in other countries CIRCULAR FLOW AND AGGREGATE DEMAND Types of Spending – Exports are sales of goods and services to people and firms in other countries – Imports are purchases of goods and services from people and firms in other countries CIRCULAR FLOW AND AGGREGATE DEMAND Types of Spending – Net exports, or the balance of international trade, equals exports minus imports Exhibit 1 The Components of GDP 83 What is the difference between GDP and GNP? GNP is the value of all final goods and services produced by citizens of a nation regardless of their location. GDP is the value of all final goods and services produced within the border of a nation regardless of citizenship. GNP = GDP + net foreign factor income 84 Why do we make the distinction about FINAL goods? Final goods are in the hands of the ultimate user. Intermediate goods are inputs into the production of final goods. We only use final goods to avoid the problem of “DOUBLE COUNTING” Alternatively, we can use the value added at each stage of production 85 What GDP Omits Certain Nonmarket Goods and Services Underground Activities Sales of Used Goods Financial Transactions Government Transfer Payments Leisure 86 GDP and Well Being GDP is useful in measuring the productive capacity of an economy. GDP is not necessarily a good measure of happiness or well being. Measurements of well being often include measures of education, access to health care, infant mortality, and life expectancy. 87 Two Ways of Measuring GDP Expenditure approach Income approach See pages 79-80 in your workbook. The Expenditure Approach Household sector: Consumption Business sector: Gross private domestic investment Government sector: Government purchases Foreign sector: Net exports The Income Approach gives us NATIONAL INCOME Compensation of employees Proprietor's Income Corporate profits Rental income Interest From National Income to GDP: Making Some Adjustments - Income earned from the rest of the world + Income earned by the rest of the world + Indirect business taxes + Capital consumption allowance (depreciation) + Statistical discrepancy From National Income to GDP: Making Some Adjustments GDP = NI + indirect business taxes + depreciation – net foreign factor income NI = GDP - indirect business taxes depreciation + net foreign factor income Other National Income Accounting Measurements Net Domestic Product = GDP Depreciation Personal Income = National Income - undist. corp. profits - Social Security taxes - corp. profits taxes + transfer pmts. + net interest Disposable Income = Personal Income - Personal taxes Disposable Income = Personal Cons. + Personal Saving Desirable Economic States or Goals Price stability Low unemployment High and sustained economic growth MACROECONOMIC MODELS Business Cycles – Business cycles are 2-year to 5-year fluctuations around trends in real GDP and other related variables MACROECONOMIC MODELS Business Cycles – A recession is a large fall in the growth of real GDP and related variables » A depression is an especially large recession What Is a Business Cycle? Peak Contraction (Recession) Trough Recovery Expansion Exhibit 7 The Phases of the Business Cycle 98