OECD - WGGS Merchanting Michael Connolly – National Accounts, CSO Ireland October 2010

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OECD - WGGS

Merchanting

Michael Connolly – National Accounts, CSO Ireland

October 2010

Outline of Presentation

Group of Experts on Globalisation

Merchanting – scale of activity

Merchanting - explanation

SNA 93 & BPM5

SNA 2008 & BPM6 (IMTS2010,para. 1.20)

Merchanting of Services

Conclusion

2 OECD WGGS

Oct 2010

International Merchanting Activity

2004 – 2008 Index 2004 = 100

3 OECD WGGS Oct 2010

European Union of which:

Belgium

Denmark

Germany

Ireland

France

Italy

Cyprus

Luxembourg

Hungary

Malta

Netherlands

Austria

Slovenia

Slovakia

Finland

Sweden

United Kingdom

Other Countries:

Switzerland

United States

Japan

2004

25,543

1,233

:

4,284

2,480

3,323

140

319

270

988

35

1,020

1,406

1

:

4,337

3,459

690

2,949

:

:

€millions

2005

34,223

2006

41,453

1,469

1,286

5,301

4,018

5,864

141

1,408

1,544

10,156

5,301

6,213

164

404

305

1,234

61

1,059

2,029

58

-8

4,493

3,936

1,261

468

353

1,157

80

1,143

2,273

111

-24

4,929

4,866

361

3,787

:

:

5,602

:

:

47,055

2007

52,329

4,580

1,707

9,714

8,816

5,631

132

369

345

1,235

51

1,196

2,538

168

-15

5020*

6,669

1,549

6,523

:

:

2008

56,145

4,251

1,907

8,771

9,817

8,220

106

627

801

1,317

82

1240*

2,773

189

-22

5100*

7,392

1,341

9,100

:

:

Merchanting - definition the purchase of a good by a resident (of the compiling economy) from a non-resident and the subsequent resale of the good to another non-resident; during this process the good does not enter or leave the compiling economy

Source IMF BPM5

In addition no transformation of the good has taken place - if so, then goods for processing

Merchanting

Value of exports = 80

Germany exporter/seller

Change in ownership

Value of imports =100

USA importer/buyer

Cash settlement

Ireland

Merchant

Value of services exports = 20

Goods

Exports

Imports

Ireland

Services

Exports

Imports

Cash

Payments

Receipts

Total

-20

-80

100

0

Germ any USA

-80

80

0

100

-100

0

Merchanting

So what is the problem with merchanting?

In the trade data for countries Germany and USA the exports and imports are included

How do we treat the transactions in the accounts of

Ireland?

Merchanting – BPM5, SNA 93

The solution to this difficulty centred around the treatment for the change of ownership.

Change in ownership would normally require that we record exports from Germany to Ireland and record exports from Ireland to USA

Merchanting

This difficulty was simplified by imputing no change in ownership involving the merchant

 and therefore recording the merchant’s margin as the net export of a service in Ireland

 and record the exports /imports of goods between Germany and USA

Merchanting

Solution agreed in BPM5/SNA’93 solved one problem and created others

Goods account does not add up

Difference between the value of imports and exports is the merchants surplus

Recorded under Services

Merchanting

SNA Rev.1 and BPM 6

Merchanting

BPM 6 & SNA 2008

Current treatment causes asymetries in Goods account (no services)

Inconsistencies in recommended treatment and impact on inventories and balance sheets

Inconsistencies with Supply and Use tables

Valuation in Cross Border transactions

Merchanting

BPM6 & SNA 2008

New proposals apply to the merchanting of goods only

- no mention of merchanted services

Acquisition of goods by merchant to be recorded as negative exports of merchant’s economy

Similarly sale of goods by merchant recorded as a positive export

Difference between sales and purchases of merchanted goods is recorded under :

“Net exports of goods under merchanting”

Merchanting

Proposals BPM6 & SNA 2008

In Supply and Use Tables the difference between sales and purchases to be shown as production of a service

In general Merchanting activities to be recorded in Goods account rather than the Services account

Merchanting – BPM6, SNA 2008

16

Germany exporter/seller

Movement of goods/services

South Africa importer/buyer

Change in ownership

Cash settlement

Ireland

Merchant

OECD WGGS Oct 2010

Merchanting

Ireland

Goods under merchanting (x)

Goods under merchanting (m)

Currency & deposits

Germany

Goods

Currency & deposits

South Africa

Goods

Currency & deposits

Global Total Goods

Global Total Currency &Depos

Credit

100

-80

Debit

20

80

100

100

100

80

100

100

100

Merchanting

Impact of New Proposals

Resolves the difficulty with asymmetric recording

Resolves the issues with inventories and holding gains

Valuation principles are consistent

Recording of transactions in BOP still an issue

Merchanting – Activities Included

Commodity Trading

International Wholesale Retail

Global Manufacturing and

Interaffiliate transactions in Goods and Services

Outsourcing of Services (abroad)

Merchanting

Global Manufacturing

Goods for processing

Country B owner of goods

Movement of goods/services

Country D importer/buyer

Change in ownership Cash settlement

Country C

Processor/exporter

Country A

Group Company

Merchanting of Services

Not addressed in the current manuals

Was mentioned as far back as 1961

“ the compiling country’s residents may carry out international transactions in goods and services that are entered only on a net basis. Such transactions involve the purchase of goods or services in one foreign country and the sale or granting of them to another foreign country ”

Edition of the Manual Required recording Classified in the BPM

Methodology

BPM 1 st

Edition - 1948 Record net under Other Transactions in

Merchandise Merchandise

BPM 2nd Edition - 1950 Record gross under Other Transactions in

Merchandise Merchandise

BPM 3rd Edition - 1961 Record net under Merchandise transactions

Merchandise abroad

BPM 4th Edition - 1977 Record net under Other Other Goods Services and

Goods Services and Income

Income

BPM 5 th

Edition - 1993 Record net under Business Services

Services

Merchanting, CSO Treatment

Impact of Globalisation on services

Inclusion of transactions in services

Potential for statistical distortion arising from large transactions in goods and services sourced and delivered abroad

Outsourced services

Third era of Globalisation

Merchanting of Goods and Services 2009

OECD WGGS

Oct 2010

Merchanting

Goods & Services

100%

Country US

Direct Investor

Country DE

Producer Goods

100%

Country FR

Producer services

Country IE owner of goods

Market EMEA

Many customers

Merchanting of Services

Does not consider or address the merchanting of services major aspect of Globalisation falls within the definition of merchanting

Transformation - how to determine if service has been transformed?

Merchanting

Conclusions

Merchanting of services needs serious consideration

Revised treatment for Merchanting of goods is now adequate

Separate recommendations are required for Merchanting of Services similar to BPM5 i.e. separate item in Services

Account

Any questions?

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