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Electricity Capacity & Bidding in Texas

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Electricity Capacity & Bidding in Texas
The Texas governor’s boasting of additions to its grid’s generation capacity in a news
conference last winter was met with doubt about the legitimacy of his claims. Governor Abott
reported, “As compared to last year, Texas has about 15% more power generation capacity.”
However, the Electric Reliability Council of Texas cited only a 2% increase in available
generation capacity. The article went on to discuss the differences between installed and
available capacity. Researchers in the power industry explained that the installed capacity is
more of a theoretical number since power plants and other energy sources do not operate at
full-fledged efficiency 100% of the time. In fact, no energy resource has 100% operational
capacity. Therefore, Abbott’s statement fails to encapsulate the true state of the ERCOT power
grid's generation capabilities.
The discrepancy between installed and available capacity reminded me of conversations
in class about the differences in actual generation versus generation capacity. For example, in
class we looked at differences between energy sources’ market share and average size. More
specifically, we noted that coal’s average size of 257 MW is much larger than natural gas's
average size of 85 MW, but natural gas comprises more market share. This was largely due to the
fact that even though we have an installed capacity of 1.1 million MW in the United States, these
energy sources are never running at 100% operational efficiency which leads to differing
allocations in terms of their respective market shares. This concept of operational efficiency also
reminded me of the diagram we looked at in class that provided an overview of the flow of
electricity which highlighted the energy losses with 67.5% of the energy being rejected.
The second article touched on Texas’ anticipated integration of the “Performance Credit
Mechanism” (PCM). The PCM will allow generators to be compensated more for producing
during high-stress hours. The current market in Texas operates through an auction in which
energy generators bid into the system every fifteen minutes. The PCM would come into play by
crediting suppliers that produce power when supply is typically low. The idea is that this would
serve as a reliability factor. However, there are salient concerns that these credits will result in
increased prices for energy providers and distributors will be passed onto customers.
Additionally, concerns that this new pricing mechanism will not solve fuel shortages which was
an apparent issue during the 2021 winter blackouts.
The discussion of who will bear the burden of these price hikes reminded me of the price
elasticity of demand which we discussed in class. With regards to PCM, it will be interesting to
observe how customers react to increase in prices. If demand is relatively inelastic, consumers
will continue using the same level of consumption resulting in higher profits for power
generation firms that are able to produce during peak hours and at lower marginal costs. Going
forward, the efficacy of the PCM system will likely depend on whether the grid’s reliability will
actually increase. If blackouts ensue this winter, it is unlikely consumers will be willing to
absorb the higher costs.
Sources:
1.) https://www.statesman.com/story/news/politics/politifact/2022/04/03/politifact-te
xas-grids-power-generation-capacity-compared-2021/6698872001/
2.) https://www.kxan.com/news/texas-politics/puc-approves-electric-market-redesign
-in-big-step-for-ercot/
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