CFA INSTITUTE RESEARCH CHALLENGE HOSTED BY: CFA SOCIETY CHICAGO SEPTEMBER 23, 2022 CFA SOCIETY CHICAGO: HISTORY World’s first investment analyst’s club founded in 1925 • 6th largest society under the CFA Institute and the world’s oldest investment analyst's society • Hortense Friedman is one of the sixteen founding members and one of three women among its founding members. CFA Society Chicago’s leadership award is named after her. • Initial members - focused on bond analysis, ratings • Formed forerunner of CFA Institute in 1947 with other societies The Society celebrated its 97th anniversary in 2022 • Boston • New York • Philadelphia • Providence 2 NTAC:3NS-20 CFA INSTITUTE: UNIQUE ORGANIZATION • A global not-for-profit organization • The world’s largest association of investment professionals • Industry leader promoting the highest standards of ethics, education, and professional excellence • A vast global network of members, societies, and relationships with key financial organizations around the world • Neutral – multi-stakeholder members; focused on investor outcomes Source: CFA Institute 3 NTAC:3NS-20 CFA INSTITUTE: GLOBAL NETWORK CFA Institute: 190K+ Members CFA Charterholders : 96% of Members Global Reach :160+ Markets CFA Society Community :150+ Local Societies 4 NTAC:3NS-20 2022 RESEARCH CHALLENGE NETWORK 6,400+ STUDENTS 3,000+ INDUSTRY VOLUNTEERS 1,000+ UNIVERSITIES 150+ LOCAL SOCIETIES 119 CFA LOCAL LEVEL CHALLENGES Global Final & Americas Regional Champions Northern Illinois University 90 COUNTRIES Representing CFA Society Chicago 5 5 WHAT IS THE CFA INSTITUTE RESEARCH CHALLENGE? HOW IS IT ORGANIZED? • Worldwide intercollegiate competition between teams of students • Organized by local CFA Institute volunteers – usually through CFA member societies • CFA Society Chicago works with Universities to assemble teams consisting of three to five students per team • Each university team may consist of undergraduate, graduate, or a combination of both WHAT DOES IT INVOLVE? • Analysis of a publicly-traded company • Interviews with company management • Mentoring by a CFA charterholder • Research report writing • Presentation of investment recommendation to a panel of industry experts 6 6 BENEFITS FOR STUDENTS Experience with best practices in In-depth analysis of a company, including Q+A research report writing and presentation skills Access and exposure to leading investment industry professionals with senior management, competitive industry dynamics, company strategy, financial forecasting and valuation CFA Society Chicago Opportunity to improve teamwork and time management skills Student Membership for October 2022 - June 2023 7 7 RULES OVERVIEW • Students, mentors & faculty advisors must all agree to abide by CFA institute code of ethics and standards of professional conduct • Use of material non-public information is prohibited • All research must be the original work of students; label charts and cite all sources; proprietary research is encouraged but must be precleared by CFA Society Chicago staff • “All forms of plagiarism are prohibited” • Conflicts of interest must be disclosed to CFA Society Chicago • CFA Society Chicago will provide forms for all participant signatures 9 8 RULES OVERVIEW - CONTINUED • 3-5 students per team; no alternates allowed; cannot participate with < 3 members; no repeat registrations allowed • No contact with company management or board members is allowed • Teams can bring their own industry mentor • No help from professional investors is allowed • Technical help with slides using college resources is allowed • Public speaking coaches can be used to prepare for the presentation • Slide changes are allowed up until the due date • No props are allowed in the presentation • Teams will be sequestered on the day of the competition • If watching competing teams, no communication between teams and faculty advisors / mentors is allowed • Faculty advisors are allowed to tape the team’s presentation (if live) • Faculty advisors can spend up to 10 hours prior to report submission / additional 3 hours on the presentation for every competition level • Industry mentors can spend up to 6 hours up to report submission / additional 2 hours on the presentation for every competition level • Please read the Official 2022-2023 rules for details 10 9 COMPETITION SCORING – LOCAL LEVEL 6 – 12 TEAMS RESEARCH REPORT • • • 50% of total