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2013 Environmental Scan Robert G Parker July 10, 2013 S-1 © 2013 Robert G Parker July 10, 2013 2013 Environmental Scan Global Environment China Animals Canada’s Debt Crisis Canadian Arctic Closing Borders Drones Economy Education Fascism Justice Meaner Society Pandemics Privacy Over Governed & Over Regulated Society Society Priorities Pensions Protests Taxes Technologies Top Ten Technologies Robotics S-2 © 2013 Robert G Parker July 10, 2013 2013 Environmental Scan Our Focus in Looking at Each for these Topics will be: • Their Impact on Business • Their Impact on Society • Risks, Threats and Vulnerabilities S-3 © 2013 Robert G Parker July 10, 2013 China China is still the “great unknown” China is going through internal turmoil: • Political • Economic • Social China presents fascinating societal issues • Communist Party vs. Government • Expansion vs. Peace • Commerce vs. Legislation • Business Ethics vs. International Law S-4 © 2013 Robert G Parker July 10, 2013 China Economic Communist Party vs. Government From 2011 The Five Noes No Multi-party elections No diversity in guiding thoughts No separation of powers No federal system No privatization Wu Bangguo – Chairman of the National Peoples Congress standing committee. S-5 © 2013 Robert G Parker July 10, 2013 China Industrial and Cyber Espionage Source – USA Today S-6 © 2013 Robert G Parker July 10, 2013 China Industrial and Cyber Espionage Source-Wall Street Journal-April 5, 2013 S-7 © 2013 Robert G Parker July 10, 2013 China Industrial and Cyber Espionage For $89.95 (including GST), millions, if not billions, of commercial secrets can be yours. Owner of Nella Global security firm Amanda Nella says that once the matchbox-sized listening device is For $89.95 (including GST), millions, if not billions, of activated with a sim card, it can be called from a commercial secrets can be yours. Owner of Nella Global security firm Amanda Nella says mobile anywhere in the world. that once the matchbox-sized listening devicephone is Peter Kerr, The West Australian June 14, 2012, 7:08 am activated with a sim card, it can be called from a mobile phone anywhere in the world. The caller can then listen to conversations within 14m, for up to four hours - longer if it can be plugged into a computer. Long enough, though, to listen into a board meeting or takeover strategy session. In the past week the buzz around Perth business circles has been that a WA mining company swept its offices recently and found a bug - not dissimilar in size to the $89.95 version. The finger is often pointed at Australia's major trading partner China when espionage is raised, The finger is often pointed at Australia's major trading partner China when espionage is raised, Last year in his final public appearance as Woodside chief executive, Don Voelte belled the cat and said that the major resource firms were under constant cyber attack - and not just from China. "It comes from everywhere. It comes from eastern Europe, it comes from Russia. Just don't pick on the Chinese, it's everywhere," he said. Some analysts suggest that China's internal security and surveillance budget is greater than its military one. Some analysts suggest that China's internal security and surveillance budget is greater than its military one. S-8 © 2013 Robert G Parker July 10, 2013 China Industrial and Cyber Espionage American Super Conductor And Sinovel Wind Group S-9 © 2013 Robert G Parker July 10, 2013 China Industrial and Cyber Espionage Huawei Technologies ZTE Corp Telecommunications Manufacturers and Suppliers Teleco Switch Software Captures Information and Sends it to China S-10 © 2013 Robert G Parker July 10, 2013 China Industrial and Cyber Espionage Source: China Daily 2013-04-26 S-11 © 2013 Robert G Parker July 10, 2013 China Industrial and Expansion v S-12 © 2013 Robert G Parker July 10, 2013 China China – Expansion vs. Peace 1998 – China, through the private Macau Tourist Venture purchased the Varyag ,a partially complete and stripped of military hardware aircraft carrier from the Ukraine. On 10 August 2011, it was announced that the refurbishment of Varyag was complete, and that it was undergoing sea trials.