Chapter 28: Expected values

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Chapter 28: Expected values
http://www.qualitydigest.com/inside/quality-insider-article
/problems-skewness-and-kurtosis-part-one.html#
Comparison of Expected Values
Discrete
Continuous
∞
๐”ผ ๐‘‹ =
๐‘ฅ๐‘๐‘‹ (๐‘ฅ)
๐‘ฅ
๐”ผ ๐‘‹ =
๐‘ฅ๐‘“๐‘‹ ๐‘ฅ ๐‘‘๐‘ฅ
−∞
Example: Expected Value (class)
What is the expected value in each of the following
situations:
a) The following is the
density of the
magnitude X of a
dynamic load on a
bridge (in newtons)
๏ƒฌ1 3
๏ƒฏ ๏€ซ x 0๏‚ฃx๏‚ฃ2
fX (x) ๏€ฝ ๏ƒญ 8 8
๏ƒฏ๏ƒฎ 0
else
b) The train to Chicago
leaves Lafayette at a
random time between
8 am and 8:30 am. Let
X be the departure
time.
๏ƒฌ 2 8 ๏€ผ x ๏€ผ 8.5
fX (x) ๏€ฝ ๏ƒญ
else
๏ƒฎ0
Chapter 29: Functions, Variance
http://quantivity.wordpress.com/2011/05/02/empirical-distribution-minimum-variance/
Comparison of Functions, Variances
Discrete
Function
(general)
Continuous
๐”ผ ๐‘”(๐‘‹)
๐”ผ ๐‘”(๐‘‹)
=
=
∞
๐‘”(๐‘ฅ)๐‘๐‘‹ (๐‘ฅ)
−∞
๐‘ฅ
Function
2 =
๐”ผ
๐‘‹
(X2)
๐‘”(๐‘ฅ)๐‘“๐‘‹ ๐‘ฅ ๐‘‘๐‘ฅ
∞
๐‘ฅ 2 ๐‘๐‘‹ (๐‘ฅ) ๐”ผ ๐‘‹ 2 =
๐‘ฅ 2 ๐‘“๐‘‹ ๐‘ฅ ๐‘‘๐‘ฅ
−∞
๐‘ฅ
Variance Var(X) = ๐”ผ(X2) – (๐”ผ(X))2 Var(X) = ๐”ผ(X2) – (๐”ผ(X))2
SD
๐œŽ๐‘‹ =
๐‘‰๐‘Ž๐‘Ÿ(๐‘‹)
๐œŽ๐‘‹ =
๐‘‰๐‘Ž๐‘Ÿ(๐‘‹)
Example: Expected Value - function
(class)
What is ๐”ผ(X2) in each of the following situations:
a) The following is the
density of the
magnitude X of a
dynamic load on a
bridge (in newtons)
๏ƒฌ1 3
๏ƒฏ ๏€ซ x 0๏‚ฃx๏‚ฃ2
fX (x) ๏€ฝ ๏ƒญ 8 8
๏ƒฏ๏ƒฎ 0
else
b) The train to Chicago
leaves Lafayette at a
random time between
8 am and 8:30 am. Let
X be the departure
time.
๏ƒฌ 2 8 ๏€ผ x ๏€ผ 8.5
fX (x) ๏€ฝ ๏ƒญ
else
๏ƒฎ0
Example: Variance (class)
What is the variance in each of the following
situations:
a) The following is the
density of the
magnitude X of a
dynamic load on a
bridge (in newtons)
๏ƒฌ1 3
๏ƒฏ ๏€ซ x 0๏‚ฃx๏‚ฃ2
fX (x) ๏€ฝ ๏ƒญ 8 8
๏ƒฏ๏ƒฎ 0
else
b) The train to Chicago
leaves Lafayette at a
random time between
8 am and 8:30 am. Let
X be the departure
time.
๏ƒฌ 2 8 ๏€ผ x ๏€ผ 8.5
fX (x) ๏€ฝ ๏ƒญ
else
๏ƒฎ0
Friendly Facts about Continuous
Random Variables - 1
• Theorem 28.18: Expected value of a linear
sum of two or more continuous random
variables:
๐”ผ(a1X1 + … + anXn) = a1๐”ผ(X1) + … + an๐”ผ(Xn)
• Theorem 28.19: Expected value of the product
of functions of independent continuous
random variables:
๐”ผ(g(X)h(Y)) = ๐”ผ(g(X))๐”ผ(h(Y))
Friendly Facts about Continuous
Random Variables - 2
• Theorem 28.21: Variances of a linear sum of
two or more independent continuous random
variables:
Var(a1X1 + … + anXn) =๐‘Ž12 Var(X1) + … + ๐‘Ž๐‘›2 Var(Xn)
• Corollary 28.22: Variance of a linear function
of continuous random variables:
Var(aX + b) = a2Var(X)
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