score (average ranking for each team) Company analysis including industry position, earnings estimates, price target and buy/hold/sell recommendation Each team will be given Grader comments prior to the presentation PRESENTATION • 50% of total score (average ranking for each team) • 10 minute “stock pitch” presentation of investment recommendation / 15 minutes Q+A • Judging panel is made up of senior industry professionals with experience in equity analysis and portfolio management 11 10 COMPETITION SCORING – ADVANCED LEVELS SUB-REGIONAL VIRTUAL ROUND: REGIONAL ROUNDS: • • Teams randomly assigned to semi-final groups • Scoring based 100% on presentations & average team ranking • Will include live Q+A with judges • Winners advance to Regional Final • Two Regional winners advance to Global final Based on based 100% recorded presentations & average team ranking GLOBAL ROUND: • Scoring based 100% on presentations & average team ranking • Will include live Q+A with judges • Global winner receives $10,000 scholarship for their university 12 11 RESEARCH REPORT • The research report is limited to 10 pages, with a 10-page Appendix containing supporting models, charts and graphs • We require a font size of at least 9 NO EXCEPTIONS • All research must be the original work of students • Use section headings listed on the Research Challenge Report Scorecard • Label all charts and cite all sources • Proprietary research is encouraged but must be precleared by CFA Society Chicago staff • Examples: FORMER employee / supplier / competitor interviews • Teams must identify themselves as participants in the CFA Research Challenge • Highlight findings in text of report where applicable, with details in the appendix • Submit original research questions to faculty advisor or industry mentor, and get pre-clearance from CFA Society Chicago • The Research Report Appendix should include the details of the financial analysis; the text of the report should summarize the findings, highlight key information with charts or tables, and refer to specific information in the appendix for details • SEE APPENDIX FOR DETAILS ON REPORT FORMAT AND SAMPLE REPORT SCORESHEET 13 12 REPORT WRITING TIPS The goal is to convince the reader to act on the investment recommendation: BUY, HOLD OR SELL – based on: NOTE: DO NOT • AMOUNT OF TIME THIS An analysis of the featured company’s competitive advantages vs. their industry; UNDERESTIMATE THE RESEARCH REPORT WILL • • • • The company’s financial profile and future earnings potential, based on the identification of key drivers of revenue growth and profit margins; free cash flow; and balance sheet TAKE. DEVELOP A TIMELINE A forecast of future earnings and free cash flow, with an explanation of growth and margin assumptions, including how your view compares to consensus forecasts WITH PLENTY OF EXTRA The featured company’s management presentation and response to Q+A will include their strategy and outlook, which should help to inform your assumptions A target stock price including an explanation of the various relevant valuation methods used in your analysis AND ASSIGN SECTIONS TO TEAM MEMBERS EARLY, TIME AHEAD OF OFFICIAL DUE DATES. Past examples of winning research reports can be accessed via the CFA Society Chicago website 14 13 RESEARCH REPORT SECTION Teams can choose their report format, but they must use the Headings that are listed on the Written Report Scorecard. Business Description (5 points): A detailed description of the company, its products and services, and its business model, with key drivers of revenue and expenses. Industry Overview & Competitive Positioning (10 points): An overview of the industry dynamics and a review of competition and market share. This should set the context for the company analysis and provide a point of reference for the financial analysis section. Investment Summary (15 points): A brief description of the company, significant recent developments that have had / will have an impact the on the stock, an earnings forecast, a valuation summary and the recommended investment action. It should explain why the stock is rated Buy/Hold/Sell. Valuation (20 points): A thorough valuation analysis using conventional valuation metrics (PE, DCF, sum of the parts, comps, scenario analysis) and formulas. In discussing valuation, financial forecasts and assumptions should be addressed Financial Analysis (20 points): A detailed