[ On December 14, 2011, DigitalGlobe, and American Satellite imaging company announced that while scouring through pictures taken December 8th, they had discovered the retrofitted Varyag performing maneuvers, DigitalGlobe elaborated that their images capture the ship in the Yellow Sea where it performed for 5 days. [ Recent Chinese military exploits have included humanitarian aid, combating piracy in the Gulf of Aden and counter-terrorism operations. The Pentagon cited as an example China's evacuation of 36,000 Chinese nationals from Libya during the 2011 uprising against Moammar Gadhafi S-13 © 2013 Robert G Parker July 10, 2013 China China – Expansion vs. Peace September 26, 2012 First tourists aboard the Macau Tourist Venture Ship S-14 © 2013 Robert G Parker July 10, 2013 China China – Expansion vs. Peace S-15 © 2013 Robert G Parker July 10, 2013 China A new and permanent U.S. military presence in Australia The move could help the U.S. military, now concentrated in Japan and South Korea in Northeast Asia, to spread its influence west and south across the region, including the strategically and economically important South China Sea, which China considers as its sovereign territory. However, China does not consider the Arctic Ocean to be Canada’s sovereign territory S-16 © 2013 Robert G Parker © 2010-Robert G Parker July 10, 2013 16 China The U.S. has shown greater interest in using Australian military facilities as part of a larger effort to refocus its military capabilities in Southeast Asia and the western Pacific. “we're not looking at any sort of But Australia's latest force posture review, dated March 30, makes it clear that the main factor currently shaping Australia's military strategy is "the rise of China, India and other powers and the continuing strategic engagement of the United States in the Asia-Pacific.“ imminent conflict” says Jeffrey Bleich, the U.S. ambassador to Australia. S-17 © 2013 Robert G Parker . July 10, 2013 China All the way with the USA? How Darwin received its US troops November 9, 2012 When the “enduring presence” of US marines in Darwin was announced locals were too giddy by Obama’s presence to question it. Justin Tutty from BaseWatch examines what happened when they arrived. The forces say we can expect a similar well-managed tour next year, while the following rotation will have larger numbers, bring their own hardware, and concentrate on objectives beyond community relations. The ADF has produced a report weighing up likely impacts of next year’s visit of 250 marines. This week, the local paper reported that the US will be looking to raise numbers even beyond that, and it is now understood that discussions last year considered a presence of as many as 7500. However, increasing the emerging presence from an initial 200 to 2500 — or more — won’t be so easily glossed over. Whether the US troop numbers stop at the announced 2500, or grow to 7500, the permanent presence is going to have an impact on our town. http://www.crikey.com.au/2012/11/09/all-the-way-with-the-usa-how-darwin-received-its-us-troops/ S-18 © 2013 Robert G Parker July 10, 2013 China Rules for US troops in NT kept secret November 11, 2012 A SECRET document that the government said did not exist and which outlines the rights, role and responsibilities of US forces in Australia is being kept from the public, due to concerns it would affect the relationship with America. The document, classified ''Secret'' and signed in 2010 by the then US defence secretary, Robert Gates, and Australia's Defence Minister, Stephen Smith, is the only document created since 1963 that provides some official guidance for US troops in Australia. That includes the permanent rotational placement of what will be, by 2016, 2500 US marines in the Northern Territory. http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/political-news/rules-for-us-troops-in-nt-kept-secret-20121110-29571.html S-19 © 2013 Robert G Parker July 10, 2013 China Military Expansion Source: LA Times April 26, 2013 S-20 © 2013 Robert G Parker July 10, 2013 China S-21 USS Dilemma © 2013 Robert G Parker July 10, 2013 China S-22 © 2013 Robert G Parker July 10, 2013 China Not Only Australia and the Philippines S-23 © 2013 Robert G Parker July 10, 2013 S-24 © 2013 Robert G Parker July 10, 2013
