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LL+D January2023 - Kraft Update3

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LIQUIDITY
LEVERAGE
Restricts Control
Truncates Duration
"Margin Calls"
BLEEDING
INVESTORS
PERSPECTIVE
DURATION
Provides Control
Lengthens Duration
"Dry Powder"
FEEDING
How long will you own the stock?
Investors must allow TIME to let it BREATHE
You must believe your THESIS will become the REALITY
LIQUIDITY
COMPANY
PERSPECTIVE
LEVERAGE
SIVB Forced Into Capital Raise To Fill The
Hole From Selling Treasuries At A Loss
SIVB Clients Pull Some Deposits To Meet
Liquidity Needs
SIVB Forced To Sell Treasuries At A Loss
SIVB Clients Pull All Deposits
BLEEDING
DURATION
SIVB Clients Could Not Raise Capital Due To
Higher Rates = RISK OFF = VC Window Shut
SIVB Shareholders Concerned About
Dilution, Hammer Stock
FEEDING
STARVING
FOMO
PHILOSOPHICAL
PERSPECTIVE
GOMO
"I fully understand the statistical certainty that I
will miss almost every one of the very best
stocks. I will not regret this. I know that if I can
deliver reasonable stock picking with just a few
big winners over long periods of time and avoid
permanent capital impairment, I will be in the
top quintile of performance. I will be able to
justify my existence - and fees!”
"I am aware of everything.
I comprehend none of it.
I am a tail-chaser"
BLEEDING
DURATION
FEEDING
Due Diligence Is The Vaccine For Short Termism
-------LEVERAGE------- LIQUIDITY
1985 - Billy Sullivan
1988 - Victor Kiam
1988 - Stadium fell
into Bankruptcy
1993 - Team fell
into Bankruptcy
BLEEDING
1993 - James Orthwein
Trapped by Kraft's
operating lease on Stadium
DURATION
Robert Kraft
Receives all stadium concession
and advertising cash flow
FEEDING
Robert Kraft
1985 - Buys the muddy parking
lots around Patriot's stadium
1988 - Buys the stadium and
operating lease with Patriots
1994 -Buys the Patriots after
fight with Goldman Sachs
SOME SILICON VALLEY BANK CLIENTS FACE CASH CRUNCH (source: Reuters, March 10 2023)
As higher interest rates caused the market for initial public offerings to shut down for many startups and made private fundraising more costly,
some Silicon Valley Bank clients started pulling money out to meet their liquidity needs. This culminated in Silicon Valley Bank looking for ways
this week to meet its customers' withdrawals.
To fund the redemptions, Silicon Valley Bank sold on Wednesday a $21 billion bond portfolio consisting mostly of U.S. Treasuries. The portfolio
was yielding it an average 1.79%, far below the current 10-year Treasury yield of around 3.9%. This forced SVB to recognize a $1.8 billion loss,
which it needed to fill through a capital raise.
Latest Updates
SVB ANNOUNCES STOCK SALE
SVB announced on Thursday it would sell $2.25 billion in common equity and preferred convertible stock to fill its funding hole. Its shares
ended trading on the day down 60%, as investors fretted that the deposit withdrawals may push it to raise even more capital.
STOCK SALE COLLAPSES
Some SVB clients pulled their money from the bank on the advice of venture capital firms such as Peter Thiel's Future Fund, Reuters reported.
This spooked investors such as General Atlantic that SVB had lined up for the stock sale, and the capital raising effort collapsed late on
Thursday.
SVB GOES INTO RECEIVERSHIP
SVB scrambled on Friday to find alternative funding, including through a sale of the company. Later in the day, however, the Federal Deposit
Insurance Corporation (FDIC) then announced that SVB was shut down and placed under its receivership. The FDIC added that it would seek to
sell SVB's assets and that future dividend payments may be made to uninsured depositors.
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