analysis of the company’s historical financial performance and a forecast of future estimates. This should be the basis of the valuation section. It should tie in with the company’s strategy and key financial drivers. Growth and margin assumptions should be explained, as well as any difference vs. consensus expectations. Poor earnings quality (GAAP vs. nongaap) should also be noted and adjusted for Investment Risks (15 points): Address potentially negative industry and company developments that could present a risk to the investment rating. Risks can also be referenced and tested in a scenario valuation analysis SEE APPENDIX FOR GRADER SCORE SHEET 15 14 RESEARCH REPORT SECTIONS – CONTINUED Environmental, Social & Governance (15 points): • ESG metrics are standards used by socially conscious investors to measure a company’s impact on the world. Environmental factors include limiting greenhouse emissions, water and energy usage, sustainability efforts, and actions on climate control • Social factors relate to a company’s relationships with employees, customers, suppliers and the communities it operates in, including labor policies, diversity, and health and safety measures • Governance applies to the company’s leadership in management and the board of directors, and includes policies on executive compensation, internal controls, audits, and financial transparency 17 15 PRESENTATION TIPS • Every team member should be equally engaged in the presentation and the Q+A • Be prepared to explain key assumptions in forecasts and valuation methods, including how they compare to historic trends and consensus expectations • Too much information on a slide can be distracting to the judges; de-clutter as much as possible • Link slides to details in the appendix so you can pull up supporting data in the Q+A quickly • Keep answers in the Q+A brief and succinct to get in as many questions as possible • Teams advancing are allowed to utilize college presentation resources not associated with finance or business in preparing for the oral competition. SEE APPENDIX FOR A SAMPLE PRESENTATION SCORE SHEET 18 16 PARTICIPATING UNIVERSITIES 2022 AUGUSTANA COLLEGE DEPAUL UNIVERSITY ILLINOIS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY NORTHERN ILLINOIS UNIVERSITY NORTHWESTERN UNIVERSITY UNIVERSITY OF ILLINOIS SPRINGFIELD UNIVERSITY OF ILLINOIS URBANA CHAMPAIGN 19 17 COMPETITION TIMELINE TODAY KICK-OFF October 1, 2022 – January 21, 2023 Preliminary Research Time with Industry Mentor (6 hours maximum) October 7, 2022 Featured Company Presentation October 21, 2022 Teams Finalized, Students and Faculty Advisors Register with CFA Institute November 4, 2022 Valuation Expert Webinar December 9, 2022 Teams’ Follow Up Questions for Company Due to CFA Society Chicago January 20, 2023 Teams’ Finalized Equity Research Reports Due to CFA Society Chicago by 5:00 pm (NO LATE REPORTS ACCEPTED AFTER 15 MIN GRACE PERIOD – NO EXCEPTION) February 13, 2023 Advancing Teams Announced March 3, 2023 In-Person Oral Competition March 2023 TBD TBD Virtual Sub-Regional (pre-recorded presentation only) Virtual Regional Semifinals Regional / Global Final 20 18 FEATURED COMPANY NYSE: SCS 21 19 BUDD BUGATCH - CONSUMER SECTOR EXPERT Consumer Sector at Water Tower Research- WTR Budd Bugatch 20 Welcome 2021-22 Global Champions NIU College of Business Nolan O’Rear Nicholas Stone Paula Veyhle 21 QUESTIONS 22 APPENDIX/RESOURCES 23 WRITTEN REPORT REQUIREMENTS Each team must prepare a written research report on the subject company chosen by the local host. Teams may use their industry mentor or faculty advisor as resources but may not enlist the help of any other professionals in writing the actual report. The written report must • be no longer than 10 pages (not including the front cover page provided by CFA Institute) on A4-sized paper* (210 mm × 297 mm, 8.27” × 11.69”), although you may include an appendix no longer than 10 A4-sized pages; • be properly cited using a generally accepted citation system. Generally accepted citation systems include, but are not limited to, the Chicago Manual of Style, the Harvard referencing system, and MLA (Modern Language Association) style. • include the following information in a header on the first page: o Company name o Exchange o Ticker symbol o Sector/Industry o Recommendation (buy/sell/hold) o Current price (as of __ date) o Target price (% increase/decrease) • contain only publicly available information; • be the original work of the team members; • be prepared from the perspective of an independent research analyst; • be submitted to the local-level host by the deadline established by the host; • include the front cover provided by CFA Institute with the information in highlighted text filled in (teams must not alter any other part of the cover page, including the CFA Institute logo); and • contain (but not limited to**) the following sections: o Business description o Industry overview and competitive positioning o Investment summary o Valuation o Financial analysis o Investment risks o Corporate governance 25 24 SAMPLE REQUIRED REPORT COVER 26 25 REPORT SCORING 27 26 SAMPLE REPORT VIEW REPORTS FROM PAST WINNERS 28 27 ITEMS OF NOTE PLAGIARISM - TEAMS MUST NOT: 1. Use excerpts from articles or reports prepared by others either verbatim or with only slight changes in wording without acknowledgment, 2. Cite specific quotations as attributable to “leading analysts” and “investment experts” without naming the specific references, 3. Present statistical estimates of forecasts prepared by others and identifying the sources but without including the qualifying statements or caveats that may have been used, 4. Use charts and graphs without stating their sources, or 5. Copy proprietary computerized spreadsheets or algorithms without seeking the cooperation or authorization of their creators. The prohibition on plagiarism applies both to a team’s written report and its presentation. 30 28 PRESENTATION SCORING 30 29 30 ADVISOR AND MENTOR INVOLVEMENT FACULTY ADVISOR INDUSTRY MENTOR • Guidance and direction on research methods and tools as taught in academia • Insight and guidance on industry practice • 10 hours maximum of productive time for the local round and 3 hours per presentation in the regionals / global finals (Logistical work, such as arranging meeting space and times and class attendance, does not count toward the time limit.) • Access to faculty for other projects unrelated to the Research Challenge is permitted • All work must be the original work of the students • 6 hours maximum of productive time for the local round and 2 hours per presentation in the regionals / global finals (Logistical work, such as arranging meeting space and times and class attendance, does not count toward the time limit.) • Face to face or virtual • Company management question development • Review first draft of research report • Presentation development assistance 31 31 ETHICS RESOURCES https://www.cfainstitute.org/community/challenge/prepare/pages/index.aspx • Ethics Course Module 2: Standard II—Integrity of Capital Markets • Ethics Course Module 3: Standard III—Duties to Clients • Ethics Course Module 6: Standard VI—Conflicts of Interest • Ethics Course Module 7: Standard VII—Responsibilities as a CFA Institute Member or CFA Candidate CFA INSTITUTE RESOURCES https://www.cfainstitute.org/community/challenge/about/pages/past_champions.aspx PAST RESEARCH CHALLENGE CHAMPIONS Sample Winning Reports and Presentations “Keep it Simple: 11 Rules for Equity Valuations” by Paul McCaffrey - http://cfa.is/2jw1u8D 32 32 ADDITIONAL RESOURCES 33 OVERVIEW OF FINANCIAL VALUATION MODELS Prepared For The CFA Society Chicago CFA Research Challenge By: Larry A. Lonis, CFA View overview slide deck FINANCIAL ANALYSIS REVIEW GRID Prepared for the CFA Society Chicago CFA Research Challenge By: Larry A. Lonis, CFA View Financial Analysis Review Grid INTRODUCTION TO COMPANY ANALYSIS Prepared for the CFA Society Chicago CFA Research Challenge By: Larry A. Lonis, CFA View Introduction to Company Analysis INDUSTRY & COMPANY ANALYSIS Prepared For The CFA Society Chicago CFA Research Challenge By: Larry A. Lonis, CFA View industry & company analysis ESG – ISSUES IN INVESTING Prepared By CFA institute View resource 34 34 COMMERCIAL/CONTRACT FURNITURE INDUSTRY Prepared For The CFA Society Chicago CFA Research Challenge by Budd Bugatch View Report INIATION OF COVERAGE REPORT :STEELCASE INCORPORATED Prepared For The CFA Society Chicago CFA Research Challenge by Budd Bugatch View Report COMMERCIAL/ CONTRACT FURNITURE/ CONSUMER HEADLINES Prepared For The CFA Society Chicago CFA Research Challenge by Budd Bugatch View Report STRATEGIES FOR BUILDING A HYBRID WORKPLACE THAT WORKS Prepared For The CFA Society Chicago CFA Research Challenge by Jim Keane View Article 35